Bravida Holding AB (publ) (STO:BRAV)
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May 4, 2026, 5:29 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q1 2025

May 6, 2025

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to this presentation of Bravida's first quarter report of 2025. My name is Mattias Johansson, CEO of Bravida, and on my side is...

Åsa Neving
CFO, Bravida

Åsa Neving, CFO.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Then we...

Åsa Neving
CFO, Bravida

We start.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Yeah, thank you, everyone, for joining. As you know, Bravida is a partner company who makes your life a much lot easier. We make sure that your daily routines are working. We help you with systems regarding heating and plumbing, electricity, ventilation, security system, etc. We actually want to create the experience of when it just works and make your life a better place to be in. Bravida, we are acting in a very tricky market for the moment, and still we are able to show quite a stable performance, I would say. The reason behind that is that we are in many different places. We work with a lot of different types of customers in different segments, and we are providing our services throughout all 14,000 skilled employees, 84,000 customers, 350 branches in 40 regions in four countries.

When we sum this up, it actually adds up to close to SEK 30 billion in revenue. The highlights from the first quarter, as you all know, we are in a very tricky market and still, or maybe because of a very selective way of working with new projects, customers, etc., and high focus on cost control, we have been able to present an improved margin in all four countries. Net sales is down 5%. Order intake decreased 1%. The reason behind that is because the only way to handle a market like this is to be very selective on the business we try to win. Growing this business is the same as we are exposing ourselves to high risk. We are very selective. We can see an increased order intake in Norway, Finland, and Denmark.

The order backlog increased in all countries compared to the previous quarter, and all in all with SEK 658 million. EBITDA margin is up to 4.5% compared to 4% last year. One of the reasons is, of course, that we can see continued improvement in our Danish business. You also should remember that we have some seasonality regarding the margin. Q1 is always the quarter with the lowest margin. The cash flow is good. The operating cash flow is close to SEK 300 million. Cash conversion is above 100%, and we have a very strong balance sheet. Low debt level and debt compared to EBITDA is around one. That, of course, gives us opportunity to continue to develop Bravida going forward. We have really good scores on the sustainability KPIs like the injuries and the CO2 emissions in our business.

The net sales, the bridge from Q1 last year is that we have a negative organic growth with SEK 460 million. We are adding M&A SEK 120 million plus, and then we have some currency effect around SEK 50 million, and that actually is taking us to the SEK 6.888 billion in sales. Organic growth is negative. We can still see a stable performance in the service business, which is good, and that is something that is one of the advantages of Bravida. Close to 50% of our sales revenue is service, and the other part is installation. EBITDA in Q1, despite the fact that the revenue is down, we are able to increase our EBITDA manually and also improve the margin. So the EBITDA is SEK 307 million compared to SEK 294 million last year, and the margin is 4.5% compared to 4%.

We see margin improvements in all countries, and Denmark is the country who's done the best improvement from 1% to 3.5%, and that is pretty much in line with what we have expected and what we have communicated from before as well. EBITDA margin in Sweden and Finland is up 10 basis points, and Norway, who has the highest margin in this quarter, is 5.2% compared to 4.9%. The order intake and the backlog, we still are acting in a very tough market, but the order intake, very much depending on the strong service business, is up. It's up in Norway, Denmark, and Finland. It decreased in Sweden, but you should remember that last year we had a really big contract coming into the books in Q1 2024. That was the underground in Stockholm. The order backlog increased in all countries.

The order backlog is only containing the business regarding the installation and not the service business. ESG, we want to be the market leader in this segment, and today we have close to 40% of all our 8,800 vehicles electrical driven. That, of course, gives a really solid improvement in the CO2 emissions from vehicles, down 15% the last 12 months. If we compare to 2020 as a base and also take into consideration the high growth we have had since that, the improvement is actually 38%. The injuries, LTIFR, is close to our group target now at 5.5. Sweden and Finland are improving a lot. Norway is already on low numbers. We hope that we can improve this in Denmark the coming quarter so we on group level can reach our target.

