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Earnings Call: Q1 2023

Apr 26, 2023

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Good morning and good evening, ladies and gentlemen. I'm Romil, the group's head of investor relations, and I will be the moderator for today's call. On behalf of ASMPT Limited, let me welcome all of you to the group's first quarter 2023 investor conference call. I would like to thank you for your interest and your continued support in the company. Please note that all participants will be on listen-only mode when the management is presenting. We will start the Q&A only after the management has gone through the entire presentation. We endeavor to answer all questions during the Q&A session, but due to time constraint, priority will be given to the covering analysts. Let me quickly go through the disclaimer. Please do note that during this conference call, there may be forward-looking statements with respect to the company's business and financial conditions.

Such forward-looking statements would involve known and unknown uncertainties and risks that would cause actual results, performance, and events to differ materially from those expressed or implied during this conference call. For your reference, the investor relations presentation related to our recent results can be downloaded from our website. On today's call, we have Mr. Robin Ng, the Group CEO, and Ms. Katie Xu, the Group CFO. Robin will begin with a brief discussion and group key highlights, and then Katie will provide details on the financial performance. This will be followed by an update on the guidance and outlook, and then we will open the floor for Q&A. Without further ado, let me hand the time over to Robin now.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Thank you, Rom. Good morning and good evening, everyone. It's a pleasure to have you all on our earnings conference call for the first quarter of 2023. Let me comment on some recent developments in the industry and the overall macro environment before I update about our performance for the first quarter. At the start of 2023, there was some optimism for recovery in the global economy and improvement in consumer sentiments. Escalating trade tensions and a persistent inflationary environment impacted consumer sentiment and resulted in a more cautious tone in the semiconductor industry overall. Navigating through the ongoing industry down cycle, I'm pleased to highlight that our diversified business model enabled ASMPT to deliver revenue above the midpoint of our guidance for the first quarter of 2023. I must emphasize again that our unique broad-based portfolio provides much-needed resilience and competitive advantage.

This was apparent during the quarter. While the SEMI segment was still impacted by the semiconductor down cycle, the SMT segment delivered its strongest ever first quarterly revenue performance. This first quarter of 2023 was also the third consecutive quarter in which SMT accounted for a higher proportion of our group's revenue. Looking at the end market applications that we serve, our communication, computers, and consumer end markets, or what we like to call the 3C markets, continue to be weak. The automotive end market remained robust and continued to be the highest contributor to the group's revenue for the first quarter of 2023.

Looking closer at silicon and electronic content per vehicle increased due to automotive electrification, our automotive solutions including sintering, laser reflow, and molding tools gain traction. Our strength in automotive was also powered by a range of solution servicing more EV players. I will now take you through today's presentation. Let me begin with our SMT business. The SMT segment had robust revenue and bookings. SMT bookings were about 58% of the group's booking for the first quarter of 2023. This was the fourth consecutive quarter where our SMT bookings were higher than our SEMI bookings. SMT bookings for the first quarter grew quarter-on-quarter, even though the overall market our SMT business plays in declined. We strongly believe that SMT has gained market share in the first quarter of 2023 and commands a leading position.

SMT's robust segment performance was also buoyed by ongoing strength in the automotive and the industrial end market applications. The latter driven by the need for smarter factories, greener infrastructure, EV charging, and the expansion of power and green grids. This slide highlights the progress of our advanced packaging solutions. I have mentioned this before, but let me iterate that our suite of solutions under advanced packaging are perhaps the most comprehensive in the industry and positions us well to meet varied demands across a wide spectrum of application areas. The bottom of the slide highlights the breadth of our AP solutions and their application areas. Last quarter, in my interactions with many of you, the trend concerning generative AI applications such as ChatGPT was a popular topic.

As the generative AI market grows, we believe that this trend will benefit the providers of GPU, CPU, FPGA, and high bandwidth memory, or HBM solutions to support the exponentially growing demands of AI applications for both computing and memory power. In this regard, we are well-placed to receive more orders for thermal compression bonding or TCB tools for HBM applications. Later, I will shed more light on the role TCB and hybrid bonding solutions are playing in the evolution of AI applications. There was more traction for TCB solution as we expanded our global outside customer base and delivered our first next generation TCB tool featuring green ultra fine pitch chip-to-wafer capabilities to a leading global foundry customer. We are on track to deliver hybrid bonding tools to leading customers for use in varied applications.

