Dorel Industries Inc. (TSX:DII.B)
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May 4, 2026, 1:32 PM EST
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Earnings Call: Q3 2022

Nov 4, 2022

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Dorel Industries Third Quarter 2022 Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants' lines are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Instructions will be provided at that time for you to queue up for questions. If anyone has any difficulties hearing the conference, please press Star followed by zero for operator assistance at any time. Before turning the meeting over to management, please be advised that this conference call will contain statements that are forward-looking and subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. I would like to remind everyone that this conference call is recorded today, November 4, 2022. I would like to turn the conference over to Martin Schwartz, President and CEO.

Please go ahead, sir.

Martin Schwartz
President and CEO, Dorel Industries

Thank you. Good afternoon, and thank you all for joining us for Dorel's third quarter earnings call for the period ended September 30th. With me are Jeffrey Schwartz, CFO, and Frank Rana, VP Finance. We will take your questions following our comments. Again, all figures mentioned during this call are in U.S. dollars. It was another difficult quarter as retailers continued to grapple with the ongoing supply chain fallout and as well foreign exchange hit our earnings. As was the case last quarter, the dynamics have changed. Previously not enough products, now far too much. Moving into Q3, the supply chain bottlenecks eased, creating a considerable influx of merchandise. However, consumer sentiment turned negative and goods piled up across many product categories, including ours, creating a significant drop in orders from our U.S. brick-and-mortar partners as they right-sized their inventory.

As well, retailers did not have the ability to stock shelves, and shoppers were, and still are, finding less of a choice on the floor. The operating environment remains challenging with high inflation and the surging U.S. dollar. Factors beyond our control, having a definite impact on the performance of our two businesses. Consumers are being forced to make some tough choices. Do they put food on their table and gas in their vehicles or buy hard goods? More often than not, purchases are for staples rather than products, and that is fair to us. At Dorel Home, issues experienced last quarter persisted, and sales decreased further from Q2 levels. It's noteworthy that while brick-and-mortar took a significant hit, internet sales held their own.

Important category for Dorel Home has traditionally been Opening Price Point furniture, but recently, consumers struggling to make ends meet don't have the disposable income for even these budget-priced items. Branded sales continued to perform well, reinforcing the segment's strategy to differentiate product through key partnerships with a growing number of well-known names. Dorel Home participated in the October High Point Market, unveiling its newly redesigned showroom, which accentuates its many brands. Several new products were on display, many of them from the branded collection, which generated considerable excitement. Some of Dorel Home brands are being introduced in Europe over the coming months. Dorel Home is also expanding its DIY business, which is attracting an additional category of shoppers. This initiative has met with good success this year as these accounts are growing steadily. A new website, dorelshowroom.com, was recently launched, which allows smaller retailers to easily order smaller quantities.

There are many hundreds of independent furniture stores in North America, and this is an excellent way to reach them, therefore providing excellent potential for growth in this sector. Online purchasing is available 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, year-round. Customers can browse by category or visit the outlet section for extra discounted products, and new products are added daily. Promotional pricing at lower margins helped reduce inventory by $27 million from the end of Q2. This also lowered warehouse and distribution costs. Results at Dorel Juvenile were disappointing, particularly after last quarter, which recorded the highest revenue since 2019. Q3 decreases were driven mostly by key U.S. retail customers, drastically reducing orders, much more so than we had expected. Many had too much inventory on hand and did not reorder due to overstock and trouble getting goods out of the warehouse.

Sales opportunities were minimized as many stores have a limited merchandise assortment due to out-of-stock positions. The other major factor which hurt Juvenile was the FX loss from the strong U.S. dollar, and Jeffrey will discuss this shortly. Europe continues to feel the effects of ongoing geopolitical issues, including recent lockdowns in China and the war in Ukraine. While most of the world has largely moved on from COVID, towns and cities are still being shut down overnight in parts of China. Risks to economic activity remain in Europe, with continuing disruptions expected in energy and inflation still moving up. Customers are even more cautious due to the continued instability and the acute fall in the value of the euro, which hit a 20-year low. In September, the pound sterling hit a 37-year low, but has recovered somewhat with the change in UK's political leadership.

