Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX:CM)
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Apr 27, 2026, 2:51 PM EST
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Investor Day 2022

Jun 16, 2022

Speaker 23

Executive committee will be presenting Victor Dodig, our President and CEO, Laura Dottori-Attanasio, who leads our personal and business banking business in Canada, Harry Culham, who leads Capital Markets, Jon Hountalas, who leads Commercial and Wealth Management in Canada, Mike Capatides, head of our U.S. business, and Hratch Panossian, our CFO and Head of Enterprise Strategy. In addition to our speakers, we're excited to have the rest of our leadership in attendance today. Sandy Sharman, who leads People, Culture and Brand, Shawn Beber, our Chief Risk Officer, Christina Kramer, who leads Technology, Infrastructure and Innovation, and Kikelomo Lawal, our Chief Legal Officer and head of our ESG practice will be available for Q&A and networking during the breaks. We also want to take the opportunity today to highlight some of the engines driving growth at our bank, which we'll spotlight throughout the day.

Chris Sweetland leads our Payments Strategy and Transformation. Christian Exshaw is the Head of Global Markets and leads Direct Financial Services. Mark McQueen, Head of CIBC Innovation Banking. They'll all be joining us for the spotlights today. With that, let's turn to the agenda. Over the course of the morning, we're very excited to share our journey on where we've come as a bank, where we're at today, and most importantly, where we go from here. We have been on a journey transforming our bank over the last few years, and we're excited to share our path forward. We're a bank built for growth, and Victor will kick things off by sharing more with you on our strategy and plans to deliver value to our shareholders.

If there's one message to leave you with today, it's that our client focus strategy builds on the momentum we have achieved, and we will continue to deliver consistent and sustainable performance for all of our stakeholders. Following Victor's opening remarks, you're gonna hear from Laura. Laura's gonna explain why we believe CIBC is a leading retail bank in Canada, as well as Chris, who'll come up on stage and highlight some of our highlights on our leading payments platform. Next, Harry will explain how we're growing our unique capital markets platform. Christian's going to join Harry and share insights on what we've built in Direct Financial Services and how we will scale it across the bank. We're gonna host the first of two Q&A sessions following Harry. As I mentioned, our full executive team is available to join in and answer your questions today.

For those in person, we're gonna have microphone runners across the floor. Please raise your hand and they'll come to you, and you can ask your question. For those on the webcast, there's a live chat feature where we can enter questions. Following the Q&A session, we're gonna have our first break for 30 minutes and give everyone a chance to network. After the break, we'll come back, and Victor's gonna introduce the next section of the day and highlight our unique structure to serve the private economy. You'll then hear from Jon and Mike, who are gonna provide more insight into our commercial banking and wealth businesses in Canada and the United States. Mark's gonna join Jon briefly on stage to explain how CIBC is uniquely positioned to serve the innovation economy.

Hratch is gonna close out the presentations by providing color on our financial outlook and provide you with some targets and shed some light on how we go about executing our strategy and allocate capital to deliver enhanced value and returns. We'll then have our second Q&A session, where Victor will come up with Jon, Mike, and Hratch, and again, the rest of the executive team will be available to join in. With that, let's begin. I'm pleased to introduce our President and CEO, Victor Dodig.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Good morning, everyone. It's great to see you here. Whether you're here in person or whether you're here virtually, our goal is to help you engage with our bank, help you advocate for our bank, and invest in our bank.

That, through this Investor Day presentation, is our objective, and I hope you walk away with that at the end of today. I'm joined today by members of our CIBC executive committee, our team and our broader leadership team, who had a very visible hand in shaping the strategy of the bank that we are today. You're gonna get an opportunity to hear from some of them. You can ask them all questions here on stage and certainly when we break for lunch and during the intermissions, 'cause we want you to get to know us better and better. We are the people who have shaped our bank in terms of where we are today. We are people. I want every one of us are gonna give you a little bit of a story about the connection to our bank.

You know, my connection goes back to 1976 when I opened up my first account, 6606563. I was a paperboy, but really in 1985, I was hired to be a customer service representative or a teller at CIBC. I worked Thursday nights, Friday nights, and Saturdays during my university years at a time where technology was reshaping banking. At that time, we were implementing dot matrix printers in the banking center, and the primary provider of our computers was Olivetti. It's just another sign of how things can change, but how things also stay the same. Technology has always fundamentally reshaped banking, but at the same time, relationships have been a constant, whether you're a CSR or whether you're here as an executive or managing relationships day to day.

I came back to our bank in 2005, and I've had the fortunate opportunity to work within our wealth business, our retail business, and I became the captain of our team in 2014. I'm only the captain because we work as a team, and I'm very proud and privileged to work with the team we have because we have world-class executives. You're gonna hear a story today of a bank that's on the rise, a bank that's invested to transform for the future. If you get any message, as Jeff said, there's one message. There's always several messages in these presentations. There's three things I'd like to reinforce with you. One is that we're a fundamentally transformed bank.

We've worked hard to transform our bank, maintaining those relationships and strengthening them, but investing in technology and looking to the future, and we will continue to do that. The second thing I want you to know is that we are a client-focused bank. It's part of our culture. We have reawakened that part of CIBC many years ago, and we strengthen it each and every day. You're gonna hear from our executives how deep those client relationships are and how meaningful they have become. The third thing I wanna convey is that we are ready for the future, and we will continue to deliver those results going forward. At the same time, I recognize the economic environment that we're in. Inflation is high, interest rates are rising, equity markets are delivering nothing but volatility, and there's a great deal of concern out there.

You have to also look at the other side. There's a lot of liquidity in the system. Our clients, particularly those in commercial and corporate banking, recognize the environment but also are confident in the medium-term, long-term future. I think we have to look at that in a very, very balanced way. I will tell you that our strategy, our focus on clients is not cyclical. It will be constant. We will adjust to the market. If the market is more difficult, we will adjust our pace of investment. When it turns around, we will accelerate that pace of investment, but we will constantly focus on the future and delivering the results that you're gonna hear about a little later on. Today, our bank. Just give you a quick snapshot of what we are and who we are.

We were founded in 1867, as you saw in the video. We're domiciled in Toronto, but we're a North American bank with global reach. We've got a market cap of CAD 64 billion. That changes day by day. Importantly, we're a diversified business. You can see that in the bottom left-hand corner of your slide. Much more diversified than many individuals give us credit for. Focused on delivering strong financial results, whether that's our return on equity, or that's our capital levels, or that's our net income after tax growth that you see up in the upper right-hand corner. A strong credit rating and a bank that's on the rise. We're on the rise not just because of our financials, but it's how we do business and how we carry ourselves.

Our purpose is at the cornerstone of who we are. It is foundational to us. It has always been there, and we've reclaimed it in the past number of years. Our purpose of making your ambition a reality, that purpose that'll speak to all our stakeholders. If you're a client, it could be about helping you buy a home, saving for your child's education, or investing in scaling in your business so that you can grow your business, so you can create employment. That's what we do as a bank. For members of our team, it's about collaborating and working to advance their careers, giving them challenges, so they see the meaning of being part of the CIBC team and to see their future in our strategy as well. For our communities, it's about how we invest in them.

We operate in thousands of communities, and it's important that they see us as a primary stakeholder in their daily livelihood. If we do that really well, we deliver for our shareholders, which is ultimately what you measure us on. Behind that output is a lot of input and a lot of focus on our purpose of making your ambitions a reality. This purpose has been something that we've focused on for years. This focus on ESG that many investors talk about today is something that's been part of our DNA. You look at our investments in the community. You look at CIBC Miracle Day. For those in financial services, you know that the first Wednesday of every December, our capital markets business and our wealth management businesses direct all our revenues to kids' charities. Since 1984, we've been doing that.

Since 1984, we've raised over CAD 270 million to help children that are less fortunate. Over the past quarter-century, we've been the sponsor of the Run for the Cure with a singular goal of ending breast cancer. We've raised over CAD 480 million. Those two events are defining events for us. It's who we are. Three-quarters of a billion dollars given back to the community. Last year, we announced the CIBC Foundation to make sure that we're there and with an endowed investment of money to invest in the community on an ongoing basis, and we're gonna continue to contribute that year after year. When it comes to the environment, we are all about managing a just, commonsensical transition.

Our non-renewable energy clients are focused on reducing their carbon footprint, and we're working with them to help them in that regard. Our renewable clients are looking to fill the gap on energy needs with renewable energy that goes from hydro right through to solar, including uranium, and we're helping them. We're a signatory to the Net-Zero Banking Alliance, and we're committed to reducing our own carbon footprint through our own activities by 2024 to neutral and to go net zero by 2050 in our financing activities. We've got a target of CAD 300 billion in sustainable financing by 2030. We are one of the top renewable lenders today in North America. We rank top 5 or top 10 depending on when you're measured.

Finally, in this space, very innovative platform called Carbonplace is launching over the course of this year, and it's backed by us and eight other banks. It's based in the UK, and it's all about creating a tokenized market mechanism to sell carbon offsets to buyers that need it and legitimizing them and tracking them. That is the future. That is who we are. When it comes to governance, we're world-class. We have a board that's world-class, chaired by Kate Stevenson, a diverse board, a board that has skills that cover the landscape of banking, financial services, and business, that helps the leadership team guide us in our strategy. We are focused also on safeguarding our clients' data, and we're also focused on always putting the client first and providing fair advice. That is who we are.

That's what our ESG DNA is, but it's always been part of who we are. I wanna talk about how we've transformed our bank. It's been a journey for us, but it's been a very focused journey in very specific areas to change the way we bank. One is to focus on client experience and driving a better client experience result where relationships matter, but technology is reshaping them as well. The second is to make sure that our team, in a world where there's a war for talent each and every day, is engaged and believes in our purpose and believes in our mission. The third is to make sure our business is diversified. The fourth is to continue to modernize our bank. I'm gonna talk to you about each one of these briefly. What's happened on the client experience front at our bank?

Well, we've invested in advice capabilities. We've invested in our digital platforms. We've invested in empowering our front line so they can make better decisions for our clients. I get a client complaint, it goes to our client team immediately. Within two hours, it's escalated, and it's resolved as quickly as possible. That's who we are. We all think that way as a team, and we're dedicated to operational excellence because that matters in banking. What is the net result of all of that? At the top of this slide, you see our relationship-intensive businesses. Commercial banking, wealth management, capital markets.

These scores are world-class net promoter scores, where our clients, and you can talk to anybody out there that banks with us in these segments, and they will tell you unequivocally that we work as a team, we're collaborative, and we solve their solutions from soup to nuts, and that's what's delivering these scores. Our goal now is to improve upon them and, at the very least, keep them where they are. In our consumer franchise, we have made significant strides in client experience. Ranked number one today in online banking, number two today in client satisfaction. We haven't seen that kind of ranking in over a quarter-century. In our direct bank, Simplii, we're number one in this country. Then on the Ipsos rated scores, which rates the qualitative assessment of a client's experience, we've doubled the improvement on our net promoter score versus our peer group.

We are focused on our clients, and we are focused on creating advocacy with them each and every day. When it comes to our team, we're focused on three key areas: making sure we have an inclusive company where everyone feels that they can bring their entire self to work each day, that they're engaged and enabled, and that we're future-ready. When you look at these three areas of the slide, on the left-hand side, it talks about an inclusive and purpose-driven company. 90% of our team are aligned with our purpose. They're inspired by it. They feel really good. They understand it. They wake up out of bed saying, "I know what I need to do." We're also investing in our team. Inflation is out there.

We just announced something last week that I think is unique in terms of where we wanna get our minimum wage to the frontline team members that deal with our clients each and every day, and also adjusting pay for those across the board at more junior levels. We need to grow to continue to invest, and we will. That's a sign to them. They're engaged and enabled. These scores are. That GHPN means Global High Performer Norm. We're above the global high performer norm. We're at the top decile when it comes to an engaged workforce. If you talk to our Imperial Service advisors or Wood Gundy investment advisors, we're at the top end there in terms of how they feel about our bank and what we're doing for them. Then getting everybody ready for the future.

We are reinvesting our dollars in terms of making sure that we have great frontline relationship managers, building relationships with clients, while also putting technology and mobility in the hands of our team. Diversification, the fourth quadrant. We've worked hard to diversify our bank. This shows you 2016 earnings to 2021. We've grown them by 50%. Not only have we grown them by 50% across the board, but we've also diversified, notably in the United States. In 2016, we earned 2% of our earnings in the U.S. It equated to $70 million US after tax. Last year, our CIBC team delivered over $1 billion US after tax, 21% of our earnings, through a combination of smart inorganic investments, but importantly, an organic growth profile that is second to none in the market.

We've done this by focusing on credit quality, as you can see at the bottom of the slide, where our impaired provisions have dropped over time relative to our peer group. We're focused on relationships, we're focused on high-quality relationships, and delivering a very good result for our shareholders. It's worthwhile just stepping back and looking at how we achieved this US growth, because it's been a bit of an eight year story. You know, one foundational acquisition was the private bank, but everything else around it was tuck-ins, as we call them, and organic growth. Now we all operate under one banner, CIBC Bank USA.

We operate in 9 out of the top 10 MSAs, and as I said to you, we're delivering meaningful growth where clients are not just doing one thing with us, but much like the Canadian market, they're building deep relationships with our CIBC team. Finally, modernizing our bank. This is really, really important. How we work and where we work is critical to our team. We've modernized our physical spaces. CIBC Square is not just a headquarters building. It's a physical manifestation of what we believe the future looks like. This vision we worked on as a team well before the pandemic, but sometimes you're better lucky than smart because the pandemic is resulting in workplaces that should look like ours. I encourage you to take a look at CIBC Square today before you leave. It is about collaboration. It's about agility.

It's about moving quickly in a fast-adapting marketplace. In our banking centers, banking centers are gonna continue to play a very important role in what we do in the Canadian market, in particular. They're transforming themselves as well. We are investing in our banking centers to make them advice centers. Transactions are being conducted by our clients on their own so they can build relationships with us. Banking centers are becoming smaller and smarter, where relationships are at the core of what we do. Embracing new ways of working and being flexible. You don't hear us making pronouncements of, you know, "Thou shalt do this and thou shalt do that." We just adjust to the reality. We adjust to the hybrid work model, we adjust to mobility, and we do it smartly.

It's all about working with our team, understanding their needs and understanding our clients' needs, and we do it well. Technology. We've increased our investment in technology by over 50% in the last number of years, and it's focused in three specific areas. Can we run our bank more efficiently? Yes, we can. Our cloud investment is second to none in this market. It's purely leading, it's deliberate, and it's all meant to deliver better efficiencies into the future. Protecting our bank and doubling our investment in cyber as the world becomes more digital. Educating our clients on some of the non-technical aspects of how to protect your data is important to us. Thirdly, to grow our bank, to deepen those relationships.

We've done that by rolling out a Salesforce more robustly than anyone in our peer group, and rolling out CIBC Goal Planner, which you're gonna hear from Laura about a little later on how digital financial planning delivers a much better outcome for our clients in terms of Net Promoter Scores and funds under management growth, and we've just begun. The third piece is our brand. Just take a moment here to see how it's evolved since 1867. Our brand is our emotional energy. It's a representation of who we are, the soul of our bank. People always ask, "Why do you invest in your brand?" You invest in your brand because you believe in it. You invest in your brand because it's an emotional manifestation of who we are and where we're going.

People say, "Well, how'd you come up with this brand?" Well, we built on our heritage. If you actually looked at some of the heritage of where the logo came from, that's the two chevrons from the 1960s when the bank was its strongest, coming together to talk about the future. It's a symbol of our purpose. You look through that, and it transforms lives. That's what we do. We make those ambitions real. Our brand is worth over CAD 10 billion. We've invested a small amount to recreate it and to re-envision it and to help everybody think about what lies ahead. In the early days, we've launched it in Canada. We're rolling it out in the U.S. Canadians are telling us, relative to our peer group, they're seeing us as more modern and more innovative.

Brand consideration, while three doesn't seem like a lot, let me tell you, in the marketing world, it's a lot. People are embracing our brand. They feel it's the future. As I said to you at the outset, we're a bank on the rise. You see that in our numbers, whether it's our earnings numbers, our top-line revenue growth, our ROE, which is a world-class top quartile, top of the top quartile ROE, and also in our capital strength. You're gonna hear a lot more from Hratch at the end of the presentation of how this all ties together, where these numbers will be going, how we plan on strengthening them going forward through our business strategies that you're gonna hear about from our business leaders. I'm just gonna pivot really quickly to a high-level overview of our strategy.

It's rooted in what we believe is going on in the market, and there are a couple of key mega trends that we focus on. The first two are about clients and how clients are seeing the world specifically, and which segments are growing most quickly and why we're well-positioned there. The affluent and high-potential segment is an area where CIBC is very well-positioned. The world has also shifted from public markets to private markets over the last number of decades. Again, a part of the market where we're very well-positioned. Technology is pillars three and four. Technology, as I said to you, when the Olivetti computers came in in 1985, it was reshaping the landscape.

It continues to reshape the landscape, whether it's improving client experience day by day or dealing with the onslaught of open banking, which I can assure you we are ready for, or big tech, which we're ready for. If they wanna come into financial services, CIBC's ready to compete with them. Finally, looking for areas of growth that are unique to what's going on in the market and are unique because we're actually capitalizing on them. Whether it's fintech capabilities, you're gonna hear that, about that in our Direct Financial Services business, the energy transition where we've demonstrated leadership or Innovation Banking, where the opportunity for us is unparalleled. What is our strategy in a nutshell? It's to focus on these client segments that are high growth and high touch and deliver real potential for meaningful relationships.

It's to continue to focus on how we improve that client experience so that we can compete with the fintechs. We can compete with the incumbents, and we can compete with anybody, including big tech, that decides to come into financial services and decides to compete on our turf. The third is to capitalize on these future differentiators. How well are we positioned? Well, in the Canadian affluent and high-net-worth space, we're very well-positioned. You can see here that our growth rate in this segment is growing at two and a half times the overall bank. Our clients here in the middle of the bar represent a substantial amount of our revenue, and we're outgrowing our peer group.

We're doing it because we have a market-leading platform in our Imperial Service, with over 2,000 advisors that are dedicated to building relationships with our clients on both sides of the balance sheet and a value proposition that still stands alone in the Canadian market. A private wealth business in Wood Gundy, and a private banking franchise that's focused on the high end of our clients in a unique model where we combine it with our commercial bank. We have lots of advisory support that we've invested in. Almost 4,000 professionals dedicated to building our business with the affluent and high-net-worth Canadians. You're gonna hear about this, more about this from Jon and Laura as they speak about their specific businesses. In the United States, we started with zero in wealth management in 2014. Today, we have CAD 100 billion.

Now, that's not where we wanna be. We wanna continue to grow. We've grown that through a series of acquisitions and through organic growth. Our high-net-worth clients in the United States are growing at 2.5 times our overall client base. The average account size is $20 million. It is at the upper end of the U.S. wealth management landscape, and we plan to stay focused on that upper end and make sure that the model we have in a large market like the U.S. can scale and can be profitable. You can see the growth in it and is way well, well above market, both in terms, in terms of assets under administration, loans, and deposits, because now we're investing in private banking. We've rolled out private banking.

