Emera Incorporated (TSX:EMA)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2018

Feb 19, 2019

Speaker 1

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Emera Q4 Analyst Conference Call. Please note that this call is being recorded today, Tuesday, February 19, 2019 at 8:30 am Eastern Time. I would now like to turn the meeting over to your host for today's call, Erin Power, Manager, Investor Relations for Emera. Please go ahead, Ms. Power.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Sharon, and thank you all for joining us this morning for Emera's Q4 2018 conference call and live webcast. Emera's 4th quarter earnings release was distributed this morning via Newswire and the financial statements, management's discussion and analysis and the presentation being referenced on this call are available on our website atamera.com. Joining me for this morning's call are Scott Balphore, Emera's President and Chief Executive Officer Greg Blunden, Emera's Chief Financial Officer and other members of Emera's management team. This morning, Scott will begin with an update on the business and our strategic initiatives and Greg will follow with an overview of the financial results. We expect the prepared remarks to last about 15 minutes.

Following the prepared remarks, we will open up the line to take questions from analysts. I will take a moment to advise you that this conference call will contain forward looking information and statements with respect to Emera. Forward looking statements involve significant risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Certain material factors or assumptions have been applied in drawing the conclusions contained in the forward looking statements. Generally, these factors or assumptions are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties surrounding future expectations.

Such risk factors or assumptions include, but are not limited to, regulation, operations and maintenance, energy prices, global economic conditions, weather, derivatives and hedging, capital resources, loss of service area, licenses and permits, environment, insurance, labor relations, human resources and liquidity risk. A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from the results discussed or implied in the forward looking statements. Today's presentation also includes references to non GAAP financial measures. You should refer to the information contained in the slides accompanying today's presentation for definitional information and reconciliations of historical non GAAP measures to the closest GAAP financial measure. And now, I will turn things over to Scott.

Speaker 3

Thank you, Erin, and good morning, everyone. 2018 was a strong year for Emera. We made significant progress on our growth strategy, especially in Nova Scotia and Florida, continued to deliver cleaner, affordable and reliable energy to our customers and also delivered record adjusted earnings per share and cash flow for our shareholders. Our business has never been stronger and this showed in the financial performance we saw in 2018 across all our businesses. Our Florida and New Mexico utilities posted record earnings and Emera Energy had an exceptional year.

Nova Scotia Power once again delivered strong earnings. Emera Maine overcame challenging weather conditions and delivered results largely in line with 2017 and our other regulated businesses delivered consistent growth. Overall, I'm pleased with the performance by our regulated utilities and how our strategic positioning has enabled us to capitalize on earnings and growth opportunities. In Florida, we're well advanced on our solar program and these investments are contributing to the growth we are seeing in our bottom line. The first phase of the program will see us construct 600 megawatts of new solar.

In September, we placed the first 145 megawatts into service and customer rates were increased accordingly. Over the course of 2018, Tampa Electric collected $8,000,000 of new revenue related to those projects. Since September, we've continued to advance construction and so far in 2019, we've placed an additional 175 megawatts into service, bringing our total new solar capacity to 3 20 Megawatts. We look forward to placing an additional 85 Megawatts into service later this spring. Customer rates continue to be adjusted as projects come into service and solar related revenues are expected to be $70,000,000 in 2019 adding net earnings of $30,000,000 In total, by the end of 2019, we will have invested over 90% of our $850,000,000 Phase 1 solar program.

At this point, with only installation remaining, we are confident that the cost of the project will stay within budget. And it's worth noting that once this phase of our solar program is complete, 7% of Tampa Electric's energy generation will come from the sun. That's a tremendous shift to clean energy for our customers in the Sunshine State and a great demonstration of how we're transforming the energy landscape. Our investment in modernizing Big Bend to be a cleaner, more flexible generating station, which will further support the development of solar generation in Tampa and will provide cleaner, lower cost energy to our customers. In May last year, we announced our $850,000,000 investment in Big Bend to retire Unit 2 early and to repower Unit 1 with natural gas combined cycle technology.

This project is progressing in line with our expectations with procurement and design detailed design now well advanced and we look forward to breaking ground this summer. The Big Bend modernization is another great example of Emera's strategy in action, delivering value to shareholders by delivering value to customers. Our $850,000,000 investment will save our customers $750,000,000 over the life of the investment and increase annual earnings power at Tampa Electric by $50,000,000 This equation allows us to manage customer rates while delivering cleaner energy. As is the process in Florida, we will proceed for rates when needed in support of the capital. The significant customer benefits of this investments as well as the environmental benefits leave us confident in the regulatory process in front of us.

