Investor AB (publ) (STO:INVE.A)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2020

Jul 17, 2020

Viveka Hirdman-Ryrberg
Head of Corporate Communication and Sustainability, Investor AB

Good morning to our Q2 presentation. Investor CEO, Johan Forssell, and our CFO, Helena Saxon, will start out presenting and go through the results. Then we will have a Q&A session. Welcome, everyone.

Johan Forssell
President and CEO, Investor AB

Okay. Johan here. Welcome, everybody, to this call also from my side. If I now start on the first page, or page number 2 in the deck. As we all know, COVID-19 has had a significant impact on people and society, governments and companies have, in many ways, tried to handle the situation, it has for sure been a balancing act. For governments balancing the need to contain the virus with the need to keep the economy going, not to create social unrest as a consequence of lockdowns and, of course, the increase in unemployment. Companies have, on the other hand, had a top priority to safeguard their employees and also support the customers through these difficult times. The customers are, in fact, the ones that will be key for them after this crisis.

For many companies, there has also been a need to increase the focus on cost, cash flow, and liquidity. If we look on the more economic development, we have seen a rebound in leading indicators and economic activity, and June was for sure a stronger month than in the beginning of the quarter. Still difficult to read how much, of course, is catch-up inventory corrections, et cetera, in some cases. We actually see that the COVID-19 development in the U.S. is developing in some states in the wrong direction. For example, in Florida, Texas, and Arizona, but especially in California, given the size of that state. In addition, we are also seeing the spread in big areas such as Brazil and India.

While we have seen an improvement gradually during the quarter, and hopefully that could continue, there is still a big uncertainty when it comes to the sustainability and the strength of the overall recovery. In this environment, in this exceptional quarter with significant sales drop for many of our companies, I must say that I am impressed by our management team's decisiveness and speed in taking actions to adapt. With that introduction, let's go over to page three and the performance, the figures. The total share of the return was up 9% in the quarter compared to the Swedish stock market, plus 17%. Our net asset value was up 14% in the quarter, and that was mainly driven by a strong value increase in the listed companies and in EQT.

As you can see, the listed companies were up 19% in the quarter, EQT was up 16% in the quarter. Actually, in constant exchange rate also, EQT was up 19% in the quarter. Patricia was down 2% in value in the quarter. If we adjust for currencies, it was +2%, I will talk more about the operational development later on. Starting with the listed companies, a few highlights in the quarter. We invested SEK 0.5 billion in ABB, taking our year-to-date investments to more than SEK 2 billion. As you know, right after the end of the quarter, ABB finalized the sale of Power Grids. This will, of course, lead to the fact that they now can focus on the core remaining businesses, also it will lead to significant share buybacks.

Atlas Copco closed the strategic important acquisition of ISRA VISION, which is a SEK 10-plus billion acquisition. Sobi entered another licensing agreement relating to a novel treatment within gout. This is a continuous work for the company, and they have been very successful, I think, in broadening its product portfolio. Moving down over to Patricia and slide number seven. As expected, following a strong first quarter, COVID-19 had a more negative impact in the second quarter that was challenging for some of the companies. For these companies in aggregate, as you can see, the organic sales declined by 19%, while operating profits fell by 25%. In total, if we also include our 40% ownership in 3 Scandinavia, EBITDA was down 18%. As I said initially, I think this is an impressive performance.

With sales being down almost 20%, being able to preserve 75%, 80% of the profit is really a testament of great resilience and agility. Especially, I think, considering that we, for all these nine companies, we don't report any EO costs at all. It's really all cost in, and that is not the case for all companies. Moving down to the next page number eight. This is how we presented it in connection with our first quarterly report. We said that we believe that three companies were more resilient looking forward than the other four companies. Now when we have the second quarter, I think we can say that this guidance was quite well calibrated.

