Hello, everyone, and welcome to the European Residential Real Estate Investment Trust fourth quarter 2022 results conference call. My name is Bruno, and I will be operating your call today. During the presentation, you can register to ask a question by pressing star 1 on your telephone keypad. I will now hand over to your host, Mr. Phillip Burns. Mr. Phillip, please go ahead.
Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. Before we begin, let me remind everyone that during our conference call this morning, we may include forward-looking statements about our future financial and operating results. I direct your attention to slide 2 and our other regulatory filings. Joining me today is our CFO, Jenny Chou. After I provide an update on our operational progress during the quarter, Jenny will provide an overview of our financial results and position. 2022 was yet another year of unprecedented circumstances, so we are especially pleased to reporting another year of strong performance despite the many challenges. Slide 4 provides an overview of ERES's growth since inception, where you can see that we have more than tripled our suite count, having increased our asset base at a compounded rate of 37% per annum.
This includes the 6 high-quality multi-residential properties in the Netherlands, which we added to our portfolio this past year, demonstrating our ability to accretively grow by acquisition even amid adverse conditions. This accounts for the annual increase of the market value over the portfolio, which was offset by widespread interest rate impact on fair values. As a result, our NAV decreased compared to the prior year end to EUR 3.87 per unit. Nevertheless, it still remains well above the pricing of our publicly traded units, therefore prolonging the opportunity for investors to participate in a clear value play, which ERES currently offers. Slide 5 contains a snapshot of the fourth quarter, and as explained, our fair values declined by approximately 4%, landing at EUR 1.9 billion at December 31st, 2022, of which 95% represents our residential properties in the Netherlands.
That said, we were able to close out the year operationally strong, having grown both FFO and AFFO per unit by 10% annually. This was attributable to the success of our selective external growth earlier in the year, alongside major organic growth achieved throughout the year, with sizable quarter-over-quarter increases in same property NOI contribution, which I will elaborate on shortly. We are exercising caution when it comes to new acquisitions and prioritizing the preservation of our acquisition liquidity, which supplements our solid financial position. As at year-end, we had EUR 156 million in immediately available liquidity through cash and unused credit. That translates into a theoretical acquisition capacity of approximately EUR 350 million.
This was reinforced last month by the amendment of our revolving credit facility, which increased the commitment from EUR 1 million to EUR 125 million for a three-year period. This further strengthened our financial profile and liquidity, which Jenny will expand on. Turning to slide 6, we are pleased to showcase the effective execution of our rent maximization strategy in the Netherlands, our core market, that is characterized by increasingly favorable and robust long-term fundamentals. Our net and occupied average monthly rent increased last year by 5.3% and 5.4%, respectively, on a total portfolio and same property basis. These are the highest increases achieved to date, and further to that, they are significantly in excess of our target rental growth range of 3%-4%.
Notably, since inception, we have been able to achieve a constant annual growth rate in AMR in excess of 4%. These strong gains demonstrate the success of our rent growth strategy, comprised of increasing rents on indexation, securing market uplifts on turnover, and our value add capital expenditure program, including the conversion of regulated suites to liberalized. We recorded an average uplift on turnover of 23.8% and 22% during the past quarter and year, respectively, which included an exceptional 82.2% and 65% increase, which we realized on conversion for the fourth quarter and fiscal 2022, respectively.
For context, in 2021, our turnover rate was modestly higher, while we achieved an average uplift of 16.3%, which is still significant, but is 6 percentage points or one third lower than the average achieved in 2022. Indexation adds an additional tailwind. As of July 1st, 2022, the REIT served tenant notices to 96% of the residential portfolio, across which the average rental increase due to indexation was 2.95%. This was in line with Dutch government's cap on indexation for regulated and liberalized units, which was set at 2.3% and 3.3%, respectively, in 2022.
In relation to the record growth we achieved last year, we are stepping into 2023 on positive footing with the Dutch government having set maximum indexation for the coming year at 3.1% for regulated units and 4.1% for liberalized units, effective for the upcoming year. We expect this alone to drive rental growth in 2023 toward the high end of our target range, excluding the effects of turnover, which, as demonstrated, contribute significantly to additional growth. It is important to acknowledge that these rental revenue accomplishments were all achieved within a regulatory regime in flux. Dutch housing regulations have historically been fluid and iterative in nature, and their ever-changing and complex parameters continued to evolve over the year.