In Nova Scotia, now that the Maritime Link is complete, the island of Newfoundland is connected to the North American energy grid for the first time in history. And with the completion of the Labrador Island Link, there will be a path for energy to flow from the vast hydro resources of Labrador to Nova Scotia and beyond. We've begun recovering our investment in Nova Scotia customer rates with the project contributing to Emera's consolidated operating cash flow. We look forward to the completion of the remainder of Bulwark Churchill projects including West Grant Falls in 2020 when we will begin to generate an additional $50,000,000 of cash flow from the Maritime Link and our Labrador Island Link's earnings will convert from AFUDC to cash. The Maritime Link was a transformational project for both the energy market in Atlantic Canada and for Emera.

The Maritime Link was and still is the single largest organic growth project Emera has ever completed. Our ability to deliver the link successfully for our customers and shareholders required us to think creatively and to execute with discipline. And it's our success with transforming the energy landscape in Nova Scotia that gives us confidence as we undergo a similar transformation in Florida. Today, between our solar program and the Big Bend modernization, we've committed to investing US1.7 billion dollars or approximately CAD2.2 billion to transform how we deliver energy to our customers in Tampa. Together, these two projects will drive earnings and cash flow that's equivalent to 2 Maritime Links.

And we see room to do more. We believe that the Greater Tampa has the potential to handle an additional 600 megawatts of solar generation and we're actively pursuing a second phase of solar investment post 2020. To enable our investment, we've begun sourcing and securing land options and are working through the regulatory strategy. As we outlined in November, we expect to invest over $6,500,000,000 to grow our rate base over the next 3 years. Investments like our solar program in Florida, the Big Bend modernization and our cross utility investment in smart meters are the backbone of this program, which is focused on investments in cleaner generation, customer focused technologies and infrastructure renewal.

Our investments are focused in Florida and Nova Scotia, which together account for approximately 85% of our planned spending over the forecast period. Expect that the majority of our capital investment profile in the state of Florida, a jurisdiction with above average equity thickness and double digit ROEs will achieve higher EPS growth and naturally improve our balance sheet to our target capital structure over the period. Our regulated capital investment program is expected to continue to drive healthy annual rate base growth of at least 6% through to 2021. This growth is driven by highly accretive growth investments in our Florida utilities and sustainable and consistent growth in our other utilities. As we've noted in the past, the rate base profile includes only projects that we are highly confident will proceed.

The additional capital investment opportunities we've identified including second phase of solar in Florida will sustain or enhance our long term rate base growth profile. On our Q3 conference call, I shared with you our approach to funding for the next 3 years. One of the key objectives of our approach is to significantly reduce and potentially eliminate our external common equity needs beyond our dividend reinvestment program. The announced sale of our New England gas generation fleet is the 1st step towards meeting this goal. Since we introduced our funding plan this past November, capital market conditions have evolved and Emera's share price performance has improved.

We believe that some of this improvement is evidence that our funding plan has been well received by the market. But we're also benefiting from a shift in capital market settlement, especially as it relates to the pace of interest rate increases. Despite our higher share price, we have not changed our approach to funding and we continue to advance other asset sale processes that could generate equity proceeds of up to $1,200,000,000 We are confident that redeploying capital into the growth investments of our strongest performing assets will lead to higher quality earnings and cash flows creating an even stronger Emera. I'm pleased with the progress we made in 2018 on our growth initiatives across the portfolio and with the financial results that we've delivered to our shareholders. I'm also happy with the progress we've made on strengthening our balance sheet.

As Greg will walk through with you in a few moments, we have made meaningful progress towards achieving our target capital structure and we ended 2018 better positioned to continue to deliver long term growth. As I look forward to 2019, I'm excited about the long term growth opportunities in front of us at Emera.

Speaker 4

Over the

Speaker 3

next 12 months, we have a visible plan to invest $2,300,000,000 across the utilities, driven by our investments in Florida and smart meters at Nova Scotia Power and Tampa Electric. We will also continue to execute on our funding plan throughout 2019, which will result in us making measurable towards our target capital structure. As you can see, we have a lot of great momentum in Emera and we're on track to keep delivering for our customers and our shareholders. And as you would have seen in our 2018 sustainability update, our team will continue to find ways to create value for the communities and the environment too. And now, I will turn it over to Greg, who will take you through our financial results.