I'm pleased to highlight a breakthrough with a maiden customer order where our hybrid bonding tool will be used for 3D integration. Delivery to this customer is scheduled for next year. Let me now describe how the evolution of AI application is expected to create robust demand for our TCB and hybrid bonding tools going forward. The AI requirements for combining GPU, CPU, FPGA, and HBM in a very complex heterogeneous integration architecture is creating more interconnects between components on an AI package. For majority of these interconnects, TCB is presently the tool of choice as they effectively address the total cost of ownership challenges arising for such complex architectures. Let me be very clear that this picture is just one example of a high-end, high-performance computing device.

Different packages will enter different proportions of components handled between TCB and hybrid bonding. This will also depend on the evolving total cost of ownership and performance for each of these process over time. This package consists of six chiplets colored in green that utilize hybrid bonding to form a 3D integrated IC. There are four HBM stacked die colored red surrounding the six chiplets bonded using TCB, and each of these four HBM is made out of stack of 12 layers or more on memory dies also bonded using TCB. The four HBMs in the 3D integrated IC are in turn bonded onto a passive interposer colored gray using TCB to form a compound die. The resulting compound die is bonded onto a HDI substrate colored green at the bottom of the picture, also using TCB.

Other than the six chiplets that utilize hybrid bonding, all the other interconnects in this package are handled by TCB. This usage ratio will vary with different AI packages or HPC applications, but I trust you get a general idea. Overall, high-performance computing devices will generate a growing need for both TCB and hybrid bonding. ASMPT has both TCB and hybrid bonding solutions, we are confident about the combined growth potential for the group. Let me now hand over the time to Katie, our Group CFO, who will talk about group and segment performance.

Katie Xu
Group CFO and SVP, ASMPT

Thank you, Robin. Good morning and good evening, everyone. This slide shows our key financial metrics for the first quarter of 2023. Robin earlier mentioned that the macroeconomic environment and the industry conditions are far from rosy. Despite this challenging external environment, the group delivered a creditable performance in Q1. The group delivered some growth in bookings quarter-on-quarter for Q1 2023 from a low base in the previous quarter. Our backlog was $1.1 billion at the end of March. This reasonably high backlog provides some cushion for the group as we navigate through the ongoing industry down cycle. The group's net profit came in at HKD 315.1 million. This was up by 18.2% quarter-on-quarter as there was an unfavorable foreign exchange impact in the previous quarter.

Earnings per share for Q1 came in at HKD 0.77. This was an increase of 18.5% quarter-on-quarter. Let me take through some detailed financials in the next few slide. For the first quarter of 2023, the group's revenue was $500 million, higher than the midpoint of guidance of $490 million. This was a decline of 9.5% quarter-on-quarter as revenue for both SEMI and SMT segments declined, with SEMI's revenue declined higher due to the ongoing semiconductor down cycle. As I highlighted a bit earlier, group bookings grew at about $453 million, an increase of 13.8% quarter-on-quarter. Bookings growth was mainly supported by robust demand from the automotive end market.

The group registered gross margin of 40.4%, a decrease of 98 basis points quarter-on-quarter. The decline was mainly due to segment mix, as SMT delivered more than 60% of group revenue. In line with lower sales volume, the group's operating margin declined by 181 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 11.9%. The SEMI segment delivered revenue of about $197 million, which was a decline of 18.1% quarter-on-quarter. The IC/Discrete business unit registered decline in revenue sequentially as mainstream tools continue to experience weak demand. The highest revenue contributor to this business unit continued to be the automotive end market. The Optoelectronics business unit also recorded lower revenue sequentially as its revenue was mainly driven by high-end automotive, silicon photonics, and advanced displays applications.

The CIS business unit registered revenue growth quarter-on-quarter, but the revenue remained at a relatively low level due to ongoing weakness in the global smartphone market. From bookings perspective, SEMI recorded first quarter bookings of about $192 million, which was off of 33.6% from a low base in the previous quarter. Main contributors to the bookings were automotive end market and advanced packaging solutions. SEMI's gross margin was 45.1% in the first quarter, which was an increase of 66 basis points sequentially, mainly due to favorable products and ongoing cost control measures. Our SMT segment continued strong revenue performance and recorded its highest ever Q1 revenue. SMT contributed 60.7% of group's revenue for Q1, 2023.

It delivered a revenue of about $303 million, a marginal decline of 2.9% quarter-on-quarter. SMT's revenue performance was mainly powered by industrial and automotive end market applications, with demand coming mostly from Europe. Similar to the revenue drivers, SMT segment bookings were also driven mostly by automotive and industrial end markets for the first quarter. Bookings increased 2.6% quarter-on-quarter to about $261 million. In the first quarter, SMT contributed about 58% of group bookings. SMT's gross margin was 37.4% in Q1, which was a decline of 168 basis points quarter-on-quarter due to product mix. Let me pass the time back to Robin to cover Q2 revenue guidance.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Thank you, Katie. We have been monitoring the industry and macroeconomy environment closely. Persistently weak consumer sentiments, coupled with the ongoing inflationary pressures, have make it more challenging to form a clear picture of the timing and the pace of recovery for the industry. We are therefore cautious in our outlook against the backdrop of this present uncertain external environment. For the second quarter of 2023, the group expects revenue to be between $455 million-$525 million. At $490 million midpoint, this represents a decline of 26.2% year-over-year and 2% quarter-over-quarter. Let me conclude with a couple of points on a longer-term outlook for the group.

