Balrampur Chini Mills Limited (NSE:BALRAMCHIN)
India flag India · Delayed Price · Currency is INR
522.00
-3.50 (-0.67%)
May 8, 2026, 3:29 PM IST
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Q4 24/25

May 16, 2025

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Balrampur Chini Mills Limited's earnings conference call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Anoop Poojari from CDR India. Thank you, and over to you.

Anoop Poojari
Client Manager, CDR India

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us on Balrampur Chini Mills Q4 and FY 2025 results conference call. We have with us today Mr. Vivek Saraogi, Chairman and Managing Director; Ms. Avantika Saraogi, Executive Director; and Mr. Pramod Patwari, Chief Financial Officer of the company. We would like to begin the call with brief opening remarks from the management, following which we'll have the forum open for a question-and-answer session. Before we start, I would like to point out that some statements made in today's call may be forward-looking in nature, and a disclaimer to this effect has been included in the results presentation shared with you earlier. I would now like to invite Mr. Saraogi to make his opening remarks.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Thank you, Anoop, and good afternoon, and thank you for joining us on our Q4 and FY 2025 earnings conference call. I will initiate the call with an update on the current developments in the sugar sector, followed by our company's key highlights for the period under review. According to the latest estimates, India's production for season 2024-2025 is projected at 26 million on a net basis after diversion, accounting for a diversion of 3.5 million, which means gross 29.5, 3.5 diversion, 26 net production. This marks a decline from 32 million net in the previous year, primarily due to reduced cane availability impacted by unfavorable weather conditions across key producing states. In UP, production is estimated at 9.28 million tons, down from 10.35 million tons in the previous season on the net basis.

The state faced several headwinds in the first half of the season: red rot disease in ratoon crop, increased diversion to gur and khandsari, and lower sucrose content due to the active climatic patterns. Encouragingly, the second half saw an improvement in cane availability supported by better yields. Meanwhile, Maharashtra, Karnataka produced around 8.1 million tons and 4.2 million tons, again on a net basis, respectively. On the demand side, India's domestic consumption is estimated at approximately 28 million tons. Despite the reduced net availability post-diversion, domestic requirements are expected to be comfortably met, aided by an opening stock of 8 million. Consequently, the closing stock of the current year, that is, stock as on 1st October 2025, is expected to be around 5.2 million.

The tight inventory position is anticipated to support firm sugar prices, critical for enabling timely payment to the farmers, ensuring liquidity, particularly as this firmer sugar price has been helpful amidst new price revision for juice and B-heavy ethanol. Government's 1 million export quota has also contributed to the firming of sugar price for our company around INR 41 a kg, that's the current prevailing price. However, for 2024-2025 ethanol year, while diversion of sugarcane, juice, and B-heavy, so the restriction on quantum was lifted, but there was no price increase given. This marks a shift from the government's prior practice of aligning ethanol prices with changes in FRP, making sugar diversion for ethanol unattractive. If this persists, it could undermine the government's E30 blending program by 2030. On the business front, Balrampur concluded the fiscal year 2025 on a stable note.

The sugar segment delivered a strong performance this quarter, driven by healthy margins. However, the distillery segment, as you know, was impacted by government's decision not to revise the price for juice ethanol and B-heavy ethanol, despite revision in FRP. Our proactive approach to varietal rebalancing farm engagement helped increase cane throughput and achieve a comparatively better recovery to peers. In fact, our crushing was down only 1.4% year on year, and gross recovery dropped by 0.46%, which is the lowest decline amongst factories in East UP. In line with our commitment to sustainable and value-added diversification, we are making strong progress on our PLA project, which forms an integral part of our broader strategy to build a future-ready and fully integrated business model.

The 80,000-ton capacity of our PLA plant is on track for commissioning by Q3 FY 2027 with a CapEx of INR 2,850 crore, or net figure is INR 1,750 crore, accounting for government subsidy of 50%. Supported by state's pioneering bioplastic policy, the project benefits from a robust incentive form framework, further strengthening its long-term viability. The facility will produce 100% bio-based PLA using sugar as feedstock and is expected to generate around INR 2,000 crore annual revenue, and hopefully, since it's the first time we are entering into this business, that's why the word hopefully, EBITDA margin of 35%. Powered entirely by renewable energy, the plant will not only drive sustainability but will also create significant employment opportunity in manufacturing and research. By leveraging our agri-based value chain, the project positions us to meet India's rising demand for green alternatives and reinforces our role in advancing nation's circular economy and climate goals.

