Aspen Group, Inc. (ASPU)
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Sep 9, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
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Earnings Call: Q4 2019

Jul 9, 2019

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to Aspen Group's Fiscal Year 2019 fourth quarter earnings call. Please note that the company's remarks made during this call, including answers to questions, include forward-looking statements which are subject to various risks and uncertainties. These include statements relating to future student enrollments and bookings, campus growth, and revenue forecasts, metrics and attrition rates, revenue growth, including Q1 improvements to Aspen University's core nursing program, USU's operating leverage trends, expectations from USU's FNP monthly payment plan changes, expected G&A trends, expected improvements in adjusted EBITDA and operating cash for Fiscal Year 2021, and our liquidity. Actual results may differ materially from the results predicted, and reported results should not be considered as an indication of future performance. A discussion of risks and uncertainties related to Aspen's business is contained in its filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission mentioned in the press release issued this afternoon.

Aspen Group disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of future developments. I'd also like to remind you that during the course of this conference call, the company will discuss adjusted EBITDA, and EBITDA, which are non-GAAP financial measures. In talking about the company's performance, reconciliation to the most direct comparable GAAP financial measures are provided in the tables in the press release issued by the company today. There will be a transcription of this conference call available for one year at the company's website. I'll turn the call over to Michael Mathews, Aspen Group's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Good afternoon. I will begin the call today by discussing the first full-year results of our pre-licensure BSN campus business and recap the company's marketing spending strategy and enrollment results and equate those results in terms of bookings. I will make a strategic announcement related to our monthly payment plan at USU. Joe Sutherland will then follow with a review of our financial results. As you know, we launched our first pre-licensure BSN campus in Phoenix last July, so it's been in operation for nearly a year. In these first 12 months, which includes enrollments registered in May, we delivered nearly 500 enrollments, and as of the end of the Fiscal Year on April 30th, we had 396 active students in the program. Of the 396, 273 students are in the first-year prerequisite phase of the program, and the other 123 are in the final two-year core program.

To date, we've had 127 students enter the final two-year core program and only four students have withdrawn thus far. That's only a 3% attrition rate since opening. We're very comfortable modeling less than 10% attrition for this cohort. These are important metrics because the final two-year core program delivers the university per student revenues of approximately $40,000. Should this cohort graduate at a rate of, say, 93%, that delivers over $37,000 of LTV on average for that final two-year core program cohort. The other cohort is the students that enter the first-year prerequisite phase of the program. These students typically enter the program with some college credits and are required to complete a total of 41 first-year credits before entering the final two-year core program.

We are comfortable at this point predicting a two-thirds matriculation rate of first-year students that successfully complete their 41 first-year credits and thereby enter the final two-year core program. Based on a 70/30 ratio of prerequisite students to final two-year core program students, we are now able to confirm a weighted average LTV of approximately $30,000 per enrollment in this pre-licensure BSN program. This $30,000 LTV per enrollment, or if you will, the ARPU, or Average Revenue Per User for this business, is just over four times higher than the ARPU for our traditional Aspen online nursing students of $7,350. In addition to a 4X ARPU, the average cost of enrollment for this pre-licensure BSN program to date is approximately $400, meaning that for every dollar spent in marketing, we're projecting to earn nearly $75 of revenue.

These operating metrics suggest that we should focus most of our expansion capital in this business. This is indeed our plan, as we're targeting to open two campuses per calendar year starting in 2020 for the next five years. As we reach the end of calendar year 2024, we expect to have 12 campuses in operation. Once these 12 campuses all reach full maturity, we're projecting that this business alone will be over a $100 million business. Next, I'd like to discuss our recent enrollment resultsYear 2018 to fiscal year 2019, and what that equates to in incremental bookings. Please feel free to follow along, as this analysis is available for review on earnings slides seven and eight, which is available for download on our IR site, aspu.com. Let's go back to fiscal year 2018 on slide number eight. The total enrollments for the year was 4,254.

You can see that the vast majority of the enrollments were in Aspen's traditional online nursing program, which delivers an LTV of $7,350 per enrollment. So in fiscal 2018, we delivered bookings in that unit of $28.4 million, while adding bookings of $1.5 million in our Aspen doctoral unit. Another $5 million of bookings in our USU, primarily FNP unit, during the five months following the acquisition. That means the company, in total, delivered bookings for fiscal year 2018 of $34.8 million. Okay, let's compare that to fiscal year 2019. As we discussed previously, we made a conscious decision to hold spending relatively flat on a year-over-year basis in our Aspen Online Nursing Core unit for two key reasons. One, the LTVs for the other three units are significantly higher than the Aspen Nursing Online LTV.

