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Earnings Call: Q3 2024

Feb 29, 2024

Carolyn Khiu
VP of Public Affairs and Branding, SATS

Thank you to another breakfast of our business update. We have uploaded the materials on SGX as well as on our website this morning. I hope you have time to take a look at the materials. With me here are Kerry Mok, President and CEO of SATS, and Manfred Seah, CFO of SATS. I'll let them take you through the results, and I'll start off with Kerry. Over to you, Kerry.

Kerry Mok
President and CEO, SATS

Thank you, Carolyn. Very good morning.

Carolyn Khiu
VP of Public Affairs and Branding, SATS

Sorry, I forgot. We have to take a. I'll give you time to look at this forward-looking statement. Okay, I think Kerry, you can begin.

Kerry Mok
President and CEO, SATS

Yeah, thank you, and a very good morning to everyone, and thanks for attending this results briefing. Can we go to the next slide in the quick business update? This page just shows how we have done in the third quarter. As you can see from the slide, revenue nearly SGD 1.4 billion, margins of EBIT of about SGD 80 million-SGD 86 million. Very good earnings from our share of joint ventures, and PATMI growing positively into SGD 31.5 million. And I think another point to highlight is EBITDA has improved also the margin from 17% last quarter to 18.3%. So overall, it reflects a strong performance this quarter, driven by seasonality, but also driven by our focus on managing our inflationary costs through yield and productivity improvement.

This is something that we have been working very hard throughout the year to really try and manage that has to bring the scale of our business back to profitable growth. Next slide, please. I just want to give a bit of update on how we're progressing with integration. I think this is obviously a top in in everybody's mind. Integration is going well. We have been working very hard as a global team to drive the focus on integration. In particular, both from a commercial win standpoint, that's been very encouraging. Here, you know, you can see that we have won new, well, new contract wins at Etihad Cargo across 12 stations globally. We've also recently won the Air China Cargo in LAX.

These are all existing customers of ours where we actually have a combined global accounts team now driving new wins with our customers. It's a very important setup that we have, but one where we believe with the right setup will continue to help us get more wins with global customers across the network. So commercial wins where we're making good progress. We have also started work on collaboration. Here you would have seen we are working closely with Saudi Cargo, SF Express, in Liège, and this allows us to process more cross-border partner shipments in Liège. This is a first of a kind collaboration with three-two different parties, in fact, three different parties coming together to drive efficiency and new solutions for our customers. Again a very big part of what we do is to leverage our network to drive more of such solutions.

We believe this kind of solutions is actually very sticky. Moving on to operational synergies, I, I know while we, we talk about some of the programs and, software and there, but I think one of the big operational synergies that we're seeing is really we are now tapping our global talent pool. We are implementing new organization structure where we have, talents from all around the world, coming together, taking up global roles, regional roles, to drive the strategy that we have put in place, and allowing us to showcase, the talent and know-how, that we have, on a global basis. We are leveraging best practices, both in terms of process systems, where we're sharing it across the group.

One particular point, we are, you know, one of the systems that we're using here in Singapore is now being shared in the U.S. to help them drive efficiency across their network. We are also looking at 3D modeling for cargo loading. Computer-based is something that we worked in Europe, but now we are trialing that across U.S. as well as Asia. We are working on driving standardized metrics. As we have a network, you know, driving standardized metrics is an important part of how we work with internally, but also importantly, how we share those information with our customers as well. For the first time, our customers can have a clear understanding of their operational performance across the network that we manage on their behalf. Again, allowing us to set the foundation and basis for us to continue to drive continuous improvement.

Carolyn Khiu
VP of Public Affairs and Branding, SATS

Sorry, Kerry, can I just interrupt you for a moment?

Kerry Mok
President and CEO, SATS

Yeah.

Carolyn Khiu
VP of Public Affairs and Branding, SATS

Jason, you raised your hand. Is there something with the system? Jason?

Speaker 4

Hi, apologies. I was just testing the button, sorry.

Carolyn Khiu
VP of Public Affairs and Branding, SATS

Okay, sure. All right.

Kerry Mok
President and CEO, SATS

Can I?

Carolyn Khiu
VP of Public Affairs and Branding, SATS

Yes, you can.

