Morning, everyone. I'm Carl Cowling, Group CEO, and I'm here with Robert Moorhead, our Group CFO and COO. Thanks for coming. It's great to see those of you who are here in person, welcome to everyone who's joined on the webcast. As usual, we'll give you an update on our performance for the six months ending the 28th of February 2023, we'll also run through the highlights and important strategic tenders we have won across the globe. In a moment, I will hand over to Robert, who'll take you through the numbers, I will then take you through the operational performance of the business, we will end with your questions. Before handing over to Robert, a quick overview from me, turning to slide three.
We've had a strong H1 , delivering profits of GBP 45 million. The group continues to trade ahead of 2019 levels. I've been saying for a while now that the group is in its strongest ever position as a global travel retailer. I'm pleased to say that these results reinforce my confidence in the business as it goes from strength to strength. This has been an excellent half, successfully opening 62 new stores across North America, the rest of the world, and in the U.K., with 60 new stores won. This takes our new store pipeline to over 120 stores due to open over the next three years. The strong momentum we saw at the end of last year is continuing. With passenger numbers still not yet at pre-COVID levels, there's a lot more sales to go for.
We continue to see substantial growth opportunities using our broad suite of brands across the globe, particularly in North America. It's been another half of executing our strategy, and at the core of everything we do, and a key driver of our success, is our ongoing forensic approach to retailing across each of our divisions. Finally, the interim dividend reflects the strength of our current trading and a high level of confidence going forward. Turning to the next slide. I thought it would be helpful to remind you of the shape of the group as it stands today. The WH Smith of 2023 is very much a global travel retailer.
We do have a robust and cash-generative U.K. high street business, the growth engine of the group is our global travel business, which will represent over 70% of group revenue and around 85% of group profits from trading operations at the end of this financial year. The group is now in a stronger position given the actions we've taken to strengthen our travel business internationally. Our North American business will be our second-largest division behind Travel U.K. in profit terms by the end of this financial year and substantially ahead of our U.K. high street division. Our one-stop-shop format for travel essentials in the U.K. continues to increase our spend per passenger and drive ATV, and it is increasingly successful. More to come on this later in the presentation.
What is key is that we've been able to harness the potential from the InMotion and MRG acquisitions made in 2018 and 2019. Since acquiring these businesses, we have already opened close to 90 stores in North America and won a further 60 stores there. We've successfully exported the InMotion brand outside of the U.S. More generally, we are seeing consistent market share growth across travel retail as we continue to capitalize on the many opportunities that exist. I'll now hand over to Robert, who'll take you through the numbers.
Good morning, everyone. Let's start off with the group financial summary. As usual, the numbers I'm going to refer to are pre-IFRS 16. There are some bridges to IFRS 16 in the appendix. We had a strong H1 reflecting the continued momentum from all our initiatives and the continued recovery in passenger numbers. Revenue at GBP 859 million was up 41% on last year. Headline profit for the half was GBP 45 million, ahead of company compiled consensus and GBP 31 million ahead of last year. EPS was 23.3%, more than triple last year. Free cash flow in the half was an outflow of GBP 66 million, reflecting the investment in the business and some timing. For the full year, we expect to generate positive free cash, and I'll come onto all this later.
As we said in November, we expect full year CapEx to be around GBP 150 million, reflecting the size of the growth opportunities we have. With strong trading and our confidence in the outlook, we've announced an interim dividend of 8.1p per share. As before, we expect the interim to reflect about a third of the dividend for the full year. Moving on to revenue. On slide 7, you can see that total group revenue for the half was GBP 859 million, up 41% on last year. This very strong recovery has been driven by all three divisions in travel, which in total was up 75% on last year. Like-for-like revenue in travel was flat to 2019, despite passenger numbers still well below 2019 levels, showing the strength of our performance.
Passenger numbers are continuing to recover. The business will see further increases in revenue. Travel was over two-thirds of group revenue in the half, and for the full year, we expect it to be over 70% of group revenue as it continues its strong growth. Our North American business continues to perform strongly, both in airports and in Las Vegas. TSA data improved to be down around 4% versus 2019 in the H1 . Our like-for-like performance in North America remains strong. It's worth noting that in the equivalent period in 2019, we saw exceptionally strong sales in InMotion, driven by the newly launched Apple AirPods. In the rest of air and in Las Vegas, like-for-like revenue is nicely ahead of 2019. The rest of the world saw the strongest pickup as markets opened up and we opened new stores.