ERES has specialized in being able to profitably operate and grow rents within this framework, a skill that constitutes one of its key competitive advantages. In the face of regulatory evolution and change that based on precedent, we can expect going forward, we will remain strategic, adaptable, and proactive in preserving our positive trajectory on our rent maximization strategy and targets. Moving on to slide 7, you can see that our commercial occupancy was near full at 99.5%, while our residential occupancy remained high at 98.4% at year-end. This is again at the higher end of our target occupancy range, which is where we've constantly held it since inception. This further underscores the fundamentals of the Dutch residential market and its ability to transcend economic headwinds, even during the pandemic.
Spearheaded by strong rent growth and high occupancies, along with contribution from our acquisitions, we increased our net operating income by 16% to EUR 69 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. As Jenny will discuss shortly, strong cost control also played a key role, contributing to the substantial 100 basis points increase in our NOI margin, excluding fully recoverable service charges, which expanded to 83.1% for the year, up from 82.1% in 2021. Importantly, this highlights another critical cornerstone of ERES's unparalleled platform, that being its limited exposure to inflationary pressures. As I have reiterated throughout the past year of high inflation, our tenants are responsible for all of their own energy and other utility costs. The REIT has no employees, and therefore no wage costs, and property management fees are a fixed percentage of operating revenues.
Our overhead is also protected from inflation, with the largest contributor being asset management fees, which are based on historical cost with no allowance for inflation. In the context of a particularly challenging macroeconomic environment, this represents an invaluable safeguard and ensures our ability to continue delivering organic growth. Slide eight serves as a reminder of the unique diversification that characterizes our high-quality portfolio. Approximately two-thirds of our portfolio is currently liberalized, with over 40% of our properties located in the high-growth conurbation of the Randstad region. Moreover, approximately one-third of our portfolio is comprised of single-family homes, also known as Dutch row houses, a segment that is even further protected from inflation as tenants perform the majority of the R&M work themselves, thus resulting in higher margins. With that, I will now turn the call over to Jenny.
Thank you, Phillip. As you can see on slide 10, our quarterly results were solid. Operationally, our performance was strong, with operating revenues increasing by 14.5% and NOI up by 12.2%. This was attributable to our accretive acquisitions, as well as an increase in monthly rents on the stabilized portfolio, as outlined by Phillip. Our NOI margin remained high and relatively level with the fourth quarter of 2021, while our FFO per unit decreased by 2.4% to EUR 0.04 per unit. This was primarily a result of higher interest being accrued on our revolving credit facility, which was likewise the main driver of the decrease in the REIT's quarterly AFFO per unit.
However, our AFFO payout ratio was at almost 85% for the 3 months ended December 31st, 2022, which is exactly within our target range of 80%-90%. Slide 11 shows the strong results we achieved on an annual basis. For the total portfolio, operating revenue and NOI were both up by 16% for reasons already outlined. This was combined with a decrease in property operating costs as a percentage of operating revenue that was driven by lower repairs and maintenance costs, as well as the reduction in landlord levy expense, the latter a result of lower levy tax rate effective in 2022. In aggregate, this increased our NOI margin to 83.1% for the year ended December 31st, 2022, up from 82.1% last year.
This excludes service charges, which have a net zero impact on NOI as they're fully recoverable from tenants. Since the Dutch government abolished the landlord levy tax effective January 1st, 2023, we anticipate being able to maintain this expanded margin on a normalized basis, which is further reinforced by the fact that the REIT's property operating costs are largely insulated from inflation, as explained. This all trickled into improved financial returns for our unit holders, with FFO and AFFO per unit both up by 10% compared to the prior year. Slide 12 exhibits the REIT's outperformance on a stabilized basis as well. Residential occupancy was high and relatively stable, with the majority of our vacancy being deliberate and attributable to suites undergoing renovations upon turnover, pursuant to our productive capital investment program.
