CropEnergies AG (HAM:CE2)
Germany flag Germany · Delayed Price · Currency is EUR
13.70
0.00 (0.00%)
At close: Apr 29, 2026
← View all transcripts

Earnings Call: Q2 2024

Oct 11, 2023

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Thank you, George, for the introduction. Welcome, everybody, on our Q2 conference call. Thank you very much for your interest in CropEnergies. We have published our presentation on the website. I hope that you all have it in front of you. I would start on page two, which is called Highlights. As a background, we have released an ad hoc release on July 12, 2023, where we already indicated that we await for Q2 a significant reduction in revenues, EBITDA, and operating profit due to normalized prices and to lower production and sales levels due to maintenance shutdowns. You will see later on when we look into the numbers that Q2 came on as expected. It's clearly significantly below prior year, but it's in line with expectations.

Also important to note that we confirm our guideline, as of today, and, at the same time, it shall always be noted that if we look into figures of financial year 2022/23, this compares to the fourth record year in a row, and, the last financial year, 2021/22, was exceptionally high. So this is always also something that we should keep in mind if we compare this year's figures to prior years' figures. So and we will see throughout the presentation that somehow a common leitmotif or slogan could be that is, commodity prices, and it gets back to normalization, and we will see this when we look into the commodity prices section and markets, we see here more normalized levels.

So on the agenda today, we, as usual, I will start with an overview on the market and political environment. We will have a look into the financials of second quarter, 2023/24, as just announced, and I will give you a strategy update, and here with a particular focus on our protein project, EnPro, in the U.K.. And then last but not least, we will have a Q&A section, and together with Heike Baumbach, our Head of Investor Relations, I'm happy and we are happy to take your questions. So please, let's move on to slide number four, which is an overview of the Fit for 55 package. But on this slide I will be very short, as there is no significant news compared to our Q1 presentation.

So in a nutshell, this RED III and Fit for 55 package clears that there's an overall goal for the European Union to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 55% in 2023. So in a nutshell, this is positive. We see increased levels, increased ambition levels for all renewable energies, and so this is positive for the entire sector, these all kind of biofuels. There are always two points that are critical, and I stated them also last time, is we are not okay with having e-mobility prioritized in these political legislations over biofuels, because we believe defossilizing transport is such a huge task that we need all technologies, and all technologies can contribute to bringing down CO2 emissions in transport, and so do biofuels to a significant part.

The second point, that is always in part of our political agenda, where we lobby and give information on, is we are not okay with this quasi ban of the internal combustion engine by 2035. Because we believe when it comes to defossilizing transport, it's not about the internal combustion engine, it's about the fuel that it uses, and there are better solutions than fossil fuels. You can have the significant decrease of CO2 emissions by having higher blending mandates for bio fuels in combination than also with synthetic fuels. We will continue to inform and state this is not the right direction for defossilizing transport, because e-mobility alone, to our view, will not make it.

On the next two slides, you find some new ideas and new points on, on politics. So what is new? You are aware in, in June next year will be the elections for the European Parliament. In October, November, we will then have the new commission, the new European Commission. And, so everything also gets started now for, for the preparation for these elections. And the parties are doing their programs and, have their, their meetings to prepare for the next five years term of the European Parliament. And what we deem positive is that there are several signs of more realism recently, and there should be more pragmatism instead of a stubborn ideology. And we have four examples for you.

This is just examples, but to my mind, this shows that there could be a change of view on the European level when it comes to defossilizing transport. The first point that we deem to be really positive, that on May 20, all the EU leaders co-signed this GSET Declaration, which is asserting that sustainable biofuels have a vital role to play in transport, our decarb- decarbonization. In June 2023, that was also important. The European Court of Auditors published their report, and they called into question that the current EU strategy of betting everything on one technology, that means the electrification of transport, is not seen as the best way to decarbonize transport. Also claiming that all technologies should be looked into and can contribute to bringing down CO2 emissions. The third point is on the next slide.

