Centerra Gold Inc. (TSX:CG)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2022

Aug 10, 2022

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Centerra Gold Q2 2022 results conference call. At the start of the presentation, all lines will be in a listen-only mode. Afterwards, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. At that time, if you have a question, please press the one followed by the four on your telephone. If at any time during the conference you need to reach an operator, please press star zero. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded Wednesday, August 10, 2022. I would now like to turn the conference over to Toby Caron, Treasurer and Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Toby Caron
VP, Financial Planning, and Treasurer, Centerra Gold

Thank you, Carlos. Welcome to Centerra Gold's Q2 2022 results conference call. Please note that presentation slides are available on Centerra Gold's website to accompany each speaker's remarks. Today's call is open to all members of the investment community and media in listen-only mode. Following the formal remarks, the operator will give instructions for asking a question, and then we will open the phone lines to questions. Please note that all figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted. Joining me on the call today are Scott Perry, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Darren Millman, Chief Financial Officer. I would like to caution everyone that certain statements made today may be forward-looking statements, and as such, are subject to known and unknown risks, which may cause our actual results to differ from those expressed or implied.

Also, certain of the measures we will discuss today are non-GAAP measures. Please refer to the description of non-GAAP measures in our news release and MD&A issued this morning. For more detailed discussion of the material assumptions, risks, and uncertainties, please refer to our news release and MD&A, along with the unaudited financial statements and notes and all of our other filings, which can be found on SEDAR, EDGAR, and the company's website at centerragold.com. Now I'll turn the call over to Scott.

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

Thanks, Toby, and good day to everyone. As Toby mentioned, I'm just referencing the accompanying webcast presentation deck, and I'm just starting off on slide number four. First of all, I'd like to start by highlighting our announcement on July 29th that we have officially closed the global arrangement agreement with Kyrgyzaltyn and the government of the Kyrgyz Republic. This is a clean separation, and it has allowed us to significantly reduce our share count by approximately 77 million shares, or 26%. With this closing, the company is positioned to move forward with a renewed focus on our core operations, the Mount Milligan mine, the Öksüt mine, our core Goldfield Project, in addition to our exploration and drilling investment programs at our greenfield and brownfield exploration projects.

In the Q2, the company continues to demonstrate that safety remains one of Centerra's top priorities. Notable milestones during the quarter was with Kemess achieving three years without a lost time injury. Subsequent to quarter end, our Öksüt mine surpassed 1 million hours without a lost time injury. Moving over to Öksüt, gold room operations at the Öksüt mine's ADR plant remain suspended due to mercury that was detected. Retrofit in the gold room is expected to be complete in late 2022, with operations recommencing as soon as regulatory approvals are obtained. The company has completed engineering work and has ordered equipment to retrofit the ADR plant for safe operations within the gold room. The capital cost of this mercury abatement retrofit is expected to be approximately $5 million.

You will note in today's release that at the Öksüt mine we have initiated suspension of stacking and leaching activities as of August 10th. This is due to the company's inability to obtain approval from the regulators to use more activated carbon than what is currently allowed in the mine's environmental impact assessment permit. This change in operating practices means that the company has had to revise its consolidated 2022 outlook to reflect the suspension of stacking and leaching activities at Öksüt, the continued suspension of gold room operations in the ADR plant, as well as the impact of an assumed decline in copper prices and the impact that has on our Mount Milligan operation. We will speak to each of these in more detail later on in this webcast.

In terms of our development projects, the advancement of the Goldfield Project continued in the Q2. We have initiated a resource expansion and infill drilling program that targets some 65,000 meters of diamond drilling and reverse circulation drilling. Our plan here is to issue an updated resource estimate for the project in 2023, with a feasibility study shortly thereafter. With regards to the senior leadership, we are now in the final stages of recruiting a new chief operating officer, and we plan to provide the market with an announcement on that shortly. From a liquidity perspective, reflecting the strength of our balance sheet, the board again approved a consecutive quarterly dividend of CAD 0.07 per share. Lastly, in respect to our Molybdenum Business Unit, evaluations for surfacing value opportunities remain an ongoing work in progress item.

