Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Desiree and I will be your conference operator today. At this time I would like to Welcome everyone to the First Quantum Minerals third quarter 2025 results conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again press the star one. I would now like to turn the conference over to Bonita To, Director of Investor Relations. You may begin.
Thank you, Desiree. Thank you, everyone, for joining us today to discuss our third quarter results. During the call, we will be making forward-looking statements, and as such, I encourage you to read the cautionary notes that accompany this presentation, our MD&A, and the related news release. As a reminder, the presentation is available on our website and all dollar references are in US dollars unless otherwise noted. On today's call are Tristan Pascall, our Chief Executive Officer, Ryan MacWilliam, our Chief Financial Officer, and Rudi Badenhorst, our Chief Operating Officer. With that, I will turn the call over to Tristan for opening remarks.
Thank you Bonita and thank you to everybody for joining us today to discuss our third quarter results. During the quarter we made meaningful progress on our priorities for 2025 and I'm pleased to be able to provide an update on these. Firstly, we continue to proactively strengthen our balance sheet and manage our liquidity. In August we announced a $1 billion non-debt gold stream agreement with Royal Gold and undertook a series of bond transactions to extend our debt maturities, which Ryan will cover in more detail in his financial overview. Secondly, we remain focused on safe and leading productive operational performance. We were pleased to host analysts and investors to our Zambia operations in September to showcase cornerstone assets and we continue to see quarter-over-quarter improvement in production. We remain on track with our guidance for the year, which Rudi will review.
Thirdly, at the Kansanshi S3 Expansion, we successfully reached substantial completion of most construction areas during the quarter and produced first concentrate in August, which I will cover in more detail in my closing remarks. On our fourth priority in Panama, there were several positive developments during the quarter and we continue to make progress on the preservation and safe management program that the government approved earlier this year. During the quarter we shipped the remaining concentrate at site along with subsequent shipments of supplies and equipment. These all took place safely at our port without incident. With regards to the power plant, we commenced pre-commissioning activities and mobilized specialists to site ahead of the restart, which remains on schedule, with the first 150 MW unit expected to be fired and synchronized with the grid in November.
The power generated will support on-site preservation activities while surplus energy will be made available for dispatch to support the national grid as required. During the quarter, the Government of Panama, through MiAmbiente , initiated the comprehensive audit of Cobre Panama and awarded the contract to SGS Global, an independent and internationally recognized audit firm. SGS has commenced the six-month audit process and is currently working with the various ministries. The company has always sought to conduct its operations with transparency and in full compliance with international environmental standards, including achieving 100% compliance on our environmental commitments in the most recent ESIA audit published earlier this year. Our team at Cobre Panama is ready to provide all the necessary information to support SGS and the government to complete the audit.
Today.
The company's work with the government has been centered around the preservation and safe management program for the mine, with a priority focused on safety, asset integrity, and environmental stewardship. However, we remain prepared for when the government is ready to discuss more broadly a resolution for the future of Cobre Panama. Understandably, any potential new agreement will need to clarify that the mineral resources belong to the people of Panama. This is well understood by First Quantum and hence our willingness to find a durable agreement for a fair fiscal structure that reflects this, as well as the $10 billion investment that First Quantum has made into the country. I believe both sides will be motivated to reach a fair, equitable, and mutually beneficial resolution.
Had Cobre Panama remained in operation since 2023, contributions to the country of Panama could have reached $1 billion to the treasury and $2 billion to local Panamanian supplier companies. It is important to First Quantum that the contributions of the mine, such as employment and growth, can deliver tangible benefits to the people of Panama. At the same time, a fair and balanced agreement would position Panama as a destination for foreign direct investment and a pivotal step in confirming the country's reputation as a stable and attractive environment for international capital. Our focus remains on reaching a resolution for the mine that serves the best interests of our stakeholders, the government, and the people of Panama. Thank you. I will now pass the call over to Rudi for his operational review.