Kerry Mok
President and CEO, SATS

Okay, yeah. In terms of other synergies, including driving POCs, you would have read that we are working very closely with Kuehne+ Nagel on a global basis to see how we can drive new solutions. Pleased to say that POCs are ongoing and is showing very encouraging results for certain products that we believe can, can be launched in soon, sometime this year, where we can actually drive more value for our our customers as well. Next slide. Singapore. Singapore continues to be a very important part of our our network and business. And here I just want to highlight a few things that we've been working very closely both with agencies but also with our customers and partners to continue to strengthen our market leadership position here in Singapore.

We have been—you have read recently a newspaper that we have launched a pilot program where we actually help to build food resiliency in Singapore to provoke or to promote food sustainability as well. We have produced 50,000 RTE meals for schools, for 40 schools as part of Total Defence Day. And this is a nationwide exercise SG Ready initiative. Really is to firstly showcase our culinary expertise, but also importantly, our food tech that allows us to bring nutritional food to all world supply, especially as in an emergency kind of situation that we may be faced with. So projects like this will be ongoing. We believe this is something that we will continue to work on and work with the agency here in Singapore. We started construction of a BUPC this month.

What this does is actually allowing us to drive more efficiency, allowing us to build, handle more capacity in Changi Airport, without the need for more manpower, and this also frees up space in our current air cargo terminal, and drive more efficiency in Changi Airport. We have also signed a SingPost MOU to look at setting up an e-commerce transshipment hub. This is an important initiative for us. We are looking to see how we can drive more e-commerce volume via Singapore and working with SingPost to actually make that happen. This is something that we believe, if it works, it will drive more volume again through Singapore. We have also won a contract with Shunfeng Express, and Shunfeng Express, as you know, is a Chinese express company.

But importantly, we are working with them to make Singapore as their regional warehousing hub for e-commerce, and this again allows us to drive more value through the Changi hub as well. So all these are activities that we are focusing on to continue to drive volume through for Singapore and hopefully also drive the importance of Changi Airport for the region. I would like to go to the next slide. These are some of the business drivers, and this is what we show you on a quarterly basis. As you can see, from a group perspective, year-on-year, across the board, things are obviously increased because of the WFS acquisition, but the numbers are all trending nicely. Maybe I'll just touch a little bit on the flights handled.

On a combined basis, you do see some downward quarter-over-quarter, but again, some of these are just due to the customers spread that we have. I think importantly, Changi Airport continues to show good growth in both flights as well as meal serve. Just on the meal serve, part of it is also driven by our Chinese company, Nanjing Weizhou , where traditionally summer is actually the peak, and there's a little bit of a drop there in China. But in Singapore, we're doing very well, especially with the year-end peak travel. Passenger handle continues to show good growth, and I think very pleasing to say is the cargo tonnage is showing good growth as well. The 7.9% quarter-over-quarter continues to show that the return of cargo growth globally is driving our performances as well.

On a manpower basis, there's a slight growth, but that's primarily driven by the peak season in U.S., where we're actually showing good wins on our ground handling unit, and hence, we're actually bringing more headcount there to support the business growth. But everything else is by and large very much contained in terms of our employees, and we are driving more productivity by improvements across the group. The next slide, I think this slide, just shows you how we've been progressing. The bar in blue is a nine months to date in numbers. By here, you can see from across all metrics, everything is trending up very nicely. Revenue-wise, it's gone to almost SGD 3.9 billion after nine months. EBIT, as plus share with JV, has also gone up to SGD 241 million. Those are again nice growth numbers that we see from a EBIT standpoint.

EBITDA has also grown nicely to almost SGD 650 million month to date. And we're starting to see some of these being affected now into the PATMI level as well. So we are in a good position. I think we have, from a loss of first quarter, we have then reduced our loss last quarter, and this quarter we're now into the black. So I think this augurs well in terms of the trajectory and the path that we are taking going forward. With that, I will hand over the details to my partner in crime, Manfred.

Manfred Seah
Group CFO, SATS

Thank you, Kerry. Good morning. I will now take you through the key highlights for the third quarter and nine months, which show steadily improving metrics on to see a strong seasonality, travel recovery, and the results from the cost and yield management initiatives, which we have taken to improve the overall health of the business. Now, the boxes on the top are basically a nine-months number. I won't cover those. I will just go straight into the third quarter. Revenue increased by 6.5% quarter-on-quarter to about SGD 1.4 billion, driven by ongoing travel recovery and strong seasonality impact. Food grew 6.8%, while Gateway grew about 6.4%.

