Hello, and welcome to Alleima's presentation of the first quarter results 2026. My name is Frida Adrian, and I am Head of Investor Relations. I'm joined by our President and CEO, Göran Björkman, and our CFO, Johan Eriksson. Göran and Johan will take you through the highlights of the quarter, and following the presentation, we will open up for Q&A session. You are welcome to ask questions via the conference call or submit your questions through the webcast interface. All the presentation materials are available for download at alleima.com. As always, safety is a top priority for us, and I trust that you are familiar with the safety procedures at your current location. With that, over to you, Göran.
Thank you, Frida. Hi, everyone, and thank you for listening. I'll start with the highlights for the first quarter. Market uncertainty continued throughout the first quarter with the ongoing geopolitical instability, reducing our customers' willingness to invest. We also have this situation in the Middle East that has impacted the market, and in particular affecting our OCTG business. I will come back to that shortly. These circumstances continue to impact our short cycle business, which began to experience a slowdown roughly at this time last year. On a positive note, key segments such as medical and industrial heating have contributed favorably, supported by a strong organic order intake. Look at the order intake for the group, rolling 12 months declined 12% organically.
Revenues declined 5% organically, also affected by the short cycle business and OCTG, somewhat mitigated by medical, nuclear, and industrial heating. Adjusted EBIT amounted to SEK 386 million and a margin of 8.4%, down from 10.5% last year, but here diluted roughly 150 basis points by FX. We have started to see positive impact from the earlier announced efficiency measures. They cannot, however, yet compensate for the negative currency effects and the lower sales in the quarter. Given the market and currency circumstances, I believe we, in a good way, still are protecting our profitability, while our solid balance sheet enables us to stay with our long-term strategy.
During this quarter, we open up two facilities for industrial heating, focused on silicon carbide heating elements, one in Perth, U.K., expanding our production capacity on that site, and one new service center in Concord, U.S., which expands our reach of silicon carbide heating products and improves our position on the American market. Moving on to sustainability. The sustainability performance remains solid in the quarter with continued progress in safety, high share recycled steel, and a record high sustainability product portfolio. Safety remains our top priority, and I'm pleased that performance continues to move in the right direction. The measures we have implemented are delivering results, and we will continue to build on that progress. Our share recycled steel stayed above 81%, both on a rolling 12 month basis and year-on-year.
I think that is a strong outcome, especially considering our product mix with relatively high share of high nickel products. We saw an increase of CO2 emissions in the quarter. That was mainly due to the cold winter and also temporary cost driven energy mix effect with somewhat lower share of biogas. Our sustainable product portfolio reached nearly 26% on a rolling twelve-month basis, which is a new high. Through close cooperation with customers, we help them address technical challenges and support their sustainability and climate goals. Moving on to our review on the market development. Yeah, given the situation in the Middle East, market uncertainty has increased. One could argue that high energy prices would be positive for us, and this is to some extent true, but it needs to be high energy prices for the right reasons.
I believe what we see now with oil and gas prices are rather speculative and not driven by increased demand. We are, of course, monitoring the situation closely, and we are ready to act. Overall demand stayed weak in Europe, subdued in North America, while Asia showed strong resilience, but not as strong as last year. Several key segments are performing well, and I will walk you through developments in each segment, starting with oil and gas. Overall, our view on the underlying demand is still solid, but more so for umbilicals, where the project list of upcoming tenders and potential orders remains strong, and we have increased production pace during the quarter.
For the OCTG business, we flagged a bit weaker outlook already in the Q4 report, and given that a large part of that business is exposed to Middle East, we are of course affected by the development, while the arrow now is pointing down. Industrial, European demand is still weak. Asia declined, while North America improved on low levels. Chemical and Petrochem, we note some improvement in Europe, but on low levels, so it's too early to tell. While Asia and Middle East was weaker, and North America at low levels. Industrial heating continued to see good growth, mainly driven by Asia, North America, while Europe is still on the weaker side. Subsegments like electronics and semiconductors are the main drivers for the growth. Consumer demand continued with flat but on a good level, and in medical, continued good momentum across the product portfolio.
