Hulamin Limited (JSE:HLM)
South Africa flag South Africa · Delayed Price · Currency is ZAR · Price in ZAc
187.00
-3.00 (-1.58%)
May 11, 2026, 12:34 PM SAST
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Earnings Call: H2 2024

Mar 17, 2025

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

Good morning, everyone. I am Mark Gounder, CEO of Hulamin. Welcome to our full year results presentation, where Pravashni, our CFO, and I will take you through our operational performance and financial outcomes for 2024. We'll also share an update on our progress thus far and next steps in execution of our strategic objectives. We will close with an outlook on our 2025 imperatives and current emerging market trends. We've also included additional information for your reference. At this point, I invite you to type in your questions as we progress through the presentation. Zero harm to our employees is critical in the success of Hulamin. Safety is a cornerstone of our business, and we've continued our positive safety trend in 2024.

Through our proactive management focus on risk assessment and directing efforts towards our high safety risk areas, we have managed to complete a key milestone of being below 0.1x for our Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate for the first time in five years. Going into 2025, we remain committed in driving safety awareness at all levels by strong, visible and proactive management. 2024 began with promise with improved demand in our key product streams. However, operational challenges, and particularly the fire on our can end finishing line, limited our ability to fully capitalize on market opportunities in H2, which negatively impacted our overall financial performance. Pravashni will provide more context in the financial results section. Some key operational highlights are our product sales volumes increased by 2% year-on-year, primarily impacted by the fire.

Local demand remains strong, contributing positively to our strategic capacity allocation with local sales at 55% during the current year. The 45% of export sales included a weaker sales mix in H2, having been impacted by the can-end finishing line fire, with the business having to allocate the available limited capacity towards lower margin export cold roll standards. Our primary streams, we achieved record sales volume for can body sheet and plate. Continuous improvement initiatives with no additional capital spend unlocked plate capacity to capitalize on incremental export demand. Touching on other operational and market conditions, export pricing pressures persisted in Europe, primarily impacted cold roll standards and plate products. The fire insurance claim for both asset replacement and business interruption was finalized within our reporting period.

Our financials includes insurance excess and lost opportunity of about 2,000 tons high margin export can end product line in line with our insurance cover. Strategic review is underway for our extrusion business unit, which posted performance below expectation. We continue to prioritize our market-driven capital spend with the business outlaying ZAR 569 million during 2024. Our normalized EBITDA was ZAR 544 million. In quarter four, we started our inventory build strategy in preparation for the 25-day strategic shut in June to complete our final phase of the wide can body project. As a result, overall net debt closed at ZAR 1.3 billion. With an understanding that our revised strategic objectives are instrumental in ensuring the long-term sustainability and profitability of our business, focus remained on executing against these defined objectives.

We continued to prioritize our local market, protected can stream despite the fire, successfully executed phase one and two of the wide can body investment. Increased can body demand enabled increased capacity utilization as a percentage of total production to 22.3%. Hulamin's saleable capacity is dependent on our sales mix. As part of our simplification strategy launched in 2022, our capacity is prioritized to high-margin products. We started the year with constrained capacity of 180,000 tons to cater for extended plant upgrade shuts during 2024. The fire on the finishing line resulted in 8,000 tons of export can end capacity being lost. As a result, available saleable capacity was 172,000, which was strategically allocated towards our primary streams at 84%, being 3% up from prior year.

Due to improved hot mill plant performance and pricing, primarily in quarter four, available capacity was allocated towards 1,000 tons of hot band, which contributed positively to our total sales volumes of 173,000 tons. I will now hand over to Pravashni to take us through the detailed financial performance overview.

Pravashni Nirghin
CFO, Hulamin

Thank you, Mark. As Mark has highlighted during the business performance review, 2024 was a challenging year. The year presented many opportunities from demand recovery. However, the potential benefit was constrained by operational challenges and fire. As previously highlighted, sales volumes was up 2% at 173,000 tons, which consisted of a weaker mix in H2. This resulted in normalized EBIT at ZAR 379 million, being down 22% from prior year, which also impacted on our overall headline earnings. The reduced performance, stock build, and CapEx spend impacted the strength of our balance sheet, which increased debt levels and gearing. To contextualize the current year earnings, normalized EBITDA excludes metal price lag and other non-trading items. I would like to concentrate on four key elements that impacted our normalized earnings for 2024.

Total external impact of ZAR 257 million was largely offset by the improved sales volume mix and improved scrap utilization. In line with our insurance cover, the business interruption claim excludes the first 14 days of lost production, which equates to approximately 2,000 tons of can-end and tab, and an insurance excess of ZAR 10 million. From our calculations, around ZAR 45 million was not covered by the insurance. Plant reliability challenges amounted to ZAR 57 million, which included additional overtime to catch up on lost time and additional freight costs to import emergency spares to minimize downtime. Both the fire and breakdown are unexpected costs that are non-recurring. Finance costs of ZAR 183 million is driven by higher incremental interest rates and elevated average debt levels required to support working capital and capital investment strategy.