It was in September 2023 that the EU Commission introduced surveillance measures on imports. This is just as a starting point, but it's a good starting point, because this allows that over three years, all the imports will closely be monitored and reported. And this surveillance allows in a first step, that means to collect all that information, and if there's an injury to the industry, additional measures could be adopted by the European Commission.

One point also very interesting was on twenty-first of September, concerning not the EU itself, but Europe as a whole, be it, the U.K. government, which postpones the ban of the internal combustion engine from 2030 to 2035, because not seeing this as a realistic time frame, and this confirms also our view that it's not a good idea to ban new ICE, car sales by 2030. These are positive signs to be followed up closely, whether all those ideas, will be reflected in the, programs of the parties which prepare for the new European Parliament elections. We will continue to monitor this closely and to inform you. Let's move on to page number seven, please, which is, titled Market Developments.

We will have a look into the volumes and prices of our ethanol markets. It's maybe worth starting on the right-hand side with the table. You can see that from 2022 - 2023, we expect a slight decrease in total volumes for ethanol in EU- 27 and U.K. The trend is very stable when it comes to potable alcohol, but the industrial grades are seen to be with a slight decrease. We see a good increase overall in fuel ethanol. Consumption for 2023 to be seen around 9.9 million cubic meters, which is then composed of 7.2 in fuel and 2.8 in non-fuel.

Production is clearly lower than this, and so this is also, this data is also then the, the need for imports to come. We will touch on imports later on. But it's positive to say that for 2023, compared to 2022, and also for 2024 compared to 2023, we await an increase in fuel ethanol demand. When it comes to E10, it's the number one petrol in many European countries. Positively, now we have 17 member states, plus Norway and the U.K., who have rolled out E10 at their petrol stations. When it comes to Germany, here, the E10 sales are also increasing, but we are still last on the list, but, compared to prior years, this is nevertheless a strong increase when it comes to E10 sales.

What has been positive in the current year was that the E10 sales, that was a successful E10 introduction in three additional countries: Ireland, Austria, and Norway. And also the prospects are positive when it comes to next year. It is foreseen that Poland is bringing E10 to the petrol stations, and this effect alone should be an additional more than 200,000 cubic meters of ethanol. On the next page, we will touch upon the imports. I've already addressed, as the demand is very strong in Europe and the production is quite stable, so there is a systematic need for imports, and we see this in a strong increase by 135%, that's the right-hand table, to levels above 2,000,000 cubic meters of imports into the EU.

Recently, or last year, there was a huge price gap between the international market and the European markets, and this made the imports attractive, so they came in, but also this data has decreased. This is also one of the point why we believe that there should be a good demand and a good support for the prices over the periods to come. Looking more detailed in the ethanol prices itself. So the average ethanol price in Q2 amount to EUR 746 per cubic meter, compared to prior years, over 1,000 cubic meters.

So you see that there's a delta Q2 versus Q2 prior year of over EUR 400 per cubic meter, and this is the main denominator, why, where later on, when we look into the figures, we have such a significant decrease in turnover and operating profit. If we look at the graph on the right-hand side, at the bottom there, you see the ethanol price development over the last three financial years. There you can also see what I stated at the beginning, there's somehow a normalization of prices, which now stabilize in the area of EUR 800 per cubic meter. That is what the spot prices has, have been over the last days, and we assume this positive trend to be continued. On the next page, we have a look into the feedstock markets. That is page number nine.

We can start also with the graph, because it gives a good impression what is currently ongoing. So if we start with the grain harvest in the EU, we still see that the EU continues year by year to be overproducer. That means producing more than domestic use. This is then positive for the bioethanol industry, taking part of this surplus production. And when it comes to the prices, that's the overall above graph on the right-hand side. You can also see that when it comes to grain prices, there's also somehow a normalizations in the levels of, let's say, above 230, but clearly below the two prior financial years before. And also when it comes on the right-hand side, we have seen the European harvest, but the same is true for the global harvest expectations.

