BW Energy Limited (OSL:BWE)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2021

Aug 20, 2021

Operator

Hello, welcome to the BW Energy Q2 2021 presentation. Throughout the call, all participants will be in a listen-only mode, and afterwards, there'll be a question and answer session. Today, I'm pleased to present your speakers.

Carl Arnet
CEO, BW Energy

A warm welcome to BW Energy's second quarter 2021 presentation. This presentation will be hosted by our Chief Operating Officer, Lin Espey, our Chief Financial Officer, Knut Sæthre, and myself, Carl Arnet. I will take you through the comments on the operations, and Knut will take you through the financials as usual, and then we will all participate in the Q&A that we will have at the end. Please note our disclaimer. The highlights of our second quarter is, of course, first and foremost our production, which was good and stable in the quarter, and gave us an EBITDA of $47 million with two liftings completed. This resulted in a further strengthening of our cash position to $216 million. More on this will follow, of course, later in the presentation. We successfully completed the DTM-7H production well on time and below budget.

We are, as we speak, currently drilling the Hibiscus North exploration well, and we will have some further commentary on that. Other notable things that will be covered in the presentation is the continued need to manage the COVID pandemic and its impact on operations. Of course, we will also address the much improved oil price of $70 per barrel, gave us a very nice result from our 1.1 million barrels lifted for BWE. The daily average production of 10,500 barrels per day gross will be covered, as well as the further Tortue phase II work with the tie-in of the DTM-6H and 7H. Of course, some further commentary on the Hibiscus-Ruche project's progress. BW Energy recorded no LTIs in the second quarter, nor any spills to the environment. As such, we had a good result.

COVID-19 is still affecting the general execution of all work, and in particular, the FPSO operations due to quarantine requirements and the strain that puts on our crew and work in general. The security risk at Dussafu is considered low, but we have noted some piracy activity continuing in the north, in the Gulf of Guinea. We are doing precautionary measures to be able to, let's say, detect and put our people in safety before any pirates can reach us. With respect to our greenhouse gas emissions, the main thrust of our savings is, of course, that we first of all use existing discoveries, but not developed. We develop things that haven't been developed yet, but a lot of CO2 has been used to find them, of course. Secondly, we repurpose equipment, thereby saving a lot of construction CO2 that otherwise would be necessary to develop.

Our production outlook remains more or less the same. We have a gross production estimate in our caption to the left, and the net production estimate in our caption to the right. This includes the developments that we are currently working on and we have in our portfolio. On to Dussafu with some further detailed comments. Operations at Dussafu were stable in the quarter. We did have a production shutdown due to planned maintenance that was previously announced and executed. This gave us a gross production of almost one million barrels, equal to 10,500 barrels per day. The combination of COVID costs and the slightly lower barrels gave us a higher OpEx per barrel than we thought previously would be the case.

The COVID costs are still significant in our operations. Our OpEx per barrel for the second quarters was at approximately $31 per barrel, while we still expect the full year OpEx per barrel to be at about $26. We have revised down our production forecast to the lower end of our band, and to approximately 4.7 million gross. The main reason for this is the timing of the tie-in work of DTM-6H and -7H. We did have hope earlier that we could progress or expedite the tie-in work earlier, but we could not, and in fact, we have rather slipped a little bit more on the timeline compared to our projections. We have also had some effect that we have previously reported on the delays to the implementation of gas lift capacity increases that we had planned, executed.

They're still not executed and are significantly delayed, and this is affecting our startup efficiency, mainly. We will have some deferred production. We do not expect any, let's say, change to recovery or overall production from the Tortue. We are still extremely pleased with the performance of the reservoir. We will have some deferred production due to this COVID situation that delayed our execution, not only of DTM-6H and DTM-7H, but of the overall Tortue projects compared to our original plans. Of course, also this gas lift issue that I mentioned. The lifting plans have been revised slightly, and the revised plan is now that we will have no lifts in the 3rd quarter and two lifts in the 4th quarter to BW Energy. This is shown in the caption on the bottom right-hand side.

The completion of the Tortue Phase 2 development is near, not yet completed. We completed the drilling of DTM-7H in July, on time and below budget. Again, we're very pleased with the drilling performance. We also are very pleased with the result of our drilling campaign because we encountered a large section of gross pay with a net pay of 372 m. We expect the DTM-7H to be very similar in behavior to our DTM-4H, which is our current best well. That is a very good outcome, and we have good expectations. We're now preparing for the tie-in. The subsea installation vessel is expected on site in September, as noted. We have everything planned and prepared, and we have also done all the preparations on BW Adolo to minimize any production impact during the tie-in operations. We expect that to be smooth.

