B&M European Value Retail plc (LON:BME)
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Earnings Call: H2 2023

May 31, 2023

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for coming. I think we have a big audience, also on audio, and we'll be taking questions via Dave, basically on the call as well. We're going to be very short today. I want to give as much time as we can to questions. Hopefully, the whole presentation is going to be 20-25 minutes, then we go straight into Q&A. First of all, I want to make a few introductions. You're going to see more of this every time we meet. If you remember in our half one results, you met Gareth Bilton, who is the B&M UK Retail Director. He's not here. You're going to see him again in half one. You met Tony Dobbs, who runs Heron Foods. I'm going to quickly introduce you briefly.

Ian Pratt, UK Property Director, Anthony Giron, B&M France MD, Jon Parry, UK Logistics Director. Mike Schmidt, I think you all know Mike. We have James Ollerton and Peter Waterhouse and Dave in the room, you know. Not least importantly, you have Bobby Arora sitting on the side. Is this the first time you've

Mike Schmidt
CFO, B&M European Value Retail

Yeah, first, maybe last.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

I think the last time he came was on IPO. I want to say two things about Bobby. I think it's a given that he's an extraordinary trading director, but more importantly, he's incredibly good fun to work with. I mean that genuinely, not because he's here. I think he keeps me on my toes, and I certainly keep him on his toes. Thank you for coming, Bobby. Try not to catch him at the end with tricky questions, please, okay? I'll keep it short and sharp. First slide. Let's concentrate on three key numbers. You've already seen this at the RNS. Then I will go straight to the bullet point. Total revenue growth for the group, 6.6% for the year. EBITDA, GBP 573 million, at the top end of the half of the range I guided.

Operating cash, GBP 866 million for the year. Don't underestimate how clean the stock is to deliver GBP 896 million. We have a clean stock position. I'll come back to margin in the next 10 months. We concentrate on the last two bullet points. Very pleased with B&M UK, the first nine weeks, +8.3% LFL. Highly driven by customer count and transaction numbers. You can assume that at least half of that LFL are customers on the till. I'll keep coming back to standards and transaction numbers. Every month since June last summer, LFL transactions at B&M UK are positive and healthy. That number, at least half of that LFL, are till receipts, customer numbers, and that means trade down into us. FY 2024, EBITDA is going to go up.

Before you ask me a question on a 52, 53 or 54 week basis, FY 2024 EBITDA is going to go up. I'll come back in a bit of detail how and why. Not least importantly, GBP 347 million of shareholder returns, including the special dividend that we announced a few months back. I think you already know this chart. If you look at the orange, that bar is going to grow. I'm very confident the way we've started the season, that you can assume FY 2023, we're totally normalized. We're back to compounding profitable growth with discipline across the three businesses, B&M France, B&M UK, and Heron. LFL matters to me immensely. I'll speak on store standards and why it's so important in terms of driving profitable growth. Pipeline is improving. Ian is going to present you what we're doing.

I'm very confident that actually the opening plan is ticking in the right direction. France, you're going to hear from Anthony, and Heron, I will close with one slide, performing incredibly well. Okay? Mike, to you.

Mike Schmidt
CFO, B&M European Value Retail

Thank you, Alex. Okay, let's start on slide eight with an overview of our financial figures. If you look over the last three years, the group's made very significant strides that you can see on the slide. Revenues have now reached GBP 5 billion, so that's a very substantial 30% increase compared to the 2020 financial year. We've achieved GBP 573 million of Adjusted EBITDA, which is a remarkable 67% increase compared to the pre-pandemic period. As we exit 2023, critically, we see that 2023 year as a clean baseline from which we're going to grow earnings. It is worth noting the comparison versus FY 2022. Adjusted EBITDA and also adjusted profit before tax are lower than the 2022 comparative, but that's due to the non-comparability of that 2022 year that benefited from lockdown period.

Even when making that comparison year on year, I'd particularly note that we have seen growth in trading profit in the second half of the year on year. The positive momentum that we're building is evident across all three segments, B&M UK., B&M France, and Heron. As Alex has mentioned, that trend has very much carried over into the first quarter of the 2024 financial year. Let's dive into the figures in more detail. Slide nine, focusing on group revenue. We've achieved a group compound annual growth rate of 9.3% over the past three years. The growth has been very much driven across all three segments of the business. Critically, the UK, which just due to relative scale, is absolutely core to the group, delivered 9% three-year CAGR.