Because it's, of course, very important for us to have a safe environment for all our employees as well as the customers we are working together with. Acquisitions, it has been a slow quarter in Q1, but last year we did 10 acquisitions, slightly less than we normally do in a normal year, but that is not depending on the low amount of opportunities we're having. We still have a really strong pipeline, but we are very thorough about what acquisitions we are doing. We have started Q2 by doing one quite large acquisition, adding close to SEK 350 million in the second quarter. We think that we can continue to use our balance sheet going forward because of the strong pipeline and the momentum we have due to our model of doing acquisitions as well.

Because we see that our way of doing acquisition is seen as a more favorable one than some of the other players in the market are using. In Denmark, we haven't focused on acquisitions so far. We have focused on improving our own profitability, but now we are opening up for discussions, starting to work in Denmark with acquisitions as well. In Norway, we have been a bit blocked as well for internal reasons because of the integration of Thunestvedt, which is going due to plan in Q1. They actually were merged into our ERP system, and it is still in line with what we have expected. Opportunities are many. Pipeline is strong, and we still see that the price levels are very stable. With that, I hand over to you, Åsa, and let you present the different segments.

Åsa Neving
CFO, Bravida

Thank you. I will take you through the countries. As usual, we will start with Sweden, where we had a decrease in sales of 6%, ending up at SEK 3.3 billion. This is explained by the soft market that we have in the southern part of Sweden and also our strict project selection due to that. The southern part of Sweden had a volume decrease of SEK 250 million year- on- year. We had service sales that was down -10%, and installation was down -3%. The organic growth was 8%- , and we had some growth from acquisitions of 1%. EBITDA was SEK 165 million versus SEK 172 million, but even though we had a soft market and decreased sales, we managed to defend and also increase slightly our margin to 5.1% compared to 5.2% last year. The order intake was 10%- year- on- year.

If you look at last year, we had two larger orders coming into the books in Q1. We had an order backlog that increased during the quarter in Sweden. Moving on to Norway, net sales was down 12% to SEK 1.4 billion. This is due to decreasing sales in the installation business. Last year, we had a couple of projects, mainly hospitals, with high production in the first quarter. The comps were pretty tough. The organic growth was - 10%, and there was a negative effect of FX also on 2%. I can say that installation growth was actually down 25% due to these high comps that we had last year. EBITDA, SEK 74 million versus SEK 79 million. Here, we managed to improve the EBITDA margin despite the lower sales to 5.2% compared to 4.9%. The margin improvement is coming from the installation business.

The order intake in Norway was + 8%, and the order intake is coming from installation that was up 37% in the quarter. We are happy to see that. We are also happy to see that it is healthy projects that we are getting into the order backlog. The order backlog increased by SEK 173 million in the quarter. Denmark, happy to see that Denmark is continuing to improve as planned. In Denmark, we have a growth in sales of 5%, ending up at SEK 1.7 billion. This is due to a strong growth in the service business, + 5%. We also have organic growth in Denmark of 5%. EBITDA is SEK 60 million versus SEK 16 million last year. I am really happy to see that this improvement is continuing. The EBITDA margin improved to 3.5% versus 1% last year.

It is due to a better performance in both installation and the service business. Order intake is up 4%. This is coming from the service business. The order backlog increased by SEK 142 million in the quarter. Finland is a tough market. The sales growth was down 4%, and the growth in the installation business was - 10%, and the growth in service business was + 11%. Net sales ended up at SEK 548 million. It was a negative organic growth of -17%. We have done some acquisitions in Finland, so the growth of acquisitions was + 13%. EBITDA 8% versus 7% last year. Also here, the EBITDA margin improved. We managed to defend the margin in this tough market also. The improved margin is coming from the installation business. Order intake increased by 20% year- on- year.

This is also a strong order intake from installation, which is improving by 43% in local currency. Order backlog increased by SEK 150 million in the quarter. That was the countries. To summarize that, just to stress what Mattias said, we have, even though the sales is decreasing in all countries except for Denmark, managed to defend the margin in this very tough market and also improve margin in all countries. We have a growing order backlog with healthy projects. By that, we will move into the financial position, which is continuing to be strong. If you look at the chart in the middle, you see the operating cash flow. It is still on a strong level, SEK 280 million versus SEK 399 million last year. The difference here is actually a supplementary tax payment that we did in Denmark this quarter.