There are very positive harvest expectations internationally, too. On the next page, we have a look into the energy markets, too. We see here also a normalization. We need, for example, we have here the gas prices for Netherlands and the U.K.. We see clearly that gas prices have come down to the levels that we have seen in, on average in financial year 2021-2022, and a much lower volatility. So also here on the energy markets, we see somehow a normalization, but nevertheless, volatility is always to be expected. We cannot exclude distortions from the Ukraine war ongoing and now the new attacks of Hezbollah on Israel.

When it comes to the crude oil price, lately, they also have been on a quite high, high level, and on average, or last days, it was in the area of $88 per barrel. This having said, given an overview on our markets, let's have a look into our financials. I would like to start with an overview of second quarter 2023-2024. You will find that on page 12. At first sight, you can see clearly that both on production revenues and operating profit figures, it's a significant reduction compared to prior years' calendar two.

But as I said at the beginning of this presentation, it is in line with expectation, and that's for this reason that we always, already in July this year announced that Q2 will come out much weaker than the prior year's quarter two. On the next slide, we see some more more details. We can start with the production on page 13. If we look into Q2 production, which amounted to 243,000 cubic meters, that was pretty in line with the last four quarters, but clearly below prior years' Q2. And when it comes to the outlook for the full financial year, we assume that production in total for the second half of the year should be higher than the production in the first half of the year.

When it comes to operating profit, you see a sharp decline to EUR 20 million in the second quarter, compared to EUR 93 million in the second quarter before. There are two main effects for explaining this delta of 70 or over EUR 70 million. It's the volume effect of lower production and lower sales, but the more significant effect is the ethanol pricing. This explains the major part of this reduction, this reduced ethanol prices, which I just disclosed at the beginning of the presentation when we looked into the markets. As you know me, I'm always looking on the positive side of things.

If we look at the graph on the bottom right-hand side, you can see that the second quarter was stronger than Q1 this year and stronger than Q4 last year. There's a positive trend on the quarterly results, and we assume this positive trend to be continued. Coming from the second quarter isolated to the first half of this financial year, 2023-2024, you will find this on page 14, and, in a whole, the effects that I just described, they are true for the second quarter and also for the first half year. In particular, if we here look at the delta for production and operating profit, which you can see on page 15, the main effect for this decreased operating profit, with three elements.

So one is also like in Q2, isolated, a volume effect of lower production, lower sales, which explains a big part of this reduction. But also here, the main explanation for this reduction is the ethanol pricing. This explains the major part of this reduction, and for the first half year as a whole, we also have an impact from higher raw material prices, thus impacting also negatively operating profit development half year 2023, 2024, compared to prior years' half-year results. On page 15, we continue to look over half year's results below operating profit. So we start with an operating profit of EUR 34 million, and you can see that we have an increase in the financial result positively, which slightly increased.

This is linked to the... n ow positive interest rate surroundings, and we have positive income on our net financial assets position. When it comes to taxes, they came out at roughly EUR 10 million for the first six months, and thus net earnings for the period we ended after six months of EUR 27.5 million net earnings. This corresponds to earnings per share at EUR 0.31, compared to EUR 1.56 in prior year's period. On page sixteen, we have a look into cash flow. You can see from the table that cash flow follows the operating profit development, so there's a sharp decrease in cash flow coming in. On top, we have, in the first six months, an increase in working capital, thus leading to a net cash from operating activities at EUR 34 million.

You can see that a big part of it goes into investments and property, plant and equipment. This is particularly our ethyl acetate plant, close to Zeitz, which is on time and on budget. So this is progressing well, and here, the major part goes in. For the full financial year, our assumption for CapEx is roughly EUR 80 million, and also here, a big part goes into the ethyl acetate plant. After financing activities, we came out then at net financial assets position of EUR 273 million, which you can find at the bottom of the graph, and also on the right-hand side of the graph. Let me then come to on page 17 to the outlook for this financial year, 2023-2024, after the first six months.