Over the years, our integrated operations have consistently adapted to evolving industry dynamics. The upcoming PLA project is a natural evolution of our strategy to extract maximum value from each stick of cane while advancing our green transition. With growing regulatory support and consumer demand for bio-based alternatives, we are confident in our ability to sell the product and deliver long-term sustainable growth. Looking forward, our focus remains on value maximization, sustainability, and disciplined capital allocation. Our diversified and future-ready business model positions us to deliver long-term growth and deliver value to our shareholders. This brings me to the end of our discussion. Avantika, now I'd request you to give an update on the team.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Good afternoon, everybody. Thank you for joining the call. Thank you for having me here. An update on the chain is that I just want to look back a little bit on the performance and then talk about the future. While the UP gain has declined to the tune of maybe 2.5-3% on average, Balrampur's gain availability has only reduced by 1.74%. This is testament to all our actions that we have done and we continue to do in terms of disease, insect, pest containment, varietal balance, the right variety in the right place, the right thing for the right farmer, including soil type, including upland, lowland, including waterlogging, everything. This is something that is now part of Balrampur's DNA and, of course, ratoon management as well. Now we are only, I think we should be outperforming industry benchmarks. That's all I can say.

Also, on the recovery front, I want to highlight that while UP has had a 0.62% drop, Balrampur has only had a 0.46%. This is on a gross sugar available in the sugarcane. It's called Poland cane, which is only what we can measure today because of the ethanol diversion. While our drop difference is only 0.15% as compared to UP, if you see it in absolute terms, our recovery is 0.7% better than the UP average. Again, testament to our cane quality and our cane quantity as well. Looking forward, our varietal balance is, of course, changing. Now we only have, as also forecasted previously, only 6% of 0238, which has the red rot, which is affected by red rot. All the other varieties are very healthy, and all the new varieties which are also put into the stream are acclimatizing well.

Hopefully, we should see some yield enhancement if weather is on our side, definitely. Even if weather is not on our side, we should see the lowest drop. This is sort of what we work with. We are open to questions, and thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on the touchstone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. We'll take our first question from the line of Shailesh Kanani from Centrum Broking. Please go ahead.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Good afternoon, everyone. Congrats, sir, on good setup numbers given the challenges we have faced during the season. Sir, my first question is with respect to sugar volumes. How do we see that shaping up for the year FY 2026, given that inventory levels are higher in spite of a 20% increase in the sugar sacrifice for the year?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Pramod would answer. Pramod.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Shailesh, as of 31st of March, we are holding around 7.1 lakh tons of sugar. In the month of April, we also produced something. If you take that into account, it will be around 7.5 million tons. This entire inventory would be liquidated within November itself. Thereafter, depending upon the quota allocation, we will have to assume something. If you see our last two years' data, we have been in the region of selling around 9.4 lahk tons of sugar annually.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Sir, just to add, the reason I was asking is the 9.4 average, what we had, we had a little bit of a lower side when the inventory was a little on the lower side. This time around, we have a little higher inventory. I was just wondering if we can see an uptick on the volume that way.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Maybe 10 lakh tons is what we can, but this is a guess as of now.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Yeah, yeah. Yeah, so that is what I was thinking.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Okay, we might be hoping for a little higher volume. You're hoping for a little higher volume for sure.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Yes. Yeah, absolutely. Sir, my second question was with respect to sugar prices. We have seen a marginal uptick for FY 2025, broadly in line with our increasing cost of production. And FY 2026 looks to have started on a promising note with already sugar prices above FY 2027 average by around INR 2 per kg. How do we foresee this average playing out for FY 2026?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Right now, as we have been informed, your price is around INR 41. Pramod, I think this is what has been prevailing in this quarter, approximately around this range. I would say that this price level should definitely maintain, and the rest would depend on the government's policy for next year. If at all, we'll see a marginal uptick in the coming months.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

That's helpful. That's helpful. Sir, one data point from the PPT, there was a slight here and there dip in the transfer pricing of syrup, whereas sugar prices in general have gone up. What are the rationales behind that, sir?

