Nel ASA (OSL:NEL)
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Apr 27, 2026, 4:27 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q1 2024

Apr 17, 2024

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

Good morning from sunny Oslo. It's Wednesday, 17th of April, and we are ready to present NEL's first quarter 2024 results. My name is Håkon Volldal. I am the CEO. With me today, I have our CFO, Kjell Christian Bjørnsen, our head of communications, Lars Nermoen, and our SVP Fueling, Robert Borin. We are going to cover NEL in brief, the highlights from the first quarter, commercial developments. We are going through a fueling presentation to give some background on fueling, as we contemplate a spinoff and separate listing of the fueling division, and summarize and do Q&A.

Now, NEL is a pure-play hydrogen technology company with a global footprint listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange since 2014, a leading electrolyzer manufacturer with more than 3,500 units delivered to more than 80 countries around the world since 1927, also a leading manufacturer of hydrogen fueling stations with more than 140 station modules sold or in progress to 14 countries, manufacturing facilities in Norway, the U.S., and Denmark, a global sales network, roughly 670 employees, preferred partner with industry leaders across a variety of industries, and NOK 3.3 billion in cash reserves, means that we are well capitalized. So let's get to the beef, the first quarter highlights.

Here are the results: revenues of NOK 387 million, an EBITDA of NOK -16 million, order intake NOK 459 million, order backlog at the end of the quarter NOK 2,437 million, and a cash balance of NOK 3,260 million. When it comes to the key developments in the first quarter, we signed a 10 MW electrolyzer contract with Samsung C&T. We renewed our relationship with Nikola and also partnered with Fortescue Future Industries on the 80 MW Phoenix Hydrogen Hub in the U.S. We announced an ambition to explore a spinoff and separate listing of our fueling division. We received $75 million in funding for the planned Michigan facility, and Nel, together with partners, received $90 million in funding for several R&D projects.

After closing of the quarter, we received an additional $40 million, $41 million in additional tax credit for manufacturing expansion in Michigan. Group financials. If we look at the top line, it's up from 341-387 million NOK, helped by one-time effects from the Nikola FFI agreement. EBITDA significant improvement, helped by the same 96 million NOK in one-off effects from the Nikola and FFI agreement, helping also then EBITDA and EBIT and pre-tax income. We have a solid cash position, as you can see, 3.3 billion NOK, which means there's no immediate need to raise additional equity despite what is being said in the media. We are well capitalized to fund our growth. The expansion programs for Herøya and Wallingford remain on plan. Capacity utilization will, however, be adjusted to match demand. We can look at the details.

For the first time, we separate out the alkaline and PEM divisions. So we split the electrolyzer segment into alkaline and PEM to give you more details on how we're doing. And that means we have three segments. We have alkaline electrolyzer. We have PEM electrolyzer. And we have fueling. Looking first then at alkaline electrolyzer financials. We have a 20% year-on-year growth, again helped by the Nikola FFI agreement with 50, or 118 million, sorry, 54 million NOK in impact from that agreement. And as you can see, the EBITDA is up by 118 million NOK. And the reason we have an improvement in EBITDA above the 54 million NOK from the Nikola agreement is that we also have some provisions that we have in positive one-off effects on the bottom line.

You might argue 20% growth; it should be higher for alkaline, at least when you adjust for the one-off effect from, from Nikola. And the thing is we don't recognize revenues, based on production only. We don't, we don't recognize revenues based on number of electrodes produced on a, on a daily basis. We have milestone revenue milestone-based revenue recognition. And in the first quarter, there were few significant milestones that we reached. And that means we had limited project revenues in the first quarter. We will catch up on that in, in coming quarters. So that's why growth is only 20%. And EBITDA, again, positively impacted by, by one-off effects from Nikola and also other one positive one-off effects from the FFI agreement related to warranty provisions, etc.

Should be noted, though, that for the past four quarters, the alkaline business is almost break-even on EBITDA level despite using one line only and not to the full capacity. So I think the business model for alkaline is proven with clear scale effects. What we need now are more orders. When the orders come, this will scale and you will see profitability. So the alkaline business is actually in good shape to scale up with positive contribution. If we turn to the PEM business, the PEM business is less mature than the alkaline business. And you can see that from the results, revenues a bit more up and down. We had 52 million NOK in revenues in the first quarter compared to 77 one year ago.