We confirmed our outlook in our quarterly and half year report, and we do this today. So we still assume this unchanged revenues to be between EUR 1.27 million-EUR 1.37 million. EBITDA in a range of EUR 140 million-EUR 190 million, and operating profit to range between EUR 95 million-EUR 145 million. So the midpoint for operating profit is EUR 120 million. And as you can see with our half year's result, there's still a way to go to reach this midpoint for the full financial year. But we are optimistic to reach that midpoint. What are the assumptions behind our forecast for this financial year? So we will gradually decrease volatility on the sales, raw material, and energy markets.

As I stated in the market section, we see a positive impact of the introduction of E10 in further European countries, and this will be met by continued high import volumes. And that means the key element for reaching our midpoint guidance is on the ethanol price. So that's the key denominator for our outlook. And if you look at spot prices of ethanol, recently, we have seen spot prices above EUR 800 per cubic meter. And this is also the average on October so far. And if you look into the forward curve, this is interesting, and I know you do that, too. This is clearly lower.

So the forward curve for November is roughly EUR 780, and then the forward continue in this backwardation to go down to roughly EUR 700 in February of 2024. And we have not included this forward curve in our current forecast. So we have a more optimistic view on the ethanol markets, and that's also the ethanol pricing, and we have a more optimistic ethanol pricing as a guiding for our outlook, and this is the underlying. What are the reasons why we believe in higher ethanol prices as could be seen by this forward curve? So all in all, we see good ethanol price levels worldwide. So the difference between the European markets and the traditional markets is not so strong as it has been in prior years periods.

We also see a solid demand for ethanol in this current year, so positively, the E10 introductions have been successful, so there we see a positive trend from there, as I said, and also for Poland, which is to come in 2024. So we see a positive demand pattern for ethanol when it comes to the blending mandates, and we also see a positive demand pattern when it comes to mobility as such. Even though Germany might be in a recession, I think the numbers have been published today foreseeing a recession for Germany at 0.4%. Even if there's a recession, we do not see that mobility will heavily decrease due to recession, and this is confirmed so far by the BAFA data for Germany.

So latest data is for July, and here we can see, year- to- date, July, that gasoline is still up, compared to prior years, by, by roughly 3%, and ethanol is also up compared to prior years by 2.3%, for example, in Germany. And we also see that the fourth argument why we will believe in higher ethanol prices, we see a high Brent price. And even though we know there is not a perfect correlation between Brent prices and ethanol prices, the high Brent price should be nevertheless supportive for higher ethanol prices. So nevertheless, as a B model, we have to, closely monitor this.

There can always be volatility, again, increasing due to Ukraine and to the developments in Israel, and we will follow up this closely. Last but not least, before we come to the Q&A section, I would like to give you an overview on what is new on the strategy execution on CropEnergies side. What is not new is our overall strategy, which we have worked out and also explained over the last quarter. So we continue on all of the five bullet points, which you see on the left-hand side. And our current priorities, where we put currently our efforts in is, for example, on E20. We believe that E20 is the best fuel grade for Europe, which should be rolled out in the years to come.

What we will do here in Mannheim next week, we will inaugurate the first public gas station offering E20. So this will be a closed fleet test for the Suzuki cars, which can be then in this, in this closed fleet test, could be filled with with E20. And when we come next time together in Q3, we are happy to give you first informations on that and how it rolls out. But the inauguration of this gas station will take place here in Mannheim next, next week. The second point where we put our current priorities on is the second generation ethanol, with a special focus for waste and residues. Here we are working on a, a concrete or precise project, and we hope to close this project in Q4.

The third part, where we put all our current priorities on, is the proteins. It's very important always to reiterate that Europe as a whole has a protein deficit for plant-based proteins, so this is very interesting markets. In the next page, I will give you an overview on our EnPro project, where we announced in July this year the outline of this project. We also focus our current priorities on biochemicals, so the ethyl acetate plant is progressing well in time and in budget. Focus topic for today is EnPro, our protein concentrate, which you find on page 19. That is our last slide before we go into the Q&A section. We have announced in July that CropEnergies is to invest roughly EUR 100 million in our Ensus plant in the U.K.