Over the longer term, we are optimistic of the group's growth potential, which is supported by the longer term structural trends of automotive electrification, smart factories, infrastructure, 5G, IoT, and high performance computer fueled by generative AI growth. This slide comprehensively sum up our unique broad-based portfolio, which not only provides the group competitive advantage, but also the needed resilience through the industry cycles. This unique broad-based portfolio was in play during the first quarter of 2023 that witnessed our SMT side delivering a stronger performance than SEMI. On that note, I will end the presentation. Thank you. We are now ready for Q&A. Let me pass to Rom to facilitate.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Thank you, Robin. For asking questions, please either use the raise hand function or type your questions in the chat to ASMPT Q&A. Please ask your questions one by one and limit them to two questions at each time. Thank you. With that, can I request Gokul to unmute yourself and ask your questions?

Gokul Hariharan
Co-Head of Asia Pacific Technology, Media, and TMT Research, JPMorgan

Yeah, hi, good morning, thanks for taking my question. Maybe my first question, I will focus on the more near-term dynamics. Robin, I think you mentioned things have become a little bit more conservative since the beginning of the year. Could you talk a little bit more in detail what you are hearing from your customers, and on different verticals? Especially on the automotive and industrial side, there have been some concerns recently, that demand has become a little bit weaker. Are you starting to see some of that when you look at the forward-looking bookings or backlog? Maybe you can also give us a little bit of color on what you are looking at the bookings for Semiconductor Solutions Segment into Q2.

Are we going to continue to see that sequential recovery that we saw in Q1?

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Hi. Hi, Gokul. Let me break down your questions into a couple of parts. The first part is more on the near-term outlook, especially whether the company is seeing any weakness in automotive and industrial side. Let me request Robin to update on this.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Thank you, Gokul, for your question. Maybe I talk about some kind of Q2 booking color, because we don't, as you know, we don't give guidance on booking, but only on revenue. Obviously, I think we are cautious for Q2 bookings due to the continued weak consumer sentiments as a result of the prevailing macro uncertainties. Based on this stance, you know, we think group bookings will come down, you know, QoQ by maybe between 10%-20% QoQ. On that note, we also expect SMT demand, you know, to decline after a few quarters of strong bookings.

As you can recall, if you look back, you know, SMT has been experiencing, I think about good nine, eight, nine quarters of bookings above $250 million. That's historically on high side. They will, you know, SMT booking will sort of normalize, you know, in the coming Q2. Now on this, a little bit more color on the SEMI side. SEMI bookings, as you can see on Q1, already grew quite a fair bit. I believe it's around 34% from a low base in Q4 2022. For Q2 2023, because of the, you know, cautious and, you know, consumer outlook, Q2 2023 for SEMI booking may, in our opinion, may remain kind of a flattish level, you know, compared to Q1.

Now onto your question about automotive. Yes, we do see on the SMT side, automotive demand will start to moderate. Again, because we have really few eight to nine quarters of a strong automotive and demand for the SMT already. This, we don't think this can continue, you know, forever, so it has to come down or normalize to a level that is comparable to historical. Yes, we do see automotive kind of normalizing. However, on the SEMI side, the picture is slightly different. I think one reason we can attribute to the difference between automotive on the SEMI and automotive on the SMT side is there's still a lot of innovations in terms of packaging, you know, devices on the SEMI side for automotive.

The SiC materials for example. This is a new material altogether compared to previous, right? There's a need, you know, for the industry to use different packaging solutions, you know, for such material. This is just one example. There's also many other I would call packaging evolution in terms of how we want to make the automotive power devices more efficient. That requires a lot of new technology in terms of packaging. From that perspective, I think it plays into strength of ASMPT on the SEMI side, because we definitely have the bandwidth, the capabilities, you know, to develop new solutions for the semiconductor automotive side.

I think in short, we do still see some leg room in terms of automotive demand on the SEMI side for that reason. A lot of this automotive demand on the SEMI side, they are capability buys, you know? For automotive, these capability buys will, you know, will go on for a number of years before they turn into high volume. From that perspective, we think there's still some leg room to go on the SEMI side. On the SMT side, we do see some normalization in terms of automotive demand.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Gokul, you have a follow-up question?