That's down 33% and is due to phasing, again, our project revenues and a few milestones being reached in the quarter. We had a decline of NOK 20 million on the EBITDA line from NOK 23 million a year ago to -NOK 43 million this quarter. And this is amid reduced revenues. Again, a business that needs to scale further. And in order to achieve that, we need more manufacturing capacity to allow customers to place bigger orders with Nel. So first we need the capacity, then the orders will come. It's difficult to justify placing large orders unless you have the capacity or ability to deliver those orders within a reasonable time frame. And that's why the expansion in Wallingford is important and it remains on track.

The expansion will add capacity, but it will also bring down the cost of, or the unit cost of stacks produced as we not only automate and scale up the different steps, but we also introduce new ways of producing the different components of the PEM stacks. Fueling had a 50-45% year-on-year revenue growth, again helped by the renegotiated Nikola supply agreement, 42 million NOK from one-off positive effects from that on the fueling side. EBITDA improved by 10 million NOK. And the positive one-off effects from the Nikola supply agreement were partly offset by inventory adjustments for discontinued products and also some further provisions. If you look at order intake and backlog, we reversed the trend on the order intake side. In the first quarter of 2024, we booked 459 million NOK in new orders.

That's in line with what we did a year ago, 2% down. It's above what we have reported in the previous three quarters. That means the order backlog was fairly stable. It's down 13% year-over-year, but quarter-over-quarter, it remained flat. The order intake came mostly from alkaline electrolyzers. Also, some on the PEM side, with less on the fueling side. You can see also the backlog is predominantly on the alkaline side with PEM at 400 and fueling 300 million NOK. Commercial developments in the quarter. This was, according to our knowledge, the largest announced project that was awarded in the electrolyzer industry in during the first quarter of 2024. So a total we have calculated of 36 megawatts were awarded to all the different electrolyzer OEMs.

This was the largest project, the only project, of 10 megawatt or above awarded in the quarter. It was awarded to Nel from Samsung C&T. Order value EUR 5 million. It will be built in South Korea. This will be the first off-grid green hydrogen production project for Samsung C&T. They will do the EPC work themselves. It's also important to notice that they have a significant pipeline of other electrolyzer projects. So this is a customer that could potentially become important to Nel over time. We renewed our relationship with Nikola, as you have seen, with positive, one-off effects for both the alkaline business and the fueling business. The old supply agreement from 2018 was canceled. We will enter into a new supply agreement for 110 stacks. And that is approximately 275 megawatt of electrolyzer capacity. It's not a firm order yet.

It's not included in the backlog. We will include it in the backlog when we receive firm purchase orders. The new supply agreement is aligned with our preferred scope of supply on electrolyzer projects, meaning stacks plus balance of stack. As a consequence of renegotiating the original supply agreement, NEL received $9 million in compensation. Another important project linked to the previous agreement with Nikola is that Fortescue has acquired the Phoenix Hydrogen Hub project from Nikola. They've taken over the project, which means they've also taken over the 80 MW of electrolyzer stacks that NEL has already delivered to Nikola. In order to operate these stacks, you need additional equipment.

And we have signed a contract with Fortescue for balance of stack equipment, i.e., the gas separation equipment you need, and also updated warranties and guarantees for the stacks that we delivered, previously to Nikola. The contract has a value of $11 million. And the project will be built in Phoenix, Arizona, United States. Please note that the project has already taken a final investment decision. And this will become one of North America's largest electrolyzer systems. The biggest electrolyzer plant in Europe are 20-40 MW. This is 80 MW. So it's a sizable step in increasing the size of hydrogen production plants. The first quarter was the quarter of big announcements, when it comes to public funding. And, as you might know, we have announced our plan to build an electrolyzer plant in Michigan, in the Detroit area.

To support our progress there, we on 13th of March were awarded $50 million from the Department of Energy, with a $25 million matching grant from the state of Michigan to accelerate the building of that plant. Then on April 4th, we were awarded $41 million in tax credits through the Qualifying Advanced Energy Project Tax Credit, 48C program, also a Department of Energy initiative. That means if we include also the benefit package that we negotiated with the state of Michigan back in 2023, we have accumulated close to $170 million in support. And roughly half of that amount will be cash incentives. The other half are, as I said, tax credits and reduced fees on different items. In this planned 4 GW facility, we will manufacture our next generation technologies.

So it's not only about getting the financial support to build it, and, you know, the market demand to support it, but it's also about making the technologies ready for mass production. Final investment decision has not yet been taken. Of course, we're not going to move ahead unless there is market demand. When it comes to the U.S., it's important to ensure that the regulations when it comes to how much support or incentives will our customers receive when they produce hydrogen, that has to be clarified. We're still waiting for the final regulations on that, for the Inflation Reduction Act through the Treasury Department that will come out later. In addition to the support for our Michigan facility, we also apply for funding of R&D projects.

