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Earnings Call: Q3 2024

Oct 25, 2024

Operator

Welcome to the Indutrade Q3 presentation for 2024. During the questions and answer session, participants are able to ask questions by dialing pound key five on their telephone keypad. Now, I will hand the conference over to CEO Bo Annvik and CFO Patrik Johnson. Please go ahead.

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Welcome, and good morning on our behalf as well. As usual, let's start with this quarter's highlights. We had stable order intake. The growth was 4% in total and 2% organically, and 4 out of 5 business areas had organic order intake growth. The strongest demand for companies in the process industry and in the energy sector. Net sales increased 2% in total. Organically, it was flat versus last year. EBITDA margin was stable and at a high level, 14.8%. We continued with inventory reductions in the quarter, and we also had a strong cash flow. One acquisition completed in Q3, one so far in Q4, and 13 in total, 2024, and a continued strong pipeline. I will elaborate more on all these points in the presentation here.

If we start with the order intake and the sales situation, as I said, order intake + 4% and sales + 2% in total, and this was supported by a good acquisition pace, and acquisition impacted with + 5%, both in order intake and sales. Organically, order intake grew 2%, and for the sales, it was flat, and we should also note that we had one more working day in the quarter versus Q3 last year. Book-to-bill was below one in the quarter, partly because of seasonal variations. We usually start the year in quarter one with a really good book-to-bill, and quarter three, it can be a little bit weaker, but the ratio this quarter was above last year's level.

Four out of five business areas and more than half of the companies had positive organic order intake growth, but as usual, there were large variations between companies, segments, and countries, and companies with customers more broadly in the process industry and the energy sector had the strongest demand, while the business climate in the infrastructure and construction, and also parts of the engineering customer segments remained more dampened, and I will comment a bit more on all these points when we talk about the business areas. If we look at sales in a market country perspective, as it has been now for some while, the strongest development was in the Nordics with the highest sales growth in Denmark, and as we have had it for some quarters, the growth in Denmark mainly related to pharma production and deliveries to Novo Nordisk.

Finland aggregated slightly lower growth in general. We have also commented on this, quite a lot of base industry, CapEx-driven sort of business in Finland, and that's a bit weaker now. The decline in the U.K., Ireland, mainly relates to weaker sales within the construction segment in the U.K., and we also had strong pharma customer references on Ireland. In central parts of Europe, the general business climate continues to be dampened. I would say Germany is the driver in terms of a weaker business situation there and broadly, the automotive sector. And sales to North America and Asia is slightly volatile, and the development can fluctuate with single projects since these areas are rather small for us. And this year, so far, more activities and projects noted primarily from U.S. customers.

In terms of profitability, EBITDA margin was stable and high at 14.8%, but lower than the 15.2% we had the same period last year. Organic sales development, in combination with slightly higher expenses, are the main drivers of the EBITDA margin decline. The gross margin was likely better than last year if we exclude some one-off items, and acquisitions and divestments were margin accretive. All in all, EBITDA decreased within total 1% compared to last year, whereof 4% organically, and acquisitions and divestments did, however, have a positive effect of + 6%. If we then turn to the business areas, on an aggregated level, almost half of the company showed organic sales growth in the quarter. Business area Life Science had the strongest development, mainly driven by sales of diabetes-related products in the Nordics.

And as mentioned previously, production equipment in Denmark. Stable and high sales for Process, Energy and Water, with good contribution from, for instance, the energy sector, but also the marine sector. Again, partly offset by weaker market situation in Finland. The slightly dampened market climate continues to impact business area, Industrial Engineering and also Infrastructure and Construction. And if we talk about industrial and engineering, I would say it's broadly linked to the automotive sector and companies with direct and indirect business relationship to this sector. And this can, for example, be cutting tools or production equipment, related. It's mostly demanding in Germany, I would say, but also other countries around Germany. Offsetting positively is the automotive aftermarket, which develops well for those companies involved in that sector.