Just moving to slide five, just in terms of our environmental, social, governance highlights. There's a lot of exciting environmental, social, governance updates on this slide, and I won't go through them all, but I do wanna note that on August 4, Centerra published its 2021 ESG report. This report demonstrates the great strides that we are taking to continue to strengthen our environmental, social, governance performance, and I feel it is reflected in several achievements noted throughout that report. Lastly, I just wanna highlight the successful completion of our year two Responsible Gold Mining Principles assurance work. The organization is on track to achieve conformance with the Responsible Gold Mining Principles before the end of 2022. Just moving to slide six.

Touching on Mount Milligan operating highlights now, I think it is important to note that our 2022 gold and copper production guidance for the mine has not changed. We are still on track to meet our gold production guidance of 190-210 thousand ounces for the year, and to meet our copper production guidance of 70-80 million pounds for the year. During the Q2, Mount Milligan continued to deliver strong results, producing some 42,728 ounces of gold and some 17.4 million pounds of copper. In terms of the corresponding all-in sustaining costs on a by-product basis at Mount Milligan, the result came in at $1,245 per ounce for the quarter, but was $641 per ounce for the H1 of this year.

The company's Q2 all-in sustaining cost result was impacted by the meaningful decline in copper prices. Again, remembering that copper is recognized as a by-product credit. Q2 copper credits were effectively reduced by some $560 per ounce in relation to a negative mark-to-market adjustment on our provisionally priced copper contracts that were open as at the end of the quarter. Darren, our Chief Financial Officer, will speak to this in more depth in the financial highlights section of this presentation. The Mount Milligan mine posted a solid cash flow result in the Q2. We generated in terms of cash provided by mine operations, we generated some $81 million, and in terms of free cash flow, the mine generated $58 million for the quarter.

Mount Milligan's staged flotation reactors were commissioned in early May, during the Q2, and we're expecting to see improved future gold and copper recoveries at the mine as a result. By way of example, the month of June actually had the highest monthly copper recovery that was seen in the mine's history. Lastly, Mount Milligan's life of mine planning work continues to progress with a focus on optimizing some meaningful life of mine extension opportunities relative to our go-forward equipment fleet, capacity requirements, our tailing storage facility requirements, as well as some other identified opportunities and trade-offs. Just moving to slide seven. At Öksüt, as already mentioned, as of March 2022, our gold room operations remain suspended, and the company has initiated suspension of stacking and leaching operations as of August 10th as a result of a lack of access to activated carbon.

Mining and crushing are currently ongoing, and the company is evaluating whether these activities should continue while we pursue an amendment to our environmental impact assessment permit to align permitted limits with current operational plans. As at June 30th, Öksüt had stored gold and carbon inventory totaling some 58,469 ounces. The weighted average cost of this inventory on a per recoverable ounce basis was approximately $444 per ounce. The ADR mercury abatement retrofit is expected to be complete by the end of this calendar year, and we do assume that current inventoried gold and carbon will be processed in 2023, assuming the ADR plant resumes full operations with regulatory approvals in place. Meanwhile, we continue to consider other alternatives to monetize the gold and carbon.

Öksüt is currently in the process of preparing a new environmental impact assessment application, which will clarify the heap leach stacking capacity of the mine and the actual amount of activated carbon required for usage in our operations. We expect to be submitting this new EIA application by the end of this month, and we'll be pursuing its approval as quickly as possible. Just moving on to slide eight, just in terms of our guidance and our revised outlook. As I mentioned earlier, the company has revised its outlook for 2022 as a result of initiating the suspension of stacking and leaching activities at the Öksüt mine, in addition to the continued suspension of gold room operations. This is also in addition to the changes that we've made to our assumed spot copper price moving forward.

With regards to copper prices, we have conservatively reduced the H2 forecast assumption from $4 per pound- $3.25 per pound. I would note that should copper prices stay at the current spot levels for the remainder of the year, the company's all-in sustaining costs, as well as its cash flow outlook, would see a positive impact versus this revised guidance. You will see we have Öksüt production at 55,000 ounces for the year, and this really represents the actual Q1 production result. This is revised down from our original guidance of 210,000 ounces-240,000 ounces for 2022.

In terms of the company's consolidated all-in sustaining costs on a by-product basis, our guidance has increased to $1,000-$1,050 per ounce, which is an increase from previous guidance of $600-$650 per ounce. This primarily reflects the lower gold output contributions from Öksüt, as well as the reduced copper price assumptions at Mount Milligan. As already mentioned, guidance for gold and copper production at the Mount Milligan mine remain unchanged from the previous guidance. Likewise, consolidated capital expenditures, costs relating to the Milligan business unit, and corporate administration costs also remain unchanged from previous guidance.

