Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the presentation of the first quarter results for DNB, and also welcome to everyone following the stream. Just for information, the emergency exits are in the front and also in the back, and there are no planned drill this morning.
Spring is here, the sun is shining, and we are really eager to present the results for you. CEO Kjerstin Braathen will kick off, and then our CFO Rasmus Figenschou will continue with the details. There will be time for questions afterwards. Kjerstin, the floor is yours.
Thank you so much Even, and particularly warm welcome we can say since it's spring, as Even said, and the sun outside is shining. That, nonetheless, does not mean that there are calm waters around us in the world. Because this quarter, the turbulence around geopolitics has continued, certainly with the increasing conflict and the war in the Middle East.
This is something that has led to high and very volatile energy prices. The level of uncertainty is, as we have seen now for several quarters and years, higher than what we have been used to. Despite the geopolitical backdrop and despite energy prices being higher, the market reactions overall, we would qualify as relatively benign. The Norwegian economy continues to be resilient in this environment.
Business activity overall across the Nordic markets, which does represent the majority of our activity, we would consider at healthy levels, and the Norwegian households are robust. Despite a turbulent environment, we are relentless in our focus, which remains with our customers, focusing on giving them good customer experiences, contributing with value creation, and focus on the business short term and longer term.
As always, I would like to start also with the customer and demonstrate how we are working towards our mission, which is really to simplify life and help our customers prosper. In terms of simplification, we have, this quarter, launched a new equity trading platform in our digital savings app, Spare.
This was launched in March, and already in the month of March, we saw that 1/4 of trades in shares were actually done on the platform. I don't think we can get better feedback from our customers than that this is actually contributing both to simplicity and efficiency.
We continue to see that our customers are putting their trust in us with their savings and their investments, and this is demonstrated by a record net inflow in our asset management business this quarter of NOK 20 billion.
Making it easier for the young children and adolescents to become customers is also something that we've done this quarter. Now, young people below the age of 18 can become a customer with DNB in less than two minutes.
For Sbanken customers in chat, we have introduced a generative AI chatbot, meaning it's not a chatbot that we have trained. It trains itself, and this has rapidly taken over 75% of the responses in chat and inquiries from our customers in Sbanken, with very good customer satisfaction.
Across large corporates and DNB Carnegie, we continue to see a confirmation of our strengthened position and the offering. First, from Prospera Grand Total survey for Norway, where we are qualified as the leading bank in terms of customer satisfaction.
For DNB Carnegie this quarter in equities, where individually, we are number one in each of the four Nordic countries, and also with the overall number one position. As always, I am very proud of the efforts that our team puts in every day for our customers.
On to the results. The return on equity comes in at 14% this quarter, 15.5% on a rolling 12-month basis. This does represent a solid contribution from all our customer segments and also the macroeconomic development with lower rates than we saw this time last year.
We do see profitable growth both in loans and deposits. A stronger development in deposits than loans this quarter. The growth is offset by repricing effects and also a fewer number of interest days in the first quarter. NII, as a result of this, is down by 5.4% compared to the previous quarter .
Net commission and fees is up by 18%. Contributions materially from all various product areas. The strong point, again, I would highlight, is asset management, where we see a strong net inflow. We see assets under management grow despite values coming down. We also see a record flow for the past 12-month period.
The portfolio in a turbulent environment, again, remains very robust and well diversified. We do not see any structural changes or any negative migration in the portfolio as such. We do book impairments of NOK 644 million in the quarter.
Not in all its entirety, but primarily related to customer specific events and no systematic development in the portfolio. Capital position remains solid 18.1% core Tier 1 ratio, 170 basis points headroom to the required and expected level, and a strong earnings per share, we believe, with NOK 6.5 in the first quarter.
The Norwegian economy is impacted by what goes on around us in the world. We are an open economy. We are an economy that trades with others. As a net exporter of oil and gas, we are partly benefiting also from higher energy prices and somewhat less impacted by inflation stemming from higher energy prices than other countries. We emphasize that there is an increased uncertainty in the environment around us.
This has led to growth estimates for the year coming somewhat down, but to what we would still qualify as healthy levels, with an expected GDP growth in the mainland economy of 1.4% this year and 0.9% next year. Unemployment is something that we follow very clearly and talk to you about every quarter, still a stable level. We would qualify it with 2.1%, and we expect it to stay low and relatively stable in the time ahead of us.