As at December 31, 2022, 71% of our residential units were offline for this reason, which should provide for further rental lifts when the suites are leased. As a testament to that assertion, I will re-remind everyone on the high uplift in rent, which we secured on turnover throughout this past year, as Phillip highlighted earlier. Stabilized occupied AMR grew from EUR 940 as at December 31, 2021, to EUR 991 as at the end of the current period end, representing an increase of 5.4% that is significantly in excess of our target range of 3%-4%. Again, demonstrating our success at executing on a robust rent maximization strategy. This fueled increases in operating revenues and NOI of approximately 5%. Combined with our focus on cost control and mitigation and our limited exposure to inflation-...
We expanded our same property NOI margin to 83.2%, excluding service charges. I am pleased to be reporting that this 100 basis point margin growth on both the total portfolio as well as the stabilized basis, which is indicative of its recurring nature and long-term inclination. Slide 13 represents the increasingly accretive results, which we are achieving as we grow. Through higher stabilized NOI, well-considered and accretive acquisitions, margin expansion, and strong cost control, you can see that our FFO and AFFO per unit continues to rise. Alongside that, through vigorously growing our revenues, we were able to increase our monthly distribution by 9% in the first quarter of 2022, establishing ERES as a sector leader in terms of distribution yield.
In spite of this, our AFFO payout ratio fell below its long-term target range to 78.9% for the year ended December 31, 2022, a result of the REIT surpassing its performance expectations. As we turn to slide 14, I will re-emphasize the importance that we attribute to maintaining a conservative and flexible financial position, which forms the pillar upon which the REIT's best-in-class platform stands. We have immediately available liquidity of over EUR 21 million, comprised of cash on hand and unused capacity on our revolving credit facility. Although we are looking at external growth through a cautious lens, this does exclude additional acquisition capacity available to us through the pipeline agreement or alternative promissory note arrangements with CAPREIT.
This also excludes additional capacity, which we secured through the post-year-end amendment of our revolving credit facility, which Phillip mentioned earlier, that increased the commitment by EUR 25 million and provided an additional EUR 25 million accessible via the accordion feature. Further to this, our debt metrics remain conservative, with an adjusted debt to portfolio mark value, market value ratio of 51% as at year-end, which is well below the 60% covenant prescribed by our revolving credit facility. Our coverage ratios also remain high and safely in excess of covenant thresholds. Finally, slide 15 displays the well staggered disposition of our mortgage profile, which is critically important in today's interest rate environment, as it minimizes our renewal risk while also sustaining our liquidity.
The majority of our mortgages are non-amortizing, and 100% are financed with terms and arrangements that result in fixed interest payments. With a weighted average term to maturity of 3.5 years, combined with the fact that we have less than 10% of our mortgage debt maturing in each of the upcoming two years, we are well positioned to withstand ongoing macroeconomic and interest rate volatility in the medium term. On that note, I will thank you for the time this morning and turn things back to Phillip to wrap up.
Thank you, Jenny. Looking back on 2022, we are pleased with the strong results which we have achieved in a globally difficult operating environment, and proved again, not just our ability to survive, but to thrive amid the adversity. We operationally outperformed relative to our targets, as well as in relation to our peer universe. We further proved the quality and resolve of our platform and team, and an exacerbated housing crisis in our core market that is projected only to worsen, further strengthening our industry fundamentals. Substantiating our sentiment, CAPREIT continues to act as our largest sponsor and has maintained the entirety of its majority ownership position, reflecting their own view of our REIT's long-term prospects.
As we look ahead, we will continue to go the extra mile in executing on our strategic objectives, while remaining operationally robust, regardless of any potential change or uncertainty on the macroeconomic or regulatory front. We have demonstrated this to date. We will continue to prove it in practice. With that, I would like to thank you for your time this morning. We would now be pleased to take any questions you may have. Operator, back over to you, please.
Ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad now. If you'd like to cancel the question, please press star followed by 2, and do also remember to unmute your microphone. Our first question is from Jonathan Kelcher from TD Securities. Jonathan, your line's now open. Please go ahead.
Thanks, good morning.
Good morning, Jonathan.
First question, just on, just on the, the same property NOI growth, in the quarter was, was 2.7%, which is a step down from, from, previous quarters. Can you maybe provide a little bit of color on that? Was there anything one-time in the cost or anything in there?
It's primarily due to the timing of R&M. If you look at our Q3 results, you'll see that property operating costs were slightly on the lighter end, with a catch-up happening in Q4.
