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Earnings Call: Q2 2025

Jul 18, 2025

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

Welcome, everyone, to this presentation of Instalco's report for the second quarter of 2025. My name is Robin Boheman, the CEO of Instalco. With me today, I have our CFO, Christina Kassberg, and Per Sjöstrand, current Chairman and soon-to-be interim CEO. As usual, let's start with a brief overview of Instalco today. Instalco is one of the leading installation groups in Sweden, Norway, and Finland, and also with a presence in Germany. Our decentralized model is a core strength, empowering our more than 150 local companies to act independently while benefiting from strong governance and shared tools. With more than 6,000 employees across the group, we support the green transformation every day. The demand for our services continues to be underpinned by powerful long-term market trends. First, a quick glance at our last 12 months' numbers.

Net sales amounted to SEK 13.6 billion, and we ended the quarter with an order backlog of SEK 9.3 billion, which represents a steady book-to-bill of close to 70%. When adjusting for one-off costs taken in the past three quarters, our adjusted EBITDA amounted to SEK 871 million, corresponding to a margin of 6.4%. We're not satisfied with the margin, even if it's an improvement sequentially. We continue to take firm actions and strengthen it. In a market where many small and mid-sized companies and competitors are going out of business, our stability is a clear sign of our resilience. A key part of this resilience is how quickly our subsidiaries have shifted focus towards service. This has helped offset weaker demands in projects over the past years. In Q2, service remained strong and accounted for 36% of our net sales.

We also had a very strong cash flow in Q2, which brought our last 12 months' cash flow from operations to above SEK 1 billion, even despite our decrease in earnings, showcasing our strong focus on improving our working capital. Summarizing a bit of the quarter and showing some of the highlights, we're seeing sequentially improvements in our business. However, it is on an overall market that remains weaker. Cash flow was strong again in the quarter, supported by our financial stability and ability to invest where it counts. We also signed a new credit facility, which gives us additional flexibility going forward. Another interesting topic is our technical consultants, Intech, continue to deliver margins above the group. As you've heard me say many times before, they are earlier in the cycle than our installation company, which is a positive sign looking ahead.

On that note, I've always said that we will deliver this investment in a solid way. Looking at what we have built in Intech over the past five years through our proven startup concept, the return on investment is very clear. If you compare our cumulative losses before breakeven to today's rolling 12-month earnings, the implied multiple of this investment is 0.5x. This is a significant sign of how quickly we turned the business profitable. You could also calculate, instead of all our shareholder contributions in relation to EBITDA, then the multiple will be around 1.5x, still well below the multiple around 5x- 6x we typically pay for an installation company, or the double-digit multiples recently seen in the transaction involving technical consulting firms. It showcases that our long-term investment in structure, recruiting, and quality has paid off.

Built a profitable consultancy business with 500 employees, now standing firmly on its own. As you all know, a year ago, we started an automation business built on the same foundation. I would like to hand over to Christina, who will now take you through our financial development in more detail.

Christina Kassberg
CFO, Instalco

Thanks, Robin. Let's start off with looking at how our net sales and order backlog have developed during the quarter. Net sales were down by 3.9% to SEK 3.5 billion, with an organic decline of 2.8%, whereas acquisitions contributed positively with 0.3%. Organic growth was down in both reporting segments, but more in the rest of Nordics. Currency had a negative impact of 1.4%, primarily due to the weakening of the Norwegian krona and the euro. On the other hand, our order backlog grew by 4.6% organically, with the biggest contribution coming from the rest of the Nordics segment. We have maintained our cautious approach to order taking, prioritizing the right projects for the right customers. While the market is slowly recovering from low levels, we see even greater local variations in demand than usual. Metropolitan areas are starting to regain momentum.

