Ladies and gentlemen, good morning. I'm welcoming to the Q3 and nine-month FY 2026 earnings conference call for Gokaldas Exports Limited. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during this conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star or zero on the touchtone phone . Note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to [audio distortion] from Investor Relations team. Thank you, and over to you, Swapnali .
Thank you, Swapnali. Good morning to all the participants on the call. Before we proceed, let me remind you that the discussion may contain forward-looking statements that may involve known or unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors. It must be viewed in conjunction with our business risks that could cause future results, performance, or achievement to differ significantly from what is expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Please note that the results and presentation have been shared on email, and the same are also available on the company's website. In case you haven't received the same, you can write to us, and we'll be happy to send them over to you. To take us through the results and answer your questions today, we have the top management of Gokaldas Exports Limited, represented by Mr. Sivaramakrishnan Ganapathi, Vice Chairman and Managing Director, and Mr. Sathyamurthy, the Chief Financial Officer.
We'll start the call with a brief overview of the quarter gone past, followed by the Q&A session. With that, I'll now hand over the call to Siva. Over to you, sir.
Thank you so much. Good morning, everyone. Happy to have you at our earnings call for the third quarter of 2024. Q3 FY 2024, the results seen in India and the expiry of AGOA, which provided duty-free access from Africa to the U.S. The U.K. FTA signing July 2025 has still not taken place. In the meanwhile, many competing countries in Asia had a relatively advantageous 20% reciprocal tariff to the U.S. and duty-free access to EU and U.K. To combat this, we initiated several measures like securing our U.S. business by strengthening our relationship with customers and offering discounts on U.S. shipments from India to partially offset the steep tariffs. Secondly, streamlining operations across India and Africa to extract further efficiencies to reduce unit cost of operations. Thirdly, striving to increase business from Europe by increasing volumes with existing customers.
We've also initiated the onboarding of a new customer from EU. The expiry of AGOA impacted the order book for Africa in Q3, resulting in a dip in revenue from the region. Further, there were some supply chain disruptions in Africa, which impacted the business in the region. Imposition of incremental reciprocal tariff on Asian countries from August 25 resulted in Africa regaining its tariff advantage. There's a reasonable possibility of AGOA getting extended soon. This has allowed us to rebuild the Africa order book for future periods. During the previous call, I had talked about a transformation from seeing tariff as an enemy out to defeat us to recognizing it as a source of power and knowledge that would make us formidable. We continue to seek ways to reinvent ourselves and leverage our strengths to deal with demanding externalities.
In the quarter, we reported a total income of INR 998 crore, a flat year-over-year performance. Our India operations continue to maintain its growth momentum, registering a growth of 8% YOY despite being impacted by the steep U.S. tariff for the entire quarter. We reported an EBITDA of INR 96 crore, a decline of 18% year-over-year. This was primarily due to sharing a considerable portion of the U.S. tariff burden with our key customers. Adjusting for the burden share, our EBITDA should have grown by 17%. On the demand front, apparel exports into the U.S. witnessed a continuous decline since July 2025, despite retail sales posting a stronger growth during that period. Most U.S. retailers have so far not increased the prices for their customers. This is likely to change in 2026 as retailers are seeking to pass on some of the cost increases to their customers.
Clearly, brands in the U.S. are hesitating to build inventory at higher tariffs and/or may be anticipating flagging their prices. Imports from EU and U.K. showed a higher growth in the period January to November 2025 over the same period previous year. For the quarters ahead, the company has the visibility of a good order book for both India and Africa business. On the margin front, we anticipate U.S. reciprocal tariff on India to continue to impact the next quarter. Any positive outcome on U.S.-India trade deal would, of course, offset this impact. Africa business is seeing some tailwind. Our strategic investments in BTPL, which is a fabric processing unit, strengthen vertical integration, enabling better customer service, faster delivery, and create an opportunity to improve margins. Our fabric investments and diversification into Africa will support our ability to somewhat deal with a steep U.S. tariff burden.
Significant progress is being made in these areas. We're also directing capital expenditure into areas that will support our future growth. In the long term, the recently announced India-EU FTA will open access to a significant market, placing Indian exporters at par with key competing countries like Bangladesh, Vietnam, and a 12% duty advantage with China. This, along with India-U.K. FTA, would accelerate sourcing from India. High U.S. tariff continues to remain a source of concern. Thank you for listening. I would be happy to address any questions that you have.
Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Everyone who wants to answer the question may press star and two to get answers. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking your questions. Before we take the first question, ladies and gentlemen, you are requested to limit your questions to two per question. If you have a follow-up question, please rejoin the queue again. We will wait for a moment while the question queue populates. We have the first question from the line of Rehan Saiyyed from Trinetra Asset Managers. Please go ahead.
Good morning to that team, and thank you for giving me the opportunity. So, sir, my first question is around the margin strategy as I want to understand. Sir, why do our investments in automation experience a limited cost threshold? So if you take out, specifically disclose one-offs, so do you believe the current gross margin profile reflects a new base, or is there any inherent operating leverage that is not visible at current inflation levels?
There is some sort of an echo. Sorry, I couldn't hear you properly. Would you be able to repeat your question, probably, and speak a bit more slowly?
Yeah, sure, sure, sure. Okay. So while your inventory concentration is experiencing that immediate cost threshold, so if we take out explicitly disclosed one-offs, so do you believe the current gross margin profile reflects a new base, or is there any embedded operating leverage that is not visible at current inflation levels?
What was the question?
If there is any one?
If your question is, is there any one-off expenses impacting this quarter? Is that the question?
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Yeah, yeah, this is not visible to us.
Yeah, apart from the tariff effect, whatever we have disclosed, we have also incurred a taken hit of INR 3.4 crore on account of our gratuity restatement because of the new labor wage code. So other than that, as our regular, whatever has been reflected. Was that the question? I'm sorry, really. I couldn't really understand your question on account of.
My question is basically that one-off that you have disclosed, apart from any other disclosed entities, we have to consider too.
Mr. Rehan, I would request you to kindly use the handset mode to ask a question.
Okay. Okay. Am I clear now?
Yeah, you're better.
Yeah. So yeah, that's what's my question that I'm asking. Apart from the disclosed one-offs, is there any other one-off that we have to consider in the current margin levels?
No, as Sathya said, barring that labor code-related gratuity provision, which was mandated by the new labor code that was one-time to an extent of INR 3.5 crore, there is no other one-time. The whole U.S. tariff burden is the burden that we is the impact that we've had during this quarter. That amounts to about INR 40 crore, INR 40.2 crore. That's the net cost of tariff burden that we shared with our customers.
Okay. Okay. And my second and last question is around just wanted to understand regarding the product mix as a margin lever. So what proportion of current revenue comes from program-based or repeat orders versus seasonal or special need orders? And how does this mix impact margin stability across cycles?
So almost all our business comes from fashion orders. We don't do large program-based orders as yet. In the future, we may be doing it, but most of the orders are sourced and won on a seasonal basis. We do get usually a year-round visibility from our customers at a macro level, and then specific style-wise orders come at the beginning of each of the fashion season, primarily to allow us to buy the fabric and convert them. The reason why we focus on such programs is that they are better margins as opposed to year-round programs where we end up competing with Bangladesh or other low-cost regions who may also play the tariff game.
Okay. Okay. Yeah, that's so much. I'll be joining in the queue.
Thank you.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Kaustubh Pawaskar from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Good morning, sir. Thanks for giving me the opportunity. So my question is again on the margins. I just want to understand that this quarter, we've seen full impact of U.S. tariffs. And despite that, on sequential basis, if you see, excluding the other income, you manage margins you were able to maintain the margins at around 8% if you exclude the other income on consolidated basis. And again, in this quarter, we have seen the Africa utilizations were quite lower, considering the AGOA effect, and there was some supply disruption. So I believe that the Atraco margins would also be at the lower end. So considering that, in quarter three, should we expect the margins to remain at this level or better considering the fact that we might see some utilization level improving in Africa?
India is doing reasonably well despite the fact that the U.S. tariff continues to hit the margins. We have done well. Just an understanding from your end.
Sure. So while AGOA's full brunt was faced in Q3, we also had some issues in Q2 because AGOA expired on 30th September 2025, and that is for shipments landing in the U.S. on or before 30th September. So even second quarter was impacted. In fact, we did have an improvement in EBITDA margin in Q3 in Africa thanks to a lot of operations we took, and that continued to stay in the quarters ahead. In Africa, we see a good margin primarily because from Q4, we have built a solid order book, primarily because in the month of August, we saw Asian countries see their reciprocal tariffs go up to 20% while Africa remained at 10%. So we do have, even without AGOA, Africa enjoying a superior tariff regime as far as the U.S. is concerned. So that has also helped us to build the business in Africa.
There is a likelihood of AGOA getting restored, likely with retrospective effect. That's work in progress, and we will have to wait for when that happens. But if that happens, then there will be further disruption to Africa. So that in mind, we are trying to build the business prospects in Africa. In fact, operations are more or less well set. We will see some good EBITDA contribution going forward. So in some ways, you could say that has worked out, and performance will improve from India. Our performance will really depend on when the U.S. reciprocal tariff gets corrected. Until then, we will continue operational improvements to offset the steep reciprocal tariff we are facing. Any ways for takeout efficiencies, etc., is on the cards, and we are working on it. This Q3, we were able to pull some performance from India, and we will continue that going forward.