Our wealth management is often collocated with our commercial bank and is a distinctive value proposition in the U.S. marketplace, where Barron's ranked us number four out of 13,000 RIA firms. We're very pleased with that result, but we don't take it for granted. In our commercial bank, that high-touch focus remains true as well in both Canada and the United States, where you see our clients increasingly are doing wealth management with us. They bring their treasury business to us. We are growing our loans and deposits at or above market in most key segments, and we're doing it with a focus on doing of high credit quality. That's who we are. We have 1,400 relationship managers in our North American commercial franchise in Canada and the United States.

In capital markets, we have a unique value proposition where capital markets, like the rest of our bank, it's part of our bank, is focused on delivering for our clients, our strategic clients, who generate almost two-thirds of our revenue. Our growth rate is in the double-digit range. We kind of are top-tier in the Canadian market. You're gonna hear from Harry on that point, and we have a Direct Financial Services embedded in it, and we have a connectivity to the rest of the bank that's second to none in capital markets. Elevating our client experience, the second part of this wheel. How are we gonna elevate it? Well, CIBC Goal Planner has only touched 25% of our affluent clients so far. We're gonna get to over 90%. We're gonna roll it out across the Imperial Service, across our private wealth franchise.

We're also gonna launch Smart Planner. You're gonna hear about that in a moment. As I said to you earlier, our banking centers remain vital to who we are and what we do, but our clients are taking it upon themselves to do basic transactions. 92% of transactions are now conducted by clients on their own. It'll be 95%. The last mile or the last 5% is hard to close off, but we're gonna focus on that as well. Our connectivity revenues through capital markets, where one in almost every 3 dollars will be coming from a connection to the rest of the bank or our retail relationship partners outside of Canada. Of course, cloud-enabled, focusing on efficiencies, making sure that we can be agile and innovative and move quickly as financial services continues to get reshaped. Finally, our future differentiators.

Here, you're gonna hear from Harry and from Christian on our direct financial services business, which again, stands unique, stands tall, and is our answer to the fintechs, where we deliver real revenues and real profitability and real capability to our clients. You're gonna hear from Jon and from Mark McQueen about innovation banking and how we've made a difference here in the innovation banking system, where again, our opportunity is unparalleled. You're gonna hear about our renewables and energy transition, where we show leadership, and you're gonna hear from Chris Sweetland about payments and why we believe we can become a leader in this space through the investments that we're making. In the end, I'm almost gonna wrap up here before I hand it off to Laura. We're a modern relationship-oriented bank, and we've worked hard to get here.

We have a winning client-centric culture that we're gonna continue to focus on, regardless of what the economic environment looks like. We'll adjust, but that's part of our strategy, is to stay consistent and not volatile. The third is to create positive change for those that work with us and those that work around us and the communities that we operate in. Finally, for all of you as our investors, is to deliver sustainable out-performance over the short, medium, and long term relative to our peer group. Thank you. Laura, let me pass it on to you in a moment, okay? Thank you.

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

All right. Thank you, Victor. Good morning. It's very nice to be able to see so many of you in person. It seems like it's been a very long time. I've been in the industry, gonna age myself here, but for about 30 years, and I've been with CIBC for the past 13. I led our corporate bank, and I oversaw trading room credit in our capital markets. I then moved to risk management as our chief risk officer, and for the past 2-plus years, I've had the privilege of leading our personal and business bank. Now, as you heard from Jeff, our goal is to be Canada's leading retail bank, and that's by putting our clients first and providing our clients with exceptional client journeys and experiences.

Today, while it might not seem like it, 'cause it is somewhat stressful to be up on this big stage, I'm actually very excited. I'm gonna get to share with you some of the momentum that we have in our personal and business bank, more about our strategy, including highlighting some of our key enablers for growth. First, there's four things that I'd like to highlight as I take you through our plans. The first is that we have repositioned our business for growth, and that's through the various changes that we've made over the years. The second, we have and we continue to invest in our people and our technology to win. The third, we continue to execute on our strategy. It's working. We're gaining market share.

Fourth, it really is our client-focused approach that's helping drive market-leading performance that you're seeing in our top-line strong results over the past few quarters. Let's start with a quick overview of our business. The Personal and Business Bank represents about 40% of CIBC's overall revenues. We generate strong return on equity at 38%. We have 11 million clients and over 12,000 team members to serve them. We think of our business in three broad categories. We have Imperial Service for our affluent clients. We have business banking for our small and medium-sized companies, and then we have core retail, and that's to serve our broader client base. It is an exciting time to be in the Personal and Business Bank. We're really pleased with the positive momentum that we're seeing in our client growth and in our satisfaction scores.

You can see up on the screen, we're very excited about this, 'cause we've actually achieved our strongest net client growth since 2017. We've welcomed 260,000 new clients over the last 12 months, and that's two times as many as we have just two years ago. We're actually seeing our client growth 3.5 times higher than our peers. Our account openings have grown faster in both our digital and physical channels than our peers. Victor mentioned this, but it's worth highlighting. On client experience, for the very first time in over two decades, we actually ranked second, and we believe we can do better. We're leading market share growth in most of our product categories, as you've seen. We have year-over-year balance growth that ranked number two in deposits and number one in lending.

We have good revenue diversification, and we are making solid progress. When we look at our deposits, we have had unprecedented growth in our everyday bank account opens. We're actually up 30% from three years ago. In cards, when we look at the last Nielsen report, we are number one in active accounts and in transaction volume growth. On mortgages, with our team's relentless focus on end-to-end client experience, we actually achieved 12 straight months of share gains and end-of-term retention that is at record levels at 92%. Very proud. It's worth pointing out that these market-leading results that you're seeing, we have done them while we have maintained a very strong risk profile. We take a lot of time to make a point of ensuring that our business strategies are focused on generating and retaining high-value growth in our top-performing segments.

Our disciplined risk approach has not changed. Our portfolio has an average BEACON score of just under 770. That's a very high-quality credit score. Our growth is very much focused on relationships that all have to fit within our risk appetite. This is important given the shifting landscape that we're living in. It's really important to have high-quality risk control growth, which is what we've been focused on. I think we all know the financial services industry is undergoing unprecedented change, and that's with our traditional business models that are being challenged continually. In order to effectively compete, we really do need to be proactive. Our view really is that a successful future is really about getting client preference and convenience right, very important.

It's important that we be in the right ecosystems and that we create the right personalized digital experiences that our clients want. We're really well-positioned to successfully navigate this changing landscape. We have great client offers. We have wonderful value propositions like our Smart Start account, if you've taken the time to see that. We continue to make really good investments to win. We're gonna cover some of those initiatives soon. First, I would like to talk about the Costco portfolio opportunity that we have. Winning is not only about having the right people and about having the right strategic investments, it really is about the possibility for accelerated growth. With the Costco portfolio, we have a very meaningful opportunity to expedite our goal to become Canada's leading retail bank.

Not only are we partnering with one of Canada's biggest and strongest retailers. This partnership provides us with access to millions of mainly affluent cardholders that are new to our bank. It is a wonderful franchising and growth opportunity that can really accelerate our path relative to just growing organically. With that background in our business and on our momentum, I would like to take you through our strategy. We started this two years ago, and we continue to deploy it as it relates to growing and, even more importantly, ensuring that we deliver sustainable results. We have three strategic priorities. They're enhancing our digital client experiences, increasing productivity with our effective frontline team, and differentiating with personalized advice. Allow me to double-click on each of them.

I said this before, but getting client preference and convenience right is really vital for our future. We know that our digitally active clients have higher client experience scores, better retention, and that leads to deeper, more profitable relationships. We've been working to offer better, more seamless digital journeys, including more self-serve capabilities. A good example, and there's a few up on the screen, is our digital application process. We took a process that used to take 5 minutes. We simplified, we brought it down to 1 minute. What we saw is just on credit cards alone, our conversion rate went up 25%. A lot of the changes we're making are working. We have solid plans for a lot more digital self-serve capability.

That includes our upcoming, and I would say very cool and interactive digital advice tool that we plan on offering to our core client base. In a few months, we are going to be launching actionable, personalized advice in our digital channel. We know our clients are gonna love it. Hopefully, you will too. We thought we would give you a short preview. Over to the video.

Speaker 25

We've created CIBC Smart Planner, a one-stop experience in our mobile banking app that guides you step by step towards your goals so you can plan, save, and budget smarter. Tell us what's important to you. Let us get to know you. Plan and save smarter. When you choose and customize your goal, we'll create a plan to help you reach it. Your virtual CIBC coach will give you personalized tips along the way. Budget smarter. Get timely insights to better understand your spending habits, build budgets, and stay on top of your savings goals. Go from app to in-person anytime. No matter where you've left off in the app, we can easily transition to personal support when you need it. CIBC Smart Planner helps you plan, save, and budget smarter.

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

All right. How exciting is that? Ease and convenience and all with your own digital coach that you can carry around in your pocket. That's just a sign of some of the stuff that we're working on. We're going to continue to invest in our digital world. The reality is, and Victor mentioned this, a large part of our revenues continue to be generated in our banking centers. Our team is, in fact, a very important differentiator in making our clients' ambitions a reality.

To be best in class, we need to ensure that our teams have the right tools, they have the right training, so they can focus entirely on our clients and provide them with the right level of value-added advice they need. To do this, we simplified our org design, we removed admin tasks from our financial advisors, and we modified our training so that our team could focus on advice and on deepening relationships. It's working, and you'll see on the screen. Productivity increased with our net sales per advisor growing 17% and 7% annually over the last four years in our core and Imperial Service offers. We invested in our frontline tools like ECRM, so that's a client relationship management tool that allows our advisors to have ready access to their clients' information. It's all digital, so they can efficiently serve our client base.

We started rolling this out to our advisors this year, and our plan is to continue to roll it out to all of our frontline team members over the next few years. We do expect to see continued improvements in our frontline effectiveness as we continue to simplify and digitize. I can't emphasize this enough. Getting consumer preference and convenience right is vital for our future. The deeper our understanding of our clients, the better we will do in ensuring that we have our clients in the right offer, that we're delivering the right experience in a way that we feel is convenient for them. We continue to invest in scalable assets. We have advanced digital capabilities that we're investing in, more digital tools, including auto fulfillment in the cloud.

From a data perspective, we're leveraging Microsoft Azure and Databricks, and that's as we migrate all of our data into the cloud, and that's to enable better and faster understanding of our clients' needs. We also have a dedicated analytics team, and that's to provide for deeper, more predictive understanding of our clients, and we continue in terms of investing in Salesforce for even more fulfillment capabilities. We have momentum, and we have a sound strategy. Now what I'd like to do is talk about the three growth enablers that we have as it relates to our strategy. These are the areas where we feel we continue to have untapped opportunity to further grow and to further gain market share. That's in Imperial Service for our affluent clients, in business banking for our small and medium-sized companies, and in franchising for our broader client base.

On Imperial Service, this really is a unique and differentiated offer from our competitors. Our advisors, as Victor pointed out, take care of both sides of the balance sheet. That means they look after both our clients' debt needs and our clients' investment needs. We believe this allows for much better client experience as our clients get more personalized service, more personalized advice that evolves with their life journey. Imperial Service is a significant offer with scale. We have 2,200 financial advisors that are licensed, and they provide very dedicated advisory services to our affluent clients. We've been successful in growing this. In the past two years, we migrated over 200,000 clients or households that moved from core to Imperial Service, and we moved another 3,000 clients or CAD 3-4 billion of funds managed from Imperial Service to wealth management.

That really speaks to the strong connectivity between our businesses that Victor often references. What's important here is we believe we have the potential to do so much more. We have another 200,000 households that we can move from core to Imperial Service. We have the 2 million-plus Costco cardholders that I mentioned that are new to CIBC. We have research that shows that affluent households in Canada are growing four times faster than the average Canadian household. Victor mentioned it, we also have the CIBC Goal Planner. This is where we really take the power of our financial advisors, and we combine it with an advanced digital financial planning tool. It actually does drive superior, I'm gonna say, financial planning experience. It's all cash flow-based, and it really does allow our affluent clients to plan for the future they aspire to.

Since we've launched it, and I know on Victor's screen we saw, I think it was 25% in 2021, and Victor said we were going to 90%. We've given ourselves an internal target of 100. Today, we're at 33% of our Imperial Service households who actually have a plan. For these households, funds managed grew by 7% or CAD 7 billion. That is substantially more than our clients who actually do not have a plan with us. As Victor pointed out, they have much better client experience scores. We believe we have the opportunity to deliver a 10% funds managed CAGR over the next few years in this particular space. Business banking, that's another important growth enabler. Small business contributes about 42% of our country's GDP. It's important for our country and our communities.

We have 13% of this market on the deposit side and 9% on the lending side. We also feel we have a really good opportunity here to grow our market share and deliver a 5% loan and deposit CAGR over the next few years. To do this, we started by moving our business banking team into our banking center ecosystem. We did that so we could increase referrals and we could better streamline and standardize our market approach. Now we're updating our digital capabilities. We're working with nCino, a pioneer in cloud-based banking, by leveraging their digital workflow tool. What we're doing is we're streamlining processes by digitizing and by automating client journeys. That will allow for faster, better client experiences.

We know there's still more to do for us to grow market share and to protect our existing client base from ongoing disruption. I think this is a good segue to invite Chris Sweetland up on the stage. Chris can talk market disruption, how to compete in this changing landscape, and he'll actually share a few more cool things that we're working on in our business bank. Chris recently joined us. He's a payments and technology expert. He has worked for some fascinating brands. He's been with Square. Square, I guess now Block. Before that, he was with Visa, and he spent a few years at Google.

I would tell you when he was at Square, and that was almost a year ago, Chris, he spent a lot of time trying to figure out how to disrupt our industry. The good news is we convinced him to join team CIBC, and now he's spending a lot of his time helping CIBC challenge all of that disruption. Chris, if you could come up on stage to share with us.

Chris Sweetland
SVP, Payments Strategy and Transformation, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Well, thank you, Laura. And suffice to say, I'm very grateful to now be here at CIBC. Laura highlighted a moment ago about some of the exciting strategic investments that we're making in the future of our retail bank, in our business banking platform, and in our digital transformation. Nowhere is that more evident and perhaps more important than in the space surrounding modern money movement, the future of payments. This is hugely important to how we support and serve our business banking clients. Businesses, especially retailers and merchants, they have very different needs today than they did even a few years ago. Optimizing cash flow, understanding their options with respect to accounts receivable and payments, how to acquire new customers in an omnichannel world. Frankly, for most small businesses, just understanding how to keep pace with all the changing technology.

This space in our industry is changing and very, very rapidly. The rate of change in innovation, especially as it relates to new and exciting technology, new and emerging competition, and this constantly evolving space around policy and regulation, that rate of change is outpaced only by the shifting attitudes, behaviors, and preferences of Canadian consumers and retailers. That's especially true as it relates to digital channels, the adoption of which we've seen increase dramatically, and frankly, long before the pandemic. As the digital divide continues to close, that rate of adoption is frankly here to stay. As we make investments in the space, we try to align them to the three pillars of our enterprise payment strategy. Firstly, to diversify and grow our business and our revenue as it relates to payments and commerce solutions.

Two, to protect and entrench our existing business, key client segments, key relationships, and that's especially true for small businesses, sole proprietors, and the affluent. Three, we strive to influence and shape not only our industry, but our economy through the decisions and the investments we make in modernizing our payments infrastructure. With that, I'd like to highlight an investment that we're making now. Back in February, we announced a partnership, an exclusive partnership in Canada and an equity investment in a U.K.-based software firm called Pollinate. Pollinate is a digital and mobile payment platform service provider. Their capabilities span digital activation and onboarding, merchant payments, merchant payment acceptance, data analytics and insights, and even consumer and merchant loyalty. With Pollinate and their support, later this year, we'll be launching Tyl by CIBC in Canada. Tyl by CIBC is our re-entry into merchant acquiring.

More importantly, it's our opportunity to modernize merchant acquiring. Tyl is our commitment to deliver new value propositions to Canada's small businesses and entrepreneurs. Tyl is our platform, CIBC's own platform, to integrate financial services and payments, to bring and drive data-driven insights and value-added services, and to promote and put forward new commerce solutions and business tools so that we can deepen and strengthen our key client relationships in business banking. Now, Pollinate is an established software provider. They've helped other financial institutions before CIBC build their own digital ecosystems. In fact, the solution that we're bringing together to Canada is already live with two other financial institutions in Australia and in the UK. This is a phenomenal model for CIBC. Through new technology, modern technology, digital technology, but also partnerships, we can iterate and experiment very quickly.

We can get to market much faster, and we can learn from the expertise and the capabilities of those that have been on this journey a little bit longer than we have. Most importantly, we can do so without relinquishing our role at the center of the value proposition as both bank and solution provider. We at CIBC understand and appreciate the role of small businesses and entrepreneurs, not only in our communities and our economy, but for the future of our bank. With Tyl, we can reclaim market share in the space, and importantly, we can reimagine client experience in a new era in which digital engagement is most important. Most importantly for me, it's an opportunity to serve and support the 98%, the more than 98% of businesses in Canada that identify as small or medium-sized enterprises.

I really appreciate the opportunity to share with you a little bit about Tyl. We're excited about it, and with that, I'm gonna invite Laura back on the stage. Thank you.

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Thank you, Chris. Now, given he did come from Square, now Block, and he's in banking, we asked him to tone it down a bit when he was on stage, so he's normally a lot more excited than he appeared to be. Thank you for that, Chris. You can see we're working hard to continue to be in the right ecosystems. It's all about getting, as I said earlier, our clients' preference and convenience done right. I have one more growth enabler I'd like to highlight, and that's deepening our core relationships through franchising. Now, our internal data suggests that a fully franchised client will, on average, deliver 10 times more revenue and have better client experience scores.

We define fully franchised, you can see it on the screen, as clients that have products and services in four areas that are transactions, investments, borrowings, and credit cards. We're working hard to do even more to deepen client relationships. As an example, we actually reduced the number of our mortgage-only clients by 10% from two years ago. We've been making a lot of progress, but we feel that we have a lot more upside. As you can see, only 11% of our client base is fully franchised. We recently created a franchising team, and that's to ensure that we have focus and a disciplined, holistic approach in how we look at our clients. Going forward, we plan to deepen our share of wallet by about 200,000 clients a year.

As we continually franchise, we believe we have the opportunity to grow our CAD 557 billion of funds managed by approximately 2% per year. A lot of opportunity to grow. You can see the summary on this slide. I do wanna say I'm extremely proud of our team and of our positive momentum. We are gaining market share, and very importantly, we're doing it with much more satisfied clients. You need to know that we are very prepared for a changing, evolving environment. We have the right strategy. We really do have the right team, and as Victor said, w e have really strong collaboration across the bank. We are very laser-focused on disciplined execution, and it's all about better client experience.

We are well on our way towards our goal of becoming Canada's leading retail bank. Thank you for listening. Now I'd like to invite my friend and colleague, Harry Culham, to talk about our capital markets.

Harry Culham
Group Head of Capital Markets and COO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Morning, everyone. It is indeed great to be with you all today. I'm looking around, seeing so many familiar faces. It's been way too long, as Laura pointed out. Just a little background on me. I did join our bank over three decades ago, in 1990, in fact, coming out of university. I ended up moving abroad several years later with bulge bracket firms in Asia and London. Came back to Toronto and CIBC in 2008, and it was good to be home, and it's good to be home now. I'm really excited to talk about our capital markets and DFS business today. It's a unique and fast-growing platform with lots of momentum. We've had a consistent and client-focused strategy over many years that we believe is working well.