In the first quarter, NEL, together with several partners, were granted $90 million in support from the U.S. Department of Energy. We're talking about 7 R&D projects. We are the leading partner on one of the projects, and we're contributing on others. The project we are spearheading is related to low-cost clean AEM electrolysis. AEM is a technology that you could very, I think, simplistically say is a PEM stack operating in an alkaline environment. The purpose is to take advantage of the small footprint of the PEM stack and the fact that in an alkaline environment, you can use cheaper materials than you can do in the normal PEM environment. You get the cost benefit of the alkaline operation, and you get the size benefit and the differential pressure on the PEM side.

This is a technology that is seen as, let's say, a third generation technology. A lot of companies that come out and say that they work on AEM, NEL has worked on this technology for more than a decade. We continue to work on it to qualify it, even though we don't think it's suitable yet for large-scale projects. It is a very interesting technology for the future. We will undertake roughly 10% of the work, under the seven R&D programs. Then you can calculate our share of the $90 million in direct R&D funding and support. But the US is a good place to be these days for doing both R&D work on electrolyzers and potentially building new electrolyzer plants and facilities.

Then, I'm done for a while, and I will welcome Robert Borin, our Senior Vice President of Fueling, to give some details on our fueling operation. In our previous quarterly report, we announced the ambition to explore a separate listing and potential spinoff of the fueling division. Robert is here to give you a presentation of what the fueling division is doing and what they're up to. So welcome, Robert. The floor is yours.

Robert Borin
SVP, Nel ASA

Thank you very much for that, Håkon. Good morning to you all. My name is Robert Borin. This morning, I will walk you through our approach to what I believe is one of the most interesting areas in hydrogen. I'm, of course, talking about the area where I spend my every day, which is hydrogen mobility.

I will walk you through why I believe that hydrogen fueling is a great market opportunity and not necessarily. It's an opportunity that is not lying too far out in the future and why I believe that NEL is in a great position to take a leading role in this market with the next generation products already on the way. As I just said, my name is Robert Borin, and I'm currently heading NEL's fueling business. I'm also excited to take on the role as CEO for the new fueling company after a potential spinoff. I have been in this position for the last three years, and before that, I have a past in the wind business, where I was both in Siemens and Vestas.

My last position before joining Nel was as member of the executive management team in Mitsubishi Vestas Offshore, where I was responsible for the operations. Marcus Halland is not in the presentation today, but having a past in KPMG and Align and 6 years in Nel in various positions in the finance, he is our absolute preferred candidate for the CFO position for the new fueling company to come. Together, Marcus and I are very excited to take on this next chapter in the history of our company. I would like to start out by giving you a quick refresher on how our hydrogen mobility business looks like today. In short, we, we develop and we deliver hydrogen fueling solutions for the mobility market, and we have been doing so for the last 20 years plus.

Since the start, we have sold in the vicinity of 140+ systems, and the market split between those systems is roughly 50/50 between the U.S. and the European Union, with an additional 50 stations or so in Korea. Most of these stations have been manufactured on our location in Herning, which is, by the way, one of the world's largest hydrogen manufacturing facilities for hydrogen fueling stations. We have service hubs on three different continents, with locations in key markets both in the U.S. and Europe and, of course, also in Korea. These stations have been produced, installed, and sold by most of our, or by some of our, 250+ employees. Last year, we had a revenue of roughly EUR 32 million.

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

In the hydrogen value chain, our products in the fueling business are placed somewhere in the sweet spot between production of hydrogen and consumption of hydrogen. This means that our equipment is able to take hydrogen from a source, compress it, cool it, and put it in either a vehicle for consumption or in a trailer for transportation. We believe that also trailer filling alongside with high-capacity fueling or heavy-duty fueling will be a big business area for us in the coming few years. If we are zooming in even further, we, our scope of supply ranges from supply panels. Basically, a supply panel is where you connect a trailer coming to dump off hydrogen, or you can connect an electrolyzer, or you can connect any kind of source at the connection panel or the supply panel.

Then we, of course, also supply hydrogen storage and the main event, which is the fueling station. And then we have a number of different dispensers that you can connect to this. If we look at our business from a services point of view, we are delivering services that are ranging all the way from installation and commissioning to operations and data monitoring and so on. So we are doing the full value chain. If we are comparing hydrogen mobility to other sources of energy for transportation, such as fossil fuels or batteries, there are many advantages with fueling. Some of the more obvious ones are, of course, the total lack of emissions from the outlet if you compare it to fossil fuels and the comparably long driving ranges if you compare it to batteries.

but some of the less obvious advantages, especially when we are talking about high-capacity filling and heavy-duty vehicles, that are, of course, the fast filling times, if we start out with that. So, we can transfer energy comparable to a 1 MWh battery in the vicinity of 10 minutes. And to put that in perspective, a 1 MWh battery would correspond to roughly 10 Teslas. If you would do this with the best charging technologies of today, it will take well above 5-6 hours. If we look at the grid connection, our fueling stations can actually be placed fairly remote. And that is because the coming high-capacity fueling station will require less than 1 MW of grid connection.