There is a truly exceptional performance also to note from B&M France and the three-year CAGR that you can see there, that just gives the evidence as to how well the B&M proposition is resonating in a new market. Across the group, the progress has been underpinned by the healthy mix of transaction volume growth, basket value growth, and expansion of our selling space that we intend to continue. Our development, therefore, is very much driven by the sustainable acquisition of new customers. Moving on to slide 10. Looking at the underlying drivers of UK growth in a bit more detail. Start off on the right-hand side of the slide, evidencing the point I was making previously. You can see the growth is being driven by the impact of the new space that we've delivered, but also the like-for-like sales performance.

On the left-hand side, you can see the increasing momentum in the UK business, particularly as we look at the first quarter of this year and the 8.3% like-for-like trading growth we delivered over the first nine weeks. That momentum, that progress, is clearly building in the business. Moving on to group gross margin. Splitting it down between the halves. As previously mentioned, we talked about back in November, the first half of the financial year, we did see a significant impact from increased clearance activities in garden categories. However, our second half margin performance, which was a decline year-on-year of 92 basis points, very much aligned with our internal plans and incorporated a normal level of clearance activities and a balanced category mix. Within our categories, we've achieved healthy trading margins in the second half.

Strong performance in general merchandise, in particular, that helped in part by reduced freight rates. This positive trend has very much carried over into the first nine weeks of this new financial year, which we're on track, we're confident that we're going to conclude the garden season with solid trading margins and a clean stock position. France and Heron have also demonstrated resilient gross margin performance as part of this mix overall. Turning to slide 12, EBITDA. We feel it's appropriate to look at the performance over a three-year period, considering the effects of COVID lockdowns on the two intervening financial years. Each of our three group businesses have made significant strides forward. We're confident that B&M UK's margin is well underpinned at 12.4%.

It's consistent with historical levels and within our 12%-13% through the cycle guidance range, despite inflationary cost pressures that we're managing. France has made remarkable progress in recent years. We anticipate further gains as sales densities progress. Heron's EBITDA margin, we feel, compares favorably to any other sector peers you would choose, and we're going to balance price competitiveness in setting our targeted margins. Slide 13 shows the operating cost base of each segment. France, again, has been the standout performer, showing the impact of driving the sales densities and scale of that business. Actually across the group, as with all retailers, inflation has of course, posed a challenge to our cost base, affecting, you know, wages in particular, energy costs, and supplier prices. The impact of this has been very much managed in minute detail in the business.

You can't operate the EDLP, the value retail model that we do, without backing that up with very low costs, and we drill that into the teams every day. We are, and we have been, driving productivity to mitigate inflation's impacts. Overall, as we look forwards, we see the shape of our P&L remaining consistent despite inflationary pressure. Our forward commitments to key cost lines across the operating cost structure mean that as we look at the next 12 months, we've got confidence in that outcome, that we're going to keep that shape of the P&L consistent. Looking at last year, the increase in costs largely reflects reinvestment in our businesses, actually, particularly in B&M UK, where we've targeted spending to improve store and distribution standards that we believe is underpinning the like-for-like growth that you can see coming through.

Lastly, let's just conclude with a focus on the cash and the balance sheet on slide 14. We generated operating cash of GBP 550 million before the effects of IFRS 16 during the year. This is driven by our inherently cash generative model, the favorable working capital inflow that we saw underpinned by the movement in our stock position and the clean stock position we exited the year with. Thirdly, of course, the disciplined capital investment that we will always maintain. As we look ahead, working capital requirements will remain consistent with revenue growth, and our capital expenditure approach is going to remain unchanged and going to carry on being disciplined. We've strengthened our long-term capital structure by extending bank facilities at effectively unchanged rates.

They now sit there with a potential maturity of 2030, assuming we exercise our two one-year extension options. Our financial debt profile is now split across 2025, 2028, and 2030. This all gives us confidence that as we grow our profits next year and beyond, we'll continue to generate excess cash flow that we will deploy through our capital allocation policy. For this year, that's meant that we've declared a final dividend of GBP 0.096, resulting in total ordinary dividends across the year of GBP 147 million, which is equivalent to 40% of our earnings in line with our policy. Additionally, we're of course pleased to reward shareholders with another special dividend announced back in January of GBP 200 million.