When you think about our capital markets franchise, I'd like you to focus on four key messages actually, as you see in front of you. This is a differentiated and highly connected platform.

We're differentiated by our financial performance, by our culture, and by our business mix. About 30% of our revenue is a result of dealing with our institutional clients and our trading businesses. 40% is our corporate origination businesses, and about 30% is a result of working with our commercial, wealth, and personal clients. We have a strong track record of growth and execution. We have market-leading growth, profitability and returns, and we have a best-in-class pre-provision, pre-tax earnings stability over the last several years. The business is very well aligned to long-term macro trends. We have a top-ranked renewable, sustainable finance and energy transition business in Canada and North America. We have a strong and rapidly growing private capital, technology and innovation business, and we rank number one in many of our trading businesses in Canada. Finally, we have strong levers for further growth.

We are on track to deliver double-digit revenue growth in the US after doubling the size of our platform over the past five years, since 2017, and we're on track to double the size of our DFS business, our direct financial services businesses over the next five years. Here's a very good snapshot of our capital markets and DFS business overall. You can see our platform today with the stats on the left. We're well-diversified by business, by client segment, and by geography. The business is highly focused on resource and risk discipline. Each of the component businesses, global markets, corporate banking and investment banking, are all delivering record results over the past few years. If you go back five years to 2017, the US represented just 17% of our business, and now it's about 25% today.

Since that time, revenue and pre-tax, pre-provision earnings have essentially doubled. In the DFS business, we're very excited to tell you more about today. This is a unique set of digital-first solutions for our personal clients to spend money, make money, move money and store money. Since DFS was formed in 2020, we've incubated the business within capital markets to provide some operating autonomy and really leverage some of the capital markets technology and talent. We believe the business is well-positioned for the future. My colleague, Christian Exshaw, will be up shortly to talk more about our business. Capital Markets at a glance in front of you. This is a little more detail. The platform we've built is very well diversified. It is a client-driven business built for profitable long-term growth. We have a best-in-class mix at 46%, our return on equity at 21%.

Growth of the platform has been strong and consistently above our peers. The reasons for that growth are the three highlights you see on the right. We've built the franchise around our strategic clients. We have more than 600 strategic clients globally today, and that number is growing. These are deep relationships where we deliver all of our bank to our clients. Talent is core to our growth, which is evidenced by our productivity metrics. These are. We're very focused on adding diverse and leading talent across our businesses, and our technology is market-leading. We've built best-in-class, real-time risk management capabilities. We're focused on agility and scalability of our platforms. In fact, the majority of our applications are now on the cloud within Capital Markets. Here's our growth strategy in more detail and what we're doing to maintain our momentum.

We've had three long-term strategic priorities that have been consistent over many years. We're focused on being the leading capital markets platform for our strategic clients in Canada. Secondly, we're expanding our franchise to the US to continue to deliver double-digit growth. Lastly, we're building our platform we call Connectivity, servicing commercial, wealth, and personal clients and accelerating Direct Financial Services. I would also like to add that five years ago, we evolved our business to address the growth and intersection of private capital, innovation, sustainable finance. This is now more important than ever as we built a competitive advantage that we plan to maintain. Our strategy is working. Our first strategic priority, Canada is our largest market. About two-thirds of our revenue today is derived from Canadian client activity.

Approximately 360 of our 600+ strategic clients are based in Canada. Our businesses in Canada are very well-positioned and scaled versus our peers. We rank number two by revenue versus peers in Canada and by aggregate league tables as well. Our strategy is to maintain and grow our position in the market by focusing on the insight and advice and execution that matters to our clients. That includes delivering our leading technology, including our electronic trading platforms and real-time risk management, and our deep industry knowledge. This includes our important energy clients as we help them navigate evolving markets and the transition to a net-zero world. The second leg of our strategy is the U.S. From a growth perspective, expanding in the U.S. is a key part of many of our growth plans.

Our clients are global. The reach is important. In 2017, we stated we would double the size of our U.S. platform by 2022, and we've achieved that this year. We've grown the number of corporate client relationships over the past five years, more than doubled the debt capital markets franchise, doubled the size of our corporate investment banking team to support our U.S. clients. Approximately 50% of the growth of our revenue has come from our global markets franchise as we export our leading technology and our culture across the border. I'd also note the very important partnership we have with our commercial and wealth colleagues in the U.S., which has never been stronger. Just for context, in 2018, we had four investment banking engagements with our clients at commercial banking in the U.S.

In 2021 we had 58. Good momentum. Over the next five years, we plan to have elevated growth. We're going to continue to expand the number of clients. We're gonna continue to deepen relationships. We're leveraging partnerships with our U.S. commercial and wealth colleagues and with Loop Capital. From an industry perspective, our main focus is to further expand in the areas we know well and are high growth, including financials and private capital, infrastructure and renewables, and technology-related industries. We have invested significantly in these areas over the past five years and have built leadership positions versus peers, as you can see from the stats on the right. Our strategic partnership with Sera Global is one example of where we're investing and will enhance our private capital and strategic advisory services.

Another example is our recently announced partnerships with several universities in the sustainable finance area. Our third strategic priority is delivering capital markets products to our commercial wealth and personal clients. I've highlighted how you can think about that a moment ago. 40% is our corporate client franchise, 30% is our institutional and trading franchise, and about 30% is our connectivity businesses if you think about our commercial wealth and personal clients. Our connectivity businesses include Simplii, the Alternate Solutions Group, and Investor's Edge. You think about wealth solutions, so that would be our structured notes and market-linked GICs to high-net-worth clients and personal clients.

Our mid-market solution, really that's about servicing our commercial clients north and south of the border with global market solutions, advisory, and capital raising. These connectivities are important. These connectivity businesses, as we call them, are very important for several reasons, from a funding perspective, from a growth and revenue perspective. From a funding perspective, Simplii has over CAD 20 billion of deposits. Our structured notes and market-linked GIC business has more than CAD 20 billion in balances, and these are growing at double digits. From a recurring revenue perspective, the businesses are highly stable and diversify our revenue sources and growth. Our revenue from DFS and other connectivity businesses are growing at double digits, and we're on track to continue that momentum.

In fact, we're targeting 15%+ revenue growth over the next five years at DFS, within DFS. With that, I'm now gonna pass it over to Christian Exshaw, our Head of Global Markets and DFS, to talk to you about our DFS business. Christian.

Christian Exshaw
Head of Global Markets and Direct Financial Services, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Well done. Always difficult, I would say, to be, you know, between, I would say, a presentation and a break, right? But I'll try to make it as interesting as possible to keep the energy level up.

Speaker 24

Welcome all.

Christian Exshaw
Head of Global Markets and Direct Financial Services, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Welcome. Harry mentioned the diversity and the quality of our earnings. This morning I'm gonna give you some context on our Direct Financial Services that contributes to that objective. In 2020, at the end of 2020, we actually did a lot of work with my colleagues in corporate development, technology, finance. We decided, having done, you know, all this work, to unify three digital-like businesses. Simplii, where our clients store and spend money. Investor's Edge, where our clients make money. That's where they can invest and trade their money. The Alternate Solutions Group, which enables our clients to move money. These businesses have a number of unique characteristics, and that's why we put them together. They're fast-growing. It's also a future-focused business and reaches a unique client base.

They deliver fee-like revenues, and the bit which I really love about this business compared to global markets is that those fee-like revenues, you know, are operating 24/7, 365. They're also very independent from market volatility. Last but not least, they support our growth objectives and enhance the quality of our capital markets earnings. Those businesses have strong tailwinds. I know that the market's right now difficult, you would've seen it this morning, but they have a lot of strong tailwinds. Now, that said, we do have strong competition from established players and also emerging fintech players. For instance, Simplii competes against Tangerine, EQ Bank, KOHO. Investor's Edge, on the other hand, competes against the likes of Robinhood, Wealthsimple, Questrade, and obviously the offering of the Big Five banks.

As for the Alternate Solutions Group, it really, I would say, competes against the fintechs. I'm not sure how much you know about those, but let's say it could be Chip, Payoneer, Remitly, Flywire, Revolut, N26, and on the DCC side, dynamic currency conversion side with Euronet. Now while competition is strong, we have strong advantages to win. Several players have one or two of those client solutions, but none have all three. In the environment as we have today, it is very important to have diversified earnings, diversified business models with our clients. It's a unique opportunity for us to deliver digital fintech solutions while benefiting, and I cannot stress this enough, from the security and safety of a large regulated bank. This is very, very important for our clients.

We have a proven operating model to win, developed through the growth of our Alternate Solutions Group. I'm really excited about that business, by the way, and you'll see it. It's a business that we created back in 2012. We gave the team full autonomy, full agility to fail and really focus on client remittance. That's really what they did. Our mission, as Harry mentioned, is to tap into our core capabilities that we established back in 2008 in capital markets, which is technology on one hand and FX businesses. When you look at why the Alternate Solutions Group is, I would say, so profitable, so successful, it is really because of its four-step operating model. I cannot stress enough how important, you know, those are.

Number one, fostering an entrepreneurial culture. Not entrepreneurial, you know, so entrepreneurs within CIBC. That means that, you know, you have to allow those guys or girls to actually fail. I think that's very, very important. Fail quickly. Using, I would say, co-location as a means of being able to get the best of our technology partners. You see the business and technology are, I would say, working together in a very agile work environment. Leveraging open source software and the cloud. That also was very important for us at the beginning because it enables you to create an extensive and cost-effective modern core technology stack. We're very, very focused, I would say, on technology. Designing and building components in a modular way.

Imagine modules, you know, in the ecosystem in the cloud, which provide you a lot of flexibility, a lot of agility to, I would say, react to client demand faster, as opposed to having integrated models that we used to have before. Designing and building components in a modular way is very important because that enables you to reuse those components both inside and outside CIBC. What I mean by outside CIBC is now that you've invested all this money building technology, why not white label some of that technology? We're doing that. The fourth and last point, which is probably the most important, is the relentless focus on execution. That is very, very important for us.

That operating model has allowed the team to quickly integrate new partners, depending on the partners and depending on what it is we're doing for them, 6-12 months is what we typically do with our colleagues in technology. To leverage CIBC's existing capabilities that allow for faster and cost-effective scaling. The Alternate Solutions Group, as I said, was created in 2012, and it's grown since then from 0 to CAD 270 million. It has an operating leverage of 20%. It has a cost income ratio of around, you know, 40%. It's a big growth business. Our remittance business, which we call the Global Money Transfer, is an example of those innovative solutions that we have for our clients.

Now, if you recall back in 2017, Victor actually played a video and we spoke to you about our remittance business, Global Money Transfer. Back then, that business recorded 325,000 transactions in 48 countries. In 2021, the number of transactions had nearly quintupled to 1.45 million transactions in over 130 countries. Obviously, this business continues to grow, and more on that later. Now, these are not just the, I would say, only solutions that we have. Other solutions that we've built, again, for our clients would be dynamic currency conversion, which is a point of transaction and FX conversion in over 200,000 ATMs globally here in Canada, South America, Asia, Europe, operating 24/7, 365.

International student pay, where we partner with colleges and universities in Canada and internationally to enable students to convert their tuitions in their domestic currency. Multi-currency pricing. Again, partnering with e-commerce networks where we offer FX optionality for their users. We have many, many other, I would say, type of technologies that we've built in the prepaid card, et c. I won't bore you with them. Just to show you basically tell you the story of what it is we've built in that ecosystem. These businesses are high growth. They're very profitable, they're scalable, they're stable, they operate 24/7, 365. This is the way we built, I would say, ASG. Now imagine if you were to actually use that playbook and you apply it now, I would say to both Simplii and Investor's Edge.

You would come to the conclusion, oh my god, the opportunity is immense. It's enormous, I would say, for those businesses. I would tell you, yes, you're pretty right. You know, you are right. If you were to look at what we've done since then, it's pretty. It's been pretty, I would say, compelling, and I'll give you some numbers. We've been monetizing and currently scaling these businesses. Simplii at the end of 2020 was nowhere on the cloud. My colleagues in technology have done a phenomenal job. By the end of this year, we'll be 50% cloud. Investor's Edge, you know, it's gonna take a bit more time. We'll be 25% cloud-based by the end of the year and 40% by March.

Very strong progress in those businesses. The number of clients between Simplii and Investor's Edge, roughly 2 million clients. You know, Victor mentioned the Net Promoter Score. Again, it's not a platitude. You know, five years ago, Net Promoter Score of Simplii was around 11 and 13. Today, it's leading in Canada, number one at 28. When we compare ourselves to some U.K. banks like Starling, et cetera, you realize that actually there's no more potential. Those guys actually go in the 40s and 50s. We're very, very focused on our clients. We're not building a product. We reverse engineer from the client to the product. We have significant untapped potential in terms of deepening those relationships.

New clients that we onboard through mortgages, 85% of those new clients, we are able to cross-sell at least one product at minimum. Very focused on the quality of what it is we do with our clients to live our purpose. Now, I'd like to talk to you about the wallet size. I mean, all this is great, but, you know, how much money are those guys gonna make out of it, right? Well, the wallet size, the way we look at it, is pretty compelling given Canada's idiosyncrasies. Think about the newcomer population. 400-500,000 newcomers arrive in Canada every year, most of whom are digital native. Consider the international students that come and study in Canada every year, 400,000-450,000. They're for sure all digital natives.

You've got the largest, let's say, growing population of Canadians who are value-conscious, looking for digital banking services. Again, you know, very, very excited about that potential. Look at the progress over the last 18 months. 18 months ago, roughly 60% of our Simplii clients were 34 and younger, and that number has grown, I would say, to 71. Things are going exactly the way we wanted them to go. In summary, we are targeting high-growth client segments, such as the newcomers, students, digital savvy, and value-conscious clients, by delivering scalable technology and executing the Alternate Solutions Group operating model. I hope you found this interesting. Harry, back to you.

Harry Culham
Group Head of Capital Markets and COO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Thank you, Christian. I've had the privilege of working with and knowing Christian for almost two decades now, and we worked around the world together. When I see Christian that excited, I think he mentioned that word three or four times about a business, I have full confidence. I also have full confidence in the team back to front, delivering with Christian's leadership in the DFS growth plans that we have in front of us. Just to recap, if I may, with respect to capital markets and DFS, this is a foundation built for growth. Our platform is differentiated versus our peers by strategic focus, by business mix, and by financial performance. We have a highly connected franchise across business lines and geographies for our corporate and institutional clients, and really across our banks to support our commercial, wealth, and personal clients.

We have a proven track record of success, delivering market-leading growth, and performance versus our peers, and delivering on our growth objectives, including for our U.S. region and for our connectivity growth targets. We've invested significantly in building businesses that align to new economy macro trends. We have leadership positions in those areas, today, and we're well positioned really for leadership in the future. We're gonna maintain that momentum, and we have real levers for growth, continuing to drive capital markets leadership in Canada, double-digit growth in the U.S. and DFS over the next five years. When you bring all of that together, we're very well positioned to deliver superior long-term earnings growth. Thank you very much.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Have a seat. This next hour is yours.

It's a half an hour for questions in here and a half an hour of engagement over coffee out there. I know everyone's gotten used to kind of going from their living room to their kitchen, you know, doing this and that, maybe being at the cottage. This is new unique to us. We haven't done this in a long time. Let's engage. I said to you at the very outset, I want three things from you. I want advocacy, I want engagement, and I want you to think about investing in our bank. If you're already invested, invest more. Harry and Jon and Laura are gonna join me on stage. Come on up. All of our executive committee members and any of the speakers are open game for questions. We're gonna have paddles out there.

You put your hand out, the paddle will go there. There is a paddle for the virtual community. Whoever wants to ask a question on the phone, we'll go to you as well. The first question is from Meny. Let's have a seat here.

Meny Grauman
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thanks. Meny Grauman from Scotiabank. When I hear about the DFS, definitely, the growth sounds exciting, but I keep thinking, one of these things doesn't sound like the other. So the question is just the logic of building a successful consumer-focused business brand in the context of a wholesale bank, and I'm still struggling with that. Maybe the way to ask the question is.

Why doesn't it make sense to put it in the personal bank? I think if you ask 10 out of 10 people, they'd say, you know, just off the top of your head, it makes sense to put something like this in a personal bank. Why is it in wholesale?

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Many, it's a good question, but I'm not concerned at all. It was a very deliberate decision to structure our business that way. Laura runs the business. That is our largest business in the bank and has great growth potential for those clients who value relationships, and they value technology. Marrying those two together is a big opportunity for us, and it's a singular focus for her and her team. The growth opportunity that lies behind the strategy that Laura outlined is significant. At the same time, we have an opportunity to build on some of the very real capabilities we have within capital markets.

We have the trading capabilities that come with our Investor's Edge business, the FX technology investments that have made us a number one player in FX in Canada, and extending those through our payments platform like GMT and dual currency conversion and other things that Christian just spoke about. Setting aside simply to say, let's go after the value-conscious digital-only consumer. We have 12%-15% of the market. We are going to grow that 12%-15% through our personal bank, and we are going to compete head on with those who want a digital first solution, where the human touch is really not big part of the value proposition. Let's set that up and go after the other 85% of the market together. Laura's gonna get some of it.

The DFS business is gonna get some of it under Harry's leadership and Christian's leadership, and we're going to win. It works. It's working today. Client acquisition numbers have doubled in Simplii over the past years. Client acquisition numbers, as Laura's outlined, have increased way above our peers and way above what we've ever seen in our personal bank, and make sure that those two engines work very well for our shareholders.

Meny Grauman
Analyst, Scotiabank

Just to follow up there, is part of the thinking that there's. You're setting up a competitive element here between those two businesses?

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

No. I would say that we don't have 85% of the market, so we're not obsessed about competing with ourselves. We're obsessed about winning with the other 85% with two unique value propositions that'll win. We're also focused on making sure that clients that generate wealth through our DFS business start getting referred to our personal and business bank and our wealth management franchise. Clients who are sensitive and are very value conscious and don't value the human relationship are migrated over to Simplii, so it works well together.

Meny Grauman
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thank you.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Darko. Is it Darko who's next? I guess so. Which paddles? Paddle number two.

Speaker 20

Okay. Thank you. I'm looking for a little more detail from Harry and perhaps even you, Victor. Bear with me. I think my question is three questions, how, where, and why. The first question is, how do you intend to grow in the US? Is that balance sheet? Are you hiring managing directors? Are you acquiring businesses? Can you give us a little more color on how you intend to grow in the US? Second question is where. Is that by geography, Chicago, New York? Is it by corporate investment banking? Is it, again, balance sheet? Is it trading? Then the question is why for Victor. Why grow the US? The US, I don't think is as high as ROE as Canada. In the past, you were much larger in the US, and you exited.

Question for Victor is why grow the US business aggressively by 10% if it's not as profitable as Canada?

Wanna start with the why?

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Well, let me start with the why. We've started with the why several years back where everyone's saying, "Well, why are you investing in the US?" We said, "Look, it's all a client-driven strategy." We have Canadian clients that bank north, south, and we also see our ability to take some of our core capabilities. Not replicating the full bank that we have in Canada and distinctly competing in some areas of the US, where we believe we can add value, and we believe we can deliver a return on equity that's commensurate with our overall returns, which Hratch will talk about. I think we've been able to do that, Darko. We've been able to invest in our wealth management franchise through three acquisitions. We made an acquisition of The PrivateBank, where I think there was question marks.