There's more to come here, too, as Asia and Australia are still well below 2019 passenger numbers. High Street, including our internet businesses, generated revenue of GBP 266 million. Our store business performed steadily and was slightly ahead of 2022. Funky Pigeon generated a revenue of GBP 17 million. We're pleased with the start to the H2 , with travel after the first seven weeks at 59% ahead of 2019. Looking forward, this is likely to be the last time we report against 2019, as it is becoming a progressively less relevant comparison. Let's look at UK Travel in a bit more detail on the next slide. UK Travel performed strongly in the half, with like-for-like revenue versus 2019 up 2% and up 52% versus 2022.
In total, revenue was up 19% on 2019 and 66% on 2022. This was driven by our biggest channel, air, where like-for-like sales versus 2019 were up 4%, despite passenger numbers still 15% below 2019 during the period. In total, air was up 35% on 2019, and this includes the rollout of the 30 InMotion stores, where we now believe the brand can deliver annual revenue of around GBP 90 million, well ahead of our original forecast. Hospitals, our second-largest channel, has performed strongly. We've opened four stores in the H1 , with a further 6 to open in the balance of year. Rail, despite the impact of industrial action, has performed creditably, with like-for-like revenue down 8% on 2019.
Without strikes, this channel would have been closer to down 1%, showing the strength of the recovery here, too. Our performance in the first seven weeks of the H2 was strong, led by air, where we had a very good performance over Easter, despite passenger numbers still well below 2019. During the half, we opened seven stores in UK travel, and on an ongoing basis, we see 10-15 new stores on average each year, which will be across all three channels. Turning now to the income statement. Headline profit before tax for the half was GBP 45 million, compared to GBP 14 million last year. Travel delivered a profit of GBP 47 million, compared to GBP 10 million last year, an improvement of GBP 37 million. In UK travel, profit improved by GBP 28 million to GBP 31 million, driven by the recovery in revenue and stronger margins.
In North America, we saw an improvement of GBP 6 million to a profit of GBP 14 million. As we saw in the U.K., this performance was driven by revenue and improved margins. There's a small FX benefit in here, too, of around GBP 2 million. Our North American business is now our second-biggest business by profit after U.K. travel, with significant scope for further growth. The group is subject to movements in the dollar exchange rate when translating the results of its U.S. operations into sterling, and a $0.05 move results in a change to H2 profit of around GBP 2 million. In the rest of the world, we also saw a good improvement and a swing of GBP 3 million, benefiting from an improving performance, particularly in Europe and Australia.
As we move on from COVID, the business is significantly better placed for revenue growth, and this, combined with cost leverage, will also drive margin accretion. High Street delivered a profit of GBP 24 million, as expected. We still see significant scope for cost savings, particularly rent, the business is on track to deliver cost savings of GBP 13 million in this financial year. Overall, group profit from trading operations was GBP 71 million. Central costs are higher year-on-year, as expected. This reflects increased share-based payment costs and investing as the business recovers. Financing costs at GBP 13 million includes non-cash accretion of GBP 4 million relating to the convertible bond. That left headline profit before tax at GBP 45 million. Turning now to the cash flow. There are three key points here for the H1 .
First, we generated GBP 90 million of operating cash flows as the business increased its profitability in the year, demonstrating the cash-generative nature of the group. Second, the investment made in the business with CapEx in the half is GBP 60 million, including the new store opening program. We opened 62 new stores, including a further 29 in North America. We anticipate CapEx spend for this year to be around GBP 150 million, which includes opening over 110 new stores, reflecting both the opportunities we have plus our confidence in the markets in which we operate. Third, working capital was an outflow of GBP 79 million in the period. As you will remember, our working capital cadence in the group has always been a large outflow in the H1 as a result of the seasonality in travel.
This year is no exception, and around GBP 40 million relates to that. The balance is primarily the investment in new stores and the recovering travel business. Taking into account the working capital cadence and the substantial level of operating cash flows generated in the H2 , we expect to generate a free cash inflow for the year as a whole. Looking now at our net debt on the next slide. Net debt at the end of the half was GBP 378 million.
As well as the free cash movement, we then had GBP 16 million of outflow on non-trading items, of which the biggest item is the GBP 12 million final dividend announced in November and paid in January. In a rising interest rate environment, it's worth pointing out that over 70% of our debt has a fixed coupon with a convertible bond paying interest at 1.625%. Let me remind you of our maturity profile at the end of February. We have GBP 126 million of term loan and GBP 250 million of undrawn RCF both maturing in April 2025, and the convertible out to May 2026. We have plenty of liquidity and capacity to invest. We expect full year net debt to be around GBP 325 million-GBP 335 million.
We're targeting an efficient balance sheet with a leverage envelope of between 0.75 times and 1.25 times EBITDA. We expect to be close to the top end of that leverage envelope at the end of August 2023 and to be annualizing within it at that point too. This includes our significant investment program. Finally, let me remind you of our capital allocation policy. We remain focused on our disciplined approach to capital allocation, and our capital allocation policy remains unchanged. Firstly, investing in CapEx where returns are ahead of our cost of capital. Secondly, paying a dividend. We have a progressive dividend policy with a target dividend cover of 2.5 times. Third, undertaking value-creating acquisitions and then returning surplus cash to shareholders via share buybacks. I'll now hand back to Carl to talk about the operational performance of the business.