Taking into account the key issues highlighted, our normalized headline earnings for the year was ZAR 142 million. The primary driver of overall increased debt was the increase in stock build for our sheets and committed expansion capital. Net working capital of ZAR 391 million being impacted by 4,000 tons higher inventory holdings at 44,000 tons. Weaker sales mix in H2, consisting of long cash conversion cycle and 55% local sales. We underinvested historically in CapEx, and now we are in the expansion mode with focus on delivery on market capital projects. We continued executing our market capital-driven investment strategy into 2024, with total spend of ZAR 569 million, of which ZAR 295 million was for expansion and improvement.

With critical focus on our wide can body capability and additional capacity enhancement as we drive towards increasing rolling capacity to 211,000 by 2028. Critical maintenance remains a priority as we address our equipment reliability challenges. Expenditure was allocated towards these key focus areas, fire risk assessment, safety, investing in critical spares, and mitigating obsolescence risk due to aging plant. As a result of expected working capital requirements and funding strategy, our net debt is expected to increase in the first half of 2025 and taper down into the second half of 2025 as focus will be on de-gearing and offloading stock post the 25-day shut.

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

Thank you, Pravashni. Our strategic focus and business model remains unchanged despite the challenges we've had in 2024. Our critical focus going into 2025 is liquidity protection while we support the inventory build program for the 25-day shut to complete the final phase of our wide can body capital investment. How have we progressed thus far against our committed strategic objectives? In response to the temporary setback on our financial performance due to the fire, we have completed a comprehensive fire and asset risk assessment to identify additional risk gaps and have started execution of a risk improvement roadmap. We've also rebuilt the can end finish line within three months and within budget while finalizing the insurance claim. Substantial progress has been made on enhancing our can body capabilities and increased scrap utilization.

Phase one and two was successfully completed in 2024, which was focused on speed and capacity to handle increased can body volumes. Final phase to be completed in July 2025, which is the actual mill widening and slitting function. Used beverage can scrap utilization capacity will enhance to 15,000 tons through additional baling and screening capabilities. Full utilization of the enhanced capacity will be used as we increase our can body sales in the plant. We have continued to prioritize available plant capacity towards high margin products. Aligned with our business simplification strategy, we've signed a binding offer for specified assets of our containers business, with the transaction expected to be completed during H1. With regards to our extrusion business, we are in the process of completing a strategic review and feedback will be provided in our interim reporting later on this year.

Recapping on our business case for the market-driven capital investment into local wide can body. Current installed capacity of can makers in South Africa is at 81,000 tons and is expected to grow to 120,000 tons by 2027, post new lines being commissioned at three can makers. In 2024, the current demand consumption is approximately 67,000 tons and is expected to grow at 5% CAGR. Completion of our wide can body investment will allow Hulamin to increase market share by displacing wide imports. The increasing demand from can body consumption is expected to increase our capability to absorb more cheaper metal units. In order to understand the step change in our scrap utilization to displace expensive primary metal, I need to clarify some definitions on scrap.

Pre-consumer scrap is processed scrap, in blue, that we purchase from our customers, while post-consumer scrap, in green, is used beverage cans. Improved scrap utilization was enabled by enhancement on the used beverage can cleaning line in 2024, and additional investment is planned in 2026. The increase in can body sales from 2021 has allowed us to be able to increase our scrap utilization. In summary, these are the investment that is required to be completed to enable the key performance drivers to bridge the return on equity gap for Hulamin. In order to assist some of you in modeling our business, we have provided the next three years of key performance driver milestones. The key aspects are can body sales increases from 52,000 tons to 68,000 tons.

Total sales capacity increases to 210,000 tons, while our three streams, can body, can end, and plate makes up 75% of our total sales capacity. Increased scrap utilization means cheaper metal unit, which improves profitability. Ultimately, in 2027, this business is earning a return in excess of its cost of capital. Going into the outlook, we thought we start by looking at our market situation, especially given the emerging global trends in both the USA and Europe. Local market demand remains strong except for the auto segment. Inventory build requirement of 20,000 tons finished goods at the end of June is critical to support the 25-day integrated shut. North America proposed 25% tariff increases to our primary streams. Plate, foil, and can end make up approximately 12% of our total volumes.

Current duty framework not expected to impact Hulamin's market position in U.S. in its current form. However, we continue to monitor any developments and have included additional information in our annexures. On the long-term market risk in Europe involving recycled content and decarbonization, where we've seen here our customer base are wanting to enter short-term contracts for imports. On the implementation of our roadmap, we remain on track to be able to deliver our reduced recycled content and our carbon footprint readiness strategy to enable retention of the EU market as a whole. Our guiding principles in terms of our core focus products haven't changed. Focus remains on can body, plate, and can end, optimizing and capitalizing on growing demand. To sum up, we have six imperatives. Delivery of our market-driven wide can body capital execution and product qualification by end of quarter four.