Our greenfield investment in Malaysia is going according to plan, and we'll add additional capacity by the end of the year. In transportation, titanium tubing for aerospace continued to be strong, while marine and automotive is weaker. Mining construction demand was stable overall, driven by the mining industry, with somewhat weaker demand related to the construction industry. Nuclear continued good activity and a solid backlog. Please remember, it's a business with natural long lead times. We then take the last one, hydrogen and renewable energy. Hydrogen-related business is negative, but with some bright spots in renewable, for instance, for biofuels. Let's look more in detail on the Middle East crisis. I mean, it's not only increasing uncertainty in the market, it's also causing volatility in energy prices, shipping costs, and the risk of inflation has increased. We're monitoring that, those areas closely.
Understand that there are questions how this crisis is affecting Alleima. I think at this stage, it's important to focus on what we know and avoid speculation, whether it's negative or positive. At the same time, we are, of course, working with different scenarios. Our OCTG business, part of the oil and gas segment, is currently affected both direct and indirect exposure to the Middle East region. What we know is that the drilling pace in the region relevant to the OCTG business remains low, and we're working closely with our customers, who is currently operating at a lower pace than normal, and they have asked us to hold back, which means that we have reduced output pace for the time being. We, of course, also know that similar business in the region are also impacted.
What we don't know yet is how long this situation will last or how much of the oil and gas infrastructure in the region that may be damaged and require repair. If we look at the OCTG business, it's mainly CapEx driven and can naturally vary year to year. We are expecting lower OCTG volumes in 2026, partly due to the weaker market that predates the Middle East crisis. Now, it's been about eight weeks since the war in Iran began, so we, like the rest of the world, are working to get a clearer picture on how this is affecting our business. We are, of course, also closely following the development and noting cautious customer behavior, causing tenders and project decisions to be postponed. Let's look at the order intake and revenue in the quarter.
Order intake for the rolling twelve-month period amounted to SEK 16.3 billion, down 12% organically. This is mainly explained by the major order SGTs received in Q1 last year, as well as OCTG drops. Just excluding those two products, order intake would be slightly positive. For the SGT business, this is normal given the nature of that business, while the Middle East crisis is affecting the OCTG business negatively. On the positive side, strong order intake from Kanthal both in medical and industrial heating. At the same time, we saw the short-cycle business continue to be negatively affected by market uncertainties and lower investments in our value chains.
Revenue of SEK 4.6 billion, negative order growth of 5%, where both Kanthal and Strip again grew, while Tube declined, affected by the aforementioned short-cycle business, but also lower revenues from OCTG in the oil and gas, and also lower in automotive in the transportation segment. Book-to-bill rolling 12 months was 90%, which is on the low side, but not really surprising given the market development of high comps in the project-related business. Book-to-bill rolling 12 was 100% excluding SGT and OCTG. We move to the profits. Adjusted EBIT decline, which of course I'm not pleased with, but as I alluded to earlier, I think we are doing an okay job working on what we can affect. Given the lower volumes in industrial and especially the more profitable chemical and Petrochemical segment, gross profit is lower.
We also get lower absorption in some of our factories. Margin was 8.4%, 9.9% if I adjust for FX. The early ramp-up issues with expansion project Sandviken had only minor impact on performance in the quarter. Press has been operating more efficiently than in quarter four and is not anymore restricting production volumes and is expected to be fully operational during the summer. We started to see positive effects from the already announced efficiency measures. They cannot, however, yet compensate for negative currency effects and the lower sales in the quarter. Finally, we had a negative cash flow in the quarter of SEK 65 million due to lower EBITDA and also working capital. Cash flow is normally lower in the first half of the year than the second half.
Let's look at the performance of the division, starting with Tube, where we have the largest volumes. I mean, Tube has been the division most affected by the market development over the last 12 months. Although some areas are performing well, such as umbilical, where we're ramping up output for 2026, also titanium tubing for aerospace and the Asia market. However, overall volumes remain on the low side. Order intake rolling 12 months period declined organically by 19%, and that's the impact on the major SGT order in Q1 2025 and somewhat high comps in oil and gas, as well as the short-cycle business. Revenue declined organically by 9% affected by the aforementioned short cycle business, but also lower revenues from OCTG in the oil and gas and automotive in the transport segment. Book-to-bill amounted to 85%.
