Manila Electric Company (PSE:MER)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2024

Feb 24, 2025

Summary

Record 2024 results featured a 22% rise in core net income, robust growth in distribution and power generation, and major investments in renewables and infrastructure. CapEx and dividend guidance remain strong, with continued focus on grid modernization and regulatory compliance.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Hello. Good afternoon, everybody. Starting in one minute. Hello to our online guests. Good afternoon, investors, analysts, fund managers, and key stakeholders. We welcome you to today's full year 2024 results briefing. I am Paul Jayson Ramos, Chief Investor Relations Officer of Meralco. I will moderate today's briefing here at Grand Hyatt, Manila. Welcome our guest analysts and investors present here at the venue. We have a conference call facility via MS Teams meeting available at our online participant. Before we proceed any further, please be advised this conference call is recorded, and everyone's expected to follow the ground rules which were sent to you prior to this meeting. We will be presenting the financial and operating results of Meralco for the full year 2024, ended December 31. Copy of the presentation may be downloaded from our website at www.meralco.com.ph under the Investor Relations section.

We have members of Meralco's management team on this call, led by Mr. Ronnie Aperocho, EVP and Chief Operating Officer. Betty Siy-Yap, SVP and Chief Finance Officer. Ferdinand O. Geluz, SVP and Chief Revenue Officer. Froilan Savet , VP and Head of Corporate Communications. Jose Ronald, FVP and Head of Legal and Corporate Secretary. Raymond Ravelo, Chief Diversity Officer. Sir Emmanuel Rubio. Followed by the operating results. This will be followed by screening. At this point, without further ado, Betty Siy-Yap.

Betty Siy-Yap
SVP and Chief Finance Officer, Meralco

Good evening. Results for the full year ended December 31, 2024. On your screen is a highlight of our 2024. 2024 was a year of achievements highlighted by key transactions, milestones, and exceptional operating results. For the full year 2024, our CCNI hit PHP 45.1 billion, exceeding the 2024 profit guidance and 22% higher year- on- year. In terms of the share of the distribution utility of the CCNI, it accounted for 62%, power generation at 24%, and collectively, RES and non-power subsidiaries delivered 14%. Although the percentage share of CCNI of the distribution utility and power gen were lower compared with 2023, in absolute terms, the DU amounted to PHP 28.1 billion or 5% higher, while power generation was at PHP 10.9 billion or 10% better. RES was a turnaround story, delivering PHP 5.7 billion compared with only PHP 2.8 billion in 2023.

The year 2024 also saw the completion of the following. The Philippine Competition Commission approved the Chromite transaction on December 2023 that allowed us to invest in the gas plants and the terminal of San Miguel. The consolidation of the tower business of MIESCOR Infrastructure Development Corporation with Phil-Tower Consortium was completed on September 30, 2024. With the consolidation of MIDC and PhilTower in Pylon Holdings, MIESCOR now holds 75.5% of Pylon and Stonepeak at 24.5%, which collectively we continue to hold majority or 50.1%, and the remaining 44.8% is held by Macquarie Infrastructure. PLDT also invested in Radius, resulting in dilution of Meralco's ownership interest in Radius to 65.1%. Meralco did a 27.5% investment in Kayana Solutions Inc., and Kayana acquired 10% equity in Bayad. Total dividends received from unconsolidated investees totaled PHP 10 billion, of which 88% is from PacificLight and San Buenaventura.

S&P raised the long-term credit rating of Meralco to BBB , a notch below sovereign grade credit rating with stable outlook. The Meralco stock price hit a high of PHP 503 in October of 2024. The next slide shows our summary financial information. The 22% increase in consolidated core net income, or CCNI, for the year ended December 31, 2024, was backed by the steady growth of our core distribution utility business, which achieved all-time high sales volume owing to the sustained increase in demand, particularly from the commercial and residential segments. We also saw significant bottom line contribution from our major business segments, which are power generation and RES, which both posted impressive growth. Consolidated reported net income similarly increased by 21% to PHP 45.9 billion from PHP 38 billion. The gap between CCNI and consolidated reported net income represents day one gain adjustments, gain and sale of assets.

These are the PEZCI transmission asset among others. Also the present value of over/under recoveries that we had recognized as well as foreign exchange losses. Consolidated revenues grew by 6% to PHP 470.4 billion from PHP 443.6 billion in 2023, mainly due to the 6% increase in volume sold by the distribution utility, as well as the increase in pass-through transmission charges. Costs and expenses increased by 4% to PHP 425.3 billion, the bulk of which fuel purchase power cost, which accounted for 81% of the total. Capital expenditures totaled PHP 44.7 billion, largely for the distribution network improvement, development of solar power plant, and the purchase and construction of telecommunications towers. Our cash and cash equivalent amounted to PHP 84.5 billion while consolidated debts stood at PHP 94.8 billion. This chart shows the break between our regulated and unregulated business.

For our regulated or distribution business, the PHP 28.1 billion contribution was from consolidated sales volume, which grew 6% ending 2024 at 54,325 GWh from 51,044 GWh the previous year. Volumes attributable to Meralco and Clark Electric Distribution Corporation increased by 6% and 4% respectively. While Shin-Clark brought in an additional 4 GWh . For our unregulated businesses, the higher CCNI contribution came from the strong performance of power generation owing to operational stability and efficiency of its operating assets and its strategic participation in the optimized market bidding for both energy and ancillary services in the Visayas Grid and the substantial growth of RES from a mix of organic sales and market participation. On revenues, electric revenues of PHP 456.9 billion accounted for 97% of the consolidated revenues of PHP 470.4 billion.

Generation, transmission and other pass-through charges were 7% higher at PHP 359 billion from higher volumes sold and increase in transmission charge due to the higher ancillary service charges from additional capacities sourced by the National Grid Corporation of the Philippines from new ancillary service procurement agreements and the reserve market. Generation charge, meanwhile, decreased on a per kilowatt- hour basis due to lower Wholesale Electricity Spot Market prices as the Luzon supply situation improved. The decrease in international coal prices, as well as generation cost over-recovery adjustments, which were implemented based on an ERC resolution. These factors more than offset the impact of the peso depreciation which weakened to an average of PHP 57.274 per U.S. dollar in 2024 versus PHP 55.627 in 2023.

The higher Malampaya natural gas price and the cost related to the use of liquefied natural gas of Santa Rita and San Lorenzo of First Gas Power Corporation. With the ERC approved interim average rate of PHP 1.35 per kilowatt- hour, distribution revenues increased by 6% to PHP 73.4 billion from PHP 69.1 billion, which is same as the growth in volume. Energy fees, which totaled PHP 24.6 billion, decreased by 5% due to the lower fuel and coal prices, partially offset by revenues from the strategic participation of GBP's Visayas power plants in the co-optimized energy and reserve market. The slight increase in non-electric revenues was due to higher transaction volume of Bayad project accomplishments of MServ and additional towers that were turned over and built by MIDC, which totaled 1,829 towers. This was offset by lower revenues from third-party customers of MIESCOR.

