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Earnings Call: Q4 2023

Jan 25, 2024

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Ependion financial statement 2023 conference call. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. If at any time during the call you require immediate assistance, please press Star and then zero for the operator. This call is being recorded on Thursday, January the 25th, 2024. I would now like to hand over the call to Jenny Sjödahl, President and CEO. Please begin.

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Thank you very much for that. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to this quarter four and full year report for the Ependion Group. With me here in Malmö, I have Joakim Laurén, as usual. We are the ones that will be conducting this call. And as usual, our agenda looks like this. I will start by giving you a general business update. Then Joakim will dig a little bit deeper into our numbers, followed by me giving some concluding notes and outlook. And after that, we will move on to the Q&A session. So starting with the overall summary of the quarter, we can see that we have a fourth quarter pretty much in line with last year when it comes to sales and earnings.

And we are still seeing the more mixed pattern in our business that we have seen now for also in quarter three. And the order bookings, as you have noted, came in on a lower level compared to same period last year. There are two parts to this. First of all, we could see that Westermo's order intake came in a little bit weaker than maybe we had expected. The main reason behind that is that we had some adjustments on our train networks backlog. You remember we had very high bookings both in quarter one and quarter two, related to a very big customer of ours in the rail industry.

There has been some adjustments in the backlog from that customer in this fourth quarter, which has meant that the order intake in the rail, in the train network segment has been unusually low in the quarter, combined with a little bit of hesitation as well in the other segments that Westermo is targeting. And that in combination then with the same pattern that we have seen now for a couple of quarters in Beijer Electronics, where there is an effect from the generally slower economic activity, especially in Asia, but also a little bit of hesitation in Europe and Americas, although those regions are being quite stable. We came out at a lower order booking level compared to the same period in 2022.

When it comes to sales, we had a good sales growth in Westermo. We continued to deliver on a high pace to all our key segments, whereas in Beijer Electronics, we saw a decrease in sales due to basically the lower order booking level that we have seen in the last quarters. The EBIT level overall for the group came in at similar level as last year, at 10.4%. That is, of course, below what we are happy with, so to say. We are not pleased with that EBIT level. But on the other hand, if you look at the whole year, we can see that we have taken significant steps forward compared to where we are coming from.

What was also good in the quarter was that we managed to get a really nice cash flow out of our operations, free cash flow of SEK 109 million in the quarter. Overall, we sum up a record year for Ependion in 2023 in terms of sales, earnings, and also cash flow. For those of you that have followed us for some time, I would like to say that we have established ourselves on a new level, basically, that we of course want to work further with. But given where we're coming from, we are actually very happy with the full year of 2023. The Board also proposes a doubling of the dividend to SEK 1 per share.

Looking a little bit more into the two business entities, I already mentioned some of these things. And again, in Westermo, we are very sure about our strategy. We are in the mid-term, very, very optimistic about the demand side. We have a very strong order backlog still. We have a very high activity level in our different sales organizations, and we have a super strong pipeline as well. So I am not at all worried about Westermo in the mid-term, although we see that we are a little bit affected by the overall weaker demand, which is very much related to projects being delayed due to higher costs of financing and so on. So, but overall, I'm, I'm still extremely optimistic about the, the demand side in Westermo.

Happy to see that the good sales level remains, and also the profit level concludes a record year for Westermo. We have done a lot of improvements in the Westermo business entity, both in quarter four and throughout the whole of 2023, mostly related to making our supply chain even stronger and more resilient so that we are prepared for the future growth journey. And we also decided in the quarter to establish ourselves in India. And that is a key market for us going forward. Especially, we see that there are huge investments happening in India when it comes to the rail infrastructure, and that's why we see that that's a very good market for us to be present in, together with also opportunities on the energy side.

When it comes to Beijer Electronics, again, I mentioned it, a pretty slow order intake. We can see that Europe remains quite stable, while we are seeing the same pattern as before in Asia Pacific, where and also China, which remains weak, and Americas somewhat slower, but still quite stable. We see the lower sales volume due to the order intake, and that is also why we launched already in quarter three the cost restructuring program of around SEK 20 million, which is now finalized and is taking full effect as of now, basically. I'm very happy to see that the strategy work that Kristine and the team have been doing now for four months in Beijer Electronics is now ready.

