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Earnings Call: Q1 2023

May 12, 2023

Ståle Rodahl
Executive Chairman, Seabird Exploration

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to this first quarter conference call for Seabird Exploration. My name is Ståle Rodahl. I'm the executive chairman of the company, and I'm here with our CEO, Finn Atle Hamre, and CFO, Sveinung Alvestad. Before I hand it over, just some initial remarks. With good productivity and strong operating metrics, we're concluding a strong quarter for Seabird Exploration. I'm pleased to see that the company is delivering its best quarterly result in many, many years. Cash flow has turned positive as we have guided, and as cash conversion improves, this is expected to improve further in the coming quarters. We are operating in a tight market with multiple leads across multiple regions. We are pleased to have won significant extension work and a new OBN contract in the first few months of the year.

We are in discussions for long-term opportunities for the Fulmar after completion of the current contract this summer. An interesting development to note is that the supply side in our segments of this industry is continuing to shrink, which Finn Atle will get back to. This may be a little surprising, as the profitability in our industry now beats the alternatives by a wide margin. While this of course is positive for the market balance overall and earnings potential for the remaining vessels, the flip side of this is possibilities to add third-party tonnage. Seabird Exploration is blessed with both the organization and equipment to increase the profitability for these vessel owners. We have been a strong advocate for further consolidation and continue to monitor the market for opportunities to add profitable growth.

Lastly, I'd like to commend the entire Seabird team for their terrific spirit and effort put in over the last few months with solid results to show. Let's keep up the good work. With that, I hand it over to Finn Atle, please.

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

Thank you, Ståle. First, a few words on Seabird, and a brief overview for new listeners to our quarterly reports. Seabird Exploration provides marine seismic acquisition with a current fleet of two 100% owned vessels. The Eagle Explorer is currently equipped to perform 2D streamer acquisition and source services. Currently, the vessel is performing a 2D streamer work in India. The Fulmar Explorer is equipped for seismic source services and currently engaged in project in the Gulf of Mexico. In addition, we have seismic equipment to recharter vessel, which again enables Seabird to relatively quickly increase its fleet by up to two additional vessels with limited CapEx. Green Minerals shares previously held by Seabird were distributed as dividend to Seabird shareholders in early this year. Seabird Exploration is now a pure-play seismic acquisition company. Key events first quarter this year.

We had both vessels in production throughout the quarter. Eagle Explorer on 2D streamer project in India with good steady production. We expect completion of the total scope under the current contract in the beginning of June. Fulmar Explorer has been working on a certain client prospect area for the entire period. I would like to hand it over to our CFO, Sveinung, for a financial highlights.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Thank you, Finn Atle. First and foremost, as Finn Atle said, Green Minerals AS has now been distributed. All of the tables and the graph in the material released today is reflecting the seismic operation only. Q1 revenues was $9.9 million USD. This is up from $8.9 million sequentially and up from $5.2 million the prior quarter. EBITDA was $4.4 million, and this was substantial improvement from both sequentially and year-over-year, $2.3 million and $0.6 million respectively. Net profit of $6.9 million was positively impacted by a $5 million non-cash gain related to the Green Minerals AS distribution. Hence, the underlying net profit was $2.0 million. Cash flow from operation was $2.7 million, while net cash flow was $1.6 million.

Net interest-bearing debt as of end of the quarter was $12.5 million, down from $15.4 million sequentially. For the full year, we reiterate our guidance of SG&A of approximately $4 million with quarterly fluctuation. Furthermore, we expect the strong financial performance to continue, resulting in strengthening of the balance sheet and normalization of working capital in the coming quarter. With that, back to you, Finn Atle.

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

A few words on contract coverage. Q1 we continued production on our current contracts for both Fulmar and Eagle. We expect Eagle to complete production in India beginning of June. As announced, we have follow-on work directly following that for another two months worth of work for Eagle. Outlook. Delivering on the backlog coupled with interesting leads for both 2D and source work. We are entertaining discussions for flexible charters, which will be tied to leads we are working on. Utilization. Very quickly on our one, we are really happy to see the utilization and the good steady production during the quarter. To date, this year we have, for all practical purposes, had 100% utilization on our fleet. A few words quickly on our two vessels. The Eagle Explorer, currently in production, on a 2D contract in India.

