BHG Group AB (publ) (STO:BHG)
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May 5, 2026, 5:29 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q1 2025

Apr 25, 2025

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

Hi, and welcome. My name is Gustaf Öhrn, CEO of BHG. I'm here together with Jesper Flemme, CFO, to present our Q1 report. We will also be available after the presentation to do our best to answer your questions. Slide 2, please. We are happy to present the strong start of the year for BHG. In the last quarter of last year, we showed a small growth after a long period of declining sales. Now, in the first quarter of 2025, we report a strong organic growth of 8%, and all three business units showing growth versus the previous year.

Based on our available data points, we are confident that we have taken market share during the quarter. Earnings also continue to improve, now with a sixth consecutive quarter of profitability improvements year-on-year This quarter, all business units show improvements in earnings.

In this quarter, the first quarter of the year, which is also the smallest quarter of the year, we see a positive development in earnings, going from a small loss last year to a significant improvement and reporting an adjusted EBIT of SEK 21 million on group level. The improvement in earnings comes primarily from top-line growth and having direct selling costs and SG&A well in control, creating leverage from top-line and improving profitability.

We report a cash flow of - SEK 103 million, following the normal seasonal pattern and in line with last year's cash flow. I would also like to mention that during the quarter, the outcome of the arbitration proceedings with IP-Agency was announced. The arbitration was decided fully in accordance with BHG's claim.

BHG to pay EUR 2.5 million for the remaining 30% of the shares in IP-Agency, this being far from the claimed amount from the minority owners of EUR 18 million. BHG has also received EUR 4 million in contractual penalties as part of the arbitration award. After the quarter, BHG has finalized the sale of the IP-Agency business back to the founders in accordance with earlier communicated process and terms. The primary reason for exiting IP-Agency was the company not fully operating within BHG's strategic focus. Slide 3, please.

A few words about market development. It is, as you can understand, a very mixed and complicated picture.

The market in the first quarter remains challenging, but with signs of market recovery that we started to see in the second half of last year, have continued to strengthen during the first quarter of this year, and we see increased demand in some, but not all, of our main markets. The strongest recovery we unchanged see in our largest market, Sweden, where these data points come from. In short, disposable income is strengthened primarily through inflation in control, interest rate levels coming down, and government subventions to stimulate demand and consumption.

Consumer confidence, on the other hand, which has been on a long and steady improvement for almost two years, has taken a hit in the beginning of this year, most likely driven by geopolitical and financial unrest.

It should be noted that this graph is before the latest turmoil following Liberation Day, with the tariffs and the following stock market crash. On this subject, I should say that we have very limited exposure to the introduced and then postponed tariffs, and we have a very limited sale to the U.S., basically only Nordic Nest selling for a few million SEK over their international site. However, even if the effect from the tariffs is very limited for us, there will be effects also on our business. The main questions and effects we see are, in short, how will the political and financial uncertainty affect consumer sentiment? Historically, it has driven savings and reduced consumption. That is most likely also the effect now, but to what extent is still very hard to estimate. Reduced capacity constraints in China and other regions in Asia where we have production.

This should, over time, most likely have a positive effect on production prices from that region. Most likely, shipping prices will also be affected. How? Still too early to say. The risk of Asian production, initially produced for the U.S. market, now directed to the European market as a consequence of the U.S. tariffs, driving supply and having a negative effect on consumer pricing. Finally, the currency effects, where there are several different effects, both positive and negative, and Jesper will try to explain this further in a few minutes. In summary, we see positive developments of disposable income from macro factors as interest levels, transactions in the housing market, and in some markets as Sweden, also government subventions, as in Sweden, the increased ROT-avdrag. The main question now is how this will balance against the negative effects of consumer confidence from the geopolitical unrest.

Slide 4, please. If we take a look at the development in our categories in the Swedish market, where we have the best data points, looking at the sales trend from Statistics Sweden or Statistiska Centralbyrån, we see a gradual improvement of sales in our categories all through last year that now continues into the beginning of this year. Our outlook is continued gradual market recovery in 2025, driven by disposable income. With that said, it needs to be highlighted that the uncertainty has increased substantially with geopolitical and financial unrest as the main drivers, which makes it difficult to escalate the risk of setbacks and recovery speed. Sweden leading the way, but with the same tendency, but from lower levels and with some time lag in most of our markets. Slide 5, please.

As mentioned, we have since the extreme growth during the pandemic operated in a very challenging market, and we saw growth for the first time in two years in the last quarter of last year. Now, in the first quarter of this year, we see significant strengthened sales development with an 8% organic growth. Slide 6, please. Strong growth in the first quarter of the year. Let me try to clarify further where this growth comes from. From a geo perspective, the main growth comes from Sweden being the main growth driver. This is also the market that we, as mentioned, see leading the market recovery. We also see a strong sales development in Norway and Germany. This is somewhat more surprising, as these markets that we from our data points regard as still being challenging.