Thank you, Robert. Let's start with travel, which as I explained at the beginning of the presentation, is the growth engine of our business. Turning to the next slide. This is a slide that we've shown you before, but it's important to emphasize that we have a clear four-pillar strategy to deliver consistent and sustainable growth. Firstly, increasing the quantity and quality of our space. This includes our ability to develop and evolve our formats, which we've been really successful at over the past couple of years and has underpinned our ability to consistently win new business. Secondly, increasing average transaction value and conversion. We do this by re-engineering our ranges and continue to see a double-digit increase across all of our channels, and importantly, we expect this to continue to grow.
Third, category development, where we continue to broaden our categories, for example, premium food, health and beauty, and tech. The final driver, of course, focuses on cost and cash management, particularly as we look to invest for the future. Turning now to North America, our fastest-growing travel business. Before I go into the detail of our business in North America, I thought it'd be helpful to remind you of the considerable benefits of the acquisitions we made in 2018 and 2019, InMotion and MRG. Since we acquired both businesses, we've been focusing on improving both the quantity and quality of our space, and LaGuardia is a great example of this, where we've moved from a small store to a much larger walk-through format.
Roll forward to today, we've successfully merged the two businesses and are now trading from 320 stores with 37 opening in this financial year alone. We have a very strong pipeline of openings to come, including some significant wins in Canada. As such, North America now represents around 50% of our international store estate, and the potential for further growth is really exciting. At the same time as growing our store estate, we're expecting to generate over GBP 50 million of profit from this business in the current financial year, which is double the pro forma profits at the time of acquisition. All this despite the disruption caused by the pandemic. A real step change in both executing our store opening program, winning more significant tenders to build the pipeline, and delivering better returns than we'd originally expected.
Turning now to slide 17 and the scale of the opportunity in this market. We currently have a low market share in the world's largest travel market. We've continued with our strong track record of winning tenders in the US. What's very clear is we have a formula that can provide landlords with an attractive proposition, which is a tailored approach to store design and localization. Looking ahead to 2024, we expect to be trading around 380 stores in the US. I know I've shown you the graph on the screen before, but I think it really demonstrates the growth potential and scale of opportunity for both MRG and InMotion.
From our analysis of the North American market, we know that there are a total of around 2,000 news, gift, and specialty retail stores across the largest airports, giving our North America business a market share of around 13%. On the screen, you can see the top 25 airports. The dark blue line shows you how many stores we have either open or have won in each of these top airports, with the light blue section showing you the scale of opportunity in each airport in terms of stores that are dedicated to our categories. If you take Newark Airport, which I'll come on to, where most of the retail space has been tendered over the past 18 months, we've won considerable business there.
This gives you an idea of the scale of opportunity available. We expect a significant amount of business to come to the market over the medium term. Turning now to the next slide. I thought it'd be helpful to go into a bit more detail on how meaningful these significant tender wins are to us. We've been steadily growing our presence in the New York region. This started with LaGuardia, and more recently, we have enjoyed some considerable success at Newark with an important 15-year contract. Giving Newark some context, its passenger numbers are comparable to Gatwick here in the U.K., so a substantial airport. Within the new Terminal A, which has only recently opened, we've won 13 new stores totaling over 60% of the retail space within the terminal.
Seven stores opened in January. We are pleased to say that they are trading well, and we will open the remaining six later this year. We have also applied our latest productivity and efficiency learnings here by introducing self-service tills following a successful trial at the end of last year to lower our cost to serve. Feedback from both the landlord and customers has been extremely positive. We're seeing strong financial returns. All of this is underpinned by our forensic approach to retailing and the four key pillars of our strategy. Turning now to our Rest of the World business. We focus a lot on North America. I'm equally excited by the prospects in our Rest of the World division.
We have a very clear strategy here to enter new countries and to build our presence from a small base while taking the learnings, creating efficiencies such as our EU distribution hub, and building our global supplier relationships, all while delivering good returns. As some of you may remember, we opened our first international stores in 2008 in Denmark. Since then, we've made significant progress entering new markets and winning significant tenders using our three economic models of directly run, joint venture, and franchise. While we are now present in 28 countries, there are still very significant market share opportunities in the international travel retail market. The strategy has been successful.