Good production throughout the quarter. Project is projected to complete in early June as per earlier guidance. A few days of delay due to weather and various operational small adjustments, but still within the project-projection for the project. We recently announced a 60-day source contract which will commence in direct continuation after the completion in India. Eagle Explorer is due for her third class renewal this year with dry docking. We are currently planning for this to be done during the fall of this year. Next. Fulmar , currently in production on a 12-month source contract in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico. Project is projected to complete in June, July. We are in discussions with clients for various opportunities after the current contract. Next.

We've had some question on our flex capacity and what that really means. Trying this slide is to illustrate and try to explain how we couple by chartering available vessels from the market. We couple this with our organization know-how and seismic equipment, which we already have in stock, to increase our fleet and the scale of our company. We seek opportunities to match available vessels with market opportunities and tie these together back to back. However, first priority will always be to secure backload on continuous employment of our owned fleet. Market development. In short, market trends and indicators are strong.

This graph we presented earlier, we see the fall in the market with the introduction of COVID, then a slow recovery over the years following, then an even more rapid recovery into this year and what we see in our crystal balls looking into the future. A particular focus on the ILX /OBN source market for us. The more of the baseline survey is done, we believe the volume of work going forward in the next years to come will even strengthen. Market trends. Further regarding market trends, here represented by leads received by Seabird. Worth pointing out, continued strong leads into first quarter following for last quarter. Again, we see a clear trend that leads have a longer duration.

The mix between 2D and source seems to be more or less the same as before. We see a tendency of more 2D work emerging in various oil and gas areas around in both Africa, South America and Asia, which is interesting to see. The source fleet. We have since last quarter removed three vessels from the list of total current as potential source vessels, as these vessels will transfer to different market segments outside seismic. Some of the available vessels are also capable of 3D streamer work, and as such in a strong towed streamer market, these can return to towed streamer work. Of the available vessels, some of these are old age and as such not likely to re-enter the market. An illustration of the earnings potential for Seabird.

The illustration of earnings potential and historical numbers are not reflections of actuals. These are illustrations. What we would like to illustrate here is the potential earnings coupled with the market trends we are seeing in the current market. In an ideal scenario, we could generate up to $24 million-$32 million on a 95% utilization basis with our two owned vessels, or even $33 million-$45 million if we charter an additional vessel on a flex arrangement. With that, I will pass it on to Simon for the financials.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Thank you, Finn Atle. Now to revenues. Revenues was $9.9 million in the quarter, as I previously said. This reflects the strong utilization, as Finn Atle has already discussed with both vessels in operation. After a challenging year with declining revenues in the first few quarters, Q4 really marked the inflection point for Seabird, and we saw that the Q1 results continued this trend. Revenue for the last 12 months have now increased to $25.1 million in Q1, and we expect to see this trend continuing in the next quarters as well. More importantly, the profitability has continued to increase as well. Q1 EBITA was $4.4 million, up sequentially from $2.3 million and up from $0.6 million the prior quarter. This leaves us with a EBITA margin of 44% compared to 26% in Q4 2022.

The rolling 12 months EBITA increased to $5.3 million, up substantially from the prior quarter and year-over-year. Still not in a level we are satisfied with. However, with the contracts in hand and our market outlook laid out by Finatla, we expect this to improve in the coming quarter as well. G&A was $1 million in the quarter, in line with our full year guidance of approximately $4 million. Now for the cash flow. You can see, we started the quarter with about $900,000 in cash. During the quarter, we sold some non-core equipment, which generated proceeds just south of $200,000. Operating cash flow for the quarter, when excluding working capital, was $3.9 million.

The working capital position increased slightly during the quarter, resulting in a $1 million outflow, which we expect will normalize over the coming quarter. Furthermore, we repaid $740,000 in debt and paid $466,000 in interest. All of this leaves us with a net cash flow during the quarter of $1.6 million and a cash balance of $2.5 million. Net interest-bearing debt was $12.5 million in Q1. This is down from $15.4 million in Q4. Please note that we are in advanced dialogue with our main lender about refinancing our bank facility, and we remain confident that the refinancing will be concluded well ahead of the maturity in June. With that, I leave the word to Ståle for closing remarks.