Greg?

Speaker 4

Thank you, Scott, and thank you all for joining us this morning. As Scott highlighted, 2018 was a record EPS and cash flow year for Emera. Our business has never been stronger and our affiliates have delivered strong financial results for the quarter and for the year. For the Q4 of 2018, Emera reported adjusted net income, which excludes mark to market adjustments and for 20 17 excludes the revaluation of U. S.

Non regulated deferred income taxes of $167,000,000 or $0.71 per share compared to adjusted net income of $137,000,000 $0.64 per share in Q4 of 2017. For the full year, our adjusted net income was $671,000,000 or $2.88 per share compared to $524,000,000 or 2.46 dollars per share for the same period in 2017. I will note that in Q3, we recorded a $0.10 gain on a change in our Florida tax appointment factors. Absent that non recurring item, adjusted EPS would have been $2.78 dollars for the year, a 13% increase on a year over year basis.

Speaker 3

In addition to

Speaker 4

our strong earnings, we also reported a significant increase in our annual operating cash flow before changes in net working capital. For the year, our annual cash flow increased by $509,000,000 or 39 percent to 1,800,000,000 $8,000,000,000 compared to $1,300,000,000 in 2017. Operating cash flow is an important metric for our business as it is the basis upon which our credit metrics are calculated. And as I'll take you through in a few moments, our improved cash flow combined with our funding initiatives has translated into improved cash flow to debt metrics for the year. Growth in 4th quarter EPS was largely driven by our Florida, New Mexico, Emera Energy and Caribbean segments.

At Tampa Electric, as Scott noted, our investments in solar and the Big Bend increased quarterly earnings compared to 2018. Utility also benefited from incremental revenues from customer growth and favorable weather conditions, which provided for above average earnings opportunities in the quarter. Emera Energy contributed continued its strong 2018 performance in the 4th quarter. Marketing and trading margins increased $18,000,000 to $42,000,000 in Q4 2018 compared to $24,000,000 for the same period in 2017. Q4 2017 saw significant pipeline maintenance, which reduced margins on hedged capacity.

With normal pipeline operations in Q4 of 2018, the full value of the transportation capacity was able to be realized. As well as the generation business continued to realize higher capacity revenues in the quarter as a result of the step up in capacity revenues that came into effect in June. We're fortunate to have less significantly less hurricane activity in our Caribbean service territories in 2018 compared to 2017. That's the primary driver of improved Caribbean earnings in Q4. Costs in our Corporate and Other segment increased in the 4th quarter largely driven by timing related adjustments and project costs at Emera Utility Services.

The profile of our performance based compensation costs was weighted towards the Q4 driven by the trend of our share price performance in 2018. A strong year from our Emera Energy business and growth from our Florida and New Mexico utilities are the primary drivers of our EPS growth in 2018. A cold Q1, a warm Q3 and a solid Q4 enabled Emera Energy's Marketing and Trading business to deliver an impressive US40 $1,000,000 earnings for the year, in excess of its normal US15 $1,000,000 to US30 $1,000,000 earnings guidance range. This is a demonstration of the upside potential when market conditions present themselves, an opportunity that I often note. The Generation business benefited from higher capacity revenues throughout 2018 along with improved regional energy margins and fewer unplanned outage hours.

Emera Florida and New Mexico's annual earnings have benefited from strong customer growth in Florida, increased base revenues from our solar investments, higher AFUDC earnings driven by investments in solar and Big Bend and favorable weather conditions for our gas utilities. Over the course of 2018, Tampa Electric has experienced customer growth of 1.6%, while Peoples Gas has grown its customer base by an impressive 3.5% over the same period. Our Florida Utilities again delivered record earnings, which helped to drive annual earnings growth in the segment on a U. S. Dollar basis of 12%.

Annual results from Nova Scotia Power and Emera Maine are in line with our expectations and provide a solid and predictable earnings foundation for the business. Nova Scotia Power has experienced strong customer and weather driven load growth throughout the year, which tempered the effects of higher than expected storm costs in the 1st and 4th quarters. Nova Scotia Power earned a regulated ROE of 9 point 2 5% and delivered modest growth in both its rate base and annual earnings. Mirror Maine delivered results modestly lower than 2017. Like Nova Scotia Power, the utility also experienced an increased level of storm activity in 2018, which increased our operating costs.