You know, are you gonna be able to generate your returns? We have. It was accretive way before our targets. The growth that we're seeing now organically gives us great confidence that the model of focusing on the private economy in the US, private economy being wealth, the wealthier end of the wealth management spectrum and privately owned businesses that really work hand in hand is working. Bringing the capital markets business closer and closer to that. There is absolutely no comparison to our operating model and our strategy today in the United States and what we had decades ago. It is a black and white, completely different bank and a completely different strategy that candidly is working. We will continue to focus on organic growth. You're gonna hear from Mike Capatides in the second part of the presentation, who'll lay that out for you.

We are going to be unrelenting in our focus on organic growth. If we do the tuck-in acquisitions, they'll focus on our wealth management business, where we can actually generate more fee-based and recurring revenue, and at the same time work with Harry and his team on the capital market side, which is highly connected to the U.S. franchise. It is not Wall Street. It is bringing smart, well-grounded capital markets to the Main Street owners of American businesses and those who want their wealth managed by us.

Harry Culham
Group Head of Capital Markets and COO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Just to the how and where, Darko, great questions. We started many years ago, as you'll recall. It's going well. If you go back to our strategy, to be the leading capital markets platform in Canada for our core clients, 80% of our clients have activities or operations in the US. We need to be relevant in the US. That's number one. Number two, the opportunity for growth is significant, doing what we do. We're not trying to be all things to all people, as Victor just pointed out. We're trying to be extremely relevant, build deep relationships across the corporate institutional landscape. It's not a balance sheet-led strategy, it's a client-led strategy where we deepen relationships, and we believe the best way to manage risk is to know our clients really, really well, and that's what we're doing.

We're building relationships in the most important high-growth areas that we understand really well. Very strategic, very targeted. The third leg of our strategy, really servicing our commercial and wealth colleagues and clients in the U.S. is so important. We're really good at it in Canada. We work very closely with Jon and the team, and we think we can do a lot more in the U.S. We're fully integrated. In fact, the head of investment banking, as an example, lives and works in Chicago and runs U.S. investment banking from there. We are connected by technology, we're connected by clients. It's working well.

Speaker 20

In a nutshell, you're following your clients south of the border.

Harry Culham
Group Head of Capital Markets and COO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Absolutely.

Speaker 20

You're not actually building out. The RWA growth that we saw recently in your business was not US, was not predominantly US-based or what?

Harry Culham
Group Head of Capital Markets and COO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

It's a combination. It's a combination of Canada and the U.S. The RWA growth is a result of the markets. It's a result of doing more client business. It's a result of utilization. It's about diversifying our client franchise. Really very well diversified, I would say, in the areas we know very well, and we feel very good about the loan books.

Speaker 20

Okay. Thank you.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Thanks, Darko. We got paddle number three.

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Hi, good morning. Thanks for all-

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

It's Gabriel Dechaine, right?

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Oh, yes.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

You gotta tell everybody who you are.

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Gabriel Dechaine, National Bank Financial.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

[Foreign Language]Bienvenue à Toronto, Gabriel.

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Merci beaucoup. I appreciate all the, you know, the growth strategies outlined. That's very important, of course. The questions I'm getting from investors these days and, you know, the housing market and mortgage growth has been a big thing obviously in the industry for the past couple of years. What can you tell us about, you know, some of the underwriting risk management strategies you implemented or enforced or whatever over the past couple of years when, you know, interest rates were low, housing prices were going up? And then what kinda granularity could you give us on the growth, whether it's, you know, exposure to investor-owned mortgages, any special underwriting standards you applied to variable rate mortgages?

I, pulling a Darko here, a third question

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

You do that on the webcast.

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Yeah. It's one question. Have you stress-tested the mortgage book for, you know, potential payment spikes or for borrowers that are facing renewals or have floating-rate mortgages? Anything of that nature would help.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

All good questions.

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

I'd ask these questions of any bank, just to be clear.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Everything's fair game, Gabriel, you know that. Why don't I draw on Shawn Beber, our Chief Risk Officer, to start, and Laura can also backfill from the business side, 'cause I think you did a great job describing it. But Shawn Beber can give you a perspective from the risk management perspective.

Shawn Beber
CRO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Right. Good morning, and great to see everybody. Gabriel Dechaine, thanks very much for the question. We have not compromised our risk appetite in achieving the growth. You heard Laura Dottori-Attanasio speak about the investments that we've been making from a front office perspective in terms of effectiveness and client experience. We've also been making investments on the risk management side to support the growth. When we look at the portfolio, we're very comfortable with the growth that we've achieved, both in terms of when you look at the statistics as they are today, we had quarter-over-quarter improvement in delinquency rates. They're already low since the onset of the pandemic. They went lower in our most recent quarter both on a year-over-year basis and a quarter-over-quarter basis.

From a strategic perspective, Laura talked about deepening relationships. Our growth has been more weighted towards clients with whom we have deeper relationships. That is a credit positive. As we look at the outlook and the stress testing that we do in the portfolio, we look at it across a number of different dimensions in terms of home price changes, in terms of the credit scores of our clients, both the bureau scores as well as our internal metrics, and we're very comfortable with where things are currently. Now, look, things could play out, and to the extent things get more stressed, then you could see higher losses than we had certainly included in the materials, but that's not the base case that we are looking at.

As we look at the portfolio from the composition perspective, we're in cities, we're more heavily weighted towards some of the markets that have even lower loan-to-value statistics, particularly the Greater Toronto Area and the Greater Vancouver Area, which also contributes to the positive credit aspect. We're comfortable with the portfolio as it is, and we watch constantly for signs of stress. We look at the rates that have been qualified. As you'll know, we stress using higher rates when we're doing origination activity based on the minimum qualifying rate. That gives us a certain element of a view into the ability of clients to manage with higher rates.

You know, for the portion of the book that is variable rate, as we talked about, I think on the last conference call, those variable rate mortgages, the payment doesn't change month to month. The composition between what goes into interest versus principal will change as rates change, but the monthly payment stays constant. At renewal, that could lead to a higher amount of outstanding balance at renewal. But in terms of the performance right now, it's not changing the monthly payment. We watch it very carefully.

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Is it safe to say well, not safe, but is it logical, I guess, to say that the payment shock type scenario that people get concerned about, that's not until 2025, 2026 timeline, as opposed to your variable rate borrowers are getting hit today with a higher payment, correct?

Shawn Beber
CRO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Yeah. That would be the expectation. In so much as the mortgages that would be rolling over the next few years would have qualified at rates that are actually sort of at or even a little bit higher than what the prevailing rates are today. As we look into the future, that could be a stress, and we watch for that carefully and watch what those renewal rates look like and the forecast, the interest rate forecast that we're working with.

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Thank you.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Laurie, you wanna add the last one?

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Yeah. Well, maybe just to add two things. Our underwriting continues to be solid, hasn't changed much. Some of the tweaking we've done is actually to be tighter on our underwriting. In fact, you mentioned investors. We actually have tighter qualifying requirements than what we see our competitors doing on the street. Very comfortable with the credit quality of the portfolio and how we've been growing it. It really has been about deepening client relationships where we know that we have less risk in the event of a downturn. Then just on the growth, 'cause you started with that, we do know it's a softening market, and we have taken that account in what I shared in terms of what we think we can deliver.

We've already taken into account a much softer growth market for mortgages in the low- to single-digit %.

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Thank you.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Thank you. We have another paddle three again.

Mario Mendonca
Equity Research Analysts, TD Cowen

Mario Mendonca, TD Securities. First, Victor, for you. As I walked into the building and I noticed everything looked a little different, I've been away a while, as many of us have, it seems like a pretty big investment. The investment in the brand also seems very real to me. What I'd like to understand is how do all these investments tie into CIBC's primary goal, which is to be a customer-focused bank. How does this building, the investment in the branch, tie in. That's the first question. Secondly, how do you justify this kind of investment. Like, can you actually make a calculation that says this is worth the effort and worth the money because it means this to CIBC.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

That's a good question, Mario. These are significant, important, and deliberate investments in terms of the reshaping of our bank going forward. Before the pandemic, we had over 15,000 people in Toronto working in 23 different buildings. We said to ourselves, "That doesn't make sense." We need to be working in a more agile environment, a more open environment, a more collaborative environment, and we had the opportunity to reshape that. It happens once a century for a financial institution of our size. We jumped on it as a leadership team. We created CIBC Square. We took a vision of what could be the most modern, forward-looking urban campus and bring it to life.

We've done that in this south building, and we're gonna do it when we build the next building and bring our trading floor over there and some of the other businesses. When you look at our occupancy costs overall, you look at any financial institution, they vary between 4%-5%. That's gonna be of revenues. That's going to be kind of the trend line that you see. We save some money here to repurpose it for the future. I can tell you that our team that's returned, and we've returned more people than any other Canadian bank, probably more than most other banks on this continent, are overwhelmingly positive. It's democratized the workplace. It's put all the desks to the windows. People feel the light.

People feel the collaboration and that kind of energy and that kind of retention factor is good for business. On the brand, yes, we've invested in the brand. The brand is worth a goodwill value of CAD 10 billion. Part of what we do is bring our ambitions to life, our purpose to life, and part of that has to be the manifestation of what we've changed on the inside to the outside world. The brand that we had was a reflection of the past. The brand that we have recreated is building on our heritage and one for the future. We feel very, very good about the investments that we made and the returns that we're gonna get on them.

You know, for a brand that's worth CAD 10 billion, I can tell you that the investments that we've made in that brand is less than 2% over time. Very manageable within the context of our overall financials.

Mario Mendonca
Equity Research Analysts, TD Cowen

Not really, it's not a reasonable question to try to quantify something that's sort of squishy, but.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

If you get a better retention of your talent, if you get better retention and more business from clients, you need to have very small improvements to pay off the investments that we've made.

Mario Mendonca
Equity Research Analysts, TD Cowen

Question for Harry then. One of the things I've been tracking post-pandemic is where every bank's capital markets revenue sits today compared to what it was in the few couple of years before the pandemic. Two banks sit very, very high in that metric, your bank and the bank I work for. The revenue from capital markets is much higher now than it was before the pandemic. What I'm trying to gauge here, is it all simply because those two banks or your bank in particular has made a big push into the U.S.? Is it really the U.S. strategy that's causing CIBC and the other bank to really differentiate themselves? Secondarily, is there any reason why we should be worried about this?

Harry Culham
Group Head of Capital Markets and COO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Okay. Great question. We're really focused on that 7%-10% growth in PPE, and we've been delivering above peer average, as you pointed out. We're excited about that. You know, this is down to a number of factors, and it all comes back to our clients and our talent and our technology. We invested, as Christian pointed out, many years ago in the underlying systems and technology to ensure that we had the best platform, we think, on Bay Street.

From a technology perspective. We think we have the best, most diverse, most capable talent on Bay Street, and we're exporting those capabilities to the U.S. We would rank right up there, one or two, in terms of revenue in Canada for the capital markets business, the traditional capital markets business. You saw the league table stats. We definitely punch above our weight in terms of our size, and we're very pleased with that. It's all client driven. We continue to develop our client relationships, deepen our client relationships in Canada. We've pivoted now, as we pointed out a moment ago, to the U.S., really over the last five years with the purchase of The PrivateBank. That partnership is excellent, as we mentioned earlier. The ability to build our corporate and institutional franchise has also been excellent.

We've attracted the right talent. We're exporting our technology and our culture, very importantly. We talk about risk appetite. It's how we operate. Clients are the center of everything we do. We stick to what we know really well, and we think we can continue to do that. We think the market is big enough to allow us to really specialize in the areas that are important to our clients as we grow our franchise in the U.S. and really service our commercial clients in the U.S. as well.

Mario Mendonca
Equity Research Analysts, TD Cowen

You'd say then the risk posture of the bank, despite how much bigger capital markets is now relative to pre-pandemic, hasn't changed?

Harry Culham
Group Head of Capital Markets and COO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

I don't think it's changed very much at all. If you look at the metrics, if you look at the productivity per unit of VAR or per unit of balance sheet or per FTE, it's street leading for sure. Our plan is to maintain that discipline around resources and risk and try to maintain the very strong mix ratios that matter to people like you, Mario. We're very excited. It matters to us and our clients and our shareholders as well. We think we can maintain that discipline.

Mario Mendonca
Equity Research Analysts, TD Cowen

Thank you.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

We have a question in the back. Paddle number two.

Lemar Persaud
Analyst, Cormark Securities

Lemar Persaud from Cormark Securities. My question's for Laura. I'm coming back to one of your earlier slides where you show average funds managed. So 5% cards and other lending, you have 30% of revenues. You know, given the addition of the Costco cards portfolio, I'm just wondering, how does that evolve over the next kind of four years, both from a mix and a revenue perspective?

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

You mean the revenue mix that we're showing and the asset mix?

Lemar Persaud
Analyst, Cormark Securities

That's right.

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

When we look at 2025 and we run that through with our plan, it changes a bit. It doesn't change a lot. We will see more cards revenue. We expect to see just a little bit less in mortgages, but we're really moving, like, one percentage point around the different, revenue growth factors. What we need to see, like in cards in particular, like a lot of the revenue comes from, revolving balances. As you know, with the pandemic, Canadians have been very prudent, so they've brought down, their outstanding balances or revolving balances. That will take time, before that comes back up. I think we will be probably well into and beyond a bit of 2025 before we see some of that real change.

All that to say, you'll see one or two percentage point changes, but we don't expect it to be that significant.

Lemar Persaud
Analyst, Cormark Securities

Okay, great. My next question is for Harry. I noticed the US revenue growth target of 10% is a little bit below kinda what you delivered from 2017- 2021. Just wondering if you could just do a little bit of a double click there. Is the slowdown because you're kinda starting at a higher base? Are you incorporating some of the more challenging macroeconomic backdrop in there? Or is there just a you know, a level of conservatism?

Harry Culham
Group Head of Capital Markets and COO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Well, we're always conservative in capital markets. We don't want to overpromise, of course. We don't think the environment is going to impact us dramatically. Our clients are, as Victor pointed out, very healthy, very active, and the pipeline looks strong for the foreseeable future. The U.S. growth, we think we can grow at double digits over the next number of years. We think we can do the same thing with DFS. Canada may be a little slower, so that's why we're targeting 7%-10% for the business overall in capital markets.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Harry and I have talked about that. That 10% is really. The base is bigger, right? The posture is client-focused. It's not like, let's just generate more revenue. How can we generate a higher quality stream of earnings that you're gonna see at the end of the presentation today from Hratch? How does that tie in to a much better profile and an even deeper quality profile of earnings across our bank where capital markets makes an important contribution?

Lemar Persaud
Analyst, Cormark Securities

Great. Thank you.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

We have paddle number three.

John Aiken
Managing Director and the Head of Research, Barclays Capital

John Aiken with Barclays. Laura, I wanted to dig into the business banking growth targets. You've given us the 5%. I noticed that you combined loan and deposit in terms of the growth. Was hoping you could give us some of your thoughts in terms of where that's gonna break down between loan growth and deposit growth. Then continuing the trend of multipoint questions, can you give us some visibility in terms of what you're seeing in the business environment right now, particularly with the changes that we've seen in the economic outlook?

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Well, maybe I'll start with the latter and end with first. I'd say our business banking clients continue to be very optimistic, notwithstanding what we all are talking about and see coming on the horizon. We see our clients, I would also say, being very conservative. It's part of, if you look at our business mix, we have a lot more clients that have deposits and a lot less that have a lending relationship with us. For those that do, we actually see much lower utilization rates. What I think we're seeing, and when we have conversations, people are just being very prudent because they're not entirely sure sort of what's coming and what's out there.

When you take that back to my 5% CAGR, and I mentioned both, we would expect to see more of it in lending. Again, when you look a bit where we're at, we would expect that, again, our clients are gonna start to draw more on their facilities, so we should see that grow a bit more than we would see deposits. Although we do expect both to grow, just given we feel we're underweight our natural market share. Like, we think we should be sitting at 15%, and so we've got, call it another 2% on the deposit side, and then more at 9% on the lending side. But what we wanna be careful of as well, we do wanna grow our deposit base, and so we're gonna pace ourselves.

We merge them together and we're gonna work them both as we go, and I think with the investment we've made with nCino, that should help a lot. We're really taking, I'm gonna say, an old school traditional process, and we're starting by digitizing it, so it'll be a lot easier for our advisors and our clients to deal with us. Then on the lending side, it'll be easier for inputs, but we've still got some work to do, sort of wave two as it relates to more automated credit decisioning. I hope that makes sense.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Yeah. It's very good, Laura. The other thing we wanna emphasize here is just the mutually reinforcing factor of business banking in the affluent client base. Because many of our business banking clients, as they grow, will also drive growth in our funds management or affluent business in the wealth management side of our business, whether that's within the Imperial Service or our private wealth side. I won't say who, but I looked at a sliver of one of our leading franchisee clients, and I looked at the franchises that they have, how many they have, what percentage have their money with our Imperial Service, what percentage have their money with wealth management. The numbers are impressive. They can be even more impressive, but that's how the business model hangs together.

That's why growing business banking is so important to the affluent growth as well. We have a question on the phone. Ebrahim, just we have a question, panel number four is virtual.

Moderator

Question from a participant on the webcast. I'll read the question out. It's about mortgage lending. On mortgage lending, we saw the large banks get into the very low single-digit range, about 1% year-over-year growth in the last rate hiking cycle, when the Bank of Canada raised from 50 basis points to 175. This time around, the number of rate hikes is expected to be significantly higher. If current expectations on rate hikes play out, should investors expect to see declining mortgage balances in your portfolio?

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Well.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Go for it.

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

I don't think we'll see declining mortgage balances. What we will see, as we talked about, is a slowing from a growth perspective. We've already talked about on a go-forward basis, we expect to see our growth slow to single- to low-double digits. On balances as rates rise, and I do wanna take this moment to point out that we have led most of the rate increases you've seen in the market, 'cause we do have to work to protect our margins. Would expect the actual balances to grow a bit.

If you think of variable rates to what Shawn said, for our clients, and all the banks are a little bit different, but if rates are going up, clients are moving some of the amount they owe to a later date, and so balances you would expect will actually go up.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

We have one more question before we break. Ebrahim.

Ebrahim Poonawala
Analyst, Bank of America

Thanks. Ebrahim Poonawala, Bank of America. I guess, just one question around client acquisition. I think you talked about net client growth 3.5 times peers, and then you also talked about, like, fully franchising some of the clients. Talk to us in terms of how much of that growth has come from promotions, incentives to attract clients to CIBC. When you think about fully franchising these customers, when you look through your product set and you're trying to cross-sell, where do you think is the biggest gap to have a number one or two product so that those clients actually buy into the CIBC product versus going to a competitor? Like, where's the biggest gap, and how do you feel about the product set across the board?

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Wanna start?

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

You want me?

Ebrahim Poonawala
Analyst, Bank of America

Yeah.