If you take Spain as an example, we opened our first store in Alicante Airport in 2016, and today we are trading from 43 stores with a further eight stores won and due to open either this summer or into next year, taking us to 51 stores won across Spain. Similarly, in Australia, where we started in Melbourne 12 years ago, we now have over 60 stores across all the major airports. The same applies to Scandinavia, where we've grown from five stores to 34 stores either won or open today. Turning now to the next slide. As you've just heard, we're in a strong position and we continue to win new business. We've had another very successful half, winning 15 new stores.
What's clear is that part of our more recent success in winning new tenders has been as a result of our utilizing our expertise from the U.S. in terms of localizing our store designs and product ranges. This has been particularly important in winning new business in both Brussels and Oslo. You can see these stores on the screen. Looking at the past six months, we have successfully opened 26 new stores across Australia, Spain, Belgium and Malaysia. All of these stores were delivered and opened on plan, and they are all trading well. We have also focused on areas to drive profitability further, including driving ATV and increasing conversion, as well as developing our formats, and we're seeing good results. Turning now to the next slide.
Before we move on to our UK Travel business, I wanted to remind you that we also see further good growth opportunities globally in the technology market under our InMotion brand. We have successfully exported the brand from the U.S. and won many tenders since, not least our big win in the U.K. across all airports. The brand is now present in six different countries outside of North America. During the H1 , we've won a further three new stores in Rome, and we continue to see further good space growth opportunities, particularly in Australia and Europe. Turning now to our UK Travel business. Travel U.K. is our biggest division, and its prospects for continued growth are excellent.
Passenger numbers in air still remain around 15% below pre-pandemic levels. This gives us confidence that the profitability of this business will continue to improve, not least from the return in passengers. In addition, we continue to invest in our store portfolio in the U.K., while also identifying new and better quality space opportunities across each of our channels and developing our categories. During the half, we have made further good progress opening seven new stores, including London City Airport, four in hospitals and two rail stores, including our first standalone M&S food store at Glasgow Queen Street station. We're on track to open a further 11 stores in the H2 . Across all our channels, we continue to focus on format and category development to increase our spend per passenger and drive ATV. This is delivering excellent results with revenue growing ahead of passenger numbers.
We're excited for the prospects in our UK travel business in the short term for the peak summer season ahead and also beyond. We will continue to focus on the key growth drivers, space growth, increasing ATV and spend per passenger, driving EBIT margins and of course the recovery in passenger numbers. Turning now to our one-stop shop format on the next slide. This format continues to generate significant opportunities across all channels and improve profitability. We have a very strong customer proposition here, which is tailored to each location and channel. You may remember we opened a large format, one-stop shop across Heathrow Terminal 2 and Gatwick to include a pharmacy. These stores are trading extremely well, and this summer we will begin the refit of our largest store at Birmingham Airport to open another store under this format.
Using the same format in rail, we opened a store at Euston Station last year, which is performing particularly strongly. In addition, we continue to see further opportunities in our smaller stores by better utilizing our space and extending our categories such as health and beauty, tech and food to go, to provide more customers with all their travel retail essentials under one roof and importantly, convert more people to more products which in turn increases our spend per passenger. We've successfully introduced this to a number of stores across air and hospitals, and we're expanding this into eight major network rail locations this summer. It appeals to customers and landlords also like it as it increases the pound per square meter of selling space. It's good for us as it increases our spend per passenger and drives ATV.
Turning now to our focus on category development on the next slide. We continue to focus on category development across all channels, further supporting our drive to increase ATV and spend per passenger. I'm very pleased with the progress we're making in food, where we've worked hard to improve our ranges by introducing premium third-party brands such as YO! Sushi, Crussh, and M&S. During the H2 , we will be introducing more chiller space in air and rail ahead of our peak trading period to support further the growth in this category. As a result, our overall food sales in Travel U.K. are up 54% versus 2019. Turning to the next slide on page 27, and I'll summarize our performance on travel. The outlook for the travel business is very strong.
We had a strong H1 of the year, the H2 has started well. In line with many industry commentators, we remain optimistic that passenger numbers will fully recover by next year. As you've heard, we are already trading ahead of 2019 levels. As Robert has said, as the revenue of the businesses continue to improve, the operational fixed cost ratios will also result in an improvement in margins and profitability. Finally, the scale of the opportunities, including winning new space across all our territories and developing our customer proposition, means that we are very excited by the short and long-term prospects of our travel business. Moving on now to our high street business.
Our high street business delivered a good performance in the half, delivering profits of GBP 24 million as we continue to focus on the retail fundamentals and our forensic approach to retailing. Our high street strategy is as relevant today as it's ever been and ensures that the cash flow and profits of this business are sustainable. During the half, we saw a particularly strong performance in books, supported by Prince Harry's book Spare. We also delivered a good Mother's Day performance across both our stores and funkypigeon.com. Looking at cost savings, during the half, we delivered savings of GBP 7 million, slightly ahead of plan. These savings come from right across the business, including rent reductions at lease end of around 50% as well as supply chain efficiencies.