If we take infrastructure and construction, I would say it's sequentially rather flat, and it's not getting worse, rather expecting positive improvements at some point next year. This is obviously linked to expected lower interest rates and the more positive investment climate in that area. The organic sales development in technology and system solutions is mainly explained by strong references in a few companies. During Q3 last year, some companies had exceptionally high sales growth. For example, in the marine segment, driven by regulatory requirements for shipping vessels, as well as strong growth within leak detection for hydrogen tanks. As mentioned earlier, the organic sales development and slightly higher expenses was the main driver of the EBITDA margin decline.

The gross margin continued on a good level, and the margin in Industrial Engineering and Process ,Energy and Water was basically in line with the same period last year. Infrastructure and construction had positive contributions from acquisitions and divestments, which supported their margin improvement, and the margin in Life science was record high in Q3 last year, presenting a challenging reference for this year, driven, for instance, by strong sales in the single-use area. This year, we had a less favorable product mix in the sales, and also some one-offs impacting the result. The margin decline in business area, technology and system solutions, was mainly connected to lower sales in combination with a slightly increased expense level.

I would say, in general, the companies are working with their cost situations, and, in general, our companies are, as you know, entrepreneurial, opportunity-driven, and a bit hesitant to reduce cost too quickly if they see that their activity levels will generate growth in a medium term. And it's also, in general, difficult to find really good people, so I would say a logical hesitation to lay off people because of that. But there are absolutely some companies working with cost reductions, and this will have effect already in Q4. If we then look at acquisitions, it's been a high pace in general so far in twenty twenty-four.

We have been able to acquire thirteen well-managed companies, and the combined annual sales account for a bit more than SEK 1.2 billion. If we look at this geographically, 60% Nordic companies and 40% outside the Nordics. In Q4, we have welcomed one company so far, but I would say that the pipeline is still very strong, and we have a number of projects in different phases ongoing. So you can expect that we will be able to conclude some further acquisitions already this year, and hopefully, a good start of 2025. When we look at our acquisition track record, we usually say that it's good to have a longer time period perspective on this, and as I said, so far in 2024, good contributions in Q2 and Q3, following a weaker Q1.

Regarding the financial effects, the bridge effects from acquisitions over the last 12 months have added close to 60 million SEK to the group's EBITA in the quarter, corresponding to an EBITA margin of around 16%. By that, I leave the word over to you, Patrik, to comment more on the financials.

Patrik Johnson
CFO, Indutrade

Thank you, Bo. So yeah, let's dive into the details. So total growth in orders and sales for the quarter was 4 and 2% respectively. Year-to-date, orders have increased by 3%, and sales are 1% higher than last year. Book-to-bill ratio in the quarter was 95 and is 99, almost on the same level as year-to-date. And as Bo said earlier, Q3 is normally a seasonally weaker book-to-bill quarter. As also then mentioned earlier, we had some one-offs impacted the gross margin. So excluding these one-offs, the gross margin was actually slightly better than quarter three last year. And if you look at the year-to-date, the gross margin shows a small improvement.

EBITDA decreased with 1% in the quarter, mainly due to soft organic sales development and slightly higher expenses, and if we elaborate on the expenses slightly more, they are slightly higher than last year, but if you look at the sequential development during this year, it is flat or even slightly declining, I would say, so I think the trend is on the right path, so to say, and coming back to the EBITA development, year-to-date, we are 4% behind last year, on the margin side, we came in at fourteen point eight compared to fifteen point two, slightly lower than last year.

And behind the scenes then, we had some one-offs in the quarter, primarily connected to earn-outs and write-downs, but the net effect was close to zero. And accumulated, we are on 14.3 versus 15.1 last year. Continuing down in the P&L, the finance net increased with 7% in the quarter and 12% year-to-date, driven by the higher interest rates. Tax costs were actually down 21% for the quarter, resulting in a relatively low tax rate of around 20%. And, this comes from the tax treatment of the different one-offs we have then. So, the lower tax rate is temporary during this quarter. Year-to-date, tax cost is decreased with 14%.

Earnings per share increased with 3% in the quarter, but is down 7% accumulated, and we will look at the trend on a coming slide. Return on capital employed amounted to 90%, slightly lower than our target level, due to the flat earnings development we had the last couple of quarters, but continued high acquisition activity. Cash flow remained strong, I would say, at around SEK 1 billion for the quarter, but it's slightly weaker compared to last year, when we had a lot of the release of working capital. The accumulated operational cash flow for the full year was SEK 2.5 billion, down 15%, compared to last year.