We will actually present that new strategy in our Capital Markets Day that we will hold on the fifth of March in Stockholm. But we can really see that the unit has come up with a more focused strategy, which is exactly what they need, so to say, so I'm very pleased about that. Also very high activity within R&D. Some of you may know that we are working on the next generation of HMIs, which is strategically extremely important for us. And that generation will be launched by end of 2024. So the work is really very much ongoing now on finalizing that product range. Also the new production unit in Sweden, here in Malmö, is completed.

We are just waiting for one certificate, but the serious production is due to start now in the first quarter of this year. So if we just look at this in a more graphical format, I think I already mentioned it, orders are down 21% versus last year. Sales still on a stable level. We didn't have any big effects in the quarter, and we still have a very healthy backlog situation of SEK 1.2 billion, most of which relates to the Westermo business entity, which traditionally has longer order horizons. So with that, I will hand over to you, Joakim. Please.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

Thank you very much, and I will go through the numbers more in detail, and I'll start then with Ependion. The order intake in the quarter ended up at SEK 478 million. The sales came in at SEK 590 million, and the EBIT at SEK 61.5 million, or an EBIT percentage of 10.4%. The effect of FX, we have had quite a few quarters now in a row with positive contribution on the EBIT line on FX. This quarter, we don't see that. We see a small negative number, so the tailwind from the FX is not longer there. As Jenny pointed out, we have talked about the cash flow situation and the fact that we have not been able to generate cash flow, as we have tied a lot of capital, especially in the inventory side.

But now in Q4, we were quite happy to see that we start to see effect, and SEK 109 million generated in the quarter. For you that also follow the P&L below the EBIT line, you can notice that the financial net costs has increased quite significantly compared to last year. I think we all understand with the general higher market interest levels, that is also affecting us, and that is the reason behind this. Net income came in at SEK 34 million, earnings per share in the quarter at 1.18. So if we then summarize the full year, I mean, we can conclude we have sales of SEK 2.5 billion or a growth of 16% and an EBIT of SEK 322 million, or 13%.

As a year, as Jenny pointed out, is a record, of course, for us as a group. Let's go to Westermo. Here we see an order intake in the quarter of SEK 277 million, a sales of SEK 362 million, and an EBIT of almost SEK 56 million, or 15.4%. Jenny laid out the reason for the orders that we have, and we want to emphasize that it is very much an adjustment of the big order backlog that we received in the first half of this year. It's also worth pointing out that looking at the full year, there is a growth on the order side of 13%. We also want to highlight now that we have had a long period in Westermo due to the component shortage with...

Delays in the supply chain. Now we have ended that period, we are back to more normal lead times in our supply chain. When it comes to R&D activities, we continue to have that on a high level in Westermo, also in the fourth quarter, with the focus on future growth and including our service offering that we have as a focus segment within Westermo in the We Grow strategy. As Jenny also mentioned, we have taken a decision to establish ourselves in India. The initial investment means around SEK 10 million, and it involves about 10 employees to start up with in the India investment. We also continue to expand, and we have opened up a sales entity in Denmark for Westermo.

Worth mentioning again, looking at the full year, it is a record year for Westermo, and the full year ended with an EBIT level of 16.5%. Then we go to Beijer Electronics. Here we see an order intake in the quarter of SEK 201 million, sales of SEK 228 million, and an EBIT of about 19 or 8.3%. As Jenny pointed out, the order bookings basically the same picture as we have seen now for a few quarters, where Americas is stable and APAC is slow. And then what we have seen also previously in 2023, with a pattern of shorter order horizons by the customers, and that is also seen now in the Q4.

Sales came in, if you look sequentially, somewhat lower than we saw in Q3, basically affected by the lower order pace that we have seen in the last quarter. The profitability came in not on the levels that we would like to see, but we did launch a cost reduction program, as Jenny pointed out, at the last, as that was informed in the last quarterly report. And we see full effect of that, or we expect full effect of that now from 2024 onwards, with an annual effect of SEK 20 million.