Gokul Hariharan
Co-Head of Asia Pacific Technology, Media, and TMT Research, JPMorgan

Yes, thank you. I think that was very clear. Maybe if I move a little bit to the more longer-term areas. Thanks for the update on TCB and hybrid bonding progress. Is there any way you could give us some degree of quantification, whether it is from third-party data, et cetera, in terms of how big these market sizes are? We have seen from some of the third-party search that TCB market is roughly about $1.2 billion-$1.3 billion. I think there are some of your competitors who are talking about hybrid bonding itself going to between $1 billion-$2 billion size in the next five to six years.

Just wanted to understand how much of a upside you have seen from your customers' orders, et cetera, for HBM and other products, especially with this push towards generative AI and more HPC solutions for both TCB and hybrid bonding. A small supplement is, are you seeing any of these getting deployed in the smartphone segment or these are mostly in HPC? Thank you.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Gokul, I think, two parts of your question. For the first one, the exact, say, addressable market or SAM for TCB and hybrid bonding, I'm sorry to say, unfortunately, we don't provide. In last quarter's earnings call, we did provide our AP's overall SAM from 2023 to 2027. Giving, sort of an outlook for TCB and hybrid bonding, I will request Robin to provide some more color on this. Second part of your question is whether some of these solutions are going towards the smartphones. For that also, I will request Robin to answer your question.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Thank you, Gokul, for your question. In terms of TCB and HB, Gokul, you saw this, the today's presentation, we wanna give a little bit of color on how we see the TCB and the hybrid bonding demand going forward. I think even without the generative AI application trend, we have been seeing, I think, going forward, advanced packaging, you know, will continue to grow in the industry. For reason that, you know, there's a lot of cost advantage and time to market, you know, for such solution.

With the advent of the generative AI application, I think this will, you know, this will add on top of the demand that we are already seeing in the advanced packaging area, you know, that we have articulated before. This is exciting for AI application because I, as I mentioned during my opening remark, AI application requires more complex packaging solutions. For that reason, we are confident that, you know, we have the technology bench strength, we have the bandwidth, you know, to cope with all these demanding, evolving technology, both on the TCB side as well as on the HB side.

I think in short, having these tools in our arsenal, you know, actually position us well, you know, to take advantage of this growing trend in terms of HPC. Hopefully this AI trend can turn into something big for the industry. I think this is what we are hoping for in the future. I hope I answered the first part of your question. On the smartphone side, I think at this moment I will say TCB and the TCB application or high-end, precision die bonding kind of application, so far we don't see smartphone application. Mostly, HPC application. I think because of the total cost of ownership consideration.

This device, these solutions are expensive solutions even for TCB, so the cost of ownership must make sense, you know, in order to employ such a solution. For that reason, we see TCB and HB more for HPC rather than a smartphone, at least, in the present time. Thank you.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Thanks, Robin. Next, can I request Leping to unmute yourself and ask your questions?

Leping Huang
Managing Director, Chief Technology Analyst, and Head of TMT Research, Huatai Securities

Yeah, thank you to take my questions. Can you hear me?

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Yes.

Leping Huang
Managing Director, Chief Technology Analyst, and Head of TMT Research, Huatai Securities

Oh, okay. The first question is about your, the second quarter booking trend. If I hear correctly, you expect the second quarter booking for SMT and SEMI work decline. Is it correct?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

No, we expect SMT to decline after a few quarters of high booking, but, for SEMI, we expect it to be kind of flattish for, QoQ.

Leping Huang
Managing Director, Chief Technology Analyst, and Head of TMT Research, Huatai Securities

Okay. I just for by the application, can you share some color, which type of application for the both side are declining and why? We see the first quarter booking recovery. Is it just because of the seasonal effect or what's the reason Q1 is recovering, but Q2 seems to be a little bit weak? Yeah. Thank you.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Leping, good question. Q1, because of a low base, right? If you look back to Q4, our SEMI booking was around $140-ish million, right? In Q1, it went up to about $190 million, thereabout. When you compare QoQ from that perspective, it will appear that, you know, there's a 34% increase, but we are coming from a low base. Because of the cautious environment, weak consumer sentiment, I think we all know, right? For SEMI, especially from the SEMI segment, the demand dynamics is that it has to be, it sort of correspond with the general economy, right?

If the general economy is not, it's just sluggish, consumer are not opening up a wallet, they're not spending, you know. Semiconductor will still be constrained in terms of demand. This is exactly what we are, you know, experiencing right now. That's why we want to be a bit, a little bit more cautious for Q2 in terms of color for booking on the SEMI side. We expect it to be kind of flattish. Now, in terms of what's driving this, I think the near-term dynamics is the same.