As we move forward, we very much remain committed to returning excess cash to shareholders at the appropriate times. Finally, let me sum up what I see as the key takeaways from a financial perspective. Firstly, last year's numbers serve as the baseline. They reflect the increased scale of the group that we now have, the strong margins, and the excellent cash generation. We've entered this year strongly. We've traded well over the first nine weeks. We're on track to trade out of the garden season, the current garden seasons, with solid margins and a clean stock position. Finally, as we look ahead, we expect the financial shape of our business to remain consistent. As we deliver revenue growth, we're very much confident of driving substantial value for shareholders.

I'm now going to hand back to Alex and the team to delve into some of the operating-.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Thanks, Mike.

Mike Schmidt
CFO, B&M European Value Retail

activities. Cheers. Thank you.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Grocery and non-grocery. Keep it very simple, guys. Availability is world-class. I'm doing myself not less than 25 shops a week. That's excluding the competition. I see it, this guy see it, Bobby sees them. Entrepreneurial business in the detail without any bureaucracy. Grocery is performing very well. Price position, rock solid. Not an inch of degrade, degrading price position against any competitor. I would say FMCG availability on the shelves is probably the best the business has had in the last five years. I put my neck on the line on that. General merchandise performing incredibly well. You saw Q3 statement. You can imply that from the first nine weeks, home, DIY, garden, general merchandise is performing very, very strongly. Margin is very, very good, and availability, again, is world-class. Bobby and I were in Hong Kong a month and a half ago.

Phenomenal setup on multi-lines, teams engaged, incredibly professional office, the buyers back into the factories, post-COVID, mainland, momentum. The product is looking fantastic. It's on the shelves, and the price is rock solid. That's all what I'm going to say. If you ask any of the team, what excites me is the shop. Bobby gets excited on the product, on the price. I love the shops. That's where I spend most of my time, and I think we would have not had the Q3 golden quarter performance or this momentum without the systematic improvement we have on store standards, shop by shop, one by one, manager by manager. Let me be clear. That doesn't change my cost to sales. It's self-funding. Get the right manager, get the stock on the shelves, the sales come.

I personally prefer to spend my time in the shops than talking to these guys in the head office, they probably enjoy it as well. This is the way we're going to do business every single day. I do 25 shops a week. The senior team, above retail teams, we do 200 shops a week unannounced. 200, that's just B&M UK. That excludes France, excludes Heron. If you add those two businesses, we're probably doing 300 shops. The MD, myself, Gareth Bilton. 10 out of 10. That's not a doctor picture. That's what I mean by availability. Stock on the shelf, 24/7. Jon Parry, you have 2.5 minutes.

Jon Parry
UK Supply Chain Director, B&M European Value Retail

Thank you.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

It was three originally.

Jon Parry
UK Supply Chain Director, B&M European Value Retail

It was. Morning. As Alex said, Jon Parry, I'm the UK B&M Supply Chain Director. I joined nine months ago, 28 years in retail, logistics, supply chains, latterly in Asda, Walmart, running their logistics network for them. I just want to spend a few minutes just talking about the UK Supply Chain, what we're doing, how we're focusing on things here. First and foremost, just to talk about our core purpose of serving our customers better than anyone else. What does that really mean? Well, it means two or three things. First, it means very much about the shops. It means making sure that we are flowing goods effectively and efficiently at pace into the stores. Absolutely about driving, as Alex talked to it, best-in-class availability on the shelf. Real big focus for us.

The other point there, in terms of our customers, is about Bobby and the trading team and making sure that we are providing efficient capacity for the trading teams to accelerate their growth across their departments and their categories. Really important. The balancing factor to that is always about operating at the lowest possible cost. Driving everyday low-cost initiatives sustainably, that offer value back to the business, so that we can continue to reinvest in price and get that flywheel turning in the right way. How do we do that? We do that through a number of building blocks. I'll focus on a few right at the bottom. It is absolutely about continuously improving our processes. It's about driving brilliant basics. It's about making sure that we execute those processes brilliantly, always. Really key for all the teams across transport, distribution, and imports.

It's about making sure that we drive leverage, so we sweat the assets that we've got, our distribution network, our transport fleets, and making sure that we really do sweat the capacity and the solutions through them, not adding space where we don't need it, of course. Very much then about operational excellence, so an evolving operating model, driving excellence at heart of how we do things, and all measured across the five Cs, which you can see there: compliance, customer, cost, capacity, and culture. Compliance is a given, safe and legal in everything that we do. Customer, incredibly important. Really being thoughtful about the end-to-end processes from origin all the way through the network, through the ports, into the stores.