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Yeah. I'm happy to start. The good news is we're seeing it across the board, so it's not just 'cause we're out doing a whole lot of advertising. We are doing some of that, and that's important, right? You need to be in the right places where people see CIBC as an opportunity and are interested in looking at it further. We've done a great job on retention, and so we are doing better than the industry when we look at some of the data that's available, with organizations that go and compare bank to bank, and they come and tell you know, "You're bank A, we can't tell you who others are." We have our best retention scores ever, and that's 'cause we've been working really hard on being much closer to our clients, being more relevant and engaging with them.

That's part of it. On the acquisition front, it's really about making those client experiences and journeys easier. I use the example of the digital application process. We were actually the laggard in the industry. If you went online and you wanted to digitally apply for a credit card or bank account and you clicked, we had the highest drop-off rates. We're actually. We still have opportunity. We're not market leading in that regard, but we've picked up a lot of space, and that's what we're gonna continue to do, is really focus on getting those client experiences right so that it's easy. We did really well this year. Like, what led growth for us is really on the everyday banking account, so we've done that really well. When you talk gaps on franchising, we know we can and we need to do a lot better.

When we talk about putting the client first, that's where the change comes from. Historically, we are very product led. Everyone's out selling their product. We wanna take a very thoughtful approach, so we created a team where we have this holistic view. It's all about what does the client want, not what do we wanna sell from you, right? I could put a process in place and cross-sell, and we try not to use that language. It's about what does the client want? 'Cause if you wanna offer them the best service and advice, it's what is in their best interest, what do they need? I would tell you and it's not a gap, it's what we need to work on the most is our systems historically have been very, vertically built. They're not as integrated as we'd like.

We need to have a client view when we look at things. That's a lot of our investments, is how we get to see everything, and then working through with all the data we have and as we analyze it, what's the best thing for a client next? When's the best time to reach out? That's what we need to work on. I would tell you, as far as story products go, I could stay here all day and talk about this. Mortgages is, like, by far the most complex, I would say, product that we offer. It is the one that could use the most digitization automation, and probably the one that will take the longest to do that, in part 'cause it's complex, and in part 'cause our clients, notwithstanding they're digitizing, they still wanna talk to someone.

They still wanna come in and have a conversation.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Eve, if I could just build on that. I've seen the data, we've talked about it. 34% of our affluent client base today started as students at the bank. It's really important that you do the CAD 300 offer. It's really important that we grow the Simplii offer. The acquisition numbers are increasing, and I see much of that activity driving future growth for our bank. In our affluent offer today, Ebrahim, we have over 600,000 households that we bank. We shared some of the data with you. One of the things we didn't talk about today is we have while we have 2,200 Imperial Service financial advisors that are focused on the affluent, we have set up 1,400 associate financial advisors within our retail bank to focus on the emerging affluent.

That's the 190,000 clients that Laura said still sit in the core. How can we franchise them? We have the 2 million Costco clients, of which probably two-thirds are affluent and/or business owners and/or both, and we don't have any more market share than we have naturally with them. That is a huge growth opportunity. If we can do GoalPlanner for everybody that's on our portfolio today, if we can franchise through our associate financial advisors the 190,000, and if we can take more than our fair share of the Costco clients that are affluent or business banking, that's how you get those 10% CAGR numbers going forward. That's how you get the business banking numbers. Today, more than ever, our strategy is highly connected. The systems we're investing in are much more horizontal.

There's always a way to go, but that's the direction we're heading in. That's where we're very confident in the strategy that we've laid out. With that, it's time for coffee, tea, juice, a little of engagement out there, and we'll see you back here at 11:00 A.M. We're trying to stick to the schedule. It's 10:31 A.M. Thank you.

Welcome to the back half of our presentation. I hope you enjoyed your break. I hope you got a chance to engage with one another. Now we're gonna pivot. We use that a lot during COVID. We're gonna pivot to our focus on the private economy, and then Hratch will have an opportunity to talk about financials. We'll have another Q&A, and there'll be lunch after that. Again, I appreciate having you all here. Just seeing you and having the informal collisions in the hallway always is something that you can't do on Zoom or Microsoft Teams. I'm here just to introduce the next section because of our unique structure in putting commercial banking and wealth management together.

I know you all like to see numbers presented in a certain way, but I think I have to emphasize for you the reason why we did this. It was a deliberate, well-thought-through strategy to focus on what we call the private economy. That is bringing together commercial banking that is owned by, you know, largely by private owners, sometimes backed by pension plans and sometimes backed by private equity and venture capital, and is experiencing through generational change, through restructuring of industry, monetization events. Our ability to be there for our clients, to advise them, to finance them, and to manage their wealth is unparalleled, which gives our structure a competitive advantage. That competitive advantage is represented by our commercial bank.

We have a very strong commercial bank with a deep presence in Canada and an important presence that's growing in the United States. We serve over 20,000 clients. Our funds managed, loans and deposits, are CAD 225 billion. About equal, so it's kind of a self-funded business. More than 140 locations, many of those in Canada, but we operate in nine of the 10 top MSAs in the United States, and over 1,000 dedicated relationship managers. Within that, we have an innovation bank. We're gonna have a spotlight on innovation banking, where Mark McQueen is gonna talk about the investment that we made and the notable and balanced growth that we've seen in that ecosystem, in the technology ecosystem, where we have an unparalleled growth opportunity.

The second thing I wanted to do is just highlight for you our wealth management business because it is organized differently. It is in various parts of our bank deliberately. We have, in aggregate, over 4,000 professionals dedicated to wealth management. We have a business that has CAD 541 billion in assets under administration, and you can see how it's broken down by channel, by country. Notably, we've had very, very strong net flows and continue to have strong net flows, especially in our private wealth franchise. We've been ranked recently as having the top cadre of advisors in Canada in our private wealth business. As I mentioned to you earlier, we were ranked number four by Barron's, and through many, many different independent research houses, they rank our performance in the high end of the U.S. wealth business at a very strong level.

You're gonna now hear from two of my executive friends and colleagues are very seasoned executives that have deep experience and have driven the growth and are architecting the strategy for our business going forward. The first is Jon Hountalas, who runs our Canadian and commercial wealth business. After Jon, there's Michael Capatides. We affectionately refer to him as Kap. You can call him either. He responds to both. Jon only responds to Jon, by the way. Before I get offstage, I wanted to introduce a brief video clip of Steve Scott, who's a client of our bank, a friend of our bank, and epitomizes what commercial banking and wealth management does together for clients that own their own businesses. Steve Scott is one of many thousands of examples within our bank that's driving an incredible amount of referral activity between the two.

I know Jon and Kap will both highlight that referral activity between our businesses, which again, is a competitive advantage. Let's run the video, and then after the video, Jon will be up to share his story with you. Thank you.

Speaker 25

It's fun to grow business, and it's critical to have a partner that you can rely on. We've been able to grow the business because CIBC has been great to us over the years. Life happens to people. They need to have that stable base and know they can rely on it when things go awry at home or in different areas of their lives. In the storage business, there's divorce, downsizing, dislocation, and subsequently, they've added density. Units have gotten smaller, and there's less storage space, and that's an area that's driven the success of our business. Since storage is such a new asset class in real estate, the lenders really struggle to understand how to underwrite it.

It's an operating business as much as it's real estate, and if you view it solely as real estate, it doesn't work. You have to look at it, the operating business behind it.

We see ourself purpose-built to serve the private economy. Steve's the exact type of client we get excited about helping.

Steve had a position in StorageVault, but then it was just wealth that he couldn't do anything with.

We helped Steve with the big lending facility that we set up for him, and that was the very first time Steve knew this group will not take no for an answer. When 10 doors close, they'll find an 11th door.

CIBC's ability to collaborate in different areas, private wealth, capital markets, real estate, has helped us build a very strong relationship.

It's unique of CIBC to combine our commercial bank and wealth management into a single unit and then pull in partners to ensure we're bringing the best of the bank and we're helping our clients meet their overall needs across the organization.

CIBC has been looking at a very client-centric solution, and that allows them to provide what I think is some of the best service in the country right now.

Now that Steve's been able to grow his business and achieve incredible success, our focus has turned more toward how we can help him plan for his goals multi-generationally and in the community.

Because in the end, our purpose is to provide the best kind of service we can for our clients.

When you find the people who understand what you're trying to do, what you're trying to achieve, and have confidence that you're going to achieve it, and you have that support, it's a great feeling, and we receive that support at CIBC.

Jon Hountalas
Senior EVP and Group Head, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Good morning. I'm Jon Hountalas, and I'm proud to be here with my CIBC colleagues. I'm particularly excited to share the commercial banking and wealth story. I joined CIBC in 2010 as head of the commercial bank, and I took on the responsibilities of wealth in 2017. Victor spent a little bit of time throughout the day and just before the video talking about the origins of this business unit. Let me try to summarize. Collectively, we had a view of how the economy was changing and which sectors would grow faster. We decided to build a culture, a connected culture across the bank, which isn't easy to do, and a specific structure to capitalize on the growth. Five years in, we love where we are, and it's played out exactly as we expected.

Let me give you a quick summary of what we've built. 1, a relationship-focused commercial bank that's growing faster than market. We built this model 10 years ago. We're running it for a long time. We'll walk you through it. We have a strong wealth management platform with significant upside potential, and we'll talk about that. We're uniquely positioned to be the best relationship and advice bank in Canada. When I think about that, I think about 3 things. Do the clients like you? Do they value what you do? And do they give you more business? We'll touch on all those subjects. Finally, we're future-focused. We think business services sector is gonna continue to grow. We're investing. Innovation Banking at the forefront of that. You'll hear more about Innovation Banking. Let's go quickly. Quick overview. Revenues CAD 4.7 billion.

After-tax profit, CAD 1.7 billion. 25% ROE. Clients are 95% wealth, 5% commercial. CAD 357 billion in funds managed between private wealth and asset management, pretty even. Loans and deposits between the commercial bank, pretty even. The summary here is good financial metrics, a highly connected business, diversified across business lines and balanced within business lines. Let's take a look at the commercial bank. Revenue growth, 8%, loan growth, 10%, deposit growth, 16%, and profit growth, 10%. Those are all good numbers. The numbers we're equally as proud of is our NPS score, 84. Our clients love us. Our loan loss provision, 12 basis points over five years. We break the business down into three segments. The biggest is diversified.

It's across the country, every province, many communities. A broad definition of a diversified business, private company, CAD 1 million-CAD 75 million in credit. This is our deposit engine for the bank. Historically, we've grown loans and deposits, high single-digit, low double-digit range. The pandemic, everything turned upside down. Loans didn't grow very much, deposit growth was material. Our real estate business. Broad, diversified and broad-based by asset class, more focused in terms of geography. We focus on the major urban centers. We focus on the best players in every geography and every asset class.

Historically, we've grown real estate and non-real estate at the same range, and again, the pandemic, things were different. The diversified space was quiet. Real estate was buoyant. Real estate grew faster. It's gonna go back to normal. Real estate and non-real estate will grow at the same rate. Our final business is our specialized business.

This is our innovation bank, our private equity coverage, our asset-based lending, and our mid-market investment bank. It's our smallest business. Depends how you measure, it's 10%-20% of the total business. It's the fastest-growing. It will remain the fastest-growing. Private capital's for real. M&A is gonna happen. There's lots of money on the sideline. We're very good at these industries. They're gonna continue to grow. I just spoke about 12 basis points of loan losses over four years, which, you know, during a pandemic's pretty good. Our loan loss story is not a four year story, and it's not a 12-basis point story. It's here on the charts. Over 10 years, we've been sub 10-basis points. We try to break it up between real estate and non-real estate.

The non-real estate piece, you see it, as we talk about on calls, lumpy from time to time, but 15 basis points roughly overall. The real estate loan losses are hard to see 'cause they're so low. Over 10 years, we've lost CAD 1 million in real estate. The book today is CAD 37 billion or so. We've lost CAD 1 million. Again, even this isn't a ten-year story. I went back 10 years prior, before my time. The results aren't quite this good, but close. I know people are thinking, well, real estate's been great in Canada. This is more than just a macro real estate story. These level of losses speak to the quality of our team, it speaks to our focused strategy, and most importantly, it speaks to the strength of the clients we pick. Let's talk about wealth.

6% revenue growth, 7% AUA growth, 8% profit growth. We break up wealth into two big parts. Private wealth, so that's Wood Gundy and private banking. Then we have our asset management business. Our private wealth business has real momentum. Profit grows about 15% per annum, but let's put profit aside. Three data points that make me very confident about our future. First is our NPS score, 81. Think about that. These are high-net-worth clients, unique and complex needs. They know what they want. They have high expectations. We're meeting or exceeding them. Two, and Victor mentioned it, The Globe and Mail recently put up the 150 top advisors in Canada. We had 35 of them. That speaks to the talent in our organization. Finally, Investment Executive does a survey every year of all the advisors across the industry.

If you know advisors, they're an independent bunch. They speak their mind. We scored number two on that survey, 8.9 out of 10. If you dig a bit on the things like leadership, on the things like, do we communicate with advisors, do we listen to advisors? We scored number one. You look at those three things. Our clients love us, we have unbelievable talent, and our advisors think we're on the right track. For me, that's real momentum. We look at our asset management business. It's part of the whole wealth spectrum. Victor spoke about it a little bit. Our wealth business is across SBUs. Asset management is important to everything. It's important to core. It's important to Imperial Service. It's important to private banking, and it's also important to Wood Gundy.

Over the last four years, and it will always continue, we look to elevate our investment management capabilities. At the same time, we look to be efficient. This is an industry that is still under price compression, and our cost-income ratio continues to go down. We're running an efficient shop, and we're close to the rest of our channels. That's the past. What are we gonna do in the future? We're gonna invest in our platforms to maintain our commercial banking momentum and to capitalize on our wealth management opportunities. Let me put a finer point on that. We will grow wealth management faster. We're gonna continue with connectivity. The hard work of creating the engine that makes these referrals, we've done that. No big investments to make anymore. Our teams know each other. The reporting that we need has been done. Now we start to scale.

Finally, we're focused on future differentiators. We'll talk about those a bit. Of course, innovation banking will come up and say a few words. Let's talk about the commercial bank. Talked about our model. Step one in our strategy is to scale our model. What is this model? It's got four pieces that I think are important. One is we grow our own talent. In a world where talent's tough, we hire out of university, we teach them the CIBC way, and we guide them as they become leaders through the organizations, and as importantly, as they become leaders in their own business communities. Two, credit discipline is a big deal. You see it in our loan losses, you see it in our culture. We train at the start, and it's continuous learning. We work closely with our risk colleagues.

We're proud of that relationship. It's a competitive advantage. It lets us react quickly. Three, client experience. We obsess about it. Our clients don't know one person, they know a team. Sometimes we call it team sport, sometimes we call it a three-touch model. It doesn't matter what we call it. What happens in times of need or times of opportunity, we know our clients, we deliver, and we deliver fast. Finally, we have disciplined sales management. We always value referrals from clients. We always value referrals from professional contacts. We don't sit by our phone and wait for those referrals to come. We're out there in the traffic, action, calling people, calling prospects. We make it happen for ourselves. As we grow our business, when you look at our numbers, in a typical year, quarter, 40%-60% of our growth comes from new clients.

This is a model that's easy to explain, hard to execute. We've been at it a long time. We really like where we are. 86% of our loan relationships are either sold relationships or lead relationships. It shows we're not just doing business for the sake of doing business. We know the people we deal with. What to expect from us? Balance and consistency in the commercial bank. Doesn't mean we can't get better. We certainly can, and we're gonna be using technology to improve our processes. We put this into two buckets of work. One is sales enablement, and two is the client experience. What do we mean by sales enablement? ECRM, data, loan pricing tools. More information to our relationship managers to make them smarter about our clients, to have better discussions. It's ultimately a revenue play.

We've got the client experience work stream. This is about digitizing onboarding. This is about digitizing our major workflow processes. This is employee experience, this is client experience, and along the way, we think we'll get more efficient and take costs out. Finally, we target high-growth segments, innovation banking, and what we call the National Industry Programs. Innovation banking, we acquired Wellington in 2018. Wellington was a North American debt fund. We knew them a long time. We had done business with them. What we liked about them was the focus on the clients, and we loved the credit history. It was totally in line with our culture. We figured out quickly that if you take those attributes, combine them with the CIBC brand, combine them with our capital, and combine them with our support, good things will happen, and they have.

Mark McQueen and I spent a lot of time dreaming about what was possible. I can't count the number of scenarios we came up with. We surpassed every scenario we came up with, and now we're rebaselining and growing faster. Mark will be up in a few moments to talk about that. We've also got the National Industry Program s, things like healthcare, pharmacy, franchises. We think those areas are gonna go faster. We're putting some investment there. Between innovation banking and our National Industry Program , we're gonna double our funds managed. Private wealth. We've invested a fair bit over the last couple of years, and we've seen success. Let me start with private banking. You'll see big investments in the paragraph, but it starts with we changed our leader. We put a dedicated leader in place two years ago.

Once he was put in place, we changed structure. We started to add private bankers. We started to have support people. We created offers for company executives, for entrepreneurs, for their children. We created a family office. We co-located more private banks with the commercial bank. This business is a gem. It is growing 25% a year in profit. It's gonna accelerate. We will certainly double it in three or four years. With Wood Gundy, we're always looking for new advisors, either developing our own or the right competitive recruits. The core of the strategy isn't new advisors. The core of the strategy is financial planning and fee-based revenue. What are we doing on the financial planning side? We've hired planners. We've rolled out our digital plan. We've got more discipline. We've gone from 15% penetration a year ago. We're roughly at 25%.

We can get to 40%. Every time we do a plan, CAD 625 thousand of increased investable assets. It's the same story anywhere across the bank. You heard it with Laura, you're gonna hear it from me. Any segment, any people, if you sit down, if you make their ambitions real, good things happen. Financial planning make good things happen. The other place is fee-based revenue. We're investing in the unified account. It's a complex project, but at the end of the day, it's gonna simplify how we onboard fee-based clients. Onboarding will get simpler, reporting will get simpler, portfolio management for advisors will get simple. It's been a long road to get here. Again, it's a complicated project. We're 18 months away. Our fee-based revenues are growing slowly without the tool. Once the new platform comes in, we're gonna accelerate.

Asset management, we're also changing the major investment tool. Today, it's based on three platforms in the back. Multiple onboarding in the front. We're creating one platform, soup to nuts, back to front. In the front, you'll see better client experience, better employee experience. You'll see the penetration rates from 12 go up. In the back, we're gonna get more efficient. We're very excited about what we call, let's just call it asset management simplification. Finally, we want to accelerate our investment in customized wealth solutions. We're gonna embed alternatives, private market, and ESG in more of our strategies. We talked when we came out here on Investor Day four years ago, it was just when we had launched this business unit. We knew deep down the client experience would be good. We didn't know what we would do on the connectivity front.

We put out some bold targets. We said CAD 8 billion-CAD 11 billion. We've done CAD 11.3 billion. You see there where the referrals have gone. Investment, 65%; deposits, 8%; loans, 7%, 17%. This is a fee light, sorry, capital light, fee-intensive, sticky business. The recipient so far, private banking and Wood Gundy. We haven't had as much as I'd like coming back in commercial banking. Work in process will get better. When people hear about this connectivity and these numbers, their mind always goes to the big monetization events. We love them. They're big numbers. They're fun to be involved with. That's not the magic. The magic is getting in front of the executives and the owners way before the monetization event. Banking them, banking their families, helping them kinda reach their ambitions. When that works, it's unbelievable.