If we start with the companies on page nine that we deemed would be more resilient in the second quarter, you can see that the organic growth and the margins have been quite stable despite the very turbulent environment that we have had in the quarter. The resilient performance we saw in the second quarter with stable sales and margins. For all these three companies, the organic growth was positive in June, and we actually expect a good performance for these three companies in the third quarter. When it comes to Mölnlycke, we have highlighted that due to the customer agreements within personal protective equipment, we expect significant sales addition for the remaining part of the year. This means that for Mölnlycke Group, we expect a strong sales growth in the third quarter.

It should be mentioned that the margins on the PPE is below the average of the group. As you know, Wound Care has higher margins than other business. Moving to the next page and talking about Piab, Permobil, Laborie, and BraunAbility. For these companies, in line with our expectation, the second quarter was more challenging due to COVID-19, and that led to a significant decrease in elective procedures, lockdowns, and related reduced customer demand. Despite the sharp revenue drops, margins held up due to successful work in adapting and taking out costs. For these companies, June was better than in the beginning of the quarter, but June was still negative in terms of organic growth compared to last year. For these companies that represent about 30% of the total portfolio value, we expect continued challenges also in the third quarter.

Moving down to Mölnlycke on page number 11. As mentioned, the organic sales growth was -7% in the quarter. All regions were negative except emerging markets. That was up single digits in the quarter, driven by strong development in the Middle East. As mentioned previously, the new customer agreements within PPE will add significant sales during the remainder of 2020. That is one of the key reasons why we expect a strong sales growth for the third quarter. Profit margin was almost in line with last year. Cash flow was strong. Finally, Zlatko Rihter, currently CEO of CellaVision, has been appointed the new CEO. Moving down to Permobil, the organic sales growth was -17%. Social distancing measure has severely affected the ability to sell the products. All regions were down except APAC.

That was up double digits in the quarter, and that was mainly driven by Australia. We did for Permobil see an increased market activity towards the end of the quarter. The profit margin declined compared to last year, but as you can see, cost reduction initiatives mitigated the margin drop and the company has done a very good job in adjusting OpEx. Moving to Laborie. Here we did see an organic sales growth that was minus 45%, and the reason is a significant decline in elective procedures within both urology and GI, and that is of course related to COVID-19. We did for Laborie see a sequential sales growth during the quarter, but June was still well below last year.

Clinical Innovations, the new acquisitions that they did, which is the maternal and child health business, was less impacted and the performance was actually close to last year as these procedures are not elective. The margin, of course, was affected by the fact that top line almost was cut in half organically. It was offset by good cost containment and also a good performance in the acquisition Clinical Innovations. Sarnova had an organic sales growth of -2%. If we exclude the reduction in sales related to the [EmboGen], organic growth was positive. As you can see, the margin expanded despite continued investment in the business.

BraunAbility, here we did see a sales drop of 53%, and that was very much related to lockdowns in the U.S., but also in Europe, of course. The EBITDA margin was negatively impacted, of course, by the fact that sales dropped as much as it did. This company also was very successful in taking out OpEx in the quarter to mitigate the profit drop. Moving to Piab. Here we did see organic sales being down 16% in the quarter. Most regions were down or all regions except APAC was down. APAC here was driven by a very strong development in China. Vac and Conveying grew. The other divisions declined. Also here we did see an increased customer demand towards the end of the quarter. I must say that I'm impressed by the profit margin performance, given the 16% sales drop.

It shows that the company has been really good in handling it and showing good agility. Moving to Three. Stable performance. Subscription base was up 2,000 in the quarter. It was up 37 in Sweden, but the overall figure was negatively affected by the fact that 41,000 SIM cards were disconnected in Denmark, so the underlying performance was better. Service revenue was up 4%, profit was up 3%, and the company distributed almost half a billion SEK, of which close to SEK 200 million was to Patricia Industries. Briefly on EQT on page number 19. As mentioned previously, the total investment in EQT was up 16% in the quarter. The stock market part or EQT AB that is listed, that's about SEK 30 billion for us, and the fund investment is about SEK 20 billion. In total, we have about SEK 50 billion in EQT now.

