Inderes Oyj (HEL:INDERES)
Finland flag Finland · Delayed Price · Currency is EUR
16.40
+0.05 (0.31%)
May 18, 2026, 4:18 PM EET
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Earnings Call: Q1 2025

Apr 28, 2025

Moderator

Welcome to today's call. We have the pleasure to present Inderes joined by CEO Mikael Rautanen. [The Q1] result is on the agenda. A bit, update also on the, the market, market and your business lines. I think you used the word, in a highly volatile market. I think that's a neutral word for, for in the stock market likes to put on it when we don't like it so much. I guess that's, of course, affecting business. As always, you can ask questions in the box down below, during the presentation. I will call on. I also wanna make the attention to that we have a partnership and Inderes owns 20% of HC Andersen. For now, I will hand the call over to you, Mikael.

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

Thank you, Michael, and welcome everyone on my behalf as well watching on the webcast or on the recording. January, March business review. Quarterly we do the shorter business review and every, the first half and the second half are the longer deep dive reports. A bit of a flavor on how the year started with Inderes. Like you said, I would say the volatile or unstable market is a good term to reflect the current market conditions, which is kind of like we earlier used the word uncertain. I think unstable is now a better word because it's fast changes in both directions. It's really, really hard to say where this is going.

We need to be on the pulse on what type of risk come with the market, but also on the opportunity side. I think that's one of the strengths of this company. Also in these conditions, the foundation we have, the recurring revenue business model, that's the strong foundation that gives us the predictability and visibility to the uncertain future.

That's one of the reasons why, again, in these conditions we were able to grow, not still growth, driven by the recurring revenue business and then the AGM business, which I would say is not recurring, but reoccurring because in that business, once you get into the clients and you deliver for those clients and they are happy, they will return year after year because AGM is luckily something you need to do every spring. Decent growth in the unstable conditions, profitability wise, slightly below last year. There's a bit of seasonality in the margins, given the timing of Easter, which affects the timing of when companies are having their AGM. The volume part and some of the margins this year compared with last year are a bit more weighted towards the second quarter.

That's something to take into account. Disappointment in the quarter, I would say, was events business in Sweden. Otherwise, in Finland, we did really well, given the conditions, very strong performance, very happy clients. However, Sweden events business was the negative part of this report. Our revenue decreased in Sweden, and that's something we are addressing or have been addressing already, quite a while. That's part of our work to find the right go-to-market model for taking Inderes into the international markets. I would say in full transparency, turning this company into an international company is a learning journey. We've been on that now for 2+ years.

We have learned a lot and now we have a better understanding of what we need to do to find the go-to-market model for the Inderes business, into new countries. That is something no one has ever done. We need to kind of like find the recipe through trial and error ourselves. That is it. We've been making some changes into how we organize, and in the event side also we're making changes on how we deliver the productions for the clients. Quite a lot of changes going on in the organization to find the right go-to-market model for each of our businesses, research, events, and the software business. Going to these business lines. If we look at research business, the number of research contracts decreased to 141 from 145 last year.

At the same time, the revenue in this business grew because of higher average prices in the contract portfolio and the sales of complementary services. Why we declined in the contract base was because of two reasons. One is de-listings. The amount of companies coming into the stock market versus going out is something that is affecting our market. In full transparency, in Sweden, we have lost some clients that have been dissatisfied with the independent approach of our equity research. Obviously, Inderes equity research is not something that is good for your company if you are looking for marketing or promoting of your stock only because it has also the critical side of it in it.

On the Inderes platform, it's been fairly stable, in terms of reach and number of active community members in the beginning of the year. Slight increases from Q4 numbers, and that's going fine. On the events business, here I would like to highlight a really strong performance in Finland. We've been strengthening our position, especially in the big clients as a trusted partner for their investor relations event productions, for their AGMs, and also other online and hybrid event productions. That really comes from the extremely strong and good feedback that we get from our customers all the time. We've been playing this really long term, and that is now reflected in the performance in Finland. On the Sweden side, as I mentioned, sales decreased.

Finland was able to kind of like offset that effect. That is something that we are disappointed with. We are going through some changes in the Sweden events business, adopting a new delivery model where we will improve the quality, efficiency, and scalability of the production. It is a two-sided thing. There is the volume part of this business, so quarterly audio casts, which is kind of like a high volume product that we need to take more into an automated software-based delivery. On the other side, we need to increase the production value of the event production, something we have been really successful in Finland.