Our average referral going in is CAD 2 million. It's not 300, 400, 500, which is what we see on monetization events. What I'm left with, perhaps what I'm most excited about, is that we're just getting started. 28% of our commercial clients, somebody at the company has a wealth relationship, lots of upside, and 22% of our Wood Gundy clients that qualify for private banking are there. Again, big upside on this front. I can't tell you how excited I am. We're putting out a target of CAD 12 billion-CAD 15 billion. I hope to crush it. I spoke earlier about our success with innovation banking. I could talk about it for a long time, but there's somebody that knows it way better than I do. I'd love to bring up Mark McQueen. Mark, come on up.

Mark McQueen heads the innovation banking team. He has spearheaded the strategy, and he'll tell you about the success. Thank you.

Mark McQueen
President and Executive Managing Director, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Tough act to follow, so bear with me. Mark McQueen, I've spent 35 years in business and government. The last 4.5 have been here at CIBC following acquisition in 2018. When we first started talking in 2017, Jon, Victor, and I all saw both the need and the opportunity for a domestic champion in Canada in our sector. Given, I think the results we've had to date, it turned out to be pretty prescient. Given the increasingly important role that technology plays in all walks of life, you can appreciate this is a great horizon we have ahead of us. Our specialized team does three things. We look at technology, life science, healthcare, and clean tech. Think software, medical devices, and water technology.

We cared about intellectual property, enterprise value, and critical mass. Since the vast majority of VC-backed high-growth companies are in cash burn mode, this is a tough sector for your average lender, which is a sustainable competitive advantage for those with experience on their side. On our first day at CIBC, Jon Hountalas's simple instructions were, "Keep doing what you're doing." For entrepreneurs, you can imagine that was music to our ears, and he meant it. This is a deposit-rich vertical, as you probably suspect. It provides a steady stream of low-cost funding. 50 of our portfolio companies have raised over CAD 4 billion since January 2020, and that's allowed us to be self-funding as a group since 2019.

Our role in the ecosystem with our VC and growth equity relationships gives CIBC an opportunity to have early engagement with technology companies. I think the Pollinate deal that Laura and Chris talked about earlier this morning is an example of what can be done when you have those tight relationships, when we have people like Victor involved directly with the leading VC fund, GPs, how that could be good for the entire organization. Well, the last year might look like a funding peak. Please take comfort that the last eight years, there's been more than $70 billion invested in our sector each and every year, and that gives us thousands of prospects to go after. Our core team has been in place for 20 years. Don't worry, they're not all as old as me.

While our expanded footprint in 13 different key markets has brought additional talent and depth and new client relationships as well. We honed our credit appetite in starting the dot-com bust of 2000. We saw the 2001 recession, the 2008 financial crisis, of course, the most recent COVID-19 pandemic, and that sets us up very well as valuations come off in the first half year of 2022 to be able to take care of our clients and our opportunity for whatever is to come. I think our loan losses have well not surprised people as low as they've been since 2018. They've been about 10 basis points a year.

When you think about the warrant gains that we've realized to date, they exceed those realized loan losses. That's something that's interesting about our sector, and CIBC's been able to capture that. Our cross-border capabilities are unique, I think, for a Canadian bank in our sector, and that provides real value add to our VC relationships. Our footprint in the different markets matches up perfectly with CIBC USA and on the Canadian side of the border, which provides a higher probability referral rate than folks might have imagined for the wealth management and private banking businesses. You know, our clients need someone to take care of their business, their families, themselves. They're busy growing a company. They don't have time to think about these things, and our colleagues are there to help them in that moment.

CIBC's CAD 400 million LP strategy, I think, shows the commitment we have long-term to the sector and allows institutions to create relationships across the board that will stand the test of time. As you can see, we've had great growth in terms of team members, loans, deposits, and of course, earnings. As was highlighted in the second quarter earnings reports, our loans and deposits grew 100%, as at the most recent Q2 results. Our CAD 59 million in NIM that we had for fiscal 2021 is now CAD 109 million on an LTM basis, which gives us a lot of comfort that that target of three years that Jon set for us, we can achieve by fiscal 2025. These three case studies are examples of our role in the ecosystem.

7shifts is a Saskatoon-based software company, Series A type that we did CAD 1.7 million financing in 2018. We provided them additional growth capital in 2020 and featured them on our podcast and video series here at CIBC. Most recently, they raised a CAD 100 million Series C financing by SoftBank, which is one of the highest profile VC funds in the world, right there in Saskatoon. Q4 is an example of a CAD 30 million credit facility we did here for this Toronto-based capital markets platform. When the time came last year to choose the IPO lead mandate, the board of Canadian and U.S. VCs awarded the Harry Culham's team in capital markets. Finally, there's the story of our Vancouver-based loan client, Catalyst.

In this situation, it's the company's management did not think that they were ready to take on a round from a California-based $19 billion VC fund. We had done business with Dragoneer. We knew they were a good fit, and we prevailed on management to take the meeting. As the Vancouver Tech Journal called this, the $30 million financing that happened wouldn't have happened, but for CIBC's role. This is an example of the benefit to our clients and prospects when you have a large network like we do of relationships. Each of these three stories gives you a flavor of our role in the ecosystem, what can be done. It frankly gives us a great deal of satisfaction and pride to help these entrepreneurs achieve their ambitions. It's infectious.

I know Victor gets it every single time he comes on the road with us. We've had a lot of fun. We've built a diverse, I think, energetic team. Frankly, without a doubt, this is an unparalleled opportunity for CIBC. Thanks very much. Thank you, Mark. I'll just close in only a minute. I'll leave you with a few takeaways. One, we have a relationship-focused commercial bank. We're successful. We're gonna scale. We're gonna keep going. We have a strong wealth management platform. We see significant upside. We're gonna grow faster. We're uniquely positioned to be connected. We put out some connection numbers. We hope to beat them. Finally, we're future-focused. Innovation Banking is an example. We're gonna be looking for others. We've got five targets up here. I'm very comfortable with all of them.

With those targets, I'll invite my friend and colleague, Mike Capatides, to come up and tell us the CIBC Bank USA story. Mike, it's a good one. Come on up.

Mike Capatides
Senior EVP and Group Head, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Thanks, Jon Hountalas, and good morning, everybody. I'm Michael Capatides. As I said, I mostly answer to Cap when it's yelled out, but will answer to both. I've been at the bank for 27 years. Initially came as general counsel, spent most of the time as CEO, Chief Administrative Officer, and for the last four years, I've had the honor to lead the commercial and wealth franchise in the US. It's been an exciting story, and I'm happy to share with you. The 4 themes that I wanna cover, and I wanna leave you folks with, at the end of today is that this franchise, Victor Dodig mentioned it, is purpose-built.

When CIBC was looking to reenter the U.S. and expand upon its capital markets presence there, we looked at those businesses that people, clients still valued expertise and advice. Two businesses that we do very well in Canada, and that's commercial banking, and that's wealth. We had a few acquisitions to lay the foundation. The PrivateBank on the commercial banking side, Atlantic Trust and Geneva Advisors on the wealth side, brought those together, and we've grown over the last couple years robustly with organic growth. Much of that growth has been on the basis of cross-business referrals, which was always the plan. As what Jon said, it worked. This entire time, we've been investing to support what we've built and where we're going. Quick look at what we built over the last five years.

This is a business that's based on high touch and a relationship-driven model. This is how we compete with competitors, small, medium, and large, and it's working. We've had consistent year after year, robust growth in loans, deposits, AUM, and pre-provision, pre-tax earnings. You've heard a couple of eye-opening metrics about the growth of this business and our growth in the U.S. already from Victor and Harry. Let me give you one more. The day before the The PrivateBank acquisition in the commercial banking and wealth space, we were making $0 in the U.S. Last year, at the end of 2021, we came up on $1 billion pre-provision, pre-tax. Together with our capital markets colleagues, and it is very, very much a partnership in the U.S.

that I'll talk a bit more about. We exceeded 20% in CIBC's earnings. This franchise has strong future earnings power. I'd like to point out three things about the map you're looking at. We have a strong geographic footprint, and the bottom line is, in commercial and wealth and capital markets, we are largely everywhere we want to be and need to be. The platform is built. Our clients are coast to coast, and a good portion of our growth is coming from outside of the Midwest in the faster-growing MSAs in the United States. Two-thirds of our offices have commercial and wealth co-located. We've been adding private bankers, which drives deeper client relationships.

I always like to talk to our talented and growing private banking group and say very much in these offices, they're the glue that brings everything together, all of our groups. You will hear plenty that we have plenty of opportunity to grow on this existing footprint. Let's look at commercial banking. Let's look what we've built. We have extensive national coverage in middle market commercial, specialized industries, and commercial real estate. We've had consistent and robust growth, and importantly, it's been profitable. That's growth in revenue, loans, and deposits. Our differentiator in this business, again, is our expertise and customized advice. That is why people come to us. That is how we succeed. Just give you an example. One of our specialized groups is healthcare. We are very good at it.

We have a team that's worked together, a senior team, for more than 20 years, and they selectively work with clients who are leaders in the industry and value our expertise. Again, that is why they come for us, expertise and advice. We've had disciplined growth. That expertise enables our team to identify the best operators in the business, which is how we succeed. Let's take a look at our credit risk profile. When CIBC and The PrivateBank were first talking about coming together and before the acquisition, one of the first topics we covered and had to get satisfied with was that we had a consistent credit culture, and we did. You can see from up here that we have a well-diversified portfolio by industry in C&I space and by class of real estate in our real estate group.

Both are widely diversified by geography. Again, we span the United States. Our commitment to a strong credit culture and our expertise can be seen as an example in our real estate group prior to the pandemic. Our group decided to de-emphasize retail, hospitality, and office ahead of the curve and to emphasize multifamily and industrial. Again, it turned out to be right, and it was based on a deep knowledge of the industry. We've had consistently strong credit performance, including through the pandemic. During the pandemic, from a credit point of view, our relationship-driven approach had to stay in contact with all our our clients so that we could identify any issues that were popping up early and then work the problem.

As we came out of the pandemic, that same approach, we encouraged our bankers to get, you know, a plane, train, car, or walk and visit every single one of our clients. In many of these cases, in commercial and frankly in wealth, we were told we were the first ones there and that they wouldn't forget it. Before I leave this slide, I wanna point out one aspect of the chart up there, and that's in the commercial real estate impaired PCL rate. There's just a little bit of more detail on that. As we were coming together with the private bank and we were focused on our relationship-driven model, we had a business in CIBC that was legacy real estate. When we looked at it, we determined that the two businesses there were not relationship-based.

We exited one completely, a CMBS business, and the other business was a not a relationship-driven business at all, and we brought in new management. We pivoted completely, and now we do in the institutional real estate space, we have a relationship-driven model where we bank the best institutional real estate lenders in the country. You'll see that when you back out losses from that portfolio, which we've exited, you'll see the average rate comes down more favorably. Turning to our wealth franchise, we have a focus on our high net worth and ultra-high net worth segments. Our clients are attracted to our award-winning investment platform and our high-touch approach. All that has driven a 7% compound annual growth rate in positive net flows since 2018.

We have relationship managers in 17 offices, and we've added private banking to 13 of those. That, of course, has led to the referrals that we're all talking about. The best way that I can describe to you what we have achieved in the U.S. and we hope to expand upon is by an example, and it's a recent example. We had a commercial banking team that was pitching a family-owned beer distributor in the United States for years. They got the opportunity to you know try to win the banking business, so they were brought to Chicago, and they came with 3 generations of the family. The banking, the commercial bankers were successful. We got the mandate, sole bank mandate.

At the very first meeting, we had a private banker there who set up a banking relationship with all three levels of the family. We had a wealth manager there, and as Jon referenced before, started the process of learning about the family, about their needs, and about the possible down the road of generational transfers of funds. Then lastly, we had our capital markets colleagues there. We had our very good commercial M&A bankers there, and we also had derivatives experts there, all of whom established great relationships. That's the way it works. We're doing that across the country. We're doing it every day.

Our ability to literally, on a day's notice, get a commercial banker together, a private banker, a wealth professional, and the right capital markets people together on a single day to visit a client, I believe is basically our secret sauce. I think we do it better than just about anybody in the United States. I'm not, I don't wanna forget our cross-border capabilities because, you know, again, we talk every day, and those professionals are also available for us. That's where we've been. Now let's look at where we're going. As with our other businesses, we have great momentum and we believe it's gonna continue in the coming years, and we believe that we're gonna generate above-market growth in all our businesses. We plan to grow organically.

We've shown we can do it, clearly in our commercial banking business and in private wealth, but we'll, as Victor mentioned, we're always open for tuck-in acquisitions in the wealth space, and we plan to invest in the future with our people, technology, and infrastructure. In commercial banking, we're gonna continue to grow. We're gonna continue to build in the fast-growing geographies in the U.S. by attracting new clients. Well over half of our growth in deposits and loans has been from new clients, and we certainly plan to do more with existing clients. We're gonna maintain our focus on being our clients' primary bank. The example of that, we are the sole or lead arranger for nearly 80% of our loans.

We plan to continue to expand and nurture our specialty groups, where that's a prime example of our relationship-driven approach, where people come to us for our expertise and advice. We will selectively add new specialties. This past year, we added equipment finance, and we're excited about the build-out of that business. In wealth, we plan to add relationship managers and business development officers to continue attracting new clients and continue our track record of record positive net flows every quarter. Again, new clients in this business has made up 84% of our AUM growth. We plan to expand our family office capabilities, which targets the ultra-high net worth, which is a very, it's a growing and very profitable sector for us.

That includes introducing market-leading technologies, such as new customer-facing systems, but also includes simply sitting down with families, multigenerational families, to educate and to plan. To give fuel to that momentum, we're gonna continue to invest, much like Jon spoke about before north of the border, in our client-facing technologies such as our integrated wealth platform and digital capabilities, our foundational technologies such as continued rollout of Salesforce and our integrated data platform, and importantly, talent. Our people, frontline and support, are the key to our success. All three of these are gonna help drive increased referral activity. We've made great progress in the past number of years, as you can see, but you can also see that we have plenty more to do, and we're excited about that.

Let me leave you with this, as I started, we're a purpose-built franchise that's positioned to deliver strategic and disciplined growth across commercial and wealth, with an emphasis on organic growth. We're everywhere we need to be to execute on that growth. We will consider tuck-in wealth acquisitions, but our growth will be primarily organic. In terms of our 2025 targets, again, we plan to drive above-market commercial and loan deposit growth. We plan to achieve a 15% compound annual growth rate in AUM, and we plan to do more with our existing clients. We're gonna roll forward the goal we've had each of the last number of years of each year increasing our referral activity by 10%. All this will add up to a 10%-13% compound annual growth rate in revenue.

It's an exciting story. We're excited about the future. With that, let me welcome our CFO, Hratch.

Hratch Panossian
Senior EVP and CFO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Thank you, Cap. Good morning, everyone. Almost good afternoon. It's been great to see you all and actually shake hands. Hopefully none of you invested in fist bumps or elbows because that was not as long-lived as people anticipated. Thank you for being here, and thank you for listening to us. I trust you found the day valuable so far. You've heard from Victor and our business leaders about how we've built our bank for growth and also about our plans on how we will continue that momentum going forward. I'm excited to be here today to bring it all together in terms of what does that all mean to you as our shareholders and as those that cover the market. Some quick background on myself as others have done. I've taken a maybe less traditional path to someone in my role than others.

Began life as an engineer, and I actually course-corrected into financial services back in the early 2000s through a payment startup in Silicon Valley. Actually, Chris and I were comparing notes. We share some ex-colleagues. After that, I was in consulting space, and I split time between Canada and the US, advising banks specifically on issues across risk management, finance, capital markets, strategy, and that was actually my first interaction with CIBC. CIBC was a client of mine after the financial crisis, where I helped work on things around risk management, treasury, and some of the repositioning of the capital markets business. Over the last 11 years, I've had the opportunity to be part of the team, helping the journey of transformation that we've all gone through in roles in treasury, in strategy, corporate development, and core finance.

For now, almost the last three years, I've had the privilege to lead our highly dedicated, highly talented finance and strategy teams. That team had a lot to do with putting today together, so I wanna take the opportunity to thank them all as well as others. Now, bringing together our strategic planning, our financial planning, our treasury team that manages our balance sheet, our transformation office that oversees our strategic growth investments with core finance, I believe that we built a best-in-class strategic finance organization that not only delivers operational excellence in our core finance and governance mandate, but also supports the bank to deliver the superior performance that we have been delivering and that we'll talk about in the future today. As a management team, we see ourselves first and foremost as stewards of our shareholders' capital.

Our finance team supports that by helping develop our strategy and our strategic and financial targets, and I'll talk a little bit about what those are today in tangible terms. Driving our strategic planning process, which fundamentally includes our resource allocation process to include, we allocate resources against our strategic priorities, we drive focused investment, and we drive strong returns. Lastly, creating accountability and ensuring execution discipline through transparent performance measurement to ensure that we're actually generating the value that we set out to deliver. Okay, with that context, there's three points I will touch on which relate to everything I just spoke about today. Number one, as an organization, we've adopted a robust accountability framework. It's focused explicitly on relative outperformance, relative to the market, and it is explicitly focused on value creation for all of our stakeholders.

It defines our goals for value creation, it drives our strategy development, and it is ingrained in our day-to-day decision-making and performance measurement, and I'll talk about all of that. Second, we have also adopted a disciplined and comprehensive resource allocation approach that enables us to focus our investments and optimize returns. I'll cover how we've applied that in the past and how that's delivered results. More importantly, I'm sure for everybody, how we will apply that going forward to continue delivering results. Lastly, I'll talk a bit about our plans and our targets. What you'll hear is that our strategic plan and our execution discipline and approach is built to sustain our growth momentum.

It gives us the confidence to increase our earnings and profitability targets today, supported by the top-line growth and market share gains that we've been talking about all day, as well as strong discipline on expenses, operating leverage, and profitability. Okay. What you see on the slide here in front of you is what we call our enterprise value framework. We introduced this a few years ago. It links our purpose, which is signified by the logo in the center of the graphic, to our goals as an organization for our various stakeholders. Let me talk about the goals first, and I'll cover some of the other elements next. Our goal as an organization is simple. It's to outperform on enterprise value creation in tangible terms over the long term.

We believe the only way to do this sustainably is to create tangible value for all of our stakeholders. For our shareholders, that goal ends up being delivering top-tier returns through tangible value growth. To enable this, we need to deliver value for the other stakeholder groups. For our clients, delivering value so that we can grow our clients, particularly in target segments. We can deepen those relationships, and you heard a lot about that today. We drive loyalty, improve satisfaction, improve value for clients, which equates to more value for shareholders. We're an employer of choice, and we think in this market particularly, it is important to remain an employer of choice so that we can attract, develop, retain, and engage the best team in the industry in order to deliver on our purpose for our clients and deliver value for shareholders then.

Lastly, it is also important for us to do our part for our communities, including our team and our planet, in order to advance sustainability and equity. We've made specific commitments on this. We've made commitments around our own impact on the environment, commitments to support our clients to transition, commitments to our foundation, CIBC Foundation, and what commitments the foundation makes to the community, as well as diversity and equity across our team and in our communities. Now, as I mentioned, this framework is ingrained in our governance processes as well as management day-to-day. It is the fundamental basis of our board enterprise KPIs that are used to evaluate management performance. There are metrics across all of those stakeholder groups and specific targets that we get evaluated on. It is also ingrained in our compensation framework, and we've touched on that before.