Ståle Rodahl
Executive Chairman, Seabird Exploration

Thank you, Sveinung. It says, I guess it's a mix of a strategy update and a summary. Strong operational performance has been something that we have been repeating now for quite a few quarters. We have now many contracts behind us. I would say in contrast to previous times, we have many contracts behind us with really good, consistent, strong operational performance, and this continues in the first quarter. This is really the backbone of everything that we do, to have this in place, and I'm very pleased to see this continuing. Secondly, to win attractive contracts, I guess I would emphasize the middle word in that, attractive, and to secure additional backlog.

We've done so year to date, particularly pleased with substantial extension of an existing contract, we believe due to very good performance and also new OBN work. Finalize a new debt facility. Of course, it's a key point, a key focus point for the company. Sveinung has commented on that. We expect this to be in place well before the bullet expires or matures in June. We have actively monitoring value creative opportunities for growth as Finatla has talked about. I guess there it's an interesting situation and with a number of players leaving the industry, then reducing the opportunity set for the company.

That again improves, helps improve the market conditions in the industry. Seabird benefiting from that. Still there are opportunities left to be worked on, which we are doing that. But it's a really interesting development we think with a sharply reduced supply side and no outlook actually as far as we can see for that to turn the other way. Strong financial performance is expected to continue to improve the company's balance sheet. We also, as Sveinung Alvestad touched upon, expect to see significant further improvement in the cash conversion in the company. We have a focus on free cash flow. That means that we will limit CapEx.

It will be limited to SBS and some equipment restocking. There are no plans for any major CapEx outlets when we talk about growth opportunities. These are capital light, such. That means the company is swiftly entering into position where we are able to return capital. Pay down bank debt, of course, is a focus for us, and also to return capital to shareholders, either through dividends or share buybacks. We believe that we, with this, and as those of you who followed us for the last two or three years know, we have been working hard to create a sound platform for strong profitability and also an attractive platform for consolidation, and we believe that we have that in place.

I am very pleased to see this showing up in in our numbers and and believe that we are well on route then to to delivering on this. We'll see what the future brings in terms of opportunities on further consolidation. I think I'll leave it with that and hand it back over to you, Sveinung, for Q&A.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Thank you. Just a reminder, you can post your question in the Q&A tablet on your device, tab on your device so we can take it from here. The first question, I think I hand that to you, Finn Atle. Are rates for OBN and 2D still improving? What are the current rates for source?

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

Yes, I would like to say that the rates are improving. I think the clients are realizing that, we, you know, competition is there and the market is tight. Supply is tight. Yes, we've secured now, and what we've announced earlier this week, on improved rates. What the actual rates are, I don't want to give you absolute values at this stage, but it's currently within the range we've previously guided.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Thank you. With tighter market often comes cost inflation. What are you seeing here, and, how do you manage it? Are you able to compensate that in your contract?

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

In the current contracts, we don't have a mechanism to compensate for that. Obviously that is an element we use in discussions for future contracts. You know, we live in the same world as everybody else, where inflation and price increase is happening on what we have to secure of services as well, both in terms of equipment and service. Of course also in salary levels. We have in our organization, both for crew and office employees, we have not had any salary adjustments for many years, and obviously we need to compensate for that. We need to be competitive. I think that's reflected more than what we see in increased costs in increased rates.

that evens out and improves as we've guided.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Yeah. Thank you. I guess this is a question for both of you. You can see who's grabbing the word first. Can you update us on the competitive landscape and how many competing in your niche and also, a direct, the same. Are you currently engaged in talks with other companies about M&A? Not too easy to answer the last one, I guess, but yeah.

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

Well, when it comes to players in the source market, it's very restricted. I think it's three or four, maybe five players delivering sort of sources that are as their key deliverable. What we sort of try to differentiate, of course, is to be able to do 2D work as well, where we see there are very few players really interested in that space, which gives us a good opportunity in this time and age, particularly because Russian players are limited in what they can do in the international market these days. Also, Chinese player are, is limited in certain regions where there is high activity these days. When it comes to consolidation and structural discussions, I'll leave for Ståle to maybe comment on that.