If you compare that to a comparable charging station, that would require more or in the vicinity of 10 MW grid connection. Just to put that in a little bit of perspective as well, the city of Herning, where we have our production facilities located, is a city of roughly 50,000 people, and has a base load of around 11 MW. It goes without saying that a high-capacity fueling station is the better alternative when it comes to connecting or grid connections. If we look at the hydrogen market of today, hydrogen is, of course, already a significant market with close to 90 megatons of hydrogen produced on a yearly basis. This is today mainly dominated by industrial use. Hydrogen has the potential to play an important role in the transition from fossil-based fuels to more renewable and green energies.

This is why the market is believed and forecasted to grow a factor three in the coming decades. It's also believed that hydrogen mobility, and especially high-capacity and heavy-duty transport, will be one of the major drivers for this growth. Obviously, a driver for growth in any kind of industry is the supporting regulatory framework and the funding landscape. There have been many initiatives in the last five to 10 years that have been backing hydrogen mobility. But there's one specific event I would like to point out from last year, summer last year, that is that I believe is a game changer. And that is that the so-called AFIR, or the Alternative Fuels Infrastructure Regulation, was put into legislation.

What AFIR says is that, along the so-called TEN-T, which is the Trans-European Transport Network, basically all the major highways throughout Europe, along the TEN-T, every 200 kilometers, one fueling station or one high-capacity fueling station needs to be built on each side of the road. This actually equates to in the vicinity of somewhere between 650-700 stations, all in all, that has to be built before 2030. However, if we take a conservative look at the timelines in the market, we believe that this will lead to minimum 400 stations being built before 2030. We are, of course, in the sweet spot for delivering equipment to these 400 stations. This is only Europe alone.

If we look at the United States, the funding landscape has already been put in place, where in the vicinity of $2.5 billion has been put on the table for funding around hydrogen infrastructure. However, the legislative landscape is not fully put in place yet, but we expect that to come, with a similar regulation like AFIR, also in the U.S. in the coming year or years here. But the important part is that the funding is already put in place. It goes without saying that we believe that we have what it takes to meet the demands of AFIR and the market growth in the coming years.

Hydrogen mobility is a young market, and we have, but we have been there from the beginning, collecting experiences, the last 20 years, to make sure that we are learning and moving forward in this market. Our current technologies and patents are protected worldwide, and our team of R&D professionals is more than 60 people strong. So it goes without saying that both from a competence point of view and capacity point of view as an organization, we have what it takes to meet these demands. Speaking about capacity, from a capacity point of view, we are well positioned in our current facilities in Herning for the next coming years. This is, by the way, also one of the world's largest hydrogen mobility production facilities.

So, limited investments are needed for adapting to the new type of products that we will be supplying going forward. And, at this facility, we have everything from design and testing to production and service. So the full value chain under the same roof, which is a great advantage. Currently, yeah, as I said, this is one of the largest facilities for production in the world. And, of course, again, to meet the requirements of AFIR and other regulations that are coming right now, one of the major things that we are working on right now is, of course, the high-capacity fueling station. And it's important to point out that this will be one of the first real high-capacity fueling stations that will be put into the market.

It will have a capacity of in the vicinity of 4,000 kilos per day, corresponding to 260 kilos per hour. It's roughly four trucks per hour, and that's what you can do on a normal diesel station as well. This is important because, from a commercial point of view, you really need to be at diesel parity when it comes to fueling trucks like this. Looking at the specs of the station, we can connect up to six dispensers, which is also an important facility or an important feature, so that we can, depending on what you want to fill on these fueling stations, connect either high-capacity station dispensers or LDV dispensers. It is also important that this station will be compliant with the newly defined standard for high-capacity filling in Europe and the US, which is the SAE J2605-1.

So that's super important that we are compliant to that. So this capacity of the new high-capacity fueling station does not only meet the demand of AFIR and the TEN-T rollout, but it is also, what we believe, putting us in the sweet spot for high-pressure gaseous delivery, which is around 4,000 kilos per day. So to summarize, in 2023, we started the development of the high-capacity fueling stations. Since the beginning, we have capitalized on our learnings from the LDV market, and we are taking all of that and putting it into the case for high-capacity to de-risk the business case and to make sure that this is a successful launch. The next generation of product is expected to be commercialized in 2025. And our ambition is to grab a fairly modest 15% of the market as a starting point here.

but that's where we are today. So with that, I would like to say thank you for listening this morning and hand back over to Håkon again. Oh, sorry.