Thank you, Tristan. It is pleasing to report that operations continued to improve into the third quarter of this year and operated uninterrupted from power constraints. Total copper production was 105,000 tonnes, a 15% increase over the second quarter, as both Sentinel and Kansanshi reported higher production. Copper sales volumes totaled 119,000 tonnes during the quarter. As Tristan noted, we benefited from additional concentrate shipments at Cobre Panama. However, sales volumes in Zambia were lower than production due to the replenishment of inventories following the smelter shutdown in quarter two. Ryan will cover this in more detail. Initial overview: year to date we produced 295,000 tonnes of copper and are on track to achieve our 2025 tightened guidance range of 390,000 tonnes - 410,000 tonnes.
At Kansanshi.
The operation reported 47,000 tonnes of copper production in the third quarter, an increase of nearly 7,000 tonnes from the previous quarter. The improvement was mainly driven by higher mill throughput with the commissioning of the S3 Expansion. The ramp up of S3 has surpassed expectations, achieving first production in August and contributed approximately 6,000 tonnes of copper production to the quarter. Looking forward, copper and gold production in the fourth quarter are expected to exceed third quarter levels as stable circuit performance is running ahead of schedule, leading to a better than anticipated ramp up of the S3 concentrator, which Tristan will cover in more detail in his closing remarks. With respect to 2025 production guidance for Kansanshi, we have narrowed copper production to a range of 175,000 tonnes- 185,000 tonnes while gold production guidance has increased to a range of 110,000 ounces - 115,000 ounces.
Over to our Trident operations, Sentinel reported copper production of 51,000 tonnes in the third quarter, an improvement of over 8,000 tonnes from quarter two. Mill throughput averaged over 5 million tonnes per month, representing a 14% increase from the second quarter levels, benefiting from improved ore fragmentation, improved reliability and performance of the primary crushers and excellent management of t he crushed ore mill.
Feeder stockpile, the relocation of In-Pit Crusher 2 has been completed and will be commissioned in the fourth quarter. The innovative low energy consumption rail-run conveyor, which was showcased on our Zambian tour for analysts, investors, and lenders in September, will require some modification as performance testing continues towards final commissioning of the asset during the quarter. We also continued to advance the maintenance program to address the bolt fatigue issues on Ball Mill 2. Work is ongoing with the original equipment manufacturer and specialist engineering consultants to develop a long-term corrective procedure to ensure sustained bolt performance, and an update will be provided once this is established. Any remedial actions will be timed to the best of our ability with planned maintenance downtime in order to mitigate the impact on production.
Copper production at Sentinel is expected to continue to improve for the fourth quarter as higher grades will be accessed as mining progresses to the bottom of Stage 1 pit for sub-development ahead of this wet season, along with the transition to higher primary sulphide ore volumes reporting from Stage 3. That being said, due to the year-to-date production, we have updated our copper production guidance for Sentinel to a range of 190,000 tonnes - 200,000 tonnes. At Enterprise, it is pleasing to report a 44% quarter-over-quarter improvement in nickel production to nearly 6,000 tonnes during the third quarter. While nickel grades continue to be impacted by transitional ore from the Stage 3 area, throughput improved with increased nickel ore supply and plant performance. Production guidance for the year has narrowed to between 18,000 tonnes and 23,000 tonnes of contained nickel.
The continued focus at Enterprise will be on maximizing ore supply, improving communication efficiency to increase throughput, as well as enhancing plant performance when processing complex nickel ore types. At Cobre Panama, we continued our preservation and safe management work during the quarter, which included refurbishment of subsystems in the flotation area and the conveyor belt. Inspections of the plant and stockpile feeders have concluded that these areas are in fair condition. Additionally, detailed inspections with original equipment manufacturer specialists are being conducted on the mobile fleet to ensure asset safety and integrity. These inspections and reports are expected to be concluded in the near future. Preservation and safe management costs during the third quarter averaged approximately $16 million per month and included services related to the copper concentrate shipments and commissioning activities for t he restart of the power plant.
