CT Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX:CRT.UN)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2018

May 8, 2018

Operator

All participants, please stand by. Your conference is ready to begin. Good afternoon. My name is Veta, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to CT REIT's first quarter earnings results conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during that time, simply press star then 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press the pound key. The speakers on the call today are Ken Silver, Chief Executive Officer of CT REIT, Louis Forbes, Chief Financial Officer of CT REIT, and Kevin Salsberg, Senior Vice President of CT REIT. Today's discussion may include forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on management assumptions and beliefs.

These forward-looking statements are subject to uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. Please see CT REIT's public filings for a discussion of these risk factors, which are included in the 2017 MD&A and AIF, which can be found on CT REIT's website and on SEDAR. I would now like to turn the meeting over to Mr. Ken Silver, Chief Executive Officer of CT REIT. Ken?

Ken Silver
CEO, CT REIT

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, everyone. We're very pleased to welcome you to CT REIT's first quarter 2018 investor conference call and to share with you the results of another strong quarter. We continue to execute on the strategies that complement the core portfolio of Canadian Tire store properties, delivering attractive and reliable results quarter in and quarter out. The highlights of the quarter include the completion of the acquisition of a portfolio of properties from RioCan that we announced late last year, as well as a new round of investments related to Canadian Tire that will be completed this year and next. Our relationship with Canadian Tire and our ability to work with the Canadian Tire team as they plan their store networks provides not just a source of growth, but great visibility and predictability to that growth.

The transition from a Sears Canada tenancy to a CTC tenancy in our major distribution center property in Calgary is underway and is reflected in our reported results. In acquiring the Sears property in 2016, we understood the possibility of getting the building back and knew that if we did, we would go through a transition period, that period now being this year. We are delighted to have this asset and the surrounding industrial properties in our portfolio. Events have unfolded as we had hoped. Another highlight of the quarter was the CAD 200 million unsecured debt offering we completed in January. In keeping with our conservative financial management, we turned out our existing shorter-term floating rate debt for a fixed-rate offering with a term of nearly 10 years. The offering was extremely well-received, significantly oversubscribed. We are very pleased with the coupon achieved.

We continue to maintain a weighted average term on our debt of 10 years, nearly double the average of our peer group, and reflective of our conservative approach to managing our risk profile. Last but not least, beginning with our January distribution, we implemented a 4% increase, which now equates to a distribution of CAD 0.728 on an annual basis. At this point, I will now turn the call over to Kevin Salsberg, our Senior Vice President of Real Estate, to discuss our leasing investment and development activities. Louis Forbes, our Chief Financial Officer, will then briefly review the financial aspects of the quarter, I'll wrap things up before turning the call over for questions. Kevin?

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

Thanks, Ken, and good afternoon. We are pleased to announce four new investments this quarter for an aggregate total investment of CAD 35 million. These new projects are comprised of two vendons, one intensification, and one new development where we will be building a 65,000 sq ft Canadian Tire store on a piece of land that we acquired from a third party located in Grand Falls-Windsor, Newfoundland. These investments, when completed, will result in an incremental 191,000 sq ft of gross leasable area being added to our portfolio and are expected to earn an average going-in cap rate of 6.68%. As Ken mentioned, we also completed the acquisition of the two remaining RioCan properties, which are located in Collingwood and St. Catharines, Ontario. Both are Canadian Tire-anchored, and these investments have increased our GLA by an additional 351,000 sq ft.

As previously disclosed, the investment made by the REIT in these two assets was approximately CAD 66 million. In the first quarter, we also completed the redevelopment of an existing Canadian Tire Gas+ in La Sarre, Quebec. As outlined in our earnings release, CT REIT also made a change to the development plan and timing for the Sherwood Park North property in Alberta. The initial plan was to build a 93,000 sq ft Canadian Tire and a freestanding 20,000 sq ft Mark's store. The revised plan for this site is to now develop a new 120,000 sq ft Canadian Tire store only, with construction expected to be completed in Q4 2019. At the end of the first quarter, CT REIT had 13 properties under development, representing a total committed gross leasable area of 747,500 sq ft and a total committed investment of CAD 150.8 million upon completion.