So I would think that Africa will see business prospects improving because of macroeconomic improvements. India, until the U.S. tariff corrects, the macroeconomics will remain what they are. In the longer run, EU FTA will kick in, and so will U.K. FTA. But until that happens, we may see some improvements only coming in from internal improvements that we will usher in.
Right. So my second question is understanding on the India. This quarter, we have seen 6% growth, and in your initial comment, you mentioned that you are seeing an uptick in volumes from EU and U.K. where you are trying to increase the orders for your existing line, or you are trying for the new customers. So is that helping us to achieve this growth? Because U.S., I believe there might be some decline in sales for this quarter, considering the overall decline in Atraco, whether you were able to maintain whatever sales or the order was on a year-on-year basis.
So we have managed to protect ourselves from an order perspective, protect our business from U.S. tariffs. We have maintained our business volumes. I mean, if you look at our revenues for Q3, which is more or less flat with Q3 of last year, this is after accounting for discounts for U.S. customers. So in some ways, we have actually grown the business year-on-year. And that is because we have our business better. We have to keep our business within our business fold and ensure that we deliver well. Consumers are continuing to repose faith in Gokaldas in India. In fact, adjusting for discounts, in fact, there has been a minor growth. And I think at our order book for Q1 of Q4 and Q1 of next financial year, we have a decent, robust order book for both the quarters. So we are holding onto the business.
The concern remains that if the U.S. reciprocal tariff remains or the incremental penal tariff remains for a long term, then what happens? We'll have to wait and watch how that unfolds. But for now, we are holding onto business. We have, in fact, minorly increased our business with U.S. customers. With European customers, we are growing very fast. We continue to do that. We have also, as I said in my opening remarks, we've added one more customer whom we will onboard in the next one or two months. So that will also give a further incremental growth from the European business side. So we are seeking ways to de-risk ourselves. This is a journey that we will go through in the next several quarters where we will rebalance, at least out of India, the business between U.S. and Europe.
European customers generally are smaller in size compared to U.S. customers. So it takes a bit more time, but we are working aggressively on that strategy to balance our revenue between these two regions going forward. Hope that clarifies.
Thank you. Yes, sir. So last one, in earlier call, you mentioned that diversification is one of the strategies we're looking at in terms of the product base. So you were looking at Bangladesh as one of the options if this tariff issue continues for another quarter or so. So any comment on that front, whether you are looking to shift some of the base or production base to Bangladesh from where the tariff rate is around 3% and you get from there?
Sure. So we do have some subcontract relationships. We exercise that option all the time. And even now, we do use those capacities for our benefit. Any investment in Bangladesh would be considered only after some clarity on the macroeconomic situation in Bangladesh. There is an election supposed to happen sometime in February, and we will take a call post that, looking at how Bangladesh shapes up. In the meanwhile, we are also open to looking at other countries. So all those are work in progress. It may take time. It all depends on what our final conclusion is on relative attractiveness of those regions and how the situation plays out in India. So we are working on it. Bangladesh has some arrangements. In Bangladesh, we will wait for clarity on geopolitics impact.
Okay. Thank you. And all the best for the quarter.
Thank you.
Thank you. A reminder to all the participants: kindly limit your questions to two per participant. If you have a follow-up question, we have the next question from the line of Vishal Mehta from IIFL Capital. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Hi, and thanks for taking my question. I would say a resilient performance in the tough times. Just to start with a clarification, these tariffs also have bearing on your revenues, right? So adjusted for these, your revenues also would have been up INR 40 crore?
Yes.
Okay. And I wanted to understand on AGOA and Africa operations. Apart from AGOA, you called out there were some supply chain challenges there. So what are these, and is the AGOA disturbance now behind us in Africa? Would it be safe to say that?
Sure. So the AGOA, the supply chain challenges were actually there was some port congestion in Mombasa port. And that meant that a lot of fabric which we were importing from China, etc., got held up for over 25 days, sometimes even 30 days, which resulted in operations getting impacted there. All that is behind us. There was also this AGOA impact. And AGOA impact was primarily because in the early phase of AGOA, when it got when the U.S. let it expire in September 2025, we had only 10% tariffs in rest of Asia. But since then, the U.S. has now imposed 20% tariff on rest of Asia while Africa continues to have a 10% reciprocal tariff, destroying Africa a 10% advantage vis-à-vis rest of Asia and a 40% advantage vis-à-vis India. Now, there is a talk of AGOA being reinstated.
Now, we will wait and watch as to when it happens through the House of Representatives. So Africa and rest of Asia will wipe another 20-odd percent. So we'll wait for that. In the meanwhile, even without AGOA, good traction builds for that.
Okay. So just a follow-up here because last quarter, probably we were expecting that there was a sudden disturbance in Africa order execution, and we faced challenges there. Then we were expecting it to pick up this quarter, but we continued to see that. So now, for the upcoming quarter to see what we should probably see margins.
Yeah. So when I say last quarter, there was a problem. I had said that last quarter, and that will spill over to this quarter as well. So it was expected that even impacted. Bulk of the impact started from October. So this quarter did get impacted. The subsequent 20% tariff for rest of Asia obviously helped Africa. Do I see improvement going forward? Absolutely, yes.
Okay. Okay. Thanks. I'll join back in the queue.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Ronak Shah from Equirus Securities Private Limited. Please go ahead. Please proceed with your question.
Yeah. Thanks for the opportunity, sir. Am I audible?
Yes.
Yeah, sir. So, sir, a larger part of the margin benefit is coming from the gross margin expansion. So despite we have passed on certain discounts, so can you just understand what has led to this? Is it because of the realized mix-related gains, or is there something different in between?
The gross margin improvement happened because of more productivity gains and also product mix changes. We had usually in spring/summer, we do have a lot of India-based fabric that we use. We also did a strong negotiation with fabric suppliers given the tariff-related challenges that we had. All of that also helped us.
Sir, from the tariff perspective, as per our earlier understanding that the penal part is largely getting absorbed by the manufacturer, is there any change in that part, or is it still continued?
Can you say the question again?
Yes, sir. So as per our earlier understanding, within the tariff part, a larger part of the penal portion, which is 25-odd percent, is absorbed by the manufacturers. So is there any change in that part, or is it still continued?
It is still continuing. So penal tariff, last portion, we are absorbing. We are trying our best to pass our suppliers as well. So we do that too, so trying to recover some of those additional burdens from our supply chain.
Got it. Sir, lastly, from the volumes front, can you call out separately what is the Indian business and African business volumes in the third quarter as well as nine months?
Okay. The total volume is 15.53 million. INR 572 is the realization. And for standalone?
For India?
For India, I have separately for Africa. Africa is 3,682. INR 3.68 million. INR 402 is the realization. The differential is Indian operation.
Okay. Got it. Okay. Got it.
For nine months, Africa volume is 10.65 at INR 428.
Okay.
The total volume is 41.13 million. INR 650. It's 49.
Okay. Okay. Got it. Thanks. That's it from my side. Thank you.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Rohit Maheshwari from Tata AIG. Please go ahead.
Good afternoon, sir, and congratulations for a good set of numbers in these difficult times. My first question is, out of the INR 40 crore which you have taken, what was the total impact of the penal tariff?
I think the total impact of the penal tariff was closer to INR 60 crores, and we set off about INR 20 crores of it from our supply chain.
Okay. Do you, if this penal tariff does not go for next commit two or three quarters, do you think these INR 40 crore will be there till the time this penal tariff does not get solved?
Of course. Yes.
Okay. And because now it has been more than five, 5.5 months we have been talking, are you finding any different attitude of U.S. buyer towards now negotiating new deals with them, or do you, because you don't want to lose a customer, you have been negotiating the way to just customer sales with you?
No, so we have been negotiating with the customers so that we can assure the customers to stop. So that's going on. We are hoping that there should be some relation to the U.S. tariff. We're waiting for it. Yeah. Until then, these discounts are a fantasy for the situation that we have. That's the best we can do. I think in the longer run, we need to see a more equalized tariff between ourselves and the rest of the country. The other options are business after that, increase European combat risk.
Okay. The last question is, do you, it's interrelated. One is, can you call quarter three as a bottom-out for Gokaldas in terms of margin and in terms of growth? And second is, when you are looking for European business, because the order quantities are small, the margin profile will be better than the U.S. customer, correct?
So to answer your first question, is this a bottom-out performance? From an India perspective, while it is a bottomed-out performance, we will see that Q4 also somewhat similar because the tariff regime is not changing. So any improvement will only come through operational improvements from an India business standpoint. So yes, we have bottomed out, and hopefully, we should, once the tariff situation changes or improves, we'll see improvements. But as far as Africa is concerned, we have bottomed out, and we should start seeing improvements going forward. So on a consolidated basis, I think we can say firmly that this is a bottomed-out performance, and going forward, things should better from here on, primarily led by international operations. What was the next question?
Second question is, when you are getting additional business from the European customers, so the margin profile will be better than the U.S. customer?