Thank you, and with that I will hand the call over to Ryan for his financial review.
Thank you, Rudi. For the third quarter, we reported EBITDA of $435 million and an adjusted loss of $0.02 per share. This financial performance positively benefited from the solid operational results which Rudi just described. Additionally, the copper price increased 2% from Q2 due to supply disruptions at several large copper mines across the industry. Financial results, however, were negatively impacted by two key items. While revenue grew by 10% quarter- over- quarter, benefiting from higher copper sales volumes and improved metal prices, this was mainly driven by the 24,000 tonnes of concentrate shipped from Cobre Panama. However, as Rudi noted, sales volumes from Kansanshi were negatively impacted by the replenishment of anode inventories following the smelter shutdown. This impacted EBITDA by $45 million and third quarter earnings $0.03 per share.
Additionally, royalty costs were $25 million higher at Kansanshi this quarter due to the smelter shut, which resulted in an increased proportion of local sales, which in turn resulted in earlier crystallization of royalties.
With i nventories largely replenished, we expect sales volumes and associated royalty costs to normalize subject to normal timing lags. Moving on to the rest of our financial results, as I noted earlier, during the quarter we shipped the remaining concentrate at Cobre Panama. These shipments contributed approximately $160 million to third quarter EBITDA. At the Zambian operations we had a late shipment of anodes in the quarter while revenue was booked in the quarter. It also resulted in elevated receivables at the end of September, which is expected to unwind in Q4. During the quarter we slightly added to our copper hedges while maintaining our gold hedge portfolio. We're not currently adding additional hedges as our long term strategy remains to be unhedged, thereby retaining full exposure to spot commodity prices.
We've engaged in selective hedging as a tool to support our financial resilience and safeguard the balance sheet while S3 ramps up and as we work towards resolution in Panama. Copper C1 costs of $1.95 per pound improved by 3% from Q2, helped by higher production and lower fuel costs but negatively impacted by reduced gold byproduct credits and less capitalized costs. Remaining input prices and Zambian power rates were stable during the quarter. We've narrowed our full year C1 cash cost guidance to $1.95 - $2.10 per pound. While gold prices have been strong, the strengthening Zambian kwacha and high expected Zambian power costs in Q4 offset this benefit. Our all-in cost guidance has also been narrowed to $3.10 - $3.25 per pound, reflecting our lowered guidance on sustaining and capitalized stripping spend.
We've lowered 2025 CapEx guidance by approximately $175 million to a range of $1.15 billion - $1.25 billion. This is due to lower capital spend year to date and the expectation S3 project will come in under the $1.25 billion budget. Some of the reduction in sustaining capital is expected to be carried forward to next year, such as some of our mobile fleet replacements and mobile component change outs. As Tristan noted, during the quarter we continue to take proactive steps to further strengthen our balance sheet by executing two milestone transactions. First, we completed a $1 billion gold stream with Royal Gold, which provides long term unsecured non-debt capital. This transaction allows us to maintain full exposure to copper production at Kansanshi while leaving most of our gold production exposed to spot pricing.
Over the long term, proceeds were largely deployed towards debt repayments with net debt ending the quarter at $4.8 billion. Second, we issued $1 billion in senior unsecured notes maturing in 2034. The proceeds were used to retire the remaining 2027 notes and a portion of the higher coupon 2029 secured notes. Following this refinancing, our nearest bond maturity has now been extended to 2029. These combined actions have improved near term liquidity by approximately $1.6 billion, resulting in liquidity of $2.3 billion at quarter end. This comprised of $960 million in cash and a fully undrawn revolver of $1.3 billion. After thoroughly evaluating alternatives, the stream agreement was the best strategic and financial outcome for First Quantum . As such, there are no further financings or stake sales planned for Zambia at this time.
Thank you and I will now hand the call back to Tristan for his closing remarks.