Exploration guidance has been updated to $50-$65 million, and this reflects the addition of $15-$20 million in spending and investments for the Goldfield development project following the addition of this project to our portfolio in Q1 of this year. Just moving on to slide nine. Here on slide nine, this reflects the revised 2022 gold production guidance graphically on a quarter-by-quarter basis. The guidance is updated to include only year-to-date gold production at the Öksüt Mine of 55,000 ounces in addition to Mount Milligan's full-year gold production outlook.

As noted previously, Mount Milligan gold production guidance remains unchanged from the original outlook of 190-210 thousand ounces. The company assumes completion of the mercury abatement retrofit at the Öksüt Mine in late 2022, and this will then allow the restart of the gold room in 2023, subject to the relevant regulatory approvals being in hand. Just lastly on slide 10, just in terms of copper production, as previously noted, the company's copper production guidance is unchanged from the original outlook of 70-80 million pounds for the full year. With that, I'm gonna pass the presentation over to Darren Millman, our Chief Financial Officer, and Darren will walk through some of the key financial highlights.

Darren Millman
CFO, Centerra Gold

Thanks, Scott, and good morning, all. For those following on the slide deck, I'll be initially speaking to slide 12. Centerra recorded $167 million in net revenue during the quarter, consisting of the Mount Milligan mine and the molybdenum business unit. No revenue was recorded at the Öksüt mine. At the Mount Milligan mine, gross gold sales and copper sales were $58 million and $71 million prior to the provisioning adjustment on the concentrate sales of a negative $32 million, which were made in the quarter. I will speak to this in more detail later in the presentation. In the quarter, Mount Milligan sold 41,597 ounces of gold and 18.9 million pounds of copper.

Due to the suspension of the ADR plant, as noted earlier by Scott, the Öksüt Mine has no recorded sales or production in the quarter. However, stored gold and carbon inventory balance recognized at 58,469 recoverable ounces at June 30. The cost associated with the Öksüt stored gold and carbon inventory is approximately $444 per ounce, which has been capitalized as a current asset with no cost flowing through the earnings statement in the quarter. The total recoverable cost as at June 30, 2022 is $26 million. The recoverable cost will flow through the earnings statement upon the processing at the ADR plant, but otherwise monetized at a third-party facility. At the Molybdenum Business Unit, 3.2 million pounds of molybdenum was sold, generating revenue of $68.6 million.

During the quarter, the Mount Milligan mine operations average gold price realized was $1,335 per ounce and $2.19 per pound of copper. This incorporates the existing stream arrangements over the mine. It should be noted the 25% decrease in realized price from when comparing Q2 2022 to that of Q2 2021. Cash used in operating activities was $3.5 million for the quarter. As noted in the MD&A, the Mount Milligan mine generated $81 million in positive operating cash flow. This favorable variance compared to prior years was a result of the one sale shipment recognized in Q1 2022 of approximately $42 million, the cash only being received in Q2.

This was offset by a reduction in gold sale and copper prices realized within the quarter, with 19% and 25% respectively, decreasing in comparison to Q2 2022, and then to Q1 2021. Given no sales occurring at the Öksüt mine in the quarter with operations continuing, $51 million was used from treasury. This also included income tax payments of approximately $22 million to Öksüt tax authorities and 2022 tax year relating to the 2021 tax year, together with the annual royalty payment of $8 million relating again to the 2021 year.

Free cash flow deficit from continuing operations for the quarter was $31 million, primarily driven by the $55.4 million from the Öksüt mine current operational status, together with a $6.1 million deficit at the molybdenum business unit as inventory levels remain relatively high with working capital reductions expected in the H2 of the year. The net loss from continuing operations was $2.6 million in the quarter, with $36.2 million in adjusted net loss recorded. The earnings in the quarter attributable to operations were a minimal $2.7 million contributed from the Mount Milligan mine as a result of the mark-to-market adjustments from a historical recorded provision of copper and gold concentrate sales, together with the reduced gold levels sold and lower copper prices realized. This included the mark-to-market adjustments.