Your margin profile is better than U.S. now because we are in that regime of penal tariff, and we are offering some discounts to U.S. customers. The European customer margin in these circumstances is better. But if you look at it from a pre-U.S. penal tariff standpoint, U.S. businesses are much better than Europe simply because of the size of the relationship, the scale of operations, etc., that we get from U.S. customers. So European businesses, given that the retailers are a bit smaller, we tend to have a little sharper margin. Also, Europe gets duty-free access from Bangladesh, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Vietnam, so many places. So they tend to squeeze us and compare us with landed duty-free price points that they get from other regions. That can only be set off once the European FTA kicks in somewhere in 2027. Once that happens, European margins will also improve.
Okay. Thank you, sir. Thank you.
Sure.
Thank you. A reminder to all the participants: we request you to kindly limit your questions to per participant. If you have a follow-up question, please rejoin the queue again. We have the next question from the line of Ashutosh Nemani from JM Financial Family Office. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Thanks for the opportunity, sir. My first question is, could you please walk through the BRFL acquisition? By then, it will be fully integrated, and how much do we currently hold it, and how much do we have to spend more in the expected cash outflow?
So the BRFL business, if all goes as planned, it should happen sometime in the second quarter of next financial year. The exact timing cannot be stated here because it depends on the NCLT process and the regulatory process. So as and when it happens, it will, our expectation is that it should happen sometime in Q2 of FY 2027. As far as the BRFL's performance goes, I think we have been making, we have been investing in that entity through OCDs and extending support by buying fabric from them and connecting them to customers, etc. But we have been seeing some business traction growth for BRFL. There has been a continuous improvement in its performance. So far, I think we have invested in OCD to the extent of about INR 175 crore in BRFL. We've also bought 19% stake in the company, paying about INR 72 crore.
The rest of the equity stake will be bought as and when the regulatory approvals come in in Q2 of next financial year. The business will get consolidated as and when that happens.
Yeah. Thanks, sir. Second question is regarding your capacity expansion plan. Out of the INR 105 crore planned for FY 2026 new capacity, could you please tell where is this deployed and what are the timelines, and how ramp-up of this would impact our margin profile going forward?
So there are two units in India. One in Bhopal, the second unit is coming up. The second phase is coming up. The other unit is in.
Ladies and gentlemen, the line for the management has been disconnected. Please stay connected while we join them back. Ladies and gentlemen, the line for the management has been connected. Over to you, sir.
Sincere apologies. I think the line dropped. We are back on. Yeah. Yeah. As I explained. We have invested in the capacity expansion in Bhopal, the second unit, as well as one more unit in Karnataka. These two are in advanced stages of execution completion, and we expect the commercial production to happen the next financial year. Apart from that, we have expanded the capacity in Kenya. That's a substantial portion. We are also expanding with the new machinery and expanding, bringing up another unit additionally in the existing premises itself. That will also come on stream in the next financial year in Q1 FY 2027.
Sir, and the second part of the question, how it would impact the margin profile. The ramp-up, usually, what do you think historically? Whenever there's a ramp-up, there is a margin impact we face. So what do you anticipate?
Most of the ramp-up-related challenges that we talk about currently, expansions are all happening in the units where we have operations. So we don't anticipate a significant.
Yeah. Thanks a lot. I'll join them with you.
Yes.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Ankit from Anand Rathi. Please go ahead.
Hello? Am I audible?
You are. Thank you, Ankit.
Yeah. Thank you for taking up my question. I want to be a little bit negative on this side that if trade lift does not happen, so how it will impact our top line, gross margin, and will we take a price hike, and what's our strategy going ahead?
You are saying if the tariff doesn't correct, is that the question?
Yeah. It does not happen. Yeah.
If the penal tariff does not get corrected, right? So see, we are working on that assumption, right? Unless there is a clarity on penal tariff, we have worked with the assumption that the Indian tariff will be 50%, and our order booking for Q4 and Q1 is on that. And we have already booked orders accordingly. And at the moment, we are working on two orders as well, which is also going in the right direction. From an order book standpoint, we are not seeing so much of challenges. We are pursuing as much business growth as possible and trying to keep our factories full. Having said that, the margins will stay impacted until the penal tariff is in place on a tariff-related discount that we still have to extend to American customers. I don't see any ability for us to increase prices today, incidentally.
With high tariffs as well as the expectation of inflation in the U.S., etc., our ability to increase prices is next to zero. So we will have to continue to seek ways to margins by operational improvements, supply-related cost savings, as well as continue to book business by giving tariff-related burden share or tariff-related discounts.
Okay. If we are diversifying our U.S. operation to Europe as well as European Union, so how it has performed in the last six to seven months?
So our European revenue is constantly increasing quarter-over-quarter. We were at about 13%. Now, we are further increasing it going forward. We'll be about 15%-17%. So we are constantly increasing our European business going forward. That journey will continue for us as we progress. We will be adding also European customers so that this is the way we will combat it. The other thing is we are also looking at putting more American business into Kenya where there is a duty advantage, and that region will also possibly go faster with the American business.
Okay. And AGOA, there is a likely chance to be extended. So when there will be a clear idea about that?
It's going through the U.S. Congress. My sense is we will get to know within a month as to the status of AGOA. Month of February, we will have a clarity.
Okay. Thank you. Thank you so much, sir. That's it.
Thank you.
Thank you. A reminder to all the participants: we request you to kindly limit your questions to two per participant. If you have a follow-up question, please rejoin the queue again. We have the next question from the line of Samay Sabnis from Helios Capital. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Good afternoon. Thanks for the opportunity. So my question is, so you just mentioned that despite the discounts that were given in Q3, your gross margins have improved because of the benefits of Indian-based fabric that was used and strong negotiations that were done with the fabric suppliers. So I just want to understand, is this benefit a one-off that will go in Q3, or could we see this benefit in Q4 as well? So basically, I want to understand the trend of the gross margin. Do we expect it.
Sorry to interrupt in between, Samay. I would request you to kindly use the handset mode to ask the question.
Hello? Am I audible now?
Yes.
Yeah. You must be better now. Yes, you are, Samay.
The line for Mr. Samay has disconnected. We will take the next participant.
Answer his question because I got his question. If it is online, I wouldn't mind that.
Sure, sir.
So, even that's also a function of product mix. We usually have a little better gross margin during this period. Having said that, we will continue to seek gross margin improvements wherever possible to better negotiations with the supply chain, better product mix that suits our gross margins, etc. Would there be a further gross margin improvement in the quarters ahead? It's not that easy. We will continue our endeavor, but it's going to be difficult to further improve it. We will.
Samay, your line is unmuted. Please go ahead with your question.
Yeah. So what I was saying is, the gross margins in Q3, you mentioned that despite the discounts given in Q3, they improved because the benefits of Indian fabric that was used as well as strong negotiations that were done with the fabric suppliers. So what I want to understand is, was this benefit a one-time that we had in Q3, or do you see this benefit in Q4 as well? So basically, I want to understand, will the gross margins improve in Q4, or will they remain steady?
See, again, as I said, the vendor negotiations have happened in Q3, and that benefit will continue as long as the tariff pressures remain. Will the gross margin improve in the quarters ahead, or how will the gross margin change? I think it will remain steady on all the existing-related benefits that we have driven in as long as the U.S. tariff continues. But it will vary based on the product mix. Product mix to product mix, there are some gross margin variations that we will see. For now, I think the product mix, we are trying to optimize the product mix so that we can drive up our gross margins. When we get into Q3, the profile may slightly change because we switch to autumn-winter wear where the gross margin profile is slightly different.
The fabric becomes more imported, so there will be a little higher cost of fabric that we will incur, so the gross margins may drop. But during those times, we get a better realization from cost of manufacturing. So we'll tend to retain our EBITDA margin nevertheless. So there are nuances in the business, which sometimes swings between margin to cost of manufacturing. Effectively, we tend to protect our EBITDA margins all the time. Coming back to your specific question on is there any one-time benefit that we got? The only one-time benefit we got was our negotiations with supply chain as far as raw material is concerned, which is linked to U.S. tariffs staying high. So as long as that remains, that benefit will continue as well.
Okay. Thank you for this. That was really helpful.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Prerna Jhunjhunwala from Elara Securities. Please go ahead.
Thank you for the opportunity, sir, and congratulations on your resilience example. Just wanted to understand your revenue and profitability between standalone Africa and Matrix businesses.
EBITDA margin at Atraco between Matrix and the India operations.
Sorry, sir. I didn't hear your number.
EBITDA margin from Atraco is 1.5%, while the EBITDA margin for the India operations remains the same level. Same ratio.
Okay. Okay. So you said 1.5% in Africa?
For this quarter. Yes.
Okay. And what would that be for nine months? The price is so low with AGOA agreement.
Because the business volumes went down after, we were unwilling to accept discounts in Africa to offset the loss of AGOA. These decisions were taken in January, February of 2025 because we tend to book orders for Africa well in advance, and we could see that AGOA could be allowed to expire by the current administration. We were not willing to hold onto the business just by discounts. We wanted to also take some business. Most of that is done. As I said, once the volume kicks back in, and in Africa, we tend to do over $25 million a quarter. Once that kind of volume kicks back into Africa, there's a surge in EBITDA margins because the fixed cost gets amortized over a bigger business volume. So EBITDA margins will swing back from the fourth quarter onward.
In the nine-month period, we did a break-even for our loss, but we did good numbers in Q1. But Q2 was the real impact, the impact we have taken.