Two, we decided that focusing our growth spending on these higher ARPU business units would, over the long term, result in higher revenues and net income than the Aspen University Online Nursing programs. Consequently, note that we delivered 3,825 enrollments in fiscal year 2019 in our Aspen Online Nursing unit, which equates to $28.1 million of bookings. In addition, the Aspen Doctoral unit delivered 484 enrollments, equating to $6.1 million of bookings. USU, through predominantly FNP program enrolls, delivered a total of 1,060 enrollments, which equates to $18.9 million of bookings. Finally, Aspen's Pre-licensure BSN program delivered 433 enrollments for total bookings of $13 million. So the company delivered a total of 5,802 enrollments for fiscal year 2019, which translates to $66.1 million of bookings.

To recap on slide seven, total enrollments rose year-over-year from 4,254 - 5,802, which equates to a 36% enrollment increase year-over-year. However, because the enrollment growth was directed exclusively towards the higher LTV businesses, bookings rose by 90% year-over-year from $34.8 million - $66.1 million. Growing enrollments by 36% year-over-year, yet achieving a 90% increase in bookings translates to a 39% ARPU increase year-over-year. It should now be clear why we directed the growth capital to these new business units. That leads me to our enrollment projections for fiscal year 2020 and what that equates to in bookings. We are targeting year-over-year total enrollment growth at approximately 25%, which we expect will deliver year-over-year bookings growth of approximately 35%, which would equate to approximately $89 million of total bookings for this fiscal year 2020.

To deliver year-over-year enrollment growth of 25% in this current fiscal year 2020, we project the Pre-licensure BSN program enrollments to grow by over 80%, and USU enrollments to grow by over 30%. We also expect our Aspen Doctoral unit to grow enrollments by nearly 50%. Finally, our traditional Aspen Online Nursing Core is projected to grow enrollments by approximately 15% this fiscal year, as we plan to moderately increase our marketing spend later this fiscal year. As a result of this 39% average revenue per user increase year-over-year, we've set the stage for sustained revenue growth. We're already seeing the benefit of this fiscal year 2019 39% ARPU increase, as we're now confident in guiding that our revenues for the current quarter, fiscal Q1 2020, will be over $10 million, which is over $600,000 higher than the analyst current consensus.

I'll complete my remarks today by making an important announcement regarding our multi-payment plan for our United States University Family Nurse Practitioner program. Allow me to first provide some background. The company first launched the innovative monthly payment plan, or MPP, at Aspen University back in the spring of 2014, just over five years ago. The MPP was designed to allow students the ability to pay for their education through a fixed number of monthly payments. Additionally, we designed the MPP so that the payment plan duration would have approximately a one-year tail of monthly payments following the completion of a given student's academic program. So for example, our bachelor and master level post-licensure online nursing programs at Aspen University typically cost in the range of $10,000- $13,000. The average completion duration is in the two and a half year range.

Therefore, students that finish in two and a half years would typically have about 10 months of payments that remain following their graduation. That's a payment tail we're quite comfortable with. The United States University MSN Family Nurse Practitioner program, on the other hand, has a total cost of attendance of nearly $27,000. Given the monthly payment required of $375, this equates to approximately a six-year payment plan. Given the average completion duration for the FNP program is approximately two and a half years, that means for this program, rather than a 10-month tail post-graduation, we're managing a 42-month tail. Given the length of this cash collection tail, the company has decided to modify the FNP monthly payment plan effective at the end of this month, July 31st. The new program is a hybrid payment model.

We're going to combine the monthly payment plan with a second payment method such as financial aid, corporate tuition reimbursement, private loans, or of course, cash. Here's how the new program works. The first year of the FNP program are the pre-clinical courses, which cost students about $9,000. We will allow students to pay for this first year liability of $9,000 through 24 monthly payments of $375. These payments are made while the student is attending this minimum two-year program duration. However, when the student completes their first academic year and is ready to commence with their second academic year, which is the clinical year that equates to a liability of about $18,000, students will be required to utilize federal financial aid or a combination of FAFSA together with cash resources or corporate tuition reimbursement or private loan funds.

