Storebrand ASA (OSL:STB)
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May 13, 2026, 2:06 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q2 2016

Jul 14, 2016

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Storebrand's second quarterly call. For the duration of the call, you will be on listening only. However, at the end of the presentation, you will have opportunity to ask questions. If any time you need assistance, please press star zero on your telephone keypad, and you will be connected to an operator. I will now hand you over to Head of Investor Relations Kjetil Ramberg Krøkje to begin today's conference. Thank you.

Kjetil Ramberg Krøkje
Head of Investor Relations, Storebrand

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Storebrand's second quarter 2016 conference call. My name is Kjetil Ramberg Krøkje, and I'm Head of Investor Relations at Storebrand. Together with me, I have Group CEO Odd Arild Grefstad, CFO Lars Løddesøl, Finance Director Sigbjørn Birkeland, and Head of Economic Capital Trond Finn Eriksen. In the presentation today, Odd Arild will give an overview of the development in the quarter, and Lars will give some more detail on some elements in the results. The slides will be similar to the analyst presentation released this morning and are available on our webpage. After the presentation, the operator will open up for questions. To be able to ask questions, you will need to dial into the conference call.

With that said, I will now leave the word to Storebrand's CEO, Odd Arild Grefstad, who will start the presentation on slide two.

Odd Arild Grefstad
CEO, Storebrand

Thank you, Kjetil. The group result before amortization and write-downs was NOK 798 million for the quarter. This is a strong result, which is affected by good returns, strong financial results, profit sharing in SPP, and reduced costs. The result is also positively affected by some special items, in particular, effect on operational cost of NOK 98 million related to a change in Storebrand's own disability pension scheme, and NOK 25 million in proceeds from the sale of Visa Europe to Visa Incorporated. The shift from guaranteed pension to savings continues. Fee and administration income in savings grew 4% compared to the first half of last year. The top line growth has been dampened somewhat by turbulent financial markets.

However, we still see a good underlying growth in savings, illustrated by a 17% growth in unit-linked premiums, 24% growth in retail banking lending, and 7% growth in insurance premiums. Both results and solvency show us robust development, despite Brexit and turbulent financial markets. The solvency position at the end of the second quarter was 172%, and 122%, excluding transitional rules. Slide number 3. This is a well-known slide, although still relevant. The value creation in Storebrand comes through growth in non-guaranteed savings and insurance, and through handling of the guaranteed balance sheet with, which is in a long-term run-off. Let's turn to slide number 4. It has been a turbulent quarter in the financial markets, compounded by the surprising result in the British EU referendum towards the end of the quarter. The exchange rate effect has been substantial.

We are well hedged in Storebrand against these movements. Credit spreads came out, but quickly came in again, and are, in fact, in for the quarter overall. Equity markets are fairly flat over the quarter. Norwegian equities have increased somewhat, and Swedish equities have decreased slightly. Interest rates have moved substantially. Short interest rates are not much affected, but long interest rates have continued to fall. 10-year swap rates are down 8 basis points in Norway over the quarter and 40 basis points in Sweden. In total, this has only had a limited effect on our quarterly results, and the risk management has worked well. The isolated effect on solvency is negative. However, good returns and own measures more than compensate for this. The development after the quarter has been characterized by further interest rate reductions and increased equities.

In sum, the effect on result is positive, and the estimate of the solvency position is unchanged up to today. If you then move to slide number 5, we can look at the effects on our guaranteed portfolios. First, I'd like to touch upon expected returns for the paid-up policies after the movement and risk management in the quarter. We have divided our guaranteed paid-up policies into 4 sub-portfolios. Based on risk-bearing ability, these portfolios have a 60%-90% allocation to bonds held at amortized costs. In today's low interest rate environment, the hold-to-maturity portfolio secures a long-term expected return above the interest rate guarantee. In fact, the excess value of these bonds is now at NOK 12.5 billion, which contributes to increased booked return in the years ahead. We are also still able to grow the portfolio, even in today's low interest rate climate.