With respect to MIDC, note that Meralco's subsidiary, MIESCOR, through MIDC along with PhilTower, completed the formation of a joint venture called Pylon Holdings, which owns 100% each of MIDC and PhilTower. Collectively, it has a nationwide coverage and is well-placed to support the growing connectivity needs of the country. As a result of the transaction, MIESCOR's effective ownership is down to 35.5%, although with Stonepeak, we continue to control Pylon Holdings. However, with this transaction, Meralco deconsolidated MIDC from its books beginning September 30 of 2024. Expenses this totaled PHP 425.3 billion. Our costs accounted for 81%, OpEx represented 10%, while the depreciation was at 4%. The combined coal and fuel and power plant O&M accounted for 3%, and other expenses accounted for the remaining 2%. Purchase power cost increased by 6% to PHP 346.5 billion, consistent with the movement in pass-through revenues.

OpEx increased by 9% to PHP 41 billion due to higher manpower and contracted services cost to address the mainly relating to repairs and maintenance of the distribution facility. Increase in salaries and related expenses of MGen to improve their expanding portfolio of power generation projects. Inclusion of expenses of SP NEC following MGen's acquisition of the controlling stake in December of 2023. Higher IS/IT-related expenses, including those relating to cybersecurity to ensure integrity and reliability of our network and increase by 5% to PHP 17.5 billion due to completed capital expenditures of the DU that acquired towers under a sale and leaseback arrangement and build to suit structure. The completion of first phase of PH renewable solar power plant in the first quarter of 2023, I mean August of 2024.

The combined coal and fuel and power plant O&M amounted to close to PHP 14 billion, 23% lower with the decrease in fuel and power was offset by the increase in maintenance cost. Our consolidated capital expenditures was at PHP 44.7 billion, bulk of which, or PHP 24.7 billion pertains to capital expenditures of the distribution utility, of which PHP 21.4 billion was utilized by Meralco for distribution network projects that included new connections, asset renewals, and load pole relocation in support of the government's infrastructure projects. Power generation capital expenditure accounted for 31%, largely for the development of three solar plants, namely phase two of the Baras Solar Power Plant, which was completed in August of this year. The 52.8 MW AC of Greenergy for Global Business Power and 19.8 MW AC of Greentech Solar Energy in Bongabon. We have also made significant land acquisition and development related to Terra Solar project.

Our other subsidiary CapEx represented 14%, majority of which was related to the tower business with the additional 475 towers during the year. The next slide shows power generation results of operation. MGen's power generation entities sustained their strong performance ending 2024 with a 10% increase in CCNI from a year ago owing to operational stability and efficiency of its operating assets and its strategic participation in the co-optimized market bidding for both energy and ancillary services in the Visayas Grid. The power generation business closed the year with a net sellable capacity of 2,436 MW across its diversified portfolio in the Philippines and Singapore, delivering a total of 15,296 GWh of energy, which was 7% higher than 2023. Singapore-based PacificLight reported core net income of SGD 299.7 million or equivalent PHP 13 billion.

Lower compared with 2023 due to market correction that led to lower average margins at $86 per megawatt hour compared with $104.7 per megawatt hour, affecting non-fuel margins. PacificLight delivered a total of 5,820 GWh in 2024, 2% higher from a year ago with the completion of turbine blade upgrade. Cash dividends received by MGen for its 58% investment in PacificLight totaled PHP 7 billion. Global Business Power, excluding its retail electricity arm, recorded a CCNI of PHP 3.5 billion, a significant growth of 411% from a year ago. This was primarily due to additional earnings from the strategic participation in the Visayas power plants in the co-optimized market. Even as the combined energy generation of its power plant in the Visayas and Mindanao declined by 4% to 5,652 GWh due to the scheduled maintenance activities.

San Buenaventura Power plant in Mauban, Quezon delivered a total of 3,205 GWh , 36% better than 2023. SBPL ended the period with core net income of PHP 3.2 billion and dividends received by MGen amounted to PHP 2 billion. Renewable energy unit of MGen, which is MGen Renewable or MGreen, maintained more than 93% availability rate. It recorded 619 GWh of clean energy. The next chart shows our consolidated debt and cash balance. Consolidated interest-bearing debts stood at PHP 94.8 billion, including PHP 53.7 billion of debt of our subsidiaries. Debt maturities are spread through 2039. Net debt as of the end of 2024 was PHP 1.5 billion, with net debt to EBITDA of 0.02 times. All of Meralco's consolidated debt are denominated in Philippine peso. Cash and cash equivalent amounted to PHP 84.5 billion, and short-term investments totaled PHP 8.8 billion. Our long-term cash investments totaled PHP 5.5 billion.

Our core EPS amounted to PHP 0.052 a share, up 22% versus last year's PHP 0.0925 a share. Today, the Meralco board approved declaration of final dividends amounting to PHP 13.736 a share to all shareholders of record matched on April 4, 2025. This brings the total dividends declared out of the 20 NI to PHP 24.01 a share, equivalent to 60% of our core earnings. Using the December 31, 2024 closing price of Meralco of PHP 488, the dividend yield stands at 5%. Finally, in 2024, S&P upgraded Meralco credit rating from BBB minus on robust financial with a stable outlook. My report. Thank you.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you, Ms. Betty. Before we proceed, we would like to announce that you can our presenters' security codes found on the tables of your [Inaudible] Moving on, we would like to call our EVP and COO, Mr. Ronnie Aperocho, followed by the heads of the different business segments.

Ronnie Aperocho
EVP and COO, Meralco

Thank you, PJ. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you so much for joining this briefing. Well, on behalf of the Meralco management, I am pleased to report that 2024 was a banner year for Meralco. As we ended the year with a generally remarkable operational performance, as we celebrated our 8 millionth customer and achieved all-time best in key metrics such as energy sales, peak demand, and service reliability. Energy sales for the full year 2024 stood at 54,325 GWh , which grew by 6.4% from the previous year. This is an all-time high, driven by growth in all customer segments, especially residential. That is basically because of the effects of El Niño during the first half of 2024. The DU net system input or NSI for the year was 56,293 GWh , higher by 6.9% than in 2023.

Meralco's peak demand reached another all-time high at 9.32 GW, attained back on April 2024, posting an increase of 10.4% than the 8.44 GW in 2023. Our customer count breached the 8 million mark, and we ended the year with 8.043 million customers, growing by 2.7%. For system loss, we closed 2024 with a 5.99% system loss performance, still below the indicated system loss cap of 6.5%, but a 0.11 percentage point increase than in 2023. The increase was generally or primarily due to the higher share of high loss to serve residential customers, which grew close to 10% and took up a larger share in the total sales mix. Our reliability performance attains another all-time best with double-digit improvements versus last year. Our total SAIFI dropped by 12.8% at 1.041 times, reflecting fewer power interruptions.