We do expect, yet again this year, to see real wage growth for consumers. This leads to increases in disposable income, and it does support consumption as a key driver for economic growth. Given a development in inflation that has been more sticky than expected, I think, by both Norges Bank and markets, we have seen a shift in the outlook for interest rates during this quarter.
Both in the messaging from the central bank as well as in the messaging from our own team in DNB Carnegie. The outlook for rates is now an expectation that we will see two rate increases this year, each by 25 basis points up to the level of 4.5% for the key policy rate, and rates are expected to come down by the similar amount in the year 2027 and stabilize around 4%.
Again, in an uncertain world, the robustness of the Norwegian economy continues to be demonstrated, as well as the resilience in households. We do qualify this as a very healthy environment for us to run a sustainable business in. A few highlights on the customer segments, and I would underline that we continue to see a very solid underlying performance across all of our customer segments in a competitive environment.
The growth platform we've talked about in Norway as well as outside of Norway continues to deliver, and we see strongest growth on the lending side in large corporates. In this quarter, the nominal growth in large corporates is offset by a somewhat stronger Norwegian kroner.
We see a very healthy deposit growth across personal customers as well as corporate customers in Norway. In large corporates, we are more, I would call it opportunistic. We qualify pricing towards the cost of funding in treasury, and the volumes develop accordingly.
For personal customers, we see that the activity in the housing market is somewhat more muted this quarter. I would highlight the very strong results that we see in our brokerage business in personal customers. I would like to highlight the pace of innovation that we experience from the team in Personal Customers, as well as a strong cost control development in this area.
In Corporate Customers Norway, last quarter, we talked to you about some larger transactions that were closed towards the end of the quarter in commercial real estate and the plan to syndicate and distribute these. This has been done successfully, both in terms of syndicating to other banks as well as taking out parts of the volume in the bond market.
This has impacted volumes along a more stable development of volumes also across the SME market, and volumes are slightly down in Corporate Customers Norway. We do note a strong growth in other income in Corporate Customers Norway compared to the same quarter last year.
This reflects not only an increased level of activity with DNB Carnegie, but also the systematic effort over time to work broadly on cross-selling in this area. Large corporates that delivers the strongest growth this quarter comes in at 2.3% for the quarter, 9.1% if we look at the year overall currency adjusted.
We are working and making progress in terms of strengthening the team in Sweden, and we are getting positive feedback from that process and also how the cooperation is developing with the team across DNB Carnegie.
We see that half of the growth that we deliver is outside of Norway. I reiterate the robustness and the strong quality of the portfolio and that we do not see other systematic risk outside of customer-specific situations.
All in all, a robust development we see for our customer segments. We continue to talk about our activity across DNB Carnegie, and across wealth management as the key growth drivers in our business going forward. We saw a very strong start to the year that has been somewhat impacted by more turbulence towards the month of March.
Despite this, we continue to see that the level of revenue grows both in DNB Carnegie and our wealth management business. One year now after closing the Carnegie transaction, the integration is progressing well, and we continue to reap the benefits from having an improved and more competitive and broader offering towards our customers. We saw a very strong start to the year, again, across all product areas, I would say, in investment banking.
With the conflict in the Middle East, we have seen and experienced that some of our clients naturally have decided to postpone some of their investment activity and activity related to stock listing and others. We have not yet seen this leading to any cancellations of any plans. The pipeline in the business remains strong going into the second quarter.
On asset management, again, I would highlight the strong point being net flows, NOK 20 billion for the quarter, NOK 65 billion for the year. This last quarter, more than NOK 5 billion stems from the retail market, and this is an effort we're systematically working on to grow that part of the business as it's more sticky, more recurring.
We have seen that customers are changing their positions, but they are more comfortable remaining in their investments in the market compared to what we saw during the turbulence that stemmed from Liberation Day during 2025. All in all, a robust quarter. With that, I will hand over to my excellent CFO, Rasmus, who will take it from here.
Thank you. Thank you Kjerstin. I will now take you through the Q1 results in more detail. Please keep in mind that for 2024, Carnegie's results were included in one month of the first quarter. We note continued high activity across all segments, with FX-adjusted loan growth up 0.3%. Looking at the retail personal customer segment, the growth is up by 0.2%.