This will eliminate our 42-month tail entirely and allows the university to get paid in full upon the student's graduation date. This approach still maintains our mission as a company to make college affordable again and to minimize student debt as much as possible. The result of this MPP program change for USU's FNP program is expected to reduce our operating cash requirements by over $2 million in fiscal year 2021, and much more in future fiscal years. Therefore shortens the timeframe for the company to begin generating positive free cash flow on an operating basis. I'll now turn the call over to our CFO, Joe Sevely to review our financial results for Q4 and to make some comments relative to our liquidity.

Joe Sevely
CFO, Aspen Group

Good afternoon. I will begin today by reviewing our financial results for our fiscal 2019 fourth quarter. I will then make some observations on our financial progress and liquidity. First, quarterly revenue was approximately $10.2 million. A 41% increase from the comparable prior year period and a sequential increase of $1.7 million or 20%. Of course, the fourth quarter is our strongest seasonal quarter, and we were able to use the seasonal strength to drive strong revenue growth in each area. In the fourth quarter, revenue increased sequentially by approximately $1 million or 15% for Aspen's online nursing and other units. Over $100,000 or 32% for the Aspen pre-licensure BSN program and over $600,000 or 35% at USU. Pre-licensure BSN program and USU, businesses that we entered in the past 18 months now account for 29% of our total revenue.

Aspen Group's gross profit for the fourth quarter increased to approximately $5.7 million or a 56% margin, which is up from 50% in Q3. This margin expansion was due to economies of scale. Aspen University's gross profit represented 58% of Aspen University's revenue for the quarter, while USU's gross profit equals 55% of USU's revenue for the quarter. USU's gross margin increased 10 percentage points sequentially. Total instructional costs and services for the quarter rose to approximately $2 million or 19% of revenue. Aspen University's instructional costs and services represented 17% of Aspen University revenue for the quarter. While USU's instructional costs and services equal 25% of USU's revenue for the quarter.

Both of these were down from the previous quarter, especially USU, which declined by five percentage points. Marketing and promotional costs for the quarter were approximately $2.3 million, or 23% of revenue, declining from 27% as a percentage of revenue in the third quarter. Aspen University's marketing and promotional costs were 21% of Aspen University's revenue for the quarter, down from 25% in the third quarter. USU's marketing and promotional costs equaled 19% of USU's revenue for the quarter, down from 25% last quarter. G&A costs for the quarter were approximately $6.7 million compared to approximately $5.4 million during the comparable prior year period, an increase of $1.3 million, or 25%, and a sequential increase of approximately $0.4 million. Containing G&A increases as we continue to aggressively grow revenues is another key to margin expansion.

We are satisfied to see that G&A, as a percentage of revenue, declined significantly from 74% in Q3 to 65% in Q4. Net loss applicable to shareholders was approximately $1.6 million, or diluted net loss per share of $0.09 for the quarter as compared to a net loss of $3.7 million, or $0.24 per share for the comparable prior year period. Reduction in the loss of approximately $2.1 million. Aspen University generated approximately $1.1 million of net income for the quarter. USU experienced a net loss of approximately $0.5 million during the quarter, and AGI Corporate incurred $2.2 million of expenses in the quarter. AGI's expenses were up sequentially by about $400,000 due to higher interest expense and franchise tax. With the reduction in authorized shares recently approved by our shareholders, the franchise tax component will come down in the future.

USU's net loss declined by over $400,000, and operating loss improved by over $500,000. USU's revenues increased by about $600,000 sequentially, USU achieved over 80% operating leverage in the quarter. With regard to our liquidity position, Aspen Group ended the quarter with approximately $10 million in cash and restricted cash, up $5.6 million from the level at the end of the third quarter. This was driven by net inflows from financing of $9 million, partially offset by cash used in operations and investing activities of approximately $3.4 million. Stepping back from the specific numbers for the fourth quarter, there are five key financial takeaways I'd like to highlight. First, as Mike Matthews explained, we made a conscious decision to focus our resources towards aggressively growing our new businesses at USU and the pre-licensure campus business.

As a result, we limited the spending for AU Online, both in terms of internet advertising and call center staffing. We strongly believe that these other businesses have higher long-term returns, but that does not mean that the returns for AU Online are low or that our growth opportunities are limited. Quite the contrary. AU produced a 16% operating margin in the fourth quarter, and we believe it is capable of consistently producing 20% plus operating margins in the near future. We also think there's ample room for continued growth in this area. Second, we have been very focused on improving operating margins. When we acquired USU at the end of 2017, it was losing a significant amount of money, in the range of $1 million a quarter.