Higher OM and G was partially offset by higher T and D rates and increased load. As Scott highlighted in his remarks, we have made measurable progress against the 3 year funding plan that we first outlined on our Q3 conference call. This past November, we announced the sale of our NEGT facilities for US590 $1,000,000 The transaction is progressing as expected and we are on track to close the deal by the end of the Q1. In addition to the announced NEGG sale, we are continuing to advance the balance of our asset sale program as part of our overall funding plan. We are pleased with the progress we have made on our asset sale program and expect to have something to announce this spring.

The team is working hard and is targeting to have the entire asset sale program complete by the end of this year. We continue to be focused on transitioning the balance sheet to our targeted capital structure. I'm pleased with the progress we have made in strengthening our balance sheet since we first acquired TECO on July 1, 2016. Since that time, we have raised over $1,400,000,000 of equity capital through a combination of our credit and discrete equity offerings and we have issued an additional $300,000,000 of preferred shares. As a result, we have decreased our leverage ratio by over 300 basis points and we are on track to achieve our capital target structure of 55% debt, 35% equity and 10% hybrid capital in 2020.

And with the closing of the NEGG transaction later this quarter, we expect to take another meaningful step towards our targeted capital structure with a further step change expected to occur once the remainder of our asset sale program is complete. In addition to a stronger consolidated balance sheet, we've also been steadily decreasing our holding company leverage. At the end of 2018, we brought our holdco leverage down to about 44% from over 50% at the end of 2016. Our funding plan is designed to continue to reduce this metric over time and we would expect to be below 40% by the time we achieve our targeted capital structure in 2020. As I noted earlier in my remarks, our strong growth in operating cash flow combined with the lower level of leverage has improved our cash flow to debt metrics for 2018.

When giving pro form a effect to the NEGG proceeds, we ended 2018 with cash flow debt metrics in the mid-eleven percent range for both agencies. As we continue to execute on our funding plan throughout 2019 and look forward to 2020, we would expect these metrics to continue to be on a positive trend towards 12% in the immediate term with the objective of sustaining this level or higher over the longer term. We've highlighted in the past that over the long term we would expect our EPS growth to approximate our rate base growth. This does not mean that a rolling EPS CAGR will always align with our rate base growth and of course this growth will not be linear as EPS growth is often lumpy. Looking ahead to 2019, we are focused on on continuing to grow earnings from our utility businesses supported by a strong capital investment and rate base profile.

But we also recognize that 2019 will be a transition year with sale of NEGG, meaning that we will lose the earnings contribution from these assets for a significant part of 2019, thus impacting our year over year earnings profile. While we are confident that the NEGG sales is the right decision for our company and for our shareholders, the declining and with the declining profile of the New England capacity revenues over the 3 years, the EPS impact of the transaction will decrease over time. And as I mentioned earlier, our 2018 adjusted EPS includes a one time $0.10 benefit related to the revaluation of deferred income taxes as a result of a change in the Florida state tax appointment factors. And as always for planning and forecasting purposes, it is prudent to assume Emera Energy Marketing and Trading will deliver earnings within its normal range rather than the 2018 premium levels. Overall, with a strong growth we believe that our prudent and disciplined reallocation of capital in 2019 will result in a stronger Emera that is well positioned to continue to deliver long term earnings and cash flow growth to our shareholders.

And with that, I'll turn the presentation back over to Erin.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Greg. This concludes the presentation. We would now like to open up the call to take questions from analysts. Analysts.

Speaker 1

And your first question comes

Speaker 5

really comment much. But I'm wondering, under what scenario might your proceeds potentially exceed the range of what you're targeting, if at all? And are you going through processes that some of them might not conclude? Are you looking at selling maybe more depending on the conversations that you've had?

Speaker 3

Hey, Linda, it's Scott. So thanks for the question. It's a bit difficult to answer without getting into more detail than we'd like to at this course. Of course, when we're going through a process, we have a view as to what sort of the expected range of proceeds we could expect when running through a market driven process. But we don't know how that will conclude until we see a market response.