Overall, we are quite happy that the Tortue phase II project CapEx has performed well in the sense that we expect to spend less than we budgeted, even though we've had the interruption caused by the pandemic. That is a good outcome and a good, let's say, scorecard for all our project people involved in the Tortue phase II project. On our Hibiscus-Ruche development, the main work currently is, of course, the repurposing we're doing on the jackup. The jackup is currently in the Drydocks World Dubai, where they are undertaking the removal of the drilling derrick, drill floor, and all the associated equipment. This has gone extremely well. We see no major stumbling blocks going forward. We have been able to award all major subcontracts, and they're all progressing according to plan.

We consider ourselves to be very well on track to achieve our target of first oil in Q4 2022. This is ahead of the original schedule, and is again showing that repurposing is a very good way to go to not only reduce investment and time, but of course, also to reduce the environmental footprint of the development. The Hibiscus North exploration well, we are currently drilling. The Hibiscus North Prospect is a very similar prospect geologically to the Ruche field. That's how it shows up on seismic, at least, and that is what we are now setting out to prove. Our primary target is the Gamba Sands, as usual, and then we have a secondary target in the Dentale. We aim to drill down to target, carry out a number of tests, and if we are successful, then of course, we may also consider doing sidetracks.

The estimated potential reserves that we are targeting is according to seismic in the region of 10 million-40 million barrels of oil. We are continuing to high grade and define further targets in our exploration program for the Dussafu block. As we have related previously, we are planning to drill two exploration wells per year for the coming four years. We are mulling over carrying out a seismic reshoot for the area. We are currently evaluating whether this would give us further data that could be useful in defining our prospects. We are doing the cost benefit of this as we speak. Of course, we are extremely pleased with the number of prospects we have and the number of targets that we have going forward. On to Maromba. Two positive developments on the Maromba in this quarter.

First of all, we have gotten very positive indications from the authorities related to the marginal field status. We have mentioned this before, and the main improvement in this would be, of course, a reduced royalty rate. We have, as I said, positive indications, and it seems like Maromba would fit the new definition of a marginal field in the Brazil regulatory. The second positive is that we have carried out a pre-feed to look at the feasibility of repurposing the Polvo FPSO in BW Offshore's fleet that have just come off contract on the nearby Polvo field. The conclusion is that this is suitable for the Maromba development with fairly reasonable small changes to its original design. It will be more a repair job than a full reconversion job, which is, of course, extremely important for the project economics.

Otherwise, we are progressing on our environmental impact assessment with the environmental regulatory IBAMA, and we are continuing to optimize our program with CapEx, OpEx, and time to first oil. We are still on track to get to final investment decision in the course of first quarter 2022, and we are still seeing the possibility of a break-even below $40 per oil while achieving 15% IRR, which is our target. This is, of course, including the remaining acquisition costs that are deferred until first drilling and first production.

Knut Sæthre
CFO, BW Energy

Yeah. Thank you, Carl. I will then take you through the Q2 financials and the highlights there. First, I will draw your attention to a change in the ownership of the Dussafu license that happened late in the second quarter, where Panoro Energy acquired the 10% working interest of Tullow Oil. As part of that transaction, we settled the outstanding disputed amounts that we had with Tullow Oil for their original back-end right. We successfully completed the settlement in respect of the outstanding disputed amounts and its collection in accordance with our previous expectations and recognized receivable. Now the ownership is 73.5% by BW Energy as previously, and Panoro Energy now owns 17.5%, and the rest is then owned by the Gabon Oil Company, unchanged.

In addition to that, in early Q3, We closed an agreement with NAMCOR, that is the National Petroleum Corporation of Namibia, where we increased our ownership from 56% to 95% and completed a farm-in and carry agreement. For this increase in ownership, BW Kudu paid $4 million at completion of that transaction. But again, it was done in Q3, and it will then impact our Q3 financials as not part of the numbers that we're showing today. The income statement, we had an EBITDA for the second quarter of $46.9 million, up from $33.2 million in the first quarter of 2021, mainly due to increased oil sales and realized oil price. As Carl mentioned, we had two liftings in the second quarter, which took our revenue from $54 up to close to $90 million. We're very pleased with that result.