Earnings also attributed with a $1.5 million loss from the Öksüt Mine, primarily from exploration costs, and a $3.4 million loss from the molybdenum business unit. For the quarter, there were three adjusting items. They were reclamation provisions, recovery at site, care and maintenance of $41.4 million, primarily a result of change in underlying discount rates used. Kumtor-related legal and other costs of $3.2 million, and income and mining tax adjustments of $4.3 million. I now move to slide thirteen. Given the significant movement in previous issued all-in sustaining cost guidance compared to Q2 actual results, we prepared this high-level slide to note the three key items.

The removal of the Öksüt mine's plant production and sales in Q2 has resulted in a higher all-in sustaining cost by $337 per ounce, given the planned 2022 low-cost profile of the mine. Secondly, the planned ore release timing at the Mount Milligan mine, which remains unchanged, have higher expected costs in the H1 of the year. Compared to that of the H2 of the year, specifically 90% of gold production planned in the H2 of the year. This results in a higher cost profile in the H1 of the year, as noted in the slide, of a $229 variance.

The company's fuel and Canadian dollar hedging programs has offset to date any inflationary pressures, together with initial higher inflation factored in as part of the 2021 budgeting process and included in the original guidance. The third point is the copper, the company treats copper revenue as a by-product at the Mount Milligan mine. In effect, a negative cost when calculating all-in sustaining cost. Given this recent and dramatic movement in copper prices, together with unsettled provisional sales contracts, has resulted in an increase in all-in sustaining cost of $468 in Q2 compared to original guidance. I'm now moving to slide 14. At a high level, the company has seven-eight unsettled copper contracts at the end of each quarter.

The rise in copper prices in 2020 and 2021 had seen the company benefiting from the provisional pricing, while this recent sharp decrease in copper prices has seen a reduction in revenue and cash receipts. As noted on this slide, the copper price variability experienced for accounting purposes was a high of $4.75 per pound at the end of Q1 2022, to a low of $3.71 per copper pound at the end of Q2 2022. The mark-to-market copper price adjustments made at the end of the quarter contributed to a $560 ounce of negative impact of all-in sustaining costs of the Mount Milligan mine in Q2.

The company's copper hedging program to date has focused on the company's production and not on the quotational period or QP period, with zero cost collars being the preferred financial instrument. To date, the collars pricing being within the ranges with no meaningful realized gain or loss. As we move into the H2 of 2022, at these copper prices, the hedges are of value. It should be noted the company currently has 52.8 million hedged copper pounds, with the majority in the H2 of 2022 and 2023. With average floor prices in 2022 at $3.65, in 2023 at $4, and in 2024 at also $4. Now finally, in slide 15.

I've largely covered off on most bullets on previous slides, so I'll just highlight the company has exited Q2 with a cash balance of $723 million and $1.1 billion in liquidity. The liquidity does not factor in gold and carbon with a current market value of approximately $100 million, as the company will continue to pursue this initiative in Q3. Given our strong financial position, the board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.07 per share. With that, operator, that concludes our final remarks. We would like now to turn it over to Q&A for those on the call. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. For a question, please press the one followed by the four on your telephone. You will hear a three-tone prompt after you place your request. If your question has been answered and you would like to withdraw your registration, please press one, three. One moment please for the first question. Our first question comes from the line of Mike Parkin with National Bank Financial. Please go ahead.

Mike Parkin
Mining Analyst, National Bank Financial

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. A point of clarification on Öksüt. If the gold room retrofit is completed by the end of the year and you're able to recycle the carbon, activated carbon again, does the permitting still become a constraint in 2023, or is it no longer required?

Darren Millman
CFO, Centerra Gold

This is the kind of real time, as you would have seen. You know, we met with the Ministry of Environment, effectively yesterday on August ninth. In terms of the solution here moving forward, you know, they have recommended that we file that new environmental impact assessment, and that's what's gonna, you know, align our operations with our sort of required permitting, moving forward. Assuming the ADR facility retrofit is all complete and we have the regulatory approvals in hand, that will allow us to continue regenerating carbon in 2023 or recycling the carbon. That would put us in good order, you know, vis-à-vis what we expect to be permitted under our new EIA moving forward.

Mike Parkin
Mining Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. Just as a follow-up, is the expectation now that in Q3 and Q4 there will be no additional inventory of gold and carbon? Is that the right way to think about it?

Darren Millman
CFO, Centerra Gold

Yes, that's correct.