To be clear, there are bright spots in a number of areas in Juvenile. Partially offsetting the sales decline were strong e-commerce sales and recent point of sale data indicating that there is continuing demand for Dorel Juvenile products, but POS is normalizing. Positive contributions to revenue in the quarter came from Brazil, Canada, and Mexico, with all three regions performing well. Ocean freight costs are coming down and the procurement landscape in Asia is now showing a positive trend, all of which augurs well for smoother operations and an improvement in margins going forward. As for our outlook, Dorel Home reduced inventory significantly in the quarter, despite our retail partners also reducing their inventories. This effort by the segment will continue through Q4. This is also a priority at Dorel Juvenile, where inventory levels are higher than needed due to the unexpected drop in Q3 orders by retailers.

E-commerce sales and point of sale data is encouraging. Therefore, we believe this phenomenon cannot continue indefinitely, and there is demand for our products from our consumers. As of now, however, we expect this trend to continue through the balance of the year, and we remain focused on reducing inventories in preparation for 2023. With no real change in the value of the U.S. dollar versus other currencies, continued lower sales in the U.S. in the short term and ongoing challenges in Europe, we do not expect an improvement in Q4. Both segments are reducing costs across the board to offset lower revenues. As we look to 2023, better margins are expected, and as mentioned last quarter, we have also secured new listings for 2023 with many of our major accounts. I'll now ask Jeffrey to review the numbers. Jeffrey? Jeffrey, you're on mute.

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

Thank you. Sorry about that. Difficult quarter indeed from a financial statement. I'll talk quickly about the Q and then talk a little bit about where we see the future. Third quarter, Dorel's revenue decreased by $63 million or 14.4%. Adjusted organic revenue declined by 12.7% after removing the impact of various foreign exchange and the current year revenue from Notio Living, which was acquired in November 2021. The adjusted organic revenue declines were both in Home and in Juvenile. In Home, the revenue and the adjusted organic revenue declines were due to the reduced sales primarily in brick-and-mortar channel in the U.S. and a little bit at the online in Europe.

Dorel Juvenile revenue and organic revenue declines were mainly in the U.S. due to the high inventory levels at key retailers, brick-and-mortar retailers, and in Europe, where we're seeing a much bigger impact on our business because of inflation and the continuing war in Ukraine and all of the things that are affected around us, like you know, heating issues and other issues that have grabbed people's attention. From the gross profit, I mean, this is really where we're getting hit right now is gross profit decreased by $35.3 million. The margin in the quarter decreased 660 basis points. That's really again happening in both segments. In Dorel Home, the gross profit and margins came down.

Increased promotional incentives to get rid of the current inventories that we have. Just higher costs. I mean, even though today freight costs might be down, the freight costs that we incurred in Q3 were, you know, record costs. The same with costs of raw materials and goods from Asian suppliers. The goods that came in and were sold were at higher costs. Similarly in the Juvenile, the same thing. Costs were very high in Q3. The inventory that was purchased and on top of that, the exchange rates and the U.S. dollar was significant and caused a lot of pain.

Finance expenses, you know, that did decrease because of the huge drop in the amount of debt that Dorel has versus last year. You know, we're down by almost $11 million- $5 million, just over $5 million from $16 million last year. You know, overall for the quarter, Dorel reported an operating loss of $9.1 million compared to a profit of $8.1 million last year. Excluding restructuring and other adjustments, operating profit or adjusted operating profit decreased by $16 million to an operating loss of $6.9 million. If we look at the individual groups now, Dorel Home, the third quarter declined by $30.7 million or 14%. Adjusted organic revenue, like I said, after removing foreign exchange and the Notio Living acquisition declined by approximately 16.4%.

The decrease in revenue is primarily brick-and-mortar channels. A huge discrepancy between what we sold to the brick and mortar versus what we sold online, particularly in the U.S., where the online sales were holding up fairly decently. You know, what's going on at the brick and mortars, they have on their books a lot of inventory, but it's not necessarily getting onto the floor in time, and it's not necessarily getting, you know, through all the supply chain issues that our customers have had. You know, it affected them significantly in Q3. On top of that, you know, there is a bit of, you know, POS is not strong.

You know, we're seeing declines in POS, partially because it's hard to get the goods if they're not on the floor, and partially because people just aren't spending on furniture like they were in 2021. The gross profits increased by $14 million. I mean, here's where the issues are. A gross margin at 4.8% for the quarter, you know, is not something that we can continue to run at. Again, you know what? It's pretty simple what's happening is, you know, costs were going up and up and up all year. You know, Q3, even if we were getting new quotes that were for less or there was talk about less costs of container freight, they were still very, very high in the quarter.