We have here also a few comments on, let's say, major deviations from the first to the second quarter. You can also see on depreciations, they are going up with higher sales. The right of use assets, the depreciation on those are reflecting production. That depreciation is a little bit lower, but still giving us a very good operating profit of $28 million in the quarter. As you might remember, we have an interest rate swap that fluctuates with mark-to-market values. In the second quarter, there was a negative value. It's still positive on, let's say, year-to-date, but it was negative in the quarter. The profit before tax ended at $24 million. After tax, taxes were a little bit lower, a tad lower in the quarter. That follows more production.

We ended up with a net profit for the second quarter of $15.5 million. To the balance sheet, there are no major movements. There is an increase in tangible and intangible assets, mainly due to the final production well that has been capitalized and also the Hibiscus extension well has been capitalized, and less than depreciation. We also had a slight increase in receivables from JV partners that was offset by the collection of the old receivable from Tullow Oil that I mentioned initially. On the asset retirement obligation, there's a slight increase also again, due to the addition of the DTM-7H well, and there is a large increase in trade and other payables. That's where you also see the, let's say, increased activity on the project due to the ongoing drilling campaign and also to the overlift position.

We have an overlift position of 300,000 barrels at the end of the quarter. You can see that the trade and other payables increased by $41.8 million. Still giving us a very solid balance sheet with total equity of $540 million to the total assets of $890 million. The cash flow statement. We started off with a very good and solid cash position and also had a very good operating cash flow in the quarter. We had 2 liftings. One of those was paid in the quarter. The second one was paid in July. It's not included in these numbers. Operating cash flow was $62.8 million. The net investment is still at a fairly low level. We expect that to increase a lot now in Q3 and Q4, where we will, in the second half of 2021, have approximately $120 million-$130 million in CapEx.

Net financing activities, that's lease obligations. We record the bareboat lease for the BW Adolo, which then gave us $216.5 million in cash at the end of the quarter. We, in general, see a very strong operating cash flow, mainly then reflecting the higher realized oil price and the two liftings and that the company is well-capitalized for the upcoming investment activities with a robust balance sheet and no external debt. We go over to the outlook statement. On the exploration side, we're looking forward to the results from Hibiscus North. Hopefully, we have some at least preliminary results in a week or two. On the Tortue phase II, we will then tie in the two remaining wells in Q4 and increase production by approximately 8,000 barrels of oil per day in the peak gross production.

Later on in 2022, we will get to the first oil on the Hibiscus-Ruche development, where the jackup then will be installed and get into production. Then we really see the uplift in oil production, where production is expected to go up to the nameplate capacity of the FPSO, which is about 40,000 barrels of oil per day. On Maromba, we are working hard on the plans, as Carl mentioned, with the target FID in Q1 2022, and first oil expected in 2024. With, let's say, Hibiscus-Ruche on stream in 2022, 2023, and Maromba in 2024, the company will then generate significant cash flows and intends then to start to pay dividends when those two projects have been finalized.

We are generating already significant positive cash flows at current oil price levels and with no debt and a solid capital base following also the capital raise that we did earlier this year. We are well-funded for our accretive investment projects in Dussafu and Maromba, and maybe other targets as well. We expect them to generate significant value for our shareholders going forward. By that, our presentation is concluded, and we will then go over to the Q&A section of this webcast.

Operator

Thank you. If you do wish to ask a question, please press 01 on your telephone keypad. If you wish to withdraw your question, you may do so by pressing 02 to cancel. We have a question from the line of Teodor Sveen-Nilsen from SpareBank 1 Markets. Please go ahead.

Teodor Sveen-Nilsen
Equity Research Analyst, SpareBank 1 Markets

Good afternoon, Carl and Knut. Thanks for taking my questions and thank you for the update. Three questions, if I may. First, on Hibiscus North, we're looking forward to seeing results. I just wonder, is it possible with this one well to firm up the top end of the 10 million-40 million barrels pre-drill resource range, or do you need to build more wells to actually firm up the top end in that scenario or discover it? Second question is, just on slide 5, on the illustration production, it looks like we have increased the 2023 expectations for Tortue slightly compared to what was presented in the first quarter report. Can you just please confirm that, is that it looks like 2023 Tortue now is higher? A final question on your note that there will be no listings in third quarter.

I guess we should also model close to zero revenue in third quarter. Of course, also much higher revenue in Q4. Just clarify. That's all from me. Thanks.

Carl Arnet
CEO, BW Energy

Okay. Maybe Lin Espey takes the first question.