I think, for SEMI, I would say continue to be automotive, continue to be AP. However, on AP side, it tends to be lumpy, so quarter to quarter it may vary, but, you know, momentum-wise, I think automotive, AP will continue on the SEMI side. For SMT, we also continue to see automotive industrial being the driving force for SMT demand. I hope I answered your question, Robin.

Leping Huang
Managing Director, Chief Technology Analyst, and Head of TMT Research, Huatai Securities

Yeah. Thank you. The second question is, can you share some color about the difference between your order in different geographical regions? I remember last quarter you mentioned that you see quite strong demand in, for example, in Malaysia, Vietnam, or the Southeast Asia region. Do you see any difference this quarter between the region in terms of orders? Thank you.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

There is a small difference, I must say, which is somewhat a little bit positive, but don't be too excited. We see when we talk to our Chinese customer or we do China checking, the utilization of some of our Chinese customers are picking up. Okay, but it has not picked up to a level that excite us, you know. It's this sporadic interest, a little bit more inquiries, you know, about tools. You know, "If I want this tool, when can you deliver?" I mean, those are positive signs arising from the Chinese market. Positive, but sporadic. It does not signal a broad-based kind of recovery yet from the China side. That's what I can share with you. Something a little bit different from the previous quarter. Yeah.

Leping Huang
Managing Director, Chief Technology Analyst, and Head of TMT Research, Huatai Securities

Okay.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

See you.

Leping Huang
Managing Director, Chief Technology Analyst, and Head of TMT Research, Huatai Securities

Thank you very much.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Thanks, Robin. Next, can I request Nicolas to unmute yourself and ask your questions?

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Yes. Hi, good morning, everybody. You mentioned in the presentation an expansion in global OSAT customer base. Could you clarify or specify what this means?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Okay. Now I think, probably you guys who follow us for a long time, you know we have been saying, you know, we have a very dominant logic customer for TCB. Increasingly, you know, we see more interest for TCB coming from the OSAT, not just from the IDM or the foundry space, you know. Increasingly, we see OSAT, not just OSAT in one location, but it's, it's coming from a different region. All right? Having said that, Nicolas, is the demand coming from the OSAT is still small compared to IDM.

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Thank you. This is a TCB- specific—

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Yes.

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Comments. Okay.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Yes.

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Yes. Okay. Thank you very much. The bookings of the SEMI solution, the division is increasing a lot QoQ, right?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Sorry?

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Which—

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Sorry.

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

The bookings for SEMI solutions is increasing a lot QoQ, right?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Oh, Q1 . Yeah. Booking, right?

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Right. Yeah, exactly, right.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Q1 compared to Q4. Yes.

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Yes. Yes, right. Plus 30% QoQ, right?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Yes.

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Does this suggest that the revenue of SEMI solution increase in 2Q?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Let me put it that way. Although, as I said earlier, answering one of the earlier questions, right? Although QoQ SEMI booking has increased by 34%, that means Q4 to Q1. Let's not forget Q4 was a very low level, right? Looking at the SEMI bookings in Q1, you know, we registered about $192 million-ish, right?

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Yeah.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

If you look back historically, this is not a high level, right? It's not a high level at all. That's what we're trying to say is we are coming off from a low base from Q4.

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

I understand the low base. What I am wondering is if an increase in SEMI Solutions revenue into Q1 also implies that the operating margin could go up. You know, your SEMI division has a lot of fixed cost and R&D and so forth, right? In 1Q 2023, you reached a fairly low segment margin of 2.5%, and I'm wondering if that's the bottom.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Hard to call the bottom because, maybe Katie you want to take this?

Katie Xu
Group CFO and SVP, ASMPT

Yeah. On the margin, let me take a shot at it, Nicolas.

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Yep.

Katie Xu
Group CFO and SVP, ASMPT

What Robin said, hard to call the bottom. As you probably can tell, right, the group, in previous quarters has managed to deliver at margin at a fairly consistent level. It does demonstrate the group's ability to deliver steady performance in both up and a down cycle. However, you probably know the group margin really is, I think, from quarter-over-quarter may fluctuate due to volume, segment mix or product mix, right? In this downturn, relatively low volume and the SMT segment mix and also any potential increase of mainstream product, right, could be a headwind for us.

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Could be. Okay. My last question, sorry. The bookings for SMT. You know, $260 million, the book-to-bill is, you know, let's say 0.6x, 0.8x, 0.9x, right? In that range. Is this partially because order visibility or delivery time or, you know, lead time is a lot shorter for SMT than for SEMI Solutions?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Nicolas, not really, because we have a broad range of tools, so, cannot generalize. Honestly, cannot generalize. You are talking about mainstream SMT tools. Typically, you know, it's a quarter or slightly above a quarter, unless it's for a very advanced tool for advanced packaging, then the lead time will be longer. It's just a general guideline for you. Yeah.