Just EBIT margin on 8.9% and 9.2% excluding FX effects of SEK 23 million year-over-year. The fact that Tube has the lowest relative FX headwind stems from the fact that Tube has most of the product-related business and therefore the biggest hedges, but also the fact that they make the biggest purchases of raw material in U.S. dollars, which of course is mitigating the negative effects. Moving over to Kanthal. Kanthal continued the positive trends seen over the past few quarters with a broad-based growth and a strong performance in the quarter. I think they've done a great achievement. Rolling twelve order intake grew organically by 14% driven by medical and also industrial heating, especially in North America and APAC. Revenues grew 8% organically on the back of medical, consumer, and industrial heating, with strong performance in the same regions.
Adjusted EBIT margin of 17% or 18.8%, adjusted for a negative SEK 41 million coming from FX, is a good level coming from a solid product mix. All in all, a really solid performance from Kanthal in quarter one. Strip, I think, also is doing a lot of good things, for instance, with its channel partner network and also to improve their cost position, aiming to again be a margin contributor to the group. Rolling 12 order intake declined organically by 16%, driven by all segments, but this is heavily impacted by the negative development within the hydrogen business, while we should call it the original Strip is still on a good level. Revenues grew 5% organically, driven by especially razor blades, and book-to bill amounted to 88%.
Adjusted EBIT margin was 5.9%, but heavily impacted by FX, SEK -29 million year-over-year. The underlying margin was 12.6%, where the consumer segment was strong across all regions. Also solid performance from Strip. With that, over to you, Johan.
Thank you, Göran. The financial summary, and starting with the table to the right, order intake for the rolling twelve-month period amounted to SEK 16.3 billion, corresponding to an organic decline of 12%. We had negative impact from currency and alloys of 6% and 2% respectively, totaling a growth of -19%. The quarterly revenues reached SEK 4.6 billion, with a negative organic growth of 5%, including the U.S. tariffs that is estimated to impact us with +70 basis points. Also, for revenues, we note a significant impact from FX, primarily from a stronger SEK against the US dollar, which in total had a negative impact of 6%. Alloy effects impacted by -1% on quarterly revenues. Looking at the coming quarter, we see a neutral currency and alloy effect for that time period.
We had no contribution from structural changes, meaning acquisitions or divestments, as our latest acquisition, Endox, now has been with us for the full year and no longer affect comparability. Going back to the big table on the left, where I'll get back to adjusted EBIT in a coming slide, and the reported EBIT declined to SEK 391 million, affected negatively by lower revenues, FX, and items affecting comparability, while helped somewhat by positive metal price effects and the savings from the targeted measures. On the items affecting comparability, we now have in total taken SEK 344 million of the estimated SEK 400 million for the targeted measures that we communicated in the earnings call for the third quarter. The remainder is expected to be taken in the coming three quarters.
Net financial items for the quarter amounted to -SEK 11 million compared to SEK 13 million last year, and this is mainly driven by valuation of derivatives. The normalized tax rate came out at 24.5% for the quarter. Free operating cash flow came out at -SEK 65 million in the quarter, which I also get back to in a coming slide. Adjusted EPS for the quarter at 1.14 SEK, impacted negatively by the lower adjusted EBIT. Looking at the bridge then for adjusted EBIT, where we start at last year's SEK 540 million and a margin of 10.5%, compared to this year's SEK 386 million with a margin of 8.4%. Like Göran pointed out, FX is a big factor behind the development.
This quarter dilution was 150 basis points. Of course, we also are affected by the negative organic development stemming from the weaker markets, especially in the short cycle business, and therefore impacted by under absorption effects. Meanwhile, we also had some contribution from the savings related to the targeted measures with positive effects of roughly SEK 30 million in the quarter. The SEK 6 million contribution in Strip comes from an M&A-related cost booked last year. Moving over to the balance sheet and capital efficiency. Net working capital decreased in absolute terms year-over-year, mainly due to volume and currency effects, but increased as a percentage of revenues to 35.5% due to lower quarterly sales.