While our SAIDI or System Average Interruption Duration Index likewise improved by 12.5% at 108.21 minutes, showing reduced power interruption duration. Meanwhile, our year-to-date average time to connect customers increased by 5.1% at 1.45 days over 1.38 days last year or in 2023, but still within the rewards level of the ERC. Finally, our average electricity retail rate for 2024 was PHP 10.54 per kilowatt- hour, almost flat compared with the 2023 average, primarily due to the lower generation charge from lower WESM and coal prices, which offset the higher transmission charge from ancillary services with the implementation of reserve market in 2024. Thank you so much, and I am turning you over to Freddie Geluz for the customer report. Thank you.

Ferdinand O. Geluz
SVP and Chief Revenue Officer, Meralco

Good afternoon, everyone. Well, as Ronnie alluded to, very happy to report that in terms of sales, our consolidated energy sales was at an all-time high of 54,325 GWh , a 6.4% or more than 3,200 GWh increase versus 2023.

Warmer temperatures due to extended El Niño in 2024, as well as strong energization numbers as we surpassed 8 million active customer connections, and ending 2024 with 8,040,000 customers connected. This is 210,000 more customers than 2023. Residential posted a 9.4% growth, up close to 1,700 GWh , driven by warmer temperatures, which actually increased organic consumption or same-store sales per capita by more than 6%. The rest of the growth was through new connections, which accounted for around 482 GWh . Commercial increased 7.3%, up by around 1,400 GWh , with business expansions and more business activities driven by hotel and restaurant sub-segment, which grew double digits, as well as real estate and retail trade, which grew between 7% and 8%, respectively. Industrial, meanwhile, modestly grew only up by 1.5% or around 205 GWh .

As increases in semiconductor, food and beverage, plastics, and non-metallic or cement was tempered by declines in the steel industry, as well as embedded generation and billing kilowatt- hours. In terms of year-to-date sales mix, residential and commercial increased to 36% and 38% respectively, versus 35% and 37%, while industrial declined because of the slower growth from 28% to 26% in 2024. That ends the customer report, and I now turn you over to Froilan for the networks report.

Froilan Savet
VP and Head of Corporate Communications, Meralco

Thank you, Mr. Geluz. Good afternoon, everyone. We are happy to share with you that in the fourth quarter of last year, we commissioned eight major CapEx projects, with three of these completed in October. First, the interconnection of Maragondon Solar Power Plant last October 10. The project will enable MSPP to deliver its 50-MW power output to the 115 kV system of Meralco, augment the power capacity requirement in the Cavite area. Second, on October 30, we energized the Arcovia GIS substation, which will benefit Pasig City, including major customers such as ArcoVia City , ePLDT VITRO Pasig Data Center , ComClark Network, and Universal Robina Corporation. Third, at the end of October or October 31st, we completed the replacement of a switchgear at New Teresa substation. This is to ensure reliable service in the areas of Antipolo, Baras, Morong, and Teresa, Rizal.

Moving to November, we completed three major CapEx projects, one new GIS substation and two replacement projects. On November 14, we energized the new Sampaloc GIS substation. This project will benefit the city of Manila. Critical customers benefiting from this substation include the Jose Reyes Memorial Medical Center, Dominican School of Manila, and the University of Santo Tomas. In addition, we also completed the replacement of switchgears in Novaliches and Urdaneta substations. The replacement project in Novaliches will provide reliable service in the areas of North Caloocan and Quezon City. Likewise, with the project in Urdaneta, Meralco can also provide the same benefits to the customers in the Makati Central Business District. Finally, last December, we energized two major CapEx projects. First, on December 1, we energized a new 300 MVA power transformer at Duhat substation.

This will enhance the service reliability and power quality in the areas of Santa Maria, Bocaue, and Marilao, Bulacan. Finally, on December 2, we commissioned the replacement of switchgear at Novaliches substation, ensuring reliable service in Novaliches, Quezon City, including major customers such as San Lorenzo Hospital and SM City Fairview. Thank you. I am now turning you over to Attorney Valles for the regulatory update.

Jose Ronald Valles
FVP and Head of Legal, Meralco

Thank you very much, Froilan. Now for the regulatory update, we start with the actual weighted average tariff for the AWAT application. Last December 17, 2024, the ERC issued an order directing Meralco to file the application for the true-up of its maximum average price, or the MAP, equivalent to PHP 1.3522 per kilowatt- hour, versus the AWAT covering the period declared as lapsed from July 1, 2022 to June 30, 2025. This is part of the original 5RP of Meralco, and we were directed to file this within 30 days from receipt of the order or until January 27. The AWAT application was filed last January 28. It covers only part of the lapsed period with actual implemented rates. A new application covering the period from January 1, 2025 to June 30, 2025 shall be filed once the actual implemented rates are available.

That will be on top of the one filed last January 28. The difference in AWAT versus the MAP yields an over-recovery of PHP 19.9 billion, and we are proposing to recover the PHP 862 million that was over-refunded in the implementation of the distribution rate through AWATs one, two, three, and four. The final proposal is to refund to customers PHP 19 billion net of the DRTU over-refunds. We propose that the refund covering the period July 22, 2022 to December 2024 be implemented in 36 months at an average rate of 11 cents and 38 cents. That is 11.38 cents per kilowatt- hour. Going now to our 5RP application. We filed our new 5RP application last February 7, in accordance with the ERC Resolution Number 17, which is the resolution adopting the amendments to ERC Resolution Number 10 that was issued in 2021.

In the order of February 10, the ERC already set a series of hearings for this application from March 3 to April 4, 2024. We expect ERC to decide on our new 5RP application before the start of the new 5RP on July 1, 2025. Shown on the table on your screen are the proposed 5RP revenue requirements and prices. On the average, the average rate that we will be filing for the 5RP is PHP 1.6884 per kilowatt- hour. Next slide, please. This new 5RP application includes a proposal for recovery of PHP 30.6 billion carryover projects on top of the forecast CapEx, a PHP 215.4 billion new projects comprised of customer load growth, 50%, advanced metering infrastructure, 20%, sustained reliability and quality projects, 15%, and automation, innovation, and technology, 10%, for a total of PHP 246 billion forecast CapEx.

