Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our Q3 FY26 trading update. This is Brian Duffy, our CEO, joined by Anders, our CFO, and Caroline, Group Finance and Investor Relations Director. I'll do some introductory remarks, and then we'll, of course, open for the Q&A at the end of that. We're really pleased with our trading performance in Q3 FY26, which obviously covers the key Christmas holiday trading period. Sales were strong across the group and pretty much a continuation of the strong trends that we reported in the H1. Demand for our key brands remains strong and continues to outstrip supply in both markets. In the US, we delivered sustained broad-based growth across categories, brand, and price points.
This reflects the strength of our model and the continued buoyancy of the luxury watch market in the U.S. Our growth projects are pre-owned, e-commerce, Roberto Coin are all performing particularly well. We were also delighted to announce the recent acquisition of Deutsch & Deutsch. This acquisition adds to our presence in Texas with a further four Rolex anchored showrooms. We're looking forward to realizing the strategic benefits of this acquisition. In the U.K., trading has also been consistent with H1. We continue to be delighted with the performance of Rolex Old Bond Street boutique. This flagship showroom has consistently delivered strong client engagement and is attracting a high level of new customers. The group is sharing key insights from the showroom across the wider estate to support the continued elevation of best-in-class luxury retail experience.
We've continued to make targeted investments in the business to support future growth. This has included showroom development projects, of course, a completely new U.S.-based e-com team, marketing investment, and investments behind Hodinkee . These investments are supporting improved profitability in the second half and, further improved profitability in future years. The strong trading performance in the quarter, combined with the early benefits from our e-commerce and marketing investments, good visibility for the balance of the year, and the contribution of Deutsch & Deutsch acquisition, all gives us confidence to raise our revenue guidance, for the year. We now expect to grow revenue by, 9%-11% constant currency, an increase from the previous 6%-10% range, that we guided to.
EBIT margin percentage will improve in the second half of the year, for the full year is now expected to range between -70 to -90 BPS versus prior year. This reflects brand margin adjustments, particularly partially offset by price increases, investment costs, and some one-off costs. Specifically, we have projected a provision in the second half of the year relating to Roberto Coin department store debtor balance following a recent Chapter 11 filing in the US, and staff incentives reflecting our sales performance. As noted earlier, the platform infrastructure investments into US e-commerce and marketing we have made and Hodinkee in the year are now largely complete and will support e-commerce sales and profitability growth in next year and beyond.
We're really pleased with our trading performance in Q3, year to date, and as forecast for the full FY26. This is particularly pleasing given the challenges that our team had, are faced in navigating what has been a very volatile year. And with this, we'll hand back to the operator and move on with the Q&A.
Well, thank you. Thank you very much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask an audio question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Just make sure that your line is not muted to allow your signal reach our equipment. So that is star one for questions. Our very first question is coming from Adrien Duverger of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Hey, good morning, Brian, Anders, and Caroline. Thank you very much for taking my questions. My first question would be on the product allocation. Could you please comment on the outlook for inventory allocation across the different brands? Is that in line with your expectations? And secondly, if you could comment on where you see inventory currently sitting, both in the U.K. and in the U.S. Then I had another question, which would be on the two main markets. How would you describe the consumer environment across the U.S. and the U.K.? And could you please also comment on the exit rates for both of these regions? Thank you very much.
Thanks, Adrien. We're obviously in the period in which we get our allocations from key brands. We've had those discussions are not complete at this point, but we have a pretty good indication that we've clearly reflected in our four-month projection for the balance of what now is a three-month projection for the balance of the year. So our allocations, it's a normal process. Nothing's really changed, and we now have certainty. We obviously have pricing as well known for what's happened at the start of the calendar year. Your second question was on inventory?
Yeah. Inventory is in good shape, both in the UK as well as in the US. In the US, actually, we would say that we might be a bit light on certain brands because some of them were holding back on shipments, waiting for the tariffs to normalize. So there's been sort of a little bit of a supply issue in the US in that sense, but overall, we're in a good place when it comes to our stock.
... Consumer mood here in the UK, I think it, my own personal view is it's a wee bit better than it was when we last reported to you. We had the budget happening in November, and, you know, you people chat about the Christmas season, what would it have been like? As it turned out for us, was a good season here in the UK. I think we are really well prepared for it, and we made some kind of nuance change, made a wee bit more emphasis on value, recognizing that that would have been important to the consumer, and I think we made some really good moves there.
