Boule Diagnostics AB (publ) (STO:BOUL)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2024

Feb 11, 2025

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the Fourth Quarter's Earnings Call for Boule Diagnostics. I'm Holger Lembrér, CFO for Boule Diagnostics. With me, I have our CEO, Torben Nielsen, and after our presentations, we will open up for questions. Please also feel free to type questions in the chat field along the presentation. With that, I'm handing over to our CEO, Torben.

Torben Nielsen
CEO, Boule Diagnostics

Thank you, Holger, and good morning to everybody on the call. Let's begin by taking a look at the Q4 highlights. Overall, it was a stable quarter in which we delivered slightly below last year. Instrument unit sales closed slightly above last year; however, overall sales were negatively impacted by a lower average selling price on our instruments. Consumable sales were, as expected, negatively impacted by the transition to a licensed manufacturing model in India. This impact will further increase as we ramp up production in India for both consumables and now also instruments in 2025. OEM compensated partly for the lower sales and once again delivered a strong quarter. Our primary focus in 2024 has been on expanding our operating margins through structural cost reductions and fostering a culture of operational excellence. In Q4, we executed our third and most comprehensive restructuring round to date.

This involved reorganizing our R&D team, streamlining operations, and reducing overhead costs, resulting in an annualized savings in spend of approximately SEK 18 million. In the process, we established a new supply chain function, integrating purchasing, planning, and order management to optimize our processes and enhance our customer service. In R&D, we restructured the team and put in place new leadership tasked with challenging the project plan and scope. Finally, we have transferred all product maintenance projects to a newly formed product engineering team in operations. We delivered significant improvements in both operating profit and margin, and we begin to see the impact of all the initiatives we have taken to reduce cost and increase productivity. As a consequence of all these changes, we incurred higher restructuring costs, which adversely impacted our cash flow. From a portfolio perspective, Q4 has also been very eventful.

Our licensed instrument manufacturing site in India went live in Q4, as scheduled, and we booked our first instrument license revenue in the quarter. We are very pleased to announce that Boule has entered a multi-year exclusive distribution agreement with Vital Scientific for their Clinical Chemistry portfolio in the U.S. Vital Scientific is a leader in benchtop Clinical Chemistry solutions, and they've been in the U.S. market for more than 20 years. Like Boule, Vital Scientific develops and manufactures high-quality instrumentation for the decentralized segment. This agreement represents an important step towards building a more diversified and synergistic portfolio that meets our customers' needs. There is a strong synergistic fit with Boule's portfolio of products. Our companies share similar customer target segments and a similar distribution model. Clinical Chemistry is complementary to hematology, which will add value to our customers and also give us bundle opportunities.

We can leverage our current sales and service infrastructure in the U.S., giving us some operational efficiency gains. We are excited about this future partnership, and we anticipate the commercialization of this agreement to commence in the first half of the year and be fully implemented in the second half of 2025. When fully implemented, this will add approximately SEK 20 million to our US revenue with a good margin profile. In summary, we reported Q4 sales of SEK 143.2 million, down 3.3%, whereof 1.5% was related to currency, leading to a negative 1.8% organic decline, which, if we adjust for the India license model, impact is equivalent to a 1.2% organic growth. Adjusted gross profit was flat at SEK 65.7 million. Adjusted gross margin improved to 45.9% from 44.5% as a consequence of favorable mix and efficiency gains.

Adjusted EBIT significantly improved by 85.7% to SEK 19.5 million as a result of the improved gross profit and lower operating expenses. Adjusted operating margin reached 13.6%, up from 7.1%. Cash flow from operating activities was SEK 15.1 million, and available liquidity at the end of the quarter was SEK 58 million. Looking at our full-year performance, we reported sales of SEK 559 million, down 0.6% organically, which, again, if we adjust for the India license model impact, is equivalent to a 0.4% organic growth. Adjusted Gross profit increased by 2.2% to SEK 250 million. Adjusted EBIT significantly improved by 63% to SEK 64 million, and Adjusted Operating margin reached 11.4%, up 4.5 percentage points. Cash flow from operating activities closed at SEK 47 million. Taking a look at the overall sales by quarter, Q4 was down 1.8% organically.