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Last year, the production was restricted. On account of that, the conversion cost was on a higher side. The loaded conversion cost on the syrup quantity was on a higher side.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Okay. Fair enough. Fair enough. Can I squeeze in one more question?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Why not?

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Yeah. Thanks a lot, sir. Sir, this question is with respect to Avantika ma'am. Ma'am, we have kind of earlier indicated about increasing our catchment area as well, right? And in our earlier commentary, we have also said that Eastern UP has better scope in terms of increasing the catchment area vis-à-vis other parts like Western UP. How are we placed over there? If you can throw some light on that aspect of increasing the crushing?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

I'll, Avantika, try and take this question, then you can come in. If you've seen the Honorable Chief Minister's statement of late, he has said that he would reallocate area from defaulters to good paymasters. One definitely remains hopeful on that front. Those areas itself have a lot of scope to develop because they have been belonging to not-so-good paymasters, and therefore the farmer does not develop cane there. On our cane area, we are working hard, and Avantika, rest on you.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Our ultimate goal is cane availability, right? How much can I crush? That is not always dependent on areas. We have actually seen that it depends more on yield than on area in the past three years, at least I can say that pretty confidently. Even when our area was increasing, the cane was not increasing. As the area stays a bit stagnant, the yields start to also improve a little bit. It is a sort of balancing act. At the end of the day, our cane availability should remain strong.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

If I'm to hazard a guess, and please mark my language, it says hazard a guess, next season probably some uptick, and thereafter a very decent uptick.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Yeah, that is what actually I wanted to understand on the directional side. Thanks a lot. Yes, sir, please continue.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah, yeah. Thank you. That's what.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Yeah, thanks a lot. Thanks a lot. That's very helpful. And best of luck, sir.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from the line of Sanjay Manyal from Dam Capital. Please go ahead.

Sanjay Manyal
Analyst, DAM Capital

Hi, sir. I have a few questions on ethanol part. Given the fact that there is no increase in the ethanol prices, is it safe to say that now the industry-wise capacities are enough to sort of meet 20% blending? The government was not very keen, it seems, that they will take this 20% to further up because there was one statement by the oil and gas minister that there is no such plan as of now. Do you think that now government is comfortable about the fact that there is enough capacity to meet 20%, and they will not give any price hike, or they're not sort of keeping the formula of FRP linkage with ethanol price?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Okay. I'll answer this in two parts. I don't think that message is in that manner which you've said. I think there's a statement of saying E30 by 2030. I mentioned that in my opening remarks. Let's understand what happened this year. To the best of our knowledge, the OMCs and the Petroleum Ministry got a bit stingy, and they wanted to maximize profits. The impact of that will be very severely felt in the future if they do not repair the mistake. Even now, if I go back to mathematics for the oil company, the ethanol-based, the maize-based ethanol is being bought at INR 71.86. And Pramod, the juice ethanol, INR 65.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

61. 65.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

65. 61. There is no basis of paying INR 6 higher for maize ethanol. There was a misnomer that sugarcane is a bigger water guzzler than maize. Now that has ended. That debate has conclusively ended in Parliament and with the Interministerial Committee study. We are back on even keel, or we are in an advantage against maize on the concept of cultivation. Avantika, you can also get it. Secondly, this hurt and this pain point has now, to the best of our knowledge, been understood by the government. One cannot repair the past, but I think the future remains linkage back to FRP, but too early. One is definitely hopeful. Avantika, will you say something?