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Okay, thank you.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

All right. Next, can I ask Gokul? You can unmute yourself and ask your questions.

Gokul Hariharan
Co-Head of Asia Pacific Technology, Media, and TMT Research, JPMorgan

Yeah. Hi. Thanks for taking my follow-ups. If we look at within Semiconductor Solutions, could you talk a little bit about how you're seeing both the imaging CIS- related and camera- related packaging tool? I think last time we did discuss that there is potentially some upgrade possibilities coming through. Could you talk a little bit about how that is progressing, since you did call out in the presentation that CIS still is a little bit weak? Secondly, I think for the slowdown that we are seeing in SMT, is it specific to any segment that we are seeing the slowdown, or is it broad-based?

Is it mainly auto and industrial that is seeing the slowdown in your SMT business in second half, or is it across the board? Thank you.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Thanks, Gokul. Your first question is more on CIS and the camera module side. Let me request Robin to give you a bit more color on that.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Yeah. On the CIS front, we do see some increase, again, very small, very low base kind of level. I think for the CIS mobile market, we were engaging, you know, key customers. I think we have a good base of key customers for our tools, for sure. We are engaging these customers for a lot of capability buys. This capability buy would probably turn into some kind of a high volume in time to come, maybe a year or two. It all also depends on the market dynamics at a point in time, whether there's a recovery in terms of the smartphone area.

At least, you know, we are, you know, they're using our solutions for future camera modules packaging. If the end market demands comes through, there is a good chance that, you know, our demand, the demand for our CIS tool, especially the active alignment, will also increase correspondingly. So there are two things here. One thing we are happy about is that we continue to engage key customers in their capability buy. We're providing them capability buy, so the volume is not high. Hopefully this can turn into a high volume, you know, in time to come. That's for CIS. On that front also, we are not just depending on CIS.

I think, on auto, on mobile, we have been saying that we are diversifying our CIS solutions into the automotive market as well. Hopefully in time to come, because of the increasing adoption of higher level ADAS solution, so more and more cameras are needed in cars. Going forward, I think this could also give us some demand for CIS automotive tools in time to come. That's on the CIS side.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Yeah. Let me repeat the second question. This is more on our guidance that SMT bookings will come down, and there's some slowdown on the SMT side. Is the slowdown more broad-based, or is it because of some particular industries and sectors? Robin will update on this.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Sure. I must say, let's look at things in perspective. For a good number of quarters already, what was driving our SMT demand was actually from the automotive and the industry end market. The other markets like consumer, smartphones, you know, and computers, right? They're already on at a low level. When we say we see automotive kind of moderating, you know, for the SMT, we are, you know, I think the other segment, the 3C, what we call it, already at a lower level. It's only the automotive that we think will moderate.

However, having said that, we are also very strong in the industrial side, so we don't see, we still see industrial has a, you know, the momentum is still there. For SMT, it's actually the automotive that we are seeing normalizing to a certain level compared to the previous period. Yeah.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Thanks, Robin.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Does that answer your question, Gokul?

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Gokul, you can unmute yourself.

Gokul Hariharan
Co-Head of Asia Pacific Technology, Media, and TMT Research, JPMorgan

Yeah, I think that's very clear. Maybe one last question. Robin, you have seen many cycles. You guys are in very constant touch with your customers, I think. How do you see this cycle panning out? Like we discussed earlier, you've seen a bit of improvement in Semiconductor Solutions bookings recently in Q1. Do you feel like we're kind of reaching that bottom in terms of the semiconductor cycle itself, and you start to see a little bit improvement in bookings as we look a little bit further out? What are the feedback you're getting in conversation to your OSAT as well as the IDM customers, especially from a Semiconductor Solutions perspective?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Yeah. Gokul, thanks. I think generally when we talk to our customers, in general, I think we sense our customer base is feeling a bit more cautious than before. Although some still are hopeful to see some sort of a recovery in the second half of 2023. We hope this can for customer base is right. I think for the semiconductor industry, in our opinion, is closely tied to the general economy. The economy has to pick up, and this will drive consumer spending and expenditure, and this will help to, you know, boost demand on the consumer end market, the communication end market, and also maybe even the computer end market. These three market, what we call the 3C market, were really weak for a number of quarters.