From a category perspective, the main growth comes from continued recovery in capital-intensive categories, an improvement that we have seen since the second half of last year. We also see strong development in important categories as furniture, home decor, bathroom, and garden, where we are ahead of last year. Slide 7, please. If this was primarily reporting and looking backwards, I will take a few moments to speak more about where we are and the strategic plan we have looking forward. As mentioned in the last quarterly call, we are in the final stages of what we have called the restructuring phase and are now entering the next phase that we have named the profitable growth phase. Let me try to summarize this. We are a group of online businesses joined as one group, and together we are the leading e-commerce company in the Nordics targeting consumers.

We focus on the home and household market, and we have exited businesses focusing on other categories. We are present in a large and growing market driven by external macro trends and with a low online penetration compared to most other categories and, more importantly, compared to other more online mature markets such as the U.K. and the U.S. We are now well-positioned leaving the restructuring phase where we have focused on consolidating our business to fewer and larger platforms and focused on efficiency, cost reductions, and creating scalable solutions.

One year ago, we redefined our financial targets, focusing on growth at least in line with the market and reaching the 5% pre-pandemic levels of profitability in the first phase and then the 7% EBIT margin we have in our financial targets. The main components of our strategy boils down to achieve growth through continued organic expansion, group-driven strategic initiatives, and using bolt-on M&A as a growth lever in new categories, geographies, and customer segments.

Take and secure lead in key categories using a combination of our multi-destination, multi-banner strategy and the combo of dropship-based and inventory-based business models to provide the best offer to the consumer of own and external brands, thereby serving multiple customer segments. Using the asset-light and scalable online model with low fixed cost and a core focus on cost control to enable the best offer to the consumer.

As a consequence of continued increase in price transparency for the consumer, enabled by various online tech developments, we believe that price pressure and margin pressure will most likely continue to increase over time, and low-cost structure will be the key competitive advantage to enable the best offer to the consumer. The generated cash flow will be used to reduce our net debts, but also to fuel strategic initiatives and M&A. Slide 8, please.

Before I leave it to Jesper, a few words about the more immediate future and the tactical focus of this year. To secure that we take our share of a gradually improving market, which means that we are back to focus on market share, we must secure that we grow faster than the market. To ensure that we maintain the cost levels we have worked so hard to achieve and thereby realize the cost leverage with growing volumes, something we are pleased that we managed to achieve in the first quarter. Strengthen and secure our focus on customer satisfaction. Coming out of the restructuring phase, we have increased our focus on providing a positive customer journey through all customer touchpoints in all entities. With that, I would like to leave it to Jesper to take us through the numbers.

Jesper Flemme
CFO, BHG

Thank you, Gustaf. Slide 9, please. For the second consecutive quarter, we saw organic growth, and the growth rate improved significantly compared to previous quarter. Net sales increased by 10%, reaching SEK 2.2 billion, and organic growth was 8.2%. From a geographical perspective, we continued to experience favorable growth in our largest market of Sweden, driven by all three segments, but mainly Value Home.

Also, Germany noted strong performance driven by Premium Living through Nordic Nest, as well as successful geographical expansion in Home Improvement. Category-wise, we saw a broader recovery in demand and achieved growth in most of our core categories. Turning now to page 10 and profitability. Profitability improved significantly compared to last year, Adjusted EBIT amounted to SEK 21.2 million in the quarter, corresponding to an EBIT margin of 1.0%. All three segments are profitable in the quarter and contributed to the SEK 22 million improvement over last year. The stronger SEK affects our segments differently. Value Home has a positive effect because with purchases in U.S. dollars, while Premium Living has a negative effect as a result of a large share of sales outside Sweden. The group as a whole is negatively affected. Move on to slide 11 and the EBIT bridge.

We improved our EBIT margin by 1.0 percentage points in the quarter, mainly by reducing and leveraging our fixed costs. Organizational costs have decreased by SEK 8 million and D&A by SEK 10 million compared to the corresponding period last year. Another positive in the quarter is marketing costs, which have been improved through increased efficiency, mainly in the Value Home segment. The lower product margin was primarily driven by high comps in Home Improvement, mixed effects from increased sales of outdoor furniture, and both high campaign pressure and currency effects in Premium Living. All in all, our EBIT margin amounted to 1.0% in the quarter. Slide 12 and cash flow, please. Cash flow from operating activities amounted to - SEK 103 million, driven by a negative working capital development, in turn driven by inventory build-up ahead of the outdoor season.