Also worth pointing out is that we continue on the longer horizon when with R&D activities in Beijer Electronics in the quarter, where we focus on the next generation of HMIs, where we have planned release of this new product generation by the end of this year. So if we summarize the year for Beijer Electronics, we have a sales of about SEK 1 billion and a profit level, or profitability level of just below 13%. That concludes the numbers, so back to you, Jenny.

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Thank you, Joakim. So just summarizing what we have just presented, 2023, a new record year for Ependion in terms of sales, earnings, and cash flow. There is more to do in order to reach our profitability target. There is a very high activity level in both business entities when it comes to future-oriented activities. So I really feel that going into 2024 now, we have built a much stronger organization. So really, our journey continues moving forward. And of course, we are looking very closely at the market development now, and we are prepared to act if needed in both the business entities. Coming to the financial targets, just to remind everyone about those, we have said that we want to grow our revenues by 10% on average organically.

If we look at 2023, we came in at 16%. So for now, we are above that target. Profitability-wise, we want to reach 15% operating margin. We came out at 13%, so we are not quite where we want to be, but we are really focusing on continuing the improvement journey here when it comes to that target. And then the dividend side of things. We have said we want to be a dividend-paying company. We are doubling our dividend right now, even though it's from lower levels. And we are starting to generate a cash flow now that we can use to invest in further growth as well as, of course, giving dividend to our shareholders. So just to conclude our outlook, the situation remains quite difficult to predict.

We are very confident, if we look in the midterm perspective, that we are well positioned in attractive markets, and therefore, we feel that we have very good prospects for reaching both the growth and profitability targets, going forward. But there is a lot of uncertainty in the world right now, and it's very hard to predict which direction things will go. So what we are basically saying is that the mixed picture that we have seen now for some time is expected to persist in 2024. We will monitor the situation and let's see how things develop. So with that, we will move on to the Q&A session.

Operator

Thank you. If you wish to ask a question, you can do so two ways. If you'd like to ask your question verbally over the phones, you can dial star one on your telephone keypad now to enter the queue, and once your name is announced your question, you can ask your question. If you find your question is answered before it's your turn to speak, you can dial star two to cancel. Alternatively, if you're logged into the webcast and you can submit your questions via the Q&A section at the bottom, bottom part of your screen. So once again, that's star one, if you wish to ask your questions on the phone or the bottom part of the webcast to ask them by typing in. And we'll take the questions from the phones first. Our first question comes from the line of Markus Almerud of Carnegie.

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Hello? I think we lost.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Yeah, hello. Can you hear me?

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Yes. Barely, I would say. Try again.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Okay, better now?

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

Not really, but,

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Go ahead, and we hope we can-

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

You have to speak slowly, Markus. We hear that it's you, at least.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Okay, I will try. You hear me better now?

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Yes, now it's better.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

Yes, very much better.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Okay, okay. So I wanted to start with maybe, maybe a question on Westermo first. When you talk about projects being delayed, can you talk a little bit about which end markets are being affected? It's all end markets, or if it's primarily the trains? And also the impact that we saw in Q2 on the train side, is that done, or is it more to come in the next couple of quarters?

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Yeah, I think that, when it comes to delayed projects, I think it's, it's affecting a little bit all the segments in one way or the other. The projects can be larger or smaller, of course, depending on the segment. But of course, the interest level rates that we are seeing now is in some cases affecting the financing situation of end customers and so on. So I think it leads to a little bit of a slowdown in decision making when it comes to projects going forward or not. So we can see that the projects are not canceled, but they are, you know, in some cases, delayed. So that is, that is affecting us a little bit. Your second question, which was related to the adjustments of the train backlog, as I understand it.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Yeah, yeah.

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Yeah. It's really, of course, hard to say. We have a very close relationship with this particular customer. We have close discussions regarding this, so we are trying, you know, to understand the situation. I think the business situation of our customer is very strong still. They have an extremely strong backlog, so I think it's a temporary effect that we are seeing that they are kind of looking at their order bookings with us and seeing how that fits with their project execution. So, I think it's a time-limited effect that we are seeing, but overall, their business is quite healthy, I would say.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Okay, okay. And then on the energy side, particularly in Westermo, and could you give us an update of where you stand there and what the momentum in that business is, or that part of the business?