And during the quarter, we have built NOK 3.1 billion in new investment at 3.1% yield and 11 years average life. With this, we estimate that the return in the paid-up policies will well exceed the interest rate guarantee levels towards 2020, and that reinvestments we are able to place in the market also secure return above the guarantee after 2020. If you look at slide number 6, on Solvency II, the falling interest rates and turbulent markets have affected the solvency ratio negatively. However, this is more than compensated by good results and buffer building in the quarter. We have also conducted active risk management with adjustments in portfolios and asset allocation, which combined have contributed to a strengthening in the overall solvency ratio of 5 percentage points, from 117% to 122%.

Transitional rules have been reduced with 8 percentage points for the quarter. This is due to a normal runoff of the transitionals of about 2 percentage points each quarter, in addition to a 2 percentage points reduction in the equity transitionals. Increased longevity, strengthening, and strong results within defined contribution and capital certificates further reduce the transitionals by 4 percentage points. On the right-hand side of the slide, you see the sensitivities. It is worthwhile to notice that we now expect the solvency margin to be at 113%, even after a 50 basis point parallel downward shift in the interest rate levels from the end of the quarter. Let's then move to slide number 7 and have a more quantitative look at the movement in the solvency without transitional rules during the quarter.

We have implemented changes in asset allocation and model improvements, which contribute about 1 percentage point to the solvency position. We have a very good group result in the quarter. In addition, we have built further buffer capital through strong value-adjusted returns. Combined, this has contributed with a 5 percentage points increase. In the solvency model, there is somewhat lower equity stress relative to last quarter, which further contributes with 1 percentage point. The turbulent markets, and in particular, the lower interest rates, have reduced the solvency margin with about 2 percentage points. After the quarter, interest rates have continued to fall somewhat, while credit spreads and equities have strengthened. In total, the 122% is a good estimate for the solvency margin, today as well. If we then move to slide, number 8.

The growth within non-guaranteed savings and insurance continues. The growth in unit-linked reserves was 9% compared to second quarter last year, dampened by weak equity markets. However, the underlying premium growth is strong at 17%. Naturally, the challenging market conditions have also affected the reserve development within asset management. However, the underlying operations and institutional sales are strong. The growth within insurance was 7%. This is lower than our long-term ambition of 10%, and is caused by our shift from expensive external distribution to more cost-effective internal distribution. However, we expect to return to a 10% growth rate during 2017. Last but not least, the growth within retail banking is very good, and the retail lending portfolio grew 24% from the second quarter in 2015. Slide number 9.

The sum of all this is that we continue to shift from guaranteed products to non-guaranteed savings and insurance. Our clear ambition is to replace the decline in guaranteed income with increase in income and savings. Because of the market development, we have not been able to achieve the necessary savings growth to fully substitute the decline in guaranteed income. However, we expect to be able to do so going forward. In periods like this, cost control, cost reductions are even more important, and we have been able to reduce our nominal cost with over NOK 40 million so far this year. And with that, I leave the word to CFO, Lars Aasulv Løddesøl.

Lars Aasulv Løddesøl
CFO, Storebrand

Thank you, Lars. I would like you to turn to page 10. Storebrand has a strong underlying result with NOK 615 million before profit sharing and loan losses. The result is lifted by a good return in company portfolios. Special items of 123 is comprised is a consequence of the NOK 25 million in profits from sale of Visa Europe, as Odd Arild mentioned, and also a resolution or change in the pension plan for own employees related to disability pension and pensions for dependents. That's part of the modernization of our own pension plan and an adjustment to new disability plans in the public pension system. In the Swedish operation, we have profit sharing from the guaranteed portfolios, which is positive of NOK 60 million in the quarter.

Earnings per share, adjusted for amortization, is strong at NOK 1.83 in the quarter as a consequence of good results, the special items that I've already mentioned, and the positive tax income, which I will revert to in a moment. Buffers and solvency capital is maintained at a strong level. Turning over to page 11, I'll briefly go through some of the most important lines. Fee and administration income is down 2.5% in the quarter, or 5% adjusted for currency movements. As Odd Arild mentioned a moment ago, as a consequence of the growth in the non-guaranteed savings, not quite making it up to the full way of the guaranteed pensions, income declining according to the strategy. Within insurance, there is still a strong growth, however, lower than the objective of 10%.