Understood. So sir, how do we see margins in India and Africa businesses? And how are you treating the Europe orders, whether it is more from India or from?
So my India business, if the proposed tariff remains at 50%, the India business margins will remain where they are. We will continue to seek improvements on the margin side by improving operational efficiency. But that's only how the margin improvement may happen. But in Africa, we could probably see a good improvement. I am expecting Africa's EBITDA margin for next financial year, that is FY 2027, to go by the second half of that year across 10% easily, maybe even stay at an average of 10% in 2027 based on the order volume that we anticipate.
Understood. So sir, if your Africa business is 1.5%, that means your India business would be more than 10% in this quarter.
Yes, sir.
Yeah. Understood, sir. Yeah. Okay. Thank you so much, sir, and all the best.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, in order to ensure that the management will be able to address all the questions from the participants in the question queue, we request you to kindly limit your questions to two per participant. If you have a follow-up question, please rejoin the queue again. We have the next question from the line of Harsh Mittal from Emkay Global. Please go ahead.
Congratulations to the management for a decent set of results despite the challenging environment. My first question, sir, is that U.K. has been shining for the past five months. How have been your interactions with your clients in U.K.? Do you see some uptick in business from the U.K. region? That is my first question.
Okay. So U.K. FTA was signed in July 2025. However, not seeing the benefit of FTA flow through. It is awaiting implementation. So at the moment, the exports are still tariff-related, and we have not seen zero tariff benefit flow through as well. So the challenge with such a situation is that businesses take commercial decisions. They would like to see a zero-rated tariff before moving significant volumes to India, else they tend to lose an opportunity of securing the tariff benefit. Moving the volumes from Bangladesh to India won't happen until the tariff regime actually kicks in. So directionally, many U.K. customers are talking to us, exploring, stepping up the volumes, etc. But the real benefit of all of that will happen once U.K. FTA comes into effect. It is awaiting Parliament ratification. It is awaiting implementation. We are waiting to see how soon that will happen.
Sure, sir. Sir, on second line, the EU FTA, do you see any non-tariff barriers which may impact India similar to what U.K. FTA is there in terms of compliance cost, product mix? Do you see the same thing?
So whatever non-tariff barriers exist, exist even today. We are able to address those. From a compliance standpoint, etc., we are very high up there compared to most Indian suppliers are. Whether it is an environment, social compliance, etc., etc., we have zero liquid discharge, zero hazardous chemicals discharge. We have renewable power in most of our factories. Our labor compliances are one of the best in the country or best among the suppliers. So we don't see any non-tariff barriers impacting us as impacting Gokaldas. From an actual tariff implementation perspective, that's the only one. So when European countries start importing at zero duty, which is when the implementations start, maybe it will happen sometime in 2027, we will start seeing a good amount of business flow coming to India.
In the meanwhile, we have to seek business by continuing to have tariff advantage vis-à-vis Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, or other regions. We are still getting that kind of business growth from Europe. It will accelerate once the FTA comes into effect.
Yes, sir. So one question more.
Sorry to interrupt in between.
Sir, one question.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Bhavin Chheda from Enam Holdings. Please go ahead.
Yeah, sir. Congratulations on maintaining good numbers in a very difficult environment. So a couple of questions. I mean, as you said, sir, your order book, you must have already filled up for this quarter as well as you're saying for next year, first and second quarter also, mainly U.S. clients. So what my question was, I understand the tariff is implemented when the goods land in U.S. So whenever there is a reversal of tariff, any goods landing there after that date, the incremental benefits start coming to us because I believe there is a three-way sharing. Clients are sharing some part of the tariff. You are sharing some part of the tariff. So whenever that reversal goes, we don't wait till next order and the reversal starts coming from that day onwards?
Good question. Just to clarify, we have secured business until Q1. Q2 is work in progress, and so far, it's directionally going well. As far as the penal tariff and the tariff-related burden share, it will reverse the day the penal tariff goes away. So that incremental 25%, if it is reversed, then we will have our discounts being adjusted from the next shipment onwards and not necessarily from the next new orders that we book.
My question was, so basically, it happens even if your shipment has gone from India. Normally, it's a 20-25-day cycle. So even when it lands in the U.S., that benefit starts coming in, right?
Yes. Yes, it will. So if our customer is able to take the goods at less than 50% tariff, let's say the penal tariff of 25% goes away on a certain date, 1st of May, then any goods which they are able to clear customs in U.S. at 25%, not 50%, our tariff for those our burden share stops from those shipments onwards.
Sure. Sir, my second question, I understand, is tariff is on incremental portion over raw material and any goods which are imported from U.S. So in any part of your business overall, you have imports from U.S. where already you are getting some benefit, or there isn't much imports from U.S. into your company?
Yes, of course. So if I use U.S. cotton, for instance, and as long as the component of U.S. source is greater than or equal to 20%, we can get a setoff for that amount in the reciprocal tariff. So we are using U.S. cotton as much as possible in our raw materials because we can get that 50% offset on U.S.-based raw materials. So we are using all those tools available at our disposal to minimize or reduce the burden.
Have you maximized it, or this keeps on increasing U.S. cotton imports every quarter?
This is a function of product mix. Wherever we are able to use U.S. cotton, we will. And we.
Sir, how much percentage of cotton is U.S. cotton right now in your portfolio?
Yes. So there are I think we should have about 20%, a little closer to 25% of the FOB in cotton-based garments as U.S. cotton.
Sure. Sir, my last question, sorry, the third one.
What will happen in the first quarter is that we will be switching more to synthetics. So that is when some of these benefits may come down because then we will be using synthetic fabric from the Far East.
Sure. And my last question, sir, as U.K., it would be signed anytime, but the announcement happened a year back, and in the EU, announcement has just happened. So just taking example from a U.K. announcement which happened last year, I'm sure you would be seeding that market because whenever the parliamentary approval comes, directly benefits on margins and overall business comes in. So obviously, the players will seed the market much ahead of actual tariff implementation. Can you give some example of how U.K. business has been performing and how many clients you must have added in the last one year or so and how experience has been from the announcement till date in the U.K. market? Because I believe a similar pattern would follow in the India-EU also.
Right. U.K. is a much smaller market compared to EU, and we have three customers from U.K. that we are supplying to. We are seeing a fair amount of growth in the revenue from these customers. However, at the moment, the growth is coming without any tariff-related benefit accruing to the customer or to us. So the growth will get expedited once the tariff kicks in. Until then, it's about onboarding a customer and preparing ourselves for a duty-free future. As and when that kicks in, that's when the real transaction will happen. See, customers are also commercially oriented. They would prefer to get zero duty. If they get zero duty imports from Bangladesh and it is still charged from India, they will not move significant volumes. There will be testing, preparing the grounds, etc., which has all happened.
Now we are waiting for the actual tariff to get re-rated before real volumes will flow.
Okay. Thank you, sir. Yeah, thank you.
Thank you. A reminder to all the participants, we request you to kindly limit your questions to two per participant in order to ensure that the management will be able to address all the questions from the participants in the question queue. We have the next question from the line of Varun Gajaria from Omkara Capital. Please go ahead.
Hi, sir. Thank you for the opportunity. Congratulations, sir. So yeah, so I just wanted to understand. I mean, we have seen some media commotion on Bangladesh facing some kind of internal crisis and also the factory shutting down probably in February. So is there any substance to this, and if there is, then what kind of impact are we seeing on overall supply chain?
In terms of competition, I mean, Bangladesh, the production volumes from Bangladesh have not really fallen. So factories are working, and factories are continuing to export from Bangladesh. So while there are some challenges brewing in that country on account of factor costs going up, on account of geopolitical situation, we have not yet seen an impact on Bangladesh till date. Having said all of this, brands with whom we keep having conversations are also concerned about how the elections will play out, what kind of situation will be there on the ground. Now that visas for Indians are also restricted in Bangladesh, movement of people between these two countries have become a challenge. So a lot of brand people also are not able to visit. So some of these challenges are becoming significant from an ease-of-doing business perspective.
This may have some impact going forward. We will also have to see how elections play out in Bangladesh and how the factory operations are, whether they are impacted or not. It really needs to play out in the next few months.
Okay. INR 60 crore impact, I mean, net INR 45 crore impact, is this a stable state tariff impact that we are expecting as long as the U.S. tariffs stay?
Yes.
Okay. Okay. In terms of European Union, whenever the FTA comes on board, what is the opportunity size for our company considering the products we are in?
When the European FTA kicks in?
Yeah.
It's a very significant opportunity. It is an immense opportunity, I would say. Europe buys about $75 billion-$80 billion of goods. Once we get a zero tariff from India, that's a very large opportunity even though European retail is more fragmented than U.S. is. So we would see a lot more volumes move to India once that happens. Of course, these things take time to build up, and I would anticipate that European FTA, by the time it kicks in itself, will be a year and a half. I would think that the opportunity scale can be massive.
Okay. Sorry, sir, earlier, I did not really get the number on the margins in India and in Africa. If you could just spell that out once more.
Africa in Q3 is 1.3%.
The expectation, I mean.
In Q3, it is 1.3%.
Oh, no. I didn't expectation. Yeah.
You talk about expectations. You're talking of expectations?
Yeah, yeah.