However, we closed 2024 more or less flat, declining 0.6% organically, which, as I stated earlier, equates to approximately 0.4% organic growth if we adjust for the India license model impact. Looking at sales growth by region in Q4, it was a bit of a mixed bag from a geographical perspective. We had good performance in Latin America, Eastern Europe, and India. In Southeast Asia, we continued to struggle due to competitive pressure from Chinese manufacturers and also local policies favoring local manufactured products. Africa, North America, and Western Europe were challenged in the quarter, and specifically in Africa, we've been challenged with delayed payments blocking new orders. From a product mix perspective, OEM and consumables/license revenue continue to outgrow our instrument revenue. Zooming in at our hematology business specifically, we had a soft quarter. Sales declined by 11.9% for the quarter and full-year closed 6.5% below last year.

Adjusted for license revenue, Q4 closed at approximately negative 3.5%. Main detractors in the quarter were the geographical mix with proportionally higher sales in lower price markets. Instrument unit sales in Q4 totaled 1,144, which was 1% above last year, despite the fact that we activated our instrument license model in India. Reagents and controls business was down 13% for Q4 and flat for the full year. In Q4, we started switching our instrument sales to India to a license model, which will have a negative impact on our top line of estimated SEK 30 million annually, but with a positive margin impact. On the OEM side, we see continued good performance. In Q4, sales grew 10%, and full-year we're growing 14%, which is very encouraging. From Q1 2021 to present, OEM has grown 162%, and our funnel continues to grow and mature.

When we look into the beginning of 2025, we see a lower order pipeline in the beginning of the year, but for the full year, we expect the business to be stable. With that, I'll hand it over to you, Holger, to take a closer look at the financials.

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Thank you, Torben. Starting with the financial summary of the quarter, we had a slightly negative organic sales, as Torben mentioned. If you're looking into the cost of sold goods, that decreased and adjusted gross margin improved for us up to 45.9% compared to 44.5% last year. The positive change was mainly impacted from the efficiency gains in the production, but more so from the conversion over to a license model for India. Operating expenses adjusted for the one-time items related to restructuring decreased with 19.4%. This is mainly an effect of restructuring activities we have implemented throughout the last nine months in 2024. In Q4, we launched a second restructuring program, and that will lower our annual spend of SEK 18 million. This is mainly related to R&D, and that will lower our capitalization of R&D activities throughout 2025.

Altogether, that resulted in a significant decrease of our adjusted operating profit for the quarter and reached 13.6%. Cash flow from operating activities was a bit weaker in the quarter, mainly due to high payments for severance and restructuring payrolls. If we're looking on the full year, we had a slightly lower sales driven by FX, and the changed business model in India impacted us negatively. From a profitability perspective, we have improved the Gross profit with 2 percentage points and lowered our operating expenses with 11%. Altogether, that's lifting our operating margins back into double digits of 11.4% for the full year. If we then take a look on our operating margin on a longer trend, we can now see 11 consecutive quarters with improving margins. Our rolling 12-shot was up from 7.1% last year to 13.6% for 2024.

If we're looking at how it's converting into values, we see here an increase, a meaningful increase of 62% from last year's SEK 39 million up to the SEK 63.8 million we had for 2024. If you're looking into the details then of the cost in relation to sales, the cost of goods decreased 1.4%, mainly as a result of the changed business model for India. Selling expenses was below last year, and this is mainly a result of a reduction of headcounts and other saving activities that we implemented in Q2 and in Q3 2024. Administrative expenses were flat compared to last year. R&D expenses decreased 4.9% due to less consultants, but also partly due to the restructuring we did throughout Q4 of our R&D organization. In total, operation expenses were 6.2 percentage points lower compared to last year in relation to sales.

Our operating income expenses were negatively, mainly due to the fact that we had a negative currency impact from conversions from U.S. dollars to SEK. All in all, together, an improvement of the profitability margin with 6.5%. Looking then on the cash flow chart, the cash flow was a bit softer in the quarter, and this is mainly due to severance payments we have for the activities of restructuring implemented in the second and in the third quarter, partly also due to activities done in the fourth quarter. When we're looking into 2025, we have about SEK 6 million in severance payments to do in the quarter. Cash flow is expected to be lower in the beginning of the year and then turn into a more positive territory in the second half of 2025.

If we compare our cash flow conversion from operating activities with our EBITDA Adjusted for the write-downs we've done for Russia and intangible assets, the conversion rate reached 97% for the full year. Taking a look on the liquidity and credit facility, we ended the quarter with a cash position of SEK 23 million, and including an additional unused credit facilities of SEK 35 million, it's taking us to an available liquidity level of SEK 58 million. We had a net cash EBIT of - 0.2 times in the quarter end. In the quarter, we also increased our revolving credit facility with $2 million. With that, I'm leaving it back to Torben.