Going into a higher production value, events, more demanding and more complex productions like AGMs, capital market stays, and also large gap, large gap and blue- chip, quarterly, quarterly productions where the customers are demanding, are kind of like more demanding. Software business, overall good momentum continuing. This is the smallest business of Inderes. It's the newest business. Thereafter, after a long period of significant R&D investments and building the product portfolio, now we're shifting more and more to the commercial phase, very strongly in Finland and then also preparing all the time for international go-to-markets. Overall good momentum continuing. There we have the AGM products. That's mainly Finland-based revenue season for this spring going really well, in line with our expectations in the investor relation software.

We're still growing the number of customers, getting some really good logos to the customer portfolio, both in Finland, also some with Denmark, with AGA, and also in Sweden. [Videosync] platform, there last year, at the end of last year, we announced a significant deal with a European player on this front and ramp up of that partnership is now supporting growth. It's still fairly early stage with the integration or how fast the client is taking our platform to the usage. As they progress, that will also support our growth in this front. That's also going as planned, I would say. Going to the quarterly numbers and outlook.

If we look at the income statement, in the business review, we report the income statements from revenue to EBIT. Here, 6% growth. International revenue was, in terms of euros, fairly flat. There, like Sweden business declined, but the growth in other international business was able to offset that. Recurring revenue up by 5%, project revenue up by 7%, mainly driven by the larger AGM productions that we had. The large AGM productions is something that is also affecting the materials and services cost line in the income statements because the bigger productions come with a, usually with a bit of lower margins. EBITDA around 9% compared with 11% last year. Excluding some non-recurring items related to the changes in operating model, we're going through, not significant items, but excluding those 10%.

The guidance is unchanged. Still expecting to grow from last year and improving profitability, excluding non-recurring items. Minor change in the background of the guidance. Previously we were slightly optimistic that, especially given the IPO pipeline, we would say the market was expected to remain stable or grow slightly in 2025. Now we have taken that to an expectation that the market is not expected to grow in 2025. This is because of the market uncertainty. Recently we've seen quite a good pipeline in the IPOs, but probably those projects once again are going to be postponed, unless the market starts to suddenly pick up again. That is mainly related to the IPO activity.

So far what is good is that despite the, the, turbulent times in the, we're at least not yet or not right now seeing that customers would be, would be kind of like pulling the handbrake and, and looking aggressively for, for cost savings. So, it's mainly related to the, to the IPO part, how much company is coming into the stock market and how much is going out. So that's for the, for the, first quarter update. Any, any questions at this stage, Michael?

Moderator

No, there was, well, it was only due to lower IPO activity, that there were changing there. And, and that, that I think you answered, quite, quite, quite well. So that is the primarily, reason for you changing the wording in, in, in, in, in your guidance.

Can you talk a little bit how far, how far have you came of, of this IPO and then being pulled? I don't know whether, how much you can elaborate.

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

There's like, like there's the part of the IPO market that, that kind of like we know and is that where we are involved in the project. Then there's kind of like unknown projects that other advisors, which is also relevant for us because they, when they come to the stock market. In terms of the projects where we were involved, it's really much, a lot of companies that are prepared to IPO, I mean, waiting for more stable market conditions. They haven't kind of like pressed the button to actually start the projects.

In Finland we had two IPOs early this year that were successful. That is after two years of silence. That was a good sign. I think now many of those companies that would have been following them are a bit on the wait-and-see mode. Things can change very quickly because we know for sure that there is quite a lot of pipeline in the market, at least especially in Finland and in Sweden. We already started to see last year quite a good amount of activity.

Moderator

What about de-listing? Do you think you're over the hump or are you still seeing something from the de-listing side, you know, companies being acquired, talking about de-listings? How does that look in Finland?

I know you don't know the unknowns, but you must have a feel for it.

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

Yeah. So far, like the last around six months, we were expecting de-listings, but there hasn't been, I don't know if there's been any. That's been surprisingly quiet. I think we should expect, given the fairly low valuations in the public market, I know that there must be also investors and companies looking for the option of going back private. That's something kind of like that we should also expect to happen. Like long term, it's part of the stock market evolution that you have companies coming in and coming out.