As many of you know, we've worked hard over the past 10 years to create a very flexible lease portfolio in the high street with short leases where our average lease length is now just under two years. This has set us up very well to respond quickly to changing market conditions. We have around 450 leases due to expire over the next three years. Given this rolling program of lease renewals, we therefore have further opportunities to renegotiate our occupation costs going forward and expect rent reductions to remain a key component of our future cost reduction strategy. Even with years of savings, the high street cost base is still substantial, and we continue to see opportunities for further savings. Turning now to how we continue to deliver against our ESG commitments. We have excellent sustainability credentials, and we continue to make good progress.
Over the past six months, you can see some of our achievements in the table on the screen, including being the top performing specialty retailer in Morningstar's Sustainalytics ESG Benchmark. We are included once again in the Dow Jones Sustainability World Index, and we've been awarded an A rating in CDP's annual Climate Leadership Survey and recognized for our work on supplier engagement. We've set our target to achieve net zero and are now engaging our supply chain to work with us to reduce emissions across our value chain. 20 of our suppliers, covering approximately a quarter of our supply chain, already have carbon reduction plans in place. The need for literacy support for disadvantaged children is as important as ever, and we continue to invest in our partnership with the National Literacy Trust.
When we think about our colleagues and our commitment to them, we've made really good progress. We've increased the pay award for all colleagues to support with the cost of living pressures and also expedited the pay award for store colleagues. Our DEI activities have continued apace. We now have a board led by a female chair and for the first time more women than men on the board. We also continue to improve gender representation at senior executive levels. Our gender and LGBTQ+ networks have been strengthened. We relaunched a reciprocal mentoring scheme for executive team members with underrepresented groups. We have also launched a mentoring scheme specifically targeting female talent within our organization. We remain committed to developing our colleagues' skills. We've recently launched digital learning skill sessions to support learning both inside and outside the workplace.
It's been really encouraging to see a year-on-year improvement in our employee engagement survey. Turning now to our final slide to summarize. The group is in its strongest ever position. Looking ahead, we are confident that we will be successful in winning new business across the globe. We are extremely well positioned, and we already have a strong pipeline of over 120 store openings across the next three years, and that's in addition to opening 62 stores in the H1 . We expect to see substantial further growth in profitability in the balance of this financial year, with North America becoming an increasingly significant part of the group. As you've heard, we expect this business to deliver over GBP 50 million of profit in this financial year.
We continue to invest for growth, with CapEx in the year expected to be around GBP 150 million. This, along with the interim dividend announced today, reflects the strength of current trading and high levels of confidence in the future prospects of the group. We are a profitable, cash generative, and innovative group. As always, we remain focused on creating value for our shareholders. That's it for me. Thank you, and we'll now take your questions, starting with those of you in the room.
Thanks. Good morning. Jonathan Pritchard at Peel Hunt. Three from me if I may. In the U.S., the maturity profile of the stores, please, how quickly do they get to maturity, and what sort of cash payback are we seeing in the States? I'll stay in the States. This sort of secret sauce that you have, the localization, I think they say imitation is the purest form of flattery. Why don't the oppo copy you a little bit here? Is there something especially secret? Obviously, you probably won't reveal it, do you know what I mean? I think you know what I'm getting at. Secondly, one-stop shops, what's the potential long term in the U.K. to roll that format out or evolve into that format?
Do you wanna take the first one, Robert, on the US, and I'll take the secret sauce and the one-stop shop.
Morning, Jonathan. The maturity profile is not dissimilar that we see elsewhere in the world. It does depend. If it's a new terminal, then it does have a bearing on when the passengers get transferred over to that terminal and when they go to the gates where the stores may be. Broadly, it's exactly the same as we see elsewhere in the world. The comps are slightly different. CapEx is slightly higher. The rents tend to be slightly lower, and the contracts tend to be slightly longer. You put that all together, pretty similar to what we see everywhere else in the world.
The secret sauce, Jonathan, it's the secret sauce. No, the business that we bought, MRG, they grew up 50 years ago doing bespoke shop designs in hotels and casinos in Las Vegas. That is their bread and butter. That is their secret sauce. That's how they grew as a retailer, they've refined that for airports, we are learning from them about how to better do that in Europe and the U.K. They're just several steps ahead of the competition in terms of being able to localize and being able to really bring local partners into that environment and making it look really bespoke to that city. If anything, our clear air with the competition has grown.
What we're able to do now with landlords is to be able to show examples of where we've launched those stores and the sales results. You know, I think there will be moves from the competition to try and do something different, but all I can say to you at this stage is that the clear air that we've got has only grown. In terms of the one-stop shop rollout, I'm very excited by this. Andrew Harrison, the MD of our UK travel business at the front, he's incredibly excited as well. And I think it's just such a no-brainer for customers.