These three market are big markets compared to automotive and industrial. If these three markets don't recover, semiconductor can remain, you know, in a down cycle, you know, from that perspective. To be honest, Gokul, we can't see too far. You know, we are backend equipment makers. We are, you know, SMT. Our visibility, really, we have been saying quarter-over-quarter, you know, our visibility is, you know, is one quarter at best. You know, if you ask me in beyond that, we can't really give you any good answer. We also take reference, honestly, from industry experts as well, research experts, research houses. If you look at their, kind of their forecast, they—

In fact, most of them have revised, you know, their 2023 outlook for semiconductor, as a whole, the market as a whole. Even for the PE market or the semiconductor equipment market, you know, they have hope. They have also revised downwards. They are also taking a more cautious stance or position for 2023 versus 2022. We also have to take reference, you know, from all these research houses. I hope we give you a little bit of color on that, Gokul.

Gokul Hariharan
Co-Head of Asia Pacific Technology, Media, and TMT Research, JPMorgan

Yeah. That's, that's very clear. Thanks. Thanks, Robin. Thank you.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Hi. Let me read one question from the chat. This is for our CFO, Katie. Gross margin for the SEMI side improved slightly. The SEMI side registered decline in the segment margin and profit. Can Katie comment on that? Thank you.

Katie Xu
Group CFO and SVP, ASMPT

Thanks. So I think this is referring to the operating, the steadiness of the operating expenses for our business. As we have mentioned before, SMT is a technology-driven company, so we're very committed to the investment in R&D, irregardless of the cycle, especially for SEMI business. We've been investing and will continue to do so in the leading edge technologies like advanced packaging. That will continue on. At the same time also, we have some other strategic projects that are probably showing in the operating expenses, like upgrading of our ERP and HR systems, and we believe those investments will position us for a more protective company going forward. Having said that, if you look at our quarter-over-quarter OpEx, right, it is actually 7% down.

In this kind of environment, the company, just like in previous quarters, have engaged in various corporate initiatives and cost control measures and will continue to do so. Hope I answered the question.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Thanks, Katie. Next, can I request Nicolas to unmute yourself and ask your questions?

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

Yes, yes. To go back to Gokul's question in a way, in 2021, 2022, you had very large SEMI revenues, right? Declined a bit in 2022, but still, you know, HKD 10 billion. A really very, you know, big number for two years, big revenue numbers for 2021 and 2022. At the same time, there was, you know, a bottleneck or shortages in wire bonding with OSAT companies during those years. Do you think there is overcapacity of wire bonding now?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Yeah. Nicolas. Yes, if you look back, you know, obviously if you recall 2021 was a really, you know, a semiconductor peak ever, right? At that point, wire bond sales, you are right, were very robust. We had a best year in terms of wire bond sales. This is the dynamic of the industry, right? When we go to a high, you know, we will come down. You know, this is the typical cyclical pattern that we are seeing now. Obviously, in opinion, there is some truth behind the fact that there is still some overcapacity on the mainstream side, especially on the wire bond side.

That's why the wire bond demand over the last few quarters have been relatively low, you know, compared to history. You are right, you are right. However, having said that, I think in answering one of Gokul 's question earlier or someone else, I think Lep ing, right? We do see, having said that, we do see some sporadic interest, you know, from some of our customers inquiring about wire bond. I think that is a small positive sign. At least they're thinking of, you know, ordering some wire bond tools. We did see some increase, but nothing to shout about. The increase is still coming from a very low base, right? At least there's some sporadic interest about a wire bond in particular.

This is what we are seeing right now. Thank you. Okay.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Nicolas, do you have a follow-up question?

Nicolas Baratte
Head of Asia Technology Research, Macquarie

No, thank you.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

All right. Thanks. If anyone has any question, please use the Raise Hand function. We'll give it a minute to wait if there's any questions. Let me read one or two questions from the chat box. This question will be for Robin. Would you be able to comment more on the repeat order of HBM in TCB and the progress of your next generation TCB tools in terms of qualification?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Thank you, Rom. Yeah. In terms of HBM, yes, I think we highlighted in Q1 as well. We are pleased, we have won, you know, orders for our TCBs tools for HBM applications. In fact, this is as those who follow us closely, this is a breakthrough for us. We have been openly telling you, that, you know, ASMPT SEMI side has never been as strong on the memory side. With the advent of new technologies requiring advanced packaging solution, that play into our strength, that's why we are able to win this order for HBM application. We see the trend will continue. Don't ask me, you know, how big it's gonna be. It's anybody's guess.

With the recent interest in generative AI applications, we believe that HBM will be a key component, you know, for AI or for HPC packages that are more tuned to AI application. AI application, you need a lot of memory power. I think HBM will be a key to that kind of packages. We are pleased that, you know, we are already in HBM, so hopefully that demand will give us, will continue well into the future. You had a question?