Lin Espey
COO, BW Energy

Sure. Thank you, Carl. Hello, everybody. This is Lin Espey. The question related to the Hibiscus North, and as I understood the question, would it just take the 1 well to fully appraise up to potentially 40 million barrels reserves in the Hibiscus North accumulation? Good question. 40 million is in the upper range of what we're hoping to achieve. Right now, the wells plan is a single penetration, but we do have up to 2 appraisal sidetracks associated with that well. It is conceivable if we're in the fortunate position that it turns out to be on the upper limit, maybe we might need an additional standalone exploration well. Right now, where we have the structural modeling, we don't think that's required, and we think the single penetration to appraisal sidetracks will be sufficient.

We also have the option to drill another appraisal sidetrack as well, if need be. Hopefully that answers your question.

Carl Arnet
CEO, BW Energy

Okay. Second part,

Knut Sæthre
CFO, BW Energy

Yeah, I can take the second question. Very well spotted, Teodor Sveen-Nilsen. Not that we're trying to hide anything, but you see it on slide nine, if you look at the Dussafu production forecast, that's where the change is compared to the previous quarter. As Carl mentioned, the lower production now is not lost, but it's deferred. If you look at the 2021 and 2022, that's a tad lower than in the previous presentation, and it's higher in 2023 and 2024. I guess that's what you also see accumulated on the slide 5 that you mentioned. To your final question on the liftings in Q3, which is just 1 lifting for the government. That will take place now in September. There will be no liftings for the partnership in Q3, and two in Q4. For Q3, we will have, of course, a lot lower revenue.

We only have the DMO sales that it's been quite steady around 100,000 barrels in the previous quarters, and I expect it to be the same in Q3. It's the state profit oil that we will record as revenues.

Teodor Sveen-Nilsen
Equity Research Analyst, SpareBank 1 Markets

Okay. Thank you. That's all clear. Thanks.

Knut Sæthre
CFO, BW Energy

Thank you. If there is nothing more on the line operator, we have a few on the web.

Operator

We don't have any for the audio questions.

Knut Sæthre
CFO, BW Energy

Okay. We'll go over to the web questions. There is 1 question there about the Hibiscus extension well, and the capitalization of that well, compared to a pure expensing. The cost has been capitalized in spite of that well being water-bearing. We drill the Hibiscus prospect test well to test the formations and also to find out more the size of the Hibiscus area. In order to test the concept, we had to drill the second well. Even if it was water-bearing, it gave us valuable interpretation of the area and enables us to better define the structure and stratigraphy and extent of the hydrocarbon resource in that portion of the Dussafu field. It's not out of the normal. It's not an aggressive approach to capitalize.

This is how it is done in the E&P world, and you can also find other companies that have done the same. We have another question related to Hibiscus North and the status of the drilling. How we follow that and when we might have some news. Maybe you can take that one, Lin?

Lin Espey
COO, BW Energy

Sorry, yes. Could you repeat the question there? Could I?

Knut Sæthre
CFO, BW Energy

Hibiscus North and the current drilling operations, and when to expect something, and if you can say something about the progress?

Lin Espey
COO, BW Energy

Yeah. Sure. Yes. We're very close, so we expect to penetrate the Gamba probably within the week or so. Well's carried on. We've had a little bit of drilling challenges with the well, and we're carrying through with that, but we're progressing through and again, very near. Perhaps in a week's time or so, we'll know some information. I'm sure, Knut, you'll share it with all the investors in due course.

Knut Sæthre
CFO, BW Energy

Yes, of course. When we have preliminary results, we will inform the market about the status. Okay, we have another question. Maybe you could elaborate a little bit, Carl Arnet, on we say in the presentation that we are also looking at other potential investments on the prospect M&A side. If it's something to say there about specific projects or areas of interest.

Carl Arnet
CEO, BW Energy

Well, normally we don't like to be very specific on our M&A activities and what targets we have, but suffice to say that there's a fairly high strategic activity in the market where portfolios are rejigged. We are constantly sifting through 20, 30 prospects for brownfield investment and M&A. There's a high activity. Our main targets is, of course, West Africa. We're West Africa-focused. We are Brazil-focused. I would say there's also activities in other markets. Currently, we're also looking at plays in Southeast Asia that are interesting. We have a high activity. We have hired people, and we have beefed up our subsurface team quite significantly over the last year. Yeah, we're looking at a lot, but I don't want to go into specifics as to what name and name names.

Knut Sæthre
CFO, BW Energy

There is a follow-up there, Carl, about how we look at the market at the moment and how these potential opportunities compare to investments in organic growth.