So it was a good Christmas season for us, overall, and we continue to describe the U.K. as being stable, and which is what we've been saying more or less for the last 18 months. And maybe as we enter this new calendar year, my sense is, you know, there's maybe a bit of an upturn, a small upturn in the mood, but we'll see. It's early days yet. U.S. consumer is clearly a bit very buoyant and positive and confident and spending accordingly. We saw the Bank of America credit card information for January, and again very strong in our category of luxury jewelry and watches. The consumer, they are very responsive to value of financial assets, which remain very strong.
Obviously, their tax situation is net, net positive as well when we talk about the more affluent consumer. And there's no question in the US that the K-shaped, you know, consumer behavior is definitely there and evident in the market. So the consumer has been positive throughout calendar 2025, and that positivity carries into 2026 to date.
In terms of the exit rates that we've seen, there's no change in sort of the momentum going through January, so it's been a good January as well.
Yep.
Thank you very much.
Thank you, Adrien. Ladies and gentlemen, once again, if you have any questions, please press star one. Our next question is coming from Chris Huang, calling from UBS. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
Hello. Hi, it's Chris Huang from UBS. I have two questions, please. The first one on the consumer profile. You've been reporting very strong top-line growth, and especially in the U.S., that seems to be just continuing to surprise to the upside. Could you provide perhaps, you know, a bit more color on the consumer profile in terms of their age, how much of it is coming from new versus existing consumers? Anything you can share on that front would be great.
Secondly, on the margin guidance and the moving parts, if I look at the midpoint of your new guidance, which is around 10% sales growth, and this was at the high end of the previous guidance, but at the same time, if we look at margin expansion, the midpoint now sits 80% below the previous high end of flattish year-over-year. I know in the press release, you commented on several factors that is driving this incremental 80 basis points headwind, but would you be able to quantify each of them, if possible? And also connected to this, if we should expect any further headwind into fiscal 2027, please. Thank you.
Well, thanks, Chris. Consumer profile, I think we have reported to the market consistently that we're really encouraged by a younger demographic in the U.S. You know, I think people get affluent younger is one thing, but I think there's huge interest in the world of luxury watches with the young consumers in the U.S. And as our experience, even at the high end of you know, the price ranges of what we sell, there's a very active younger consumer, very knowledgeable about the category.
We obviously have now our Hodinkee media business, which again, has a younger appeal overall, and we can get, you know, further consumer insight there and into those that really love and appreciate the wonderful world of watches. So yes, it's a really encouraging thing that younger consumers really appreciate this category, appreciate mechanical watches, appreciate that the products maintain value, that they last forever. They're not disposable products, and it's a real positive for the category.
The last thing on that is, I think the influence of digital media as well clearly has a younger profile appeal to, and our category lends itself very well to digital communications through advertising, through social media, through great videos, in which you can talk about, you know, heritage and craftsmanship and, you know, modern techniques and celebrity ambassadors. I mean, everything about this category communicates very well through your laptop or your phone. So, definitely a younger consumer trend towards, you know, more women buying into the category, which is great. Much more self-purchase. The last thing about the U.S. to mention a big difference, there is a bigger concentration of collectors in the U.S. than we have experience here in the U.K.
So about 25% of our business in the U.K., it's nearer half of our business in the U.S. So, really positive things in the U.S. that give us, you know, great confidence about the future of that market. It remains an underdeveloped market, measured on a per capita basis, and the rate of growth for the market overall and for our business is very strong. You want to comment on?
Yeah, in terms of the margin profile for the second half, it's improving from what we saw in the first half. A couple of headwinds that came our way was obviously the Chapter 11 that Brian alluded to earlier with one of the department stores in the US. We've taken a prudent view on that and provided for it in our guidance. In addition to which we've had a great year. The team has done a fabulous piece of work throughout the whole year, and that's led us to taking up our variable compensation slightly versus what we expected. In addition to which, we had a product mix, you know, with pre-owned continuing to motoring on really well across sort of both markets.
Obviously, it comes at a slightly lower product margin, even though it's cash accretive. From an EBIT margin perspective, obviously, you don't get the same flow through.