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

If we just compare agri-based feed stocks for anything, whether it is for ethanol or for SAF or for PLA, for that matter, sugar cane remains to be the most environmentally efficient crop, whether it is land use, whether it is water use, whether it is carbon footprint, or whether it is even remuneration on a long-term basis to the farmer itself from one same piece of land year on year. There is no denying that. Maybe people might sort of try to move away, but ultimately, they have to come back because this logic is infallible. I would say that let them.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

I think government has understood this concept. The display of the understanding should be evident by next year or when the ethanol price is fixed.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Sure. Sure. In a similar context, you mentioned about the maize ethanol price at INR 71. How is the now economics, given the fact that maize prices have also come down and probably enough availability of rice? How are the margins in grain ethanol, and what are our plans? I think we still have fungible capacity to the tune of INR 1 billion, or maybe we will do only 500 million or 600 million. What is our plan, and what are the margins in the grain ethanol?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Pramod will take it.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Sanjay, our intention was always to utilize this maize capacity or the rice capacity in the off-season. The capacity is not more than INR 600 million if we have full availability of molasses or B-heavy molasses or juices available. That is.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

I would say, Pramod, because you need some shutdown time, it's more 5, 5.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

50 million-INR 60 million is the cap.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

5, 5.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Correct.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah, this is a balancing. Maize is equal to balancing factor post juice in Maizapur. We have one single capacity. Two, maize price has not reduced. It remains stagnant. What I did is give a comparative between what the OMC buys maize ethanol at and juice ethanol. That is what I did. Just to sort of drill down the logic that if one is looking at profitability for OMC, even on that front, now we stand out very conclusively. Why do we stand out conclusively? Any projection to meet any demand E30 by 2030? Not possible without this. INR 40,000 crore invested. We have highlighted that. Surplus sugar diversion. One could play games, wrong word. One could not do this when there is no excess, but when there is excess, I think, again, that will work in our favor.

All the factors are pointing towards back to FRP linkage from next year.

Sanjay Manyal
Analyst, DAM Capital

Okay. Okay. Understood. Sir, if you can just quantify, is it possible to quantify grain ethanol margin either from the maize or the broken rice?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

We don't do broken rice because maize is better. Pramod.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Sanjay, it will vary on a company-to-company basis. Our intent is to utilize our capacity.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Pramod, this year, maize raw material has been better available and lower price. We will definitely make money.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

We will make some money. It cannot be compared with a person who is in full year maize capacity, who's utilizing his capacity on a full year basis on maize.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Pramod, I would differ a bit. But we have our own energy source, which they don't. So we are far more efficient there.

Sanjay Manyal
Analyst, DAM Capital

Perfect. Just one more question on the recovery part. I think, is it that the entire industry, specifically in UP, is witnessing this lower recovery because they are now shifting from Co-023A to newer varieties? Is it safe to assume that we are nowhere near Co-023A, neither in terms of sugarcane yield or recovery?

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

No, no, no. I think this is not the right way to look at it. In my opinion, it's sort of a temporary phase when there is a shift happening. As you know, or maybe you don't know, but acclimatization of any new variety in any new place takes a little bit of longer time. There is no single variety released by the sugarcane institutes until and unless it is not performing in terms of yield and recovery as much as 238. That is the new benchmark. In terms of potential, they all can be, they all can have that thing. If I remind you, even for Balrampur, it took us about five to six years to get everything from 238, which we started to get. I think it was back in 2019 or something like that. The thing is that it takes some time.

The sad part about sugarcane is that it's a one-year crop, right? Everything takes longer to come to fruition. This is not the right thought process at all. The future looks very good because the research and the varieties which are coming out actually have very good potential, and that too for more varied circumstances as well.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

If I may just add to that, if you see two of our plants in Kiri District, they almost had last year's recovery. We suffered not because of variety. We suffered because of severe rains in October.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Also, agro-climatic conditions. Sometimes it rains too much. I think we mentioned this in the past, is that how it rains and when it rains. Last two years, in fact, which I would like to give a good news right now, is that until June, from October until June, we did not see a drop of rain last time. This year, already in May, it has rained three times.

April, May.

Combined, it has rained three times.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah, Avantika, agree to it. It looks better than last year's crop condition. If it does not flood in September, October, we should see much better recovery.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

It's more agro-climatic. Otherwise, a full stage cannot just go down like this.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Okay. Okay. Understood. That was pretty clear. Thank you. Thank you very much for the answers.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from the line of Nitin Awasthi from InCred. Please go ahead.