That's the main difference here between these quarters. Looking at the financial position on the left-hand side, you can see that we have a cash balance of SEK 608 million. We have a debt of SEK 1.3 billion, and we have a term loan, and we are using commercial papers. We're not drawing anything from the RCF right now. The leasing according to IFRS 16 is SEK 1.4 billion. This leads to a net debt of SEK 2.2 billion. With the LTM EBITDA also on SEK 2.1 billion, we have a net debt/EBITDA, LTM EBITDA ratio of 1x. Cash conversion improved, as Mattias said, to 201% versus 90% last year. We still have two large unpaid receivables, one in Denmark, one in Norway, that we expect to be resolved in the end of this year, so last quarter.

We still have one additional large unpaid receivable in Denmark that has not changed since the last quarter. We do not expect it to be resolved until 2028. To summarize, low net debt, strong cash flow. By that, Mattias, I will hand it back to you.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Thank you. I then get the opportunity to talk about the market. First, I think I want to say that the service activity continues to be very stable. That is a big reason why we can be as stable as we are today. Close to 50% of the revenue is service, as you know. The challenges in the installation business are probably going to continue for a while. There are big differences between different geographies. It is some areas where we have normal markets, some areas where we actually have a quite good market, and then we have areas where the market is really, really tough. Again, that is what you get when you invest in Bravida. We do not have low demand in all places at the same time, but we still see that there will be some challenges going forward.

We saw after, in the end of Q4, beginning of Q1, there were positive discussions with customers, and there still are in some areas. We are actually a bit positive regarding the underlying demand in the market. As I said in the report, it seems like some customers have paused the decision a bit because of the uncertainty in the global environment for the moment. We are a bit positive at the same time as we really do not know when it starts to kick in. We can probably say that 2025 will be a difficult year, not tougher. I think it has bottomed out, definitely. We will have some easier comps going forward. The orders we are winning now or the coming quarters will not start until 2026.

There are some areas where there are very favorable market conditions, for example, in infrastructure, industry, defense facilities, and civil engineering. That gives us business opportunities. Bravida is a solid, strong, competent partner to our clients in those types of projects. We think that we are in a good position to actually win these types of contracts. We have the knowledge, we have the financial stability. We also hear from the organization now that we are not winning projects on price. Åsa said that the orders we have been winning are actually decent or good margin in those projects. That is because customers are very interested in buying from a financially stable partner, and that's us. We will maintain our project selectivity strategy because that is the only way to go through this type of cycle in the market.

We will focus on margin before volume. I think we have proven that in the first quarter, when the revenue is down 5%, and we still are improving the margin and have strong cash flows. On top of that, we still see an attractive pipeline of possible acquisitions to do. We have a balance sheet that supports that action, and we will do acquisitions going forward. Shortly about the financial targets. You all know that we have a margin target above 7%, which we won't reach this year. That is a target over the cycle. We will get closer to it for every year now. We have a strong cash conversion. We have reached that target for many, many years. Debt level is below target. Sales growth for the moment is not met. The dividend, I think it's paid out tomorrow.

That is well above the target of 50%. If we should summarize the quarter, top line is down 5%, and that is mainly due to the installation business. Service business is really, really stable. We are growing from acquisitions with 2%. We have all increased order intake in Denmark, Norway, and Finland year- on- year. We have increased order backlog with good margins in those contracts in all countries compared to last quarter. We see improved margin in all countries. Stable cash conversion and good cash flow and the ESG KPIs like LTIFR and the CO2 emissions are improving a lot. Before we take questions, I just want to mention that we have the next report in the beginning of July. We have the third quarter on the 24th of October.

Seems quite distant now because we have a lot of work to do before that. With that, we open up for questions. Please.

Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key six on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Karl Nor én from SEB. Please go ahead.

Karl Norén
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Yes, good morning. A couple of questions from my side. Maybe if we start on Denmark, you state there that you still have a negative margin in the installation business driven by that you still have production of low margin projects. I'm just wondering, how long do you think you will have to produce on these low margin projects? Or when are they finished? Will we then see a more step-up change in the margin, you think? First question, thank you.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Yeah, should you start, Åsa? Yeah.

Åsa Neving
CFO, Bravida

I think, I mean, there will be some projects that are from the sort of the old days. They will continuously get out from the books. There are also some provisions to take care of those. I mean, they will fade out. There will maybe be some left in this quarter, but by the end of the year, they will be out of the books.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

It is not correct that you have a negative margin in the installation business. We are making money on the installation business, but it is impacted to some part of a few projects, yeah.

