Rio Tinto Group Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

According to 20 analysts polled by S&P Global, Rio Tinto Group stock has a consensus rating of "Hold" and an average price target of 7,602p. The average 1-year stock price forecast is 9.79% higher than the current stock price, while the lowest is 6,236p (-9.94%) and the highest is 9,281p (+34.04%).

Price Target: 7,602p (+9.79%)

Analyst Consensus: Hold

Target	Low	Average	Median	High
Price	6,236p	7,602p	7,584p	9,281p
Change	-9.94%	+9.79%	+9.53%	+34.04%

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for Rio Tinto Group stock is "Hold". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to perform similarly to the overall market.

Recommendation Trends

Rating	Feb '26	Mar '26	Apr '26	May '26	Jun '26	Jul '26
Strong Buy	4	5	5	4	3	3
Buy	2	1	1	1	1	1
Hold	14	14	13	14	14	14
Sell	0	0	1	1	2	2
Strong Sell	0	0	0	0	0	0
Total	20	20	20	20	20	20

Latest Forecasts

Analyst	Firm	Rating	Rating	Action	Price Target	Upside	Date
Matt Greene Goldman Sachs	Goldman Sachs	Hold Maintains 7,700p → 8,100p	Hold	Maintains	7,700p → 8,100p	+16.98%	Jul 10, 2026
Ephrem Ravi Citi	Citi	Hold Reiterates 6,065p → 5,765p	Hold	Reiterates	6,065p → 5,765p	-16.74%	Jul 10, 2026
Dominic OKane J.P. Morgan	J.P. Morgan	Hold Maintains 8,280p → 8,250p	Hold	Maintains	8,280p → 8,250p	+19.15%	Jul 10, 2026
Alain Gabriel Morgan Stanley	Morgan Stanley	Sell Downgrades 6,900p → 6,810p	Sell	Downgrades	6,900p → 6,810p	-1.65%	Jul 8, 2026
Amos Fletcher Barclays	Barclays	Hold Reiterates 66p → 67p	Hold	Reiterates	66p → 67p	-99.03%	Jul 8, 2026

More Analyst Ratings

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year

63.86B

from 57.64B

10.79%

from 57.64B

Revenue Next Year

64.64B

from 63.86B

1.23%

from 63.86B

EPS This Year

8.39

from 6.69

25.37%

from 6.69

EPS Next Year

8.46

from 8.39

0.79%

from 8.39

Fiscal Year	FY 2021	FY 2022	FY 2023	FY 2024	FY 2025	FY 2026
Period Ending	Dec 31, 2021	Dec 31, 2022	Dec 31, 2023	Dec 31, 2024	Dec 31, 2025	Dec 31, 2026
Revenue	63.50B	55.55B	54.04B	53.66B	57.64B	63.86B
Revenue Growth	42.33%	-12.51%	-2.72%	-0.71%	7.42%	10.79%
Operating Income	29.44B	18.10B	14.96B	13.99B	14.52B	21.31B
Net Income	21.12B	12.39B	10.06B	11.55B	9.97B	13.64B
EPS	-	-	-	-	6.69	8.39
EPS Growth	-	-	-	-	-0.04%	25.37%
Forward PE	6.75	9.62	9.96	8.72	11.55	11.06
Dividend / Share	7.82	4.92	4.35	4.02	4.02	4.86
Dividend Growth	-	-37.11%	-11.59%	-7.59%	-	21.00%
Free Cash Flow	14.85B	7.30B	7.19B	5.08B	3.50B	10.28B
No. Analysts	-	-	-	-	-	21

EPS and Forward PE are based on non-GAAP adjusted numbers.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue	2026	2027	2028
High	70.4B
Avg	63.9B
Low	58.5B

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth	2026	2027	2028
High	22.1%
Avg	10.8%
Low	1.6%

EPS Forecast

EPS	2026	2027	2028
High	10.15
Avg	8.39
Low	6.82

EPS Growth

EPS Growth	2026	2027	2028
High	51.7%
Avg	25.4%
Low	1.8%