The sequential increase of working capital in the graph can mainly be derived from an increase of accounts receivable, given that invoicing was tilted more towards the end of the first quarter. Capital employed, excluding cash, decreased year-over-year to SEK 16.2 billion, mainly driven by lower working capital. The return on capital employed excluding cash based on reported operating profits, so that meaning that we include metal price effects and items affecting comparability, was 5.0% for the rolling twelve-month period, down from 11.9% last year, coming from the lower reported operating profit due to the reasons described before.
Looking at our free operating cash flow for the quarter, as you can see on the graph to the right, the Q1 cash flow normally is lower than the preceding quarters as per normal seasonality as we, during this quarter, start preparing for the Q3 summer shutdown and maintenance stop. Moving over to the table on the left, I think we've touched on the EBIT and EBITDA already. Looking at the non-cash items, which most commonly refers to cash or non-cash effects from provisions or provision releases. This year it's also affected by cash flow effects from the targeted measures, the restructuring activities. That is about minus SEK 20 million from that in this year's cash flow.
We note the negative impact from change in working capital, mainly due to higher accounts receivable coming from the strong invoicing at the end of the quarter, but also increased inventory as per normal seasonality. The decrease in CapEx year- over- year mainly comes from timing on the ongoing projects. Amortization of these liabilities is only slightly higher this year. All in all, this leaves us with a free operating cash flow of SEK -65 million. As I pointed out, this follows seasonality and as cash flow normally is lower the first half of the year, when we start to prepare for the upcoming summer stop in the third quarter. Looking at our financial position, it remains strong, and we are well below our financial target of a net debt-to-equity ratio below 0.3 times.
At the quarter end, we were at the negative 0.04 times. Net pension liabilities decreased to SEK 699 million from last year's 839, mainly as a result of higher discount rates. Leasing liabilities are slightly lower than last year, and our cash position continues to be strong, and we have a net cash position of SEK 596 million, which will come in use as there is a dividend proposal of 2.5 SEK per share for the AGM later this week. Looking at the guidance and how we guided prior to the quarter and the outcome. On CapEx, we guide on full year, and so far the CapEx spend for the first quarter is SEK 160 million.
It's worth noting that normally the second half of the year is the more CapEx-heavy part of the year. Currency transaction and translation effects came in at SEK -173 million, where we estimated for SEK -240 million, where the difference mainly is due to a weaker Swedish krona towards the end of the quarter. In total, the currency effect, the transaction and translation effects were partly offset by a bridge effect from this year's hedges and revaluations and last year's negative revaluations. So in total, giving a bridge effect of SEK +80 million, so taking the total currency bridge effect on EBIT to SEK -93 million. Metals affected us positively with SEK 8 million, where we guided for SEK -50 million, and the reason is mainly increased metal prices during the quarter.
Normalized tax rate came in at 24.5% for the quarter, where we were guiding for 23%-25% for the full year. Moving over to the guidance for the second quarter. Full year CapEx, we keep the full year CapEx guidance of SEK 1.1 billion coming from growth projects, for example, steam generator tubing capacity increase in Sandviken, as well as industrial heating in Japan and medical in Malaysia. A little less than half of the total is for maintenance. Currency effects for Q2, based on the rates as per 23rd of April, so last Thursday, the transaction and translation effects are estimated to -SEK 60 million on the back of a stronger SEK.
Looking at the metal price effects, based on metal prices and currency rates also for the twenty-third of April, last Thursday, we anticipate the positive effect of SEK 150 million for quarter two. Here it's worth reminding about the dynamics that the price increase for nickel or molybdenum or chromium over time leads to positive metal price effects. While a stronger SEK, for example, against the US dollar has the opposite effect. The tax rate for the full year 2026, we expect a normalized tax rate in the range of 23%-25%. By that, I hand back to you, Göran, for outlook and summary.