Ståle Rodahl
Executive Chairman, Seabird Exploration

Right. Of course, there's not too much we can elaborate on that. I think we've been very clear previously that we are strong advocates for further consolidation of the industry. Also we have even announced some results of this as some of you might remember from last year. We're continuing to work along those lines. We'll just see where that ends. I just think it's interesting to see that the number of players in the industry, as Finn-Atle alluded to, is being reduced. It's constantly being reduced and not many left. I think that is also understandable. Even if the market turns up, I think it's understandable to see that as also the requirements, the demands from our clients are increasing.

I think the, call it more opportunistic, players, having a vessel or two, trying to compete in the market, they find it harder to do so. That's a positive. It's a bit of a barrier of an entry, the bar there that has been raised somewhat, which is good for the industry, I think. As I alluded to, what is maybe a little bit more surprising is to see the number of vessels also being reduced at this juncture, simply because of the strong profitability, as you can understand from both the numbers that we are showing and our illustration of what the EBITDA potentially is for these vessels.

That is, that is a little bit surprising from the same players. Although, I think understandable from the fact that they won't participate anymore. We, though, have the potential to enhance the profitability of that capacity through our organization. I think is an interesting landscape, and we will do our best to capitalize on it going forward.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Very good. A question for you again, Finn Atle. You mentioned that some vessels are leaving the industry to other segments. I think, can you give some information on which segments these are leaving to?

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

Wind industry and the cable lay seems to be the main two segments where these vessels are leaving.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Yeah. Also there is a couple of questions on multi-client, regarding the UK line when, UK round we just had. Can you comment a bit on our position on the multi-client side? Do we expect any sale from that position?

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

No. Honestly, it's been very quiet on the multi-client side for the two to three prospects that we hold interest in. We don't foresee, or don't want to put on guide or have any numbers related to multi-client services in our forecasts.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Yeah. Just to add there, the multi-client library is more or less written down to zero in our books. We don't have any any sale from that would be an option from our side.

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

Yeah.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

There is a question about the cycle we're in, and maybe I can address this to you, Ståle. How long do you think the current upcycle will last?

Ståle Rodahl
Executive Chairman, Seabird Exploration

Okay. Well, if I knew. I think the way we look at it is that this upcycle has the potential to last longer than what we've seen in previous upcycles. The reason for that simply being the lack of movement on the supply side. The lack of additional capacity coming in. That has always been an issue in previous upcycles. Typically then it takes maybe a couple of years before you really start to see this influx of new capacity into the industry. We're just not seeing that now.

With that sort of off the table, we need to look at the demand side, and barring any deep recessions, we just can't see from oil market fundamentals, we can't see any reason for oil prices much lower than where they are. This really creates, I think an unusual, bit unusual market compared to what we've seen in previous cycles. We have a very tight oil market. We have many years of underinvestment, and there is just no influx of new capacity in sight. It'll be exciting to see. The outlook is really for a prolonged cycle on that basis.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Then I have a couple of ones back to the operational. Utilization, Finn Atle, seems to be the key generator of a strong and consistent EBITDA. Now with the Eagle changing contracts, or contract, and as you, as you disclosed, it's a back-to-back contract. Should we expect it to be back-to-back, or will there be any gap at all in between the contracts?

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

I think generally, it will be very hard to move from one client to the other, without any sort of period in between where we need to reconfigure and maybe do some mobilization or changes to the vessel. For this particular contract, it is actually a back-to-back contract. We finish off in India, we go directly to another job. It'll be maybe three days, four days of sort of mob. Again, mob is something clients are now willing to accept. It's something they need to pay for. Going back a few years, that was sort of something we need more or less to give them on a cost basis. Now we can model some profit in the mobilization as well.

Difficult to say that we on every change of contract will have full back-to-back. I think, you know, prudently, we should sort of model there will be some gaps in between. Which is of course also why longer term contracts are of interest to us. Healthy contracts, long-term contracts on good rates, of course, gives us the opportunity to have more or less a 100% utilization. It's all down to us to have good technical performance.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Yes. That brings me into maybe the next question, which is about flexible charters. We have talked quite a lot about that, both in previous quarters and during this presentation. Can you give us a bit more flavor on when we could expect a flexible charter entering or the next vessel entering our fleet? Yeah, talk a bit around that.