That's a consequence of changes in our distribution model, as well as changes in the public disability pension system, and consequential changes in the disability coverage that we have in defined benefit schemes in the Norwegian market. Our ambition is to get back on 10% growth during next year. The costs as shown in this table are significantly down, but in that there is the result of the NOK 98 million saved from the pension, the internal pension schemes and changes that I just mentioned. This change in the disability and coverages that we have internally will save NOK 15-20 million annually from here on, and that's part of our cost program that we have mentioned on Capital Markets Day of NOK 300-400 million additional cost savings.

The cost is down, adjusted for currency effects of NOK 44 million, or about 5% compared to last year. The financial result in the quarter is strong, with a return on company portfolios of 0.8% in Norway and 0.4% in Sweden, and × NOK 23 billion, that makes a good result in the quarter. In this line, you can also find the Visa profit from NOK 25 million. Net profit sharing and loan losses shows a positive result from profit split in the Swedish operation. Especially, we've had a good return within the fixed income and in credit, the credit portfolios and the property portfolios in this quarter.

As you are well aware of, the owner's contribution to provision for longevity has been canceled out by the reserve we made in the fourth quarter last year, and this line will gradually disappear. We have a positive tax result or tax contribution in the quarter. That's a consequence of the sale of a large property in the first quarter, and when we sold that property, we also got rid of tax liabilities at the same time. In total, that gives NOK 153 million in a tax contribution, which would be netted against normalized taxes, which gives you a net tax contribution of NOK 31 million.

This picture contains a lot of information, and we have an aim, we aim to make it more simple by making the following changes, and you can find those on page 12. We will combine the risk result life and pension, which will be approximately zero from now on anyways, with the financial results in the company portfolios and the net profit sharing and loan losses, which is primarily net profit sharing from the Swedish operation in one line, called financial items. We will combine the insurance premiums and claims in one insurance result. As you see on the right-hand side of this, on this picture, that will significantly decrease the number of figures on this table, and it will make it easier to follow the operational profit and the financial items in a single table.

Also, as I mentioned, provisions for longevity will be taken out by the end of this year when the history of longevity provisions are gone. Finally, on page 13, I'll just mention very briefly that... Sorry, on page 14, I will mention just briefly that there is a cost reallocation between the different result elements in our setup. We, due to the fact that we are, that the focus is now on the front book, and we have had to reallocate some cost to the front book away from the back book, which is in runoff.

That leads to a year-to-date increase in cost, all else equal, of NOK 30 million in savings, non-guaranteed, NOK 10 million in insurance, and a reduced cost of about NOK 40 million in guaranteed pensions. Finally, I'll just sum up good results, build profits and buffers in the quarter to reduce result volatility and secure returns to customers and owners in the years to come. And then we will open up for questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind and wish to withdraw your question, please press star one again. You will be advised when to ask a question. We already have four questions coming through, and the first one is from Peter Eliot from Kepler. Go ahead, your line is now open.

Peter Eliot
Insurance Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Thank you very much. Three questions, please. The first one's on the property sale that you did that gave you the positive tax one-off. Obviously, you had something similar in Q4 of last year. And I'm just wondering whether there's much more to come of this in the pipeline, whether it's, you know, the same sort of thing, whether we can expect more of that. The second question was on the reinvestments that you made. I was wondering if you could give us, it's very impressive that the held-to-maturity investments you made at 3.1%. Could you give us the average reinvestment rate across all your investments you made, or was that the bulk of it?

Then the third item, you mention in your report some tax reforms to come in from 2017. I was wondering if you could just mention what impact those might have. Thank you.

Lars Aasulv Løddesøl
CFO, Storebrand

On the property sale, that was a large development property that was sold in the first quarter. It had a tax liability connected to it, which is now gone, and therefore, we could get this positive tax impact in the quarter. We don't have any program to neither sell down nor increase significantly the property portfolio that we hold. However, we obviously sell and buy properties on a regular basis, and they can, they may have tax consequences as a result. That's part of the, or it's quite technical, but there are, the tax system creates tax benefits and liabilities, different for life companies and other kind of companies, and that creates these kind of movements from time to time.