In order to move these goods, we've had to, you know, lower our pricing and promote some of these goods so we can get them out of our warehouse, so we can get them, you know, out of our system. I think the retailers are doing the same thing. They're looking to get the high-cost goods out of their system. Everybody's working to move these out so that we can bring in next year much lower priced goods so that we can go back to making, you know, a normal margin like we used to make. That's really what's going on in that business. Overall, the operating profit declined $14.8 million in the quarter for an operating loss of about $8 million.

In juveniles, third quarter revenues are down $32.4 million or 14.8%. Organic revenues declined by about 9%. The declines in revenue were mainly in the U.S. and Europe and Chile. In the U.S., the decline, which was in most of the product categories, was primarily due to the retailers reducing inventories that, you know, I think Martin mentioned they were high. They're high across the board. They're not necessarily high in the juvenile category. Nevertheless, our customers are dealing with their own supply chain issues and are looking to reduce the amount of inventory in general in their system, and that affected us. Interesting enough, our POS was not that negatively affected, so they continued to sell goods.

In fact, in Q3, we had a slight increase over last year at POS. Which means that, you know, people are still buying our products. There's just less in the system, or was in Q3, less in the system. Hopefully in Q4 and then certainly into next year, we expect to see, you know, a more balanced approach between the POS and what our customers are ordering. Europe, on the other hand, is really being impacted, both the POS and the amount of inventory that our customers are carrying. You know, the inflation, the war, people's minds are on other things than spending money right now. Little bit more concerned about what's going on over there than in the U.S., which we think will balance itself off shortly.

In Chile, you know, the high inflation and their currency was one of the worst hit in the world and that's affected their demand, and we're hoping to see, you know, that leveling off as well. We did see some bright spots in some parts of the world. Again, Brazil continues to be strong both on the top and bottom line. Mexico, a very small country for us, but we are actually having record sales and profits right now. Even Canada, where we had massive product shortages earlier in the year, Canada's started to come back in Q3, so that's great. Gross profit in the quarter off by $21 million. Again, same thing.

Gross margins were 16%, drop of 720 basis points. Again, foreign exchange, probably the biggest chunk of that, represented about $14 million, just the change in the strength of the U.S. dollar. Again, like I said in the other segment, costs, supply chain costs were very, very high in Q3, both containers and input costs. You know, so we had a lot of that to deal with. The operating loss in the segment was $18.4 million for the quarter, versus a gain of $2.4 million last year.

The only other thing I would consider major news for us that we did in order to, you know, enhance our liquidity, we did sell one of our factory buildings in Cornwall, Ontario, and did a leaseback. Nothing really changes from an operating profit, but we do have more liquidity in the system, which makes us feel better and allows us to operate a little more comfortably. That was done very recently, done this week. We've mentioned it in the financial statements. With that, I'll pass it back to you, Mark.

Martin Schwartz
President and CEO, Dorel Industries

All right. Thank you, Jeffrey. Okay, I'll now ask the operator to open the line for questions.

Operator

Okay.

Martin Schwartz
President and CEO, Dorel Industries

As always, I request that you limit the first round to questions. Operator?

Operator

Certainly. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now conduct a question-and-answer session. If you do have a question, please press star followed by one on your touchtone phone. You will hear a three-tone prompt acknowledging your request. Your question will be pulled in the order they are received. Please ensure you lift the handset if you are using a speakerphone before pressing any keys. One moment please for the first question. That will be from Stephen MacLeod at BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Stephen MacLeod
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thank you. Good morning, guys. Just a couple of questions. In terms of the top line, one of the things you talked about last quarter for the Juvenile business specifically was new listings, and that was meant to positively impact Q4. I think in the outlook section, you talked about new listings, positively impacting next year. I was just curious, should we still expect some of those new listings to be positive for Q4? Is that when you talk about for the full year next year, is that for both segments, or is that specifically around new listings for Juvenile?

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

Let's talk about Juvenile first. Yes, we continue to have a lot of new product coming through the channels. It is slipping a bit, primarily because, like I said, the inventory issues that Dorel is encountering is not just Dorel, you know, it's our retail partners as well. Everybody wants to move through the goods that they have before buying a lot of new goods. In some cases, some of that stuff has slipped. That's not to say that nothing is being launched in Q4. We certainly have some products being launched, but I don't think we'll see it, you know, affecting the financial statements until Q1.

