Firan Technology Group Corporation (TSX:FTG)
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May 1, 2026, 1:39 PM EST
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Earnings Call: Q3 2025

Oct 9, 2025

Operator

Good morning. I would like to welcome everyone to the FTG third quarter 2025 analyst call. All lines have been placed on mute. There will be a question-and-answer session following the call. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, please press star two. Please note that this call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Brad Bourne, President and Chief Executive Officer of FTG. Mr. Bourne, you may proceed.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Thank you. Good morning. I'm Brad Bourne, President and CEO of Firan Technology Group Corporation, or FTG. Also on the call today is Jamie Crichton, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we go any further, I must caution you that this call may contain forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on the current expectations of management of the company and inherently involve numerous risks and uncertainty, known and unknown, including economic factors and the company's industry generally. The preceding list is not exhaustive of all possible factors. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and actual events and results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements made by the company. The listener is cautioned to consider these and other factors carefully when making decisions with respect to the company and not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.

The company does not undertake and has no specific intention to update any forward-looking statements, written or oral, that may be made from time to time by or on its behalf, whether a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Our third quarter was another solid quarter for FTG. Our financial results were in line with our expectations, particularly given it included the summer months of June, July, and August, where we lose about a week of production due to summer holidays. In the third quarter of 2025, FTG accomplished many financial goals, including our bookings were CAD 51.5 million, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.08 in the quarter. The quarter-end backlog stood at CAD 137 million, a 12% increase from the previous year-end. Our revenue in Q3 was CAD 47.7 million, an 11% increase over Q3 last year.

Our adjusted EBITDA was CAD 7.6 million in the quarter, up from CAD 7.2 million in Q3 last year. Our adjusted net earnings rose by 5.9% to CAD 2.9 million. Our net debt was reduced by CAD 4 million to CAD 9.5 million, including CAD 11.6 million of government loans, and our net debt to EBITDA was 0.3 times on a trailing 12-month EBITDA basis. Finally, we generated operating cash flow plus lease payments of CAD 5.5 million in the quarter. Other accomplishments in our third quarter included our recent acquisition of FLYHT, which was profitable for a second straight quarter. A supplemental type certificate, or STC, was completed with the European Aviation Safety Agency for the AFIRS Edge Plus product on the Airbus A320 family of aircraft.

We now have STCs for both the Airbus A320 and Boeing 737 aircraft in at least one jurisdiction, and we are working to expand these approvals to other key jurisdictions. We booked our first Edge Plus order from an Asian customer. We initiated qualification activity for some further U.S. defense programs. Maybe most importantly, we made a series of organizational changes to continue to position FTG for future growth and success. First, we have had some succession activities underway at FTG, and we have two new hires to continue our progress in this area. As part of this, we hired Steve Eldefonso to lead our Corporate Quality function, taking over from Brian Clark, who retired at the end of Q3. Steve comes with strong experience in both printed circuit boards and assembly operations.

Subsequent to quarter end, we hired Drew Knight as our new Chief Financial Officer, replacing Jamie Crichton, who is retiring. Drew has significant public company experience as a CFO and, equally importantly, has strong manufacturing experience, including time at Magnum and other companies significantly larger than FTG. Drew will start at FTG at the end of October. As we scale up and we report strong results, we have found more people interested in joining FTG and being part of our future success. As a result, we have leveraged our attractiveness to upgrade our leadership at the next level to make FTG even stronger going forward. To this end, we have replaced our General Manager in our Circuits Fredericksburg facility with Trey Adams, who comes with strong industry experience and a can-do approach to business.

Trey will also be responsible for our Hearville facility, as Peter Bigelow retired from FTG earlier this year. We have replaced our General Manager in our Arrow Toronto facility. Subsequent to quarter end, we replaced our General Manager in our Circuits Minnetonka facility with Curtis Olson, who also comes with strong industry experience, where he has had operational leadership roles at sites larger than our Minnetonka facility. All these changes did have some financial impact in the quarter, but I am convinced the long-term benefit will far outweigh the cost. Jamie will provide more results on our Q3 results shortly. Let me turn to some external items. Our end market demand remains strong. Airbus delivered 766 aircraft last year, but more importantly, they're looking to ramp to over 1,000 aircraft annually in the next few years.