Price pressure remains, but there are more and more projects on the market, which enables better selection in the tendering process. In addition to the backlog, we have our service business, which remains an important stabilizing factor. In our service business, we saw growth of 6% in absolute numbers in the quarter. This resulted in service making up 36% of sales. Onto our earnings, EBITDA in both millions and margin. Q2 tends to be seasonally better than Q1, so also this year. In total, EBITDA, excluding items affecting comparability, amounted to SEK 236 million, corresponding to a margin of 6.7%. The lower earnings are primarily due to the performance in the other Nordics segment and certain subsidiaries in Northern Sweden, which have seen a decline in both revenue and earnings, although they are showing strong development in the order backlog.

These are the same companies that experienced temporarily lower capacity utilization in Q1, which continued during the quarter. The action program we announced in December is progressing, though implementation takes time. We continue to follow up closely and are taking additional steps where needed, particularly in subsidiaries facing tougher conditions, also for companies other than the eight communicated in December. To break it down in more detail, over to a slide that summarizes segment Sweden in Q2. Overall, net sales were essentially flat at SEK 2.5 billion, with an organic development of minus 0.8%. The order backlog grew organically by 0.4% to SEK 6.6 billion. The EBITDA margin amounted to 6.7% compared to 7.1% last year. The Swedish market shows early signs of cautious recovery, particularly in the largest cities where several major projects have started or are being prepared for tender.

However, conditions remain weak in parts of central and Northern Sweden, with signs of overcapacity and continued price pressure. Regional differences in demand are larger than normal. A summary of the rest of the Nordics segment: overall, net sales were down to SEK 980 million, with an organic decrease of 7.3%. Acquisitions contributed with a growth of 0.6%. EBITDA margin amounted to 6.6% compared to the very strong 7.7% last year. Finland was flat on sales, despite the challenging market environment. The Norwegian business decreased year over year, but showed positive development compared to the first quarter. The business, to some extent, continues to be affected by temporarily lower staff utilization in certain subsidiaries. This is still linked to the timing gap between completed projects and new ones starting up. Both countries report lower earnings compared to a year ago, but significant sequential improvement from the first quarter.

The order backlog for the segment increased organically by 15.9% to SEK 2.7 billion, and also represents a sequential growth from SEK 2.4 billion in Q1. Onto the cash generation in the quarter. In Q2, cash flow from operations amounted to SEK 202 million, an increase of 28% compared to last year, despite the lower earnings. Almost all components of working capital improved in Q2 compared to the same quarter last year, primarily driven by accounts receivables and contract assets. Further down in the cash flow analysis, we find the expected outflows during the quarter: SEK 182 million in dividends as approved by the AGM in May, and SEK 38 million in earnouts paid to acquired companies. In the coming quarter Q3, we expect to make some payments related to earnouts and the buyback of minority shares in a few subsidiaries in line with previously agreed option structures.

The strong cash flow in the quarter once again highlights the underlying discipline in our operations, a key strength, as we navigate a demanding market environment. During the quarter, we have entered into a new SEK 3.4 billion credit facility with our existing banking consortium. The facility is a two-year term and an option to extend by another two years. This strengthens our long-term liquidity and provides greater operational flexibility through continued collaboration with our established banking partners. Finally, I will look at our performance on a rolling 12-month basis in relation to our financial targets. Our targets are set over a business cycle, and in the current market, we continue to prioritize protecting our margins and thereby selective order taking over volume. The adjusted EBITDA margin came in at 6.4%.

While still not at a satisfactory level, it is improving, and we continue to take targeted actions in subsidiaries where needed. Cash flow was very strong in the quarter, with a cash conversion of 107%, driven by continued focus on working cap. Our leverage remains above our own long-term target of 2.5x net debt to EBITDA, as expected following the payments in the quarter. We have strengthened our financial flexibility through a new bank agreement signed during the quarter, and we also remain committed to delivering on our climate targets. By that, over to you again, Robin.

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

Thank you very much, Christina. I will continue to talk about our German investment in Fabbri. Germany continues to grow, a growing market for us, and our platform, Fabbri, is progressing well. Since our initial investment in November, the group has since then grown from 12 companies to 17 companies, as you can see on the map here spread around Germany. Fabbri is acquiring the same type of high-performing entrepreneur-led installation companies as we have done in the Nordics. Simply put, we allocate capital where it delivers the best result, and right now that is in Germany. On the right-hand side here, you can also see the different steps in the acquisition. We initially invested, so we became a shareholder of 24% in Fabbri in Q4 2024. The next step, step two, will be an initial investment of buying 27% of the shares in Fabbri.