Excluding WFS, aviation food and flight volumes reached 97% and 86%, respectively, while cargo volume recovered to almost 100% of the pre-COVID levels in third quarter of FY 2024, primarily due to the increased demand, travel demand, and seasonality factor. Now, we have all also been focused, as Kerry has mentioned, on operational excellence, which has delivered improved margins this quarter. 3Q EBITDA came in stronger, and plus SoA/JV improved to SGD 249.5 million, with margin reaching 18.3%. Compared to last year, second quarter numbers were 17%, lifted by revenue growth and operating leverage as well as increased contribution from associates and joint ventures. The group saw stronger contribution to its bottom line from the share of earnings of associates and joint ventures, which increased by SGD 11.5 million to SGD 34.6 million. 3Q FY 2024 PATMI stood at SGD 31.5 million, improved SGD 9.3 million from SGD 22.2 million last quarter.

Compared to last year, PATMI improved SGD 31 million from SGD 0.4 million. The results were positively impacted by improvements in the performance of group's business units as well as strong seasonality in cargo. Overall, we see this set of numbers as a good step in the right direction, given some of the industry and macroeconomic headwinds the business still faces. Now, I want to move on to the next slide very quickly. I, I won't go through each of these key financial metrics, as Kerry has mentioned earlier, but to just demonstrate the scaling-up effect. Case in point, if you look at net debt, EBITDA, has dropped to about 4.2 x. This is based on annualized EBITDA. And right at the bottom left, you can see the EBITDA plus SoA/JV hit about SGD 646 million, with free cash flow before lease payments of about SGD 118 million.

While adjusted free cash flow, this is after taking lease payments, is negative, but it has improved quite smartly from the half-year results. Cash is, we have a good cash balance of about SGD 540 million, compared to September number of about SGD 516 million. The diagram on the right-hand side is really, you know, to illustrate the key streams that management have been working on over the last 12 months. This is to deliver value. And the first box here, you know, we are committed to scaling up revenue for sustainable growth. You can see that revenue has grown three times, compared to same time last year. Cost takeout, this is an important stream that we continue to look at how to drive and improve operating leverage.

The third bucket here, as you can see, you know, from our portfolio of joint ventures and associates, you know, the share of earnings is coming in healthily. And we are very, very focused in terms of rationalizing or highgrading our joint venture and associates investments. The last two boxes were just to illustrate to you that, you know, ongoing cash flow optimization is going on, with the aim of aggressively paring down debt over the next 18-24 months. And with that, I think we should be able to resume dividend as soon as we get into profitability territory. So this is just to illustrate the key priorities that management is focused on. Moving on to the next slide, I just want to very quickly show the revenue breakdown.

Despite prevailing headwinds, including inflationary costs, wage pressure, and macroeconomic factors, we have still much more. Today we have a much more diversified portfolio, regionally as well as business segmentation. You can see that air cargo, the cargo board contribution came in at about 49% for the year-to-date numbers, with ground contributing 30% and the balance being food. As we have previously shared, the food segment is likely to grow, and cargo will remain at about 50%, with food contributing anything between 30%-35% over time. On a combined, our combined business is showing improving trends, and that comes from a more balanced business mix. So in terms of business performance, we see more signs that the cargo segment has reached the bottom, and we expect to see increasing demand for cargo in 2024, which is beneficial to our business.

On the other hand, food business is heavily reliant on key suppliers in certain niche markets. Disruption to supply chain could affect our, our production, but we are leveraging on our expanded global network to develop new value-added solutions. So there's much work going on, and these developments will bear fruits in the coming quarters. We remain focused on managing costs, leveraging operational synergy, winning new contracts, and also strengthening our financial position for the long term. Now, I want to move to slide 13 very, very quickly, just to show you quarter-on-quarter how the business improvements are being registered. While seasonality affects our business, the overall underlying performance is also showing an improving trend. So demonstrating the integration of our business gives us greater resilience, helping us to restore scale and group profitability. Group EBITDA has improved quarter-on-quarter, and EBIT is also trending positively.