If we're looking ahead to 2023, it sounds like you margins are going to be pretty stable to what they like in that sort of 83% range, and we should just think about revenue growth translating into the same property NOI growth. Is that, is that a good way to think about it?
Yeah. Our stabilized NOI growth on an annual basis would be a good benchmark.
Okay. Then on the, on the revenue side... You did well on, on uplifts in, in 2022. Is there, is there anything to think about for 2023 that suggests that it'll be any different?
No. Again, the only thing I would say is you might have noticed that our turnover was a bit elevated in Q4, but that's if you look at that on an annualized basis, 'cause it was a bit lower in Q2 and Q3, you know, we're still gonna see that turnover in the 11%-13% range. There's nothing that we see that is softening the overall market dynamics. You know, there's been, you know, new research that have come out as early as this week that, you know, demonstrate how the shortage of housing is getting worse, how the, you know, construction deliveries are declining, the permits are declining. We see no reason why for 2023, we can't continue that level of top-line performance.
Okay. Thanks. I'll, I'll turn it back.
Our next question is from Brad Sturges, from Raymond James. Brad, your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Hi there. Just to follow along the same line of questioning there, just on, on the rent growth on suite term for liberalized suites, where do you think that could trend to this year? Do you, do you think that is still around the 20% mark, or do you see that further expanding?
Yeah, I mean, we, for the past couple of quarters and, and even for the year, we've been, you know, at or above 20%. I, I think staying at that level is, is certainly what we expect to deliver. You know, obviously, we're, we're always trying to maximize it as much as possible. As I just mentioned to Jonathan, you know, there is nothing to suggest to us that supply is going to increase, we think the tightness in the market will continue. You know, as market rents continue to trend upward, and, you know, maybe we can take advantage of that. You know, expecting us to continue to deliver on average, you know, 20% or above uplift is, is fair.
Okay. Switching over to the IFRS valuation, it took cap rates up again this quarter. Just curious if that's tied to, to transactions you're seeing in the market and, and maybe just generally, what your expectations around pricing and transactions will be for the year. If, if not, you know, just walk through maybe the assumption changes there.
Yeah, I mean, there, there, there continues to be a very limited number of observable transaction comps. In an absolute, there was a substantial amount of activity that did take place last year, but you saw the housing associations dramatically increase their participation in the transaction volume. Of course, they're, you know, generally, you know, looking at affordable or regulated-only properties, and they're unlevered buyers, so not certain that those are necessarily great comparables for us. You know, for the few transactions that were out there, particularly in Q4, there was not a, a meaningful notice of cap rates widen- or cap rates widening. Most of the adjustment from our portfolio came more from the discount rates, just reflecting the current interest rate environment, now versus where it has been historically, offset, of course, by our NOI growth.
Mm-hmm. That makes sense. I'll, I'll turn it back. Thanks a lot.
Our next question is from Kyle Stanley, from Desjardins. Kyle, your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Thanks. Morning, everyone.
Morning, Kyle.
Maybe just, kind of sticking along Brad's line of questions there. Can you just comment more broadly on the residential investment environment in the Netherlands right now? I mean, has there been a shift over the last few months as maybe the economic outlook in Europe has improved? We've now got, obviously, some certainty on the regulatory side. Just curious if, if the investment environment is changing at all, if you're seeing, you know, maybe some, some investors who had been on the sidelines starting to come back.
Yeah, I mean, you have to, you know, really, really... I, I haven't seen, or we haven't observed, you know, sideline investors coming back. If you break it into new deliveries, there are new deliveries happening with things that were in train, but what you're more seeing on, you know, potential, new build opportunities, is those are being put on hold, delayed, stopped, because, you know, you have, you know, rising costs, inflation, labor shortages. You also have increased regulatory or, environmental issues and cost of carry issues. With the new to-be-implemented next year, mid-market rents, that's put an incredible damper on the, the new supply delivery. In terms of the existing supply, I, I don't see, people, you know, coming back in great quantity. Again, the, the housing associations have been more active, than they had been historically.