75 of this 100 million goes into the EnPro project, and EUR 25 million is going into increasing further the plant when it comes to energy savings and plant reliability. The special focus today is the EnPro project. We aim to produce here a high protein product, which is aimed at the U.K. and European aquafeed and pet food markets. What is interesting about this product, it has a protein content of 55%-60%, so this is very high, and it is GMO-free and sustainable, so a high, very high consumer value. The capacity of this production shall be roughly 60,000 tons.

In this context, it is worth explaining that this is not an additional capacity, because with a given production and then with a given raw material mix taken in, the tons of proteins are pre-defined. But what we do with this project, we bring this protein products to a higher concentration, and this is what the high consumer needs or consumer added value is then for our customers. The total investment is approximately, as I said, EUR 75 million out of this EUR 100 million. All in all, this is a diversification of the overall product portfolio, and we will benefit from the positive developments in aquafeed in Europe. When it comes to timing, we started with the project, we announced it, and commissioning is scheduled for 2025.

Thank you very much so far. That was our presentation on Q2 this time. Now, Heike and myself, we are happy to take your questions.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we will begin the question- and- answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. To withdraw your question, you may press star followed by two. Your questions will be answered in the order they are received. If you are using speaker equipment today, please lift the handset before making your selections. Anyone who has a question may press star followed by one at this time. Our first question comes from Moers Hartmut from Matelan. Please go ahead, sir.

Hartmut Moers
Senior Analyst, Matelan Research

Yes, good morning. I'd like to follow up on a couple of statements you already made. So the first one would be with regard to production. You told us in the first quarter that you had some maintenance to do, and you indicated for the second quarter that there still is some work in terms of maintenance that would lead to a lower than usual production. So you indicated already that there would be higher production in the second half of the year. Can we take from that that all maintenance work is now over and that we are looking back at a normal production level, so that we arrive at the full year at something north of 1 million cubic meters in production?

Is that still a valid assumption?

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Okay. Shall we go question by question? Yeah, maybe that's easier.

Hartmut Moers
Senior Analyst, Matelan Research

Yeah.

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah, I can confirm. Our outlook for this year is as the scheduled maintaining is done in the first half year, so we await a higher production in the second half of the year. So we will be roughly around 1 million cubic meters production. We are not sure whether we can meet last year's figures, so there can be, compared to last year, there could be a reduction in production, but what we are aiming for is to have a higher production in H2 compared to H1.

Hartmut Moers
Senior Analyst, Matelan Research

Okay, that's fair. Thank you. The second is with regard to the explanation you made with regard to your guidance. I mean, you said correctly, you're at EUR 34 million in operating profit now, midterm midpoint of the guidance, EUR 120 million, so there is still some way to go. And, I fully understand and appreciate the explanations you made with regard to your ethanol price assumption. But can we take from that, that 800 is something of a decent level, where the midpoint of your guidance is, let's say, well, within reach, there's always some, you know, a couple of percent plus or minus, but 800 is roughly the level that you need to reach the midpoint of your guidance.

If we fell below that, even though that might be not very likely, but if we did, then we would consider to fall below the midpoint of the guidance. Is that a way to see it or-

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah, that's a fair assumption. And then, I mean, I indicated our reasoning why we believe in stronger ethanol price. But it's also true, if you look into the graph again on page eight, you can clearly see that the prices have been around EUR 800 over the last weeks. And we deem, if there's no unforeseen circumstances, this should be somehow like a market equilibrium. So we believe prices to be roughly around EUR 800+.

Hartmut Moers
Senior Analyst, Matelan Research

Yeah. We also seen in the past that the liquidation curve has always, you know, shifted sideways.

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah, push, push, push sideways. Yeah.