Odd Arild Grefstad
CEO, Storebrand

Yeah, if I answer on the reinvestment, you know, that on the guaranteed area, it's very much the development from defined benefit into paid-up policies that has a need for reinvestments, more or less, as we speak. And so the bulk of the reinvestment for the guaranteed portfolios that altogether is in the long term run-off is into the paid-up policies. So when we are talking about reinvestments here, on NOK 3.3 billion in the second quarter, it was also at that level in the first quarter. That is the bulk of the investments, and we are over this first half been doing that to an average return about 3%.

That is about the guarantee level at 2020, as we estimated in this in this slide I show you. So that is very much what we are talking about when it comes to reinvestments. If I also try to answer on your tax reform, there's been a discussion in in Norway about VAT on financial services. And it's different part different angles to try to find the solutions to include the financial services one way or another into the VAT regime. And that is very much what the discussions goes around. They have been very clear that they want a surplus from the financial industry altogether of NOK 3.5 billion as income on taxes.

But it's quite unclear so far if that is coming into a VAT type of solution or if it's other type of taxation that will be used to get this surplus into the state, so to say.

Peter Eliot
Insurance Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Mm-hmm. Okay, thank you.

Operator

The next questions come from Matti Ahokas from Danske Bank. Please go ahead, your line is now open.

Matti Ahokas
Senior Analyst, Danske Bank

Yes, good afternoon. It's Matti Ahokas here from Danske. Question on slide number 7, which is very helpful, the bridge on Solvency II movements, and I was a bit surprised that the financial market impact is only two percentage points here. Could you clarify a bit where this comes from, and why is the financial market impact smaller? And on the same note, why has the sensitivity to interest rates gone down, as you pointed out in the sensitivity in such a short while? It seems like interest rates are not really that much of a driver after all. And then the second question is regarding the tax gain you had in the fourth quarter.

Have we finally got the ruling that this is final, that this NOK 1.5 billion tax gain is approved, or is there still some uncertainty regarding that? Thanks.

Odd Arild Grefstad
CEO, Storebrand

Yeah, I can start on the solvency and get help on some of the sensitivities here. But if you look at the sensitivities, the 2 percentage points, of course, it's a combination of all financial elements in here. And as I showed you on the Brexit slides, the impact on the long term interest rates in Norway has been just 8 basis points for the 10-year swap rate over the quarter. And actually it's been even lower, and the short end of the curve has even been so on up in some elements. So you have seen quite limited effect on the Norwegian swap rates altogether. It's more effects in the Swedish market, where you have 40 basis points.

But we are also very much better matched in the Swedish business, so the impact from Swedish interest rates is much lower, and that also stabilizes, of course, the whole group to having operations both in Sweden and Norway in that respect. I don't know if, Trond, if you'd like to add something on that? I think that's quite, yeah, quite accurate. Okay, and on the interest rate sensitivity, you're correct that the interest rate sensitivity has gone down, and that was seen in the context that the stress test is over. The two stresses rates down to 0%. And as the rates approach 0%, the stress becomes lower on certain durations than the 50 basis points. Did you get that? Yeah. Okay.

It's actually the model that makes it that way. And obviously we've seen around the world that interest rate can fall below 0%, but that is not captured in the stress in the model as such. And on your last question, on the tax gain, we have handed in our tax returns now, and we expect the tax authorities to look at the tax returns in the fall. We have, as we previously announced, looked at the effects that we announced by year-end, and we have both internal and external opinions that they are well documented. But it hasn't been through the tax authorities yet.

Matti Ahokas
Senior Analyst, Danske Bank

All right. Great. Thanks a lot.

Operator

The next question comes from Jonny Urwin, from UBS. Please go ahead, your line is now open.

Jonny Urwin
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Guys, thanks for taking my questions. Just a couple from me. So firstly, it'd be really interesting to get your view on what is a normal level of quarterly profitability. Obviously, we've had a few quarters with some one-offs, a few today. So, you know, looking through those, where do you see the sort of run rate of PBT? I mean, if I look at the underlying picture, you know, we can see a bit of pressure on unit- linked policies in Norway from a margin perspective. The net interest margin is coming under pressure from the retail bank, and the combined ratio is suffering a bit from the sort of disability trends. So I'd be interested to hear your views there.