Last December 17 also, the ERC promulgated Resolution Number 18, which is a resolution directing all distribution utilities to refund all collected and unutilized regulatory reset expert costs and cease any future collection thereof. 16 private distribution utilities were ordered to refund the collected regulatory reset expert costs, including interest. For Meralco, the refund amounted to PHP 987 million to be refunded for a period of one month at a rate of PHP 22.64 per kilowatt- hour. This is just a one-time refund. Private DUs were also directed to no longer collect as part of its distribution wheeling rate the regulatory reset expert cost. For Meralco, this is equivalent to about PHP 0.0023 per kilowatt- hour. This deduction shall be reflected as a separate line item in the Meralco bill to its customers. Going now to power supply agreements.

The ERC, through a notice of resolution last December 10, granted a final approval for the power supply agreement, including the applicable rate, subject to adjustments in accordance with the formula pricing set forth in Schedule One of the PSA between Meralco and Excellent Energy Resources Incorporated, or EERI. This is for the 1,200 MW baseload capacity. The total non-fuel rate, including the escalation, is PHP 2.26, and the fuel fee, as adjusted based on the formula approved by the ERC, is PHP 6.49. For a total contract price today of PHP 8.7547 per kilowatt- hour. Fuel is a pass-through cost, again, based on the formula as approved by the Energy Regulatory Commission. On December 23 also, the PCC, or the Philippine Competition Commission, announced in a press release that this transaction involving the Meralco PowerGen, San Miguel Global, and AboitizPower was allowed to proceed.

The ERC also posted notices of commission action that the following power supply agreements with Meralco have been approved. However, the ERC has yet to issue a notice of resolution or ERC order. These are the GNPower Dinginin Limited for 300 MW baseload, Mariveles Power Generation Corporation for again 300 MW baseload, Gigasol Incorporated for 139 MW mid-merit, and San Roque Hydropower for 340 mid-merit. The mid-merit PSAs are intended to comply with Meralco's RPS requirement under the RE law. Last November 2, 2024, ACEN or Ayala ceased to supply Meralco covering 200 MW baseload capacity under our power supply agreement executed last September 13, 2019 on the grounds of change in circumstances.

So considering that the resulting deficit of baseload capacity and approaching peak demand during summer months, Meralco notified the ERC of our need to enter into an EPSA, or the Emergency Power Supply Agreement, while it revisits our PSPP to determine need to conduct CSP for the remaining term of the PSA. Meralco requested for proposals from power suppliers and received offers from six of them. These are MPGC, or Mariveles, Sual Power, Southwest Luzon Power Generation company, First Natural Gas , Therma South, Incorporated., and South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation. SPI or Sual Power emerged as the supplier with the lowest offer, as indicated in the contract price below. The rate is PHP 5.05 plant gate, plus a line rental cap of PHP 0.10 per kilowatt- hour. This is for a 200-MW net baseload PSA for a term of one year from January 26, 2025, to January 25, 2026.

And finally, for our franchise annual update, you will recall that last January 28, the Senate already approved our bill on second reading, and subsequently on February 3, it was approved on third reading. On February 4, representatives concurred with the Senate and approved the same. The next step will be the House of Representatives supposed to review the amendments to the bill as approved by the Senate, and to capture the same in the final House bill that will be approved and turned over to the Senate. We expect this to be transmitted to the Senate anytime soon before it is transmitted to the Office of the President. That is it for the regulatory update. Turning you over to Mr. Rubio after Mr. [Inaudible].

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

Thank you, Ronald. Good afternoon, everyone. I will begin with a report on our top priority across all sites, health and safety. In 2024, we maintained a safe and risk-free work environment with an achievement of over 39 million safe man-hours, both for employees and contractors. We are also happy to report that the year ended with zero lost timing accident, zero first aid case, zero fatality, and zero recordable case. These records highlight our commitment to maintaining industry-leading safety performance while we ensure stable and reliable energy supply. Now on operations. Global Business Power Corporation, now rebranded as MGen Thermal, delivered 5,652 GWh of energy for 2024. Despite a 4% decline from the prior year due to major overhaul and preventive maintenance activities, I am happy to note that MGen Thermal's CCNI contribution more than doubled due to its participation in the co-optimized market.

Notably, this was achieved even though we only had six months of the operations and only with 56 MW of capacity that we are offering, proving its substantial revenue potential through this strategic involvement. For 2025, we are looking at adding another 33 MW to this market. Meanwhile, San Buenaventura Power Limited generated 3,205 GWh of energy, a 36% increase year-on-year, supported by a higher plant dispatch. A Singapore-based subsidiary, PacificLight , recorded a 2% increase in delivered energy with 5,820 GWh . This is driven by successful turbine blade upgrade. Following this, PLP's plant has also increased its capacity by 30 MW and enhanced its efficiency. As a result, PLP is now the first plant in Singapore to exceed 60% efficiency compared to its peers.

Lastly, MGreen, the renewable energy unit of MGen, delivered its highest record of 619 GWh of clean energy, which marks 77% increase from 2023. Thanks to the contributions from Solar Philippines Calatagan Corporation and Solar Philippines Tarlac Corporation, both of which were still improving its capacity factor, increasing it from 15% to what we expect to be around 17%-18% this year. All in all, MGen delivered a total of 15,296 GWh of energy in 2024, which is a 7% increase compared to the previous year. This performance reflects our strategic planning, operational stability, and active participation in the co-optimized market. As you all know, MTerra Solar project was certified as an energy project of national significance by the Department of Energy in July.

Later on, it also secured a Green Lane certification from the Board of Investments, which is beneficial in permitting and facilitate approvals and processing. In November 2024, our flagship renewable project celebrated its groundbreaking with no less than President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. leading the event with other high-ranking officials. We also awarded engineering, procurement, and construction contracts to Energy China for the west side and POWERCHINA for the east side, Huawei for the battery energy storage, and MIESCOR to connect the solar plant to the grid. These EPCs are industry leaders, and they will help drive seamless execution. At the end of 2024, the overall project completion is 20%-22%. Currently, we are reporting 25%-27% of our project execution completion. Land acquisition phase is already complete, while phase two is halfway done at 50%.

We have also secured 83% of the required tower sites for the project's transmission line, and these are so far increased with the balance having letters of interest to sell. Lastly, we are on track to close with Actis on the $600 million investment for 40% stake in MTerra Solar, with phase one of 2,500 MW targeted to be delivered by the first quarter of 2026 and phase two to follow a year after. Looking ahead, we are preparing to boost MGreen's capacity further with new solar power plants. Bongabon, Nueva Ecija has just been inaugurated last week with a capacity of close to 20 MW AC. Baras, Rizal will complete phase two this year, generating an additional 12.6 MW, and this brings the total plant capacity to 80.1 MW.