As at March 31st, 2018, on a committed basis, our portfolio is 98.7% occupied. Canadian Tire has taken occupancy of the former Sears distribution center in Calgary, and the leasing efforts for the smaller property at 11 Dufferin Place Southeast that CTC formerly occupied are underway. We're pleased with the initial response from the leasing market and continue to assess options for this property as well as the adjacent lands that we acquired at the end of last year. Beyond what was completed during and subsequent to Q1, we continue to make progress as expected on the balance of our development projects as detailed in our latest MD&A. With that, I will turn it over to Louis for a review of our financial results.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Thanks, Kevin. In Q1 2018, we reported FFO per unit of CAD 0.277 as compared to CAD 0.279 per unit in Q1 of 2017, a decrease of 0.7%. AFFO per unit was CAD 0.233 as compared to CAD 0.227 in the comparable period, representing a 2.6% growth rate. Net operating income was CAD 84.4 million, increasing 6.6% over the CAD 79.2 million of NOI reported for Q1 2017. This growth was primarily driven by acquisitions, the completion of income-producing properties which were under development in the prior year, and contractual annual rent escalations. The same-store growth of 1.5% and same-property growth of 1.7% were driven by average annual rent escalations of 1.5% contained in the Canadian Tire store and CTC distribution center leases, which are generally effective January 1st, the recovery of capital expenditures, and the related interest earned. There were two unusual components of same-store growth this quarter.

Our reported results reflect the loss of rent effective mid-January from the vacancy at the former Sears DC at 25 Dufferin Place, Calgary. This event hurt cash NOI in Q1 of 2018 by approximately CAD 1.4 million. The other adjustment relates to prior period rent charges at two of our properties and amounts to approximately CAD 700,000. This partially offsets the impact of Sears' departure. If we were to adjust the reported same-store NOI growth for these two components, same-store NOI growth would have been 2.3%. Of less importance, but to offer a full explanation, the REIT has provided approximately CAD 450,000 in Q1 for the write-off of previously recorded straight-line rent from Sears. This provision affects revenue, net income, and FFO, but has had no impact on reported AFFO or NOI metrics as their calculation excludes straight-line rent.

While we are talking about Sears, there are a couple of further points we would like to make. Firstly, we expect NOI in the second quarter of this year will be negatively impacted by another approximately CAD 750,000 for the transition from Sears to CTC. Thereafter, we expect a smaller drag on our results going forward until such time as we lease up the vacant space at 11 Dufferin Place Southeast. G&A expenses as a percentage of property revenue improved to 2.8%, 60 basis points lower versus Q1 2017, which was at 3.4%. G&A expenses decreased 14.4% versus Q1 2017, primarily due to the impact of fair value adjustments on personnel and board compensation expenses. Interest expense increased by CAD 2 million, or 8.3%, compared to Q1 of the prior year. This was principally the result of increased borrowings, also because of greater use in 2018 of more expensive, longer-term debt.

In February, CT REIT issued CAD 200 million in debentures having an original term of 9.8 years and a fixed rate coupon of 3.87%. This had the effect of replacing short-term inexpensive debt with longer-term fixed rate debt. While this is impacting our earnings growth in the short term, the issuance ultimately leads to improved liquidity and a stronger balance sheet in the long term. This most recent issuance illustrates a couple points about our debt strategy. The chosen term, 9.8 years, is consistent with our sector leading weighted average term to maturity of 10 years. The coupon for the chosen term was, as typical, more expensive than a shorter term debenture would have been, less so than some other occasions in the market, influencing our decision to go for the longer tenor.