To build it back to a financially successful operation has taken us several quarters, with our strategy being to drive most of the growth in the high expected margin FNP program. First few quarters showed revenue growth, but not much improvement in operating loss. However, the past couple of quarters have shown that our strategy is working, and we have posted very strong operating leverage at USU. We expect this trend to continue. We have also made substantial progress financially with the pre-licensure business. Our first campus was launched in July 2018, and we currently expect that campus to be profitable in the current quarter, Q1 of our fiscal year 2020. We were also satisfied that we were able to report positive adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter for the overall company. We expect continued progress on profitability.

While seasonality in Q1 is a factor for us, we expect adjusted EBITDA to be positive for full year 2020 after an adjusted EBITDA loss in Q1. The expected improvements in profitability will be largely driven by strong revenue growth and much lower growth in expenses, especially G&A. In recent quarters, we have been effective in limiting G&A growth. Over the next few years, we think we can grow G&A on average at about half the rate of revenue growth. Next, like many high-growth companies, one of our challenges is managing cash flow. Looking forward, we expect net loss to decline, and that, of course, will help our cash flow. In addition, we are focused on improving our working capital position. The change in the monthly payment plan, the MPP program that Mike described, is expected to help significantly in that area.

We have carefully reviewed our financial needs and resources for the next few years. Based on that, we are confident that our existing resources are sufficient to execute on our business plan, including the announced new campus in Phoenix in partnership with HonorHealth, as well as an additional two new campuses for calendar year 2020. We do not expect to require any financing beyond our current resources until the final maturity dates of our existing debt facilities in the fall of 2021. By the time of those maturities, we expect the company to be generating significant positive EBITDA and free cash flow. Consequently, at that time, we would look to replace the current facilities with a traditional bank facility, or, of course, we could choose to raise equity at the final maturity date if market conditions were favorable.

That concludes our prepared remarks. Now I will return the call back to the operator for the Q&A portion.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question at this time, please press star, then one on your touch-tone telephone. If your question has been answered and you'd like to remove yourself from the queue, please press the pound key. Our first question comes from the line of Darren Aftahi from ROTH Capital Partners. Your question, please.

Darren Aftahi
Analyst, ROTH Capital Partners

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my questions, and nice quarter. Just to see, if I may, the enrollments on the FNP program, Mike, can you talk about, has that moved to beyond kind of an every other month enrollment? If so, when did that start or when will that start? What's the trend line for the enrollments? That's my first question. You talked a little bit about pre-licensure and the unit economics there. You, I think, said next quarter or the current quarter we're in, you expect it to be profitable. I guess with a year under your belt with one campus, can you maybe give us an understanding if a year timeframe with upfront capital costs and a year of losses, if that's the kind of expectation for each campus in terms of how much upfront capital costs will be required to get to break even?

Third, on USU, in the quarter you just reported, I didn't quite catch it. Was that business break even or is it still losing money? What's your expectation for USU in terms of turning adjusted EBITDA positive? Thank you.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Thanks for the questions, Darren. Appreciate it. It's Mike Mathews. I'll take the first two questions, I'll let Joe handle the third question. In terms of enrollment expectations for USU, we just completed the year with 1,060 enrollments, which, as I mentioned earlier, with an LTV of $17,820 that delivered bookings of about $18.9 million. We're continuing to enroll students every other month. At this point, we feel it's more effective operationally to continue to start every other month rather than every month, partly because the FNP program, throughout the program, requires a series of weekend immersions, and we find it easier to manage that every other month. We do expect this year to grow enrollments for fiscal year 2020 by approximately 30%. We're guiding to about 1,375 enrollments for the full year, which will give you bookings of about $24.5 million.

That's the plan for USU, again, to grow enrollments approximately by 30% year-over-year. I think that delivers a bookings growth from now about $19 million to nearly $25 million. From a campus perspective, as we mentioned previously, we guesstimate that our CapEx for each campus that we launch is going to be about $1 million. However, HonorHealth, which is a campus that we're opening in about six to eight weeks, that's different because we were able to utilize their building, and they had a lot of equipment already in place. We're projecting the cost, the CapEx for that to be in the $600,000-$700,000 range. That'll be more cost-effective. The first campus, our original campus currently that has 396 active students, again, that's the campus on the south side by the airport in Phoenix.