Mike Parkin
Mining Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Trevor Turnbull with Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

Trevor Turnbull
Managing Director, Scotiabank

Yeah, thank you. I just wondered if we could talk a little bit about the suspension of the 2023 guidance. I was just wondering what drove that. I assume some of it has to do with maybe the permitting and the new EIA in general. I was also wondering if it was related to looking for those enlarged grazing permits that were going to allow access to higher grade. Because as I understood it, some of the higher grades from those areas were part of the original 2023 plan.

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

Yeah, Trevor, I would put forward simply it's a combination of all those items you mentioned. Really what it comes down to is, you know, right here, right now, we don't have visibility, you know, with a high degree of confidence in terms of when those regulatory approvals will be in hand. Say, for example, the ADR facility, I think we're highly confident that that will be, you know, that retrofit will be complete by the end of this year. But then, you know, we have to make an assumption with regards to when the regulatory approvals for using that facility will be in hand.

Likewise, in terms of the new EIA that we'll be submitting by the end of this month, you know, we have to make, you know, assumptions in terms of when that EIA will be approved. Right now, we just don't have a high degree of confidence that would allow us to provide an outlook for 2023.

Trevor Turnbull
Managing Director, Scotiabank

Sure. I understand. Just a kind of follow-up question on what's going on in Turkey. I know that when you first had the issue and started you know building up an inventory of gold on carbon, there was talk of having maybe a third party process that carbon for you. It seemed like a pretty straightforward plan at the time. Obviously, given the buildup in inventory, that doesn't seem to have been as simple as we thought. I just wondered, can you say anything about why that didn't turn out to be a very viable plan?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

You know, look, Trevor, we continue to consider those alternatives in terms of looking to monetize the gold and carbon, you know, potentially off-site. You know, in terms of our discussions with the regulators and the agencies, I think, you know, what they've instructed us is their preferred approach is for us to remediate our facilities and to complete the retrofit of our ADR facility. You know, in terms of our operating license, we're not permitted to transport or to export loaded gold and carbon off-site. That would require an amendment. The discussions to date, I think the preferred approach for the operation from the regulators' point of view is for us to remediate our facilities so that we can continue to produce doré on-site.

We'll continue to engage in those discussions. Right here, right now, and, you know, as you're seeing in our guidance, we're assuming that we're gonna have to complete the retrofit, and that'll be the, you know, the avenue or the means for producing gold doré moving forward.

Trevor Turnbull
Managing Director, Scotiabank

Okay. Yeah. I guess some of that permitting turns out to be a bit more rigid and narrow than we realized. Just one final question, if I could, on Mount Milligan, and that's just about the new mine plan. I saw that you had mentioned you wanted to assess the impact of capital and the tailings requirements. I was wondering if the capital it would be related to stripping costs, expanding the tailings or equipment, and if there's any permitting hurdles with respect to tailings that we need to think about as well.

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

Well, the life of mine work is quite advanced, and I think what we're seeing here is a meaningful opportunity to increase the sort of the conceptual reserve delineated asset life. That's favorable, if you will. You know, obviously, that's resulting in a larger pit, which in the context of your question, with you know, more mining volume, there will be more capitalized stripping, if you will, in terms of sustaining capital. Likewise, the life of mine processing volume is gonna be considerably higher than what we had in the previous life of mine plan. To your point, that will require a larger tailings storage facility.

Yes, if we look at, you know, the required height of that tailings storage facility, vis-à-vis what we're currently permitted to, we would require a permit amendment to build a larger tailings storage facility. You know, generally speaking, I'd wanna put forward that that's, you know, that's kind of routine. That's par for the course in terms of how we run our business. Answering your question directly, yes, we would have to, you know, engage with the regulators, et cetera, to get a permit amendment for a larger tailings storage facility.

Trevor Turnbull
Managing Director, Scotiabank

Sorry, just one follow-up to that. When looking at an amendment for tailings, is that all in the hands of the province, or do you have to also engage with First Nations on that one as well?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

Yes, we'd have to engage with, you know, First Nations and other stakeholders, but it's a provincial permit.

Trevor Turnbull
Managing Director, Scotiabank

Okay. I appreciate that. Thanks for all the answers, Scott.

Operator

Next question from the line of Anita Soni with CIBC. Please go ahead.