Nitin Awasthi
Analyst, InCred

Hello, sir. We'd just like to know a few things on the PLA front. We have given, of course, an estimation on the EBITDA that we're looking at. We have also given an estimated timeline and an estimated top line. Could you give us how much is the estimated cane which will be required for this capacity to run it, which is an optimal capacity of 75,000 tons per annum?

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Actually, it's not sugarcane, which is the main feedstock. It's sugar. You have to.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

It will get linked to that.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

It will get linked to, but it depends on recovery. How can I say sugarcane, right?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Sugar will.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Sugar is basically, we have said around 1.7 times of 80,000 tons, which is about 1.2.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

1.25 lakh tons.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

1.25 lakh tons.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Or sugar gets diverted, which is approximately, Pramod, if you go on a gross basis, about.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

This year we diverted 200,000 tons of sugar.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Okay. You can, I think, I like what Pramod has said. If this year we diverted 200,000 tons of sugar and assume we were doing this PLA business this year, we would divert 325,000 tons of sugar. Extra diversion of 125,000 tons of sugar.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah. You can look at it as how much less sugar in circulation rather than sugarcane. That's the easier way to look at it.

Nitin Awasthi
Analyst, InCred

Understood. Because, of course, then you'll also have the molasses, which can be used for the ethanol plant. Okay. Got it. The next thing I wanted to ask is, I think this time around, before the season starts, we are seeing the lowest spreads between FRP and SAP. Has that caused any agitation in the state, or is it under new normal that the spreads are going to reduce in the future?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

From where is the word agitation coming? I have not heard of it.

Nitin Awasthi
Analyst, InCred

No. So basically, the gap between FRP and SAP used to be quite substantial compared to what it is given the new FRP announcement which has happened.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah. So I mean, one does not expect cane price.

Nitin Awasthi
Analyst, InCred

Yeah.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

No. So you can't plot trends like this. Our Honorable Chief Minister is an extremely practical person, but one does not believe FRP SAP to remain constant. You cannot derive a mathematical relationship if that's what you're looking at. Yes, sugar cane price in UP is declared with a far more practical mindset than our Honorable CM.

Nitin Awasthi
Analyst, InCred

Understood. Understood, sir. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, to ask a question, please press star and one on your phone. We'll take our next question from the line of Dhvaneet Savla from Savla Family Office. Please go ahead.

Dhvaneet Savla
Analyst, Savla Family Office

Hello. Am I audible?

Operator

Yes. You go ahead.

Dhvaneet Savla
Analyst, Savla Family Office

I have two questions. First is, since the FRP revision and since Sir had explained wonderfully on the difference between the maize and the ethanol coming from maize and from sugar, is it my assumption fair that the upward revision should be somewhere in the range of what the current prices are on maize-based ethanol, or are we looking at something higher? My second question is with regards to what are the precautions which we are taking, since red rot has affected entire eastern UP, as far as I know. What kind of precautions are we taking that this kind of thing should have lesser impact going ahead?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Two parts to two questions. One is FRP linkage will have nothing to do with maize price. That is just the ability to raise ethanol price looking at two sources of ethanol was my communication. East UP has the minimum red rot in the state. Minimum.

Dhvaneet Savla
Analyst, Savla Family Office

Yes.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

For us, I think how much of at least do we have left?

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

We have only 6%.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

6%. That's it. That's the peak of red rot.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Which we can easily monitor and almost baby. So red rot is a thing of the past.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Past for us. Balrampur Chini.

Dhvaneet Savla
Analyst, Savla Family Office

Okay. Okay. So my question on the FRP was not based on the FRP. My was like the price revision, which if we are looking at anything, it should be above what the maize-based ethanol is, right? That's what no.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

That is what logic demands. You are totally correct. That is what logic demands. What will happen is, sorry. Huh? [Bully?]

Dhvaneet Savla
Analyst, Savla Family Office

No, no. Continue. Continue. Sorry.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah. So that is what logic demands. That is what past precedent demands. I'm not sure it's going to go up that fast, that soon. Yes, at least to the extent of FRP raise this year, one is definitely hopeful.