On the other side, again, similarly, we've got to move through the old inventory to both physically make room in, you know, in our warehouses and in the shelves of our store before we start bringing in a lot of the newer inventory. There is some new product coming in for sure, you know, and that new stuff that comes in will probably be priced properly, or cost-wise will be properly. You know, we are optimistic in the fact that we've seen the opportunity right now between freight and cost to get our margins back to where they should be. What we've done is we've lowered our prices. You know, the retail prices are now kind of matching where the costs will be.

Unfortunately, the inventory that we have today is higher priced than that. That's the dilemma that Dorel's in now, and we feel good looking forward that, you know, this will balance itself out. We, you know, we have to get there.

Stephen MacLeod
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. Okay, I see. Thank you. Just with EBITDA sort of going adjusted negative in the quarter, I'm just curious if there are any covenant issues or covenant restrictions that we should be aware of.

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

There's currently, under the ABL agreement, we don't have, like, monthly or quarterly measurements for covenants like we used to. Based on that, the answer is no.

Stephen MacLeod
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. Okay, that's great. I'll go back in line. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question will be from Derek Lessard at TD Securities. Please go ahead.

Derek Lessard
Analyst, TD Cowen

Yeah, good afternoon. Jeffrey, maybe it's, I get it that there's a lot of moving parts right now. I'm just gonna ask more of a qualitative question. Do you think you're past the worst?

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

We don't see Q4 getting better because we still have to deal with the high-cost inventory. The good news, and it's the really good news, is we've already got reduced costs for either the raw materials, finished goods, freight. All of that is not something we're hoping to see, but we are seeing today. We're not buying heavily yet because we need to get through what we have. You know, exactly when does that point change? When does it, like, sort of say, "Okay, we no longer have any of the old headaches, but we only have the good stuff going forward"? I don't know exactly what month that is. I mean, it's not that far away. It's certainly not Q4. It's gonna be into the early part of next year.

You know, we're also a little bit cautious with what we believe is a recession coming. Historically, Juvenile does okay during recession. I mean, the birth rate seems to be steady. A little more concerned in Europe, where it's not a normal recession. Less concerned in other parts of the world, on the Juvenile. Home is something we've got to get through all of this stuff, and there's a lot of product in the system because a lot of people were jumping into the furniture business. We are seeing bankruptcies, we are seeing people getting out. We are seeing importers not importing furniture anymore. You know, all of that has to wash through. I'm a, you know, little less certain on demand next year for furniture. We have great opportunities. We have, you know.

Retailers are looking to do new stuff. They're coming to us. We have a lot of new ideas, new products. We've got new channels. I mean, Martin touched on some of it before. You know, we are addressing, I'm gonna call it the OPP level of furniture source. I mean, they need, you know, with the recession coming, they need to have a lot of options for their customers. Some of these stores are turning to us because we have some great value products. There's a bunch of things that I'm excited about for next year, but we gotta get there. We gotta get through the sort of the anchors that we have, and then things will be good.

Derek Lessard
Analyst, TD Cowen

Okay. That's helpful. Maybe just to follow up on that in terms of the inventories, I think, in Q2, you had alluded to reducing them by about $50 million. You did about $27 million in the quarter. Is that 50 still relevant, or are you now thinking that that number should be higher?

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

Yeah, I mean, I think 50 is still the appropriate number. We just wanna replace, you know, the expensive inventory with normal price inventory, I guess, is the key. That's the number. Yeah, the number will come down. We're still too high in many areas, but the important thing is, you know, we know that, like, we've already dropped selling prices on many items. Now ahead of when we're actually gonna be able to, you know, sort of make our normal margins on it. We've just gotta get through the old stuff and then start bringing in the new stuff. I mean, that's the real strategy here.

You know, if we have to put it in a small, little compact statement, it's get through the old inventory so we can buy the new inventory, which will then give us the margins that we need to start going forward again.

Derek Lessard
Analyst, TD Cowen

Okay, that makes sense. Maybe if I could just follow up on that. Where are you, I guess, in that, in getting rid of the old inventory?

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

Yeah, I mean, by category, you know, I mean, certainly Q4 is gonna be like a, you know, a transitional period where we're, you know, whatever comes in in November, December will probably be at new costing levels. You know, what we're selling today is still stuff that's in inventory at higher costing levels. I'm hoping to see a noticeable change in Q1, but, you know, again, depends on how much we get out. It's also which category. Certain categories we're already you know, we don't have a ton of inventory, and we are bringing in. Other categories we might be sitting on for six months. It's, it really is depending on where I was on the product point.