Thanks, Johan. Yeah. The outlook, I mean, the start of the second quarter has been influenced by the development in the Middle East, further dampening on an already subdued willingness to invest. We maintain a solid backlog in several key segments, providing good visibility into near-term deliveries, mainly then in umbilical, in oil and gas, in industrial heating, medical, and in nuclear. Continue to see challenges in other more short cycle customer segments, which already have affected and is expected to continue to affect short-term deliveries. Product mix is anticipated to remain broad in line with the first quarter. Finally, cash flow tends to be lower in the first half compared to the second half of the year. Coming to a summary then. Well, market uncertainty increased during the quarter, and customers are postponing their investment decision.
I think the visibility for near-term deliveries worsen, especially with the OCTG business in the Middle East, also the short cycle business still on low volumes. Meanwhile, key segments and products like medical, umbilicals, nuclear, aerospace, and industrial heating have better momentum. I think despite the turbulence, I believe we again showcase an underlying resilience, and earnings are therefore on an okay level, partly driven by the positive development in Kanthal. FX was again a major negative factor in the quarter, and we're confident staying on our long-term strategy, investing for the future, and mitigating where needed to ensure long-term competitiveness enabled by our solid finances. With that, back to you, Frida.
Thank you. We will now begin the Q&A session. Please feel free to ask a question via the webcast or directly through the conference call. Operator, please go ahead. Do we have any questions?
Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time. Our first question comes from Kaleb Solomon with SEB. Please go ahead.
Hi, guys, and thank you for taking my questions. First, on OCTG, you mentioned that the sort of market conditions currently are mainly impacting oil and gas negatively. You touched on this, Göran, and I appreciate this sort of geopolitical turbulence is bad for investment appetite overall. At the same time, I would have thought that higher oil prices, I mean, even if it's for the wrong reasons, should increase rig activity outside of Asia, which should be positive, somewhat, at least for demand. Are you seeing or expecting to see any positive impact from that at all if prices stay up here for a while, or do you simply expect a sort of negative impact to outweigh any potential benefit from higher prices?
Thanks. I kind of expected this question. I think what I've tried to be clear on is because it's easy to start speculating. A long-term good high oil price is normally good for us. I don't want to sort of fall into the trap of saying that, "Well, now it looks better," because we haven't seen any evidence of that so far. What we have seen is that the drilling pace in that region has been reduced. With that, we have reduced our own oil output. I mean, that is my comment. Of course, we have scenarios where the long-term higher oil price and what that means for us, but I don't want to speculate on that.
Is it fair to say, drilling activity outside of that region has increased, even if it's decreased in that region?
I mean, the war has been ongoing for eight weeks. The timing on a project like this has a much longer lead time, so we haven't seen anything like that yet. Both you and I can speculate what happens if this is a long-term effect. But I don't wanna comment to that. Umbilical, on the other hand, as I said, we see that as positive. We have increased the pace, and umbilical is almost not at all impacted of the Middle East crisis due to this a lot of onshore, and it's very shallow waters in the uh in that region.
Okay. That's clear. Thank you. You also mentioned that the production constraints related to the expansion at Sandviken became less pronounced during the quarter. Can you clarify what the margin effect was in Q1?
It's almost negligible. We're running a higher shift than we would need for the volumes. Of course, it's cost for that shift, but that is neglected looking at the large numbers. Of course, it's a double effect here. The press is working better than before, but of course, we also have a slower market, so you can neglect that impact.
Okay. That's clear. Thank you. Sort of a similar question. You mentioned that the cost savings program had some effect this quarter, so could you tell us how much that was roughly? Sort of as a follow-up to that, if I recall correctly from last quarter, you said you expect to reach the sort of full effect by Q4 and maybe half of that by Q2. What's reasonable to assume for Q3?
Oh, for Q3.
We can start by Q1 then. That was SEK 30 million, 30, in savings.
I have a Q3 number, but I would take the average of full effect and half effect.
Yes. Yes.
Okay. That's all from me. Thank you.
Thank you.
The next question comes from Adrian Gilani with ABG. Please go ahead.
Hi, and good afternoon. Just to start off a follow-up on the oil and gas outlook. When you talk about the weakness on OCTG, you mentioned both a direct and an indirect effect. The direct effect I understand, but what is the indirect effect that is impacting OCTG but not umbilicals?