Again, no apologies for saying it, driving absolute best-in-class availability in our stores at the shelf edge on every product, whether that be grocery or non-grocery, particularly through seasonal entrance and exit. Very, very important indeed for us. In terms of cost, I've referenced that before, driving an EDLC program, really focusing hard on productivity, whether that be in transport productivity, fewer miles on the road, always knowing where to save a pound or indeed a euro through our distribution network, getting our colleagues more productive through the network that we've got. Really critical for us. Capacity, as mentioned, very much about utilizing the capacity that we've got across the assets that we've got, reengineering accordingly to get more and more product through more efficiently. Finally, culturally, about diversity engagement, but most importantly, it is about a performance management culture.

Absolutely getting the best of our colleagues from rewarding and recognizing accordingly. Back to where I started, firstly, about our core purpose, it is about two or three things. It's absolutely about providing the stores with the right products at the right time to drive best-in-class availability, providing Bobby and his team with the capacity to grow their business through the current network by sweating our assets and doing all of that at the lowest possible cost. Absolutely driving the EDLC agenda through initiatives, so we can create value and reinvest back into the business through price and get that flywheel turning. That's me. I'm going to hand over to you, Ian.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Thank you, Jon. Ian, two and a half minutes.

Ian Pratt
UK Property Director, B&M European Value Retail

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. I'm Ian Pratt, the Property Director at B&M. I've been with the business for eight years. The main points that I'd like you to take away this morning in respect to the B&M UK pipeline, number one, FY 2024 gross new store pipeline is in a strong and improving position. For FY 2023, the gross new stores that we opened have performed well across the board. Number three, the long-term target of 950 B&M UK stores is well underpinned. In a bit more detail on the FY 2024 store pipeline for B&M, we expect to open approximately 30 gross new stores, including relocations, many with new garden centers. The focus is always on new space in good quality retail locations for B&M.

It's illustrated by several deals that we have under contract for FY 2024 delivery, and they're in principle, out of town retail shopping parks, and destinations across the North and the Midlands. Some good stores coming through that, very good stores coming through that pipeline. As far as FY 2023 is concerned, we opened 21 gross new stores. That included five relocations, and 12 of those 21 stores had garden centers. All of the new stores have performed well, with the quality of the stores being strong, and the estate at the end of the year is enhanced as a result of that. Turning to the relocations, specifically, and some analysis on those, the five relocations in FY 2023 achieved 193% additional sales space via those five stores.

In tandem, those relocation stores are all in better locations than the smaller stores that we closed in turn. The closure of the small former stores in favor of larger, better located modern stores, gives us a progressive improvement to our estate. Finally, as far as the long-term target is concerned, 950 B&M UK stores remains a conservative target. We're continually seeking good quality, new space and where we're unrepresented at the moment, plus good quality relocations to enhance the existing estate that we've got. Thank you.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Thank you. You have four minutes instead of five now.

Anthony Giron
Managing Director of B&M France, B&M European Value Retail

Thank you. I'm Anthony Giron. I'm the MD for France, like Alex said. I've been with the business for three years. I will present you the progress of France and where we stand. You see on this first slide, we have three planks I will describe rapidly today in four minutes. The first plank is really on the customer proposition. What you see here is the evolution of the customer proposition we did in the last three years. There has been a dramatic turnover in terms of in terms of category proposition. You see the big decline and the exit from textile, and a big increase in two areas. One is FMCG, and the other one is home/seasonal goods, okay?

These are extremely important categories in which we grow very much. I must say that there's a extremely strong response from the customer, the French customer, to the proposition we provide, to the point that we've been elected for the second year in a row, best retailer in France for non-food discounts and best retailer in France for home decoration. This is a very big achievement for a brand that has been on the market just for three years, effectively. This is, for us, extremely key, this first plank on the value proposition. The second plank is the operational excellence. We exactly put ourselves in the footstep of the UK when it comes to the store excellence, the quality of operation.

This is a key focus for us, extremely key. We want to replicate the highest level of quality for the customer experience as it is in the UK. To do that, we have incorporated inside our team some of the key skills coming from the UK. Some of the key managers are helping us in France to replicate the methodologies, the tools, the management processes that are in action in the UK. We also have a very, now a very experienced team of managers in France. The management team, but also I would say the top 10, top 20 guys in the French business are really very experienced guys coming from different horizons. This is very, very, very reassuring for the future.