As we mentioned, we believe that this quarter will be a profitable quarter for the campus, meaning that we've delivered profitability from launch to delivering profitability in less than a year. That one-year operating losses is in the range of approximately a half a million dollars.

We have no reason to believe that that result is going to be any different as we launch the additional campus in Phoenix as well as new campuses in other metropolitan areas across the country.

Joe Sevely
CFO, Aspen Group

Third, you asked about current USU profit or loss position. I did mention that we've made significant progress in that area and are showing significant operating leverage, we expect to continue to do that. For the fourth quarter of 2019, USU did have a loss of about half a million dollars.

Darren Aftahi
Analyst, ROTH Capital Partners

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Eric Martinuzzi from Lake Street. Your question, please.

Eric Martinuzzi
Analyst, Lake Street

I had a question about the outlook for Q1. That was certainly better than I was expecting. I want to just make sure I have my numbers right here. You do expect $10 million or more for Q1, and to post an adjusted EBITDA loss in Q1, you expect that adjusted EBITDA loss to reverse out and flip positive in Q2. Is that correct?

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Yes, that's correct.

Eric Martinuzzi
Analyst, Lake Street

Okay. Maybe I'm just not capturing the strong bookings you had in fiscal 2019. I had been modeling for kind of a step down in a seasonally slower Q1. What is the biggest driver of that? You're going to be roughly sequentially flat here in Q1. What's the biggest driver?

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Are you talking about in terms of enrollment for Q1?

Eric Martinuzzi
Analyst, Lake Street

Sorry, revenue.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Revenue? Okay. There's multiple factors at hand. Number one, we are over-exceeding our expectations in terms of enrollment at USU this quarter. You'll see that when we announce our enrollments for Q1. We also are exceeding our expectations for enrollments in our pre-licensure business, both in terms of prerequisite students as well as the two-year CORE program students. You guys probably are aware, we also have started to drive enrollments for prerequisite students at the HonorHealth campus. Those revenues are coming in as well that perhaps you guys weren't assessing. Essentially, our three newest units are the cause of the over-performance of the company. This will be the first year that while seasonal revenues decline somewhat for Aspen Online Nursing CORE because of, again, the seasonal summer months. These new businesses are essentially overcoming that seasonality dip in the summer months.

Yes, we see revenue to be at least $10 million for the quarter.

Eric Martinuzzi
Analyst, Lake Street

I got a little bit of the strategic change there in the monthly payment plan for Family Nurse Practitioner. Could you recap for me, the typical student for FNP, how long they are attending class and how long the old payment plan was, and then the new expectation for the payment term?

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Let me recap again. The typical FNP student, we're assessing the duration that they're typically in the school, and they are allowed to take a term off throughout the two years. The typical average duration is two and a half years. Again, approximately 30 months. The payment plan is 72 months. You're looking at, again, a payment tail of approximately 42 months is how the plan used to work. What we've decided to do is to allow the students to pay for the first year of the two-year program by paying us $375 a month during the two years that they're in the program. Again, we'll collect $9,000 of monthly payments throughout their two-year academic duration. The second academic year, they double up on courses, and it's the clinical programs, and the courses are more expensive.

That liability in year two is $18,000. In order to eliminate that 42-month tail, we made a decision to require students to use a different payment method for year two. They cannot use monthly payment plan for year two. They must use the traditional federal financial aid or other alternative payment methods.

Eric Martinuzzi
Analyst, Lake Street

Okay. Do you have an expectation, have you kind of surveyed the students, and do you have a feel for Obviously, your mix is going to shift here on the number of, right now, USU students on the payment plan is 66% of the active student body. What do you expect that to go to under the new plan?

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

We don't expect any enrollment decline as a consequence of this monthly payment plan change. You have to remember that FNP programs, our competitors charge north of $50,000 for these programs, and we're down in the $27,000 range. We're significantly less expensive than our major competitors. Consequently, we believe this alteration of the plan, it still allows them to pay a third of the total cost of attendance through a monthly payment approach. It does push down the total amount of federal debt that they would incur with that $18,000, that second-year liability. We don't think that we are going to have any problem enrolling students, just like we haven't had a problem the first year and a half. We see no issues going forward.

Eric Martinuzzi
Analyst, Lake Street

Was there perhaps a pull-through effect? As the enrollment advisors were counseling FNP prospects, was there kind of a get in before the payment plans change? Was there any impact of that in Q1?