If you look at even, you know, the levered buyers, any of those are largely sitting on the sideline because of the increased cost of financing. Even the unlevered buyers, they are not rushing back into the market either, simply because although they don't need to finance with debt, there's just limited price discovery. Although they could probably afford to play, you know, existing cap rates, they wanna know to see if or at all they're going to move before they come in in any significant, you know, volume. It's still although the environment is more positive than it would have been in Q4, it's been very volatile. If you just look at the interest rate expectations, they were, you know, reasonably high in Q4, November, December.
They, you know, softened in January when people thought that the ECB was going to take their foot off the gas. Now, they've gone back up to where they were. I think although the regulatory uncertainty having largely been clarified as a positive, there's still a pretty big uncertainty in terms of what the interest rate environment looks like, you know, the next 12 to 18 months.
Okay, thanks for that. That makes sense. Maybe just on that note, where is the current cost of debt on, you know, five- to seven year money currently?
I would say it would be mid-4%+.
Okay. Thank you. Just one last one. I mean, Phillip, you, you mentioned obviously, the, the regulation on the mid-market, now that we do have that certainty, you know, have, have there been any changes to your capital allocation plans? I mean, I think you've discussed in the past maybe focusing a little more on the affordable side to, to, you know, limit your exposure to the mid-market when we didn't have the certainty, but just curious if there's been any changes.
I, I wouldn't say there's been significant changes. You know, we would expect to still deploy the same amount of in-suite, CapEx, particularly for 2023, that, that we had anticipated. You know, what we're doing is... You know, not that we always haven't been incredibly scrutinizing of any capital that we deliver and ROI metrics, et cetera, but we're trying to be much more dynamic, recognizing that, you know, this mid-market regulation is anticipated to come in. So, you know, we, you know, might change our strategy where we would go in and do a full refurb. Maybe we'll do a slightly, you know, lighter refurb and not deploy capital.
I'm just making up the numbers, get, you know, 70% of the rental growth that we would have got if we would have done a refurb, in both of those situations, satisfying our IOI, ROI criteria. We're just trying to be even more dynamic than we were before, but we still see a lot of opportunity to do our value add in-suite program, both on conversion and not conversion. I, I don't see a big change there for us going through the rest of this year. In terms of the regulatory environment, there's been no changes announced, but there is currently a very robust debate, in terms of how destructive these changes will be. There's been a, you know, very, very forceful industry blowback.
The government is listening, but personally, from our perspective, we don't see the government making any material changes between what they've announced, and what we fully anticipate coming in in 2024. They may, may make some changes on the margin that allow them to suggest they've been listening to the industry. We believe that what they've announced, what we articulated, at the beginning of the year, is probably the new regime, and certainly, you know, worst case, there may be some, some tweaks on the margin that, that could provide some, modest, positive benefits, but versus what we expect. Again, you know, everything the government is saying publicly is, "This is in train.
It, it's going to happen, you know, January 1st, 2024. You know, the one thing again, we, we had a very long discussion with some of you in our press release. We indicated that, you know, we thought the overall exposure for us was about 5% of our or 4% of our total rent over a three-to-five-year period, because at that point in time, we were using the old matrix. You know, the government has stated that, you know, the new matrix will go up this year by inflation. If we were to redo that sensitivity, we would expect the exposure of our portfolio, instead of being something close to 4% overall, it would be something closer to 3% overall, still coming in over that three-to-five-year period.
Looking for our, our growth rates out to 2024 and beyond, if we're going to grow, you know, at or above that 4%, maybe even 5%, the, the, the drag from that, you know, as some of our units are reconverted, we would expect to be slightly lighter than what we articulated in January.
Okay. Thank you. Very clear. I will turn it back.
Our next question is from Jimmy Shan, from RBC Capital Markets. Jimmy, your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Thanks. Just on the mid-market rules, the 25% impacted, would they be disproportionately in certain markets or certain buildings or certain type of units? I guess the question is, would it make sense to look at disposing them into the end user market? Would that be a strategy that you'd be contemplating at this point?
I would have to get the exact data, but it would probably be happening more outside the Randstad than within the Randstad, simply because within the Randstad, you have a higher WOZ value, generally, you know, per square meter than you. WOZ value, the municipal tax value, which forms part of the points calculation. Again, I would have to come back to you more specifically, but I would expect it to be slightly more outside the Randstad than within the Randstad. Would we potentially sell assets?