Airbus has a backlog of over 8,000 orders, which is over a decade's worth of production at current production rates. For 2025, they're projecting growth of 7% over last year. They just reported September deliveries at 73 aircraft, their best September ever, and up 46% from last September. At Boeing, they shipped just under 350 planes last year, down from about 500 in 2023. The drop was due in part to the safety incident on the Alaska Air 737, as well as the machine strike later last year. Looking forward, Boeing has plans to ramp their production to almost 700 planes annually in the next few years. Boeing's backlog is almost 6,000 planes, so also over a decade's worth of orders at current production rates. In the first nine months of 2025, Boeing has shipped 385 aircraft, which is higher than their total shipments for all of last year.

They are on track for shipments of over 500 aircraft this year. While 2024 might have been a low point for Boeing, it has been clear that Airbus is outperforming Boeing in the air transport market with a two-to-one advantage in aircraft shipped in the last year and a 60% market share on order backlog. This has implications for FTG's plans going forward. In the business jet market, Bombardier reported a mid-single-digit shipment increase for 2024. In Q3 this year, Bombardier announced a new order for 50 aircraft with options for 70 more, which represents almost another year of backlog for them. They're pushing hard to add a defense component to their business, and they have had some success in selling their business jets for these defense applications. In the helicopter market, Bell Helicopter reported a 28% revenue increase in their latest quarter, driven by increased defense programs.

All of this bodes well for us as we look to future demand in the coming years. I've also looked at results from some key defense contractors. For instance, Lockheed reported a 1% revenue growth in Q3 this year. Also related to defense, Boeing was selected to develop and produce the next generation air dominance fighter. This is good news for them. Based on the supply chain approach for the previous U.S. air superiority fighter, the F-22, I would expect sourcing will be for U.S.-only suppliers. We did have small content on the F-22 when it was in production through our Chatsworth facility, but we are now better positioned to increase our content on U.S.-only procurements with our five U.S.-based sites. In addition, there are new commitments from all NATO members, including Canada, to ramp defense spending to 3.5% of GDP, with another 1.5% for defense infrastructure.

Canada has said they will increase defense spending this year to 2% of GDP. All of this indicates significant increases in defense budgets for all European countries and Canada. The recent creation of a defense investment agency in Canada to accelerate and streamline future defense procurement activities is positive for the industry here. The U.S. is also looking to increase defense spending this year. Looking at the longer term, Boeing's most recent 20-year forecast for commercial aircraft shows significant long-term industry growth and continues to show 20% of all new aircraft deliveries going to China and close to 40% to Asia, as has been the case in their recent forecast. The business jet market has seen traffic recover, and a recent business jet market forecast from Honeywell similarly predicts growth in this market in the coming years, with near-term double-digit growth rates for the sector.

The simulator market mirrors the end market applications, but as we always remind everyone about this market, it is lumpy, so large year-to-year variations do occur. We are starting to see more quote activity in this segment. As we have said for many years, FTG's goal is to participate in all segments of the aerospace and defense markets, as each of these moves through their independent business cycles. It is not often all segments are growing, as seems to be the case now. Beyond all of this, let me give you a quick update on some key metrics for FTG for our third quarter this year. First, as already noted, the leading indicator of our business is our bookings for new orders. Our bookings were CAD 51.5 million in the quarter. This resulted in a backlog of CAD 137 million.

The high volume of qualifying activity on new programs is also a leading and positive indicator for FTG. In our third quarter, sales were CAD 47.7 million, which is up 11% over Q3 last year. The growth is driven by the acquisition of FLYHT earlier this year. In our aerospace business, sales were up 25% in Q3 compared to Q3 last year. The increase is primarily due to the acquisition of FLYHT that occurred in Q1 this year. During the quarter, we had a lot of intercompany activity between the various aerospace sites assisting each other in production, and much of this activity did not end up shipping to customer by quarter end, and this dampened our revenue a little bit in the quarter.

This included the transition of the C919 assembly product from our Toronto facility to our Tangent facility, which slowed planned Q3 deliveries and could do so again in Q4, but the C919 demand remains strong and is even increasing. On the circuit side of our business, sales in the third quarter this year were up 4% over Q3 last year. All of this growth is organic. We saw double-digit growth in our Chatsworth-Fredericksburg and joint venture facility in China, offset by lower growth in Toronto and Minnetonka. Overall, at FTG, our top five customers accounted for 52.7% of total revenue in our third quarter. This compares to 59.3% in Q3 last year. It's great to see the dropping customer concentration as we add sites and expand our customer base, partly through the acquisition of FLYHT. Airlines were three of our top 20 customers in Q3 due to the FLYHT acquisition.