If you're rushing through a travel environment like an airport or a railway station, being able to pick up all of those things that you need under one roof when you're in a hurry is just so important. A magazine, pain relief, a charger for your phone, a sandwich, having that all under one roof is very compelling. Whenever we see that we expand our ranges, we're seeing more and more benefits from that. Do I think we're gonna see lots of the stores, including pharmacies, across air and rail? I don't.
What I think you will see, and rapidly see over the course of the next year, two years, is an expansion in our health and beauty and tech accessory ranges, such that when you go into a WHSmith, it's not news, books, convenience, it is that one-stop shop, and you'll increasingly see that across all of our channels.
Thank you. Morning. It's Richard Chamberlain at RBC. Can I ask a couple of questions, please? The first one's on the high street. I was wondering about the high street margin in the H1 , to what extent it was affected by mix changes, say, books versus stationery, or were there any other sort of one-offs that affected the margin in H1, and how confident are you of improving that in H2 or maybe actually growing profits year-on-year in the H2 on the high street? The second one was on the UK travel. How disrupted was that in the H1 by, you know, rail strikes, et cetera?
Can you put any sort of numbers on that or give us a sense of what the, what the impact of disruption was? Thanks.
Would you be able to take the first one, Robert? I'll take the second.
Richard, no real change from mix effects in the high street in the H1 . Stationery is still the highest margin category.
Mm-hmm.
We're still delivering good sales through stationery. In terms of H2 , I think most people got us in for a profit just below double digits for the H2 , which I think leaves us in a good position overall for the year, broadly where we were last year in total for high street.
Okay.
Yeah. No real change to the economics.
Okay.
In terms of UK travel and rail strikes, we've managed to absorb the impact. If it hadn't been for the rail strikes, we would've been flat in 2019. That's how substantial it's been. We've had a number of days where trading has been very poor.
Mm-hmm.
On the weeks and days where we haven't had rail strikes, even though passenger numbers are down 20% in rail, we're pretty much flat on 2019, and if it weren't for those strikes in the H1 , we would've maintained that flat position.
Okay. Thank you.
Thank you. John Stevenson from Peel Hunt. Just following on from one of the early questions, can you talk about your win rate or conversion rate on, in the U.S. at the moment? I mean, given you're just taking 60% of Newark on a new terminal?
You've got proof of concept. Are you finding that actually your win rate, conversion rate is improving? What's the sort of run rate like in terms of, you know, the contracts that expires in those sort of top 25 airports going forward? Second question just on the security changes that are coming up over the next year or so. How important are liquids in terms of as a footfall driver?
Right. In terms of the win rate, broadly, the tenders that we're going in, we're winning around 50%, which is a really, really strong hit rate for tenders considering we're going up against two very large dominant players in the US. It's really difficult to predict a run rate. We have to be quite cautious because landlords never give a timetable of when tenders come up, or if they do, often those timetables can slip and can slip by as much as a year or two years. All I can say is that when the tenders come up and we go into them, we win a substantial chunk of the business, and more often than not, well, in fact, most of the time, we're never the incumbent.
Our contracts are all quite new. All of the tenders that tend to come up typically are contracts that are owned by Dufry or Lagardère. In terms of the security changes, in terms of liquids, it was quite a while ago that it happened and there was that switch, and what we saw was a massive change in our landside sales going down, and going down significantly, and our airside sales going up. There will be a little bit of redevelopment there. You know, our spread of our business is very different now. We've got so many different categories, and I was touching on the presentation in the questions, the one-stop shop. Yeah, we're less reliant on just categories like drinks.
You know, we've got tech accessories, we've got food, we've got health and beauty. You know, it's a change that we'll manage. We're already seeing some airports experimenting with it now, so we're already getting a good flavor of what will be the change in consumer dynamics. When we start seeing the change in bigger airports like Heathrow and Gatwick, we'll have a plan in terms of how we're gonna equalize or grow our sales.
Right. It's not like liquids are sort of the gateway drug, if you like, to the wider offering people are coming in for.
No.
Yeah.
No. I think we feel pretty confident in that.
Thank you.
Morning. Tim Barrett from Numis. I had two questions on travel, please. Firstly, around the U.S., your $50 million commentary around U.S. profits. Interested in the factors behind that. Obviously, it's not like-for-like sales yet, but is it synergies or new openings that have driven the above business case performance? Just also interested in that guidance around 50 new openings a year. It feels like natural conservatism, but can you put that in the context of the 62 that you've opened in the H1 ? Thank you.
Well, in terms of U.S. do you want to take U.S. profitability, Robert? You know, I…
Sure.
Get you into trouble, out of my comfort zone.