Additionally, the longer term chosen provides flexibility for the REIT with respect to future borrowings and allows us to consider a broader range of potential terms in response to market conditions at that future time. The REIT recorded a fair value adjustment of CAD 13.3 million for the first quarter of 2018. Valuation metrics used were virtually unchanged from those used in our December 2017 reporting. With respect to the balance sheet, we continue to maintain a strong financial position. At March 31st, the REIT's indebtedness ratio remained at 46.7%, unchanged from last quarter. We also have approximately CAD 265 million available on our credit facility, as well as over CAD 12 million of cash, which puts our balance sheet in a strong and liquid position. Debt, as compared to earnings before interest, taxes, and fair value adjustments, was 7.58 times, slightly lower than the 7.62 reported in Q4.

As at March 31st, 332 of the REIT's assets were not encumbered, representing approximately CAD 5.4 billion, or 98% of our assets. As at March 31st, only 2.7% of the REIT's debt bears interest at floating rates, reflecting the recent fixed rate debt issuance. In terms of interest coverage, the ratio was at 3.31 times in the first quarter, which was slightly lower compared to the prior year value of 3.43. The decrease, which we do not view as material, is mostly the result of interest in financing charges increasing at a rate larger than that of income before interest, taxes, and fair value adjustments. Our AFFO payout ratio this quarter was 78%, slightly higher than the 77% ratio in Q1 of 2017. A change in ratio reflects a more moderated growth in our AFFO per unit.

Canadian Tire represents 92.6% of our annualized base minimum rent on a committed basis. They occupy 94.5% of CT REIT's GLA. All of these metrics are largely unchanged from a year ago. I would also like to take a minute to speak to the trend in our book value per unit. At March 31st, 2018, the book value per unit was CAD 13.54, representing 1.1% growth over the book value of CAD 13.39, reported at the end of the fourth quarter 2017. The following are contributing factors to this increase. A modestly higher value for the income-producing properties due to ongoing growth in cash flow, resulting from the annual rent increases and retained adjusted funds from operations. On a trailing basis, combining distributions and book value per unit growth, CT REIT has, since IPO, consistently delivered a total annual return in excess of 10%.

With that, I'll turn it back to Ken.

Ken Silver
CEO, CT REIT

Thanks, Louis. As I said at the opening, we're very pleased with the quarter. The only exception to that would be our unit price. On our last conference call, I pointed out that we were trading at a discount to NAV for the first time in our history. This condition is not yet reversed. Given recent M&A activity in the REIT sector, we believe that our relative positioning has only gotten stronger. That a reliable growth, conservative balance sheet, investment-grade credit rating, and potential for distribution growth provide, today more than ever, a unique set of positive attributes for our investors. We're confident in our ability to deliver and look forward to continuing to add to our track record. Now, operator, I'll turn the call back to you for any questions from our listeners.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, please press star then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. We ask that you please pick up the handset or step close to your speakerphone system when asking your question to provide maximum audio clarity. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. The first question is from Sam Damiani of TD Securities. Please proceed.

Sam Damiani
Analyst, TD Securities

Thank you. Good afternoon.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Good afternoon.

Sam Damiani
Analyst, TD Securities

First off, on the Dufferin Street. Can you provide a little bit of color on what you're sort of seeing, or maybe Kevin did, but I wonder if you could provide a little more sort of guidance as to when we should expect that backfill to be leased up and the 5500 Dufferin Boulevard property. Has that been leased?

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

I'll start with the 5500. Sorry, Sam. It's Kevin. The 5500 Dufferin Boulevard property was leased effective the date we basically got the building back. The transportation company that occupied it stepped up and actually recently exercised an option to take additional land. That one was taken care of right away. With respect to 11 Dufferin, Canadian Tire remains in the building until mid-August. We've really just started our leasing efforts. So far, the interest has been good. While I can't say exactly when the space will be occupied, we are positive about the prospects. We've noted there's not a lot of large format industrial vacancies in Calgary right now, which bodes well for our asset. We're seeing vacancy rates generally in Calgary industrial declining. They're down about 1.5% from Q1 of 2017. Hopefully all that translates into a positive outcome for our vacancy.

Sam Damiani
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. Just to follow up there, do you have a pending net vacancy to occur in August then when, I guess, CTC pulls out of the 11 Dufferin asset?

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

Correct. We're reporting occupancy on a committed basis.

Sam Damiani
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay.