Proactive monitoring of global emerging market trends needs to continue. Clear focus and continued focus, should I say, on reliable plant performance. On effective working capital management, we have high confidence to deliver strong returns and our expectation is that we come through the shutdown into the second half of 2025. The working capital is temporary of the shutdown and will unwind in the second half of 2025. When delivered, an intentional CapEx that we've committed should start to reflect in free cash flow in the short to medium term. Continued focus on operational efficiency and cost reduction program will bring us in line with international benchmark. Complete strategic review and a decision on our extrusion business at the end of H1 will be conducted. We thank you for joining for our 2024 performance review and outlook into 2025. We now open the floor for any questions.

Norma, please can you assist me with the questions?

Operator

Thank you, Mark. For now, we have one question. It is from Raoul Kamsu from Waldorf. The question is, how much headroom do we have on the debt facilities?

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

Thanks, Norma. Our debt finished off at ZAR 1.3 billion. Our total facility is ZAR 2 billion . We have approximately ZAR 700 million headroom.

Operator

Perhaps we could just wait for a couple of seconds to see if there are any questions.

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

Sure, Norma.

Operator

This question is from All Weather Capital. The question is, morning, Mark and Pravashni. What cost of capital number is Hulamin using at present?

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

Thanks, Norma. Thanks, Kobus. Our current WACC is round about just short of 17% right now.

Operator

The next question, still from All Weather Capital. What is the price uplift of wide can body versus narrow can body?

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

Thanks, Norma. That's an interesting question. With regards to the wide can body, there's definitely additional benefit to our customers with regards to efficiencies on being able to produce wider material, use wider material and track more efficiencies there. The margins on it will be aligned in relation to our customer-centric strategy, where we continuously create wins for both customers and us in order to show profitability for both our customers and us going into the future.

Operator

Okay. Thank you, Mark. We have another question from Blue Quadrant. It reads, hi, in relation to the shutdown and increased expected inventory for the first half of the year, will this be comparable to H1 in 2024 when NWC was also increased?

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

Thanks, Norma. I think the substantial difference would be that we are shutting for 25 days. In the presentation, I highlighted that we're looking at our normal finished goods normally sits at about 14,000 tons. In order to be able to continue to supply the market during our 25-day shut, we need approximately 20,000 tons. You're looking at, compared to H1 last year, it's going to be approximately 3,000 tons higher than previous year.

Operator

Okay, we have a follow-up question from Waldorf. It reads, exposure to automotive sector, direct and indirect, what plans are in place if there is substantial reduction in demand?

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

Okay. Thanks, Norma. That's a very good question. Local demand has improved since H1. We are engaging with customers closely to manage the global volatility in this sector. If you look at our total volumes that we sell into the sector right now, it's approximately 10% of our total volumes. Although it's not substantial, we definitely in quarter one have seen a slight uptick in that market and we continue to monitor it. It's again relying on being customer-centric relationship with that we launched two years ago. We keep very close to our customers, but we definitely seen some green shoots in that market in quarter one right now.

Operator

Thank you, Mark. We have another question from All Weather Capital. The question is, can you please expand on the exceeding your cost of capital? Is this only in 2027 or will this be from H2 2026?

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

I think in order to ramp up to way above our WACC as a whole, there will be a gradual climb. If you look at the last slide, where we created the key performance driver milestones, the value creation definitely will uptick and margin uptick will start climbing in 2026 and ultimately reach exceeding our cost of capital towards the latter part of 2027.

Operator

Thank you, Mark. We have a question from MP9 Asset Management. The question is, please may you add some color on your hedging strategy?

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

Right now we've got different tier hedging. In order to protect liquidity or protect our balance sheet, we do not currently cover metal price lag as a whole. That's a tier two hedging that we don't cover right now. With regards to our conversion margins, that normal hedging is in process right now.

Operator

Thank you, Mark. Can you please speak to the lead times in placing the wide can body? How long from commissioning of the line will it take to ramp up the volumes?

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

Right now we're looking at between six to eight months to be able to ramp up the volumes, post the capital investment itself in the planned shutdown in June, July. I call it getting production fit and qualification with regards to our customers. We're looking at a period of six to eight months to be able to ramp up the volumes.

Operator

We're just gonna go on hold again, as there are no more questions at the moment.

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

Okay.

Operator

Mark, there seems to be no more questions from my side. Can I hand over back to you?

Mark Gounder
CEO, Hulamin

All right. Thank you, Norma. Thank you everyone again for joining us today. Look forward to engaging with you throughout the year. Thank you very much.

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