And secondly, I see that you're, you know, you're talking a lot more about cross-selling pension policyholders, retail banking and P&C products. So I'd just be interested to hear how you're doing that, what's the process and what are your plans here going forward? Thanks.

Odd Arild Grefstad
CEO, Storebrand

Yeah. We previously talked about the line result before profit sharing. And that has been, we've said that that is going to be around NOK 500 million a quarter, that that's a normalized result. And of course, then you have some more volatile elements coming into the profit sharing and loan losses, which will naturally fluctuate with markets. So I think that's at least some idea of where the normalized result is. Yeah. If we then look at the cross sales and retail banking, you know that a lot of our customers are employed in the corporates where we have our pension schemes. And we have a very strong market share, and it's now up to 35% market share in these markets.

We engage with these end consumers through internet solutions, so we are able to give them good rates on loans. And we also see that we are able to, through dialogue with them, also have the opportunity to cross-sale into savings, into insurance products. And the banking product is a very good one to ensure that tie to the customers and build cross-sales on. And we see we have a very good overview of this by customer values, and we follow that very tight to ensure that we have values on the sales we are doing in the retail banking area. If I may add a couple of points on normalized earnings.

The unit-linked growth in terms of assets under management was 9% in the last year. And although margins are under pressure, you see a continued strong growth expected in assets under management in this area. And that, combined with cost reductions, should make sure that we will be able to increase earnings over time as we get the leverage effect of the investments we've done in this area, and the strong market position, as well as the further growth. And that, combined with the cross sales into the retail products, should ensure that the-

Jonny Urwin
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

...Just a quick follow-up on the unit-linked margins. I mean, so you make a comment today that there's a bit more competitive pressure in Norway, but Sweden's largely stable. I mean, what's your outlook there? Is it for continued margin deterioration in Norway and continued stability in Sweden?

Odd Arild Grefstad
CEO, Storebrand

We prepare for the worst at all times, and by being very cost efficient and digitalizing our solutions, we expect to maintain profitability and competitiveness in these markets. And it's not like we are becoming complacent if there is no margin pressure in the market one single year, because we can expect that to come in the following year. So we try to invest to stay very competitive in all the markets. And the margin pressure that you saw in the first quarter in Norway within the unit-linked business is partly a result of the increased cost allocation to this area, which is just an internal cost allocation, which should go down again when we reduce these costs in cooperation with the Cognizant corporation that we have.

Furthermore, it's a consequence of a repricing of the whole industry Norway portfolio, which is the largest part of the overall book, which was repriced to a lower level during the second quarter. But that has now been repriced, and we have a very long contract with this industry association at these prices, so there will not be further repricing of that portfolio in the next five or six years to come.

Jonny Urwin
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Okay, thanks very much for the useful.

Operator

The next questions come from Blair Stewart, from Bank of America. Please go ahead, your line is now open.

Blair Stewart
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you. Good afternoon. I've got a couple of questions left. As usual, all the good ones have been asked. Question number one was, in the asset management segment, you sometimes give an indication as to how what performance fees have been accrued year to date. I wonder if you could comment on that. Secondly, on page seven rather, when you give the walk between the starting and ending solvency, I just wonder how much of the five points is coming from one-off actions, please? And finally, thirdly, on the paid up book, was the Q2 growth in the paid up book more or less in line with what you expected?

Have you had any reason to change your view as to when that book might stop growing? Thank you.

Odd Arild Grefstad
CEO, Storebrand

The asset management fees are below what they were last year. I think they are at NOK 25 million at this stage. But that will obviously change from quarter to quarter, and it's final only in the full year.

Blair Stewart
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Okay.

Sigbjørn Birkeland
Finance Director, Storebrand

When it comes to the one-offs, there was a one-off described by Lars here of NOK 100 in cost and NOK 20-35 in the sale of, which represents around NOK 125, and that represents approximately half a percentage points out of those five percentage points. Yeah.