The EQT AB listed on the stock market was up strongly, +42% in the quarter. When it comes to our fund investments, as you know, after EQT being listed on the stock market, we report the value of the fund investments with one quarter lag. In other words, the valuations here is as of March 31. The cash flow was minus SEK 1.6 billion, and that is due to drawdowns related to previous acquisitions and of course, new exits in the current market environment. Going forward on page 21. Where are we? Well, if I should summarize it, signs of recovery, but uncertainty remains high. Investor has a strong financial position, despite the fact that we have invested more than SEK 4 billion in Patricia and more than SEK 3 billion in the listed portfolio during the first half of the year.

The leverage is only 5%, which is in the lower end of our target range. We have a strong and well-positioned portfolio of companies. We will of course, do all we can to continue the development of these companies as an engaged owner. Moving to slide number 22. What we have seen in this crisis, of course, is a very severe and unfortunately health crisis with a severe unfortunate effect on the social side of the world. On the other hand, there are of course several lessons learned that can be used in business. First of all, we see acceleration of the long-term trends within digitalization, automation, and integration of sustainability into the business lines. This is clearly accelerated as many companies now have learned much faster than without COVID-19 how to handle these areas.

Except the trends, I would also say that many companies are now looking into how can we use the lessons learned to really improve the efficiency and new ways of working. Finally, I would also say that for sure we want our companies to be cost-efficient in the supply chains, but I think the COVID-19 crisis and also some geopolitical discussions also shows that there is always a balance between resilience and efficiency, and that is also a top priority for many companies. Finally, most importantly, in this crisis, many companies have actually been forced to sell in a little bit different ways. These are also important learnings, how this can be done after the crisis in a more structured manner. We will support our companies in trying to catch all these opportunities going forward. With that opening, I hand over to Helena Saxon.

Helena Saxon
CFO, Investor AB

Thank you, Johan. Looking at the 10-year net asset value development graph on page 24, we see that in Q2, the value of our assets rebounded strongly and adjusted net asset value ended the quarter at more than SEK 490 billion. Listed companies on page 25, the total contribution to net asset value was SEK 65 billion in the quarter, and the overall listed companies TSR was 19% compared to SIXRX 17%. On the graph on the right-hand side, we can see that all listed companies rebounded as you have seen, and the strongest performers were Husqvarna, Sobi, and Electrolux. Patricia Industries development in the second quarter on page 26 was slightly negative, with a total return of minus 2%. Earnings and currency impacted valuations negatively, while multiples were up and had a positive impact on estimated market values.

On page 27, looking at the sequential change in estimated market values, we see that Permobil, [Elekta], and Piab all contributed positively in the quarter, while Mölnlycke, Sarnova, Laborie, and BraunAbility were down in the quarter. Financial investments provided proceeds of more than SEK 700 million. As Johan mentioned earlier, 3 Scandinavia distributed almost SEK 200 million to Patricia Industries in the quarter. Looking at the major drivers of estimated market value per company in the quarter on page 28, we see that the estimated market value of Permobil increased by SEK 1.8 billion in the quarter due to higher multiples cash flow, but impacted negatively by profit decline. The U.S. subsidiaries Laborie and BraunAbility were both down SEK 700 million-SEK 800 million in the quarter due to lower profits and currency impacting negatively, while multiples had a positive impact in the quarter.

3 Scandinavia's estimated market value was down SEK 1 billion in the quarter due to lower multiples impacting negatively, while higher profits were actually working the other way, having a positive impact on the value. There was the capital distribution that we talked about earlier. The estimated market value of Mölnlycke was down SEK 1.4 billion in the quarter. This was due to currency and lower profits, while multiples and cash flow generation had a positive impact in the quarter. Our financial position remains strong, as you can see on page 29. Our leverage is at the bottom of the target range, as Johan mentioned, at 5.1%. Net debt is at SEK 23 billion. Our gross cash position is almost SEK 14 billion, and the average maturity of the debt portfolio is more than 10 years. Our credit rating remains unchanged and is very strong. Finally, on our last slide.