Thank you, Robert. Then, the only thing left for me before we go to Q&A is to summarize the main takeaways from the quarter. And I think the positive EBITDA in the alkaline electrolysis segment, even adjusting for the one-off effects you can see from the details we've now provided on this segment specifically, that we are very close to break even over a long period of time. And that's also using less than one full line at Herøya. So the argument that we need, you know, gigawatts and gigawatts of production capacity to get to black figures in the alkaline division is not really true.

We've proven that, over many quarters, that we're getting very close. We need more orders, but when we get them, this business scales well. We reversed the negative trend on the order intake side. We're back on track, with NOK 459 million in order intake. That's the highest quarterly order intake since a year ago. We have maintained our cash position, NOK 3.3 billion, no near-term need to raise additional cash. We received a lot of government support in the U.S. for funding the planned electrolyser facility in Michigan, and we've now accumulated $170 million in support. And that, of course, comes on top of the cash reserves that we have. And as Robert just explained, we continue to explore a spinoff and separate listing of our fueling division.

We believe that the fueling business will have a higher likelihood of being successful in the market on its own and that it's beneficial to the electrolysis business that we can focus on that also. So, two separate entities that can explore their own strategies and plans, without trying to create synergies between two businesses that are not really there. Then I would like to invite my colleagues up on stage so we can get going with the Q&A.

Lars Nermoen
Head of Communications, Nel ASA

Yes. Good morning, everyone. My name is Lars Nermoen. I'm head of communications in the Nel, and I will guide you through this Q&A sessions. For the ones that want to ask questions, please use the raise hand function, and we will call up the name and activate the microphone to the one next in line.

Then you also have to remember to activate the microphone on your end. Note that we will keep the camera disabled for the ones calling in, and please keep a maximum of one question per person due to time constraints. If you have more time, you can always go back in line. You can also send an email to ir@nelhydrogen.com if you don't have time to answer all the questions. So, as a reminder from previous quarterly presentations, we will not comment on outlook specific targets, detailed terms and conditions on contracts, as well as questions on specific markets. We will also appreciate if modeling questions are taken offline. So, the first one on my list is Chris Leonard. Your microphone has been activated. Hey guys, yeah, Chris Leonard from UBS. Please go ahead, Chris. Yeah. Hey, can you hear me?

Chris Leonard
Director of Equity Research, UBS

Yes, we can hear you. Great, sorry. Chris Leonard from UBS, who asked on the commentary from the U.S. Treasury on speaking about the finalization of legislation there for the 45V tax credits. Is there any view from your side on timing of when you expect this to be finalized? Because in your report, you also speak about, you know, still have ambitions to win large orders in the coming periods. Does that also relate to the US market? Is that achievable this year? Thanks.

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

I don't think we have unique insights into the timing or when these regulations will be finalized. We have provided our perspectives and shared that with the Treasury, but we have no idea when the final regulations will come out.

As we don't know that, it's also hard to predict when, you know, the large-scale orders in the U.S. will be placed. Some projects will proceed regardless of the regulations, but, you know, positive regulations and clarity on the regulations will, of course, help. We are eagerly awaiting, as many others, these final regulations to come out.

Chris Leonard
Director of Equity Research, UBS

Thank you.

Lars Nermoen
Head of Communications, Nel ASA

Thank you, Chris. And the next one on my list is, Skye Landon. I have activated your microphone. Please go ahead.

Skye Landon
Equity Research Analyst, Redburn

Thanks very much, Skye Landon from Redburn Atlantic here. I believe this is the first time that you've split out the alkaline and PEM business. I'd be interested to get a little bit of color around why now. And related to this, how should we think about the development of alkaline electrolyser EBITDA for the rest of 2024 following your strong 1Q results?

Do you expect this to be positive going forward? Thank you very much.

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

Segments in any company is an ongoing discussion. We have had that discussion internally over some time. We see that now with the growth we've had in the revenues over the last year, it made sense to give this split. We have been giving small drops of this in the past with commenting on order intake or revenue growth on a subsegment level in the commentaries. It's basically down to, you know, the size that these segments have now reached, and the fact that it gives additional useful information for you as analysts. When it comes to the outlook, we don't comment on the outlook on a quarterly basis, but as has been said earlier, the business model on the alkaline side is now proven.