Also interesting to note, of the top 10 customers, six are customers shared between circuits and aerospace. We like to see the shared customers; it means we are maximizing our penetration of these customers by selling both cockpit products and circuit boards. Given the actions of the new administration in the U.S. of implementing tariffs, it's also good to see that one of our top 10 customers, they're primarily outside of the U.S., and this is in China, and another seven have operations both inside and outside the U.S. While on this topic, 71.9% of sales are to U.S.-based customers. This includes sales by U.S. sites as well as sales from FTG sites in Canada or China. This compares to 76.6% in Q3 last year. While sales grew by 4% in the U.S., they grew by 12% in Asia and 140% into Europe, while they were flat in Canada.

As we benefit from previous efforts to expand globally, including things like our content on the C919 aircraft in China and acquiring FLYHT with sales globally, this increase in sales outside the U.S. is helpful in the event of any tariffs the U.S. might impose. Our goal is to continue to grow our non-U.S. revenue for our non-U.S. sites wherever possible. In Q3 this year, 35% of our total revenues came from our aerospace business, compared to 31% last year. The aerospace business share increased due to the acquisition of FLYHT. I'd now like to turn the call over to Jamie, who will summarize some financial results for Q3, and afterwards, I will talk about some key priorities we are working on. Jamie.

Jamie Crichton
VP and CFO, Firan Technology Group

Thanks, Brad, and good morning, everyone. I'd like to provide some additional detail on the financial performance for Q3. On sales of CAD 47.7 million, FTG achieved a gross margin of CAD 14.5 million, or 30.3%, compared to CAD 11.6 million, or 27%, on sales of CAD 43.1 million in Q3 2024. Regarding the increase in gross margin dollars, approximately CAD 2 million is from the FLYHT acquisition, and approximately CAD 0.9 million is from organic growth and operational improvements. The average exchange rate experienced in Q3 2025 was CAD 1.37, essentially unchanged from Q3 2024. The Q3 2025 year-to-date gross margin rate of 32.2% is up from 26.8% for the comparable period in 2024. The year-to-date number includes a reclassification of CAD 1.5 million of R&D costs incurred at the FLYHT operation, which were previously included in cost of sales in our financial statements for the first and second quarters of 2025.

We continue our focus on operational efficiency, financial performance for our shareholders, and operating performance for our customers. For Q3 2025, annualized revenue per employee is approximately CAD 247,000, which is down 1.5% from the comparable quarter of 2024. We have ramped up headcount at certain sites to support the backlog, and the impact will appear in the upcoming quarters. SG&A expense was CAD 6.3 million, or 5.1% of sales in Q3 2025, as compared to CAD 5.1 million, or 11.8% of sales in the prior period. The increased expense level includes the impact of the FLYHT acquisition, severance costs of CAD 212,000, and India startup costs of CAD 44,000. R&D costs for Q3 2025 were CAD 2.6 million, or 5.4% of net sales, compared to CAD 1.7 million, or 4.4% of sales for Q3 2024.

R&D efforts include product and process improvements at the circuit segment and efforts to develop and qualify products for future aerospace programs, including the FLYHT product. The exchange rate at the Q3 2025 close was CAD 1.37, as compared to CAD 1.38 at Q2 2025, which means a slightly stronger Canadian dollar. FTG's balance includes assets and liabilities denominated in U.S. currency, with a net asset balance of approximately $28.2 million. The translation of our U.S. dollar net assets and liabilities into Canadian currency at the end of Q3 2025 and other FX items resulted in foreign exchange loss for the quarter of CAD 0.6 million, compared to a foreign exchange gain of CAD 0.2 million in the prior year quarter. The Q3 2025 FX loss disproportionately impacted the aerospace segment operating results.

Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization was CAD 7.3 million for Q3 2025, as compared to CAD 6.9 million in Q3 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was CAD 7.7 million for Q3 2025, or 16.1% of sales, and CAD 7.2 million for Q3 2024, or 16.7% of sales. Adjustments to EBITDA for Q3 2025 included severance costs, India startup costs, as well as stock-based comp, which is a recurring item. Adjusted EBITDA for the trailing 12-month period ended Q3 2025 was CAD 32.1 million, which equates to an adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.4% on sales. For Q3 2025, FTG recorded earnings before income taxes of CAD 4.1 million, or 8.5% of sales, as compared to earnings before income taxes for Q3 2024 of CAD 4.3 million, or 9.9% of sales. The Q3 2025 tax provision was CAD 1.2 million, or 30% of pre-tax earnings, as compared to 34% in Q3 2024.