Dhvaneet Savla
Analyst, Savla Family Office

Somewhere in the range of 10%?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

I'm not fixing the too early. Yes, positively inclined towards the raise to FRP levels. To FRP % increase levels.

Dhvaneet Savla
Analyst, Savla Family Office

All right. All right. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from the line of Disha from Sanco Capital Funds. Please go ahead.

Hello.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yes, please.

Yeah. Yeah. Hi, sir. Good afternoon, sir. My question is, what is the reason for lower sale of ethanol for current season? Sales volume, lower sales volume of ethanol.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Sorry. Come again, please.

Yeah. What is the reason for lower sales volume in ethanol

during this FY 2023?

Yes, sir.

I'm sure you are aware of the fact that last year there was a restriction on production of ethanol out of juice and B-heavy, as a result of which our capacities were underutilized in FY 2025. Ethanol year runs from November to October. Initial part of the year, we were able to run our distillery on juice and B-heavy. Thereafter, it was restricted.

Okay. Okay. What are the economics to decide to run the ethanol on C-heavy basis? What is the margin? If you can just advise on margin percentage on maize or how do we decide?

Disha, this is clearly stated in our presentation.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Presentation.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

In a detailed manner. Every year's planning depends on.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah. Depends. Lots of things.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Availability of sugarcane, what is the export volume?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Export volume. Yeah.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

What is the potential export price? What is the potential ethanol price?

Okay. Okay, sir. Sir, and what is the quantum of cane crush we are planning for FY 2026?

Sorry?

What is the quantum of cane crush we are planning for next year, next season?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

We don't plan for cane crush. It's an availability of cane too early. I did indicate that there might be a marginal uptake beyond which there is no guess one can make today.

Okay. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from the line of Krishan Parwani from JM Financial. Please go ahead.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

Yes. Hi. Hi, sir. Thank you.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Hi. Hi, sir.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

Yeah. Sir, just on the PLA front, because I think that's where our intention is to go in the future. Given you have given an estimated top line of INR 2,000 crore, I believe the realization comes out to about $2.5-$3 a kg. Just wanted to understand if you expect the PLA prices to sustain at these current levels?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Avantika?

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

That's a good question, actually. It's hard to sort of predict one and a half years out what the prices will be. A $2.5 actually comes to $2.5 only on capacity. This is, of course, going to depend on the market forces and where we land. Historically, it's even gone to $4. What is to say it can't go to $4? The point is that it comes to $2.5 is not a bad assumption, in my opinion. That is what the if 80,000 into 250 is 2,000. That is what we try to predict. Having said that, it's not completely in my control.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yes, Krishan, one is working towards various ideas. The government of UP has given a brilliant bioplastic policy. With the center, our agenda is to get the correct mandate in place that would drive demand. Therefore, the price at these levels is not unreasonable to estimate.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

Yeah. Yeah. Fair point. I think prices in China until about December 2023 were in the range of $3-$4. So $2.5 seems like a more realistic assumption, which is fair. Secondly, just continuing on that bit, because I think you mentioned there is also government support. We know that already. Just wanted to understand the kind of geographical volume split that you expect of your overall volume. Let's say of 80,000 tons, how much do you expect domestically and the exports?

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

The goal is, of course, all domestic. Because if we are trying to go green, it hardly makes sense to sort of export it directly. Having said that, the export market does have a demand, but we would not probably like to export directly without one step of at least value addition of a compounding or a converting done within the country. While it might ultimately land up in a different country, we would like to probably sell domestically. Because anyways, a lot of compounding and converting for the world does happen in India. In fact, I think India is one of the largest film producers in the world with plastic PP and PET and things like that.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

Okay. So yeah, I think probably NatureWorks tried with the BOPT and BOPP in the beginning of 2000s. And then it requires lower modification. So probably you are hinting towards that. Okay. Got it.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

I mean, that's one of the applications that we are definitely working on. We're working on at least 10. This is just one of those.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

Yeah. Yeah. Got it. I mean, yeah, it could be disposable, trailblazer, or excluded blisters, etc.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah. Even bottles. Even bottles. Even bottle caps.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Even textiles. Even fibers. I mean, there's no end, honestly.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Syringe.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

Yes. I'm aware. If I may.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

So.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

Yeah. Please, sir.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah, please continue. Continue.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Just a continuation of follow-up, if I may. Would our PLA require US FDA certification for food-grade products, or how are we looking at it?