Yeah, and there's someone, of course, there too. There has been an impact from margin. Obviously, the brands have had to respond to, you know, pretty unprecedented levels of cost inflation with the price of gold, with the strength of the franc, the weakness of the dollar, and now you throw tariffs on top of that. So it's a lot to navigate for the brands. I think they've been very responsible in how they've done it, overall, but that has included an element of margin adjustment for us retailers. That is offset by pricing over time, but within the fiscal year, it has a negative impact in this year. We think it washes through next year.
We have other one-off costs , like NIC, of course, that we've reported before in the U.K.
Sorry, just to follow up on that Chapter 11 of one of your partners. Are you able to tell us how much of a headwind you currently baked in, so we kind of know the sensitivity to that?
No, we're not gonna specifically comment on that, but it's obviously not helpful.
Okay, thank you.
Thank you for your question, Chris. We'll now go to Kate Calvert of Investec. Please go ahead.
Morning, everyone. Just a quick question on your project pipeline, 'cause there wasn't any comments in the statement that I remember. Have you got any delays to your project pipelines for the current financial year, or is all on track? And what are your sort of early thoughts on next year's project pipeline? Thank you.
Thanks, Kate. No, no delays. We have our usual full program of activities, both here in the U.K. and the U.S. We obviously have a new business now with the Deutsch & Deutsch, separate to store projects. We have a lot going on with Audemars. We've opened now three stores with Roberto Coin, which look fabulous. I was in the States last week with the Roberto Coin team and saw our store in Miami, which is really great. You know, we've other projects there, too. We have our e-com that we are moving onto a Shopify platform. Currently, we have Watches of Switzerland on the platform. We'll have Mayors on that platform, too, within the coming weeks. So yeah, hands are full.
We got a lot on, yeah, no change, no delays. Some really nice projects, both here in the UK and the US, coming up in the year ahead.
Can you give any more details on those projects in the year ahead?
Yeah, I mean, so in our Q3, you know, that we've kinda changed the kinda cadence of our reporting. We give a lot more information on our half year numbers, so we haven't gone through what we have done historically and listed. There's no change to what we presented and listed in the half year at this point. Big projects here in the U.K., the Glasgow boutique is a big deal. That's on schedule for the opening in early summer. At activity at Heathrow, we're working on. We haven't landed on an exact date for that, but we're advanced with Rolex on the design of all of that. So that's great.
We're working through, and we'll have completed pretty much for the end of this next fiscal year, the whole upgrade that we did to Goldsmiths and Mappin & Webb here in the UK. So yeah, looking back to half one's probably your best reference at this point, and obviously, we'll update as we complete Q4 here.
Always worth a try. Thank you very much. Thanks.
Thank you for your questions, ma'am. Ladies and gentlemen, as a final reminder, if you have any audio questions, please press star one on your telephone keypad. We'll now go to Melania Grippo of BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone. This is Melania Grippo from BNP Paribas. I've got one question on your recent acquisition of four stores in Texas. I was wondering if you could please give us an idea of what could be the store revenue uplift after the refurbishment and integration in your group?
We can't really, Melania. We don't. Honestly, we don't know at this point. It's a very recent acquisition. Clearly, our focus in these first few weeks is, you know, securing and answering all the questions from the team that are there. They are great people. We've had really good interactions, and all that's going fine. We really believe that the format that we've done here of the owner staying in their roles running the business and staying with an equity interest in the business is a really good format for the nature of acquisition in this category of family businesses. So we're working through all that. We would say, they've done a great job of refurbishing two of the four stores. They look fabulous.
But there's a lot of things that we can bring to their, their network, whether it's online, pre-owned, and some other brand developments of that nature. So, but we're working through it. We haven't clearly done budgets with them at this point yet, but we have them scheduled. And, yeah, we'll hopefully be able to answer that more in the, in the future.
Thank you.
Thank you, Melania. We'll just pause for just one moment. Okay, we do not have any further questions coming in at this time. I'll now turn the call back over to management for any additional or closing remarks. Thank you.
I think there was some other web-based questions that may be coming out. I'll be covering them all.
There is no webcast questions today. Back over to you.
Okay. Bob. Great. Thanks again, everybody, for joining the call. Huge thanks to our team for navigating through what's been an interesting and, I think, a volatile year. We are looking forward to, you know, more stable conditions as we plan our fiscal year 2027, but feel very good about where we've got to in this year. So thank you for joining us.
Thank you very much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, that will conclude today's conference. So thank you so much for your attendance. You may now disconnect. Have a good day, and goodbye.