Anita Soni
Managing Director and Senior Precious Metals Research Analyst, CIBC

Good morning, thanks for taking my question. Scott, the first question is how much with respect to Öksüt you put some disclosure in there that you had stacked more than was permitted in 2019-2021. Can I ask for the volumes that you stacked more than was permitted and what the permitted amount was?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

Sorry, Anita, I don't have that in front of me. You know, that was discussions that took place yesterday. To be quite honest, we're still trying to clarify, you know, the regulator's position on this. We're trying to make sure that we've understood and interpreted it correctly, but I don't have those numbers in front of me.

Anita Soni
Managing Director and Senior Precious Metals Research Analyst, CIBC

Okay. I guess what I was trying to drive at was with the suspension of operations, would that mitigate perhaps, you know, in their mind? Well, you're not stacking now for six months, so will that make up for it?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

I'm not sure, Anita. I can't speak on behalf of the regulator.

Anita Soni
Managing Director and Senior Precious Metals Research Analyst, CIBC

Okay. All right. The second question, there was other additional disclosure that I just read in the MD&A about.

Elevated mercury levels in nine of the employees. Is that something to be concerned about? I think, like, how, what's the elevation level and with respect to sort of what are the, you know, what's allowable mercury level elevation in someone, if there is any, and you know, would that have implications to this amended EIA?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

In terms of the employees and the contractors, you know, the health and well-being of our employees is obviously paramount. You know, back when we first identified mercury or high levels of mercury in the ADR facilities, we had all of our employees and contractors that were working in that facility, you know, we had them submit samples, just to ascertain whether or not they had elevated levels. Then any employees that we did identify as potentially having elevated levels, we actually had them sent to a specialized hospital, just for further evaluation. I'm pleased to report that, you know, since all of this, all of the employees and contractors are fine, you know, healthy, safe, and well.

All good on that front, albeit it was pretty concerning at the time, given that our paramount focus on the health and wellbeing of our employees. In terms of does that have an impact on the EIA, I don't believe so. I think what we're focusing on here, again, is the retrofit of the ADR facility. That is a change in our business model, if you will, in terms of the processing operations. Again, the regulator has instructed us that the best thing for us to do is submit a new EIA to make sure that the EIA is aligned with our sort of go forward operating profile.

Anita Soni
Managing Director and Senior Precious Metals Research Analyst, CIBC

Okay. That's it for my questions. I'll pass it back, and if I have any more, I'll get back in the queue. Thanks.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Lawson Winder with Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead.

Lawson Winder
Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Hi, good morning, and thank you for the update. I wanted to ask about Mount Milligan and the economics around that. Would it be fair to say that in the current inflationary environment and given the tailings capacity limitations, that there are some questionable economics on doing a life of mine extension?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

No. Look, again, as I said, you know, the report itself, it's in kind of its final stages. There was a number of opportunities, a number of trade-offs that, you know, we're considering. On a preliminary basis, you know, what we're seeing in terms of the unit cost profile or, you know, be it the productivity profile, I think it's quite similar to what you would have seen in the prior life of mine profile. You know, I think when you look at Mount Milligan's performance, you know, over the H1 of this year or even 2021, I think you've seen a significant improvement, you know, in terms of productivity, unit costs, et cetera, even our recovery efficiencies.

I don't see any reason why that would be dissimilar to what would be in the new life of mine plan, as when we release it.

Lawson Winder
Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Okay. Along those lines, what are you guys thinking in terms of number of years for the extension?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

I can't disclose that as yet.

Lawson Winder
Analyst, Bank of America Securities

No problem. Maybe could you disclose what you guys will be using for a gold price assumption and hurdle rate for that study?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

I'm just looking at Darren. For the reserve itself and the gold price, I think we ran it at $1,350. When we do release the life of mine, you know, typically we provide a cash flow section and, you know, a sensitivity. It'd be a whole series of gold prices that cash flow will be run at. It'll be sensitized. You can pick the gold price that you wanna assume moving forward.

Lawson Winder
Analyst, Bank of America Securities

I think historically you guys have used sort of like a 15% after-tax IRR for projects. Would that be a fair hurdle rate for this one?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

Well, this is kind of different. When you ask that question, I think that's more so in the context of what is our hurdle rate when it comes to making a construction decision on any sort of organic project we may have in the organization or, you know, maybe put differently if we're looking at inorganic opportunities. That's typically when we'd be looking at, you know, that order of magnitude sort of hurdle rates. But I think in terms of our existing assets, you know, again, I think the life of mine report, I think we'll be providing ultimately an NPV. From memory, it's at, like, 5%, 8%, and 10%. So we leave it with the reader or the user of the report to self-select, you know, their desired discount rate.