Karl Norén
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Okay. Yeah, yeah, that's clear. Maybe I read it the wrong way there, but that's good. I have a question on Sweden. I mean, the market environment continues to look quite challenging, especially in the south of Sweden, as you mentioned. Despite this, your margins are quite stable. I'm just wondering, do you think you can expect to continue to protect the margins at similar levels compared to last year? Is it possible to see kind of slightly improved margins year- over- year underlying, I mean, adjusted for the Northvolt write-downs and the one that you had last year? Do you think it's reasonable to expect continued margin resilience in Sweden?

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

I think we will be very stable if that means that we are improving the margin or if we are a bit on the negative side. Of course, that's very hard to answer. We expect that the south part of Sweden will improve in 2025 compared to 2024 because we did some quite big measures last year, which was actually giving us some cost and actually impacted the margin as well when we scaled down the business. We have a flexible cost structure, as you know, but that costed something to take out all those resources in 2024. We think that we can continue to improve our margin in the south part of Sweden, be stable in the central part of Sweden, Stockholm area. I think the key question is that if the market keeps up in the north part.

If it does, then I think we will have a stable margin in north, high margin in north. It might be a small risk that the market weakens a bit in the north part of Sweden, which automatically will impact our earnings. All in all, I think that we will see stable margins in Sweden and hopefully a bit improved in 2025. That is to be proved.

Karl Norén
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Yeah, good. Then it's the final one for me on your recent acquisition there in Borlänge. I mean, I'm just looking at it. It's quite big, but it has varied quite a lot in sales during the last couple of years. I'm just wondering what you expect from that going forward in terms of sales. Should we think that the SEK 350 million level, is that reasonable, or do you expect it to come down, or how should we think?

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

No, I know we are very thorough in our due diligence, work with due diligence. I think that is why we have taken down the pace of acquisitions a bit. We think that they have a solid order backlog. It is always a question of timing. If you look at 2025 specifically, it might vary a bit. If you are looking on the rolling 12, we think that we can keep the top line. I guess that will be, we think we can keep the revenue and top line for 2025 and develop it. That is our ambition.

Karl Norén
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Okay. I think that was all for me. Thank you, and have a good day.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Same to you.

Operator

The next question comes from Johan L önnqvist Sund én from Carnegie. Please go ahead.

Johan Lönnqvist Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, Carnegie

Good morning, Mattias and Åsa. Thank you for taking my questions.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Good morning, good morning, Johan.

Johan Lönnqvist Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, Carnegie

First question from my side is on the Swedish business. I noted your comment, Mattias, during the presentation that the service business is stable. Can you please give some more color? When I look at slide page 17 in your report, it seems like the service revenue in Sweden is down some 10%. How come that?

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Yeah, maybe you should.

Åsa Neving
CFO, Bravida

It's actually, there are some smaller projects in service also, and they have actually disappeared during this period. You can say there are less smaller projects that are related to service.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Yeah, then I also think that we have closed down some poor-performing branches throughout 2024, which was in our books in Q1 2024, which are no longer there. I think I do not know how you measure that or label that. If that is negative organic or actually business that we have taken out, of course, that impacts the organic growth. I think that is the reason as well.

Johan Lönnqvist Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, Carnegie

You're not losing the market share on the service side?

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

No, we do not think so. Because if we do, for example, the investigation to public customers in the south part of Sweden, last time we looked, those have increased. It can be that we are losing. I would say like this. In the beginning of this phase, where we are probably the first one out to scale down because we know what to do, we probably initially are losing some market shares because many of our competitors are still trying to keep up the revenue. In the end, we know that when they are forced to do the same, we are ready to take the growth. All in all, we think we have done smart things, and we are not losing market shares because we are not good enough. What you see in the numbers is that we have closed down branches.

As you know, we have lost a lot of volume in that area throughout, yeah, from Q2 to Q4 because of closing down of branches. I think that is what you see now when we compare to Q1 in, yeah, between 2025 and 2024.

Johan Lönnqvist Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, Carnegie

Yeah, but I tried to quickly look through the last four quarters. It seems like there was a step down also here in Q1 in the year-over-year development. That was why I was a little bit curious. If we go to Norway, just curious to hear, we're now seeing the order backlog on the installation side improving. I know it's hard to assess, but given what you see and how the kind of timing of when you start to deliver on the projects, when do you believe the installation side in the Norwegian business should start growing again?