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Yeah. You're going to see probably a decent number of students complete their registration process by July 31st. Yes.

Eric Martinuzzi
Analyst, Lake Street

Okay. All right. Lastly, shifting over to the pre-licensure program. We're looking forward to the HonorHealth enrollees in September. Is there any other preparatory steps, any large hurdles you or Honor need to overcome other than just waiting for the calendar and the arrival of the enrollees?

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Yeah, no, we're in great shape. The construction of the building is nearing completion, and we've been assured that we're going to be ready to go with our September semester.

Eric Martinuzzi
Analyst, Lake Street

Okay, thanks. Congrats on the quarter, and thanks for taking my questions.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Austin Moldow from Canaccord. Your question, please.

Austin Moldow
Analyst, Canaccord

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. Just one, please. It looks like your non-Aspen Online, non-USU marketing spend is about $300K a quarter, which I'm assuming the majority or all of that is the pre-licensure business. Wondering what you see that increasing to next year, particularly with more campuses online.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Surprisingly, we have been able to deliver enrollments to date in the $400 per enrollment range. We are utilizing a really interesting combination of our traditional internet advertising, combined with some interesting social media approaches, together with some local radio. The combination of those three things has been terribly effective for us. I think what you guys should do is you should understand that we're guiding to an 80% enrollment increase year-over-year in the pre-licensure business, and I don't see any reason why you shouldn't continue to utilize $400 as the cost of enrollment going forward. We're going to be making an announcement over the next 30-45 days of the two new campuses that we're planning to launch in calendar 2020.

Those will be in two new metro markets, and we're just in the process of finalizing those clinical partnerships and the affiliation agreements. Once those documents are signed, we will be making those announcements.

Austin Moldow
Analyst, Canaccord

Got it. Thanks for taking my question, and congrats on the quarter.

Operator

Thank you. Once again, if you have a question at this time, please press star, then one on your touchtone telephone. Our next question comes from the line of Mike Malo from Craig-Hallum. Your question, please.

Mike Malo
Analyst, Craig-Hallum

Great. Thanks for taking my questions, guys. Mike, if I could just focus on the churn with the pre-licensure program. It was quite low, and it looks like it's a little bit lower than what we were looking for, which is really positive. I know that in February you had said that you thought you could get, I think you guided to 1,000 ending student number at the end of this year. That number, sort of given where your enrollments are headed with the up 80%, does that still make sense to you, that 1,000 at the end of the year?

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Yeah. No, that still makes sense. Remember that we have around a two to three to one ratio of prerequisite students to the core final two-year core nursing students. We delivered about 433 enrollments this past fiscal year. We're assuming we're going to add another 780 enrollments this year. Given a two-thirds matriculation rate that we're currently seeing for the prerequisite students, yes, you can expect us to be in that 1,000-plus range in terms of active students at the end of the year.

Mike Malo
Analyst, Craig-Hallum

Okay, great. Just sort of following up on that, on the FNP side, I think you were looking for 1,400. How does that look for you?

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Let me hear the question.

Mike Malo
Analyst, Craig-Hallum

1,400 students for FNP by year-end. Just thinking about that.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Yeah. Mike, I didn't hear the question. I apologize. Can you repeat that for me?

Mike Malo
Analyst, Craig-Hallum

I was just saying that the same question with regards to the FNP program. In February, you had laid out 1,400 as your guidance, and I'm just wondering if that still holds as well.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Yes. Yes, we have. Yes, that is correct. That's still the guidance.

Mike Malo
Analyst, Craig-Hallum

You have about 178 non-FNP students right now at USU. I'm just wondering, how does that number, you think, trend over time? Is there any risk with those students with this change in payment plans?

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

No, the only payment plan change, of course, was with this specific nursing program, this nurse practitioner nursing program. The student body at USU. You're correct. It's in that sort of 15%-20% range of non-FNP students, and it's a combination of other nursing students, like BSN students online, as well as education and business students. Those programs are all available for the traditional monthly payment plans, similar as Aspen. We continue to spend the vast majority of our spending on the FNP program at USU. That's the plan for the year. I don't expect that percentage of non-FNP students to change much.

Mike Malo
Analyst, Craig-Hallum

Okay, one final question, maybe for Joe. You made some real great progress in taking that cost of instruction down to 25% at USU. I'm wondering, how long do you think it will take to get closer to the Aspen core of 17, and how do you see that trending over the next year or so?