Lastly, the net debt to EBITA ratio improved slightly to 1.6 versus 1.7 last year. Elaborating some more on the cash flow, and it is, as I said, slightly more than $1 billion in the quarter, and that's lower than last year, but still at a good level, and actually the second highest Q3 ever. The decrease, as I said, that we had a lot of working capital release last year, and we have that also this year, but not to the same extent. If you dive into the inventories, those continued to decline organically, also during this year and this quarter, so that is good.

I think also if you zoom out, I think it's important then to emphasize and highlight that we have capital light companies, and we normally have strong underlying cash flow, which is normally seen in a good cash conversion, as you can see in this slide. We are right now trending on a rolling four-quarter basis at 130% compared to net profit less CapEx. In terms of working capital efficiency, the lower organic sales development is, of course, creating some headwinds, but the metric improved slightly during the quarter compared to last year. We are pushing on this, and we continue to work with it in a structured way going forward.

Moving to the EPS, earnings per share, for the quarter, it came in at 1.92, an increase of 33% versus last year. Earnings before taxes was slightly lower than last year, so the increase comes from the lower tax rate I talked about due to these one-offs in the quarter. As we zoom out and look at the longer perspective, longer term perspective, the growth, the three-year growth average and the five-year growth average is 10 and 13% respectively then. Lastly then, looking at the net debt and the financial position development. As a consequence, as an effect of the strong cash flow we have, net debt decreased both sequentially and compared to the same period last year to around SEK 8.8 billion.

And looking at the ratios, net debt equity was low, 56%, 66% last year. And the net debt EBITDA, as I said, at 1.6 versus 1.7. And if you exclude earn-outs, which we of course include in the official measurement, if you exclude them, it was 1.4 versus 1.5. So in summary, despite continuing to push on with high acquisition pace, our debt ratios are well balanced and a strong financial position. So then I leave back over to you, Bo.

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Thank you. Some comments then on the organization. As you know, we launched a new organization from the beginning of the year, and the reason for this is that we want to proactively scale the group. We introduced five new business areas, but more importantly, we also introduced a new layer in the organization of approximately 30 business segments, and we appointed 30 business segment leaders. These persons now drive clusters of 5, 10 companies, and they were all internally sort of promoted into these roles, so they know our values well, our culture well, and the business sort of logic we use in a really good way.

And they can now work a little bit closer to the companies and proactively support them organically, and also actively work with the acquisition agendas in these thirty respective segments. So I think, medium term, long term, this will drive both organic growth and definitely also acquisition growth of internally generated projects, and also drive learning, better knowledge sharing between companies. And I think we will also be better sort of owners, board members in our companies with more specific sort of segment market-specific knowledge. So we are very optimistic and positive about this organizational change. So by that, let's summarize the quarters and focus on the key takeaways here. So we had organic order growth and a stable high profitability.

We have a solid financial position and a strong cash flow. We have completed thirteen acquisitions so far in 2024, with annual sales of a bit more than SEK 1.2 billion. And we have a really good inflow of acquisition projects and are in a number of projects in different stages. There is some uncertainty in the general business climate, but we have a diversified business structure and entrepreneurial agile companies, and this together will provide resilience. And the business segment structure implemented to improve the capability to grow both organically and through acquisitions. So all in all, good conditions for further sustainable, profitable growth and competitive value creation going forward. So by that, we end the formal presentation.

Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key six on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Carl Ragner Stam from Nordea. Please go ahead.

Carl Ragner
Analyst, Nordea

Good morning, it's Carl here from Nordea. Just on the gross margin, you said that you had an inventory write-down there of a couple of tens of basis points. Is it due to product obsolescence, or what is it due to? And also, do you expect it to continue over the coming one, two quarters as well?

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

It's, I think it's a bit linked to that we have reorganized and we have some new, as I said, segment leaders, chairpersons in our companies and some fresh new eyes on these businesses, and it's quite usual then that they detect certain things and in some cases now there are some inventory obsolescence which we have discussed and now decided to sort of deal with. So it's more a one-time situation linked to the reorganization, new perspectives, and should not sort of expect that this will sort of continue quarter by quarter going forward.