As mentioned by Kjerstin, and as mentioned last quarter to the market, the growth in the commercial real estate had a planned syndication in Q1 and has been taken out with other banks as well as in the bond market, and thus leading to a volume reduction of 1.2%.
Within the large corporates area, FX-adjusted volumes were up by 2.3%, driven by increasing volumes across industries and across geographies, mainly in low-risk customers. We see that more than 50% of the growth comes from our international growth platform.
Currency adjusted deposits were up by 2.6%, driven by positive development both in the personal customer segment and corporate customers Norway. We maintain a strong deposit to loan ratio within the customer segment of 73.8%. As in almost every first quarter, activity is slower.
This naturally impacts net interest margin, which was down by seven basis points, ending at 174 basis points. The reduction reflects narrowed combined spreads and other NII not included in the customer segments. Combined spreads in the customer segments were down by five basis points, driven by repricing effects, product portfolio mix effects, and margin pressure and continued strong competition.
NII is down 5.4% in the quarter. We note that spreads are down by NOK 449 million, where roughly a third stems from the full effects of the most recent repricing in November. Roughly a third comes from portfolio and product mix effect, and slightly less than a third comes from stronger competition.
Higher average volumes during the quarter increased, offset this with NOK 231 million, and then having a negative FX effect of NOK 86 million. The reduction of two fewer interest days in the quarter came in at NOK 248 million. Amortization effects and fees are down by NOK 176 million, reflecting lower activity as mentioned in the quarter. Note treasury effects in other NII of roughly NOK 150 million.
Moving on to commission and fees. Our fee platform is strong and well diversified, in total up 18% from the corresponding quarter last year. Real estate broking was up 3%, reflecting strong performance in a slower market where fewer properties were sold compared to Q1 last year. Investment banking services was up by 38%.
We note strong development despite of market uncertainties. Our pipeline remains strong, as mentioned by Kjerstin, noting, though, that transactions in recent months have been postponed. Asset management and custodial services was up by 34%, and assets under management were down 1.2% due to high volatility and negative market developments.
However, and more importantly, we noted the positive net flow of NOK 20.4 billion this quarter, a record high, but also a record high when looking at the last 12 months of NOK 65 billion. Well-balanced between the retail and institutional investors. Money transfer and banking services were down by 17%.
We note high customer activity offset by costs related to payment services and use of credit insurance related to corporate exposures, which is part of our OAD model, driving profitability for the group as a whole. Sales of insurance products was up by 19%, supported by positive development from the non-life insurance commissions and continued strong income from defined contribution in our life insurance business.
In addition to what can be seen on this slide, we also note positive momentum in other income with strong results from our life insurance company, DNB Liv, and our non-life insurance provider, Fremtind. Operating expenses are down by NOK 920 million compared to Q4, of which NOK 51 million is currency effects. The reduction reflects seasonally lower activity, as well as a persistent cost culture to drive efficiency.
Activity is exemplified by the decrease in expenses related to variable salaries and IT, and the non-recurring effects booked last quarter of NOK 200 million. Low return on the closed defined benefit pension scheme is related to market developments, which contributes to lower costs this quarter. The scheme is partly hedged and reflected in our financial instruments.
Due to seasonality, the second quarter generally carries higher activity-related costs compared to the first quarter, as well as the effects from the annual salary increase adjustments from May 1st. Now, moving on to portfolio quality, which remains robust and well diversified, with 99.4% being in stages one and two.
In the personal customers portfolio, which accounts for approximately 50% of our exposure, remains strong. We continue to note record-low requests for installment holidays and fewer loans with interest-only compared to last quarter.
Impairment provisions in the personal customer segment is affected by a model adjustment on inputs on consumer finance, and the underlying portfolio remains solid. For the corporate customer, impairments totaled NOK 556 million. The portfolio remains robust and well diversified across industries and geographies.
There is no structural change to our portfolio or general negative migration to note. The impairments in stage three are related to customer specific situations, and these are typically exposures we've been following over time. Most are in industries that have been challenging for some time, such as construction.
We remain comfortable with the quality of our portfolio. Now, moving over to capital. Our CT1 ratio remains strong at 18.1%, with 170 basis points headroom to the regulatory expectations. It was positively affected by the profit generation in the quarter, as well as ordinary dividend of NOK 1.9 billion from DNB Liv.