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

I think that's a tricky question because the Norwegian society is such. They are struggling with inflation. They have high pressure on salaries, which means that we won't see, I guess, we can't expect any lowering of the interest rates in Norway, which is something our industry has been, we think, needs, is in need of. I think the installation business in Norway will be tough a couple of quarters before we can see it's going up. Again, we are focusing on margin in the orders, quality orders when we are selling. In Norway as well, in some other countries, there are some positive signals in the industry related to NATO expansions, for example, the weapon industry, but also some infrastructure projects. I don't think I can give you a better answer on that one.

Optimal, we had wanted to have a slightly higher order backlog in Norway. Again, we are not stressed. We know what to do, and we want to do the right things.

Johan Lönnqvist Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, Carnegie

So when you say a couple of quarters, are we thinking Q4 2025 or Q1 2026?

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Yeah, I think that's a guessing. Let's see what happens the coming months. It doesn't seem like there will be a dramatic pickup the coming quarter, at least. Still, Norway is also the country where we have the highest part of service revenue, which is around 60%, I think.

Johan Lönnqvist Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, Carnegie

Yeah, perfect. My last question is on Denmark. I think Karl, you touched upon it before. Just to get a better sense of the seasonality in Denmark throughout 2025 and how we should view margins there. 3.5% beginning of, or at least in Q1. Q1 is often the kind of weakest quarter in a year. Do you think there's other kind of seasonalities that we should be aware of when doing our forecast for the year?

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

I think there can probably be some different positives and negatives throughout the years. We are still very confident that we will deliver on what we have said before, that we will be closer to 5% this year. If we are above 5%, I think we are very glad because we still see 2025 as a year of transition, you can say. I think that is something we stay to.

Johan Lönnqvist Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, Carnegie

Just to be clear, when you say 5%, you mean that full year 2025?

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

The full year, yeah. Somewhere between. I think we have said somewhere slightly better than 5%.

Johan Lönnqvist Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, Carnegie

Excellent. I get back in line and see. Maybe I can come back with follow-ups later on.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Yeah, thank you very much.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Karl Nor én from SEB. Please go ahead.

Karl Norén
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Yes, back again here. Just a follow-up on Finland. I mean, you had quite big negative organic growth there, but I also noticed that order intake was quite strong in the quarter. I was wondering, is that related to projects that will be coming in the coming, let's say, already in Q2, or should we expect quite weakish development also in the near term in Finland, or how should we look upon that segment?

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Yeah, Finland is a tricky market, as we have said a couple of times. On the other hand, we have won some projects recently. I think it's more a question of when those come into production. I don't have that answer here and now, Karl, but we have been quite successful the last two months, I think, in Finland. It takes some time before they start to produce. Yeah.

Karl Norén
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Okay, that's good. Then one on Sweden as well. I think you got a quite big data center order in, was it in Q1, which you started to produce them in Q2 and throughout the year. I'm just wondering a little bit how that will impact the coming quarter or what is the comparison, how much did you produce on that in Q2 and Q3 last year, if you could provide that or if you have that, would be helpful.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Yeah, I think that will be produced throughout the year.

Åsa Neving
CFO, Bravida

The one that we got last year, was that what your question was?

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Because we don't have any.

Åsa Neving
CFO, Bravida

Yeah, exactly.

Karl Norén
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Oh, exactly. I was wondering how much production.

Åsa Neving
CFO, Bravida

That was pretty short production time on that one. I think it was finished in Q. No, there was some in Q4 also, production on that.

Karl Norén
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Around SEK 200 million then maybe in Q2 and Q3 from that last year, so to say.

Åsa Neving
CFO, Bravida

Yes. I think that would be at least, yes.

Karl Norén
Equity Research Analyst, SEB

Yeah. Perfect. Thank you.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Good. Thank you.

Operator

There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

Mattias Johansson
CEO, Bravida

Okay. Thank you so much for the questions. It is a busy day for our analysts, I know. Plenty of companies to cover. With that, I say thank you so much for joining and have a great day.

Åsa Neving
CFO, Bravida

Thank you. Have a nice day.

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