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

It's reflected in the numbers currently.

Sam Damiani
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay.

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

Yes, we will have an actual vacancy once they leave.

Sam Damiani
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. Maybe over to Louis, you mentioned there would be a net negative, or at least a negative adjustment to Q2 NOI of CAD 750,000.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Yes.

Sam Damiani
Analyst, TD Securities

I guess there would be a further negative adjustment when CTC leaves the other Dufferin Place property.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Well, yes and no. Let me be clear. You said further negative. CTC started paying rent at the beginning of May for the larger Sears DC space that they occupied.

Sam Damiani
Analyst, TD Securities

Right.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

At that time, their responsibility for base rent at 11 Dufferin fell away. They're responsible for the operating expenses in both buildings until August. Then at the beginning of August, their responsibilities for the operating expenses and their possession of 11 Dufferin cease at that time. When I mentioned CAD 750 as the Q2 hit, that included the large Sears space as vacant, nobody paying rent for the month of April.

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

Right.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Then the loss of the base rent on the smaller building, 11 Dufferin, for May and June. That's all together in the CAD 750. I think the run rate loss at 11 Dufferin, on a monthly basis, will be about CAD 120,000, CAD 130,000 a month once it's vacant.

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

Okay. All right. That's clear.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

A lot of detail, but

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

We got it.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Yeah.

Sam Damiani
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. I'll turn it back for now. Thank you.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Thank you.

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Jenny Ma of BMO Capital Markets. Please proceed.

Jenny Ma
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thanks. Good afternoon.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Hi, Jenny.

Jenny Ma
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Hi. My questions on Calgary I think have more or less been answered. The small piece, the 5,500 Dufferin, there was no interruption in rent, is that correct? If the new tenant leased it up as of February.

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

That's correct. The only thing to note is the new tenant's paying a higher rent than the old tenant relative to that building, and they have also taken some additional lands that will come on stream once graded, probably mid to end of July. The additional rent that they're paying related to those additional lands, I think is incorporated in Louis' overall run rate number going forward.

Jenny Ma
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. Gotcha. Then just a clarification question, Louis. On the CAD 700,000 of the adjustments to the prior period rent, that's a one-time expense, correct? Or, sorry, a one-time income.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Yes, that's correct.

Jenny Ma
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. After we adjust for the DC here, we should have a pretty good run rate for Q2, Q3 going forward. Nothing else one-time in nature.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Correct.

Jenny Ma
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay, great. That was all for me. Thank you very much.

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Pammi Bir of Scotia Capital. Please proceed.

Pammi Bir
Analyst, Scotia Capital

Thanks. I think most of my questions were answered. Just maybe one last one with respect to the Sherwood Park property. Can you just elaborate there on what motivated the change and why the extended timeline for the redevelopment versus the prior expectation?

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

Sure. Hi, Pammi, it's Kevin. Originally, as I mentioned, Canadian Tire planned to do a 93,000 square foot store. In reviewing the market generally, they decided a larger store was warranted. I think that decision reflects their confidence in the market. The change in timing relates to municipal approvals that they had to go back and get for the amended store size. They had sought the approvals, received them, then had to go back in with a site plan amendment. Hence the delay.

Pammi Bir
Analyst, Scotia Capital

Got it. Thanks very much.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Sumayya Syed of CIBC. Please proceed.

Sumayya Syed
Analyst, CIBC

Thanks. Just on the increase in the normalized CapEx reserve this quarter, was this done to reflect some of the more recent acquisition, or did you guys kind of look at the overall mix of the portfolio and just made the decision more so from that perspective?

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Sumayya, it's Louis speaking. The reserve increase, I think averaged about CAD 0.03 a sq ft of an increase. It does reflect in part that the nature of the portfolio has changed a bit, although that's small within the overall portfolio. It also acknowledges a little bit of cost inflation, in terms of getting things done, like it costs more to pay this year than it did last year.

Sumayya Syed
Analyst, CIBC

Okay. Just on the investments announced in the quarter, just roughly speaking, how would the cap rates on the vendons compare to the Grand Falls acquisition? Can you also remind us roughly the yield you guys are targeting on intensifications?