It's down to how much we produce in the factory and actually ship to customers. And there we have given great detail about a backlog in the annual report, as well. So, I guess that's the short answer to your question.

Skye Landon
Equity Research Analyst, Redburn

Thanks very much.

Lars Nermoen
Head of Communications, Nel ASA

Okay, the next question is coming from Alexander Jones. Please go ahead.

Alexander Jones
Managing Director, Bank of America

Great, thanks very much, Alexander Jones from Bank of America. You mentioned on the U.S. plant that it doesn't just depend on market demand, but also your new technologies being ready. Could you give us a bit of an update on both pressurized alkaline and the sort of next-generation PEM on where you are and when you might expect that side of the plant to be ready to go? Thank you.

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

Yeah, we are progressing according to plan. We, on the pressurized alkaline side, we believe we have a fairly unique and game-changing concept. We are testing full-sized electrodes at Nordhorn in our test facility. The plan is to then build, you know, full-scale stacks and also the first pilot facility. I think the first pilot facility we target to build next year. To remind you that that building block that we've commented on in the past, a pressurized alkaline building block, one module is 25 MW. And that means it takes a little bit of time to build that. It's to put it in perspective, it's the same size as the largest electrolyzer plant in operation in Europe today. So that will be built, I think next year, to qualify the complete concept. But we are progressing. Test results are very promising and positive.

We are looking into manufacturing concepts for that. And that means what we do in Michigan will probably be pressurized alkaline and the next generation PEM stacks that we develop together with GM. Also, that project is progressing well. We are in the candy shop together with GM, looking at all their results over the past decade, and trying to figure out you know the optimal way of putting that together in an electrolyzer context. Yeah, so I'd say both development projects are on track. I would probably assume that we will do testing up until the end of 2025 and that the first commercial products you know then we're in the 2026 type of timeframe without you know being too specific, there are uncertainties linked to R&D development projects, but I would assume second-generation technologies would be available 2026 and onwards.

Alexander Jones
Managing Director, Bank of America

Thank you.

Lars Nermoen
Head of Communications, Nel ASA

Thank you. The next one on my list is Naisheng Cui. Please go ahead with your question.

Naisheng Cui
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Barclays

Hey, morning, everyone. Naisheng Cui from Barclays. Congrats on the good results. Two questions, if I may, please. The first one is on revenue. I understand there's a lack of major milestones on the alkaline electrolyzer projects. I just wonder if you can provide a bit more color on that. Is that because of delay? What's your plan on that going forward? And my second question is on your view for some of your peers, because I know some of your peers, from the oil majors, they closed some of their hydrogen fueling stations in California and in Europe in the last month or two. And I just wonder what's your view on that. Thank you.

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

So, if I should take the first one on revenue recognition, that's down to the contract structure. So, for example, you know, we may have a milestone saying we deliver a certain number of stacks, and at a certain timeline, that is agreed with the customer, and then we have to wait until we have that amount of stacks, and then we reach that specific date. So it's really nothing major about it. It's just that our company, and this is back again to why we don't give guidance, our company is still so dependent on a limited set of contracts that individual milestones on individual contracts will lead to fluctuations between quarters. That's just something that, you need to, get used to. Unfortunately, we live with it. It's a noise in the modeling.

When it comes to the closing of fueling stations, that's really not our purview, but maybe Robert could do that. Huh? Yes, absolutely. If we look at the specific closings of stations, both in Europe and in the U.S., it's very clear to see that these stations are light-duty stations with fairly low capacities. And the market is, as we speak right now, very much focused on transitioning from light-duty and personal car filling to high-capacity and heavy-duty vehicle filling. So that is also what we see and the intel that we have from our customers. And then just to be clear on the value chain positioning, we produce the stations. We don't own and operate them. So what you're talking about would be current and potential customers that are closing down stations. Very clear.

Lars Nermoen
Head of Communications, Nel ASA

Thank you very much. The next one in line is Anders Rosenlund. Your microphone has been activated. Please go ahead.

Anders Rosenlund
Senior Equity Analyst, SEB

Thank you. I have a question on the Fortescue part of the Nikola announcement earlier this year. You said $11 million from Fortescue. Has those $11 million been included in the order intake in Q1 in alkaline? And also, was roughly 50% of those $11 million revenue recognized during Q1?

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

So, we don't go into details on the individual contracts. However, what we said when we announced the deal is that the Fortescue took over the existing purchase order with Nikola, where there was remaining revenue to be recognized. So, the net effect from start of quarter to end of quarter on backlog on that part would be limited. There's been a few million dollars revenue recognized in the quarter, mainly related to what has already been delivered to Nikola.