And so it's hard to be much clearer beyond providing a range at this point as to what our target is for proceeds. As I said early in this process, the advantage of the portfolio that we have is we have some optionality as to how we would proceed if market response wasn't what we would hope or expect to a particular initiative. But at this point, we're comfortable with the progress that we're making and comfortable that we'll have something further to report within the timelines that Greg mentioned in the call.

Speaker 5

Thank you. And maybe I realize that another thing that's hard to predict is how your energy services business will unfold for the year. The year is young, but we have seen some weather in the U. S. Northeast.

So I'm wondering if you can comment on kind of what you've seen so far in Q1 specifically?

Speaker 6

Linda, it's Judy. I would say that Q1 2019 is solid, but Q1 2018 was superb, but still quite reasonably strong for Q1 2019. So we would still at this early point in the year, the only guidance we could really say is within our 15 to 30.

Speaker 5

That's helpful. And maybe just as a follow-up, can we get a sense of the aggregate approximate weather effects on net income for the year last year, if you look at it kind of across the business?

Speaker 4

Linda, we don't have that available to you. We could probably try to take it offline. So I think it's probably best that we follow-up with the offline. It's not something that we would track in the aggregate.

Speaker 5

That'd be helpful. Thank you. I'll jump back in the queue.

Speaker 1

Next question comes from Nicholas Campanella with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Your line is open.

Speaker 7

Hey, good morning. Congrats on a strong year.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Nick.

Speaker 7

Hey, so just starting with 2019 expectations, you listed a few negative items to consider year over year on Slide 19. Can you just kind of sum up quickly, should we be thinking of 2019 as flattish up or down relative to 2018 to be clear?

Speaker 4

Yes. Nick, we came out with our new dividend growth guidance and forecasted rate base growth. We talked about EPS over the planning period kind of approximating our rate base growth. Obviously, if you adjust for the $0.10 for the Florida tax appointment factors in 2018, EPS was up 13%. So obviously slightly stronger in 2018 than we would expect over the period.

I think when we look at everything in total in 2019, it wouldn't be unrealistic to expect EPS to be relatively in line with 2018 and then getting back to growth in 2020 off of that basis more in line with our rate base growth.

Speaker 7

Got it. Thanks. And then just on the asset sale program, can you just kind of shed light on your discussion with the agencies since you introduced the program and kind of their feedback and then any sense of the time that you need to execute on this plan? I think you kind of mentioned making some type of announcement in the spring and kind of wrapping this up by year end. Is that kind of within their window?

Speaker 4

Yes. I mean, obviously, both rating agencies are insiders, so they have full visibility in terms of our expectations and timing. And at this point with the announcement of NEGG, the sale of NEGG in the 4th quarter, expected closing in Q1 and as we indicated on track for spring announcement second half of the sale that would be in full alignment with the expectations of both agencies.

Speaker 7

Got it. And then last one just real quick. We've all seen kind of the anti hybrid proposals out there from the IRS. Just wanted to confirm no material impact on your end?

Speaker 4

Yes. No, we can confirm that, Nick. We do have some cross border structures in place, but we have not been booking any accounting benefits as a result of that. So as a result of the changes, there's no impact on our going forward earnings or cash flow.

Speaker 3

Thank you very much.

Speaker 4

You're welcome.

Speaker 1

Next question comes from Rob Hope with Scotiabank. Your line is open.

Speaker 8

Yes. Good morning, everyone. Just want to switch attention over to Maine for a second. We have a few senators there proposing that Central Maine and Emera Maine be expropriated into a public owned utility. I just want to get your thoughts on that potential.

And I know you haven't highlighted specific asset sales, but if Emera Maine was for sale, could that slow down that process?

Speaker 3

Yes. It's Scott, Rob. Thanks for the question. So look, I mean, it's something obviously that's caught our attention as it our colleagues in the state. There has been no legislation that's proposed at this point.

And so, while obviously, we'll pay attention to it seriously, there's nothing at this point to seriously respond to or to address. So I think unless and until there's legislation that's drafted, it will be a file that we'll continue to watch, but nothing for us to specifically take action on at this time.

Speaker 8

All right. Appreciate that. And then just taking moving over to the 2019 outlook, appreciate the commentary on EPS. How do you expect CFO to trend in 2019 versus 2018 just given the very strong CFO growth we saw in 2018?