Blair Stewart
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Was there no other impact from any of the changes that you made?

Odd Arild Grefstad
CEO, Storebrand

You would also see the tax gain with NOK 150 million also impact the solvency build up.

Sigbjørn Birkeland
Finance Director, Storebrand

Yeah.

Odd Arild Grefstad
CEO, Storebrand

I think we also will—there's been a very strong result in this quarter, based on also very strong return in the company portfolios. You can discuss what is normalized and what is special items. I think we have to revert to our capital markets there, where we're clear that we expect to see a 5%-10% increase in the solvency ratio year by year. Then on the paid-up policy, we see that there is most of the large companies now has already moved into defined contribution and have closed the defined benefit schemes. There is a couple of large corporates left, that they are in close dialogue with.

But overall, I would say that there is no trend shift in this. It's something around the disability changes that is done this year, that will increase in itself the paid-up policies with the NOK 2 billion this year. That is a part of what you have seen so far this first half, and will also have some effect in the second half. But I would say that going forward, we also expect to see that a lot of the corporates that has done soft closes is smaller, medium-sized companies that has a lot of the employees now on defined contribution, and are also prepared to use the time to completely move into defined contribution with the end of the defined benefit schemes.

So I would say it's quite a normal situation we have seen in the third quarter. And going forward, we're estimating some NOK 8 billion-NOK 10 billion a year in pension from defined benefit to defined contribution, and then into paid-up policies is going forward.

Blair Stewart
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

The difference between hard and soft close is quite important, I guess. Is the low interest rate environment likely to encourage more companies to hard close? Is it possible to say what proportion of your NOK 50 billion DB book is reflecting books that have already been soft closed?

Odd Arild Grefstad
CEO, Storebrand

I don't have that breakdown now, but as I said, almost all the large companies now have made a decision on soft close and hard close. There is no companies left that expect to still are on defined benefit altogether. Of course, it's been a low interest rate level for quite a long time. I don't expect to see the fluctuations we have seen in the second quarter and the half year we have seen now to have a significant impact on their ability or expectations to move into defined contribution. That is not what we hear when we have dialogue with these clients anyway.

It is important, as you say, the combination now with defined benefit and defined contribution that a lot of companies have with soft close schemes. Of course, every year you will have less impact on defined benefit schemes in these companies, and a lot of them are very clear that they want to want to sweat out these defined benefit schemes and get into defined contribution altogether. But let the old timers in the company stay in the defined benefit scheme for the next 5 to maybe 10 years.

Blair Stewart
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Sorry, final question. It is possible for a company that has Soft Closed to then decide to Hard Close in the future, is that right?

Odd Arild Grefstad
CEO, Storebrand

Yes, absolutely. They can do that anytime. Storebrand did that ourselves a couple of years ago, where we, for all newcomers, had an open defined contribution scheme. But we then decided to do also a hard close, so the rest of the of the defined benefit scheme. But there is an element here, of course, because you typically have lower savings rates on defined contribution schemes, and when you hard close the defined benefit schemes, you need to give quite a high savings rate to compensate for the defined benefit schemes. And you cannot have different savings schemes from different parts of your employees. So that will also increase the cost for your younger or new employees.

So that is also something that you have to think about, that that maybe reduce the focus on shifting soft closes into hard closes.

Blair Stewart
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Interesting. Thank you.

Operator

The next questions come from Paul De'Ath from RBC. Please go ahead, your line is now open.

Paul De'Ath
Equity Research Analyst, RBC

Yeah. Hi, a couple more questions from me. Thanks. Just continuing on the paid-up policies, I just wondered if you could give us an update on how you're getting on with converting people from the guaranteed paid-up policies to the sort of non-guaranteed options. I saw that the balance of the sort of more unit-linked style paid-up policies had increased during the quarter. So, just an update on how that kind of process is going along would be good. And then the second question was just on the net profit sharing number. Obviously it was a bit of a surprise to most people, I think, that there was a positive there.

Is there any more detail you could give on kind of where the, where the gains have been made? I think you said, profit, property and credits portfolios. So just kind of anything you can give us that would help us forecast that better going forward, would be great. Thanks.