You've seen our proxy material, but these elements do make it into the compensation framework explicitly. It drives our day-to-day decision-making. It drives the development of our strategy, the allocation of our resources, and it drives performance measurement decisions against all of these outcomes. We had some conversations about the building, the brand, our U.S. investment. All of those things get evaluated around delivering value for those stakeholder groups and specific metrics put against them. Now, you heard extensively today about our strategy, so I won't spend too much time on it, but just to say it is engineered to deliver on these objectives, value for shareholders by focusing on where we can deliver value for other stakeholders like clients. We're focused on the high-value segments that we've talked about, growing faster than markets, where we have capabilities to outperform and create value for those groups.

Where it's focused on improving the client experience to drive franchising, and again, deliver value to the bottom line. It's focused on building future differentiators that they themselves can help catalyze change for our clients and for overall the community and the planet and sustain our growth at the same time. We've built key capabilities that are covered in this framework as well to enable us to compete in that strategy effectively. You've heard a lot about how we use relationships, how we use the connectivity across our banks to surface value for clients and shareholders at the same time. You've heard about innovation, about a number of the things we're doing in order, again, to drive value for clients and shareholders. The last one, which is our capital deployment, is what I'll cover now.

We believe that our resource allocation framework is how we ensure that we deploy our available resources, which are all always scarce, against the best use to deliver on these outcomes. Our framework that's up on the slide is comprehensive and disciplined. On comprehensive, we view resource allocation broadly, maybe more broadly than some people think when they think capital allocation, as both our balance sheet resources, as well as our investments that flow through the income statement expenses. At the end of the day, it's all shareholder capital if it makes it to the bottom line. On discipline, we have a rigorous process where all material discretionary investments of any of these resources have a robust business case. They're assessed against strategic fit, they're assessed around financial performance, we have metrics against them, and then they are monitored on an ongoing basis.

Let me speak a little bit about each of these considerations. On capital, we look at both regulatory capital as well as economic capital. On regulatory capital, we have a fully allocated model, common, pref, sub-debt. All of that is allocated as cost against any business that we do. We look for returns against our cost of capital. We look at that on a risk-adjusted basis, on risk-adjusted hurdles. We look at that against alternatives of deployment opportunities. We look at that against cost of capital. We also manage overall the allocation of our balance sheet robustly. We are looking for strong returns on assets after fully loading cost of funds and cost of capital, diversification, and balance. Diversification in our assets, diversification in our deposits, and balance on the two sides of the balance sheet.

As you heard from our various businesses, we have very strong asset and deposit generation capabilities in all of our SBUs. That has allowed us to maintain the balance as we grow, and it will allow us to continue to do the same. In terms of investments and through our expenses, we look at both. We look at things which are capitalized, like CapEx investments, but also all of our operating expenses. What we're trying to do there is balance the investments, manage the positive operating leverage, balance where we invest in terms of revenue and efficiency, and look for ROIs and contributions to earnings. Now, we've always had good practices around this area, and you can see the results. It's allowed us to deliver our ROE of 15%, our return on tangible of 18%.

We've grown tangible book value per share at 9%. In addition to that, we've delivered tangible value through dividend, which is not in that, of over this period, a high of 4% range in terms of dividend yield. However, before taking the increased investment path that we've taken the last few years, we've made this framework more robust to ensure that we maintain the discipline, and we believe this will serve us and our stakeholders well. Okay. Let me talk a little bit about capital deployment. This slide covers past capital deployment priorities, as well as returns on them. As I mentioned, this approach isn't new. We've applied this, and we've shown a period since 2016 here, which includes the period of our acquisition, large acquisition in the US.

Our strong profitability over this period of time generated approximately CAD 30 billion of capital. We also issued capital predominantly to support that acquisition. Through the disciplined allocation of that capital, we've maintained our strong returns and continued to generate capital for the future. Consistent with our priority to maximize value for shareholders, we've prioritized organic growth. As you see over this period of time, that has generated a return of 19%. We've also prioritized the dividend, and so we've increased our dividends over this period of time with earnings within our range and returned CAD 14 billion of capital to shareholders through our dividend, which is CAD 2 billion more than had we not made increases since the start of that period. Concurrently, we've done M&A.

We've been disciplined, but we have done high-quality, successful acquisitions over this period of time, most significantly The PrivateBank, deploying approximately CAD 6 billion and generating both strategic and financial value. These investments in aggregate, when we look at the portfolio, have generated strong results. In 2021, we had double-digit 10% returns off the portfolio. More importantly, they've opened up new avenues of capital deployment for us, where we can deploy organic capital at much higher returns going forward, and that's evidenced by the return on tangible of 16% that you see on the slide. All of the businesses we've acquired, and you've heard about many of them today, the innovation banking platform in the US, they continue to have strong growth momentum and strong profitability, so they will continue contributing to both the bank's growth and profitability.

Lastly, we've also returned capital over this period of time through buybacks opportunistically. We say opportunistic because given the implied returns of the buybacks versus the hurdle rates we apply for our organic growth, we believe that organic growth opportunities continue to be better for our shareholders than buybacks. Moving forward, we'll continue to prioritize organic growth because of that reason, as well as our dividends. Now, let me talk a little bit about investing. As we focus on organic growth, we deliberately increase our investment in the business to drive that. Over that period of time, CAD 3.5 billion of expense increases would have been invested in the business. You've heard today about where we've invested. We've invested in the client experience, we've invested in our team, in new businesses and generated growth, as well as the core infrastructure of the bank.

However, we've partially funded that, and we've talked about this in the past. Since 2016, we've generated a cumulative of around CAD 1 billion of savings in our expenses to help offset part of the investment. Examples of where, our workforce, how we work, the processes, digitization, a lot of the things you've heard again today. We think we can continue generating savings at that rate going forward, but I'll cover that in a second. All of this, our efforts, we believe, have delivered results. Looking at the period since our last Investor Day, in addition to delivering on our strategic objectives, which we have, and you've heard about that, revitalizing our consumer franchise, continuing to grow, share in the other businesses, making the bank more efficient and growing, we've maintained a strong balance sheet.

Now, these numbers as of the end of the year, things have changed, but we continue to maintain strong capital and liquidity, and we've had good balance in growing the balance sheet and diversification. Importantly, we've met all of our medium-term financial targets. Earnings growth, 6% reported, 7% adjusted. Our ROE above 15%. Positive operating leverage, strong dividend payout, and outperformed the index of our peers in terms of total return over this period. We're proud of these results. We made commitments to our shareholders, and we delivered on it, and we intend to continue doing so. Okay, let's shift to the future. How are we gonna do that? We'll continue to apply the same approach, same disciplined approach, focused on organic growth through what we call our portfolio of strategic growth initiatives.

Connecting back to our enterprise value framework, we're investing aligned with our priorities in order to deliver stakeholder value. Investing in better products and services, key client segments, investing in future differentiators, including areas tied to sustainability and strategic enablers that will drive better client experience, better employee experience and engagement, and better efficiency for shareholders. To give you a sense of the scale of this portfolio, approximately CAD 8 billion of capital through 2025 will get invested against the specific initiatives that we've underwritten in this portfolio. It's a little more than half of our balance sheet growth, a little less than half of our expense growth that we have very granular visibility into in these initiatives, and the rest being more business as usual growth in our businesses.

It represents a very material amount of contribution to our growth going forward. Over CAD 3 billion in pre-tax, pre-provision earnings by 2025 out of the portfolio, which is roughly half of our revenue growth and strong profitability, 25% over that period ROE for the portfolio, starting with profitable contribution as of this year, as we've talked about on our quarterly calls, material profitable bottom line contribution from this portfolio already. Okay, what does this mean for revenues? We recognize that the macro environment's uncertain probably more today than it was a couple of weeks ago when we were working on this day. We're confident that our strategy, supported by these investments, is going to allow us to outperform market on revenue going forward through 2025. Overall, we made a number of assumptions around the market. You see them in the appendix.

There's a number of macro factors going into the assumptions. We believe overall that represents a mid-single-digit revenue growth environment for the market. Why? Further support from rising interest rates more today than a week ago. We've got continued balance sheet growth. We've talked a little bit, Laura touched on mortgages. Things will slow in certain areas, but still reasonable balance sheet growth and reasonable demand for fees from services and advice capabilities. While we can't control that environment number, we can control our own outperformance, and we believe our strategy will allow us to outperform that by a few percent. How? 1, better mix. You've heard from us around the key client segments we're focusing on that are high value and grow faster than market. 2, outperformance.

We will gain share, particularly in those key segments, by applying our capabilities, deepening those relationships, productivity improvements in the front line, driving those improvements, and share gains and revenues. Then finally, expansion, whether that's market expansion, and you've heard about some of that in the U.S. particularly, or new products and new revenue streams that we didn't participate in before. You heard from Laura and Chris. Tyl is our re-entry into merchant acquiring. There are a number of examples of those types of things. Assuming the macro environment is what it is, we think this culminates in a high single-digit revenue. Now let me move to the expenses in terms of the what funds this growth from an investment perspective. We will continue to manage expenses the same way, balanced, disciplined, aiming overall for positive operating leverage through the period 2025.

Continued investment in our strategic growth initiatives. Now we've accelerated investments in the past, so I do expect it to slow down from here after 2022 in terms of growth rate, but continued investment and partially funded by continued efficiency improvements about the same annual pace as we did in the past when we look at the current portfolio of initiatives. As we've discussed before, we continue to believe that we can keep our structural expenses when we take those efficiency gains, even with the higher inflationary environment that we face, we can keep our structural expenses to run the bank in low single digits. In addition to that, our investments through 2025 plus performance measurement will add a few % to it, which ends up in a mid-single digit expectation for expense growth.

Most importantly, our rigorous planning process gives us visibility and gives us the ability to manage that up or down by pacing ourselves as the environment changes, giving us the confidence to commit to positive operating leverage. Okay, bringing all that together, our strategy positions us to deliver strong earnings growth through 2025. Revenue outperformance, we spoke about base case expectation, high single digits%, positive operating leverage. In fact, today, I would say we have some room on that without materially affecting our investment portfolio to generate positive operating leverage, but we also have flexibility to pace ourselves. Against that, we expect some headwinds from PCLs. Unusually low PCLs will normalize. We're providing guidance on mid- to high-20s basis points, and Shawn can cover that in a lot more detail. Potentially some tax proposals out there.

You put all of that together, we're confident in high single-digit earnings growth through 2025 and outperformance relative to market. Okay. Now, we've talked a lot about the goal of sustainable outperformance. We believe this requires strong profitability to drive ongoing capital generation to help fund the organic growth, to help fund dividend increases, and to help fund a strong balance sheet. Let me cover our capital objectives first, and I'll pivot to what that means for profitability, and then we'll wrap up. Our capitalization levels currently are around where we plan to operate, and we expect to be over 11% CET1 through 2025. To deploy capital, I covered this before, priority remains organic growth and our dividend, and we are reaffirming our dividend payout ratio of 40%-50%.

We'll also assess M&A, and you heard from Mike, we'll assess it opportunistically in certain areas like wealth in the U.S. However, they have to represent best avenue for value for our stakeholders for us to proceed. Now in terms of ROE trajectory, based on all of these assumptions, we believe that our strategic plan will yield a positive trajectory of ROE over this period of time. I referenced some headwinds in terms of PCL tax changes. There's also some positives you have to normalize for, like the capital impact of Basel IV changes coming in 2023, 2024. You take all of that into account, our normalized ROE in 2021 would have been lower than what it was, but still above our 15% target.

From there, we believe our core business growth with a strong momentum and strong marginal organic returns in all of the businesses will create a positive trajectory for ROE even before the help from interest rates. Interest rates will provide further tailwind, and at this point would allow us to go significantly above 16% and gives us some capacity to reinvest more in the latter parts of that period if we chose to do so, but we will target 16+ in terms of our ROE targets through this period. Okay, now let me wrap up. Reinforcing key messages. We're focused on sustainable outperformance and value creation for all stakeholders. We have a comprehensive, disciplined approach to allocate resources against this that allows us to focus our investments and optimize returns.

Our plan, our track record of strong execution, and our discipline gives us the confidence to raise our earnings target even in an uncertain environment. This is independent of our 2025 targets, which may be impacted by the environment. We believe we've built our bank for sustainable growth, and structurally, our bank, through time, can now deliver higher growth and higher profitability, which is why we're raising our earnings target to 7%-10% from the current 5%-10%. We're raising our ROE target from the current 15%-16%+. We're maintaining our commitment, 40%-50% dividend payout ratio, and plan to keep capital CET1 over 11%. With that, thank you for listening to us this morning, and we'll open up to welcome your questions for another session.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Merci. Have a seat.

[Foreign Language]Merci pour votre patience.

Speaker 24

Thank you very much for your patience.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

I'm gonna ask, Hratch, Kap, and Jon to join me on stage. Again, any member of our leadership team is available for any questions you may have. Mr. Dechaine.

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

A couple questions for Hratch . Your expense trajectory there where you know structural low single digits with the investments brings you to the mid single digits. In the current climate, and you also suggested that you could toggle that investment if need be. In the current climate, how much are you thinking about you know toggling the investments to you know drive expense growth lower over the next year or so? Because we've you know have a few quarters behind us where expense growth was relatively high.

Hratch Panossian
Senior EVP and CFO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Yeah, certainly. Thank you for the question, Gabriel. It is top of mind. We're talking about that, we're thinking about that at all times. You know, I'll say in the current climate, as we've been constructing this plan, and we are in our planning season, we've been going through our portfolio of initiatives and our expense forecasts in real time as the environment's shifting around us. A number of things look different in the last couple of weeks than they did before, and we talked about this with some of our investors at the break. There are puts and takes. Interest rates are in a better place. Based on what we have in here on interest rates, Canada is 50-odd better today on the forwards, US 75. Canada 75, US 50, and that benefits us, right?

Our sensitivity to interest rates is CAD 400-odd million, CAD 430 million per 100 basis points in the next 12 months. That helps. That also could come with some balance sheet moderation, right? We've taken all of those things into account. Net-net, as I said on the slide on 2025, at this point, if I look at the full per-period through 2025 and our assumptions updated for what's going on now, we feel confident that we still have a path to high single-digit revenue growth, and therefore that expense of mid-single-digit is the right place. We are being prudent. We're not spending a dollar where we don't need to. We're investing, and we believe in returns and the strategic value. At this point, we're staying the course.

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. A similar question, but on the capital. You're in and around your management target, 11.5%. You got the rising rates, which could actually work against capital generation. Loan growth in low RWA density categories like mortgage is slowing, but you're still getting good growth in commercial and higher RWA density stuff. Do you expect to be accreting capital over the next year? Or do you expect the bank to move closer to that minimum level of 11%?

Hratch Panossian
Senior EVP and CFO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Yeah, certainly. As I said, in my remarks, Gabriel, our plan is to stay right around where we are. I would expect a relatively stable CET1 from here. Now, a number of things can move things, right? There could be credit migrations, there could be macro factors that hit the AFS books and OCI. But generally, we've done a number of different scenarios, there is puts and takes again, but I think we can stay relatively stable while maximizing deployment against the best return opportunities.

Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Thank you.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

We have a question here, Sohrab.

Sohrab Movahedi
Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thank you. Sohrab Movahedi, BMO Capital Markets. Victor, maybe first question for you. Lots of good information here. Lots of good targets. You talked about ESG, I think, in Hratch's. I'll call it spiral, communities and planet are highlighted. I think it's top of mind for everyone. What would be three metrics you would want us to track around CIBC's focus on this over the next two or three years?

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

ESG is clearly topical for investors. I'm gonna ask Kikelomo Lawal, who's our Chief Legal Officer and also responsible for our ESG strategy, leading the team horizontally. We're very committed on many fronts. I'm gonna get her an opportunity here to talk about her strategy, and we can talk about the metrics as well. Thank you.

Kikelomo Lawal
EVP and CLO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Thanks very much for the question, and hello, everyone. Let me just take a couple minutes, a couple seconds to talk about myself. I am a new recruit to CIBC, but I'm not a rookie. I've got 27 years of practice in the law and in infrastructure groups and strategy groups. To answer your question, I think of things in terms of our priorities, and we have three. I would say they are, number one, making sure that we are focused on aligning the ESG strategy with our purpose. Number two, ensuring that we are staying true and delivering on our commitments.

Number three, making sure that our governance structure is robust and it allows us amongst ourselves to ensure that we are responsive, to ensure that we are accountable, and that we are accountable as well to those who are observing and evaluating our actions. If I take a second to drill down on all of those, the first way that we ensure that it remains top of mind for CIBC, and you heard Victor talk about ESG being in our DNA, is because we tie it to compensation. CIBC is the first Canadian bank to ensure that ESG has a specific weighting in terms of incentive compensation. CIBC is also the only bank that does that for purposes of not just executives, but a large majority.

In terms of commitments, you heard Victor talk about our commitments on an S front. You heard also commentary on the G front. You also heard commentary on the S front, but just let me highlight for a second what we're doing with respect to climate. You heard today about our commitment to 2050 net zero. You heard today as well about our commitments on an interim target basis for our oil and gas portfolio. You also heard today about our CAD 300 billion commitment in terms of sustainable finance. All of these things go to the work that has gone into coming up with these commitments and ensuring that we're gonna deliver on them.

Lastly, in terms of our governance, I'll just say that it starts with oversight at the board, and it continues on down to accountability right down to the folks who are having day-to-day accountability and responsibility for ESG matters. You spoke of metrics. The metrics, for sure, you will see us reporting on those in our Sustainability Report. I'd also invite you to take a look at what CIBC is doing in terms of engagement with our stakeholders, engagement with all of you folks from an investor perspective. As well, look for thought leadership. These are changing times, as you rightly pointed out. These are momentous times.

Look for CIBC to weigh in when it comes to things like public policy as it's being developed, when it comes to things like standards that are being established.

Speaker 23

Thanks, Kikelomo Lawal. That's great. Thanks, Sohrab Movahedi, for your question. You know, when I look at the numbers at the end of the year, at the end of five years, at the end of 10 years, I look to see how well are we doing from an incentive comp standpoint, and how is that tied to the targets that we're delivering along all those fronts? The weighting that we have, and are we meeting that in its fullest sense? You double-click on that, we've made commitments on scope one and two reductions as a bank by 2030. We're gonna be publishing that on an annual basis. We've made commitments on how we're gonna invest in the community. We publish that on an annual basis. We sign up for the 1% Imagine Canada commitment of contribution of our profits.

These are the metrics that we look at. The other metric that we look at that people don't necessarily associate with ESG is how diverse, how low is our voluntary turnover, how talented is our team? That's an important factor in terms of how we perform, because ESG, as Kikelomo Lawal said, is not kinda something we do here. It's part of what we've always done, and it's core to our strategy. Delivered right, it'll deliver the top-tier returns that Hratch Panossian talked about.

Sohrab Movahedi
Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

If I can sneak in a second one.

Speaker 23

Sure you can.