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

Your first question was, what was the yield on the two vendons relative to the new development?

Sumayya Syed
Analyst, CIBC

Yes.

Kevin Salsberg
SVP of Real Estate, CT REIT

Did I get that right? I think they were pretty comparable, in terms of I'd have to go back and check the details. We can circle back with you on that, but I think they're mid to high sixes, generally speaking. Probably more in the mid six ballpark.

Sumayya Syed
Analyst, CIBC

Okay.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Tal Woolley of National Bank Financial. Please proceed.

Tal Woolley
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Hi, good afternoon. I just wanted to ask a question about some of your comments from the AGM this morning, Ken. You had discussed mixed-use development, and how you were sort of interested to see how some of your peers proved out that strategy going forward. I guess, implicit sort of in that statement, maybe or maybe not, is that you sort of have a bit of a different view about what that model will bear in terms of returns over time. Is there any particular that you're sort of waiting to see as you go forward, as you see some of these projects start to come to fruition?

Ken Silver
CEO, CT REIT

Tal, thanks for the question. I think there's two aspects to it. One is, firstly, we're in extremely fortunate position in that we have such solid growth, and visibility to the growth that we have, that we can continue to pursue what I would describe as a low-risk strategy, that we think should be attractive to investors going forward. That's one component of how we view what I would describe, and I think most people would view as higher risk development activities. Our view on those activities is, there's no question that like others, we have intensification opportunities in the portfolio. We are interested in seeing how exactly these unfold from the perspectives of the kind of achieved returns that you can get. We have the luxury, really, of waiting to see, as I had described it this morning, as seeing the business case proved out.

Tal Woolley
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. Louis, sorry, you might have touched on this in an earlier answer, but just to make sure I've got it through my thick skull. The straight-line rent number, the adjustment this year jumped down. Is that because of the reversal of the prior period booked on the DC?

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Tal, no, that's a perceptive question. It would drop for two reasons. It would generally drop, the run rate would drop in Q1 of every year. When I say every year, at IPO, we had a weighted average lease term of about 16 years, not quite 16 years.

Tal Woolley
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Yeah.

Louis Forbes
CFO, CT REIT

Which meant that the straight-line rent dynamic on the 255 buildings we started with would flip at year eight. The straight-line rent adjustment should come down about CAD 3.5 million every year for eight years. It turns and becomes a positive adjustment and grows in the opposite sense. That is affecting Q1. Also the Sears comment I made about straight line, which was about CAD 450,000, I said. That also affected Q1. We don't expect that to repeat in Q2. The straight-line rent adjustment in Q2 should be bigger than the Q1 adjustment by CAD 450,000 for that reason.

Tal Woolley
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Beautiful. Thanks, Louis.

Operator

Thank you. Once again, please press star one on your telephone keypad if you have a question. The next question is from Sam Damiani of TD Securities. Please proceed.

Sam Damiani
Analyst, TD Securities

Thank you. The other question I wanted to follow up on, Ken, was just on with the 10-year bond yield at its highest in about four years. How are you looking at cap rates and yields on transactions with CTC in the light of the relatively high interest rate we're in today, and the consensus is we're going to further be in over the next couple of years?

Ken Silver
CEO, CT REIT

Sam, we review each transaction. We do a Canadian Tire. We do appraisals. We benchmark against other transactions that we've done. We look at what's going on in the marketplace. So far we haven't seen, really, a change in the pricing. Nothing material, really, to report to you, but it's just something that we would continue to monitor on an ongoing basis.

Sam Damiani
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. Thank you.

Ken Silver
CEO, CT REIT

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. As there are no further questions at this time, I will turn the call over to Ken Silver, Chief Executive Officer, for any closing remarks.

Ken Silver
CEO, CT REIT

Thank you, operator. Thank you all for joining us today. We expect our second quarter results will be released the first week of August, and we look forward to speaking with you then. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The conference has now ended. Please disconnect your lines at this time. We thank you for your participation.