If we had assets that required a significant amount of capital expenditure, and we would not be able to be sufficiently rewarded for that, i.e., you have to invest tens of thousands of EUR, but yet you're not going to be able to be regulated, then the ROI on that would be very, very low, or the payback period would be incredibly extended. We would potentially sell those units. Again, we've sold two units in the past couple of years, and the exact reason we did that was the CapEx expected was so far and above what we would've anticipated the payback being. We sold those.
Having said all of that, the privatization market, as this is often referred to, is less robust today, than it has been historically because those owner-occupiers, you know, have mortgage costs that have quadrupled. The affordability for them to, you know, buy versus rent is a dramatically different calculation than it would have been over the past several years.
Okay. That's fair, and I assume, and if your estimation that most of those assets would be outside of Randstad, I'd imagine that the end user market outside of Randstad would be weaker than those in Randstad, I, I imagine.
Not necessarily. I mean, they will not.
Okay
... have had the historic run-up in value that you would have had within the Randstad, so any softening in price would be less as well. Again, they would-
Right
... they would have the same affordability challenges of somebody within the Randstad or without the Randstad. The mortgage rates don't really depend don't change geographically within the Netherlands.
Right. Okay. Then you had mentioned, the housing associations were fairly active buying regulated units. Have you noticed any, any changes in values there?
No. No. Again, as I mentioned, whether you're looking at, you know, the, the, the transaction activity at the housing association level or the regulated level or, you know, more broadly. We are unable to observe a meaningful change in cap rates so far based upon completed transactions.
Okay. Okay, thank you.
As a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask a question, please press Star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad. Our next question is from Matt Kornack from National Bank. Matt, your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Thanks. Hey, hey, guys. just, just wanna understand with regards to the conversions that you're currently doing, are those convergent...? I mean, you're moving to liberalize, but would those now fall into that mid-market segment? How do you think about doing conversions through this year, given that obviously, it's on turnover thereafter, but, just your thoughts around that, that whole process, given the new rules?
Yeah. You know, as we look at conversions now, I mean, anything that we're going to be converting, we need to ensure that we get the right ROI. It becomes much more, as I was explaining at the beginning, perhaps not as, as well as I could, it's much more dynamic now. You know, before, you know, if, if the, the break-even point was 140, 145, you know, it sort of varies year to year, you know, we would have taken something into the 160s to make certain there, there's a buffer there. Again, it's not so much that it gets converted, it's that the, the return on invested capital is appropriate for us.
Now, it certainly is a higher benchmark to get above EUR 187, but we might be doing a, a material investment in a unit this year, even though we might not get it all to way to liberalize. You know, if it's got, you know, low, you know, below EUR 140 now, so it's regulated, and we can get it to, you know, EUR 175, you know, that's still going to be a material uplift in rent, but we're just gonna have to adjust our capital investment program to make certain that it meets the criteria. We just have to be more dynamic in terms of what we're doing this year to make certain that it doesn't get undone next year. Again, it's never gonna get undone all at once next year either.
It depends upon how much people move out of those flats that are candidates to be reclassified. Also, there, there is the, you know, difficulty in the market where, you know, expecting everybody to move out of their flat so they can go get a cheaper one because their flat is just now, or potentially can be reclassified. You know, I ask myself where they're going to move to because there's just a shortage.
We're also doing, you know, more dynamic analyses too, where if the rent would have been, you know, EUR 1,500 with a full conversion and it was gonna go back to EUR 1,100, maybe we do slightly less than a full conversion and we take the rents to EUR 1,250, you know, with the idea that it's highly likely that somebody, you know, would be more inclined to move out if they're paying EUR 1,500 and they get something similar for EUR 1,100, but they're less likely to move out if their rent is EUR 1,250 and they could only go down to EUR 1,100. As we've explained to you guys before, we always used to paint and put in floors, because we got incredible payback periods on those.
Well, now maybe we'll put in less paint and fewer floors because we're not gonna get remunerated for it. If we can charge higher rents in 2023 than might be due next year under the reclassification, people are pretty unlikely to move out if the rental savings they're going to achieve are more limited and they just paid for their own floors. It's much more dynamic this year than it would have been historical, just because you, you have this gray area. As I mentioned, in somebody else's question, we still anticipate spending a similar amount in terms of in-suite, i.e., value-add CapEx, without changing our ROI expectations or requirements.