Thank you, Ryan. During the third quarter, First Quantum achieved two milestones that demonstrate our commitment to safety and sustainability in our broader business. At Çayeli in Turkey, our colleagues delivered over three years without a lost time injury. I congratulate them on this achievement, a testament to our Think Safety program, which drives engagement and a measurable reduction in incidents. Also at Çayeli, yesterday we published an updated 43-101 Technical Report on the new southern ore body, including a life of mine plan which extends the mine life of Çayeli to 2036. In Finland, at our closed Pyhäsalmi mine, a 13 MW solar photovoltaic generation project was commissioned on the field tailings pond by the municipal-owned development company Callio, connecting into the existing electrical infrastructure established by the mine.
As part of our commitment to responsible mine closure, we're supporting the transition of legacy assets into renewable energy that benefits local communities. It is pleasing that I can conclude today's call by discussing the substantial completion of the company's latest brownfield expansion project. During the quarter, the Kansanshi S3 Expansion project was successfully completed and all but two circuits were handed over to operations. In October, the full copper circuit was brought online in stages with a focus on tuning the circuit and ramping up towards steady state and nameplate capacity. As Rudi noted, to date the ramp-up has exceeded expectations and the plant is now maintaining 24 hour operations with support from the commissioning team and vendor specialists. Only the gravity gold circuit and some concentrate filter upgrades at S3 remain to be completed and handed over to operations.
In addition, the smelter expansion works are complete while acid plant 5 is currently in the hot commissioning stage. Ongoing project capital works on TSF2 are expected to be completed in the second quarter of next year. I would like to take this opportunity to congratulate the in-house First Quantum teams responsible for the successful delivery of the Kansanshi S3 Expansion and, on behalf of the board and the company, I would like to extend my gratitude to all involved in building and making operational the project for their remarkable work. These are the same in-house teams that successfully built the Sentinel and Cobre Panama projects, allowing us to learn and improve on each of the six [40-foot SAG] mill processing trains across our business.
The new processing plant at Kansanshi, designed to treat 25 million tonnes of ore annually, incorporates cutting-edge technology and automation such as the integrated operations center that make the Kansanshi S3 Expansion one of the most advanced copper projects in Africa. At the peak of construction, over 2,500 Zambians and 535 local Zambian companies worked on the project alongside our in-house teams, gaining skills and capacity that will serve them long after S3 is complete. We see that capital intensity for copper projects is a growing challenge, particularly as the mining industry faces relatively higher cost of capital compared to other market sectors. As a result of declining grades and an increasing infrastructure burden for new projects, the industry average capital intensity to build a project is moving steadily towards $30,000 per tonne of annualized copper production.
In contrast, by building our own projects largely in-house, our experience at First Quantum is that we are typically able to exert greater control on quality, productivity, and capital intensity. This has allowed us to build the brownfield project at the Kansanshi S3 expansion at $12,000 per tonne of annualized copper production. Our latest greenfield projects at Cobre Panama, including a port and power station, was built at $18,000 and Sentinel was built at $12,000 per tonne of annualized copper production. As we look forward to applying our experience to future projects within our portfolio at the most responsible and correct time for our balance sheet position, we see our most likely near-term project to be Taca Taca in Argentina.
The midterm election results in Argentina over the weekend provide an endorsement by the electorate of the economic reforms underway in the country and the administration's initiatives to attract greater foreign investment into the country. We continue to work towards a ready application for Taca Taca well ahead of the July 2026 timeline. In closing then, the Kansanshi S3 Expansion is the latest of our projects to deliver on schedule and under budget. This is an important milestone for First Quantum which will move Kansanshi back to a 200,000+ per annum copper producing mine, extending its life beyond 2040 and returning the company back to a position of positive free cash flow generation. With that, operator, I'm happy to open the call to questions.
Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you have dialed in and would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad to raise your hand and join the queue. If you would like to withdraw your question, simply press star one again. If you are called upon to ask your question and are listening via speakerphone on your device, please pick up your handset to ensure that your phone is not on mute when asking your question. We do request for today's session that you please limit to one question and one follow up question only. Thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Ralph Profiti with Stifel. Your line is open.
Good morning. Thanks, operator. Tristan, Ryan, congratulations on performance of.
Budgeted capital targets at Kansanshi.
What's your outlook for copper recovery improvements and targets in that S3 circuit over the coming months and quarters? Looking at that 74% in the context of the low grade stockpiles and as you optimize the circuit.
Hi Ralph, thanks for that. Yeah, it's very pleasing to see S3 performing better than our expectations so far. As I said in my comments, there are some areas that need to be finished off, the two circuits being the gravity bolt and the filter upgrades. We will continue to remain conservative and stick with our guidance at this stage, and we only provide guidance this year. We will relook at guidance next year in late January. Again, the ramp up is going well. We continue to see to target an 80% of design throughput by the end of the year.
More broadly, as we look into next year, we will be commencing on stockpiles, which means the grade is lower, and that will have an impact on production and costs as well. As we get into 2027, the outlook is we'll get into much more fresh grade, which will increase production from the overall circuit with a corresponding impact most likely on cost as well.
Okay, thanks Tristan. I appreciate that. As a follow up, what are the critical path items for Kansanshi's TSF2 completion by 2Q 2026? Is this just maintaining civil earthwork rates?
Yeah, not complicated, Ralph. We're just putting in a large buttress there and going about the works. We're comfortable around deposition rates. We're comfortable around rates of rise. It's really just steady progress on earth moving volumes.
As we get into the South East Dome and have much more confident rock available, that gets easier and easier for us as well.
Our next question comes from the line of Orest Wowkodaw with Scotiabank. Your line is open.
Hi, good morning. I'd like to just say congratulations on the deleveraging efforts both with the stream and terming out the refinancing of your debt. That really eases the pressure in the next couple of years. My question had to do with Cobre Panama. I'm just curious, with the environmental audit now underway, do you think that we have to wait for the conclusion of that audit before formal negotiations could begin with the government on a potential new deal, or could that begin earlier? I'm just wondering what milestones we should be looking for here.
Thanks, Orest. Thank you for those comments.
Yeah, look, Panama.
We recognize the concrete progress in the country, and there has been the evidence in terms of that progress, the approval of the preservation and safety management plan, the export of the concentrates that were completed during Q3. We continue to see the power plant coming online and the permits granted to get that restarted. We expect to start up in the first train in November. The environmental audit now underway is good, solid momentum in terms of future milestones. We're not really anchoring around those. We remain disposed to the government's table. It will be the President that sets out that timetable and the pathway to those milestones and for progress from our side. We put aside the arbitration, suspended arbitration, and we're committed to a constructive process.
We will work step by step with the government, and again we'll follow the President's guidance in that timetable and to work things through in terms of the timetable for the audit and how that relates. We'll take direction from government. The indication from government is four to six months timetable and how things go, whether in sequence or in parallel. We'll take guidance from the President and from the Government of Panama.
Okay, and just as a quick follow.
Is there any potential visibility on processing the existing ore stockpiles on site at Cobre Panama under the preservation plan in terms of turning on a mill?
Yes, sure, Orest, thanks. There hasn't been any discussions on that to date. We wouldn't anchor things around future milestones. We want to be constructive and move towards resolution that deals with the matters at Cobre Panama in the best interest of all stakeholders, the Government of Panama, the people of Panama, but also shareholders. Having said that, the stockpiles, we do think there's some good rationale to move forward. Providing that feed to the cyclone plant at the tailings dam would give an important source of material that we can use to counter erosion from the high rainfall. That is important work that the stockpiles would provide. We don't have that on the critical path. We remain constructive towards resolution and engaging with government in that regard.
Next question comes from the line of Marcio Farid with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
Thank you.