I think I'm not sure what is indirect and direct. What we see is that, simply said, our customer and the customer's customer is not right now in need of as many tubes as we originally thought. That is why we have reduced our output for the time being. How long we will do it, I don't know. Of course, there is a business outside Middle East and we are impacted in the same way as our main competitors, of course. The fight for contracts outside Middle East has of course increased. I think that is what we mean with indirect effect.
Okay. I understand. I guess on a similar note with the oil prices, have the higher natural gas prices had any immediate impact on demand in the industrial heating segment as well?
Not that I can say. I think it's so clear what is sort of driving the increase. It's more the digitalization and the electronics. Long-term, industrial heating will benefit from higher gas prices, of course, but that is too early to see.
Okay, I understand. A question on the outlook in the industrial segment. You chose to have the arrow pointing down still in industrial. I think that's a bit surprising since we've seen, you know, PMIs both in the U.S. and the EU bouncing in recent months. Shouldn't this mean you should see some improvement on the short cyclical sales?
You asked me to estimate. I think at some point you reach the bottom and of course, moving into second quarter, it was the second quarter last year where we started to be impacted by the tariffs and the uncertainty. From that point of view, we will meet sort of weaker comps. From that sense, I think your question is very rational.
Okay, I understand. A final one from me, more of a mechanical question on the FX impact. When you guide for SEK 60 million headwind in Q2, can you tell us anything about how much of that do you expect to mitigate with hedges as well?
I mean, I think with -60, the hedge effect will be very limited. That would increase this time it. Let me think. Well, no, I think -60 is fairly fair. We will probably have some hedge effects, but they will be fairly low in the grand scheme of things.
Yeah. That's clear enough. Thank you. That's all from me.
Thank you.
The next question comes from Anders Åkerblom with Nordea. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Thank you. Good afternoon. I want to ask firstly about nuclear. As you've said many times, long lead times, of course, but not really something new. I was wondering if you're seeing anything in particular in the project pipeline that sort of, you know, prompting your downgrade of the outlook in this market.
Oh, it's not downgraded. It's more flattish on a good level. There is a project list, as we normally say, both in Europe, Americas and Asia. I'm positive on that, but I've also been around for so long, so a quarter is a very short time period in that business. We still want to see the decisions coming through.
Yeah. Sorry, maybe I'm reading it incorrectly, but the arrow, so to speak, that you used to be up, and now it was sort of, as you say, flatish, but between that, a downgrade. That's sort of more how I meant.
Yeah. I mean.
Basically you want to see orders coming through.
Continue to see it as very good.
Yeah. In Tube, I was wondering if you could give some more details on the ramp up in umbilicals and sort of what that will imply for overall production capacity.
If we increased capacity, there is not one number because I mean, part of the factory is, it's sort of the cost drivers, matters in some part of the factory, cost driver is sort of volume. I would say between 10% and 15% increase depending on the sort of the size mix of the product. 10%-15% is a good number to use.
Okay. Thank you. Following up on the previous question with regards to sort of the short cycle business and improving PMIs, could you give any sort of just general reflection about sort of the trends during the quarters, what you've seen in early Q2? That would be very helpful.
What we have seen in the quarter, I tell you, I mean, one important segment is, for instance, chem and Petrochem. We started to see some growth in Europe. I think that's very promising. It's some low levels still. I think it's fair to. Here comes the speculation. It's fair to believe that at some point, I think a lot of the chem Petrochem industry in Europe is sort of maintenance-driven. At some point, you start at the maintenance step, then they start to need to invest. I'm not sure that's the case, but that, I think that's a good estimation. Asia, a little bit lower than before, but one should understand that that comes from very high levels. And we've had a couple of years where especially fertilizer has been extremely strong.
Now, when I met with customers in November, they were sort of saying they're not sure they're gonna keep that pace for the next year. I think we see it as sort of maybe a couple of quarters slowdown but on good levels.
Okay.
What I said on the industrial
That's very helpful.
What I said on the industrial before, I think sooner or later you meet very low comps, and then probably you reach the bottom.