Cash flow from operating activities, less lease liability payments, was CAD 5.5 million in Q3 2025, as compared to CAD 4.3 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to favorable change in non-cash working capital. Year-to-date cash flow from operating activities, less lease liability payments, was CAD 11.2 million in 2025, as compared to CAD 7.2 million in the same period in 2024, primarily due to higher net earnings. Our net debt position as of Q3 2025 is CAD 9.5 million, which equates to 0.3 times 12 months adjusted EBITDA. As that quarter ended, the company's primary sources of liquidity exceeded CAD 88 million, consisting of cash, accounts receivable, contract assets, and inventory. Working capital at Q3 quarter end was CAD 53.3 million, as compared to CAD 49.5 million at the 2024 year end. Accounts receivable days outstanding were 55 at the Q3 quarter end, compared to 59 at the 2024 year end.

Inventory days were 114 at the Q3 quarter end, as compared to 104, and accounts payable days outstanding were 62 at the Q3 quarter end, as compared to 63 in the 2024 year end. We completed Q3 2025 with a backlog of CAD 137 million, with approximately 80% of this expected to be converted to revenue in the next 12 months. We'll continue to focus on profitable growth, cash management, and operating efficiency. Finally, the past six years have been truly rewarding to me, and I'd like to thank Brad for providing me with the opportunity. I'd also like to wish all of our FTG's nearly 800 employees great success in the future. Our complete set of filings are now on SEDAR. With that, I'll turn things back to Brad.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Thanks, Jamie. I would like to truly thank you for your efforts at FTG. You have helped transform FTG into a high-performing company with a great future. Thank you. Now, let me delve into some other important items for the future of FTG, starting with a potentially negative item. Tariffs or the threat of tariffs in the U.S. are the new normal, and uncertainty surrounds tariffs. This makes it challenging to plan and react, but we are focused on this every day as it evolves. We have two sites in China, which are now subject to U.S. tariffs, but a relatively small portion of their work ships to the U.S.

For aerospace Tangent, this should have minimal impact, as this site ships completed products to our Canadian and Chinese customers, and they ship some components and sub-assemblies to our Toronto site, who then makes the final product for shipment to U.S. customers. For a circuit board joint venture, a small amount of their work ships to the U.S. and will be subject to the new tariff. Over the past five years, they've had a 25% tariff on their exports to the U.S., so this is not new. They also have work from Canada and Europe that will not be subject to U.S. tariffs. Our growth plans for this business are to focus on customers in China, Europe, and Canada, and we are making progress on all of these plans. Our U.S. sites are almost exclusively shipped to U.S.

customers, so there will not be any tariffs on shipments to customers, but they are starting to see tariffs on input costs for raw materials they buy, some of which come from Europe or Asia. We have implemented plans to pass these tariffs on to our customers. At this moment, the FTG sites in the best situation are our Canadian sites. They are not subject to any tariffs on input costs, and at this moment, we are not subject to any tariffs on shipments to U.S. customers as FTG products are U.S. MTA compliant. Every day is a new day, so all this could change at any time. As a reminder, we estimated about 55% of sales to customers last year located in the U.S. originated at FTG sites outside of the U.S. While we are not exposed to tariffs between Canada and the U.S.

at this moment, if this did happen, we do not believe the impact would be immediate. It will take time for the aerospace and defense industry supply chain to react to tariffs and find alternate sources of supply. We are concerned, and we are taking actions to mitigate any impact to FTG. First, our acquisitions in the U.S. over the past years have reduced our exposure as they are inside the wall and would not be subject to tariffs on sales. Going along with this, our long-term strategy to be a global player has resulted in sales outside of North America of over CAD 26 million in 2024 and is already over CAD 40 million so far in 2025. We are taking additional steps.

In 2024, we made a conscious decision to find ways to increase our exposure to Airbus, not because of tariffs, but because they are the stronger performer in the air transport market. Whatever we do in this regard can also help mitigate U.S. tariffs. More recently, we have made a conscious decision to pivot away from the U.S. market for our sites based in Canada. Obviously, a focus on Airbus is part of this. Also, in Q1 this year, we announced a significant new contract with De Havilland Canada on their Canadair 515 water bomber aircraft. This is a Canadian program that we will support from our Toronto facility. We are also looking to become more locally focused by aligning U.S. customers with U.S. sites and non-U.S. customers with non-U.S. manufacturing sites. We have identified CAD 4 million - CAD 5 million of revenue for non-U.S. customers being manufactured in the U.S.

right now. We have begun the process of moving this work out of our U.S. sites and thereby potentially freeing up some capacity to move work in the other direction. The acquisition of FLYHT will also help mitigate our exposure to tariffs. FLYHT is the largest customer in Canada, and they sell globally. As we look to insource the manufacturing of FLYHT products, we will do so in a manner to minimize our exposure to tariffs. While on the topic of FLYHT, we acquired it for a couple of strategic reasons. First, we've expressed our desire to increase our activity in the high-margin aftermarket segment of our business for a number of years, and the acquisition of FLYHT does this.