The right-hand graph showing the development in liquidity walks us through the starting period position of SEK 473 million, deducting the cash flow from operations and the impact of investing activities, and finally adding the financing activities, which are primarily related to utilization of our revolving credit facility and amortization of leasing liabilities, but also include interest payments. Bringing us to the period end, SEK 418 million of liquidity . Slide 13, please. The group's net debt amounted to SEK 1.3 billion at the end of the quarter, and net debt in relation to LTM Adjusted EBITDA ended at 3.9x . On top of our liquidity at hand, we had unutilized credit facilities at the end of the quarter of SEK 600 million. Acquisition-related liabilities amounted to SEK 349 million at the end of the quarter.

Cash flow-wise, SEK 149 million will be paid out this year, including SEK 27 million regarding IP-Agency. Worth noting is that IP-Agency has subsequently, after the end of the period, been sold for EUR 5 million, corresponding to SEK 54 million. With that, I will hand it back over to you, Gustaf, to summarize and conclude.

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

Thank you very much, Jesper. Let me try to summarize this. The market has improved in the first quarter with strengthened demand, and our outlook is unchanged that the market will continue to gradually improve during the coming year. With that said, the market uncertainty has significantly increased during the last few weeks. We see strong growth and profitability improvements in all three business units in the first quarter of the year.

Our tactical focus for the coming year is unchanged, focused on growth and market share and to secure our cost levels to drive profit through cost leverage and maintain an increased focus on the consumer. We have worked hard, and we now have a well-defined plan and a strong position leaving the restructuring phase. We are confident but humble entering the next phase of profitable growth to capitalize on a gradually improving market. Thank you very much for listening, and now happy to do our very best to answer your questions. Thank you.

Operator

To ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key six o n your telephone keypad. Question comes from Johan Fred from SEB. Please go ahead.

Johan Fred
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Yeah, hi, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. Firstly, solid organic growth in Q1 and your sales figures came in ahead of consensus. However, the drop through to earnings was a bit lower than expected, and Adjusted EBIT was significantly lower than consensus estimate. Is the deviation solely due to the lower gross margin and FX, or what are we missing here? I think the discrepancy between top-line growth and EBIT growth is quite large. Could you help guide us?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

Hi, Johan. I'll do my best. It's Gustaf here. First, I should say and just point out that we think this is a very, very solid report, and we're very happy both on top line and on profitability, actually, considering the improvements we did from previous year. With that said, top line, as you say, super good. Gross margin is the area where we're not entirely happy in all segments. It's a slightly varied picture.

As Jesper mentioned in the call, it's primarily gross margin in Value Home to some extent, but also gross margin in Premium Living that we're not entirely happy with. The main reasons are, I would say, campaign pressure, especially in Premium Living and Nordic Nest, but also the fact which comes from mix. We have sold more garden furniture, which has, of course, driven top line, but that is a segment where we have lower margins.

This year, we had a little bit of the warmer period earlier coming in Q1, which drove outdoor furniture, and thereby we get a slightly negative effect on gross margin. Also, as Jesper explained, an FX effect affects us as well. I think in general, top line super good. Gross margin could have been better, yes, but we don't think it's completely off. Direct selling cost well in control, and SG&A well in control, and actually proud of what we achieved on the result.

Johan Fred
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Got it. Thank you for the clarification. Another question here on your sort of wording around your outlook. It seems to be a bit more cautious than previously and sort of quoting a greater future uncertainty than what you saw previously. At the same time, you also highlight that the U.S. exposure is fairly limited and that your largest market, Sweden, is performing well, and the macro indicators are positive there. Have you seen anything in sort of any tangible changes during April that has changed your view?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

As you know, we do not comment on sales, but I think we can all agree that the uncertainty in the market has increased in the last few weeks following the sort of geopolitical turmoil. As I said, to what extent that will affect the consumer, we still do not know. That is too early to say. I think it is important to highlight, as I did, that disposable income and most macro indicators are developing in the right direction. Of course, we have to add the fact that there is an added insecurity in the market given what we are seeing right now.

Johan Fred
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Okay, so it is a fair assumption that your statement around the uncertainty is relating to what we are seeing in the overall markets rather than you having seen any tangible impact on your numbers because Swedish and Nordic consumers should be fairly, besides sort of spillover effect on consumer confidence, should be fairly unaffected by the tariffs, right?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

I would answer yes to that question.

Johan Fred
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Thanks so much. Those were all of my questions for now. Thank you for taking the time.

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

Thank you.