Carl Ragner
Analyst, Nordea

What segment is it mainly related to? I mean, obviously, I can see, when I look at it, the Technology Systems Solutions, there you have a pretty big organic drop there. Is it the main effect or is it in other segments as well?

Patrik Johnson
CFO, Indutrade

Carl, these one-offs, we actually put them together and took them on the central level, so the one-offs are not impacting the business area performance.

Carl Ragner
Analyst, Nordea

So coming back then to technology and system solutions, I mean, with organic drop of 16%, you mentioned elevated cost, you also talked about cost reductions coming into effect in Q4. Are they? I guess they are partly linked together, or how should we? Could you explain a little bit what you're doing on cost, and also the magnitude and the ramp of the cost savings?

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

All activities are linked to individual companies and not sort of general. So it's difficult to convey a business area sort of answer for you in this. So within that business area, there are companies which are doing really well, have positive order intake and growing, and there are some who are more struggling, linked to a more difficult business climate, and they deal with their cost situation individually. So I can't give you any sort of numbers which are relevant for the business area in that perspective, unfortunately.

Carl Ragner
Analyst, Nordea

Okay, fair enough. And looking at the order pace, fairly good, especially in this type of market. Have you experienced any variations in the order intake during the quarter? Or, yeah, how do you see the sort of general situation here from an order point of view?

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Yeah, I cannot say that it was much stronger in the beginning of the quarter and much weaker at the end of the quarter. I think the numbers reflect the quarter in general in a quite okay way, and sequentially, maybe it's the industrial engineering area, automotive, Germany, which is a little bit more challenging, but our exposure is not really big there either, but apart from that, I don't expect any really significant sequential sort of differences between Q4 and Q3.

Carl Ragner
Analyst, Nordea

Okay, fair enough. And the final one from my side is looking at M&A, as you said, SEK 1.2 billion worth of acquisitions, 13 companies. It is still, even though it's a good pace, it's still a bit below, at least your former targets, right? Or ambitions to reach. With the pipeline you have, you talked about the good pipeline in Q4, perhaps also in Q1 2025, but do you think you'll manage to stay within your historical range of the ambition of number of acquired companies year end?

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Yeah, what we have said the last couple of years is when we had eight business areas, we have said that we will do 16-24 acquisitions per year, and I think we will this year be within that range. Medium term, in a couple of years, we hope to be able to go up towards 30 acquisitions per year, which is more linked to one acquisition per these segments we have now introduced, but that's a couple of years in front of us, not sort of really short term. It takes some time to build that pipeline, so I'm quite happy with the number of acquisitions.

The general size, on average, is a little bit small this year, so that adds up to, as I said, a little bit more right now than SEK 1.2 billion. So that could have been a little bit more. So number of acquisitions, quite okay, size of the acquisitions, a little bit on the smaller side, perhaps, but I think we are in the scope we have spoken about, however, perhaps in the lower part of the scope. But it's anyway, I would say, in general, a quite positive climate.

Carl Ragner
Analyst, Nordea

Mm. Okay, very clear. That's all for me. Thank you.

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Mats Liss from Kepler Cheuvreux. Please go ahead.

Mats Liss
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yeah, hi. Thank you for taking my question, a couple of them. And looking at, well, coming back to the acquisition strategy that you sort of upgraded this year, and I just had a sort of easy one, I guess. In which segment do you see more opportunities, or could it be a sort of... Well, give some more color on that.

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Yeah. It's actually much in all the five business areas, opportunities, and nothing really stands out dramatically between the five areas. Obviously, we are a little bit perhaps more reluctant to heavily go into the infrastructure and construction area right now because the market is a little bit weaker there. But otherwise, I would say all areas have. You know, these are small companies, 10, 15, 20 million euros in sales. So we're looking for these jewels, niche companies, and they can be found in all these areas. And it's not so that we want to fish where everyone else is fishing, and the price levels tend to increase dramatically.

So we are looking for, you know, a little bit more hidden jewels. However, having said that, we have quite sort of deliberately built a Life Science portfolio in the last five years, which is quite sizable now, and that's an area we appreciate because it's less cyclical, good profitability in general in the sector, and so on and so forth. Process, Energy, and Water, we have a really strong market position on an aggregate level in that area. So that's also obviously something we appreciate.