That would most likely, if the prognosis keeps going the way it has done for Fabbri, be somewhere in the mid-2026s. You have step three and four, you can read yourself. If we look into the kind of acquisitions they have done recently, you can see here on the slide, they have done three recent additional contributions of three companies, contributing to €14 million in annual sales and further strengthening Fabbri's technical scope and also geographical reach. These are acquisitions that closed actually after the end of Q2, so they're not included in the numbers yet. All companies remain local, managed, and fully aligned with both Instalco and Fabbri's decentralized model. This continued momentum confirms our strength in our platform approach and the significant opportunities that we see in Germany and in the German installation market. I would like to move on to the quarter's theme.

It will be a shared segment here between myself and Per as a sort of a handoff since this will be the last quarterly report for me at Instalco. Quite fittingly, the theme for this quarter is called The Road Forward. Maybe let's start a bit with how it all started. I've had the privilege of being part of this journey essentially since day one back in 2014, when Instalco was founded and the initial five companies, so to say, started Instalco. From there on, we have grown the market and also grown our company by consolidating the installation market, also looking into adjacent markets such as the industry technical consultants, and also we IPO'd the company in 2017. It's been a fantastic journey so far.

Of course, these last years have been somewhat tougher for the installation business with COVID, material shortage, inflation, increased interest rates, and an overall downturn in the construction industry. With that said, we know what we are capable of. Despite the headwinds, we have achieved incredible things together. We have built a well-functioning service business that started from around 17% of sales that are in this quarter up to 36%. We have a strong offer for the industry. Today, that stands for about 25% of our sales with a new customer base. We built a profitable, growing technical consulting business that today stands for around 500 employees, and we started that from scratch. We launched an automation business on the same platform as our technical consultants, and today they roughly have 80 employees.

As I just mentioned, we also in 2024 entered into a new market together with Fabbri in Germany. I'm very proud of what we together have achieved during these last years, despite the market situation, and I feel confident that Instalco has a solid base to continue from. Per and I have discussed, of course, about what is the next step for Instalco, but I would like to hand that part of the presentation over to you, Per, to maybe explain a little bit on the future for Instalco.

Per Sjöstrand
Chairman and Incoming Interim CEO, Instalco

Thank you, Robin. I will give you some flavor on what's now going to happen in Instalco. First of all, a few words to and about you, Robin. A more loyal member of a group management team, I think it's impossible to find. You started up as Head of M&A. After that, CFO.

You were also, at the same time, I will say, CEO of Finland. I also can mention that during a couple of years, I think you had all these at the same time and all these roles at the same time. Always alert, forward-leaning, quick, positive, and loyal. You have contributed to a really change in the installation industry in the Nordics. As you mentioned, you have also built up a fantastic group of consultants at the same time, of course, and the entry into Germany is another fantastic story. A lot has been done by you, and I will here and now thank you for the fantastic work that you have done. I can also say that Instalco will never forget what you have accomplished and done for Instalco. Thank you very much, Robin. Okay, what's going to happen now in our company, our fantastic company?

We will now intensify our GoGr8 efforts by launching an operational efficiency program. You can also call it operational excellence. That means a more hands-on approach than earlier. We are moving a bit from the hands-off approach, but we will still, of course, have our outstanding business model intact. That means that a decentralized model that we have almost invented a couple of years ago will remain. The P&L and all the responsibilities will still be out there. Pull, not push, is the key to this. You can see at the slide here. Clear expectations and accountability are very, very crucial. We will start up, as I mentioned, a program with policy deployment inside the organization. We have been more like a help desk. The GoGr8 has been more like a help desk.