Morning everyone. Congrats on getting S3 on time and below budget. My question is maybe to Ryan on the hedging strategy. Ryan, probably it made more sense to be more active on hedging before you take the actions related to refinancing, but also the streaming view as well. Just wondering how we should think about it going forward as well. Now that the balance sheet is cleaner, what was the sort of strategy you're going to be taking on the hedging program?
Thank you.
Thanks, Marcio. Ryan, can you say that?
Yeah. Hi, Marcio. Yeah, absolutely. You've seen three big tailwinds from the balance sheet. The first is the stronger copper price. The second is the strong performance in S3 coming in on track at this stage under budget. The third is the Royal Gold stream, which significantly adds to our liquidity. As a result of that, we haven't recently added additional hedges either on the copper or gold side. We'll continue to monitor that month to month as those hedges roll off as we get into this first half of next year. Absolutely, the liquidity and stronger balance sheet give us more flexibility in terms of planning for future hedging, noting our overarching goal is to be unhedged over time.
Great.
Thank you.
As a follow up on Trident, it obviously seems like some progress has been made around the issue with the Ball Mill number two, but it seems like you're still doing a lot of long maintenance as well. Right. Just wondering what's the path for a final solution around Trident and the Ball Mill number two, please.
Thank you.
Thanks, Marcia. Rudi, will you take that one on the fatigue issue?
No problem.
Hi Marcia.
Thanks for.
As you would have noticed from the production results, we saw a steady increase of production from the second to the third quarter, which is a clear indication of how comfortable we are getting with the maintenance strategy around the ball bolt fatigue on Ball Mill 2, which really equates to something like 20 hours a month. Now we are quite comfortable with the way we're handling it. We're working with the OEM to try to get to a final fix.
We are almost there. As we continue into next year, we are happy to continue with our current maintenance strategy. We will come back to the market and give a clear, fulsome update once we have finalized the final approach for this. We certainly don't want to do any intermediate measures because we're quite comfortable with the current maintenance strategy.
If you would like to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from the line of Myles Allsop with UBS. Your line is open.
Thank you. Maybe just on Cobre Panama, you're saying you're kind of working towards a fair outcome. How should we think about fair from.
A First Quantum perspective?
Is that something broadly aligned with the previous license agreement? Do you think the government a.
Similar kind of expectation in terms of how value is shared as we go into these.
Hi, Mark.
Thank you.
Yeah, look, I think it's too early to get into that. I think first of all we understand, for example, the recent comments in Panama, the mineral resources, it's very clear ownership of those belong to the people of Panama. We're absolutely willing to find a durable arrangement that deals with each of the stakeholders, that is the government and the people of Panama. They need to see reasonable and tangible benefits coming from the mine, but also that it deals with the $10 billion investment that First Quantum has made into the country and there's reasonable recognition on that basis. We will look at those as the main principles and be constructive around any conversation. Again, the timetable, from that we will take direction from the President and the Government of Panama as to when they're ready to commence.
I presume that would be quite a big working capital build to get Panama.
Back up to full operational level.
Thanks, Myles. It broke up a little bit, but I think you were asking what does the startup and capital and working capital look like in the event that there is a positive outcome and resolution. As we go through the inspection process, there's been a lot of focus on that through the preservation and safe management plan now approved by the government. Dealing with corrosion, dealing with the situation on site, we're pleased in that the resolution to those corrosion issues has been fairly straightforward. It's really around man hours for welding, for painting, and to work our way through that. I think the team continues to do a good job in making sure that the main assets on the mills, the rope shovels, remain long in good condition. We will need to repair some of those minor items.
As that comes online, we'll understand the timetable more because inspection means that we will be able to open up and see areas. At this stage, we think that something like six months to nine months as we work through those issues. The timetable for that we might see. We don't see major capital items in that regard and it will really be getting people back on site, getting supplies back on site that are the key drivers of that. That's largely around working capital to pay salaries and also to remobilize supply chains in order to get there. I'm sure as we get closer to our reforecast at late January, we'll provide a clearer picture of what we see there, also as we understand progress in Panama around resolution of this matter.