Year-to-date performance is negative, but better than the fixed rates. Over longer term, which is more important, like one year, five years, 10 years, we see that we have outperformed both the stock market and our total return requirements. With that summary on our performance, both in the short and the long term, I would like to hand over to Viveka for Q&A.

Viveka Hirdman-Ryrberg
Head of Corporate Communication and Sustainability, Investor AB

Thank you, Johan and Helena. Now we will have time for Q&A, and we will have some instructions from our operator.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you wish to ask a question, please press the one on your telephone keypad. We have our first question from Joachim Gunell, DNB Markets. Please go ahead.

Joachim Gunell
Analyst, DNB Markets

Thank you. Good morning. We can start off with the distributions to Patricia Industries. They've been fairly stable for the past four years, around SEK 5 billion-6 billion. How do you think about the 2020 levels? Should the year-over-year change, should it be fairly correlated to the levels of the operating results for Mölnlycke, Permobil, and 3, or how do you think about that?

Johan Forssell
President and CEO, Investor AB

I think that from our side, thank you for the question. We always want our companies to have the right balance sheets. We will always have it. It's a continuous evaluation. If we believe that one of our companies or more of our companies have excess cash, then it will be distributed. If that is not the case, it will be kept in the company. I cannot give you guidance because it will depend on the development going forward, not only the operational performance, but also acquisition opportunities.

Joachim Gunell
Analyst, DNB Markets

Clear, Johan. Perhaps on the acquisition topic, could you give a bit of a flavor on what new business opportunities you see, both bolt-on and the new investment ideas? You probably won't commit to a timeframe on additions, but perhaps you can comment on where you believe you will deploy your strong cash flows and if perhaps the pipeline has narrowed down a bit.

Johan Forssell
President and CEO, Investor AB

Yeah. We are always looking at opportunities both on the private side and on the listed side. As I mentioned before, year-to-date during the first six months, we have invested a little bit more than SEK 4 billion on the unlisted side and with an add-on acquisition from one of our subsidiaries. Then we have invested a little bit more than SEK 3 billion on the listed side, ABB, Ericsson, and Electrolux Professional.

On the listed side, it's very clear that the stock market will go up and down. When we see that we see good value, we are ready to use our financial resources to jump in and buy in selected companies. On the unlisted side, we are continuously, even if it's COVID-19 times, we are right now looking into opportunities for some of our subsidiaries to do add-on acquisitions. That is, as I mentioned before, a strategic priority for us, because we have strong platform companies with strong market positions, and if they can continue to develop their businesses through add-on acquisition, that is a high priority area for us. We are looking into that opportunities all the time.

Joachim Gunell
Analyst, DNB Markets

Understood. Finally, a question perhaps for Helena. On the back of the strong financial position, and we've touched upon the topic before, but regarding the postponed DPS decision on the second installment here, can you talk a bit just about the moving parts and what scenarios we could see? I assume it's pretty tied to a potential dividend from SEB.

Helena Saxon
CFO, Investor AB

As you have seen, our board has decided to pay the SEK 9 per share, as you've all seen already. There has been no change in the communication regarding coming back during the autumn. I think we will have to evaluate everything that's happening around us, not the least what's happening with the pandemic and its impact on economy. Ultimately, it's the decision for the board to recommend to then an extra general meeting, potentially in the autumn. We have no more communication on that.

Joachim Gunell
Analyst, DNB Markets

All right then. Thank you. That's all from me, and have a great summer.

Johan Forssell
President and CEO, Investor AB

Thank you.

Helena Saxon
CFO, Investor AB

Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press 01 on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from Garrick Ladabaiah, Carnegie. Please go ahead.

Garrick Ladabaiah
Analyst, Carnegie

Yes. Hello, and thank you. I am looking at Patricia Industries, and excuse me if you've answered this already, but which of your companies within Patricia have received government aid and subsidies? Is there something you could quantify, please?