Hartmut Moers
Senior Analyst, Matelan Research

Yeah. There are a couple of reasons for that to be true. For us, just as an indication, 800 is a level where the 120 is, well, the figure that should come out. If we are below that, we are probably moving towards the upper end of the guidance, and if we fall below 800, we are probably moving towards the lower end. That's, that's—

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah, yeah. I cannot be that precise, but it's a fair assumption.

Hartmut Moers
Senior Analyst, Matelan Research

Okay. Thank you. The third one would be on ethylene. I've probably might have missed it, if you mentioned it, but I haven't noticed it. I mean, you're at the end of the feasibility study, and-

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah.

Hartmut Moers
Senior Analyst, Matelan Research

You had foreseen, or are the results of this feasibility study as far as they are there right now at a level where you think it is likely that you go a step further, or are you insecure in that respect?

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Thanks for asking this question. I said, when it comes to our current priorities, it's bio-based chemicals, but I just talked about ethyl acetate. You're completely right. Ethylene is the same. That's part of our top priorities in the section of bio-based chemicals. So the teams of Syclus and CropEnergies work with high dedication on doing the engineering and looking into the models with all the components that it has. So we have chosen the technology provider. Based on this, we can have more precise numbers when it comes to the CapEx. We work with high utilization, all the commercial aspects.

That means, customer talks when it comes to pricing, logistics, raw materials, take in, and everything to make this project bringing to an investment decision. This progresses very well, and we are full on track to have all the data available to base a sound investment decision upon by the end of this year. We are still in the phase of collecting all the numbers as of today. It would be too early to say we are in the phase with high dedication, bringing together all the numbers, all the assumptions into our business model, and then we can, based on that, we can... We will be able to take an investment decision late this year.

Hartmut Moers
Senior Analyst, Matelan Research

Great, thank you. The last one is just understanding from my side. You said CapEx year end will be around EUR 80 million, so there is-

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah.

Hartmut Moers
Senior Analyst, Matelan Research

EUR 60 roughly to come in the second half of the year. How much of that, very, very roughly is dedicated to the new projects, so in particular, ETAC?

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

So, first, it is EUR 80 million, the total number what we foresee for this year. And ethyl acetate shall be the biggest part, it should be in the area of the 30s.

Hartmut Moers
Senior Analyst, Matelan Research

30. Okay. Thank you. Thank you very much.

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Welcome.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Axel Herlinghaus from DZ Bank. Please go ahead, sir.

Axel Herlinghaus
Equity Analyst, DZ Bank

Yes, good morning to all. Thanks for taking my question. I have just two that have been left over. The first would be to wheat prices. So are MATIF wheat quotes in the second half of the year a good indicator of grain input costs, given the precipitation-related interim high supply of wheat, and taking into account your hedging time lag? Or should one apply a noticeable discount to MATIF quotations in modeling your wheat costs?

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah, if you look to the feedstock markets, where there was on page nine, we see that the grain prices next expiry date were roughly 230. I think what we generally see is a pressure on, on, on, on grain, grain prices as such, yeah, because there's a very good harvest... on the one side, and on the other side, there's also push from, also from Ukrainian producers. I think given the high production overall, we have the assumption that grain prices will continue to be discounted when it comes to the MATIF quotations. When it comes to the actual then grain intake prices, they are-- they can always be given on the different locations that we have.

There can be premiums or discounts on these MATIF quotations for the different locations. That is, this has to do with availability close to the site and logistics. And what we see right now, positively speaking, there's even a discount on the MATIF quotations. So we believe to have raw material prices below MATIF quotations, but on the other side, we already have, as we typically have, a very high grain price hedging. That means the volatility on the grain prices does not have such an important effect on our guidance as the ethanol price does.

Axel Herlinghaus
Equity Analyst, DZ Bank

Okay, thank you for that. The second would be for ethyl acetate. So given that you're first along in your ethyl acetate effort under the overarching innovation from biomass strategy, could you give us an update on the discussions with your target customers regarding their intent to pay a renewable ethyl acetate premium? And, that, if that gives you the persuasion that you can reach your business goals in ethyl acetate?