A new solar facility in Cordon, Isabela is also on its way with 52.8 MW AC and expected to be switched on in April. All these solar plants will add 85.2 MW AC of clean energy scheduled to start commercial operations before middle of the year. Meanwhile, our subsidiary, PacificLight, has secured the right to build a hydrogen-ready 600 MW CCGT facility on Jurong Island, scheduled for operations by January 2029. This will complement PLP's 800 MW combined cycle gas turbine and the 100 MW fast start capacity or what is considered here dispatchable reserves to be launched by April of 2025. On the local front, last December, the Philippine Competition Commission approved our acquisition of the country's first and most expansive integrated LNG facility in Batangas.

With its close last January 27, MGen now holds 40.2% attributable interest in South Premiere, which was Ilijan, contracted supposedly for 1,200, but we just have a PSA for 910 and waiting for the 290. Excellent Energy Resources or EERI with 1,200 MW contract, Batangas Pacific 1,275 MW, and Linseed Field Corporation, which is the LNG import terminal and onshore regasification facilities. All of these strengthen our LNG portfolio and reinforce our commitment to a sustainable energy future for the country. MGen continues to uphold our commitment to powering the good life by championing initiatives that prove the way for a more sustainable future. Once again, we take pride in maintaining a risk-free environment throughout the year, achieving over 39 million safe man-hours in our operations. As mentioned earlier, solar plants at MGreen generated its all-time high record of 619 GWh of clean energy.

We are excited to deliver more through our solar plants in Bongabon, Cordon and Baras before middle of this year. Our initiatives have also extended beyond energy production in Iloilo. The La Paz Plaza Koi Lagoon and Butterfly Garden received an investment of PHP 8.5 million, which enhances local biodiversity and boosting tourism. As part of One Meralco Foundation's One for Trees program, we have successfully planted over 100,000 trees in the fourth quarter to total more than 1.6 million trees to date. We have also had initiatives on healthcare, education, and energy access. We ended the year with Handog sa Pasko ng MGen, with employees raising PHP 1.3 million, aiding 3,600 beneficiaries of our host communities. Overall, MGen has impacted over 110,000 beneficiaries last year with a total investment of PHP 74 million in programs that foster sustainable progress and community resilience. Thank you and good afternoon.

Raymond B. Ravelo
Chief Sustainability Officer, Meralco

Good afternoon, everyone. I will be presenting some brief updates on the sustainability front, particularly on our ESG assessments, as well as on recognition we received in the tail end of 2024. First, 2024 saw us maintain our inclusion in the Bloomberg Gender-Equality Index, which is the only ESG assessment in the world focused on gender equality in the workplace. We actually kept our place in the index, which we first achieved in 2023, as Bloomberg cited our distinctive management of diversity and inclusion areas, as evidenced by, first, our board-approved diversity and inclusion policy, a very strong women representation in our management ranks, as well as a low attrition rate among our female employees. I am also pleased to share that we ended last year with a number of recognitions from international and local organizations for our sustainability agenda.

First, in the first ever or inaugural Triple P Sustainability Awards, organized by the International Association of Business Communicators or the IABC, Deloitte Consulting and the Makati Business Club. We actually earned top honors, in particular for our sustainable business practices and impactful communications. More specifically, we earned awards in the Excellence in ESG Performance in Energy Distribution, as well as the ESG Thought Leader of the Year award. Next, we were recognized in the 2024 edition of the United Nations Women's Empowerment Principles. In particular, our diversity and inclusion program called MBrace, was awarded first runner-up in the gender responsive marketplace category. This is owing to our efforts in supplier diversity and development, as well as in inclusive corporate marketing.

Finally, for the fourth straight year, we earned a podium finish in the X-Trash Challenge, which is an intercompany waste management competition led by the Philippine Business for Social Progress, or the PBSP, and Basic Environmental Systems and Technology. We actually placed second in the competition as we donated close to 20,000 kilos of recyclable waste, comprised primarily of wires, container bottles, and cartons from our operations. Our win actually translated to 200 food banks, which were donated through our One Meralco Foundation.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you, RLA, FOG, GRVB, EVR, FJS. We will now open the floor for a question- and- answer. We will have two sets of microphones on both sides of the hall for those joining us here on-site. Feel free to ask or to raise your hands. Whereas for those participating online, kindly type your questions in the chat box. We wait for you to be answered. We open the floor or we hope silence means everything is clear. So we have a phone-in question here. Given that the co-optimized market has made notable contribution to bottom line, do you think this is sustainable moving forward?

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

Well, the reserves are actually required by the grid. The reserves are provided in the grid code. The co-optimized market, particularly in Visayas, is sending price signals that capacity is needed. That's why we believe that adding another 33 MW, which we hope to be certified by March 11, I think it's a testing date for one of our plants. We're looking at adding battery storage in one of our diesel units to be able to provide regulating reserves should bring the prices down. For Luzon, we're looking at certifying both plants, both Ilijan and South Premiere. We're prioritizing South Premiere, Ilijan. Hopefully, the 290 MW can help provide either regulating or contingency reserve also to bring down prices, particularly of regulating reserves. So, it's not a matter of that being sustainable, but it's actually a requirement in the grid.

Particularly with massive penetration or the planned investments in solar coming from GEAP. I think the more we will be needing regulating facilities.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you for that, Manny. May I ask, what was the standalone core profit of Global Business Power in full year 2024? What was the standalone core profit of Global Business Power in full year 2024?

Betty Siy-Yap
SVP and Chief Finance Officer, Meralco

It's PHP 3.5 billion.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you. Thank you, Ms. Betty. Another phone-in question here: How do you anticipate current and emerging policies and regulations will shape the strategic direction and operational priorities of your utility over the next five to 10 years? What proactive steps are you taking to adapt to these changes? I believe this is a question on distribution

Jose Ronald Valles
FVP and Head of Legal, Meralco

Well, right now the Energy Regulatory Commission is focusing on fast-tracking retail competition and open access. They have recently allowed retail aggregation to include household level, and this is no longer a contiguous area, so anybody can participate. We expect the ERC to issue more resolutions, lowering the threshold on retail competition as a result of this, once the pilot implementation of this has become successful. Also, for PBR, we expect ERC to fast-track PBR not only for Meralco, but also for the different distribution utilities affected by the long delay in the implementation of this rate-setting methodology. Today, only Meralco has been directed to file an application. But we expect that in the next few years or few months, all other distribution utilities will also be directed to make a similar application.

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

For the generation side, I think, as demand grows, the incremental requirement year- on- year for base load also grows. Today, I think Luzon is requiring about 600-700 MW of new capacity year- on- year to meet demand, including reserves. One of the things that we're asking for DOE to consider is to revisit the grid limits. As more and more investments are actually needed, the investments become more significant, right? When EPIRA was crafted, limiting the grid limits to 25% on a grid basis and 30 national, I don't think there was any anticipation of solar plants. Solar plants are only providing anywhere from 16 to maximum 18 capacity factor. But the megawatts counted is the same megawatts as you count base load plants.