Odd Arild Grefstad
CEO, Storebrand

On the paid-up with the investment choice, we had an objective to reach NOK 5.5 billion by the end of last year. And then we did practically nothing in the first quarter. In the first half of this year, we've done about NOK 300 million. We expect that to be significantly lower on a quarterly basis than it has been in the end of 2014 and during 2015. So about NOK 300 million was done in the second quarter this year. And we're aiming to do NOK a few hundred million every quarter, but significantly lower than the initial movement we saw during 2015.

That's basically because we've called most of the people that this is relevant for, and the ones that have chosen to switch have done so, and fewer people are expected to do so in the future. However, when we do have conversions of defined benefit schemes to defined contribution schemes, it's still relevant for people to consider a better policy with investment choice. On the net profit sharing in the Swedish operation, it's we have had an interest rate fall that gives good book returns, and the good book returns creates profit split. However, in some of the portfolios, there is not enough when both liabilities and assets go up at the same time when interest rates fall, we need to inject some of the surplus back into the contract.

Trond Finn Eriksen
Head of Economic Capital, Storebrand

... during this quarter, we've had a surplus return over and above what is the consequence of the fall in interest rates. And that comes from, especially, infrastructure funds that has been repriced during good returns in that fund, and also credit compression, which gives additional returns over and above the movement in interest rates. So, we do invest in, we take some liquidity risk, and we take some credit risk, and we take some other risks to get a return higher than the swap rates return, and this has been positive in the quarter.

Paul De'Ath
Equity Research Analyst, RBC

Okay, thanks.

Operator

We have one more question, and this will be the last questions for today. For those that did not have the chance to ask a question or had a follow-up question, please, if you can contact Storebrand directly. The next questions come from Peter Eliot from Kepler. Please go ahead, your line is now open.

Peter Eliot
Insurance Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Thank you. I just had one follow-up question actually on Matti, where you said that the interest rate sensitivity had decreased due to not modeling negative rates. I was just wondering if you could just give us an indication or if you can share anything with us in terms of what the impact of modeling negative rates might be. Is that be possible?

Trond Finn Eriksen
Head of Economic Capital, Storebrand

We don't have that, Peter. The thing is that we are giving the sensitivity, we are giving, we are calculating that doing a parallel shift to the whole curve, i.e., so we will get reduced own funds, of course, because some parts of the curve is then below zero. However, we do not stress the part of the curve which is below zero due to the methodology and Solvency II. So I guess the answer will actually not change before the methodology change as such.

Peter Eliot
Insurance Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay, thanks.

Operator

I would like to ask the host of this meeting. There is one more coming through, and that's the last question in the meeting. Would you like to take that one, or should I end the call?

Trond Finn Eriksen
Head of Economic Capital, Storebrand

Absolutely. Thank you very much.

Operator

I will then introduce Blair Stewart from Bank of America. Again, please go ahead. Your line is now open.

Blair Stewart
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

You'll probably regret that when you hear what the question is.

Trond Finn Eriksen
Head of Economic Capital, Storebrand

Oh, go ahead.

Blair Stewart
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

It's extremely pedantic, but just your change in reporting. Just why did, why would you put a risk result in with the financial items? I would have thought risk result is far better in with insurance result because it is an insurance result rather than a financial market-related result.

Trond Finn Eriksen
Head of Economic Capital, Storebrand

Yeah, Blair, thank you for the question. We expect the life risk result to be closer to zero in the coming quarters, due to the fact that this portfolio is in mature and long-term runoff. And that's the reason why we put it together with the financial items, and we have split out the insurance elements that are actually in the front book. Those are reported net under or over the operating profit line. That was our thinking.

Blair Stewart
Equity Research Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Fair enough. Thank you.

Trond Finn Eriksen
Head of Economic Capital, Storebrand

Okay. All right. Thank you all for joining the call, and I hope to see some of you tomorrow at 2:00 P.M. BST at the Mayfair Hotel in London for our meeting there. And other than that, we will just wish you a good day. Thank you so much. Goodbye.

Operator

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