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Yeah. The activity level is still very, very high in Westermo. We are meeting a lot of customers. We are participating in a lot of the conferences and exhibitions and so on, generating leads. And we are working to, you know, find new projects, new customers in one market. So I think it's moving forward, but we also know that the time to actually win a customer is actually often quite long. So I think that we have really good momentum in terms of activities, but we have yet to see the breakthrough, so to say, when it comes to the order intake.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Then finally, if I may, on electronics, do you, first of all, do you see any signs of a trough? So, how did it develop throughout the quarter? This may be weak for a couple of quarters now. And then also the savings program, how did that impact you for it all, or should we expect that to come from 2024 onwards?

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

If we take the last question first, I mean, we have seen elements of the cost reduction program affecting this quarter. Obviously, not enough, because if you look at the profitability level, it's not where we want it to be. The full effect of the program, we will see as from Q1 and onwards.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Okay.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

What was the first question again?

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Yeah. If you see any signs of the market troughing out for you in-

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

Okay.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

In particular, I guess, in Asia, in electronics.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

We would say that if you summarize the Q4, it's very much similar, similar pattern that we saw in Q2 and Q3 in Beijer Electronics. It is stable. It's not going down further, but it's stable on this kind of level. And I wouldn't say that we see any light in the tunnel as of yet.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Okay, but at least it hasn't deteriorated further. It's kind of, I should say, stabilized.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

It has not.

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Yeah.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

No, it has not.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Okay.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

It's, it's basically a lot, same of the same, basically.

Markus Almerud
Equity Analyst, Carnegie

Okay, perfect. Thank you very much.

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Thank you.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

Thank you, Markus.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Mark Siöstedt of Redeye. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Mark Siöstedt
Equity Analyst, Redeye

Thank you very much. Hello, Jenny and Joakim. I have some questions as well, and I'm going to try to not overlap too much. But first, could you comment on you stated that Beijer Electronics developed stably in Europe, while North America was a bit weaker in the period? Has anything specifically happened here?

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Not really, I would say. The customer structure is a little bit different. In Europe, we have a very broad customer base, you know, lots of customers, so some are up and some are down, and that kind of helps with the stability. Whereas in the U.S., we are more dependent on a few customers, and there, we also see a little bit of seasonality in the demand when it comes to North America. So, yeah, it's

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

It's relatively stable in the U.S. also. We don't expect it to go more down. That is not what we want to convey. So it's both on the EMEA and the U.S. side, it's quite stable. In Asia, it's still-

Mark Siöstedt
Equity Analyst, Redeye

All right

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

on a low. We'll see when.

Mark Siöstedt
Equity Analyst, Redeye

Yeah

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

We see things picking up in Asia. That's very hard to say when.

Mark Siöstedt
Equity Analyst, Redeye

All right. Understand. So, it's more project-based than I guess. So, and I have a question regarding cybersecurity and EU regulation. Do you see a tightening happening? And, and if yes, is that something that could impact your sales?

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

I think that, we have seen, you know, a development of the EU regulations, not only EU, by the way, also, the other parts of the world. And it's been going on for some time, and there are new regulations coming all the time, of course, tightening the requirements and so on. I feel that we are really following closely what is happening. We are working closely together with our customers to understand what the requirements are, and we are taking steps all the time, you know, to make sure that we live up to the customer's expectations, which in turn are driven by the regulations.

I feel that we are, you know, at a good place when it comes to cybersecurity, even though it's, of course, always a challenge to keep up and try to stay ahead of those increased regulations.

Mark Siöstedt
Equity Analyst, Redeye

All right. And could you also talk a little bit about India and the investment there? Maybe it's just a coincidence, but I noticed that Alstom highlighted India and its ramp up yesterday in a presentation, and they are established in Bangalore, too. So, SEK 10 million and 10 employees, it seems like a rather small investment for a stepping stone. Is this likely to expand in size and scope in the next few years?

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Yeah, that, that is definitely our plan. It is a relatively small investment to start with. But now, the background is really that we do see a booming rail market in India in the coming 10, 15 years. You know, 10 years ago, it was the Chinese market that was really booming, and now we can see that the infrastructure investments are very significant in the India market. So it feels like a good timing for us to really move into this market, and we want to support our customers. And the regulations in India when it comes to local production are extremely challenging, and they are becoming more and more tough every year.