So Africa for next financial year, we are anticipating, at least in the second half, going to 10%. In the first half, staying at between 7% and 8% EBITDA margin. Our endeavor will be to see if we can get there faster, but that's the expectation going forward.
Okay. So 1.5% to 7.5% to 10%.
Varun has disconnected . Varun, I would request you to kindly rejoin the queue again as our participants are waiting for their turn.
So, I'm sorry. Let me just answer that question. That improvement will happen primarily because the order book is going to swell, and that itself results in better capacity utilization. See, in the immediate wake of AGOA pullout, we did not deliberately step in with business discounts, etc., primarily because the African margins were also low, and we really did not want to go down that path. We were reasonably confident that AGOA will get restored, and we did not want to participate with discounts and then get into a long-term margin decline kind of situation in Africa. So we took a conscious decision not to go down that path there, while in India, we did take a conscious decision to quickly participate in tariff-related discounts to hold the business in India.
In Africa, we saw a business dip in Q3 and Q2, which is where we got impacted on account of fixed costs, which will get reversed starting Q4.
India margins stay at 8% currently?
India margins will stay where they are until the U.S. tariff remains.
Okay. Thank you.
Thank you.
A reminder to all the participants, we request you to kindly limit your questions to two per participant. If you have a follow-up question, please rejoin the queue again. We have the next question from the line of Jayesh Shah from Ohm Portfolio Equity Research. Please go ahead.
Hello. Am I audible?
Yes, sir. You're audible.
Thanks for the opportunity. My question, again, is related to the tariffs and the sharing of the tariff burden. How does rupee depreciation play out here since we have seen a very aggressive rupee depreciation against the euro as well and GBP in the last six months besides U.S. dollars? And a related question here is that if I look at the sharing formula that you've been talking about, is my thinking correct that your U.S. business is in very low single-digit EBITDA while Europe actually could be higher than double-digit for overall company EBITDA to come at around 9%? Thanks.
Yes. All right. In terms of currency, we hedge our receivables. So while the currency may have depreciated sharply to about INR 91 to $1, our realized currency will be a lot different depending on what we are hedging. So I think our hedge rate for Q3 was about 88.5 or thereabouts. So that prevents us from currency volatility. At the moment, we are in a state of currency volatility. We had not hedged. It would have helped us, but we adopt a very prudent currency policy and hedge all our receivables for the next two quarters and most of the receivables for third and fourth quarter at any point in time. So we have a one-year forward cover program that we closely implement. So from a currency standpoint, eventually, the benefits will come through.
Customers will also say this is transparent. Customers will also try to take advantage of the situation. Otherwise, the competition may end up giving some bit of it. As long as the U.S. tariff remains, maybe since we are bearing a significant burden, we may tend to hold on to some of those currencies for now. But eventually, in the longer run, those do get shared.
Thank you very much. The updated thing is, as and when the penalty tariffs come down, is there a waterfall where the suppliers will get the first benefit and then you would get the benefit in terms of sharing of the penalty tariff burden?
No, no, no, no. So as soon as the penalty tariff is brought down, the benefit has to flow through the supply chain. So people from the orders that do not get impacted by penalty tariffs, we will save the discounts. And our supply chain also, we will tend to give them the benefit of that. So while we are imposing certain costs on our supply chain, that also will be taken off from that point.
Thank you very much and best wishes.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Sahil Sharma from Dalmus Capital Management. Please go ahead.
Hi. Thank you so much. So on the Africa business, I just wanted to understand that we do have a tariff advantage over other Asian counterparts. There's a related logistic cost with respect to raw material availability, etc. So if we consider all these factors, how does Africa stack up against countries like Bangladesh, Vietnam, with and without AGOA?
So today, Africa has a 10% tariff delta with Bangladesh. So the reciprocal tariff in Africa is 10%. Bangladesh is 20%, right? Now, if AGOA is restored, if you look at cotton garments, the average duty is about 18%. And if you look at synthetics, it's about 28%. So if AGOA is restored, the underlying duty gets rated to zero. So then for cotton garments at 18 + 10, the delta will be 28%. And for synthetic garments, it will be 28 + 10, 38% delta vis-à-vis Bangladesh. That is when Africa's power comes to play. At the moment, we do not have the delta vis-à-vis Bangladesh is 10%. Does that clarify?
Yeah. Understood.
Thank you.
If, say, the penalty tariffs go away, so would we still continue on the strategy of diversifying customers and supply base, or would we be more comfortable with the U.S.-focused operations that we have currently?
No. If the penalty tariff goes away, we will be very comfortable doing U.S. business. U.S. retailers are large. U.S. retailers have longer run sizes, which allows us to operate efficiently. It's a very good market. It's a high-consumption market. We would be very keen on continuing our U.S. business. We have very good relationships with U.S.-based customers. That goes without saying that U.S. will become a dominant buyer from us if penalty tariffs go away.
Okay. So if the penalty tariffs go away, so we'll continue with this strategy of focusing on the U.S. and.
Right. But keeping it around. Having seen tariff volatility, diversification will continue to remain a thesis for us. But that doesn't mean that we will pivot out of U.S. We will take on more of Europe. And if European business gets FTA benefits, we will see a lot more growth happening on the European side. So the portfolio may get rebalanced a bit, for sure. But that wouldn't mean that we will significantly reduce our exposure to U.S. If the penalty tariff goes away, U.S. will also have its reasonable share in our business.
Understood. Thank you.
Yes.
A reminder to all the participants, we request you to kindly limit your questions to two per participant. If you have a follow-up question, please rejoin the queue again. We have the next question from the line of Raman Kerti from Sequent Investments. Please go ahead.
Hello, sir. Can you hear me?
Yes.
I just have one doubt with respect to the African operations. Given that you are confident that 25 million quarterly volumes will come from Q4 with respect to the African business, if we shift a majority of our U.S. shipment to Africa, our tariff burden will also reduce as well as the African business will ramp up, which will help in getting 10% margin from African business. Is my understanding right?
No, it is not because Africa also has capacity constraints. Our endeavor is, for next financial year, to try to push African revenues to $120 million-$125 million or thereabouts next financial year. India's revenues are much higher than that. We cannot move garment or reroute it through Africa. Whatever is produced in India will get tariff based on the tariff applicable for India. Whatever is produced in Africa will get tariff based on that region. The amount of orders that we can shift from India to Africa will depend on how much capacities we have there. We will tend to maximize that going forward. But since Indian volumes are pretty significant, close to about $350 million-$375 million, and of which about 70% is to the U.S., we will continue to see that tariff being impacted here. We cannot reroute it to Africa.
That is not an option.
No, no. I didn't mean reroute it, but just to increase the capacity in the African entity and then try to bring down the orders from India to U.S.A and replace those from African entity. That was my question.
Yeah. So at the moment, our aim will be to push as much business from India to Africa, fill more India with European business as far as possible. We don't intend dropping India volumes at all and grow our revenues from Africa. That's the plan going forward. And we may be able to bring onboard going forward.
Understood, sir. And so just a last question. With respect to Indian entity, what is the total capacity in India, and how much is the current utilization?
The current utilization is in Q3 alone. It is full. The manpower and machine power capacity, it's almost going full. At the current run rate in Indian operation, we should be able to do around the top line in the range of INR 750 crores-INR 800 crores. This is without considering the new capacity which are coming onboard.
The volume figure, sir? What's the quarterly volume from India entity, approximately?
Sorry, sorry. The current capacity in India is around INR 850 crores. Yeah. And I think we will be able to add more because we have one more factory in Bhopal and an underutilized factory in Karnataka, and plus the unit in Jharkhand. So I think Indian capacity can be increased, in my opinion, by another INR 200-odd crores further from where we are. We have not fully allowed those capacities to be staffed with people looking at how the tariff is playing out. And we wanted to see if we can get more European business or the right kind of business to expand. But I still see with the kind of CapEx that we've done in the past, we should be able to push up additional revenue annually to the extent of about INR 200-odd crores.
How much does Bhopal, Jharkhand, and Karnataka additional volume come from these three entities?
No, no. So these three entities put together can contribute about INR 500 crore annually. Having said that, we are already utilizing a portion of those capacities, but very small. We will probably ramp up by another INR 200-odd crore going forward. But the real test for that will be how the tariff plays out, when the European FTA kicks in. That is when some of these capacities we will tend to start utilizing more of. At the moment, we have not started ramping up people there while the factories have been built out because these decisions were taken pre-penalty tariff. And since penalty tariff has come onboard, we are going slow on some of these capacity onboarding these capacities.
As I said, we will have the potential to up our revenue annually by about INR 500 crore, but we will wait for the right timing before we bring the necessary staffing and ramping up the capacities decision is taken place.
Understood, sir. Thank you.
Thank you. A reminder to all the participants, we request you to kindly limit your questions to two per participant. If you have a follow-up question, please do. We have the next question from the line of Niraj from White Pine Investment Management. Go ahead.
So I just wanted to clarify again. Thank you for the opportunity. We have a run rate of almost INR 2,600 crores on this standalone entity on India side. So how much can that or is it fully utilized? Or how much that can what's the revenue capacity, the right way to put it? If we run full, what can be the revenues for that? Hello? Hello?