I think there has to be a correction factor or a capacity factor multiplied with the total installed capacity instead of just counting the installed capacity in order to determine the grid limit of the participant. I think that's one limiting factor for investments in power. This has been communicated to the Department of Energy by, not just by us, but also by PIPA.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you. AVR?

Ronnie Aperocho
EVP and COO, Meralco

PJ, if I may add also. Regarding emerging regulations, well, as mentioned by Ronald, ERC has already allowed this aggregation, but on the part of DU like Meralco, to support this aggregation, we need to invest heavily on automation or technology like smart metering or AMI. Based on our submission, our AMI program will entail huge CapEx, and hopefully ERC will approve this. But definitely, there will be a lot of business casing, value propositions that we need to articulate. That's why we're bringing in global experts. In the case of our AMI program, we're bringing in experts from EDF . EDF is the electric utility in France. They have rolled out their own AMI program, 34 million meters, and hopefully they can help us justify our own AMI program.

At the same time, we know that there's already this heavy penetration of DERs or distributed energy resources, or shall we say rooftop solars. Even for commercial and industrial customers, we have been receiving a lot of applications already. But things like this will really impact heavily on quality and reliability of our service. To avoid that deterioration in terms of service reliability and quality, we need to invest also in terms of grid edge monitoring and all that, and deploying as well mounted batteries. We need to include investments just to support the energy and the renewability. So this will entail a lot of presentations to ERC for them to be able to appreciate why is Meralco proposing these investments. Thank you.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you, RLA. Another phone here. Can I ask about MGen's plan for LNGPA pertains to Chromite and overall direction and the use of gas as our country's energy source?

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

Well, gas has been declared as a transition fuel, and Chromite is voiced to actually be an LNG deposit. Given the size to provide and just by the size of megawatts that we operate in the co-optimized state, for 125, 1,000. For the lifted to the power plant from the top, discussing with Prime Energy gas offtake, and asking how much gas can actually be still available that we can buy, as long as it's competitive with imported LNG. Given also the provisions in the Philippine Natural Gas Industry Development Act of non-discriminatory, of providing access to all of the plants that can take it. We are interested, actually, from sourcing to that existing line from Tabangao, going to Ilijan.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you, EVR. Another MGen related question here. With the government's renewable portfolio standard, is there any plans for Terra Solar 2, considering Terra Solar 1 has been very exciting?

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

Well, what we've proven in Terra Solar is that a combination of variable renewable energy and an energy storage can be as competitive as traditional sources of mid-merit. If it's supplying from 8:00 in the morning to 9:00 in the evening. I think you change the delivery period, you will change the configuration. That's why we are land banking, and instead looking for other opportunities for mid-merit supply. I think it would be smaller than 850. MW We're looking at anywhere between 300 MW- 400 MW of mid-merit supply. Which will probably be around 1,500 to 1,800 MW of PV. And probably about 1,200 MWh- 1,300 MWh of energy storage. So the answer is yes, we will not stop with Terra Solar 1. As we speak, we're already looking at land that can host that capacity for Terra Solar 2.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you, EVR. Another phone question here on capital management. Can I clarify what is the guidance for CapEx and where is this allocated in dividends for 2025?

Betty Siy-Yap
SVP and Chief Finance Officer, Meralco

The capital expenditure that we would need would be a combination for the distribution utility and power gen. For the distribution utility, obviously the tariff is important. So the approval of the ERC of the CapEx would drive also the tariff that we will be getting. For the 5RP, in the first regulatory year, the total capital expenditure that was filed is about PHP 54 billion, including a PHP 20 billion carryover from the uncompleted projects of the last period. So the question is, if the ERC approves our filing as is, assuming they do, then the basis for funding of the CapEx will be the tariff. Of course, there's a little timing, then we will have to cover it through either internally generated funds or through debt. On the power gen side, in terms of the major project, for example, Chromite, we have funded that already.

This is basically purchasing the investment. We drew a PHP 75 billion debt to fund the acquisition, and that covers only the existing Ilijan and Excellent Energy. For the 425 MW plant that PPR or Mr. Rubio mentioned, that is still a work in progress for us. The ongoing project, which is Terra Solar, we have drawn on bridge financing for now. We hope to be able to sign the PF within the week. For all other projects, it will be a combination of internally generated fund and debt. For projects in general, we go for a PF under a 70/30, 75/25 arrangement.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you, Ms. Betty. Philip, you have questions on the floor?

Germaine Guinto
Analyst, Maybank

Hi, Germaine from Maybank here. I did have two questions in relation to Chromite. First is just to clarify, how much is operational right now, the capacity? When do you expect any capacity additions to come online, if ever?

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

SPPC, Ilijan is available for 1,200 MW of generating capacity, while Excellent Energy two units have been commissioned and are running as nominated by Meralco. The third unit is actually on commissioning. We expect the final acceptance by end of February, end of the month.

Germaine Guinto
Analyst, Maybank

That's around 2 GW of operational.

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

2 GW of operations, but Meralco is not nominating the full capacity given the prices in the spot market.

Germaine Guinto
Analyst, Maybank

I just have a question in terms of the competitiveness of LNG. How does the price of energy compare to indigenous gas?

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

Oh, compared to indigenous gas, it should be competitive. In fact, that's the condition that we have asked Prime. The price of gas coming from Malampaya. If there's gas available for Ilijan, considering that they're also supplying today for gen. I thought your question would be how's LNG compared to coal?

Germaine Guinto
Analyst, Maybank

Sure. I can also ask that. How is LNG compared to coal?

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

I think the difference between power coming from LNG compared to coal is very compelling. We have done our numbers, we presented to DOE, at least PHP 3 difference. That is why I think that is the case that we are making or the case that we have made for Toledo, the expansion in Cebu. Also, given that this is probably difficult to justify an LNG investment in Cebu, right? That is why we are trying to expand Toledo with another unit, a similar unit, an existing one. We are still waiting for DOE to release an official letter confirming that Atimonan as coal is outside the moratorium. We are hoping that we will get that soon. Again, basically for that compelling reason of cost.

Germaine Guinto
Analyst, Maybank

Then, sorry, one last. Do you see any near-term or, say, long-term power supply contracts for the LNG terminal? Is there any right now or do you plan on securing some soon?

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

Long term?

Germaine Guinto
Analyst, Maybank

Supply contracts for the LNG terminal for imports.

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

Yeah. We actually have contracted 10 years with Shell and Vitol to supply our requirements. We are looking for another one, but we believe that what Vitol and Shell can supply is good at least for the next two years given the situation. But beyond that, we can still enter into other long-term contracts.

Germaine Guinto
Analyst, Maybank

Okay. Thank you.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you, Germaine, for the question. We have two more at the back.