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

Well, as I tried to explain in my presentation, we are looking for these opportunities on sort of an industrial approach where we want to do it back to back. We don't want to take an open-ended charter on a vessel and then try to market that afterwards. I think that would be very wrong to do and very risky. I mean, that's the crux of this, where you need to sort of tie a vessel down, present it to clients, and sort of try to do these deals back to back. Obviously, if we were just going to a client and wanted to charter a vessel, I think we could have done that a long time ago.

It's to match these things together that is sort of a complicated and makes it difficult for us to predict exactly when this can happen. On that side, we are actively working on these opportunities and we have discussions going, but actually when they will materialize and if they will materialize, is difficult to predict just now.

Ståle Rodahl
Executive Chairman, Seabird Exploration

Yeah. Can I just add there that just to what Finn Atle just said, I think, you know, as those who know us well will realize from this is that we have a slightly different approach to flex capacity now than what we've had in the past, i.e. we are not willing to. We don't think that we should be taking the kind of risk that we have been taking previously. We're not willing to take it. The industrial approach, the full, call it the full package with a contract, and a vessel against it is really important for us. If we can do this and in a meaningful way increase the value of the company through such a setup, we will do it.

Not with undue risk for our shareholders.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Thank you. There is a couple of question on what kind of debt levels we foresee with the current market outlook and how we want to, or how we should allocate capital, surplus capital going forward. Especially there is some question about dividends and share buyback. First, I think I can cover the debt part of it. I think it's not prudent of me to go out and, like, guide on what kind of debt level we see going forward in nominal terms. What I can say that we have a close and good cooperation with our main lender. We are in advanced dialogue with the bank package we have today.

We are remain confident that we are in a position to have that refinanced before the final majority in June this year. I think I'll leave it at that. In terms of dividend and share buyback, that's really a question which we need to give to the board. I just, I think I'll leave the word for you, Ståle, to discuss that.

Ståle Rodahl
Executive Chairman, Seabird Exploration

When it comes to dividend buybacks, yeah, I can just open that by saying that we have said for some time that our priority was to reduce bank debt. If you look at the numbers, you will see that we have reduced our bank debt with 42% over the last 12 months. It's down from $22 million to somewhat over $12 million. We have done what we have said that we would be doing, and we are pleased with that, and we think our bank also is pleased with that. Of course, that is key for us to continue to service this debt going forward. When it comes to dividends and buybacks, you know, it's all a balance.

We talked about growth opportunities. I've said that this is not going to be capital intensive initiatives if they come along. We are very focused on generating free cash flow that will be available to our shareholders. Whether that will be dividends or buybacks or a balance of the two remains to be seen. We have an authorization for buybacks from our last AGM, and we will ask for another one in the upcoming AGM. Then it's we will take a decision in the board then when we think the time is right to initiate that.

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Thank you. With that, I think, have gone through most of the question. I have one question for you, Finn Atle. In 2020, we did a job with a 3D vessel. Do you think it's possible to see Seabird doing 3D work in the future as well? Or have we limit ourself to 2D and OBN now?

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

First of all, we don't have streamer or recording equipment to do 3D work. For us to be able to do that, we'd have to couple that with owners, operators who can lease, cooperate with us on a project to do such projects. The Tikhonov project was a special case for a project in India. Whether that can be repeated, I wouldn't say, no, it can't be absolutely. I don't see any opportunities just now where this is a possibility. Who knows?

Sveinung Alvestad
CFO, Seabird Exploration

Yeah. Thank you. With that, I think I'll hand the word back to you, Sturle, for closing. I think we went through all of the questions. Thank you.

Ståle Rodahl
Executive Chairman, Seabird Exploration

Great. Thank you very much. I don't really have much to add. I think we went through it all other than thanking everyone for participating on this call and for the interest that you're taking in Seabird Exploration. On behalf of the team, I'm sure that Finn Atle and Sveinung will join me in saying thank you and see you again next quarter.

Finn Atle Hamre
CEO, Seabird Exploration

Indeed. Thank you on behalf of everybody at Seabird and me as CEO in particular.

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