Yeah, this is the key part of the operation. Another key part is also the transport and distribution, on which we are also implementing more or less what the UK is doing best there, okay? When it comes to FMCG, but as well non-grocery. The last plank, of course, is footprint growth, okay? You saw that in 2023, FY 2023, we opened seven stores. All of them are contributing on par or above the company average EBITDA, so that's very good. All of them were very successful openings. All of them have a space of 20,000 sq ft, except one, except for one, which is smaller than that.

When you're looking at FY 2024, we're looking at opening 10 stores this year, a big increase versus last year. It's exactly like what Ian said, the focus is every store must be a success. No risk, best locations, we need to be seen as a brand that is looking for the best locations, the best profile possible. We prefer to open less stores, but excellent stores. Thank you.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Thank you, Anthony. Anthony, we welcome you guys in June, in Lille, for the ones who are coming to the day, we have lined up. It's an important point, where we can see all of this in life. Heron Foods, I'm going to skip it. It's booming. I'm really pleased with Heron. Don't meddle with it. It's working fine. Tick. Last slide. I think you can read the key points, I will just close with three points. We have three businesses of different sizes, different cultures, all of them work together as one team. I only have two meetings in a week. One is a property one, which is expansion, and the other one is the one that Bobby and I chair at 8:00 A.M. on a Monday with the three businesses, the top 15 people.

That's where we tried, test and learn, cross-fertilize three equal businesses. Entry in FY 2024 is very strong. That 8.3%, I'm just going to say at least half of that is positive LFL transactions. That's customer count. That's trading down happening. LFL transactions at B&M UK have grown positively every month since June last year, 12 months in a row. Space growth, quality, and in good shape. I'm going to choose my words carefully for the year ahead. EBITDA is going to grow on a 52, 53 or 54-week basis. B&M UK is trading very well, and I would say that spring/summer season is in the bag. I'm going to repeat that. Spring/summer season is in the bag. You can extrapolate what that means for gross margin %. I'm not going to spell it out. Spring/summer season is in the bag.

Stock is clean, and it's best in class. You can extrapolate what that means for margin in the second half. The quality of the leadership team, not only at B&M UK, but B&M France and Heron, is very strong and settled. Anthony will allow me to say this, hopefully. B&M France is being run by a French team, but a very international French team. It's not just the MD, it's a buying director, it's the buyers, it's the operational piece. It's an international French team. I'll open straight away to questions.

Simon Irwin
Director, Credit Suisse

Can you just talk a bit more about your-

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Simon.

Simon Irwin
Director, Credit Suisse

Sorry, Simon Irwin, Credit Suisse.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Hi, Simon.

Simon Irwin
Director, Credit Suisse

For now. Can you just talk about your expectations around inflation and what you're seeing, particularly in the non-food side of the business, as we go forward over the next year or so? Is there a challenge you see going forward as inflation rolls off, but wage inflation, in particular, remains stubbornly high?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

It's a very good question. In terms of inflation, generally, on general merchandise, I think we have certainly passed the peak, so I expect it to start moderating. We play to the game, we stick to, which is bestsellers, high volume, edited range. The negotiation is strong and hard and focused, so we've passed the peak. In terms of the cost structure of the base, as Mike said, B&M UK, cost to sale unchanged to last year.

Simon Irwin
Director, Credit Suisse

Great. Just to follow up, within B&M and that gross margin movement last year, was there any mix shift between food and the non-food sides of the business? Was it all principally down to individual product, and particularly that clearance in the first half?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Yes, the vast majority was the first half. I think the balance between FMCG and general merchandise is pretty good. I'm happy where it is. It's well above pre-pandemic levels. That is supportive, as we know.

Simon Irwin
Director, Credit Suisse

Thank you.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Thank you.

David Jeary
Equity Analyst, Stifel

Hi there, David Jeary from Stifel. just on B&M France, just looking at the sales versus the square footage, it looks like the trading intensity is quite a lot lower than the UK. Is that product mix, margin, just evolution over time, and where do you see that getting to as it evolves?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Absolutely. It's evolution. That's where a lot of the upside is. The trajectory is to converge over time to the UK. As Anthony mentioned, as you start getting FMCG closer to where the proposition is in the UK, you can see the footfall coming in, and I expect those sales density to start converging to basically what the UK is. That's absolutely the transition the business is in. All else equal, you see the performance on an LFL basis is very strong, and I expect it to continue to be so.