Sohrab Movahedi
Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Victor, maybe just for Hratch or maybe for the broader team. Obviously, this investor day has been many months, maybe years in the making. The world has changed around us. You've got some targets up there. What are the risks to these targets? Maybe the largest risks to these targets you see over the next 12- 18 months.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Hratch, you wanna start?

Hratch Panossian
Senior EVP and CFO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Sure. Happy to start. Sohrab, it's the factors we covered. We feel very confident in how we're managing the bank and visibility in terms of the actions we're taking and the results we'll get, investments, returns against those investments, and our ability to perform well relative to the market. The risks, I would say, are related to the market, and that's the thing that we can't control other than to react to it. What happens to economic growth? What happens to interest rates? What happens to the markets and how that affects the wealth platform in terms of assets? What happens to capital markets, volumes, and how it affects Harry's business? All of those factors will affect market. We're focused on two things.

Regardless of that environment, we think our plans, because they are engineered, right, to deliver share gains, to deliver deepening franchising of relationships, to uncover value across the business segments, to innovate in new areas. We believe we will outperform market. In terms of the absolute numbers that ends up being, certainly, there is volatility from all of the factors that can affect revenue and all of the factors that can affect the PCL line. Shawn could speak to that more. That said, we're focusing on being able to adjust. Not only do we believe in our plans and the individual initiatives, again, we have visibility at a very granular level to approximately half of our expense growth. There is another few % of our expense growth that is inherently variable and performance linked.

There's almost a piece of it that takes care of itself if the macro environment is less robust, then there's a very large piece of it where we will stay the course. We think these are all good things to do. We have the ability, because we have the granularity of the roadmaps and the plans and the numbers to really pace ourselves and mix and match, to commit to positive and operating leverage, even as some of those risks materialize, and to commit to strong earnings growth and outperformance.

Speaker 23

Thank you, Sohrab. Yes, we have a question, panel number one, and we have another question` here from Ebrahim.

Meny Grauman
Analyst, Scotiabank

Meny Grauman again from Scotiabank. Mike, you referenced potential tuck-in wealth acquisition in the US. I'm just wondering, what's the focus for that? Would it be geographic expansion, new capabilities? Any detail in terms of what you would be looking for in a tuck-in?

Mike Capatides
Senior EVP and Group Head, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

There's a couple factors to that, right? First is a price that makes sense in today's market. As you know, Hratch and Victor talked about, we're very careful with our stakeholders' capital. After that, you know, focusing on the growth markets in the United States, I think is key across all of our businesses. You know, there's some obvious examples like Florida and Texas and California. Having said all that, you know, we are across the United States in our wealth franchise and adding additional capabilities or additional tuck-in capabilities to our existing offices, frankly, is also high on our list.

You know, a price that makes sense, a culture that meshes with our culture, and we're a bit different than, you know, many other franchises. Again, we have that focus on the high net worth and the ultra high net worth. We believe over the coming, you know, months and years, there will be plenty of opportunities for us to look at, and then if the culture fits, execute on those.

Meny Grauman
Analyst, Scotiabank

Just to follow up, just in terms of the size of the U.S. business, if you include the commercial wealth and then the portion from Cap Markets, you have a slide showing that it's about 20-21% now. In 2025, do you expect it to be materially different? I don't know if there's a specific chart in the deck. I didn't see it, but how big can the U.S. be by 2025? More aspirationally, where is that line that you're comfortable with in terms of how big can the U.S. be before you think it's too big?

Mike Capatides
Senior EVP and Group Head, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Well, we're not too big. We've kind of. It's a good question. We've kind of stated that we'd like to get to 25% as a kind of a way station, and we think we can do that growing organically. Remember, 25% of our overall earnings as the rest of the bank grows. That's, you know, that's a bold kind of target, but it's, I think, achievable based on our current growth profile and our strategic investment plan. It's achievable by 2025, somewhere around there.

Meny Grauman
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thank you.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

We had a question here from Ebrahim.

Ebrahim Poonawala
Analyst, Bank of America

Thanks. I guess just a question around one, Hratch. You talked about like focus on relative outperformance as you think about your targets. Over the last few years, expense growth was elevated. Maybe catch up is the wrong word, but you're investing across the franchise. One, are you saying that you're done with that, and from here on, you're gonna be peer-like or better than peer as we think about expense growth and what that means for operating leverage? Then second, and I'm stealing Richard's question, so I'm giving you credit for it. Just talk to us, one, you have a macroeconomic assumption where inflation comes down. How bad is stagflation for your business when we think about a bank credit quality-wise, margin-wise, growth-wise, and what...

How big of a risk is that if we remain in a period, stagflationary period for a couple of years, and what that does to the ROE?

Hratch Panossian
Senior EVP and CFO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Okay. Happy to start with that. Then, maybe in terms of credit on the stagflation, maybe Shawn can comment as well. On the expenses, look, Ibrahim. Thank you, Richard, for the question. It's. We don't have visibility into what others will do. We have visibility to what they've been doing. I won't comment on it. We know what we're doing is the right thing for our bank to generate value. You know, let me say a few things. I mentioned expense investment slowing down or contribution to expense growth from investment slowing down. We accelerate the level of investment. You saw on our expense slide, we had 6% of our expense stack being investments.

We're now, if you looked at it this year, we're gonna be closer to 10% because we've increased the pace of that. You can maintain that higher level of investment on ongoing basis with less pressure on expense growth now that you're at that level. We do anticipate that to slow down a little bit. It doesn't mean we're slowing down the level of investment. We believe, again, we manage the operating leverage. We have the ability to pace that. We believe we can deliver the positive operating leverage. We don't manage to having our expense level at a certain level relative to the peers. We understand that when the revenue environment changes, if you don't manage the expense, then operating leverage and earnings suffer. That's why we manage to those things, but not necessarily relative to the others.

Where our outperformance will come is we believe with the revenue side top line outperformance from the share gains, expansion, et cetera, we talked about, plus positive operating leverage, those will be enough to create outperformance on the bottom line. Now, in terms of the stagflationary environment, look, I think again, there is puts and takes. Clearly, that's not a positive scenario. If you have the environment around inflation, you've got interest rates at a certain level, those could help. You could have potentially impacts. Inflation for us is on the expense side, it's a negative. If that comes with higher interest rates in trying to tamper that's a positive. The net of inflation and interest rates together, that's generally for us, not a negative because we have more sensitivity on the upside.

The credit is an issue that we do look at, and then the balance sheet growth or growth in the economy and what that does to balance sheet growth is another that we look at. Certainly you could see the revenue be pressured from slower growth. We would manage expenses in that environment. I think on the credit side, we would anticipate that would have an impact, but maybe Shawn can jump in.

Shawn Beber
CRO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Thanks. Really quickly, as Rex said, it's gonna be path dependent. A short bout of stagflation, you know, isn't a good thing. It's gonna be path dependent in terms of how does that bleed into a more sustained high interest rate environment? How does that impact debt service coverage ratios? The interest rate environment will also impact some of our FLI. Certainly for a longer period of stagflation, if it starts bleeding into GDP expectations, that can have an effect. You could see some credit deterioration in that if it's something more than a short-lived phenomena, but it's gonna be dependent on a number of different variables and how they play out.

Ebrahim Poonawala
Analyst, Bank of America

In that world, if I can just follow up, would you be more worried about the consumer, given where the consumer is from a leverage standpoint? Or some of Jon's customers in terms of commercial clients, small business clients might feel greater pressure in managing through that kind of a backdrop.

Shawn Beber
CRO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Yeah, again, it's gonna depend on how it materializes. You often see that play through first in the consumer portfolios before you see it play through in a commercial sense. Remember, relative to where our clients were pre-pandemic, sitting here today and with the uncertainty coming, our clients are generally in better financial condition than they were pre-pandemic. Particularly on the consumer side, where, you know, between the government programs, the level of lower spending that's occurred and prudent behavior, paying down higher cost debt, et cetera. Clients are in a good spot sitting here today to address what's coming, and then we'll have to see how that ultimately plays out, how long it may last.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Ebrahim, stagflation is bad for everyone, every industry, every government. There's two or three businesses I could think of that sit on the periphery of society that might benefit from something like that. Let's hope it doesn't happen. My own belief is that central banks are weighing in. They're trying to course correct after a series of one-time events that none of us have lived through. We're gonna go into an environment where inflation may not be 2%. It may be at a slightly elevated level, and the price of money will be repriced going forward, which I think is a good thing because it's been too low for too long, and it's created some unintended consequences in the global economy. It's not a good outcome for anybody. The most important thing is we can manage through these cycles as a bank.

We're confident in our strategy. We're confident in our balance sheet. We're confident in our client relationships, our ability to work together as a team and work together through whatever storm may come. The sun will ultimately shine. That we all know. Well, we gotta take two more questions, and then we're gonna wrap. Three more questions, okay? I feel like I'm an auctioneer. We have. There was a paddle here. Darko, there's a paddle there with Mario, and there's a paddle with Paul, and then we're gonna end off right there, the three of you. Thank you.

Darko, yeah, we'll go with you first.

Speaker 20

Okay, thank you. I wanted to go back to Laura, if she's here and willing to answer the following question, that would be great. One of the things I was hoping to learn today was, you know, how your business... I mean, I can see your revenue target. One of the things that we've witnessed over at CIBC for the past 5, 6 years has sort of been an up and down approach to the mortgage market. It was weak at one point, very strong. Where I sit today is I wanted to learn, you know, if mortgages does slow, and it shows here that it's 24% of your revenues, how do you make it up? How do you get that 10% revenue growth if mortgages slow to the single digit?

What's the big driver? Is it cards and other, which seems to be very big? Is it deposits? Can you just maybe unpack how your revenue growth looks going forward if your mortgage growth slows significantly?

Laura Dottori-Attanasio
Group Head of Canadian Personal and Business Banking, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

I was hoping I was done, not gonna lie. We are working really hard on delivering sustainable results. All of the spend, all of the focus on client experience, everything is such that we can deliver not just market-leading performance, but we wanna do it in a sustainable way so that you don't see some of what you've seen in the past. We're working very hard on that. You're right that we do expect our mortgage growth to slow, and it'll be less of a growth driver for us. Where we expect to see the largest part of our revenue growth over the next year or two is the same place we saw it this year, in banking accounts, our everyday banking accounts.

I mentioned that, we were up, I said 30, but it's actually 40% higher over the last three years. It usually takes, call it 18 months to two years that you see from the time you get a unit, you open an account to start to see some of that revenue gain. With all of the growth we're seeing in our cards and in our deposit accounts or everyday banking, that's where we expect to see more of the growth. We also expect to see a lot more coming in business banking and in funds managed with some of the work we have. We expect less of the growth to actually come from the mortgage book.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

If you kind of went through, you know, just going through Laura Dottori-Attanasio's presentation again, right? The affluent strategy is focused on three specific things in the short to medium term. Going deeper with our clients on financial planning, which generates funds managed growth on both sides of the balance sheet. That we know. We've been through it. We've got 600,000 households. We've been through a third. There's another two-thirds to go. There's 190,000 core clients that are being served by a new cadre of associate financial advisors, many of whom had a mortgage and one other product. Those advisors are looking to deepen and franchise those relationships. The third would be the Costco franchise, where we have a vast majority of affluent clients that we plan on building the business banking franchise and the affluent franchise through.

That gives us great confidence that there's so much more we can do with our clients as we deepen those relationships going forward, even if the other categories slow down. Paul, Mario.

Speaker 21

Yeah, I'll get us started now. Hratch-

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

You're gonna get us started now, are you?

Speaker 21

Oh, okay. I'll hand it over to Paul afterward then. Hratch, I appreciate everything you said about being able to manage expenses if the revenue environment doesn't work. What I'm thinking a lot about is how capital will behave. Now, I appreciate that we just went through the pandemic, and we probably socialized a lot of losses, and there was a lot of government support. If we don't have that kind of environment where the government steps in and saves the day, does the capital ratio behave a little more volatile? Is there potential to sink below 11%?

Hratch Panossian
Senior EVP and CFO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Yeah, thank you. Thank you for the question, Mario. Look, I think we manage the capital as we do everything else prudently, and we're keeping different scenarios in mind, and how we would react to them. You know, given from the scenario we're in now, there's a number of things that impact capital. Obviously, number one is generation. We continue to have strong generation. We've talked about a 16% target. That allows you to grow your RWAs at a pace of sort of 13%-14% after paying, let's assume, a 45% dividend. If there's organic growth and we deploy that's the best lever. We have better results and better returns. If you are in the environment that credit is more challenged, you're right. You have credit migration.

Credit migration impacts RWAs, but in that environment you have less RWA growth. We've had strong pace of organic growth. We're continuing to anticipate robust RWA growth through organic deployment. There are those two things that go against each other. If we see some credit migration in the scenarios that we run, we would have less consumption of capital. Now, obviously, for earnings, that means short-term less revenue related to those things. In terms of ROE of the business as well, outside of the losses, the core profitability of the business continues to stay robust if we don't deploy that capital. In terms of, I think other scenarios and could you get below 11% in the scenarios we're running, Mario, we've got ample room, and we think we can manage downturns. We run a number of stress tests. We also run stagflation.

That's one of the scenarios Shawn's teams runs. We feel good about our ability to manage through and stay above any regulatory requirements, as different stresses evolve. It's really gonna depend on the stress, and we'll manage through that period and reallocate that capital deployment as required.

Speaker 21

Yeah, let me drill down just a little bit.

Hratch Panossian
Senior EVP and CFO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Sure.

Speaker 21

We often hear the phrase, RWA inflation and increases in risk density. Do you believe that the models are sufficiently gradual in nature and through the cycle that a spike in credit losses would not have a meaningful impact on risk density? Are these truly through the cycle calculations?

Hratch Panossian
Senior EVP and CFO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Yeah. I think there's two things there when you get to the models, Mario, right? We saw that playing out through, frankly, the pandemic. I think there's actually somewhat they're connected but can be somewhat disconnected timing-wise in terms of the losses and the models. Because remember, your RWA models, depending on if you're talking about the retail ones or the wholesale ones, will largely depend on the ratings and the credit quality and the PDs of losses and so forth on the portfolio. If the expectation of the credit quality changes, which again, we saw this in the pandemic, on the wholesale side, it'll happen as you look at credits and you re-rate them, and we tried to do that very quickly as we were going through the pandemic.

As ratings of clients change, regardless of the losses, you will see the RWAs on that front, right? If ratings don't change, and those two things do end up being correlated, but it's more the ratings rather than the actual losses. On the retail side, again, it depends on all the scoring and so forth, and the RWA can move. It's through the cycle averages that are used for the models, but it's depending on the ratings at that point in time. As the ratings, that's where the migration comes in, right? As the ratings move, you would see that coming through.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Mario, can I just comment on that? 'Cause I think two things are gonna serve us very well if the environment gets to be, you know, rocky, the economic environment. One is how we've engineered and built our bank over the last half decade and more. One is deeper client relationships where we know the clients from the personal banking perspective, where the relationships are deep, to our credit card portfolio that I would say is we haven't given enough kind of focus, but it's an affluent portfolio. Aventura, Aeroplan, Costco, Dividend, that's the core of our portfolio. Got a very affluent client base. The business banking clients we've chosen to bank in commercial banking, and the way we've engineered our capital markets business put us in a very, very different position than we would have been a decade ago.

CIBC is much better positioned because of how we've built our bank. The second thing I'd say is just more of a comment on the Canadian banking system. Whether or not the government comes in in terms of supports, there's a lot of buffer on capital, and they're supposed to be countercyclical. Our regulator knows that, and they've always acted prudentially in a commonsensical way, so we feel good about that. Everything out there will affect everybody. I'm confident that the bank that we've built today, that we have today, is a much better, more durable, more client-focused bank that bodes well from a credit quality perspective as well. Paul.

Speaker 22

All right, thanks. Thanks for making the time. Question for Jon and Mike. Earlier this morning, we talked about the importance of cross-border relationships for the capital markets and the corporate build-out, lending build-out there. We also know one of your key competitors in the commercial space talks a lot about cross-border opportunity. You probably know which competitor I'm talking about. I'd like to hear from both of you in terms of how closely you're working together and thinking about these cross-border client relationships on the commercial side for both your businesses.

Jon Hountalas
Senior EVP and Group Head, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

I'll go first, then I'll flip it to Mike. It's important. Doing the original deal with The PrivateBank was a must for us. We were fighting a battle with one arm tied behind our back. Most Canadian mid-market companies today have some sort of presence in the US. Mike and I have done a great job of the relationships in Canada, we open the bank accounts in the US, we have a cross-border desk, we talk about it all the time. It's a small relationship in the US. It gets the coverage of a big relationship because of how important it is to Canada. We talk often. We've got goals. It's important. It's probably more important north-south than it is south-north. It's particularly important to our innovation bank.

Like, we could not do that business without Mike's infrastructure, right? A lot of those clients are in the U.S. The deposits are taken in the U.S. We're tied at the hip on this stuff.

Mike Capatides
Senior EVP and Group Head, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

I'll just, you know, re-emphasize that, for better or for worse, I talk to him every day. You know, our cross-border desk is very active. You know, something that I think, again, distinguishes us from some of our competitors is the connectivity of all our teams. It's not just Jon and I, it's our group heads and C&I and real estate and wealth. You know, issues, if they pop up, or opportunities as they pop up, are literally focused on same day. I think our ability to act quickly and to act cohesively, you know, is a real advantage for us. It's been mostly north-south. Had a bit south-north, but, you know, we just react quickly.

We react in a coordinated fashion, and it's important to us and it's important to our bank.

Victor Dodig
President and CEO, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce

Okay. You've been very generous with your time. I'm just gonna wrap up in two minutes here. We're gonna have lunch right after this. At the very beginning of today, I wanted to make sure that you came out of here as advocates, as more engaged, and having even a higher degree of conviction as investors in our bank. I hope that today, through these presentations, the connectivity between them, the transparency, the good confidence that we've demonstrated, humble, well-grounded confidence, gives you that conviction. The conviction that we're a bank on the rise. We've transformed CIBC, and we will continue to transform CIBC with a deep focus on how technology reshapes banking, but also how relationships remain core to what we do.

The second thing I hope you take away is that we have a distinct focus on attractive client segments across our businesses that are higher touch and higher growth, that well-executed, with a well-executed plan, will deliver that growth through our P&L and will deliver even more important relationships to our bank. The third thing is that we have some growth differentiators, whether that's direct financial services, whether that's the energy transition, whether that's innovation banking, whether that's our investments in business banking, are all going to make a difference to the growth profile of our bank. I recognize, like all of you, that we're in a volatile economic environment. What you should recognize is that you have a responsible leadership team here with a portfolio of investments that we can fine-tune based on how that economic environment evolves. If it gets difficult, we will pace it.

If it turns around, and there's lots of reasons to believe that over time it'll turn around, we will accelerate our investments. We will always be mindful around our returns, our top-tier returns that we're trying to deliver for our shareholders day in and day out. Finally, I'd like to thank our team, those here, some of those around the table, who helped bring this day together. Like the rest of the world, we're all restarting, and with it comes lots of friction and sand in the gears. Our team worked day and night, through the pandemic and getting this building up and going over the last several months to pull together this Investor Day, and I wanted to give them a big round of applause for everything they do. Please, please don't run.

Enjoy some lunch out there, engage with us, and I know that the engagement will continue far beyond this Investor Day. Thank you.

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