Now we will put it inside the organization with full, as I mentioned, clear expectations and accountability for the management team. Best practice, we have done this for many years, but we will intensify that also. Organizational capabilities will be reviewed, and maybe there will be some changes, I don't know, but that's something we have to look into. You can see for yourself that we have a clear view of what we have to do now. I myself have done this before in Skanska, Peab, and Midrock Assembly, and so on. I know very well how to do it. The goal is, of course, to be back to the margins that I know can be reachable. As you saw, Robin mentioned before, as our target on 8%. I will always say again that we will not abandon our decentralized model. That's very, very important that you know that.

Yes, that's what I wanted to say. With that, I want to hand back over to Robin to summarize the quarter.

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

Thank you, Per. First of all, thank you, Per, for the kind words. Very appreciated. Let's move back into the summary of the quarter. The market remains challenging, as we said before, especially for new construction. We are seeing that things are moving in the right direction, which is very positive. We continue to grow our order backlog for the third quarter in a row, and service business also continues to showcase growth in both absolute and relative numbers. That gives us some resilience in the current environment. Margin improved sequentially, which is encouraging, but still, we see some pressure in parts of the business. Our focus is firmly on operational improvements, as you also heard from Per going forward. The action program is progressing well.

We are seeing impacts, and we're also taking further steps where needed, and also always adapting to the local conditions. Cash flow was again very strong, and we maintain a high cash conversion. This underpins our financial flexibility and ability to continue to deliver on our strategy. During the quarter, we also signed a new credit facility, further strengthening our financial position. Finally, Fabbri is showcasing good progression and now includes 17 local German companies. With that, I would like to thank you all for joining on this call, and I will now open up for any questions from the audience.

Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound Key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound Key six on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Johan Lankvist Sundén from DNB Carnegie. Please go ahead.

Johan Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Good morning, Robin, Christina, and Per. Thanks for taking my questions. The first one is on Per's priorities going forward, and just curious to hear a little bit of how kind of growth focused you will be. I hear that margins will be prioritized, but how will you be very, how selective will you be in your kind of project or project you tender, and should we expect organic growth to be muted for some time when you work with the margin? Robin, is it okay if I answer the question?

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

Of course, of course. Yeah, yeah, of course.

Per Sjöstrand
Chairman and Incoming Interim CEO, Instalco

Thank you, Robin. Yes, it's a good question, but I think also that you have to say that with margins, with higher margin comes also more opportunities, and the cash flow, everything will come with that. We will be selective, yes, but still we like to do business, and there's a lot of opportunities out there, and we will sort of regain focus on buy and build, of course. We have a new country now to enter into, and we have also other segments as well that we have looked into. Right now, and maybe six months ahead, we will focus a lot on what I talked about, operational excellence, and implement a new, not a new culture, but the culture that we have, but we have to release more of our strengths in this. At the same time, we have a close eye on acquisitions and entering into new segments.

As we also have said, we have a lot of startups in the consulting part of our industry, and I think that's also a way going forward. We have several cards to play, I will say, and we will not slow down the pace, but still we have to focus now for the next couple of months at least on margin improvements.

Johan Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Given your answer on this question, Per, should we view that you and the Board are similarly committed to the building automation push and the German push as the management, the previous management team has been?

Per Sjöstrand
Chairman and Incoming Interim CEO, Instalco

Absolutely, absolutely. Full speed ahead, as I mentioned, more focus and implement the GoGr8 into the organization. We will not abandon any strategies that we have already decided on. We will start, and we will continue, I will say, but we have to increase our margins a bit.

Johan Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Stopping at the kind of new initiatives and the building automation business, can you please give some kind of guidance on what kind of dilution that brought to the Swedish business in Q2?

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

As we've said before, we don't give out exact numbers on the dilution at the moment, just as we did with Intech. To give you some flavor at least, you could maybe do some calculations yourself. We have around 80 FTEs. Let's say a reasonable salary level is around 55-ish on an average maybe. You have to take that, what, 1.7x to pay for taxes and so forth and pensions. You will come to roughly the amount of cost for salary, and then you have to add some cars and computers, etc., and some offices, etc. They are not fully utilized at the moment. There are definitely some, so to say, costs related to this initial investment. However, we can see that our first company started around a year ago. They are, so to say, on a monthly basis, profitable at the moment.