In line with previous years, the AGM on Tuesday gave the board of directors authority to buy back up to 3% of outstanding shares, and an application has been sent to the FSA for approval. The leverage ratio remains strong at 6.5%, well above the regulatory requirements of 3%, and combined with a CT1 ratio of 18.1%, our capital position remains strong and enables us to continue to deliver on our dividend policy and continue to support our customers.
Summing up, we deliver a strong set of results in the first quarter, having return on equity coming in at 14%, cost income ratio of 38.7%, and an earnings per share of six and a half kroners. We also mentioned that for 2026, tax rate is expected to be 22%, but our long-term guidance remains unchanged at 23%.
With that, I thank you for your attention, and we open up for questions.
Thank you so much, Rasmus and Kjerstin. We have a few microphones in the room. Please. Yes, Roy Tilley from Arctic Securities, go ahead.
Thank you and good morning. A couple of questions from me. Just to touch upon the margin side, just on the competitive picture on retail in particular, has it changed anything recently, or is it still the same pressure? Is there anything similar on the corporate side? That's the first question.
Then a question on funding. Money market rates have come up quite significantly in the last few weeks. On the funding side, you've already got a rate hike in your funding cost, I guess, and spreads have also widened somewhat.
I was just wondering, are you able to mitigate any of that on pricing on the asset side? I guess repricing mortgages will be difficult until we get an actual rate hike. Have you done anything on deposits?
Then the third one, just on buybacks. Have you sent an application to the FSA? If you have, when would we expect an answer? Thank you.
Thank you Roy. I can do the first, and Rasmus, the two following. Competition is fierce. I would say it's gradually intensifying. We've seen that over the past year. It does reflect that there is ample capacity in the market that surpasses the credit demand overall.
It is fierce in personal customers. It's definitely fierce also in corporate customers in Norway, including in the commercial real estate sector that we usually see when there is capital looking for employment across the market. Still, we are very pleased to see that there is a high activity and interest coming into the business as such.
In particular, we are focusing on our position towards young people. We helped 12,000 young people buying their first home during the course of last year. We continue to see stable to growing volumes even in a competitive market.
For us, it's a demonstration of the performance in our team overall, and we are able to continue to grow at sustainable levels, and that continues to be a priority for us, and it will be. Overall, the market is impacted by competition. Yes.
Very good. On the funding side, of course, when there's volatility, I'm very happy that we have a strong set of treasury team that plans ahead. For us, we are not affected by the day-to-day developments in that funding. I'll not go into detail of when we move in the market, but we are well funded, and we, of course, when the whole key policy, well, when the market is moved in total, we are of course affected by that.
Then that will feed on to our customers. The volatility that you're referring to, we are finding our way through it, so to speak. When it comes to the FSA application, we have applied similar to as previous years for 1%, and we'll refer to the market when we have their answer.
Just as Rasmus is saying very correctly, our team has funded a bit early, in terms of expecting market development to be more volatile. Do keep in mind that relative to the NIBOR and the money market rate, our position is more or less stable.
This is in view of how our assets and liability sides are matched in terms of margin related exposure to customer versus what we are funding in the third party market. There is a slight impact from rate movement, but really overall, I think you should see that more or less as stable. Then what matters beyond that is of course, the level of spreads.
Coming into the year, we saw the lowest risk premiums that we've seen in a long time. They have come out somewhat, but not to a very large extent. Our goal is always to fund ourselves better than our peers. That increases our competitiveness toward customers, and we continue to see that we get very competitive funding.
Thank you very much.
Thank you. Herman Zahl from Pareto Securities.
Yes. Thank you. Just following up on competition. Could you say something about what kind of peers are driving competition in Norway corporate segment specifically? Since it seems like both larger savings banks and your Nordic peers have stepped up a bit.
I think we have a clear principle that we'd rather talk about our performance and not so much specifically about others. I think what we can contribute and shed light on is that it's a broad spectrum of players that are active in the market.
Changes that have been made to capital structures that has improved the position of standard banks as a more general example, has taken an impact. We can see that has made that category of banks more competitive. Otherwise, there is a larger number of players who are very actively driving competition in the market.
Yeah. Just on some of the core banking fees, I think you mentioned some margin changes in guarantees on the slides and money transfer fees as well. Is there something structural we should bear in mind there, or is it mixed effects?
It's an element impacting over the past four or five quarters or so, where we have more actively engaged in ensuring part of the exposure that we provide for some of our clients in larger corporates. It's an added tool in the toolbox to originate and distribute.