Johan Forssell
President and CEO, Investor AB

I think that the government subsidies have been given around the world in many areas. Of course, the companies continuously have been evaluating whether there are opportunities to use that. I cannot comment on the specific companies because those are more operational questions. My view is that overall, it is not a significant impact in the total portfolio, given that we have some companies that are quite resilient.

Garrick Ladabaiah
Analyst, Carnegie

All right, thank you. With regard to Mölnlycke here, just to make sure I got the drivers this year right. Clearly, Q1 growth was pretty strong as some of the elective care procedures were still ongoing as you simultaneously got this boost from selling protective equipment. Now in Q2, there are very few elective procedures. With regard to your forward statement here on Q3 and the rest of the year, is it true that you are both expecting a boost from these new contracts, plus also elective procedures starting to gradually come back? Thank you.

Johan Forssell
President and CEO, Investor AB

Thank you for the question. It's a good but very difficult question to answer because if you take, for example, Wound Care, you see some areas that are related to elective surgeries, which have had a tougher time, but you also have some chronic parts that have been more stable. If you look on the surgical part, you see that, for example, if we exclude this, you can see that we have certain parts of the business relating to clothes, for example, that is strong. While if you look on procedure trays and also drapes, it is weaker, and that is very much related to elective surgery. There are pros and cons in the business. To what extent the different parts will move in the third quarter will, of course, depend on the development of the pandemic.

If we take the basic business, what we see right now, both on the Wound Care and on the surgical side, also consider the new contracts that I talked about, our best judgment today is that we will see a strong growth for the Mölnlycke Group in the third quarter.

Garrick Ladabaiah
Analyst, Carnegie

Okay, thank you. That's very clear. Finally, just on a general note there, looking back at the first half of the year, what's been sort of the focus of the investment organization during the first half year compared to normal? Also looking back, how would you grade yourself regarding how everything was handled from the Investor AB side, your investment activity that you've carried out, et cetera? Thank you.

Johan Forssell
President and CEO, Investor AB

Thank you. I think that you should grade us, and we should not grade ourselves. I leave that to you.

Garrick Ladabaiah
Analyst, Carnegie

Okay.

Johan Forssell
President and CEO, Investor AB

I must say that if I look on the subsidiaries, we have done two significant add-on acquisitions. One target in Piab, and that company has developed well since we bought it, and I see good prospects for that business, not the least because we see significant synergies with the existing business within Piab in that area. I'm very pleased with that acquisition. The Clinical Innovations acquisition from Laborie has also developed very good since we bought it. Of course, here we can say that we were a little bit lucky because since their product is related to complicated childbirth, that is very difficult to postpone. We bought a business that we really like. It's a good, profitable business with good growth prospects, but it's also, of course, very resilient in this kind of pandemic that we have.

I must say that these two companies have really identified attractive acquisitions that I'm very pleased with. As I mentioned before, we are continuously in the investment organization supporting, of course, through our boards, work here continue to find add-on acquisition. You never know in business because it takes two to tango, but my hope and ambition is that we also this year will close add-on acquisitions in our subsidiaries, and we are evaluating a number of opportunities. When it comes to the listed part of the portfolio, we are more opportunistic, as you have seen. We have a couple of companies that we truly believe in, and we have used the swings in the stock markets to invest in these.

During the first half of the year, if we look on the investment we did in Electrolux Professional, Ericsson, and ABB, we are pleased with those investments. You should [get just].

Garrick Ladabaiah
Analyst, Carnegie

Okay, I will. Thank you very much.

Johan Forssell
President and CEO, Investor AB

Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, if you wish to ask a question, please press zero one on your telephone keypad. Thank you for holding. We have no further questions. Dear speakers, back to you for the conclusion.

Viveka Hirdman-Ryrberg
Head of Corporate Communication and Sustainability, Investor AB

We would like to thank you for joining us today, and we wish you all a sunny and healthy summer. Thank you, Johan and Helena. Thank you all.

Johan Forssell
President and CEO, Investor AB

Thank you.

Viveka Hirdman-Ryrberg
Head of Corporate Communication and Sustainability, Investor AB

Thank you.