So in order to support our customers winning business there, we need to do our part, so to say, and by establishing assembly of our train-related products in India, we are supporting our customers to win more business. So yeah, this is a very strategic move for Westermo, and I feel it's a good timing as well of this investment.

Mark Siöstedt
Equity Analyst, Redeye

Yeah. And I noticed also that Alstom India had some export references to countries like Australia. Could your Indian entity become a way to improve sales and delivery in Asia Pacific in the medium term as well?

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

That is not our intention, so to say, in this first step. It's really an India for India approach, right now. We have a presence in Australia and other countries in Asia Pacific, not with production, but with own sales resources, and that is actually working quite well. But of course, going forward, when we have established this production site, who knows? It could very well be that we can use that for other countries as well. But as a first step, it will be for the Indian market.

Mark Siöstedt
Equity Analyst, Redeye

All right. And, you write in the report, for Beijer Electronics that the result was negatively affected by unfavorable mix in the deliveries of this older product line that is the end of life. So if you want to adjust for the temporary increase in this product, was the sales numbers substantially lower than the reported sales, or was the impact more moderate?

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

The impact of the display solutions or the products that we are phasing out is, I would say, moderate, but it's affecting. It's affecting.

Mark Siöstedt
Equity Analyst, Redeye

Yeah. But it, it's not a jump-starting Q1 then, I assume?

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

No.

Mark Siöstedt
Equity Analyst, Redeye

No. Okay. And,

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

No.

Mark Siöstedt
Equity Analyst, Redeye

You also state that, X3 will be using Windows-based software. Has the old software been an obstacle for the sales team?

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Well, the current solution is also a Windows-based solution. It's just that we are moving to a more modern version, so to say. And we are starting to see that, I mean, the X2 product line has been around now for a few years, and we are starting to see that there are some gaps compared to what customers are expecting. So I think it's really good timing for us now that we can come out with a modernized and much improved HMI range now by the end of next year. I think that's gonna be a very good step forward for Beijer Electronics.

Mark Siöstedt
Equity Analyst, Redeye

All right. That's all from me. Thank you.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

Thank you, Mark.

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

End of this year, it should be, of course, sorry. The end of this year, we will be launching X3.

Operator

Thank you. Currently, there are no further questions on the phone line, so I'll hand back to our speakers for the web question.

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

Yes, we do have a couple of web questions here. How do you aim to raise your margins as your backlog is clearly down? Well, there are many things that we are working on in order to raise our margin. And looking at the backlog, in one way, we are coming back to a more normal situation when it comes to the backlog. The backlog that we had in 2022, 2023, was actually too high because it was due to the fact that we were not able to ship products to our customers in a high enough pace.

But when it comes to the margin improvement activities, it's really about increasing our efficiency. It's about pricing management, and a lot of different levers that we need to look at in order to take the further steps.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

Lower cost base and the new offerings. It's not only a volume game, but we still believe in our growth journey. So in the more mid long term, of course, we will see a volume impact or volume leverage that will take us closer to the financial targets when it comes to profitability. Then would it be possible to quantify the impact that the train or adjustments have been on the order intake for the quarter? Yeah. No, we have not... We have decided not to give a certain number. What we have said is that the train part of the order intake in the fourth quarter was significantly impacted by this adjustment.

And we also basically implicitly saying that part of what was booked in Q1 and Q2 were adjusted. So we need to see the order intake for this particular customer, basically more on a full year scope. More than that, we won't go into a detailed number.

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

When it comes to the SEK 1.3 billion backlogs, how, how big part of that would we expect to deliver in 2024? I would say most of it is related to, to 2024. There is some backlog in Westermo that relates to 2025 as well, but most of it will be delivered this year.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

Yes.

Jenny Sjödahl
President and CEO, Ependion

So I think there are no more questions on the web here. With that, thank you very much for listening, and we'll talk to you soon.

Joakim Laurén
EVP and CFO, Ependion

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This now concludes the conference. Thank you all very much for attending. You may now disconnect your lines.

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