Operator

Question comes from Daniel Schmidt from Danske. Please go ahead.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

Yes, good morning, Gustaf and Jesper and Jacob. Just coming back to that question when it comes to significantly increased when it comes to uncertainty. Of course, everyone can follow the news, but if you incorporate the fact that your biggest market also has played in your favor when it comes to political decisions in the other direction in terms of ROT-avdrag , which is already in play, how do you square that?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

With the risk of repeating myself, as I said, most macro indicators are turning in the right direction right now. Of course, the increased ROT-avdrag on the Swedish market, we hope and believe is a positive driver. We also have a high level of activity on the housing market. All macro cadres and disposable income is developing in the right direction, but needs to be balanced at least the risk of added uncertainty and how that will affect consumer confidence.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

I understand the first part, of course. I'm just saying that what has also happened in the late part of Q1 at the same time as this happened on sort of the global arena is that the Swedish government came out with this sort of increase. You do not mention that specifically. Are you feeling that the overall uncertainty when it comes to geopolitical turmoil is much more relevant for you?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

I think we're into questions now that it's very, very hard to answer. I mean, the uncertainty is there. We do not know to what extent it will affect the consumer. Again, coming back, the macro cadres are going in the right direction. We think and believe that the ROT-avdrag change will have a significant positive effect on the market development, yes. If that was unclear, I will just highlight that now.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

I just think when you read your comment initially, it is a bit one-sided, and maybe that is the way it is. That is why I just wanted to clarify a bit. Maybe there is more dynamics to it than at first sight, basically, what you see at first sight. The fact that outdoor furniture was selling better, I guess, in March than last year, is that a good indication for the spring season into Q2?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

I think it is always a good sign when the season starts early. You want to get the outdoor and garden season started, and that is now started. That is definitely a positive sign, yes.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

Is there anything weather-wise that has surprised you negatively so far in Q2?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

We do not comment on Q2.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

Okay, but just referring to outdoor furniture, I guess that is quite dependent on weather. That was probably quite favorable in March. Is there anything that you can point to that has changed that? You do not want to comment on that, or?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

No, as we said, the outdoor season started well, and outdoor furniture was off to a good start in the first quarter.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

Okay. Thank you. That is all for me.

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

Thank you.

Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad. No more questions at this time. I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

Moderator

All right, one written question. With improved profitability and stronger market position, what is your take on M&A looking forward?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

I can start. We have a positive view on M&A. It's part of our model. We have used it successfully in the past, and we continue to evaluate options continuously. Our focus is still unchanged currently to look at sort of lower risk bolt-ons rather than platform acquisitions. That is something that we are doing. We have a structured approach of how to do it. Much of the cash flow that we generate will be used for M&A because we believe it's a good way to continue to grow our business. Anything you would like to add there, Jesper?

Jesper Flemme
CFO, BHG

No.

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

Good. That's all. Any further questions?

Operator

Question comes from Daniel Schmidt from Danske. Please go ahead.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

Yes, I have a follow-up as well, maybe more for Jesper. The SEK 149 million in earnest/deferred payments that are cashed out this year, is that all related to Q2?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

Yes, everything will be settled in Q2 as well as the payment we received from selling IP Agency of SEK 54 million.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

Yeah, exactly. You have the SEK 149 million, and I assume that's Huma and IP Agency, and then maybe something more smaller if I got it right, and maybe I'm wrong. You get the cash in when it comes to IP Agency. Apart from that, I think Q2 usually is a fairly good cash flow quarter. When you look at it and given what you already know is going to be cashed out, is there a good chance that you will neutralize that cash out with normal cash flow in the quarter?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

Yes. I mean, the normal seasonal pattern is that we have a very strong cash flow in Q2. Absolutely, yes.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

If you continue to deliver on your profitability path that you're on, where you've seen increasing profitability for the past six quarters, even though you have this cash out, you're into a good quarter when it comes to cash flow. Implicitly, you should be able to take down net debt EBITDA again, which is quite elevated now after Q1.

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

Absolutely. As you say, the increase in leverage is only to do with the seasonal pattern and us increasing inventory ahead of the outdoor season. Yes, leverage will come down, should come down.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

Okay. The remaining SEK 200 million, which I think is going to be paid out in 2026 to 2028, is that evenly spread?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

Yes, I think that's a fair assumption.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

That is it, basically. There's nothing more that we haven't talked about when it comes to these deferred payments?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

No.

Daniel Schmidt
Corporate Financial Analyst, Danskee

No. Okay. Thank you. Good.

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

Thank you.

Moderator

Okay. One more written question. Can you elaborate on the effect exposure related to U.S. dollars and euros in some more detail?

Gustaf Öhrn
CEO, BHG

I will try. I think there's two effects. We have the translation effect from consolidating subsidiaries with a reporting currency other than SEK. There, a strong SEK is negative. We have the transaction effect, and that one you can split in two. We have purchases of products from Asia paid in U.S. dollars. We have a net negative flow in U.S. dollars of roughly SEK 600 million a year, or at least it was SEK 600 million last year. The greater flow is from sales outside Sweden, and that is mainly in euros and NOK. That flow is bigger than the one going in U.S. dollars. Thereby, the total effect on the group is negative from a stronger SEK. Thank you. That was all. Any further questions? We thank you very much for listening, and thank you for good questions. Thank you very much. Goodbye.

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