Next question comes from the line of Lawson Winder with Bank of America Securities. Your line is open.
Thank you, operator, and hello, Tristan, Rudi, and Ryan, thank you for today's update. I just want to know if I could ask about Çayeli. I mean, I don't think that was something that was on everybody's bingo card. First of all, well done on extending the life to 2036. I think that's an extraordinary development. Also, as you think about longer-term growth and the benefits for jurisdictional diversification, how would you characterize Turkey as a country in which to grow going forward, both in terms of the regulatory environment and the geological prospectivity?
Thanks for the question. Yeah, look, I think the team at Çayeli have done a remarkable job here. The history is that certainly the mine was looking at end of life and then a lot of work over the last decade on exploration and the discovery of the southern ore body, which is very productive for us. It's improved ground conditions compared to the existing ore body. We still have more work to finish off in the existing ore body, and that gives us a very good transition period across to the new southern ore body. As we spelled out in the 43-101, we see life out to 2036. I think beyond that, that's been very well developed both by the local team at Turkey, but also our exploration group working hand in hand. You know, we do see that Turkey has those opportunities for exploration.
I would just frame those a little bit in that what we see is this reasonable grade, but it's really around scale that we've seen challenged, but permitting. Particularly an example like Çayeli, where there's an extremely good relationship with community and so on and an established operation that's been one of the leading training grounds for technical capacity in the country, having run for many decades. It does set up a good basis in the country. Overall, there is opportunity in Turkey. It's just around questions of scale as to whether they really move the needle for a company like First Quantum
Okay, understood. That's helpful perspective. If I could ask a follow up, I would love to ask about Taca Taca.
And t he last technical report that you guys studied showed a project with very low CapEx intensity. I mean, clearly there's been CapEx inflation in the industry, but perhaps could you give us a sense of how we could think about that CapEx intensity today? Would that be approaching global averages? Would it still be slightly below global averages? When might First Quantum think to update that technical report?
Thanks, Lawson. We're working on that at the moment. It's mostly around the engineering studies. We would like to have a technical report of 43-101 out at the end of this year, early next year. We're dotting the I's and crossing T's on the engineering studies around that. There's been a lot of the drilling and the resource definition is well in hand, also in terms of the environmental and water permitting process around what the project looks like. We'll define that final picture. We believe that those permits are in good order and they continue to move well in Salta Province. We look forward to receiving those in the near future. In terms of capital intensity, Taca Taca will remain competitive. Once we have that final picture in the 43-101, we would release that and make it very clear, that capital picture.
I don't see it evolving to the $30,000 per tonne annualized capital intensity. It will remain at a reasonable picture. Obviously, there's been some level of inflation, but we think that the project remains well in hand.
Our next question comes from the line of Anita Soni with CIBC. Your line is open.
Hi, good morning. Kristin, Ryan and Rudi. Most of the questions have been asked and answered, but I just have a couple of follow ups. Could you just talk about inflationary pressures, if there are any in Zambia that you're seeing, and any offsets that you see, you know, obviously such as the ramp up at S3? Can you just give us a context of what we should be thinking about going into 2026?
Thanks. Bonita, Ryan, could you take that question on inflation?
Yeah. Hi, Bonita. What we've seen in Zambia in terms of pushing costs up has principally been two things: slightly higher employee and maintenance costs. Then, we started this year with the kwacha around 28 kwacha to the dollar. More recently, because of the strong fiscal reforms the country's made, that got closer to 20 kwacha to the dollar. That's pushed our costs up. Conversely, the strong gold price and the strong gold production from Kansanshi pushed our costs down. The net net of those two has meant that we've narrowed rather than changing cost guidance. We expect those similar dynamics to play out as we go through next year. You know, the S3, as we ramp it up, the early days of S3 has higher costs because we're processing stockpiles.