As I explained earlier in the call regarding our technical consultants, depending a bit on which methodology you use, so to say, for calculating this investment. That investment, depending, like I said, how you use it, is between 0.5x the initial investment or around roughly maybe just around 2x the initial investment on a rolling 12-month basis. Profitability is continuing to grow, both in absolute numbers and percentages.

Johan Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Excellent. Thanks for that answer, Robin. Two more questions from my side. First is on Norway as well, where we saw a sequential improvement on profitability. When should we expect the Norwegian business to be in more balance with regards to utilization? Is this already during the fall or, yeah, please?

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

Yeah, I can start on that, and maybe then, Per, you can add some comments if you want also on top of that. As we've said, many, many quarters, and I think even before, I stepped in as CEO, we have had some headwinds in Norway from time to time. We saw that in Q1 also, where we saw some larger projects ending, which we couldn't really offset with new orders. We have seen utilization in Norway go up in Q2, which is very positive, and that's also why the rest of Nordic is delivering a better result in Q2 than Q1. Due to that, we were able to offset a few, but we're not fully offset yet in Q2.

Regarding the long-term profitability in Norway and Finland, for that matter, that maybe is something that me and Per have struggled with for quite some time to get that up to the rest of, to get up to the Swedish level. However, they were able to do that in some recent quarters. I don't know if you want to add something there, Per, but I guess it's the same here with continuous improvements there as well.

Per Sjöstrand
Chairman and Incoming Interim CEO, Instalco

Exactly. What we have agreed upon, Robin and I, is to strengthen up the teams there with the GoGr8 , a more GoGr8 team. Just as I mentioned before, to implement a more structured way of working with business improvements, selling, for example, but also, you know, operational excellence. I think the outcome of it will be more stable, more stable margins, I will say. That's a very, very important thing that we are now launching in both Norway and Finland.

Johan Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, DNB Carnegie

No comment on when you think the kind of utilization drop from Q1 will be kind of bridged back with the orders taken?

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

It's hard to give an exact date on that. Like I said, we see improvements in Q2. We took a really big order in the end of Q2 or beginning now Q3 that starts at the end of the year, beginning of next year, which is a quite big order. There are some positive signs, but when the exact date is very hard to say. You have to go through project by project, company by company for all our subsidiaries in Norway to try to give that, and still it's going to be hard to give an exact date. Like I said, positive trend in Norway, which is very good to see in Q2.

Johan Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Fair enough. Just a final question from my side. It's on the pricing level in the order backlog. I think it's a little bit more positive comment when I read the report regarding the kind of number of projects open for tenders. Can you give some comment on how the pricing level in the order backlog has developed?

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

Maybe not comment on exactly the pricing level, but what I can comment around is the whole strategy of being selective. As you heard, Per, as well, the continued focus on being selective on which project to take. It's very hard to be selective if there are too few projects. It is very positive for us that we see some increase in the number of projects in the market because then you can start being real selective on which projects to take. Of course, when the number of projects goes up, pricing eventually goes up as well. When your competitor starts to fill their order backlog, you can start to increase your price as well. This goes a bit hand in hand. We have seen a growth in our order backlog, even if on smaller levels, but we have not changed our strategy.

We have continued with our strategy of being selective, focusing on margins over growth. As you can see in the quarter as well, organic growth is down, but margin is slightly up quarter to quarter. That is our continued focus.

Per Sjöstrand
Chairman and Incoming Interim CEO, Instalco

To that, Robin, I think you agree with me that we have increased our selling capacity. We are picky, but we have increased the selling capacity. We have a never starve philosophy also. I think that has been not even a success yet, but I think we are on the move, so to speak here.

Johan Sundén
Equity Research Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Perfect. Thanks for the answers. I think I get back in line if I can come back if I have one last. Thanks.

Per Sjöstrand
Chairman and Incoming Interim CEO, Instalco

Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please dial the pound Key, five on your telephone keypad. Okay. We have one written question coming in here, and it sounds like this: Do you see organic net recruitment going forward?