Yeah. Thanks, Göran. We like to hear your speculation, so I appreciate you sharing that. Thank you.
As a reminder, if you wish to register for a question, you may press star and one. The next question comes from Viktor Trollsten with Danske. Please go ahead.
Yes. Thank you, operator, and hi, Göran and team. Perhaps firstly, just so I read your comments correctly, Göran, but for the outlook for the second quarter, you mentioned that call it the general economic climate has weakened during the first quarter. Could you relate that to the cadence of your orders? I guess what I'm after is that all else equal, does this mean that Q2 orders will be lower than Q1, or what does that mean in terms of orders? That's my first. Thank you.
That is not necessarily what we mean. I mean, I understand that you could read it. I think what you should read into it is that the overall geopolitics with Middle East is the sort of added on uncertainty. If this lasts long and we have a global energy crisis, inflation, that will not be good for Alleima, will not be good for most companies. I think that is what you should read, not necessarily that we view sort of direct orders on a lower level. I think OCTG is reasonable. We believe it will be lower.
How much of total sales is that now, basically?
I don't wanna give-
10% or?
No, it's less than 10. I don't wanna give you that number because it varies from year to year. This is project orders, so they can vary between the years. But now it's less than 10.
Mm.
This year.
Okay. No, that's clear. It's not like you have seen so much into your actual order numbers more than OCTG. That is more like a warning that inflation et cetera wouldn't help you.
I think I've said this before. It's more difficult than ever to predict the future. I think-
Yeah.
I mean, the Middle East, if that continues, it's not good. On the other hand, I mean, I'm
Yeah.
I mean, I'm really pleased that we see strong growth in the industrial heating, for instance. It'll continue good.
Mm.
Aerospace continue good. We have a good view on building. There are a lot of big parts of business that we could be very positive, as well.
Mm-hmm.
No, that's super. And then perhaps to my second question because once upon a time, we received the, you know, organic order growth on a quarterly basis, and now we get it on a 12 months basis with the argument that, you know, that's the sort of best indicator for organic sales growth, if I'm not mistaken. Now I know that you have a lot of different lead times within the business, of course, but just to hear your thoughts how we should think about it that, you know, last 12 month book-to-bill below 0.9, you know, what does that mean for organic sales growth ahead? If you could help us because there's a lot of moving parts there.
What do you say, Johan?
In what?
I mean, I think one thing you could read into, and we have been clear ever since quarter two last year, is that the order backlog in the short cycle has been short for a long time. That has been affecting the revenue, and it will continue to affect the revenue until it goes up again.
Mm-hmm.
that is mathematically comps will be lower, but that's sort of math. Industrial heating, I mean, that is pretty short cycle as well, at least part of it. There I think one could be more optimistic going forward.
The SGT-
Mm-hmm.
SGT and OCTG, adjusted for.
Yeah.
We could talk about that.
Yeah, if we exclude SGT with its really high comps in the first quarter and the OCTG with the issues we see right now, if we summarize all other segments, it's slightly positive on rolling 12 months.
Mm-hmm. Exactly.
Mm-hmm.
So.
Okay. No, that's very helpful actually. Super. I appreciate that. And then just finally, and perhaps I missed it, but on the U.S. tariffs, which you actually mentioned is a 70 basis points positive contribution. I missed, you know, what was that? Should we expect that in the coming quarters also year-over-year?
I mean, this is basically I mean, of course, we don't know if tariffs change, et cetera, but this is the last quarter where we clearly have a difference between the comparison period and the current period. The 70 basis points positive that we had on top line from tariffs is while, meaning sort of before, the updated tariffs in the U.S. In the next quarter.
It's basically pricing or?
Yeah. It's
Okay.
pushing the tariffs forward to the customer. The tariffs
Yeah.
that we carry when we import the material, we then put on the price to the customer.
All right, sir. Super, super. Many thanks. I appreciate it.
Yeah.
There are no more questions over the phone.
Very good. We say thank you all for calling in and for really good questions as usual. This concludes the call, and we're wishing you all a very good day. Thank you.
Thank you.
Thank you.