What's driven it? I guess, when we There are three things really. There's certainly some synergies that we've been able to do in the U.S., and particularly if you think back to we had two head offices in the U.S. We had Jacksonville for InMotion, and we had Las Vegas for MRG. We've been able to bang the two together, and so we've been able to take out costs from that point of view. We've certainly used some of our commercial knowledge and ways of working in the U.K. and applied those to North America, and that was always in the plan, those synergies have been coming through nicely. You have the space growth, and when we did the acquisitions, we knew we had space growth opportunities.
We've overachieved on the space growth. I think we've done better than we had originally thought in our business case. You wouldn't be surprised to hear we are quite prudent in the way that we put our business case together. We've done better and continue to do better than we had in the business case. Then it's all the other forensic approach to retailing that we've been able to take over there. The way that we look at our return on space, our pricing, our promotions, all that sort of sophistication we've been able to apply to North America and continue to do so.
Overall, I'd expect to see the margins continuing to improve in North America, and we hope to see an increasing level of profitability as we open more space, take the opportunities of the operational leverage, and continue to see this business grow significantly over the medium term.
In terms of the pipeline, It's not necessarily that we're cautious, it's just that it's very difficult to give a forecast because of this lack of timetable. There certainly has been an acceleration in tenders over the past kind of 18 months coming out of COVID, because there a lot of airports went dormant. We don't expect the volume of tenders to be as high over the next 12 months. All we can do is to look at the past history and be relatively prudent. Hopefully, we can beat that number. As things stand today, with all that we know about past performance, it seems like a reasonably good forecast.
Hi. Hi, Matt Garland from Deutsche Bank. I just had two questions. I guess 30 stores or so closed in the H1 . Just in terms of, I guess, number of additional stores that you think are likely to be closed and maybe where geographically they may be, is it, I guess, on a net store basis, how should we sort of be thinking about the next couple of years? Second question, just in terms of input costs, how are you seeing those trends sort of over the next six months to a year? Obviously, I know you do them far in advance, but just what are the sort of trends that you're seeing in terms of your input costs? Thanks.
I mean, in terms of the closures, I think going forward when we look over the next few, sort of the next 12 to 18 months, it's 9 and 10 in terms of the planned ones as a result of the pipeline that we've got in place of that 120. We will be coming out of smaller, less productive space and going into better space as we win more business. There will be smaller levels of closure in travel going forward.
Sorry, in terms of the input costs?
In terms of what, sorry?
The input costs, the trends that you're sort of seeing in your input costs.
Well, in terms of, well, from suppliers.
From suppliers, yes.
Well, I mean, we have a mix of categories. We operate a number of fixed price categories, news, magazines, books where you tend to get relatively static prices. We don't have the same inflationary pressures as a lot of retailers and especially in terms of the overall food retailers. Within our sphere of categories, it's all manageable. We're not experiencing a big issue at all.
Are you seeing, I guess, any alleviation of those input costs as you look forward, or not particularly?
Not at the moment, no.
Thank you.
Good morning. It's Harry Gowers from J.P. Morgan. First one just on North America. Profit's expected to double this year versus the pro forma pre-pandemic total, I think, and you've got the impact from the pandemic in there. Question is, when could it double again from the current level in terms of the run rate? If you could give a little bit in terms of the midterm outlook for ATV. I think you mentioned some of the categories which you can continue to expand, but how much incremental change do you think you can actually drive from here? Thanks.
Okay. Well, I mean, we're not giving a forecast to double our profits in the US. That said, we do see substantial opportunity in the US. I mean, we've got a big pipeline in terms of opening stores already, and we would like to think that we will continue to have a very high rate of winning stores. There are obviously efficiencies with going with that in terms of our head office cost and improving the EBIT margin. It would be imprudence of me to declare a doubling at this stage. In terms of ATV, I think I'd probably be a bit more positive about that.
I see as many opportunities now as I did two years ago. I think there is still a lot of opportunity in terms of rolling out categories like health and beauty, tech accessories, strengthening our food range, strengthening the offers for customers for all of their travel essentials across all air, rail, and also in hospitals as well. I still think there's a lot of opportunity to grow ATV. Our ATV is still relatively small. It's still around GBP 10.
You know, so being able to grow a further 10%, 20% in absolute GBP terms is not very much, and by putting a better range of products in front of customers, giving them more choice, I think we've still got a lot that we can do, and we would, we would say we are really, really good at space management. Unlike some retailers who sort of grade their stores, we have store-specific planograms. We can, we can forensically go into each store and change the ranges and alter the space of those stores to meet with the customers that are going through those stores. We'll continue to operate that way, and I think we'll still have a lot of opportunity.
Hi.
Hey.