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

Organic net recruitment going forward. I think you need to look at, as we've mentioned so many times, we are a decentralized company, meaning that our 150 subsidiaries have to, together with us, of course, decide on, so to say, the number of FTEs that we have. On that topic, I think you need to look company by company. I think, Per, you're agreeing with me. We have some companies where we definitely want to invest and continue to grow and continue to, so to say, continue to staff these companies. Those are the high performers, high profitable companies, and also our automation business, our technical service business, but also some of our installation business.

We will have also companies where we are not, so to say, interested in continuing to invest in, where we also see both in the December that we had last December, the sort of cost reduction actions we took there, but also the cost reductions that we have taken in Q1 and Q2, where we have companies that are, so to say, decreasing the number of staff. It's hard to say, are we net recruiting or not? I would say overall, I would not think that we are increasing the number of FTEs at the moment, but we definitely have some companies that will increase their number of employees, and we'll have some that will decrease.

Per Sjöstrand
Chairman and Incoming Interim CEO, Instalco

If we can be more effective, of course, we will use our resources better. That means also we want to grow. We want to grow organically. We want to grow by acquisitions, but we will do it in the right way. That means that we will be more efficient and have, as I mentioned several times now, the operational excellence. All of the whole team wants to grow. That's definitely so, but in the right way, of course.

Operator

The next question comes from Karl Bokvist from ABG Sundal Collier. Please go ahead.

Karl Bokvist
Equity Research Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Thank you. Good morning. I was a bit late into the call, so I'm very sorry if all of these questions have already been answered. The first one is more technical. Are there any extra costs in the margins in Sweden that are worth knowing about?

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

Christina, is that something you want to add?

Christina Kassberg
CFO, Instalco

In the segment Sweden, I wouldn't say that. We are on the same level as we have discussed and gone through here in the call. We had one extra cost in the group-wide other segment, and that has also been adjusted for. No extra costs in Sweden to mention this quarter.

Karl Bokvist
Equity Research Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Understood. Okay. Thank you. On your comments now regarding a bit of improving market activity, we see that the backlog is up. This question has been asked before, but when you look at the orders that you receive in the backlog now, what kind of lead times are we talking about in general? I understand it's difficult to put an exact duration on it.

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

Yeah, I mean, we are, as you know, it's like you said also, it's very hard to put an exact number, but what we typically say is that it's 6- 12 months from taking the order to execution and delivering. That is roughly maybe six months ahead, and then a project is roughly three to nine months. We also have projects that are, so to say, longer, and we also have quicker projects that start earlier, but roughly, I would say that.

Karl Bokvist
Equity Research Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Understood. My final one regarding the rest of Nordic here. In Q1, we talked a bit of like a bit of lower utilization or completion of larger projects in the quarters prior to that, but now we're back to 6.6. Sorry, you might have talked about it during the call, but I was just curious to hear if that kind of imbalance in utilization and project activity has already been addressed now in Q2.

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

As I said a bit earlier on the Q&A here, we see some offset in Norway, which is nice, where we have taken some projects to sort of say make sure that we keep the utilization at a decent level. We are still not maybe 100% at the level in Finland, but we are at least looking at some positive signs there as well, but not fully back for the rest of Nordic yet.

Karl Bokvist
Equity Research Analyst, ABG Sundal Collier

Okay. Understood. That's all from me. Thank you.

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

Thank you.

Operator

There are no more questions at this time. I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

Robin Boheman
CEO, Instalco

Okay. I actually would like to take the time to thank Instalco for all and all our coworkers, customers, and suppliers for these fantastic 11 years. It has truly been a remarkable journey from a white piece of paper when I signed up for Instalco to where we are today. The last couple of years have been tough on the whole construction industry, but as I said earlier, we have also built a more stable and resilient company during these years. From the bottom of my heart, I thank you all for these amazing years, and I'm looking forward to continuing to follow the Instalco journey. I now wish you all a great summer and best of luck going forward to the Instalco team. Thank you very much from me and have a great summer, everyone.

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