Speaker 10

I guess since we are on the topic on capacity for the power gen business, just want to understand. Since there is a lot of capacity additions, I just would like to ask regarding the comparative figures for attributable capacity and total capacity overall for the generation business. That is the first question. Thank you.

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

For 2025, we expect to end our attributable capacity around 2,610 megawatts, which is still below our grid limits. We still have space. Even if in 2026 when we commission Terra Solar, we believe we will still be within the grid limit capacity, although very close. That is why we really would like to work with DOE in considering changing the way variable renewable energy should be counted as part of the grid limit calculation.

Speaker 10

All right. Sorry. My next question will be on the CapEx, just for 2024. Just want to understand how the blow-up in CapEx for specifically for the power gen. Because in 2023, the CapEx was about PHP 507 million, and I understand it grew to PHP 13.6 billion in 2024. Can you just give us a breakdown on how it went for 2024 and what is your expectation for 2025? Thank you.

Betty Siy-Yap
SVP and Chief Finance Officer, Meralco

The 2024 CapEx of our generation was largely for the Baras plant phase two and Bongabon. Part of that would be the development cost and land acquisition of Terra Solar. So that constitutes the power generation capital expenditure. Well, moving to 2025, though. Well, we are very raw numbers, because the power generation unit is currently revisiting which projects to prioritize. But initially, we just focus on the current project, which is Terra Solar. The total capital expenditure of that is over slightly above PHP 100 billion. Yeah, the question was power generation, right?

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

Yeah.

Betty Siy-Yap
SVP and Chief Finance Officer, Meralco

Okay. That's it. About PHP 100 billion, PHP 105 billion for Terra Solar.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

I hope that answers your question, Eunice. Thank you.

Speaker 11

Hi. Yes. Thank you for the briefing and congrats on the results. I have four questions. First is on Chromite and Terra Solar. Just wondering, once fully operational, how much do you expect these two plants to contribute to attributable net profit of Meralco? Second, sticking with renewables, can you explain to us in layman's terms the economics of running a battery storage, and can we actually see renewables displacing coal and LNG in the base load capacity? Third, I noticed that part of the budget of Terra Solar's CapEx is allocated on setting up its own transmission line. Just want to find out how much is the additional CapEx for setting up your own transmission line, and do we actually see this as the trend moving forward?

Last is, I noticed that the sales growth assumption for the proposed distribution tariff is I think half of current GDP growth at 3% annually. Just wondering why we're assuming a slower sales growth for the 5th RAP tariff computation.

Betty Siy-Yap
SVP and Chief Finance Officer, Meralco

I didn't get the end. Give me a few seconds. I'll just get the numbers for-

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

I'll answer the question on transmission. I think this is not new. A lot of plants, actually, the ones that were built before Terra Solar, including plants that I built in my previous company, we advanced the cost of transmission with an agreement and ERC approval with NGCP to co-file for reimbursement. Then ERC will decide on the cost, based on the cost that we presented, and of course, the terms of payment and the number of years that we can collect the cost of the transmission. All of these have been, of course, considered part of the project cost, just in case ERC does not or approves a lower cost than what we have actually incurred in the project. I didn't get the question on the battery. Can you repeat that, please?

Speaker 11

Yes. For the battery storage, if you can explain to us in layman's terms the economics of running a battery storage, and if we can actually see renewables displacing coal and LNG in terms of providing base load capacity in the future.

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

Yeah. Battery is a source of energy. We store the energy in the batteries at the time when we're producing surplus energy coming from the solar plants. That's why to deliver, in the case of Terra Solar, to deliver 850 MW of energy, megawatt hours of energy, we have to install 3,500 MW of solar. All of the capacities that are needed to charge the batteries will be coming from the solar plants. If there's excess, then we feed to the grid. Our estimate is that actually we will probably have, in certain months, given the irradiance, anywhere between 100 to 200 MW of excess capacity from the 3,500 MW that we need to charge the batteries.

From the time solar plants stop generating because there's no more sun, which around close to 6:00 P.M., it will be the battery that will take over in providing that 850 megawatt hours from 6:00 P.M. to 9:00 P.M. The expectation is that by 9:00 P.M., the battery is drained. We do the cycle again the following day. We are looking also at optimizing this battery, given that it's the largest, it's quite huge. We can actually offer also regulating the service to the grid as part of the optimization in case the, depending again, on the charging and discharging profile, dependent very much on the capacity that we're getting from the solar plants. I don't know if that's layman enough, but because of the cost of the batteries, they've gone down quite significantly.

That's why I'm saying it's really now economical to provide mid-merit from 8:00 A.M. to 9:00 P.M. because you have a specific generation profile coming from solar plants that we will be using to charge the battery. But if we supply, say, from 6:00 A.M. to 10:00 P.M., then that's going to be a very different configuration. I'm not sure how much that's going to cost and what kind of capacity to be on the ground. I'll just focus on the 850 MW hours from 8:00 A.M. to 9:00 P.M., and that's competitive.

Jose Ronald Valles
FVP and Head of Legal, Meralco

If I may, on the last question. The filing actually for 5RP is based on the EIU forecast. This is the model used by the ERC in the past three sets. We just adopted the forecast released by the EIU . Part of the reason also is that there are more solar PV rooftops. The impact of the energy efficiency law, I think also tend to hold back on consumption. That also lowers the forecast.

Betty Siy-Yap
SVP and Chief Finance Officer, Meralco

With respect to the contribution, the contribution of Terra Solar will come in only in 2026. It would be about just half of the year. That is on the assumption that we go live by February or maybe the second quarter of 2026. The contribution is a little over PHP 200 million. For Chromite, the contribution starts this year. You'll see the numbers already in the first quarter. Although in the first year, we estimate that the contribution should be about anywhere between over PHP 5 billion to PHP 6 billion probably. That's an estimate. We still have to see what it comes out, but it's going to be a meaningful contribution to P&L.

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

To answer the question related to transmission, the estimate is about PHP 20 billion including land. That's why all the costs and the design, we need to coordinate with NGCP. Just in case we file the case for reimbursement, NGCP is in agreement with the asset design and asset acquisition.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you, Manny. Chairman, are you okay with the answers? Okay. Checking again on the floor for any more questions. Okay, Eunice, go ahead.

Speaker 10

Sorry, just an additional question in terms of funding. Just starting first on the maturities. I've seen based on the trend, you have a chunky debt maturity until 2030. Just want to understand your refinancing plans in terms of the interest rate spreads of newly acquired or refinanced debt, and how much has been refinanced already, given that we're expecting, of course, more rate cuts. How does the interest rate currently look like in terms of your refinancing?