For now, at least in Finland, it's been, it's been surprisingly, and in a positive way, surprisingly quiet on the de-listing or acquisition front.

Moderator

There was a question about the Sweden business. Will you focus more on the event business now than the research part? Or is that to be determined? Should we wait on the capital market day to hear more about maybe where your focus will be in the Sweden business going forward?

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

We will absolutely focus on growing each of the three business lines. So research, yes. Events, yes. And also software.

The change that we are doing is that each of these business, we will build their own go-to-market strategy because these are very different businesses, very different business models, they require very different go-to-market strategies when going to a new country. They are in different development stages. We are kind of like pivoting the go-to-market a bit because how we started this was kind of like going to a new country with the full Inderes offering. And obviously, that strategy has not worked as we expected. We are now finding the spearheads with which we go to new countries. Sweden being one of the countries we look in the strategy.

Moderator

What about the software side?

I guess that's a need to have and always a nice, nice spearhead in. I don't know whether I'm jumping to conclusion or something like that, but is that, could that be a way in, you know, starting with the need to have and then making yourself well-known and, yeah, using the advantage that probably software is more scalable and more globalized, you might say, go-to-market.

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

Yes, yes. The software part is absolutely, absolutely one of the spearheads in our strategy.

If I jump to this slide, here we can see the software business still relatively small, part of Inderes, but growing. Growing the third pillar of our business from the software part is absolutely something where I would say we do have interesting value creation opportunities from a shareholder perspective. Of course, at the same time, building a bundle of the software, events, research, all linked to the Inderes platform and the ecosystem, which gives you the distribution power towards the investors. There's also really, really strong synergies between all of these businesses. That's it. The software business is something that we have built basically from scratch over the last four years, and now it's coming together.

We're finding the product market fit, and seeing really good traction in Finland, some good openings outside Finland. Obviously that's something where we need to push for more growth.

Moderator

I don't know if we discussed it before also on these events. What could you do to gain the, you might say, the footing in Sweden or something like that? Are you looking at acquisitions, you know, or is there simply not something that fits into your model in Sweden besides what Financial Hearing you already bought, you already acquired?

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

In terms of acquisitions in our business, kind of like the challenge is that there's not, you know, at the same time, it's a positive thing that there's not much to buy.

Because we are focused in the very small niche of investor relations, and there is not much investor relations focused, purely investor relations focused player out there in the market. For most of the competition, investor relations is not their core business. It is a side business that they are doing or they are more or less generalist. They are generalist event agencies, generalist communications agencies that are doing investor relations, while our core business is investor relations. There is not that much to buy in the market if we look at the, but of course, acquisitions is something we have used in history and also something we have in our toolbox if the opportunities would come.

Moderator

It is not a big part of your strategy.

If I should listen to between the lines, your strategy update.

Yeah.

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

Building a leading Nordic investor relations events player, that's one of the end games that we're building up. I could say that we already are. Denmark AGA events, which is kind of like part of the Inderes ecosystem. The IR events we produce in Finland, the IR events we produce in Sweden, handful also in Norway. We're kind of like already in this fairly small niche, by far the leading player.

We still have a lot of way to build a truly Nordic, really strong player in this field, leveraging from the shared technology platform, from the shared distribution network towards the investor, and also building up really strong competencies by building a product that is really tailored for the needs of the investor relations professionals, having that data and analytics also feeding into the investor relations software. There are a lot of things we can do in this front going forward that I'm actually really, really excited about. We really need to invest and build these competitive advantages because in this business, we always need to remember that the competition is a free option. You can also run your IR events on Teams or Zoom.

We really need to build up such a distribution, such analytics, and such related features and service that the clients do not opt for the free option. That is something we have demonstrated quite well. Sometimes we might have a client switching to Teams and then quite soon coming back because it did not serve the investor, the end audience, at the end of the day.

Moderator

Yeah. You talked about it. You do not see any changes to come to competition. That is not what you are seeing and clearly not in Finland if we look at the numbers. Anywhere else, you do not see big changes to the competitive side or what we should call it. Should I understand you have been facing?

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

Yeah.

Same as always. There's always competition. Some of it is price-driven. Some of it is the kind of like free options. But on the events part, no, not significant.

Moderator

Perfect. That was the questions I had on my mind. If you want to do some closing remarks or end of the presentation, then you're very welcome to do it, Mikael.