Lawson Winder
Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Okay. Just one more. If I could on Öksüt. I haven't been through the entire entirety of your release. Were you guys flagging any write-down in the value of Öksüt or is that still to be determined?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

Yeah, no. Given the high margin and, you know, temporary nature, there is no accounting or impairment adjustment in 30 June or expected in the future.

Lawson Winder
Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Oh, okay. Excellent. Thank you for your answers. Bye.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Dalton Baretto with Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead.

Dalton Baretto
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst of Metals & Mining, Canaccord Genuity

Thanks. Good morning, Scott and team. I'll start with Öksüt as well. It sounds like the environmental regulators have been involved since May, and that, you know, they've been looking at a much broader scope than just the ADR plant. I'm just wondering kind of what triggered a broader review of Öksüt, and is it realistic to assume that your EIA will get approved by year-end or even early 2023?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

Yeah, Dalton , you know, I can't speculate or talk on behalf of the regulators, so I, you know, I'd prefer not to answer that question. You know, obviously you're aware of the challenges that we have had in our ADR facility and, you know, the retrofit that we're doing. As we mentioned earlier, that does require, you know, regulatory approval before we can actually commission that mercury-based abatement system moving forward. You know, in terms of the EIA, I mean, we've been in a lot of discussions with the Ministry and, you know, they have put forward that the solution here is to submit your new EIA that will then align your operating sort of activities and profile, you know, with that EIA and what's permitted.

That is well underway. I think as we mentioned in our disclosure, we expect to be submitting that EIA at the end of this month. It has been good engagement with the ministry. I'm hopeful that it will be an expedited process moving forward. I can't really provide any more clarity than that or any more visibility. That's just something we'll have to ascertain as we move forward here over the course of this year.

Dalton Baretto
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst of Metals & Mining, Canaccord Genuity

Okay, thanks for that. Just kind of as an extension to that question, if the EIA approval does get delayed a little bit, your operating permit's expiring in January. When your EIA is eventually approved, will that trigger an automatic approval of the operating permit, or will you have to then go through another process?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

No. Separately, we would be, you know, expecting the extension of the operating license, and that extension application is already in the system. We've already filed that.

Dalton Baretto
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst of Metals & Mining, Canaccord Genuity

Okay, great. Then just switching gears. I think on the last call you had mentioned that you were gonna wrap up some internal studies on the Molybdenum Business Unit around this time. I'm just wondering kind of what came of those, how you're thinking about that business going forward.

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

Yeah. Look, I think as I mentioned earlier, we think that, you know, there's some conceptual value surfacing opportunities, you know, within that business unit. It's something that we continue to study and evaluate, but I'd really characterize it as work in progress. You know, those studies are not completed yet. It's really just a work in progress evaluation. Nothing I can really speak to, you know, in terms of, you know, any impact or any change in our outlook or our business model moving forward. It's really just a work in progress evaluation.

Dalton Baretto
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst of Metals & Mining, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. Then just one last one from me, if I may. Just given where your balance sheet is and the fact that you've got a clean break with the Kyrgyz right now, should we anticipate that some sort of a meaningful buyback or special dividend could be back on the table? Just given what's happened with your portfolio, is M&A a bigger focus now?

Scott Perry
President and CEO, Centerra Gold

I think, you know, in terms of the strength of the balance sheet and our liquidity profile, obviously that's something that we, you know, we do discuss with our board of directors, and we'll continue to have those discussions. I'm not really in a position to provide any guidance in terms of go forward capital return initiatives. Really, the only thing I can speak to right now is our sort of quarterly dividend distribution. Over and above that, you know, we'll be having future discussions with the board when it comes to any sort of incremental capital return initiatives and whether or not that's warranted.

Dalton Baretto
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst of Metals & Mining, Canaccord Genuity

Great. Thank you for that, Scott Perry. Take care.

Operator

We have no further questions on the phone line. I'll turn it over back to you, Toby Caron.

Toby Caron
VP, Financial Planning, and Treasurer, Centerra Gold

Okay. With that, I'd like to thank everyone for joining us on our call today. Thank you, everyone. Goodbye. We'll be available throughout the day if needed, so please feel free to reach out to myself and I can answer any additional questions. Thank you. Bye-bye.

Operator

That concludes today's call. We thank you for your participation and ask you to please disconnect your lines.

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