David Jeary
Equity Analyst, Stifel

In terms of your property rollout plans, are you still finding that there's plenty of sites that are just as attractive, or is there any challenges you're finding as you get to kind of more and more stores, both in the UK and France?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

No, I think as Ian and Anthony mentioned, we're happy with the opening plan. I think the objective in B&M UK is getting to the usual 40. I think we're working hard without compromising quality. It's all around discipline. France is going from six to 10, but I've said it before, we are not in a race. This is a long-term haul, and the objective that Anthony and I have is to create a successful, profitable, best-in-class French business for the next 50 years, not for the next three.

Warwick Okines
Equity Research Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Thank you.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

David?

David Ruiz
Community Relations Manager, Bank of America

Thanks. David Ruiz from Bank of America. Just to follow up with some questions on France. You mentioned sales densities may converge with what you see in the UK. How should we think about the longer-term margin opportunity there?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

I knew you were going to ask me that question.

David Ruiz
Community Relations Manager, Bank of America

Versus the 12%-13%. The other point is, just on the ultimate sort of store potential in France. How should we think about that?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

EBITDA margins, look, it's a growing business. I'm going to give France the oxygen to learn, test, and optimize the business with the French consumer. In the medium term, where is that two to three years, I'm very happy with a 10% EBITDA margin. Do I need to get France to the 12%-13% view that actually is sustainable in the UK? Not in the short term. I'm very happy with 10%. In terms of long-term potential, could be hundreds. Whether it's 200 or 400 is irrelevant in the short term for me. It's all around disciplined growth, and as Anthony says, returning high quality sites. In the near term, we're probably going to set up Anthony Giron, 10-15 openings per annum.

If the right add-on, cluster of stores come, of course, we're going to look into it, but it's consistent, confident growth. Okay?

David Ruiz
Community Relations Manager, Bank of America

Thank you.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Richard.

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Thanks, Alex. Morning, Richard Chamberlain, RBC. A couple from me, please. Just on the UK, just over the next year, what are you guys expecting for UK store relocations and closures? Are you expecting any sort of packages of sites to come up on the market, you know, later this year?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

As soon as they come, I'll grab it.

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Okay.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

The cash is there. That's why we keep it flexible. I keep coming to the same decision-making in the UK. All stores are highly profitable and cash generative. nine out of 10 times, I would only close one because I have the opportunity to open an adjacent one, which is bigger, that can display the offer. Yeah? Look, Ian and I are committing to 30 openings this year. I'm confident we're going to get the pipeline to the 40 or so per annum. Those 30 and the 40 will be with high level of returns discipline.

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Okay.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

I cannot emphasize, Richard, that's more strongly.

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Okay.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

It's all around the quality of the asset.

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Okay.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Yeah. There are competitors out there, and I'm not going to name them, that are obsessed about market share. I'm not.

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Okay.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

This is around profitable compounding growth. Yeah?

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah. Okay, that's very clear. The second one is, I was in a Dollarama store fairly recently, I saw they were using self-scan checkouts, I wondered if that's something that you guys had considered or any point-of-sale efficiencies-

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

We're trying-

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

I can see the frustrations sometimes.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

We're trying a couple of them in France. I'm a, I'm a bit skeptical about it.

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Is that because of shrink or?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Yeah, shrink and. Look, we have a low-cost model.

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

It's not a payback which is easy to make, and I'm going to actually also mention what gives me confidence not to change. We don't have any constraints on finding good people.

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Mm-hmm.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

My labor turnover in retail continues to come down.

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Mm-hmm

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

year after year, over the last three years, I don't have hiring constraints. There is loyalty in the team. There is a family, I think, entrepreneurial spirit that Bobby and Simon Arora have put in place. I have to maintain that. I don't see the need. It's the honest answer.

Richard Chamberlain
Managing Director and Global Co-Head of Consumer & Retail Research, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Okay, thank you.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Warwick.

Warwick Okines
Equity Research Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Morning, Warwick Okines from BNP Paribas Exane. Firstly, question on inventory. You said that seasonal inventories are clean. Are there other cost benefits associated with carrying that low level of stock year on year that are material?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

A GBP 100 million reduction, it's a whopping number for us. If you take a U.S. retailer, and I'm talking about the big boxes ones, the Home Depot, the Walmart, the Lowe's, nobody will have exhibited that level of stock reduction. The implication for us is, one, it's clean work, but there are no storage costs. That in itself is actually a big benefit in the current year, and more importantly, it allows the buying team and Bobby to trade cleanly. You have less clutter in the system. You can flow it, as John says, back to the system more effectively. Yes, you can see the benefit on the working capital, but the real benefit you will see it by the end of half one.