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

No. No. No. It's not required for food grade. Food-grade certification is required for food grade like FSSAI and things like that in our country. Post that, U.S. FDA might be required for the compounder or the converter who is then finally making the product. For us, the food grade, for us, in fact, the compostability and FSSAI approvals are already well underway. It doesn't affect us directly, those things. I also wanted to put in an interesting metric since you're talking about PLA and its application. India's consumption of straws alone is 100,000 tons of resin. PLA straws have been approved by BIS. This is a very big sort of win, I would say, as of last month or so, I think. This should be gazetted soon.

I just want to show that our volume is only 80,000 tons. India's one single application also, if we capitalize on, the market is 100,000 tons large. We are not too stressed on where the PLA will go, per se.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

No. No. Fair point. I'm equally.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

One more thing, Krish, is we are targeting applications where the impact on the final price of the product will not hurt. Let's say it's a bottle for a cap. Sorry, a cap for a bottle. That's going to go into sort of negligible territory. It's not going to hurt. We are targeting those applications where the consumer will not feel anything. Plus, there would be that compostable bioplastic in play.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

Got it. Got it, sir. This is.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah, I also.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

Go ahead.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Sorry. Complete yourself.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

No. No. Please, please, sir. Go ahead. Yeah.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

We also remind everyone that the first policy of Gujarat allowed solar to be sold at INR 15 per unit. Because then capital cost was Rs. 12 crore , PLF 18-20%. We set it up so I know it. Thereafter, technology evolved, cost of production with scale came down, and things came back to even keel. Today, we know the price of solar. We are not looking to remain just dependent on support all the time. The initial support for evolving the technology, size, etc., we hope to run on our own with no crutches.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

Okay, sir. Thank you, Vivekji. Thank you, Avantika, for patiently answering my questions. Wish you all the best.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah. We appreciate your insight into the whole PLA business.

Krishan Parwani
Analyst, JM Financial

Thank you, sir. Means a lot. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from the line of Shailesh Kanani from Centrum Broking. Please go ahead.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Thanks for the follow-up, sir. Just a couple of data keeping. In general, what are we seeing in terms of ethanol volumes for the FY 2026? Second, Avantika ma'am said that our dependence on 0238 is 6%. I believe that was somewhere in the range of 25-odd percent. It has substantially, right. I have heard it is substantially down. I have heard it right, right, on that number?

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Avantika, he's asking.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Last year, we crushed about 12%. This year, we'll crush half of that. The recoveries on the 232, we do mid-season analysis on a sort of weekly basis on varietal performance. So 238 recovery was not great is the point. That even the healthy 238 recovery was not as good as it used to be. It was okay. Other varieties were also performing that well. I think the 238 question for Balrampur as a company should not be asked.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

We are rather insulated on 238, and we look forward to a good cane crushing era in years to come, whether or not playing truant.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

On the ethanol volume front, it will depend upon what kind of price increase we see for juice and B-heavy.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Yeah. You'll see the hard mathematics, no?

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Only we can say.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Assume we have good sugar price and your good export price. We have, as a company, enabled all flexibility in all our units by making investment. Maizapur can also run at maybe BAV. No problem. CAV. No problem. We have that fungibility created. A decision to the best economic sort of advantage we will come to, which gives us maximum benefit.

Shailesh Kanani
Analyst, Centrum Broking

Fair enough, sir. Thanks a lot. That was helpful.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, to ask a question, please press star and one on your phone now. As there are no further questions, I now hand the conference over to management for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Thank you very much. We hope we've answered your questions. Always ready to answer more. Thank you.

Pramod Patwari
CFO, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Thank you.

Avantika Saraogi
Executive Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Thank you, everyone.

Operator

Thank you, members of the management team. On behalf of.

Vivek Saraogi
Chairman and Managing Director, Balrampur Chini Mills Limited

Thank you, everyone. Thank you, investors. Yes.

Operator

Thank you, sir. On behalf of Balrampur Chini Mills, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your line.

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