Torben Nielsen
CEO, Boule Diagnostics

Thanks, Holger. Q4 marks the culmination of a year of significant transformation. Our focus has been on executing on our three strategic priorities that we outlined in the second quarter of 2024.

During the recent three quarters, we have successfully streamlined the organization and are now in a much better position to focus on our broader strategic priorities. While the continued work around improving our profitability remains a top priority for 2025, we will also be making steps towards accelerating organic growth and building a stronger growth-oriented portfolio. We have taken the first initial steps with our instrument license manufacturing in India and our distribution agreement with Vital Scientific in the U.S. Finally, to sum up our performance, I would say that it has been a stable Q4 and a stable year. We have made significant improvements towards our financial target of reaching 15% operating margin. We continue our efforts to improve our profitability through process improvement and reductions in structural cost. Finally, we will focus on relentless execution of our three strategic priorities. That concludes our presentation.

Thank you for your attention, and let's open it up for Q&A. The first question comes from Christian Lee. Please unmute yourself and ask the question.

Speaker 4

Thank you. Good morning. I hope you can hear me. Hello? Can you hear me?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Christian, can you please repeat your question?

Speaker 4

Can you hear me?

Speaker 6

I can hear you, Christian. I don't know.

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

We can hear you, Christian. Please come again. Sorry. Christian, will you please repeat your question? We have a sound back here in the studio. Okay. It sounds like we can't hear Christian. Patrick, sorry, Philip Ekengren, you have raised your arm. Please feel free to ask a question and unmute yourself.

Philip Ekengren
Equity Research Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Thanks very much, Holger. This is Philip from ABG. I have a few questions here, maybe starting on costs. The gross margin, what should we expect in terms of run rate for 2025? Is the adjusted gross margin for Q4 the best proxy going forward, or how should we think about that? Thanks.

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Our gross margin is, I would say, pretty affected by the mix of sales we have because we have pretty different margin profiles of different businesses. Underlying, of course, the shift into a license model in India will work favorably for a gross margin over time. It's hard to give you an exact guidance for it, but underlying that would support the margin step by step, gross margin-wise. It still will be impacted also by the mix.

Philip Ekengren
Equity Research Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Roger that. Thank you. On OpEx, clear improvements here year over year. What can you say about that? You took some additional restructuring costs now in Q4. Is that the last cost we can expect related to the restructuring, or is there more to come?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

It's hard to say any predictions for the future. If we're looking into what we did in Q4, we made a significant restructuring of our R&D organization. You should mostly see that as it will be a lower capitalization of R&D going into 2025 because the organization will be smaller and basically also lower investments into R&D. Less of an impact on the cost, but of course, on the cash flow side, it will have a positive impact.

Philip Ekengren
Equity Research Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

On the improvements on OpEx, that should kind of continue going forward, or should we expect a return to higher OpEx levels in 2025?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

I mean, the addition we've done throughout the year is to get the OpEx run rate lower. That you see clearly for the full year. What I say, and the additions we did in the second and third quarter, which is a result of in the fourth quarter, that is, of course, to remain when we're going into 2025. The activities we did in Q4 were mainly related to R&D, and that will lower the capitalization of R&D spend.

Philip Ekengren
Equity Research Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Roger that. Thanks. Clear message here. On sales, I have a question regarding the number of sold instruments. That seems to have been down year over year in Q3 and then flat now in Q4. Can you comment on that and give more color on it?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

I think that our performance in Q4 was in line with our expectations. We see that in the market, there is a continued shift towards five-part technology. However, there's still sufficient demand for our three-part technology. I think it was a stable performance we had in 2024.

Philip Ekengren
Equity Research Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

On the lower selling price on the instruments, any comment on that?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

I think that what we are experiencing in the market is, of course, as a consequence of the market demand slowly shifting towards five-part technology, that puts pressure on the general pricing for three-part solutions. We saw that pressure both in Q3 and in Q4, but that's also coupled with the fact that we have taken a more aggressive approach in our sales. We are sort of balancing the install-based growth objective with a slightly lower average selling price.

Philip Ekengren
Equity Research Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Perfect. Thank you. Finally, from me, any news on the development of the new five-part system, any updated timeline or anything of that sort?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

No, we're not communicating any updated timeline. As we alluded to, we have done a rather significant restructure of our R&D department in Q4. It's no secret that the BM950 project historically has suffered many delays. We've taken more of a proactive approach, changing the leadership, making sure that we get fresh eyes on the project. As we stated here, right now, this team is reviewing the project plan and the scope. For now, we are not communicating any changes to our plans.