Sorry. As I said, the additional revenue that we can drive from India is to the extent of INR 500 crore. We do have the physical capacity. We have not yet put in the workers there because we want to wait and watch as to how the tariff situation unfolds and when the European FTA and all kicks in, right? So we will have to build up that volume for this additional incremental capacity that we have available at our disposal. But we have not ramped up the people there. So we will be doing it. Since these factories are already in the region where we are operational, our ramp-up costs will not be high. We will be able to ramp them up faster. So when we ramped up Bhopal first unit, it took us two years before we started breaking even and contributing to profits.
But the newer units will probably start contributing much faster given that we have an installed base in all these regions. We have primed ourselves up for all of those. Having said that, this incremental INR 500 crore, I don't think will happen soon. Getting additional business at these tariffs will take time. We may also be cautious in building up additional revenues in these times. We will wait and see how all of these unfold in the months ahead.
And so on the Atraco side, including four in India and one in Ethiopia, you said INR 150 million is the revenue potential from that. What is the current run rate of revenue?
INR 120 million-INR 125 million.
Okay. And what is the current revenue right now?
Current revenue, we will be at around INR 90 crore-INR 100 crore. INR 100 million, sorry.
INR 90 million-INR 100 million. Last question, on the margins of India, can you just put the numbers, please? I think if you remove the Atraco margins, how much will be the margins from India manufacturing?
We are around 10% level in India, the operating margin level.
Is there a breakdown you can give on how much percentage you would get on exports to Europe higher versus U.S.? Is there a breakdown you can give?
Africa operation is only 1.5%. The remaining amount, you can really arrive at it. That is the India operation.
I want to ask from India, if it's exporting to U.S. or Europe, what is the difference in the margin today?
Oh, U.S.-Europe. U.S. margins will be in the low single digits post-tariff discounts, whereas European margins are in the region of about 11%, 12%, 12.5%, thereabouts.
You still further scope of increasing the Europe side on this?
Oh, yeah. So our aim is to increase the European business. We will continue to endeavor doing that. The question is, how do we rationalize the capacity between U.S. and Europe, and what is the timing up to which this penalty tariff will remain? So we'll have to balance call on some of these. We also have booked revenue from our U.S. customers all the way to Q1 and including Q2. So we'll have to balance all of these capacities. So some of these capacity allocations will unfold in the quarters ahead. We cannot pivot in the short run as we do book orders well in advance.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Saurabh Srivastava from Arista Consulting. Please go ahead.
Good morning, sir. Sir, am I audible?
You are.
Sir, just now you said that the European and this India FTA deal is going to be a great opportunity. My first question is that how do you plan to navigate it? And you will be taking some leased-out facilities or will be expanding. And the second question is regarding the African operation. Africa sits in a very sweet spot given this tariff structure. So how do you plan to expand there, especially vis-à-vis the U.S. business? And third, if you can give me some idea about the U.S. and the European mix going forward vis-à-vis the share customers.
So if European business comes, we will have incremental capacity in our export some new factories and take on additional European business. So we are not going to cannibalize U.S. business at all. In fact, those capacities are given, and we will continue to hold on to our U.S. business. So as far as Africa is concerned, while most of the customers in Africa are American, we are also onboarding some European clients now as Africa goes duty-free to Europe as well. So either two, we did not have European customers there. But for now, we are actually adding European customers into Africa as well. So that's an incremental opportunity that we're looking at in Africa. As far as the U.S.-Africa mix is concerned, today, European business is closer to about 15%, 15-odd percent of our total revenues. Intention is to take it up to 20%-25%.
But these things do take time. These things take several quarters before the percentage of the revenue for Europe gets built up. Keep in mind that either for U.K. or for Europe, we still don't have a zero-rate tariff. We have painful tariffs, unlike Bangladesh, Vietnam, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, and all these other competing countries enter Europe with zero tariffs. So some of those European growth, while it is happening, will only get accelerated or the ratio will get rebalanced only when actually the FTAs kick in with its zero-rate tariff.
There has been some GSP withdrawal from the European Union vis-à-vis the Indian operation as well as the Kenyan one. Will it have some impact?
That's 20% of 12%. That's 2.4%. That is operating in the margins. It doesn't make an impact at the moment.
Thank you, sir. Thank you.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Gunjan Kabra from Niveshaay. Please go ahead.
Hi, Siva. Thank you so much for the opportunity and always a great insight on the sector and how the company is moving towards those dynamics. So one thing which I wanted to understand is that since the tariff has been enforced since long now, and it's not in our hands when the resolution will come in. And for the brands also, the inventory was also on the lower side. So when you talk to the players in the U.S. and the brands in the U.S., basically, then is there an inclination towards supply chain shift? I know it takes a lot of time, but is there an inclination towards that that we should shift the supply chain a bit?
See, if the high tariff continues on India, right, then anything is possible, right? At 50% tariff, it's like everybody is bearing a pain. The supplier is bearing the pain. The buyer or the retailer is bearing the pain. So if 50% tariff, then we're hoping that some resolution can be found or people like us will give some options of parts sourcing from other countries so that we can bring the tariff burden on our customers. But India operations, if 50% tariff doesn't change soon, change in the next several months, we may have brands looking at options to diversify their sourcing. So these are early days. We don't exactly know how brands are thinking because they are also finding it difficult to onboard capable suppliers in other regions. So they are continuing to buy from India.
We are continuing to explore how we can support them and minimize their tariff burden. So all of those are going on. But as I said, these things will play out in the next several quarters depending on how the tariff regime unfolds.
Got it. And with respect to the EU FTA, I mean, the opportunity size is very large, and it's huge that's there. But considering the players that are already there in the EU market, like how the brands are sourcing from Bangladesh or Vietnam, so that share is also pretty huge. So basically, for us as a country, how easy it is for us to compete in that market once the tariff is also resolved? So how are the brands thinking in terms of sourcing from India and not from other countries? And how is the onboarding cycle of customers in the EU considering the market is very fragmented and small order sizes?
Okay. No, so most Europeans are buying a lot from Bangladesh. They are seeing geopolitical concerns in Bangladesh on one hand. They're also seeing an advantage of buying from India given that prospectively, our tariff will go down. So many of them are actively present in India trying to onboard suppliers in India, looking at options to buy from India, even for retailers who are either not buying from India, buying only from Bangladesh and other duty-free regions. So there are a lot of retailers who are now actively considering India. So that's the good news. And that will play out incrementally going forward as India-EU FTA comes to fruition.
Okay. Can we order?
Gunjan, J oin back the queue, please, as we have other participants in the room.
Thank you so much.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, in order to ensure that management is able to answer queries from all participants, kindly restrict your questions to two at a time. You may join back the queue for follow-up questions. The next question is from the line of Bijal Shah from RTL Investments. Please go ahead.
Yeah, hi. Thank you very much, and congratulations on a good set of numbers in a challenging time. I have two questions. One is on margin, and another is on Europe, I mean, diversification strategy. So first, on margin, see, if I look at INR 40 crore of one-off, which is on account of tariff, and if I adjust for that, the India margin looks really, really good. I mean, it just goes about 13%. That we have not seen even in the years when there was no tariff, and we were running at a high capacity. So is there something I'm missing here or not? And secondly, within that, that when tariff goes away, can we really go to 13% kind of margin? That's for question one. Question two is with respect to tariff. So despite tariff impact, so you are 25% disadvantaged when it comes to U.S..
Now, despite that, you are able to make some positive margins. In Europe, your disadvantage is much lesser. So why not think of onboarding Europe and U.K. clients starting now itself and give them that discount and ramp up the capacity utilization and improve overall a bit? Though margins would be lesser, but overall, a bit that can go up even if you give 10%-12% discount because with 20% and 5% kind of discount, you are still making good positive margin in U.S. So these are the two questions.
Okay. Yes, adjusting for margins, the India margins are strong and will continue to remain. This is primarily because we have also unleashed a lot of operational improvements and some significant cost management here and efficiency management here. That's one of the reasons. As far as rebalancing U.S.-Europe, while that continues, some of these orders are booked in the long term. We also have a strong relationship with customers. Our U.S. customers are also persevering with us in the hope that the penalty tariff will go away. We don't also want to reduce their business volumes keeping a lot of short-term considerations in mind and then hoping that once the penalty tariff goes away, trying to build back the business. U.S. businesses are generally a little more profitable than European given business volumes.
So we also have to balance some of these considerations when we look at the portfolio between U.S. and European customers. We will walk that path very carefully while we will expand European business. That's clearly an intent. We do not want to contract U.S. business as if the penalty tariff is removed, we will see ourselves to be in an advantageous position with those U.S. customers. And we don't want to lose that.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Shradha Agrawal from Asian Markets Securities. Please go ahead.
Yeah, hi, sir. Congratulations on a very resilient performance in difficult times. Just two questions. What is the current mix of revenue from India to U.S. and Europe?
Ladies and gentlemen, the line for the management has been disconnected. Please stay connected while we join them back. Ladies and gentlemen, the line for the management has been connected. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
My sincere apologies. Sathya and I, our CFO and I, are both outside of India. It's an international line. For some reason, we are seeing it drop after a certain duration. Apologies for this. Let's get started.
Yeah, sir. Can I continue?
Yes.
Yeah, hi, sir. So congratulations on a great quarter despite difficult times. And two questions. First is, could you give the split between India and sorry, between U.S. and Europe exports from India?