But also within industrial and engineering, for example, they have the DNA of Indutrade in terms of you know, products with a very recurring purchasing patterns, like filters in an industrial system, for example. So there are also good opportunities in that area, and technology and system solutions, sensors and measurement technology is also a good area for us. So it's long answer, Mats, but quite broad, actually.

Mats Liss
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

I mean, well, you have raised the target now in the mid to longer term to 30 targets a year or acquisitions. Is it in the same fishing area or pond that you are looking?

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Yeah.

Mats Liss
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Or is it more?

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Yeah, no, it's linked to these thirty segments, and that we hope for more internally generated projects than relying on brokers. So all these thirty business segment leaders have the task now to build an acquisition agenda. And it's usually so that they might have companies in five European markets, just as an example, and then it would be in five markets where they have sort of white spots, and then the task for them is to see what type of companies are there in that particular segments, which would fit the Indutrade scope.

So they can work both desktop and with business relations to identify these potential companies and eventually, hopefully acquire some of them. So that's the plan.

Mats Liss
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

It's in Europe, I guess?

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Yeah.

Mats Liss
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Is it still sort of the Nordic and Central Europe that's-

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Yeah.

Mats Liss
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Or could it sort... Yeah.

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

It's we have started to discuss North America, but we haven't launched any sort of major initiative linked to that yet, but perhaps down the line, that could be interesting for us. But right now, we are from the Nordics down to the northern part of Italy, I would say.

Mats Liss
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Great. And just to follow up there, the gross margin and inventory correction, I guess, that affected you. Did I hear you right, that the gross margin would have been slightly higher, adjusting for that correction?

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Yes. Yeah. So without one-offs, it would be above the thirty-four point eight, which we had last year.

Mats Liss
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Thanks, Mats.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Karl Bokvist from ABG Sundal Collier. Please go ahead.

Karl Bokvist
Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Thank you. Good morning. Just one. Apologies, I was a bit late in here. But when I look at the report and we consider the SEK 4 million in non-recurring items, the positive effect of remeasurements, and then the negative effect of restructuring costs and so on, I get that the net impact is still a positive plus 8, or am I missing something? Just in terms of when you think about saying, excluding something would have been higher, or are we only talking about the gross margin impact?

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

The net effect is SEK 4.4 million. I think in last year, I think, we had around SEK 2.3 million, so the bridge effect is basically zero.

Karl Bokvist
Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Understood. Understood. Okay, so it's one, the one twelve versus the one way, so net four. Okay. Then, again, sorry if you talked about it, but in terms of lead times and cycles across the divisions here, when you talk about construction, technology, et cetera, et cetera, are there any of these segments where you feel that if we do see signs of activity improving, these segments will be the ones that pick up first, and of course you already have some divisions, such as life science and so on, that already performs well.

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Yeah, I would say Life Science and Process, Energy & Water are performing well, and no sort of big sort of pickup linked to a better macroeconomic situation, perhaps. It's Infrastructure and Construction which have performed the weakest for some quarters now, as you know, and they would obviously benefit from a better, higher start of construction projects now, at some point, hopefully than in 2025. And if you look at the products they supply, it's not really too much CapEx oriented. It's more tools and equipment which are used at the construction site.

I think they can have a fairly quick uptake when the projects start in a bigger scale or larger scale.

Karl Bokvist
Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Understood. And then, I realize you might not want to go into details here on in terms of numbers, but just in general, the pricing environment, how do you feel that's progressing overall? And is it still possible to have a positive contribution from price mix in this for the group as a whole?

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

I think the companies in general work mostly with defending their gross margins, and if they can do a bit better, I mean, we have introduced value-based pricing since some years back, and they think in those terms, and if you have a bit of a unique offering and so on, you obviously try to take advantage of that. But I think it's mostly now to defend good gross margin levels and perhaps do something small on pricing rather than expect any significant pricing steps.

Karl Bokvist
Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

All right. Understood. That's all for me. Thank you.

Bo Annvik
CEO, Indutrade

Thank you.

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