Philip Ekengren
Equity Research Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Perfect. That was all for me. Thank you very much, guys.

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Thank you. Thank you, Philip. I see, Christian, you're back on the call. Please unmute yourself and try again.

Speaker 4

Yes. Good morning. I hope you can hear me now.

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Yes. Loud and clear.

Speaker 4

Okay. Great. Thank you. You mentioned that capitalization of your expenses in product development would decrease in 2025. You have previously indicated that the investments into the new platform would amount to around SEK 45 million. Are there any changes?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Given that the spend was a little bit lower in Q4 than we had guided for, it might be that SEK 45 million is a few million too low. Yeah, SEK 50 million would probably be a better proxy than something like that.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thank you. Can you also talk about the distribution agreement with Vital Scientific? You mentioned that it will add sales of SEK 20 million when fully implemented with an attractive margin. How will this impact the margins going forward?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

I'm not sure I understand the question. Could you rephrase the last bit, please?

Speaker 4

Yeah. This agreement with Vital Scientific, will it have a positive impact on the margins or negative?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

I think that remains to be seen. I think that to give you a little bit more context on the Vital business, it's comprising of both sales and service. The first part that will be implemented will be the sales piece of the business, and service will then follow in the later half of the year. I would say that the margin profile is comparable to the profile that we have here at Boule. I would say from a percentage perspective, it will probably not change much, but it will add profitable revenue to our business.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thank you. As you're wrapping up the license sales in India for instruments as well, should we expect the instrument sales to decrease in 2025?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Yeah. As we earlier communicated in Q4, we gave you an example. If we, let's say, would sell the same volume as in 2023, but with a license module instead, it would probably have an impact on the top line of around SEK 30 million.

Speaker 4

Okay. That includes both regions and instruments.

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Yeah.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thank you. That's all from me.

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

What's happening in 2024. Yeah, that will continue also into 2025.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thank you.

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Okay. Any more questions? Thank you, Christian. We have a question coming in from Rickard. Rickard, please unmute yourself and ask your question.

Speaker 5

Yes. Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. Just two questions, please. First, it would be interesting to hear an update on the five-part system development, just essentially checking in a little bit on the timelines and the status of moving into sort of clinical validation steps moving forward. I'll start there with maybe a bit of an update there.

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Yeah. Thanks, Rickard. Maybe just coming back to my previous statement here, we did a rather comprehensive restructure in this quarter of the R&D team, and we put in place a new leadership. We asked the new leadership team to take a look at the current plan, the current scope of the project, to check if there are any, you can say, material changes or material risks that we should be aware of related to the project now that we have fresh eyes on the project. For now, we are still in the planning phase. We have not communicated any changes to the plans that we have communicated in the last earnings call. From that perspective, there's really no change in the timing of the project as such.

Speaker 5

Okay. That's great. I just noticed in the quarter, it seems to be quite a step up in sales in Russia, if I'm not mistaken. Any flavor on the driver of that, any stocking or any other dynamic to keep in mind? I just wanted to follow up on that number. Thank you.

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

No, I would say this is more a reflection of timing. I would say, generally speaking, Russia performed to our expectations for the year. We were possibly a little back-end loaded for the year when it comes to Russia. It was maybe more of a timing impact than anything else.

Speaker 5

Okay. I noticed also in the CEO letter and the commentary previously, you mentioned sort of timing of orders or phasing of orders impacting the quarter overall, not specifically in that region. Could you add a comment on or elaborate a little bit on that comment, just to put it in perspective?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Yeah. I mean, we operate in various different geographies, but I will say that in Q4, we were challenged specifically in Africa, where we were facing problems with receiving payments in time. That, of course, held back orders that will then be pushed into the following quarter. I would say that we've probably seen more challenges in Africa in Q4 relative to what we have seen in the previous three quarters. That could be, again, just a timing issue, but I think it's something that impacted our quarter-end close this year.

Speaker 5

Okay. That's great. Any possibility to quantify roughly that magnitude of that delay or phasing?

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

That would be difficult for us to quantify that. We would not want to give any forward-looking statements here.

Speaker 5

Okay. That's clear. Thanks for taking my questions.

Holger Lembrér
CFO, Boule Diagnostics

Thank you.

Thank you, Rickard. I think that was the last question we had on the call. With that, I'm thanking everybody for participating and listening into the year-end call for Boule Diagnostics. I wish you all a great day. Thank you very much. Thank you.

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