From India?
Yeah, from India.
U.S. and Europe, only from India. Can you ask the next question while we give you that answer?
Sir, it was a related question because to my understanding, U.S. exports would be still at a higher number. And despite making low margin in the U.S. exports from India, we are still at a blended 11%-12% margin in India. So didn't get the math well here.
From India, we are doing almost around 70%. 70% was revenue from India.
And Europe?
Europe was the balance.
Yeah. So a pretty significant part, almost 17%-18% will be Europe. But the rest of non-U.S. business will be at higher margins anyway.
Higher margins.
Yeah.
Yeah. So Europe, you're saying margin of 11%-12%, and U.S. margin is mid-single-digit. And your India blended margin is 11%-12%. It's 10%. So despite 70% of your business coming in at low single-digit margin, how is India blended margin so high at 10%?
I'm sorry. India business is around 62% blended because I have to include the other operation from Matrix also. Sorry about it. 62%.
Yeah. 62% U.S..
62% is U.S., India operation.
Yeah. So sir, the question still remains, right? 60% of the business operates at low single-digit margin. Even then, on a blended basis, we are getting 10%.
Yeah, correct. So when I say when we say single-digit margin, when I look at EBITDA margin for U.S., it is in the order of how much? 6%-7%?
6% to 7%.
6.7% for U.S.. European margin or non-U.S. margin have actually kicked up because of the cost efficiencies that we drove. That is at a blended region of about 13.5% or thereabouts. That gives you the average, whatever average you have.
Got it. Sir, just another clarification. So you mentioned that you could negotiate with your vendors because you had a higher proportion of India-based raw material in the product this time. I think on one of the questions, you also mentioned that you had a higher proportion of U.S.-imported cotton, which might come off in the next season when you have a higher portion of synthetic, which will be supplied from Far East. So I mean, was it more of India-based raw material, or was it more of U.S.-based content? How do we see margins then progressing from here on?
So again, when we look at Q1 onwards, when there will be possibly we have to look at the supply chain, and I'll relook at what is the U.S. component in the supply chain. But we may not have as much of U.S. cotton in Q1. We may see some amount of tariff burden slightly increasing on that count. It may not impact margins much. It may affect us at about 1%-1.5%. But my sense is we will continue to look for ways to improve our margins in terms of either operating efficiency or supply chain sourcing. How much of that we push back to our suppliers, all of that will have to play out. We will try to protect our margins as far as possible in that period.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Nitin Bharat Shah, an individual investor. Please go ahead.
Yeah, hello. Am I audible?
You are.
Okay. So the first question I would like to ask is, at present, the U.S. customers would have reduced buying from us, or some of them would have stopped buying from us. In that case, where are they buying from? Oh, okay.
They have not. They have not. They have not continued to buy from us.
None of them, right?
Correct.
Does the present number include the Labor Code cost?
Yes.
Okay. That's all. That's all. Thanks a lot.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Bharat Agnihotri, an individual investor. Please go ahead.
Hi. Am I audible?
Yes.
So, my question is, there's some examination that the U.S. Supreme Court is making on the legality of these tariffs. And they might pronounce the result this month. So, is there a possibility that your customers get back the tariffs that they have paid? And since most of the tariff has been absorbed by the company, is there a possibility that they pass on that recoup tariff from the U.S. government to you in the form of special income?
It's a very good question. At the moment, it looks unlikely because they have also borne the cost of all those litigations, etc. That's a refund at risk. It's highly unlikely that that benefit will accrue down to the supply chain. It will be unfortunate, but our retailers will get a windfall gain if that happens.
Okay. My second question is, on the India business, when I say India business, I mean you're selling to customers in India. What's the volume on that? And is there a strategy to improve the volumes and the geography?
At the moment, when we look at India business, it's largely to the international brands operating out of India that we supply. We do not cater to domestic Indian customers at all. What is the strategy for India-based revenue? At the moment, we're not pursuing India retail as an option. We want to see how the U.S. tariff plays out, how the European and U.K. tariff plays out because that brings in a new opportunity. We find the margins supplying to India retail is low given that we will be competing with a lot of smaller suppliers whose compliance costs and all of those will be a lot less. So we're not focusing on India retail at the moment.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Manjubhashini from ASK Wealth Advisory. Please go ahead.
Hello. Greetings to the management. Am I audible?
You are.
Yeah. So just one question on yesterday's budget announcement. Are there any changes on the export incentive schemes that have come through in the budget and anything that you would like to explain to us on that?
So there are no changes to the scheme. However, the allocation to ROSCTL and duty drawback has reduced compared to the actual spend in 2025-2026. So I don't know how that's going to play out. Unless the budget allocation is increased going forward, we may find we are finding, actually, that the export incentives that we get and the budget allocated for that seems to have changed. But in terms of actual pronouncements, we have not seen any change. So we'll have to see how that unfolds. Even in the past, we observed that the allocation at the budget level was lower, and then subsequently, it was corrected. We hope that it will be done that similar way. Otherwise, we don't have any specific information at this point of time.
Okay. Sure, sir. Thank you very much. Yeah.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Harsh Mittal from Emkay Global. Please go ahead.
Thank you for the follow-up. Sir, just one question. In the starting of your call, you have mentioned that there has been a lot of cost efficiencies, which has led to the margin expansion or the improvement. So do you see any further cost efficiency or headroom left for the FY 2027?
So some of the efficiencies may come from a depreciated rupee, right? We normally don't take currency benefits to our advantage when we look at internal EBITDA margins, etc., at a customer level. So some of that can also help us. As I said, since we hedge, and currently, our hedge rates for USD receivables are close to 88.5 or 89. And while the real currency is operating at closer to 91, there may be some upside sitting there. But it also gets eventually competed out in the longer run. But in the shorter run, we may see some upside. Any product portfolio, product mix change, etc., can also have a negative effect. So all of these do tend to sometimes cancel off each other, but there is a small upside in terms of currency sitting there. We'll have to see how that actually plays.
I wouldn't go and take that benefit much, as eventually, these do get leveled out.
Sure, sir. Thank you. Thank you.
Yep.
Thank you. A reminder to all the participants, we request you to kindly limit your questions to one per participant. We have the next question from the line of Riddhesh Gandhi from Discovery Capital. Please go ahead.
Hi, sir. Just a question. Even if we lose the Section extra tariffs that are there, the other tariffs also, India is—I mean, it is—an advantage compared to Bangladesh, Vietnam, Pakistan, Turkey, etc. So do we see any implications, actually, longer term, even if this 25% goes away?
No. So even though it's 25%, India is higher. Are you saying India?
India is higher by 5%. You're saying that?
Yes. No, if India's tariff is 25% while Bangladesh is 20%, will that impact us? Answer is not much because that's only a 5% delta. It may impact partially. We may have to give some degree of offset to customers for that 5%. But since we are currently talking about a 50% versus 20% delta, that is not becoming a discussion point. But once the penal tariff goes away, that may come in as a discussion point, and maybe we'll have to partially support the customers for that 5% delta. Will that impact business volumes much? Answer is no.
Got it. And the other question was that when we look overall at our margins, historically, we haven't had really this extra 25% to really give back to the customers. Yet, we are ending up being profitable. Just want to understand how that's actually playing out if we are passing on a lot of this. And specifically, for the American orders, are they at breakeven levels? Are we making a small amount? Are we losing? And how long can we actually hold up and actually continue to subsidize the 25% penalty tariff?
U.S. customers' EBITDA margins have come down primarily because of the tariff burden that we are sharing. Depending on the customer, the tariff burden shared is different. We keep negotiating with our customers. We get some offsets from our suppliers as well because some of that tariff burden, we, in turn, push it back to our supply chain. Then we get some credit on account of depreciating rupees. We should not forget that. Internally, we don't consider rupee depreciation for our calculations because that's an externality from our standpoint. At a P&L level, it does play out, and we do get some offsets there. Our U.S. EBITDA margin, after factoring in some of those rupee depreciation benefits also, goes from low single digits to mid to high single digits because that benefit also kicks in.
But then these kinds of situations do tend to benefit us for now. But when the tariff burden goes away, we will, of course, claw back on the burden share. But then the rupee depreciation might then come back for discussion on sharing with customers. So all of these will play out. Let it play out when it has to happen. There are too many moving parts in the business, some to our favor, some to our disadvantage. And what you see is the net results. What we can focus on is to ensure that we execute well. We try to drive out costs as much as possible, which is in our control, and that's what we do. Does that?
People, look, yes, it does. It does. And.
Sorry to interrupt. Sorry to interrupt in between, Riddhesh. I would request you to rejoin the queue.
Okay. No problem.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Hitaindra Pradhan from Maximal Capital. Please go ahead.
Hi, sir. Thanks for taking my question. So my question is related to the other income. So, sir, what does the other income constitute here?
Other income at the consolidated income level you are looking at, right? One is the.
Yes, yes, yes.
One is the interest on the OCD, what we have classified separately. Other than that, anything on the mutual fund investments and other investments what we are holding, that is the income what is shown there.
It doesn't take into account the currency impact and the.
The currency impact and all is shown separately below the line, right? There is a forex impact, gain, or loss on account of foreign exchange fluctuation, we have shown separately.
Which is not part of our EBITDA margin, or it is part of our EBITDA margin that we are reporting?