Derek Lessard
Analyst, TD Cowen

Okay. If you look back, or as you're looking through your portfolio and, you know, you did the sale-leaseback of the Cornwall property, do you have any more of those type assets lying around that you'll be able to do similar transactions and generate more cash or, you know, any potential non-core assets that you may have?

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

Right. Yeah, we actually do have some more real estate. Some of it's very small, some of it's larger. Certainly, yeah, we are, you know, looking into the values, and if we needed to monetize them, can we, you know, all of that. I'm not, you know, gonna give you any numbers, and I'm not gonna talk about, you know, value. Yeah, there is some inventory of those types of assets.

Derek Lessard
Analyst, TD Cowen

Okay. Maybe one, just final one from me. You know, thanks for giving us the impact, the foreign exchange impact on EBITDA. I was curious if you had the impact on revenues?

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

Well.

Derek Lessard
Analyst, TD Cowen

Yeah.

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

Maybe one of our guys is working on it now, but.

Martin Schwartz
President and CEO, Dorel Industries

We do, but I don't have it handy here for you.

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

Oh, okay. Yeah, you know, foreign exchange is interesting. We took obviously a really large hit in Q3. The U.S. dollar hasn't really gotten stronger very much since Q3, so, you know, there would still be an impact versus last year. That sort of snowball effect of just like every month and every week taking another write down on balance sheet items, it seems to have slowed and, you know, I'm hoping this is maybe the bottom of or the top of the U.S. dollar strength. 'Cause if we see it coming back the other direction, we will see some nice, you know, tailwinds for a change, behind us 'cause it's been brutal.

I mean, some of the currencies that like I said, I think the Chilean currency is one of the worst currencies in the world as far as the fall that it had. I'm hoping this is the worst it gets and that we only pick up from here. You know, I'm not putting any money on that.

Derek Lessard
Analyst, TD Cowen

Okay. I one final one for me. Noticed Capex did tick up a little bit, I think $2 million versus last quarter. I think it was $6 million in total in Q3. Just curious about what was driving that and if you have any sort of early outlook for 2023 in terms of spend.

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

Yeah. Yeah. I mean, we're, you know, we want to get through this period before we, you know, get back to spending a lot. Hopefully. I mean, I don't know the answer to Q3. Could be a project that was being finished. I know we have some important car seats coming through the system. No, I don't have. It's still a little early to give you any outlook on Capex because we haven't finalized anything.

Derek Lessard
Analyst, TD Cowen

Okay. Thank you. That's it for me, gentlemen. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I would like to introduce with a follow-up, Stephen MacLeod. Please go ahead.

Stephen MacLeod
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Ted, one follow-up question. You know, you talked about the inventory, and you gotta work through the bad stuff here or the aged stuff to before you can introduce the higher full margin product. I'm just curious if you think about 2023 and if you do get through that into the Q1 period, let's say, do you think you could be in a position where you're getting back to historical margin levels in both the home and juvenile business?

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

Yeah. Volume's gonna be a big part of that, and I don't know the impact of the coming slowdown. I think we will be hurt less than other businesses. That's traditionally been the case. I said this two years ago. Dorel does better in a recession than in an inflationary time like 2022. It's not good for Dorel to have prices going up constantly and having to get price increases and then having our customer having to pay more for the same goods. It just doesn't work well for us. It works a lot better when even if demand is slower and our costs come down, and we're able to get normal margins again. People tend to move downwards.

We do have a lot of the Opening Price Point, mid price point products. I do feel like, you know, a slowdown isn't that scary if we can get our costs under control, and we can get back. I don't know what historical is anymore. I mean, it's been a while since we had a furniture cycle, since we knew what historical was. We can get back to a good place next year, you know? A run rate certainly next year. I don't see that being an issue unless demand just is really, really terrible. If it's, you know, if it's less than ideal, I think we'll still be fine.

Stephen MacLeod
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. That's great. Thanks, Jeffrey.

Operator

At this time, I would like to turn the meeting back over to Mr. Schwartz. Please proceed with closing remarks.

Jeffrey Schwartz
CFO, Dorel Industries

Okay. I wanna thank all of you for joining us this afternoon and wish you all a pleasant weekend.

Operator

Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, this does indeed conclude your conference call for today. Once again, thank you for attending. At this time, we do ask that you please disconnect your lines. Have a good weekend.

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