Warwick Okines
Equity Research Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Understood. Thank you. Secondly, you, I think you've quietly parked your online trial and also the trials of, fresh and frozen in B&M UK.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Yes.

Warwick Okines
Equity Research Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Could you just talk about those decisions, please?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Yes. Basically, we opened a learning trial on e-com a year ago. The sales came through, they were interesting. I took the decision that actually it was a marginal disruption. The sales were there. It was an unprofitable marginal disruption. I take the decision with Bobby and the board that we're going to stick to what we do best. We're going to be a physical business. We're going to win on price, product, and store standards. There is plenty of competition out there that can play the online game. I don't think the B&M proposition and the product lends itself particularly well. Good luck for the other guys. I'm happy with playing the physical one. In terms of frozen, look, we have a wonderful frozen business called Heron. It's a big proportion of the business. The business is performing very well.

It's a bit cost-intensive for us. We trialed. We basically decided to remove it in the number of stores we had. It's not impacting sales at all. It's not part of the proposition. It's a rational decision based on the facts.

Warwick Okines
Equity Research Analyst, BNP Paribas Exane

Thank you. Sorry, last one for me, actually. I know you've already mentioned your France EBITDA margin expectations in the medium term, the second half EBITDA margin was lower than the first half and also lower year-on-year. Could you just explain what was going on? Was there some extra investment that you that you put in there?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

It's a good question. I don't want to fudge the answer, but I suspect the first half might have benefited basically from some property benefits pre-COVID, but I would just take it the whole full year. I think it's quite representative. Only a bit of ups and downs, but nothing exceptionally unique. Yeah. Next question.

Speaker 14

I've got, excuse me, a couple of questions coming through online. The first one is, can you give us some insight into the freight cost outlook for the current year and the margin outlook?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

The answer to the second question is no. I think I have.

Speaker 14

Yeah.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

I'm not going to write the spreadsheet. Margin % are going to go up year-over-year. Half one is in the back. Season is flying, so I'm very confident about margin. Freight is substantially lower than what it was. We put all of that on the pricing. Gross margin % B&M UK will be in rude health. I'm sure whomever asked the question will appreciate that I'm not-.

Speaker 14

Yeah

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

going to give guidance on

Speaker 14

Absolutely

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

guidance on the number.

Speaker 14

The second question, Alex, is given the strong sales growth and the strong reduction in stock, is there a danger of shortages, product shortages, as you go into peak trading in the summer?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

No. I think it's always better to sell early. The business is flexible enough to make sure that they can accommodate. We have a very low threshold in which we can replenish. I would rather be in a position that I sell summer a bit earlier than a bit late. God, that's a first world quality problem to have.

Nick Coulter
Head of European Retail and Equity Research Director, Citi

Morning. Hi, Nick Coulter from Citi.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Hi, Nick.

Nick Coulter
Head of European Retail and Equity Research Director, Citi

Hi, morning. A couple, if I may, please. Just to follow up on your bullet point on the slide on factory gate prices in China, are you saying that you're seeing sequential declines, or if you perhaps talk more about the supply-demand dynamic in your sourcing? Secondly, on your point around the current trading light flights and half being transactions and taking customer share, where do you think you're taking those customers from, please?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Sure.

Nick Coulter
Head of European Retail and Equity Research Director, Citi

Thank you.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

The first question is supplier by supplier. It's category by category, but I think I would just say on a macro level, we've already passed the peak of inflation. I'm confident that the negotiation is going to be strong on the general merchandise piece. Yeah. There is capacity, there is flexibility, we have the relationships. We're highly flexible in reacting to that. Yeah? Freights are coming down. There is capacity. The buyers are working the factories. Bobby has a very close eye on that. I'm confident that actually it is supportive. Yeah? In terms of winning customers, I don't know is the answer. I suspect if you look at the competition, whomever is reporting negative LFL transactions, that gives you the answer. I wouldn't want to guess. I think that's public information, but it wouldn't be appropriate for me to mention it.

I think Bank of America have a strong view on that. Next question.

David Ruiz
Community Relations Manager, Bank of America

Sorry, I have another question online.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Okay.