Betty Siy-Yap
SVP and Chief Finance Officer, Meralco

Our maturities are actually spread throughout 2030. For this year, for example, our maturity would relate, at the Meralco level. The maturity pertains to the fixed rate note that we issued back in 2012. There's still a balance of close to, I think, PHP 3 billion. A little close to PHP 3 billion, which we will have to redeem. Right now that one is at 4.375%. If you look at the average borrowing rate of Meralco, we're still currently at sub 6%. Although at the subsidiary level, at the MGen level, it's a little bit above 6.5%, about 6.8%. There are opportunities for refinancing, which we will consider. If you look at our financing plan, for example, in terms of our debt, for those that we have recently contracted, we are actually pricing it on a three-month basis, repricing.

Under the terms with the banks, we have the opportunity to fix it in two years. We're waiting for where the interest rates will land before we fix on our maturity. For the GBP debt, though, a significant portion has been refinanced in the last two years. We continue to look at opportunities to refinance if there would be any need, depending on where the BSP rate lands. Similarly, for the debt that we will be signing for Terra Solar, it's a long-term debt, but we will not fix it. We can fix it within the first two years.

Speaker 10

Thank you, Miss Betty. Since we're on the topic of funding, is there any chances that we're considering an MGen IPO on the table, given that, of course, we're expecting a lot of RE developments from your side? Or given the current market conditions, is it better to spin off to SP New Energy Corporation instead? How will that work if that's the case?

Betty Siy-Yap
SVP and Chief Finance Officer, Meralco

There are lots of ways for us to raise capital. That certainly is one of the possibilities. Although, right now, the focus. We have two listed companies, Meralco and SPNEC . SPNEC has the bigger project, which is the Terra Solar. It's currently listed. If you look at the other, on the green side, the portfolio, there are quite a number of projects, but in terms of capacity, they're not yet as big. At the proper time, we will consider that. On the MGen side, it's also an option, but we need to see how the market would respond to a company with full portfolio. It's something that we continue to consider various ways of raising capital. At the proper time, we'll let you know what it is.

Speaker 10

Thank you, Ms. Betty. Sorry, last question from me. Just on the trend for the distribution sales volume, since we're still seeing that industrial demand remains sluggish versus the commercial and the residential, what's your current outlook for the demand this year? Are you seeing any pickup on this specific segment? Without the effect of the El Niño this year, how do you see volumes for this year tracking, given that for the past two or three years, you're growing more than 5% in terms of sales volume? That's it for me. Thank you.

Ferdinand O. Geluz
SVP and Chief Revenue Officer, Meralco

Yes, I would like to answer that question. Yes, I think we will be challenged in terms of volume, especially on the first quarter, because first quarter is relatively cold with La Niña compared to the tail end of El Niño last year. For example, last year, we saw organic or same-store sales for residential alone increased by 6%. But for now, I think in January, we see same-store sales contract by 3%. But February, we are looking at a positive growth, 3%. All in all, quarter one will be flattish. Quarter two might have a little increase due to election spending as well as economic activities, especially in the commercial sector. And we are seeing a better growth in the second half because second half last year, I think temperature somehow normalized and at least it cancels out the impact of temperature.

I think last year we grew 4% on the second half and we kind of forecasted a reasonable growth on the second half. As far as industrial is concerned, yes, there are challenges, especially for some industries like steel because of unfavorable numbers. Some of the smelting plants have parked their operations because it is actually more economical to import the billets rather than recycle here because of short supply of recycled metal. As far as semiconductor, there is still growth amid more about just one. Because I think from the declaration of globally, I think the declaration is a rebound for semiconductor. Locally, SEIPI has pronounced that it will have growth, but not as high as the global forecast. Basically because for the traditional products, there will be growth, but for new products, I think most of them have been relocated to Vietnam.

I think there is a new facility for Samsung Silicon to build the new products. But there are certain companies, like Samsung, which has actually, we have ongoing talks in terms of a 20-megawatt expansion to expand their multilayer ceramic capacitor product, which actually is a new product that supports the EVs and some of the cell phones. So it is a mix. But I think as far as commercial, we are seeing maybe an uptick due to the data centers. We have energized several large data centers last year as well as this year we will be energizing the one of Globe. Last year we energized the one of PLDT as well as the Digital Edge, Satori. And I think their load ramp-up is forecasted to happen this year. So data center is one industry that we are looking at to expand here in the country.

Well, as far as other commercial subsegments, I think, again, the elections will drive consumption so that the food and beverage might have a slight uptick. Last year we grew 4%, so on starting second quarter, I think we are forecasting a much significant growth for food and beverage.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you, FOG.

Ferdinand O. Geluz
SVP and Chief Revenue Officer, Meralco

Yeah, in total, I think we are looking at closing 2025 at around 56,000 GWh or more. So that is around 4%-4.5% increase over this year.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you again, FOG. Mindful of the time, we have two questions online, and then we will go back to the floor to wrap it up. The two questions, we will start with PacificLight. Seem to have done better in the last quarter of 2024 relative to nine months 2024. What was the reason for the fourth quarter rebound, and has that trajectory been sustained so far in 2025?

Emmanuel V. Rubio
President and CEO, Meralco

Well, basically, after the upgrade of PacificLight, the units are now one of the most efficient units in 2024 among its peers and the competitors. It is a merchant market.

Very competitive. The lowest cost wins. I guess that is the main driver for PacificLight and a much higher availability compared to 2023. There will be a new 600 megawatts capacity in H-class, just a little bit higher in terms of efficiency, that will be built and operational in 2025 from a competitor. We do not see that to be really affecting our income for 2024. We expect PacificLight to sustain its performance in 2025, as in the numbers in 2024.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you, Manny. The second and last question online is for regulatory. Can you share with us what were the factors, criteria that the ERC considered before that led to the lower approved rates during the 2RP and 3RP compared to what was originally filed by the company? Are you expecting that the same thing can happen for the 5RP?

Jose Ronald Valles
FVP and Head of Legal, Meralco

Yes. For the 2RP and the 3RP, the ERC reduced the rates from what we have applied. Mainly because of the reduction in the proposed capital expenditures and operational expenditures, and partly the regulatory asset base. Of course, as a matter of prudence, we always expect the ERC to review very carefully the proposal, the CapEx and the OpEx that we have submitted to them, and to decide whether there is a need to optimize the proposal, the CapEx and the OpEx as well as the RAB. That is the prerogative of the ERC. But we think that what we have filed has been carefully reviewed by the management, and what we have filed is a reasonable proposal for the customers. Thank you.

Paul Jayson Ramos
Chief Investor Relations Officer, Meralco

Thank you, JRVB. Just one more round on the floor. Any more questions before we wrap this? Well, thank you everyone. Thank you for attending and joining us in the full year briefing. We look forward to having you again when we report first quarter 2025 results. Kindly note that you can access a recording of this briefing online, and you can visit it in the Meralco website. Thank you and see you again.