Speaker 4

Yes. We would expect, Rob, that it would be pretty consistent on a year over year basis. And then obviously, with the asset sales and redeploying that capital, pay down holding company debt, we'll see a measurable uptick in the credit metrics. And so probably where the focus might have been on the numerator in 2018, it will be more in the denominator in 2019. All right.

Speaker 8

I appreciate the color. Thank you.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Mark.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from Robert Catellier with CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Speaker 9

Hi. Just a couple of follow ups on the financing. There's comments in the MD and A about interest deductibility and your expectations that your U. S.-based finance will be deductible under the act. Is that contingent in any way on success of the asset sales or issued preferred shares or anything of that nature to get the whole code down as a percentage?

Speaker 4

No, it's not, Robert.

Speaker 9

Okay. And then just one of the clarification on the solar. It looks like you've maintained your earnings expectations there, but might be some change in wording as to in service dates. Now I think you're expecting that 85 megawatts in service in the spring versus January previously. So can you help us square up the consistent earnings outlook and seemingly a change in in service date?

Speaker 3

Sure. Nancy, you want to respond to that?

Speaker 10

Sure. Thanks for the question. So yes, we are a little later and in service date, but we are already getting the revenue from customers. But we will, of course, true that up at the end for the later in service date. But we are protected contractually for the later in service date and so we don't expect any net income impact on that.

Speaker 9

Okay. And then maybe go ahead.

Speaker 3

Sorry, Robert. It's Scott. I was just going to say, so the protections with the contractor effectively to help to ensure that there's no negative impact to customers or to Tampa Electric through the completion and the projects are we'll expect to be online by the end of the Q1.

Speaker 9

Right. So that then is we can interpret that as a construction variance as opposed to permitting or anything like that?

Speaker 10

Yes. That's right. Yes. That's all in construction.

Speaker 9

Yes.

Speaker 11

Okay, thanks. Good morning. I was wondering if you can comment on the final impact of U. S. Tax reform this year, $100,000,000 that you expected?

And then just what if you're just how that looks relative to your core performance?

Speaker 4

Yes, Ben, it's Greg. Obviously, we made quite a bit of progress early in the year to mitigate the impacts of tax reform from a cash flow perspective, in particular Tampa Electric and reached a settlement to net the storm costs, which we would have expected to recover over both 2018 2019, effectively recover them all in 2018. And so the most recent guidance that I think were $75,000,000 to $125,000,000 is still probably reflective from a cash flow perspective. From an earnings perspective, the impact to EPS in 2018 was not as large as we would have expected, predominantly because of the performance of Emera Energy. So that is the part of our business that would have had the most benefit from U.

S. Tax reform. So as a result of that, we're probably more like in the $0.03 to $0.05 impact on EPS on a year over year basis.

Speaker 11

Okay. That's great. And then to follow on the Emera Energy results, when you look at it year over year, even on an annual basis, was the was outperformance mostly in the trading business rather than New England gas plants?

Speaker 6

Yes. So there's obviously a big uptick year over year in New England because of capacity prices, but that's something we could have calculated 3 years ago. So the real year over I guess what I'll say is the part that's harder to predict was the trading and marketing business. And so it started it had a very strong Q1, so we had a solid start to the year. But then again, as we said, Q3 was also very, very solid and we round the year up well too.

Speaker 11

Okay. So it sounds like, I mean, the market is not going to give you the benefit of the volatility, but you're not necessarily giving that away by selling the New England gas plants. So okay, that's good to know. And then can you also talk about lastly, Linda had some questions on asset sales and funding. I'm just wondering at this stage though, are you at the point where you have flexibility not to sell more assets at this stage?

Are you far along enough that you're generally committed to that asset sale range?

Speaker 3

Yes. I mean, I think, Ben, we set out a path that we described late in 2018 that we had started a little bit before we started talking about it. And we continue to be on that path. So I guess on the one hand, theoretically, there's flexibility for us to do something different, but you heard us today anchor our view and our intention of continuing along the path that we described late in 2018.

Speaker 11

Okay. Okay. Thanks everybody.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from Andrew Kuske with Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Speaker 12

Good morning. So we've seen some other players in Florida announce a pretty big ramp up in solar. So how do you think about that? Is that really a validation of the investment strategy you put forth a few years ago?

Speaker 4

Or do you

Speaker 12

see that as being also a bit of a threat?