You will see that the EBITDA plus SoA/JV margin continue to expand to about 18% in the third quarter of FY 2024. Yeah. Now, moving to the next slide, slide 14. While we have been making good progress on the operational front, our cost management and our refinancing efforts are also bearing fruit with significant financial savings and improvement in overall debt position. I shall leave this slide for you to read for reference, and our focus on the balance sheet management is aimed at speeding up and supporting profitability and strengthening us for the future. And I'll very quickly just browse through the next three slides, which I won't go through point by point. You will see that in this slide 15, as revenue scales up, you'll see that you know, operating leverage has kicked in. Our OpEx has actually increased, has been outpaced by revenue growth.

As a result of that, you can see favorable variances in the third column here for each of the key metrics. Yeah. Slide 15 and 16, 16 and 17, I shall just leave it for your reference. I'll now go to maybe the balance sheet, financial position in slide 18. I just want to focus your attention to the total debt here. The total debt of about SGD 4.2 billion includes lease liability. So if we were to exclude that, our total debt stood at about SGD 2.8 billion. And as I mentioned, you know, the net debt EBITDA after if we were to annualize it will come to a gearing of maybe about 4.2 x. And we are continuing to work on how to maintain investment grade rating with a ratio trending towards 3.5-4 x. Yeah.

Now, very quickly, I just want to cover the last slide here, slide 19, slide 20. And basically, if you look at our overall operating cash flow position, it has improved. This is before lease payment year-to-date due to improved performance of the business. With improved cash generation capability, we will accelerate our debt reduction efforts, giving us increased financial agility to support opportunities in our business and return value to our shareholders. And we are currently; the first set of term loan was actually refi in January when we issued a $500 million dollar bond to drop the interest, you know, from about 4.5% to about 3.5%. And as a result of that, you know, we were able to save almost about $9 million of, further savings of $9 million of interest costs.

We are now looking at the second tranche of this refinancing, up to about EUR 600 million, which we are looking to do perhaps sometime in the early part of the second quarter. CapEx, and as a result of the CapEx, our free cash flow has actually adjusted free cash flow has gotten into the negative, simply because we have increased our investment in CapEx, as you can see in this slide from SGD 85 million to SGD 120 million-130 million. But we are encouraged that the operating cash flow continue to improve. As you can see from the top line here, you know, has increased to about SGD 248 million, from a SGD -19 million, in the same period of last year.

Okay, I think with that, longer term, we are, we remain committed to driving profitable growth and increasing shareholders' value. And our key priority, just to, reiterate what Kerry was saying earlier, we'll continue to, look at how to optimize our cash flow for the three Rs. The first one is the repayment of debt, followed by reinvestment for sustainable growth. And, we have our eyes on resumptions of dividend as soon as we are able to afford that. With that, I'm going to pass you back to Kerry for the outlook and any closing remarks.

Kerry Mok
President and CEO, SATS

Yeah. Thank you, Manfred. I think in terms of the outlook, maybe just, some highlights. You know, while, there's still some, lag in recovery in Asia, I do expect, the broader industry to return to probably in the second half.

So in the second half, we expect Singapore also to, to also reach to a pre-COVID level 100%. And despite some of the headwinds around inflationary cost pressures and all that, we remain very focused. I think as what Manfred has also shared, we are very focused on managing our costs, leveraging on our, our operational synergies. But I think importantly, we continue to focus on winning new contracts and strengthening our financial position. We believe this will give us continue improvement in our result and delivering long-term growth, sustainable growth and performance. Very, very committed around commercial achieving commercial operational synergy. This is exactly why we, we have this global network, and it's really incumbent upon the team to, to ensure that this network is, is one that we continue to drive the growth, and, and obviously create a more resilient business that we have going forward.

Some of the wins that we have, have won to date, I mean, this is just the start. We will continue to focus on, on getting more wins like that, globally. We believe this is the best way to actually, create stickiness with our customers by taking a more global approach, especially on, on the cargo business. We are well positioned to, to benefit from the recovery, both passenger cargo. We believe cargo is, is on a nice growth, path. IATA is expected, next year to still grow about 3%-4% for cargo, and we stand to be, to, to benefit from, the overall growth of the industry. As mentioned, said Manfred mentioned, we're very focused on profitability, and, and priorities remain on repaying debt, reinvesting the business, and, and ultimately resuming dividend, distribution for our shareholders. All right, with that. Thank you. Thank you.

Carolyn Khiu
VP of Public Affairs and Branding, SATS

I think we've come to the end of our session, right? Thank you everyone for joining this call. Have a good day. Thank you.

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