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah. I mean, the customer feedback that we get so far is very positive, and everybody who is active in that field is interested in the product, but for sure, they are prior to launching or starting production, you won't get definitive figures with precise numbers, but the feedback is very positive. So we are confident to reach the premiums that we have in our planning.

Axel Herlinghaus
Equity Analyst, DZ Bank

Okay. And if I may, a third one to import competition, just a short one, how you see the situation around Pakistan, and perhaps why is Pakistan not paying exports to Europe?

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah.

Axel Herlinghaus
Equity Analyst, DZ Bank

In regard to Brazil and U.S., you have to pay duties.

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah, you're fully right. I mean, this is a point of concern for us, Pakistani imports. They do not pay imports. They have a preferential status called GSP +. And so the typically the countries like U.S. and Brazil, they have to pay duties, which is $102 per cubic meter for denatured ethanol and $192 for undenatured. Pakistani imports do not have to pay that because they have a preferential status, and this preferential status just had been re-prolonged for four more years. So we did lobbying against it because we deem Pakistani imports to be unfair competition. But the European Commission and the member states, they voted to prolong this preferential status for Pakistan.

There's still a threat from this side to be continued. Yeah, we will continue to see, unfortunately, high imports from Pakistan.

Axel Herlinghaus
Equity Analyst, DZ Bank

Okay, thanks. And just a quick one, perhaps, for the last. There is objective progress in E10 in Europe, possibly even in Brussels, in the next year. But are there actually early indications of an eventual E20 future for Europe? Because you mentioned that as your-

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah.

Axel Herlinghaus
Equity Analyst, DZ Bank

vision of the optimal-

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah

Axel Herlinghaus
Equity Analyst, DZ Bank

-fuel for Europe.

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Yeah. Yeah. I mean, we put a lot of emphasis on E20. The background of this is that ethanol as such comes in with 107 octane, so that means it's a high performance fuel or it makes a blend. The higher the ethanol component, it makes the octane number of the mixed fuel much better. So with E20, you can get to 98, 100 octane in a mix. On the other side, ethanol has a lower energy density than fossil gasoline, and so we believe the technical optimum is in the range between E20 and E25, and this is what we see, for example, in Brazil, where E27 is the standard fuel, and many other countries also, like India now goes to E20.

So we see an overall trend towards higher blending mandates in the ethanol markets and then typically reaching 20. There are also additional niche markets, like in France, where you have an E85 blend. But we believe that E20 would be really a very good blend for Europe when you combine then driving characteristics and CO2 savings. And there are different tests ongoing, which are very positive for E20 and also the Automotive Producers Association of Germany, VDA, has communicated that they say, for Europe, we need E20, else we won't be able to reach the CO2 savings for the existing car fleet. Yeah. And that's why we put also a lot of emphasis on that, but still, E20 is not a standardized fuel. So the standardization process is ongoing. There's progress.

There are several meetings a year from the standardization group. There's also, from my point of view, increasing support from the big mineral companies for this topic, but it's nevertheless a huge administrative burden. This could take another maybe 1-2 years, but then we should be able to have an E20 specification for Europe if all the players seen and I'm strong here at one role and work together. It's feasible, and we deem this really reasonable for Europe when it comes to really decarbonizing or defossilizing the existing car fleet.

Axel Herlinghaus
Equity Analyst, DZ Bank

Okay. Thank you very much for that.

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Welcome.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to raise a question, then you may press star and one. As there are no further questions at this time, I hand back over to Dr. Stephan Meeder for closing comments.

Stephan Meeder
CEO and CFO, CropEnergies

Okay. Then I do thank you very much all for your interest and, questions and participation in this conference call, and happy to talk to you soon, at the latest in our Q3 conference call, which is foreseen in... I have to look. Give me one second. Q3 is to come on 10th of January. So thank you very much, and, keep contacted. All the best for you. Thank you. Bye.

Powered by