As Tristan noted, as you get into 2027 and we start putting South East Dome ore through it, that's when you really see the cost position improve and therefore the positive impact on our cost position as a company.
Okay, thank you. Just on Cobre Panama, in terms of the timeline, thanks for all the color that you provided. I think Orest asked a little bit about the environmental audit and whether or not the negotiations can start. Is the timeline for a restart, once it's all passed through Congress, still six to nine months, or has that evolved at this stage?
Thanks, Anita. Yeah, I think, look, that's the best estimate that we have at this stage. As we go through inspection and detailed understanding on the preservation space management plan, as we open up areas, it may adjust, but that's the best estimate that we have. That's really to get the three trains operating. It's important to note that optimization would take longer. Getting 100 million tonnes is a very large throughput and a lot of work to get there. We qualify that to say optimization to the 100 million tonnes would take a level of refinement over a longer period. At this stage, six to nine months seems reasonable based on what we know today. We need to go through the process with the government
That's not a straight line. There will be some ups and downs, but we've seen constructive progress in all of the concrete milestones that have been achieved this year. We need to keep working on public perception and certainly we'll follow the timetable provided by governments on the overall process.
Our last question comes from the line of Dalton Baretto with Canaccord Genuity. Your line is open.
Great, thanks. Good morning Tristan and team. Thank you for taking my question. Tristan, I wanted to follow up on a comment you made in your prepared remarks there around Panama where I think you said that First Quantum recognizes that the resources belong to the people of Panama, but that any agreement would need to recognize the $10 billion investment made. I'm just wondering, it sounds like there are being markers laid down in negotiating positions ahead of the actual official discussion kicking off. I'm just wondering, are there background discussions happening around a potential framework and sort of defining what the non-negotiables are ahead of actual official discussions with the President?
Yeah, thanks Dalton. It's been pleasing progress so far this year in terms of the concrete milestones that have been achieved on the preservation sector management plan and so on. Certainly around those there is conversation with the government on the preservation and safe management plan around bringing in feedstock for the power plant, the technical issues around these topics. There are discussions at that level. We welcome the environmental audit now, the comprehensive audit to be done by SGS Global, and that's commencing now as we understand. Certainly that will take a lot of work from our side, but we're ready to provide all information and to comply with that audit fully and to go through that with the environmental authorities, with the selected independent expert there in SGS Global. All of those form a framework around which conversations and feedback is in process.
More broadly, no, there is no formal conversation. We're waiting for that timetable to come from government. Once the President and so on provides that timetable, we will be constructive in terms of those royalties. It was just to point out, and we understand that criteria certainly because we were paying royalties before. Those royalty payments do recognize that it is the people of Panama that own the resources, and we understand that that's important in terms of the profile of the mine and the profile of extraction in Panama.
Great, thank you for that, Tristan. Just one follow up for me. If, and let's say, when Cobre Panama is back up and running again and looking at what you're doing at the rest of your portfolio in terms of partnering in JVs and so on, is it your intention to bring on another partner there in addition to Franco and the Koreans? I mean even getting the Koreans to re up their stake or are you happy with the way things are?
Yeah, Dalton, I think it's, you know, we need to go step by step with the Government of Panama. I think it's too early to get into that. It's not something we're looking at at this time. We're just working our way through each step as they present. Their focus at the moment is the preservation site management plan, the restart of the power plant, the environmental audit. That's right on us now. We're waiting, we're ready for conversations to happen when, you know, at the timetable to be chosen by government. It's too early to get into those areas at this stage.
That concludes the question and answer session. I would like to turn the call back over to our CEO Tristan Pascall for closing remarks.
Thanks, operator, and thank you everybody for joining the call. Should you have any additional questions, please don't hesitate to contact us. Thank you again, and I would like to wish everybody well for the remainder of the year. Thank you and goodbye.
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining in. You may now disconnect.