It is part of the EBITDA margin.
Okay. Okay, sir. So, sir, if the tariff situation reverses, so we can expect that the U.S. business to, again, generate, say, 12%-13% of EBITDA margin from the current low single digit?
Yes. Yes.
Sir, the inventory, you made a comment earlier that the retailers are also not stocking up because the prices are elevated, or probably they are anticipating some kind of slowdown. So if you can give some clue to who are our customers, are they in the premium segment, mid-premium, or value segment, and what are the demand scenarios at the U.S. customer side?
So, sir, when you look at the aggregate macro data, if you look at the retail sales, retail sales for calendar 2025, now we have data even till November. And we are seeing it go up a little above 4%. And U.S. imports are down by 1%. So there is a delta there, right? U.S. retailers are importing less even though the retail sales are going up, which clearly indicates that they are not allowing their inventory to build up. And on the contrary, they are allowing inventory destocking to happen. People are not wanting to buy at 20%-50% reciprocal tariff regime or are loath to build up inventory at these levels. They may be waiting for the Supreme Court order to see if there is a tariff reversal before they start coming back for buying more. So we'll have to see how this plays out.
They may also be worried about how inflation plays up in the next calendar year, that is 2026, in which we are, and see how price increases, which will go into effect this year, will also impact U.S. retail demand. So based on that, they will probably start building up inventory. But for now, U.S. imports are trending below U.S. retail sales. And that's interesting to see because then there is an incremental tightness in inventory that you will see happen in the U.S., which may reverse. Now, how does this play out at an individual retailer level? I think at the moment, it's across all segments that we are seeing it, including mid-premium, premium to mass market. Mass market retailers are where a bulk of them are. We will have to see how they will play going forward.
Mid-premium and above are actually trying to pass on more and more price increases back to their customers, whereas all the others are holding back as much as possible or passing on very marginal price increase to their customers. So it will depend on how their strategy plays out in spring 2026, which is yet to happen. The extended winter continues. U.S. is seeing a brutal winter as we speak. So we'll have to see from spring 2026 onwards how the retail market unfolds.
Okay, sir. Thank you, sir.
Yeah.
Thank you. We have the next question from the line of Sagar Makwana from M.A.G. Securities. Please go ahead.
Hello, sir. Good morning. So my first question is a little bit long term. As we scale our presence in EU and U.K., sir, do we anticipate any shift in working capital days and margins? As you said, in Europe, they are higher. And also, sir, please correct me if I'm wrong. Since sportswear typically delivers higher margins, do we see any opportunity to meaningfully scale this segment to enhance overall margins over medium term, or is this category likely to remain low and structurally dominated by China and Taiwan?
To answer your second question, our European customer is sportswear dominant. In fact, that is one of the reasons why we were able to expand our margins also. We are continuing to push more sportswear-related business to offset some of the margin challenges that we have. Are we pushing up European business, keeping long-term in mind? Absolutely. Given that FTA is coming into effect, etc., we are pushing that European business up. And we will continue to do that. Once U.S. penal tariff goes away, we will see some U.S. business growth as well. We're not wanting to let go of that opportunity. We are continuing to engage with U.S. as well. In terms of customer portfolio perspective, we are calibrating it very closely.
We are allowing European business to grow faster for now, given that there is a tariff benefit for us serving Europe. How are we looking at sportswear? We are looking at it favorably. We are trying to expand that business. And we are seeing good traction coming in from sportswear business. Even though the natural home for sportswear is Vietnam and those regions, we are seeing a good amount of traction coming in that space for us.
Okay, sir. So then my second question is, will ASP get lower as we enter into knits and due to Atraco heavy casual wear?
Will what? ASP?
ASP, sir. Average selling price.
It will not.
Average selling price, will it get lower?
ASP.
Average selling price, will it get lower?
Yeah. If Atraco's growth happens at a faster rate than India, definitely average selling price will come down. Yes.
Okay. And, sir, my last question, sir. If this AGOA gets restored, sir, is there any duty refund we will get as in one-time gain?
If what gets restored? AGOA.
Sir, AGOA.
AGOA? Oh, no, no, no, no. So all that will be prospective. I don't think we'll get a duty refund for past. Yeah.
Okay. Okay, sir. Thank you so much, sir. That's all from us.
Thank you. We have the next follower question from the line of Prerna Jhunjhunwala from Elara Securities. Please go ahead.
Thank you for the opportunity. I just wanted to understand, with so many cost control measures undertaken internally and externally, how do we see our sustainable margins once this U.S. trade deal settles and we enter into a high-growth period wherein FTA with the U.K. and Europe are also signed? Just wanted to understand how things will move, and how do you see business?
So in the long run, there are many moving parts. One is trade deal, U.S. tariff. At what level will it settle? Will it settle at 25? Will it remain at 50%? Will it come down to 25%? Will it come down to 20%, which is equivalent to other competing countries, right? And the margins will depend on all of that. So let's assume that the FTA I mean, the penal tariff goes away, comes down to 25%. At that moment, U.S. customers may come in and start negotiating on that 5% delta with other regions, which at the moment is being ignored given that the delta is so wide between 50 and 20. What will be our margins at that point in time? I'm sure we'll be in 12%-13% India margin for all business, including U.S..
Our advantage, if we merge BTPL, which is the fabric unit, with us, will also help us nudge up our margins by a few percentage points because fabric will become internal. So that's another dynamic that we will see in the longer run. European business will probably also come in at good margins, primarily because in the longer run, there will be a European FTA in place. So that will help. For the moment, we do have some currency-related benefit coming into us. If the currency strengthens, it may have a deleterious impact on the margins. We will have to see how that plays out. So there are all these moving parts. Your guess is as good as mine.
On an average, if you have to ask me, let's say, currency strengthens or part of the currency benefit goes back to our customers, while U.S. tariff comes down to 25%, European FTA kicks in, we should be able to operate at 12%-13% EBITDA margin in India and about 10%-11% in Africa.
That's really helpful, sir. Thank you so much.
Thank you. We have the next follower question from the line of Riddhesh Gandhi from Discovery Capital. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Sir, so just wanted to understand that you had highlighted earlier when I'd asked you regarding that the impact of a 4%-5% of benefits, which maybe Bangladesh, Turkey, etc., might have over us won't be that much of an impact. What I understand, it won't be that much of an impact in lieu of the 25%. But I mean, wouldn't this be at risk of our customers looking to potentially diversify away from India?
Will they diversify away from India between 25% and 20%? The answer is no because in India, they do get some specific capabilities, etc., that is very difficult for them to replicate elsewhere. People also want a diversified sourcing these days, given that tariffs for any region can change anytime. You saw how South Korean tariffs suddenly go up by 10% based on some announcement by the administration. So people will stay diversified. Globally, U.S. tariffs are super volatile across regions and will stay volatile. And that really means that U.S. customers will stay as diversified as possible. We, as a supplier, also should stay as diversified as possible and hence look at sourcing from or supplying from other regions just to deal with this volatile tariff situation that we find ourselves in.
Good. Just the last question I had was, I would assume just given all the ambiguity, are the inventory levels that our clients send reasonably low, and how is market demand looking like? Just to know that in case we do see a reversal of this 25%, do we also see an uptick in, I mean, demand and orders relatively?
No. So I would say I'm a bit cautious there. I'm worried about U.S. U.S. inflation, everything depends on U.S. interest rates, etc., going forward. But if U.S. demand slows in 2026, either due to price increases being passed out to customers or due to tariff-related price increases impacting U.S. customers, we may see some U.S. demand coming down. We also don't know how geopolitics are going to impact us as there is enough on the boil globally and how consumers tend to react to that situation in 2026. So I wouldn't say there is going to be a demand upswing. On the contrary, demand growth will stay muted till this geopolitics plays out in 2026.
We will have to ensure that we consolidate the supplier base, which we always do whenever there are some such difficult situations, and hold on to our business or try to get business in lieu of other suppliers. We will continue to focus on that or think about that.
I bet so, sir. All the best. Thank you.
Thank you.
Thank you very much. As there are no further questions from the participants, that concludes the question and answer session. I now hand the conference over to the management of Gokaldas Exports Limited for the closing comments. Thank you again, sir.
I have elaborated a lot during the call. We will stay focused on trying to improve our cost as much as possible, look at our supply chain wherever there is a possibility to extract more margins or optimize margins. The macroeconomic situation is still volatile. The only benefit that I see in all of this is a weaker rupee, which will help from an export standpoint. The tariff regime, we hope, will settle down soon. It is required as U.S. continues to be one of the largest markets and one of the most consumption-driven markets for us. European FTA and U.K. FTA need to come home as fast as possible.
So while the announcements have had a positive effect from a brand standpoint looking at India sourcing, for it to take effect and business volumes to go up, we need to see the FTA being operational, which is some time away. But once all of those happen, the long-term benefit for India will be immense as Europe is a fairly large market, almost as big as U.S. is. And if U.S. tariff comes down, I think it'll be good for operations out of India. In the meanwhile, we will continue to diversify. We will continue to expand out of Africa, and we'll continue to expand out of other regions and seek margin improvements wherever possible. Thank you.
Thank you very much, sir. On behalf of Gokaldas Exports Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining with us today, and you may now disconnect your line.