Kate Calvert here from Investec. I have two questions for me. The first one is on the rest of the world travel business and its margin. How do you see the margin progression over the next three years? Do you need to put more central cost in given the number of wins and potential for new countries, or are you in a position to start leveraging your margin now? The second question is on Funky Pigeon. How long do you think it might take you to get back to peak profits? We'll try another cheeky question.
Do you want to take the first, and I'll take Pigeon?
Okay. In terms of the rest of the world, we, the margins this year are, I think, around 6% most people have got in. They are lower than I certainly be going than they would be going forward as a result of the significant opening program that we've got in the rest of the world and the fact that places like Australia and Singapore are still yet to come back to where they were in 2019. We're not getting all the operational leverage through there. Over time, I expect us to get through to double digits, in terms of that margin accretion, but it'll take a number of years to get there, as we continue to open new stores and invest in opening those new stores. The margin should accrete over time.
In terms of Funky Pigeon, it'll take a while. I mean, it was a very obscure year. It was a year when the vast majority of card retailers across high streets were closed. I think as with other pure plays in a specific sector, it's gonna be very hard to recover that because, of course, the marketing costs were significantly lower as well. We had a good Mother's Day, and we see our business building with Funky next year, but we don't see it building back to anything like the profit levels that we had in the COVID year.
Thank you.
Sorry.
Thank you. It's Richard Taylor from Barclays. Three questions, please. Firstly, on the 120 sites, one but not yet open, can you give us a feel for the sort of average square footage or profit potential of those sites versus the existing traveler estate that you've got? Is that better space, worse space, in line? Secondly, I think it's the first time you've mentioned the Canadian market. Can you just give us a bit more detail on the opportunities there, market size, competitive environment, other contracts similar to the US with non-controlling interests? Then finally, a follow-up to the Funky Pigeon question. The reduction in EBITDA in H1 versus last year, is that partly normalization post-COVID, partly marketing costs post-data breach or a bit of both? Some color on that will be welcome.
Thank you.
Robert, do you want to take one and three, and then I'll do Canada at the end? In terms of the pipeline, broadly the same as we're seeing elsewhere. Nothing particularly special in terms of size or returns or anything like that. I would say in line and as before. In terms of Funky in the H1 , a little bit of all three of those things coming into play. Expecting the H2 to be better. Obviously, year-on-year, it should be significantly better given that we were impacted last year in the H2 .
But it's a function of all those things, and as Carl has already said, you know, we're not gonna get back to the sort of COVID level of profitability, as volumes are lower than they were. In terms of Canada, it is really exciting. To win it to big airports is important. I mean, we can't get overly excited by it. It's a much smaller country than the U.S. I think it's got around 40 million population.
We've got a couple of tiny stores in Vancouver. To have Calgary, I think is really important, and it's sort of having a presence in three airports in what is a very, very duty free dominated airport retail environment, I think gives us a really good in to win further space. It's an important country to be part of. It, on the face of it seems to be like an easy, an easy country to operate in. We think there will be further opportunities from this.
Paul Rossington from HSBC. Can you just talk about any other potential opportunities you see coming out of the duty free Autogrill tie-up? Do you see there being any fallout or where they may be forced to exit some airports in the U.S. that might give you an opportunity?
Well, we haven't heard any of that yet. The they, you know, if you listen to them, it's only positive opportunities. We certainly haven't heard any fallout from them having to release space. All I can say is that hopefully it provides distraction. You know, all of their messaging is around looking at food and beverage, for us, that's great. We're a specialist retailer. We just focus on specialist retail. Hopefully there will be some level of distraction there, as there will be in other competitive quarters that will allow us to continue winning business across the globe. I'm not sure I've got any more comment than that. Any more? Or should we go into questions from the...
Oh, no. Oh, no. Sorry.
Thank you. It's Nicolas Katsapas from BNP Paribas Exane. I just had one question on the North American opportunity in rail and possibly other formats. Could you update us on your thinking there?
Well, we've got two stores in rail now. We've got one at Moynihan Train Hall and one at Penn Train Hall in New York, and both are doing well. There is an opportunity there, but it's, you know, it's nothing like the business that we'll see in the UK. Really, we don't wanna get distracted in the US. The opportunity in airports is just so huge and I think, you know, distracting ourselves and looking at other channels and focusing on other channels would probably not be wise at the moment. That said, we do have two very successful stores in rail, and as we continue to perfect those, maybe that opportunity will become greater in time. In the interest of time, should we go on to the Webex for any questions?
Should we open it to the sky? Not?
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Going well, well, isn't it?
No questions.
Well, that sums it up.
There are currently no questions registered.
Well, look, thank you everyone. Thanks for coming. It's been a really great turnout. We had a really good H1 , we're looking forward to a strong H2 . Thank you for all your support.
Well done.