David Ruiz
Community Relations Manager, Bank of America

A lot of retailers have found it very difficult to reduce stock smoothly without impacting sales and/or margin. Why do you think you're able to achieve such a whopping reduction without disrupting the business? Was it lower buying? Was it good quality excess stock or something else altogether? Where are you now, and this is the important part, I think, where are you now on inventory levels versus your medium-term ambitions?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

I think, as Mike said, you can assume that FY 2023 exit is a normalized position on working capital. You can see it on the shelf on availability. Availability is in a very good position. Bobby has the infrastructure and the buying team with multi-lines to be able to react accordingly. What happened last half, I remember we had the conversation. We are not philosophically, we're not a business that carries bad stock. We deal with it, because the temptation of a business of not dealing with bad stock is a very slippery slope. Yeah? We've never had bad stock. We traded very well and flexibly through the pandemic. We don't need that level of high stock any longer. The supply chain is resilient and flexible. We're absolutely in the right place. Is it impacting availability? No, absolutely not.

No more questions online. Any more from the hall? Yeah, Paul. Hi, Paul.

Paul Rossington
Director, HSBC

Sorry. Paul Rossington, HSBC. Can you just explain why your freight contracts seem to be giving you perhaps a disproportionate advantage versus the wider sector? If we look at other retailers in this space, it's taking longer for freight rate reductions to feed through into margins because of the US dollar.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

Mm-hmm.

Paul Rossington
Director, HSBC

You're saying it feels like you've got a stronger benefit. How is your freight rate contract structured that allows you to take that benefit?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

You know that I'm not going to give the details to that question. I probably have the competition listening. What I can tell you is we are a high volume customer. We ship many tens of thousands of containers. We don't carry long tails, and it's a long-term relationship, so we negotiate well. I'm not going to pass that question to Bobby, it would be inappropriate, it's competitive, but we are a very high volume customer, so we benefit from scale and long-term relationships.

Paul Rossington
Director, HSBC

Thank you. It's perhaps a slightly different question. We're seeing some of the other major grocers out there start to reinvest back into lower prices, where they're seeing lower manufacturing, raw material costs come through. Should we expect the same from yourselves?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

I think we do it every day, absolutely. I think an important question, Paul, my price position, whether it's FMCG or general merchandise, on an EDLP basis, which is how we trade the business, it's the lowest by a long way. We don't do high lows. It's low every day. Let them do whatever they want.

Paul Rossington
Director, HSBC

Thank you.

Simon Irwin
Director, Credit Suisse

Sorry, Simon, can I just come back on current trading and just how you've seen this year? I mean, did we see a delayed start to the spring-summer season, particularly in February, March, and then some catch up in year to date? Just what impact have you seen from, say, from the coronation, the extra bank holidays year to date as well, just in terms of unpicking current trading?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

It's a good question. Look, there will be a bit of movement, but what I can say, general merchandise, as a whole, has performed consistently well every week over the first five weeks I have reported, as a whole. Some categories are slightly better than others in certain weeks. That's normal. What I can also say is that general merchandise is having a very good, positive LFL. Yeah. In terms of coronation, all of these impacts, I think it's a bit of noise, but that hasn't fundamentally changed the equation or the LFL. I think if you ask me right now, I think it's quite representative as an average over the nine weeks. Hope that helps, Simon.

Simon Irwin
Director, Credit Suisse

Okay, another question online. Why are all new B&M stores in the North and in the Midlands? Can you make the model work in the Southeast and London? Are EBIT margins lower there? Does that impact your opening plans?

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

No. I think we open and trade consistently well from profitability everywhere in the country. If you guys live in the south, go and see Bournemouth, our largest store. Go to Sussex, go to Portsmouth, go to North London, East London, go to Barking. It's side by side, catchment by side, catchment. We're agnostic where we open. North and South is a very simplistic, misleading generalization. It's catchment, retail park by retail park. Any final one or two questions?

Simon Irwin
Director, Credit Suisse

No more online, and it looks like we're all done, so thank you.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

I'll ask the final question, so you hear from Bobby, but it will be 10 seconds. Bobby, will you concur with me that the system is in good shape?

Bobby Arora
Group Trading Director, B&M European Value Retail

Yes. It's the first time for a few years now where we haven't, we're not experiencing any headwinds. China's gone back to normal. Freight's come back to normal. The UK's sentiment or true value's very much come back to normal, and that's where we score the most.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

What do you read from that, guys?

Bobby Arora
Group Trading Director, B&M European Value Retail

EDLP.

Alex Russo
CEO, B&M European Value Retail

EDLP, the system is in the back. Thank you.

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