We had some provisions for warranty and other things. Then now, with a delay and a new timeline, we see that we will not be needing that and where the new customer has paid for an extended warranty.

Anders Rosenlund
Senior Equity Analyst, SEB

If I may, my question is really, would the results have been roughly $150 million weaker if it hadn't been for this change order with Nikola?

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

If you look at the Nikola in isolation, the $9 million euros is clearly singled out as a one-off event. When it comes to the Fortescue change order, yes, it is correct that there is a few million dollars of positive impact on that project in this quarter.

Robert Borin
SVP, Nel ASA

However, it's additional equipment like any, you know, new contract. So, there's nothing magic about it. It could have been another contract.

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

We do not single out when we have corresponding negative effects of this, on other projects as well. So yes, it stands a bit out since it's one order in one quarter. But there's positives and negatives on, almost every project in almost every quarter.

Anders Rosenlund
Senior Equity Analyst, SEB

Okay, thank you.

Lars Nermoen
Head of Communications, Nel ASA

The next question, Jonny, is from Elliot Jeffrey.

Speaker 11

Good morning, guys. Just a quick question on the U.S., subsidies you've received. Is there like an expiration date on the, you know, tax credits or any of the subsidies, with regards to when you, you know, when you need to, announce FID on the Michigan facility? Yeah, any color on that would be great.

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

Yeah, there are. I mean, they're not, they don't last forever. Of course, when politicians grant, subsidies to companies like NEL, they want to see us take action.

But they also realize that, it's not always straightforward to move on. So there were some requirements to take certain actions that don't necessarily imply a lot of CapEx for NEL. We need to, you know, specify what kind of location we are looking at. We need to commit to certain order activities. And you typically have, let's say, two to three years before you need to make the heavy investments. And that means we have time. So these subsidies will not expire immediately. It's not like if we don't do anything in 2024, we will lose all of it. But we need to show that we are actively working on the project. And we need to make probably some capital commitments during 2025 if we want to keep the subsidies.

Speaker 11

Perfect. Thank you, guys.

Lars Nermoen
Head of Communications, Nel ASA

Yes, the next one in line is from Yoann Charenton. I have opened up your microphone. Please go ahead.

Yoann Charenton
Research Analyst, Bernstein

Um, hopefully you can hear me. Yoann Charenton from Bernstein. I have two questions, if I may. The first one is about trade receivables. How long can you hold trade receivables past due before this triggers potential cash payments under compensation mechanisms that might be linked to letters of credit or other financial instruments that you have in place? So that's the first question. The second question is just having a look at your annual report. You show that roughly 80% of your backlog at the end of last year will lead to performance obligations in 2024. Given that you are now saying that capacity utilization at your electrolyser factories will be adjusted, are you still expecting 80% of the backlog to lead to performance obligation in 2024?

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

Yeah, so let me handle both of those. So first of all, when it comes to the receivables, if there had been a way of collecting them easily, then we would have collected them and/or pulled on bank guarantees or other things. So there's one project in particular that's been with us for a while where we have given detail and continue to give detail. We would, of course, have loved that project to go on. Just as a reminder, we have received a meaningful amount of cash from the customer. We are working closely with the customers to help the customer fund the fund the project and and move ahead with the project. And we have security over the equipment that has been delivered and and control over that. So if the project doesn't move ahead, our balance sheet would be intact.

When it comes to the performance obligations or the, you know, expected revenue, we are not, by what we are saying now, commenting on an expectation that we'll delay the backlog. We will continue to deliver the backlog in line with what has been agreed with customers. What we are saying is that when we are now during quarter two, getting up to a 1 GW run rate capacity at Herøya and later in the year 500 MW in Wallingford will not be producing flat out to stock. We will, when we are looking at how to utilize that capacity, be looking at what we have in the backlog and what we have of likely wins. So there may be some working capital buildup, but we would rather save the capital than tie it down in inventory.

Yoann Charenton
Research Analyst, Bernstein

That's very clear. Thank you.

Lars Nermoen
Head of Communications, Nel ASA

Thank you. This is Sean McLoughlin. Please go ahead with your question. Sean, have you activated your microphone? No. Okay. Then I think we have to move on to the next one, which is Kulwinder Rajpal. Please go ahead.

Kulwinder Rajpal
Equity Research Analyst, Alpha Value

Yeah, good morning, everyone. So I just wanted to get your thoughts on the order development. Obviously, it's encouraging to see that orders are growing quarter-over-quarter. And as you said, that the order intake level has been the highest in the last one year. So what are you seeing in your interactions with the customers? Are they still delaying decisions mostly because of higher interest rates or now, since we see that the interest rates might stick around for a while, so they are just going to go ahead with the FIDs?