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

Yeah. Maybe I'll just shift over, one slide back to zoom out to the 10-year perspective on where we stand. Interest where we started from, from building very locally the equity research business and the platform around that business, scaling that up and then still remaining a local company, expanding the product portfolio to cover the investor relations events, AGMs, and investor relations software.

Kind of like covering the end to end of running your investor relations operations linked to the Inderes platform through which the listed company can reach the relevant target audiences for the IR. That package has been super strong, creating a lot of value for the investors and the investor relations of the companies. With that expansion, we grew really fast. The challenge with being a Finnish company, building a local business in Finland, is that this is such a small market. We were outgrowing from Finland, and soon we decided that now we need to go geographical if we still want to grow. Yes, we want to grow. We want to challenge ourselves.

We want to become better in what we do. End of 2021, we IPOed, raised some capital, and then started to work to take this company outside, take this company into an international company. The past two years have been the first years in building the foundation for international growth, and really about finding the recipe for the go-to-market of these businesses. I don't know. I mean, I think it's exciting to build new things from scratch. That's what we get excited about. Obviously there is a lot of international opportunities in this market. Investor relations needs innovation. It's a rarely conservative industry. There's a lot of room for innovation on the investor perspective. Is information democratized?

Does all investors have equal access to high-quality investing information, high-quality equity research? No, there's so much work to be done in this market. That's why we are on that journey with these three core businesses being our spearheads in the international growth. For part of the company renewal, we have a new international board member joining in, Hanna Raftell, bringing global expertise from the financial sector to the board, and the new Chair of the Board, Joakim Frimodig, also starting after the last AGM. Yeah, very interest-specific thing. We also involve our investor community to the governance of this company, which is something that's really, really cool.

The community itself selected Teemu Hinkula as the community representative for the nomination committee for the next term. We really are a community-driven company. We also involve our beloved community in the governance and decision-making of this company at these levels. That is very cool. Really looking forward to working with Teemu also. Please save the date, 27th of May, our capital markets day. There we will present the update for the international strategy. Long-term targets unchanged. Revenue growth, profitability combination 30-50, and payout annually increasing absolute payout, including dividends and share buybacks. Yeah, the first installment of the dividend was just quite recently paid out.

The second installment is going to be paid in the second part of the year.

Perfect. Here we go. All right. Any questions?

Moderator

Yeah. Actually, if we go one slide back and it might dig a little bit. Sorry. Yeah. The targets, if you should look at it, you know, you're now going into a phase where you need more trial and error to find the right model that might dampen growth because Finland, of course, is, you can grow the software business, but in a couple of years that will be big. And if it keeps growing like that, it will add on. But is it more on the margin side?

We should look at this over the coming years, maybe that this model where revenue plus the margins should give you 30%-50% as a target. Is it more on the margin side if we go ahead? I don't know whether you want to answer that or how you think about this model going maybe the next three, four years, where are the 30%-50% coming from?

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

Let's put it this way. I'm more dissatisfied with the level of growth we have right now. I mean, this has been a growth company from the very beginning. Yeah, and growing single digit is not something that is in the DNA of this company. Now, of course, we're growing single digit as we speak because of various reasons.

Some you can look outside and many things you also need to look in the mirror. Really getting into a growth track, I think, is something where we need to step up the game on all businesses. If you think about Inderes value creation, it needs to come from international growth. Yeah. It's really hard for any of our businesses to grow their value if they stay local in Finland. Growth and primarily international growth is how we can grow our value sustainably long term, while keeping also good care of the financial discipline and keeping good care of the profitability. Of course, that's something, and cash flow, that's something that is also deep in our DNA.

Long term, absolutely, we want to be, and we need to be, we need to be a growth company. Within that, it's said that we also need to transform into an international company because Finland is just too small.

Moderator

Perfect. You would also have asked us in the old days as an analyst to try and get you out of you where your target margins are.

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

Yeah. And then we dance around the numbers.

Moderator

Perfect. It is still growing. It is in your DNA to have the black part of this, also to be a big part of this. I got the message. Thank you, Mikael, for taking us through your presentation, your company, and a little bit about the thoughts on your internationalization strategy.

Thank you for the audience listening.

Mikael Rautanen
CEO, Inderes

Thank you, Michael. See you next time.

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