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

There's one more question on the chat. This is more on hybrid bonding. Can Robin give a bit more color on the recent order? Is that a volume order?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Which one is it?

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

For hybrid bonding.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Hybrid bonding. No, I think we clearly stated, you know, it's our first order for hybrid bonding. I think in the last quarter we also did mention that, you know, we are developing the next generation of hybrid bonding tool that are more attuned, you know, to the evolving needs of our customer base in terms of accuracy, in terms of yield, in terms of cost consideration for hybrid bonding going forward. Hybrid bonding, as I have, you know, we presented just now, it is together with TCB. You know, we believe the combined potential of TCB and HB or hybrid bonding tool going forward will be interesting, you know, not just for the semiconductor industry, but for, you know, a key player like ASMPT in this area.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Thanks, Robin.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Yeah.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

Next, can I request, Frank to unmute yourself and ask your questions?

Frank He
Head of China Technology Research, HSBC

Hi. Thank you, guys. Just to follow up, I think on some of the previous questions people have about where you guys see this semi cycle going. It seems like, you know, earlier the expectation was that, you know, we would see content growth and that would help offset the downside risk of any kind of slowdown. That doesn't seem to be materializing now. I guess the question is, you know, we've talked a lot on this call about autos seeing some slowdown. Where do you guys see, I guess, the implication from this beyond, I think just what we're seeing in the near term? It feels as though, you know, we're not seeing a real meaningful recovery in areas such as smartphones and things like that.

We may have to deal with the fact that smartphones are gonna start to go into a more of an ex-growth phase. While there's enthusiasm around AI, you know, the actual contribution still seems to be not gonna be as significant as we're seeing on SEMI. I guess just put it in context, though, how should we think about this upcoming cyclical downturn period? I think two quarters ago, everybody thought this would be a normal cycle, it would be over by the first quarter this year. That doesn't seem to be the case, or by the first half this year. How do you guys see or as you talk to your clients, and how are people starting to come in, around in terms of this downturn period?

Wondering if you guys could share any thoughts on this.

Romil Singh
Head of Investor Relations, ASMPT

I think, Frank, maybe let me request Robin to comment that how we are seeing this down cycle. You know, if he can comment anything on the bottom and the potential recovery from a perspective maybe of, you know, what we are seeing on the ground and indications from the customers.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Frank, I think let's talk about automotive a little bit. I did mention, after two years of high demand for our SMT automotive tools, it's kind of normal cycle. Don't take it as abnormal. It's normal that after two years of high growth, you know, it has to normalize. I use the word normalize, I'm not saying it's gonna be a steep decline for SMT automotive. Don't get me wrong. Normalize to a level that is, you know, before the peak. This is, in fact, healthy for the industry, right? What goes up has to come down, you know, before it goes up even higher again. I think I just wanna make sure that you guys are clear about the SMT side.

On the SEMI side, I mentioned also, I just want to touch a little bit on automotive. I said there's still a lot of leg room for the SEMI side in terms of automotive because of the continuing innovation in terms of packaging requirement at the SEMI side. SEMI side we still see leg room in terms of automotive. Overall, you talk about how do we see where is the bottom? This is really a million-dollar question, right? I don't think we can give you a very clear answer on that. As I mentioned in the earlier answers to some questions, we take guidance, you know, from industry holders, how they look at things, from channel checking of customers.

I will say some pockets of feedback that they still, they're still hopeful for second half recovery. I mentioned many times before, it all depends really on the economy. The consumer's expenditure or spending has to come back, you know, for a meaningful recovery in the semiconductor cycle. I think that's still we, this is how we see it, you know, in the short term.

Frank He
Head of China Technology Research, HSBC

Okay. Maybe can I just as a follow-up, though, you know, do you think there's gonna be a likelihood then? I mean, it seems like everyone's hopeful for a recovery, and it keeps getting pushed back. Do you ultimately see a scenario where the CapEx spend has to start to decelerate more, just like not quite the same extent we've seen in memory, but to a certain extent, I think that ultimately can help if the market gets bad enough or there's no recovery? Do you see a risk of CapEx spending slowing overall for the industry?

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Yeah.

Frank He
Head of China Technology Research, HSBC

Even more than we are.

Robin Ng
Group CEO, ASMPT

Yeah. If you I just want to look at things from another perspective. If you look at our bookings for SEMI at $192 million Q1 2023, looking back historical, it's already at a low level. Right? The question is how low can it go? All right? It's already at a low level. I hope I give you some perspective. As I said, nobody can predict, you know, when it's gonna be bottom. Looking at SEMI bookings, already at low level. Yeah.

Frank He
Head of China Technology Research, HSBC

Okay, thank you.

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