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

I think there are a handful of projects that will proceed regardless of what happens on the political level when it comes to support. But we also see that due to high interest rates and due to, you know, projects becoming more expensive than probably customers expected a while back, they would like to take advantage of any public funding they could get. And that means in the EU, 120+ projects applied for funding through the Hydrogen Bank. That money is supposed to be handed out at the end of April, not handed out, but they are supposed to announce the winners of that auction at the end of April, start of May. That clarity will help certain projects where Nel is involved progress. And that could help us book additional orders.

In the US, as I said, we wait for the clarifications on the tax production tax credits. It's not crystal clear what will happen. And companies, our customers, are not keen on moving on unless they have more visibility on the business case. So I think, you know, there's a lot of talk about billions of dollars or euros being handed out to hydrogen developers. That's not true. It hasn't happened yet. I mean, not a single euro almost has been paid out or a dollar. So our customers are waiting for that cash. And until they have that cash, they're not willing to, you know, go ahead and place a firm purchase order with NEL or any other for that sake. And I think that's what you see in the market. It's not only NEL. This is not NEL specific. This is sector specific, industry specific.

I'm hopeful that with the announcement of the Hydrogen Bank results and also the ambition to launch a second round of funding through the Hydrogen Bank in Europe with a higher total amount to be handed out and also clarity on the Department of Energy hubs and the industrial projects for $ several billion and the tax production tax credits, there are numerous projects where Nel is actively involved that will take FID in 2024. But the frustrating part is that we don't fully control it, right? It's not only up to us. The only thing we can do is to position Nel as the best supplier of electrolyzers, get our costs down, the efficiency up. We do that every single day, but we need a little bit of help and push from the market in order to move forward.

Kulwinder Rajpal
Equity Research Analyst, Alpha Value

Oh, that's helpful. Thank you. And just a little, sorry. I wasn't on purpose. Sorry. Sorry.

Lars Nermoen
Head of Communications, Nel ASA

You're back on again.

Kulwinder Rajpal
Equity Research Analyst, Alpha Value

Yeah. Just a little follow-up. So I wanted to understand about the EBITDA in alkaline particularly. Obviously, the Nikola one-off is clear, but you mentioned there was another one-off. So what was that?

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

So the comment again that was made when we announced the renegotiated agreement with Nikola and the handing over of that project from Nikola to Fortescue is that we also had some provisions and, you know, for example, you know, warranty provisions related to what has already been delivered to Nikola where now with a delayed or extended timeline, we could release some of those. You know, again, in the broader context, on every project, we have some positives and some negatives every quarter.

So we haven't singled those out or adjusted for them as we wouldn't adjust for negative effects of a similar kind on other projects.

Robert Borin
SVP, Nel ASA

We don't have an adjusted EBITDA. We have an EBITDA figure. And on, you know, that is comprised of how we perform on multiple projects. And in any reporting period, there are setbacks where we spend more money, more hours. There are also positives, you know, where we don't spend as much money as we planned. And in this quarter, we were able to release some of the provisions that, you know, if we had booked this 100% in line with what, you know, actually happened, previous quarterly results would have been stronger and this one would be a bit weaker. But overall, it evens out. And I think the trend you can see on the alkaline side is quite stable.

You know, the past five quarters are, you know, underlying in on the same level. It's slightly negative, but not massively negative, like a lot of people think. It's close to break even. It doesn't take a miracle to get that business into positive EBITDA. And bear in mind, it's one line at Herøya not being fully utilized during 2023.

Kulwinder Rajpal
Equity Research Analyst, Alpha Value

Yes. Thank you very much.

Lars Nermoen
Head of Communications, Nel ASA

Thank you all. We are running out of time, so we need to wrap up. So I'll leave the word finally to Håkon for some final remarks.

Håkon Volldal
CEO, Nel ASA

I think we are happy with the results in the first quarter. We do recognize that there are positive one-offs, but I think, you know, as a reminder, both internally and externally, it's possible to celebrate positive one-offs because we are usually grilled on negative one-offs.

So when we have these positive one-offs, it's not because they accidentally happen. It's also due to hard work by people and clever negotiations and, you know, good contracts being landed. So I think we should appreciate the strong results in the first quarter. We do recognize that we need to get more orders, fill the factories. And when we do that, the results will also improve significantly. So we continue to do what we can, and that is to make our products better and our positioning better. And I think we do that successfully. And then we need some more help from the market in terms of orders. So with that, thank you for watching our first quarter results. And see you again in a few months, I guess.

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