Carl Arnet
CEO, BW Energy

Well, that is, of course, the very tight measure that we put on everything we look at, and that is that it needs to be better. If it is to warrant a look, it needs to look better and have good potential that is better than what we have currently in our portfolio, which is quite tricky because we consider our portfolio to be world-class with Dussafu and Maromba. Yes, that is a tricky thing to live up to for the prospects that we're looking at. Well, we still see a lot. We still look into a lot, but of course, a deal is a deal. It always takes a little bit to land these things there. This is what I've always called white elephant hunting. They are quite rare beasts.

Knut Sæthre
CFO, BW Energy

Good. There is a question to you, Lin, maybe, on the production in Q2 that was a little bit on the lower side, and whether that is an issue with the decline in the well productivity, and if we can say something about production per day in Q3?

Lin Espey
COO, BW Energy

Yeah. Actually, Q2 production was always forecast to be the lowest quarter of the year. It had also a scheduled shutdown maintenance in it as well, and our annual production forecast is skewed because we're having two additional wells come online in the second half or it's coming on in the fourth quarter. We're always going to have a lumpy production forecast, but anyway, Q2 is always going to be the lowest quarter, and we should hopefully see it ramped up in the second half. I think originally we were hoping to get those wells online at the end of Q3, but with delays securing a new installation vessel, we've had some operational difficulties there.

Our original offshore installation contractor decided to get out of business, so we've had to move to find and secure an alternate company contractor, which we have done and still working through some scheduling, but they're scheduled to come out as we've shown here in September with bringing those two wells online in Q4. I mean, this COVID has made operational planning a bit challenging. It's a bit choppy, but I think we're making progress and so, anyway, hopefully that provides a little bit of color on our production profile this year.

Carl Arnet
CEO, BW Energy

I think it's important to underline that this is deferred, not lost production. It's delays in getting the production. That's a deferment. On the question of whether we believe this is, on the reservoir performance, maybe you want to expand a little bit on that, Lin Espey, as well.

Lin Espey
COO, BW Energy

Yeah, sure. There is no anticipated loss of reserves. As you said, it's just deferred reserves, and we've worked this through with our third-party reserve auditors as well. It's just pushing out the production. But in terms of the reservoir, I think we're still very excited, very pleased with our reservoir performance, the world-class reservoir, the Gamba formation. And what we have experienced, we need a little bit more gas lift to produce the wells, but that's within expectations, the range of expectations that we had. But like with everything, just traveling around the world, moving people and equipment in this COVID environment is.

Carl Arnet
CEO, BW Energy

Has its challenges. Eventually it all happens, but things can be a little bit choppy.

Knut Sæthre
CFO, BW Energy

Okay. We have a question related to CapEx split in H1 between Tortue phase II exploration and Hibiscus Ruche development. I don't have all the details in front of me. It was pretty low in the first place, which means that most of the CapEx is coming in the second half. It was Tortue phase II and the exploration well, as mentioned, that has been capitalized on Hibiscus Ruche. It is a lot of engineering and hours. It will be a lot, of course, now with drilling in July. We drill the 7H that will all be capitalized for the Hibiscus Ruche development. We will get back to that in the third and fourth quarter as well. We can maybe prepare some more details. We have a final question about whether we have any updates on Kudu.

I mentioned the farm in to the 95%. Maybe Carl, you could give us an update on the project.

Carl Arnet
CEO, BW Energy

Well, very quickly, we are now in the process of updating our business plan for Kudu. We are very pleased to have taken over 95% with a 5% carry for the government. This, let's say, sets our hands free to really move this forward. We're still very comfortable with the possibility of using this indigenous gas for Namibia and maybe also to provide electricity or gas, whatever is the best plan, to neighbors and to substantial mining industry that we have in this area. We are now sharpening our pens and starting our work on the business plan. As soon as we have established a proper business plan, we will probably give some more updates to the market as to what direction we're taking this.

Knut Sæthre
CFO, BW Energy

Okay. That concludes the questions on the web. Maybe you should round it off, Carl Arnet.

Carl Arnet
CEO, BW Energy

Okay. Well, I guess all that is left for me to say is thank you all for participating in this quarterly update, and we thank you all for listening in, and we thank everybody for their care, and attention in preparing questions.

Knut Sæthre
CFO, BW Energy

Thank you.

Operator

This concludes the conference call. Thank you all for attending. You may now disconnect your lines.