No, that, that, that makes sense. I appreciate the color. I, I guess, we've seen a little bit of an increase in, in your, your CapEx profile as a result of, some of these conversions. You've seen kind of conversions generating somewhere in the mid-30s, rent increases. I think this quarter it was up to 82%. Like, have the returns improved essentially on that? How should we think about it? Is that 82% an anomalous number for this, quarter, or is that the trend is kind of moving in that direction?
Yeah, I, I would-- One, I would say 82%, I, I don't love the word anomalous, but I, I wouldn't say that's going to be our run rate going forward. You, you would see historically, we've been getting better and better returns on conversions because the market rents have continued to go up, go up, go up, go up, go up. Where we would have been, you know, doing a conversion, you know, that was driving us to EUR 1,100 a month, three years ago, then went to EUR 1,300 a month, you know, a year and a half ago today. You know, ignoring the mid-market stuff, you know, that same flat would be getting EUR 1,500, and our required investment has not been inflating that rapidly.
We've definitely, on conversions, seen the trend generally going higher, but again, I, I think in the 30%-50% range is, is where I would expect to generally see it over time. Very happy that we, we got much higher than that the past quarter, but it also depends upon which unit you are, which market you are, what the, the state pre-investment looks like versus the, the post-investment state. It, it's very much depending upon the stock that's, that's being addressed at that point in time. But the uplifts continue to be very material and generally trending upward just because the market rents are also trending upward.
Okay. No, that, that's, that's very helpful. I appreciate it. You just need to work on the ECB a bit.
Yeah, if you, if you could do that, Matt, you know, I'll, I'll send you a nice gift. I don't know what it'll be, but it'll be nice.
Not sure I have that power, but good quarter on the ops front.
Our next question is from David Chrystal, from Echelon Capital Markets. David, your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Thanks. Good morning, guys. You know, it sounds like your next dollar of capital is really best served reinvesting in your existing portfolio, even if it's, you know, it might be a little bit more targeted, based on the kind of upcoming legislation. Beyond that dollar, are you seeing investment opportunities within your existing markets? Are you looking at potential acquisitions in any new markets at this juncture? Or are you a little bit off the acquisition train for now?
Yeah, I mean, I, I think we have to be very transparent about this. I mean, In an interest rate environment as we have today, I, I see it unlikely that we'd be acquiring in this type of environment. Again, we, we have to know, you know, that we can, you know, finance it attractively, appropriately, vis-a-vis the cap rate or the asset yield. Right now, it's very difficult to know where the stabilized or normalized, you know, debt rates are going to be. I think we have to be very, very cautious. In such a cautious environment, I think the bar would be even higher for us to go to a new geography.
You know, 18 months ago, when we were performing well, you know, on, on all metrics, you know, I would have thought that we were very close to going to a new geography, but, you know, don't we all know that the world has changed quite dramatically in the past 12 to 18 months? You know, from external growth perspective, I just see it unrealistic for us at the moment, and we will continue to deploy capital to drive our organic rental growth.
Okay, fair. On the debt side, obviously, you know, the, the cost, I think, Jenny, you had some commentary earlier, but is debt availability an issue, or is it kind of widely available, are you just paying the higher cost today?
It's, it's the latter. It's still readily available. It's just the cost of that money.
Okay, great. Have you had any discussions on your, your 23, maturities, or where do those fall in the year?
We've already started in discussions with a lot of our lenders. It's in that mid, mid 4-plus range that I mentioned earlier.
That comes due at the end of June.
Okay, perfect.
We'll be executing that in the coming weeks, months.
Okay, perfect. That's all for me. Thanks, guys.
Our next question is from Himanshu Gupta, from Scotiabank. Himanshu, your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Good morning. I just joined the call, not sure if my questions are already covered.
Hey, Hey, Himanshu, we, we, we, we can't hear you, Himanshu. You're, you're breaking up. Difficult to hear you.
Any, any better now, Phillip?
Much. Thank you. Yeah, much better.