Joe Sevely
CFO, Aspen Group

Sure. I think it's going to be unlikely that the FNP program ever goes down to 17%. There are some structural differences with the clinical component of that program. I think it's going to consistently be a little bit higher than AU Online. On the other hand, we've brought it down from 30% in the third quarter to 25% in the fourth quarter, and I think we will see in the near future some additional reductions in that into the low 20s.

Mike Malo
Analyst, Craig-Hallum

Okay, thanks for the help. Appreciate it.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of [Kevin Oppenheim]. He's a private investor. Your question please.

Kevin Oppenheim
Shareholder, Private Investor

Hi, Mike, this is [Kevin Oppenheim] here with Andrew Fish. We spoke recently. I guess, whilst it's interesting for us to hear about the sort of detail and the progress and the performance in the quarter, our sort of questions really relate to how you see the progress you're making on operational levels translating into sort of investor appetite and improving the liquidity in the stock and looking at the sort of stock price improvement. We'd like to sort of come up a level from the enrollment detail, et cetera, and just understand from you what you think in the next two or three quarters the catalyst for stock improvement and then have appetite from investors. Where are the triggers for that?

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Well, thanks for the question,[ Kevin]. I think the first thing that I think is important to point out is that we as a company made a decision to launch into two relatively new businesses. One with the acquisition of USU, and second with the launch of this initial BSN pre-licensure campus. Whenever you're starting two new businesses, there's going to be growth capital required, and there'll be some short-term losses while we're building scale. I think one of the important nuggets that Joe outlined today is that we're currently guiding that in the next couple of fiscal years, you're going to see that operational improvement in the form of the G&A we're looking to grow at only half the rate of our revenues.

I think as we continue to get scale with these two new businesses, combined with us carefully watching the G&A growth as a percentage of the revenue, our shareholders will see that terrific operational improvement, and I think at that point, I would hope that the valuation of the company will improve then as a consequence.

Kevin Oppenheim
Shareholder, Private Investor

Mike, we get all that. Is there, again, a strategy to sort of try and capture a new audience or a wider audience? How do you see yourself presenting as an attractive investment opportunity to new investors looking to acquire at an early stage and looking at the growth opportunities? How do you sort of present that and make a compelling case to a potential new investor?

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Well, again, one of the things that we have currently is we have a couple of investor relation consultants that we work with, and we do have a plan this quarter to hire a new investor relation firm. I'm also incredibly active in terms of going out on the road on non-deal roadshows and presenting to micro-cap hedge funds and other investors. Again, I think it's important that we both have a third-party IR firm as well as myself continuing to hit the road to tell the story.

Kevin Oppenheim
Shareholder, Private Investor

Do you guys have any sort of sense or any sort of confidence in how the operational improvements are going to reflect in share price? Or is that just not a concern at the moment? Is share price something you guys are pushing out to two or three years time once you have the operational improvements that you're suggesting? Or how are you planning on keeping the interest with the current investors and then looking at attracting new guys? That's, I guess, from our perspective, a really important aspect in terms of what you guys do well in the next two, three quarters. Because we hear a lot about the operational improvements.

You guys are a public company, I think it's really important that that message gets out there, and we discussed this previously, and I'm still not quite getting how you guys are going to conduct the IR/PR process in alignment with the management and the strategic improvements you're looking to make.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Well, I think.

Kevin Oppenheim
Shareholder, Private Investor

There's guys who bought $7-$8, $9 here sitting on $4. We're wondering where the company and the board and the management see the path back to $5, $6, $7, $8, $9 a share.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Yeah. Obviously, as the Chairman of the company and of course the board of directors, our job is to drive shareholder value, both short-term as well as long-term.

Kevin Oppenheim
Shareholder, Private Investor

Correct.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

It's our job to try to manage those two goals. That's really all I feel like that I'd like to say at this point.

Kevin Oppenheim
Shareholder, Private Investor

Okay. Well, we will monitor the progress closely over the next two, three quarters. We certainly hope to see some share price improvement that matches the operational progress you guys are making.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

We'll work hard to do that. Try to do that.

Kevin Oppenheim
Shareholder, Private Investor

Many thanks.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Thanks, [Kevin].

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude the question and answer session of today's program. I'd like to hand the program back to Michael Mathews for any further remarks.

Michael Mathews
Chairman and CEO, Aspen Group

Thanks everyone for your attendance today. Look forward to talking to you in our next earnings call in a couple of months. Have a good afternoon.

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.