Speaker 10

Hi, Andrew, it's Nancy. FPL, you're probably referring to FPL's big announcement on 30 for 30. I think it's a reflection in Florida's customers' desire for more solar and more renewables. And so we were happy to see that FP and L will do that in their service territory. And I think it really paves the way for the rest of us in terms of adding more solar.

And of course, we've talked about adding our next 600 megawatts. So we think it will be good for customers and really good for the state.

Speaker 12

And then on a longer term basis, how do you think about just the development of additional gas load in the state or battery usage?

Speaker 10

So we are we've got a small battery project that we're going to do this year. We're going to put it next to our solar installation at Big Bend, our smaller solar installation. So I think we like others are going to look at batteries and look how they integrate with our system and how they integrate with solar. So, we think that certainly will be part of our future. From a gas perspective, I'm not sure if I completely understand your question.

The Big Bend modernization will increase our use of gas. Those units will be highly efficient natural gas combined cycle. And so we like other utilities in the state are making that transformation from coal to gas.

Speaker 12

Okay, that's great. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Next question comes from Robert Kwan with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Speaker 13

Great. Good morning. Just continuing on with solar in Florida and the Phase 2, you've mentioned that you're securing land options in some early regulatory. I'm just wondering in terms of actually sanctioning and trying to get approval for Phase 2, do you need to attain certain milestones on the Big Bend modernization before sanctioning just to ensure that you can balance the generation?

Speaker 10

Robert, it's Nancy. We are so just from that second 600 megawatts, we're making our way as Scott said, buying land and looking at regulatory strategies. And we would we're putting together the business case and looking forward to that. Yes, we do have to get so from a timing perspective, it will probably be out a little bit past the current we'll be doing we'll be looking at sort of 2021, 2022, 2023 that timeframe. And by that time, we will have the simple cycle phase of the Big Bend in place.

And so more fast acting generation will help us integrate that second 600 megawatts of solar.

Speaker 13

Okay. So but in terms of actually getting into regulatory, how far along the Big Bend modernization do you need to be that you're confident you're going to be in there on timing and ability to kind of phase the solar, the Phase 2 in?

Speaker 10

So I think we would look at so first phase of Big Bend 2021 in service. And so we wouldn't be looking to add solar more than the 600 megawatts before then. And as you will remember, the final tranche of the first 600 comes into service in January 1, 'twenty one. So really, we would follow on the next 600 from that from sort of later than 'twenty one.

Speaker 13

Got it. Okay.

Speaker 3

Yes. I think Robert, it's Scott. I think once we get our permits in place this summer, then we'll be on a path with Big Bend modernization that gives us the confidence in that generation capacity being available support the solar and thus the timeframe that Nancy laid out for that investment.

Speaker 13

Understood. Just in terms of the directional 2019 segment guidance, is all of that before any assumed asset sales or have you actually color coded something in behind that guidance?

Speaker 4

Yes. So I think, Robert, it's Greg. Really the asset sale that would have a material impact on 2019 would be the already announced sale of NEGG. So where we would have had contribution from those 3 gas plants for 12 months in 2018, we're likely not to have it for 9 months in 2019. Other than that, we wouldn't see asset sales of having any impact in 2019.

Speaker 13

Okay. And maybe just to finish saying a little more granular Maritime Link, equity earnings were down in the quarter. Just wondering what's in behind that? And if do you have how much cash it actually generated in 2018?

Speaker 4

So to answer your first question, there was there's a little nuance that happens with Maritime Link is that Nova Scotia Power through the regulatory decision had to demonstrate the ability to generate $10,000,000 a year in value for customers in both 2018 and 2019. We were a little slow getting ahead of the gate and working with our partners in 2018. And as a result of that, we had an adjustment in Q4 to reflect the actual performance of the year. It was low single digit 1,000,000 of dollars, Robert. And so that's really what's driving the quarter over quarter change from Maritime Link.

From a cash perspective, it was around $40,000,000 to $50,000,000

Speaker 13

Okay. That's great. Thank you very much.

Speaker 4

You're welcome.

Speaker 1

We do not have any phone questions at this time. I will turn the call over to the presenters.

Speaker 3

Well, thank you for all the questions and participation in the call and we'll look forward to speaking with all of you as part of our Q1 results and hopefully see some of you at our Annual General Meeting as well. Thank you.

Speaker 1

This concludes today's conference call. You

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