Okay, sorry. Yeah. I was just saying that, I just joined the call, so not sure if my questions were already covered... In terms of my question is really on IFRS cap rates, you know, around 3.64, up 30 basis points year-over-year. I mean, do you think the IFRS value is reflecting current environment?
As, as we discussed it with the previous question, there's been very limited transaction comparables by which the valuers, and in turn, we can observe a meaningful cap rate expansion. The biggest driver of our downward movement in fair value has been due to the discount rate, which is being driven largely by the interest rate environment, offset in part by our NOI growth. We believe that looking forward at the interest rate environment, which remains very uncertain to us, that will have the biggest driver of the future profile of our fair values.
Okay, that's fair enough. Would you say that, you know, to justify the current debt financing cost, you could expect more cap rate expansion here, or are we still in a period of transition and, you know, still figuring out how much cap rate needs to expand further from here?
Yeah, I mean, that's, I, I think that's, that's the, the $1 million, EUR 1 million question, is there, there's just significantly lower volume of, of transaction activity. In the, the lessened transaction volume, we don't see, you know, yet a material movement in cap rates, but there's just an enormous price discovery or lack of price discovery on both the buyer and the seller side. I don't think this is unique to multi-residential in the Netherlands. I, I think that's a, a phenomenon or a situation that pretty much is, is prevalent in real estate globally. Yeah, it's very hard for us to speculate, you know, what's gonna happen on the interest rate side and what the knock-on effect is going to be on our cap rates. You know, we're, you know, very comfortable with, you know, what we published for this quarter.
Again, I mean, I, I don't quite have the ability to forecast what the ECB is going to do, and, and that has an impact for sure.
That's fair enough. We totally understand that. You know, on the acquisitions, obviously, you have been on a pause for 6 months. How do we approach now? The question is really, do you see any capital recycling opportunity here? Like, can, can you monetize on property where value add has been done and that proceeds could be used to recycle into other opportunities?
I, I, I don't see us. As I, I, I'm not certain, maybe it's David who asked the question, but I, I, I don't see us being externally acquisitive until there's more clarity in the interest rate environment and our cost of capital. We will be continuing to be laser-focused on our value add investment programs and driving our organic growth. Again, we, I, I know, you know, some people are, are doing it here in North America, including our largest shareholder, recycling assets, high grading, et cetera, but our, our portfolio is, is not homogenous, but much more homogenous, where, you know, we don't have low vacancy assets that need lots of structural CapEx, et cetera, where we could sell them for very tight cap rates and then, you know, turn around and redeploy that at more attractive cap rates.
I mean, our, our portfolio is, has a very different makeup than that. I, I don't see us churning our portfolio, selling off certain assets to redeploy in the market. Again, in the market, you know, at least our market, you know, there remains, you know, a, a big, lack of price discovery in where the true, you know, clearing pricing is, if you were to go out and, and buy new assets or buy different assets, I should say.
That's fair enough. Maybe, you know, the last question from my side, would be, which segment is most attractive today, or, or the least attractive today between regulated, mid-market, or liberalized? I mean, in terms of cash and cash returns, like, which one is least, which one is most attractive?
Again, I would only be able to answer that question, you know, depending upon what I could buy each of those units for, right? Historically, you know, we have, well, you know, several years ago, we were buying more regulated stuff at wider cap rates, and we were fine with that. You get a, a, call it a better pricing going in on a relative basis, although your top line was growing less robustly. The whole market had yield compression, and when you were at sort of the bottom of that yield compression, we saw better value in paying a tighter cap rate for newer assets, more liberalized assets that had a dramatically higher top-line growth rate. You know, again, if we were in an acquisitive mode, we would have to price each one separately.
Again, we, we have always and would continue, if we were in an acquisitive mode, to like both asset classes, you know, so long as they are priced appropriately, and they certainly would be priced differently. But you'll also recall that it's pretty rare that you'd buy a meaningful size portfolio that's 100% one or the other. We had historically been buying mixed portfolios.
Fair enough. Thanks for the color, and I'll turn it back. Thank you.
We currently have no further questions. I will now hand back to our speaker for final comments, Mr. Phillip Burns. Please go ahead.
Thank you, operator. Thank you all for joining us this morning. As ever, if you have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact either Jenny or myself at any time. Thank you very much for joining. Have a great day.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your line.