When we look at that on a per transaction basis, the return on the transaction and the customer, and then to the group is improved because we have less exposure, but the cost related to this does appear in the commission and fee part of the book and has an impact there.
Okay. Yeah, thank you.
Thank you. Thomas Svendsen, SEB.
Hello, good morning. First question to commercial real estate. Now that the hope for interest rate declines have diminished and the rates are going up, one could imagine that impacts the cash flow and the liquidity for these companies. How do you look at commercial real estate?
We continue to remain comfortable with commercial real estate, Thomas. As you know, of course, rates are very important in that sector of activity, and we have followed it closely. I would say since rates topping out the last time around, there has been a restructuring and a shift in values that now is more or less two years back in time, where some players that needed to reposition have positioned.
We are now going back to interest rate levels we were at not too long ago, at least that's the expectation in the market. We do not see this as a particularly concerning factor related to our commercial real estate exposure overall. Keep in mind that it is 10% of our book, and it's limited to that. 72% of the exposure is in low-risk customers.
It is a diversified exposure across geographies, but mainly concentrated in the larger cities in Norway, and it's diversified across offices, across hotels, across shopping malls, and others. There is no particular concern that we would like to highlight in view of rates coming somewhat back up again.
Okay. Thank you. Just second question. On your latest CMD, you said you were targeting NOK 3 billion in gross cost cutting. Now that more than 1 year has passed, how are you according to this target, and should we expect it to be linear over the planning period?
We are progressing according to plan on that. As our cost slide represented, we are working adamantly on the cost efficiency in the bank, and we see numerous specific target areas that we're working on. We're not going into detail on that except that we are progressing according to plan.
I think roughly we can share that we feel that we are more or less on track. Our cost income ratio this quarter is somewhat north of 38%, so it's higher than what you've seen in previous quarter. This is an expected impact from the Carnegie acquisition.
We have bought a meaningful piece of business that has a higher cost income component, but an improved return for the business overall. Of course, we acknowledge that it's more difficult for you to follow gross cost saving initiatives. You have seen us taking several initiatives in terms of restructuring and making changes to our staff.
We are working in areas such as digitization and automation, but I would also add innovation in terms of simplifying and reinventing value chains, and of course, AI is a very important tool for us in this area.
Also, simplifying business, increasing the magnitude of straight-through processing in more complex processes. I talked about a couple of examples in simplifying life for our customers, and we like doing that. Of course, simplifying life for customers also means improved efficiency for us.
We are on plan. It's not necessarily linear. Of course, we will also see what can be done with AI. That is a moving picture, but I think it's hard to give you any guidance in terms of how you will see it being linear or not.
Thank you.
Thank you. Rune, any questions from the online audience?
We got one question.
Yes. If we could pass the mic to Rune.
We have a question from Markus Sandgren from Kepler Cheuvreux. Nordea recently highlighted that Norwegian savings banks are currently competing quite aggressively, particularly on pricing.
Are you seeing and sharing this view? How is this affecting your ability to grow volumes without sacrificing margins? More specifically, how should we think about the trade-off between defending market share and protecting net interest margin in the current environment?
Thank you. I think we've touched upon parts of this question already, and it is a very important question. We recognize that there is competition in the market. I don't think we would limit it to a specific category of banks. I think we see it more broadly. But we also see that our team continues to perform and that we are able to continue to do profitable and sustainable business.
Our growth platform stems across all of our customer segments. This is part of the strength that we have highlighted, both in Norway and outside of Norway and across the sectors, we will continue to prioritize growth.
I think we have proven that in periods, if growth is somewhat slower in Norway, we are able to leverage other parts of that growth platform to deliver profitable growth in the area of 3%-4%, which we continue to target. Growth in the previous 12-month period has been 3.5% in terms of lending, non-currency adjusted.
Currency adjusted, I believe it has been somewhat stronger. We have seen a growth in personal customers of 1.6%. We have seen in corporate customers, 5.6%, and then large corporates 5%, non-currency adjusted for the year as a whole. I think this demonstrates also in what has been a competitive market, our ability to deliver growth. Priority remains very firm also on profitability.
Thank you. Any more questions, Serena? No. I think we will close the session if I don't see any more hands. Management will be available for members of the press like we always are in the couch area afterwards. I'll wish you all a very nice Thursday.