Also, as noted earlier, we are looking for ways to increase our activity with Airbus, and FLYHT has a SACOM radio that is installed as a factory option on new Airbus aircraft. They are sold by a licensing agreement, with the average annual volume being 200 - 300 units. Finally, we think the timing on this acquisition could be superb. FLYHT had spent significant time and money investing in updating and developing new products. The bulk of these investments are done. We think we can leverage these investments to generate strong results for the company going forward. Now that we own FLYHT, we have three key actions. First, we need to reduce costs, and this action is essentially complete. Second, we need to sell the new products they develop. This is really the key action now, so let me delve a little deeper into this.

There are three products that matter. There's a SACOM radio that is sold into the aftermarket and licensed for delivery to Airbus as a factory option. For the aftermarket, the product is established and the sales are well established and ongoing. The product can be used as a safety backup voice system, or it can be used to transmit data useful for airline operations over the Iridium satellite system. When it is used for airline data over Iridium, FLYHT gets a recurring revenue stream reselling the Iridium data services. The licensing agreement to Airbus has been in a hiatus mode for a few years due to a multi-year delivery in 2022. This kicked back in during our third quarter this year and is expected to result in a multimillion-dollar annual revenue uptick when fully reestablished. There's also a water vapor sensing system, or WVSS2.

Its purpose is to collect humidity data outside of the aircraft as it flies and provide this data to weather agencies such as NOAA in the U.S. and UKMET in England. We find this data useful in weather forecasting. This product design was modernized and updated last year. The quality testing is complete. There are firm orders from both NOAA and UKMET for the product. These can ship as we complete STCs for the relevant aircraft in the near term. Once in service, there's also a data revenue stream associated with this product. Also related to this product, there's potentially additional commercial and military applications for it to monitor aircraft contrails, and we are exploring these. The third product is AFIRS Edge Plus. It is a 5G wireless quick access recorder, or WQAR.

This product collects data from the aircraft in flight and downloads it to the airline operations while at the gate using a wireless or cell phone connection. The FLYHT product is the first 5G WQAR on the market. This product is qualified. The key now is to get approvals to install it on various aircraft types. The Boeing 737 approval has been received in Canada. The European STC for the A320 family of aircraft is also now complete. The priority is to expand these approvals into China. We have the FLYHT sales team focused on aggressively selling these products as they become available, and we received our first-ever AFIRS Edge Plus order in the third quarter. Our third priority for FLYHT is to insource the manufacturing to capture this margin within FTG.

We're looking at options for both the SACOM radio and the 5G WQAR products from our facilities in the U.S., Canada, and China. These additions should enable FLYHT to become a positive addition to FTG and further mitigate the risks from U.S. tariffs. Also, as announced in Q1, we are implementing plans to open an aerospace facility in Hyderabad, India. Our decision to expand geographically was partly to look for an insurance policy against anything negative happening to our China operations, but it was also partly to expand into new regions with growth potential. As we analyzed options, we concluded India is a very cost-effective place for manufacturing, and with Prime Minister Modi's Make in India policy, coupled with significant defense spending, it would be an ideal place to operate. We have selected Hyderabad, as it has an aerospace hub primarily focused on manufacturing.

A legal entity in India is established. We have selected to have the facility built to suit due to the favorable location and the option to expand if or when necessary. The facility construction is now our pacing item, and it now looks like Q2 2026 before it will be ready. In the meantime, we have been sourcing the necessary equipment to be ready to go. We have funded this entity with about CAD 2.5 million as of Q3 this year. While not the original intent, we believe this initiative could also help mitigate any negative impact from U.S. tariffs. Finally, we are developing plans to add sales resources in Canada, Europe, and even Asia to support our pivot away from the U.S. market. This would be for both legacy FTG sites as well as FLYHT. As we enter Q4 2025, we see continued strong demand across most sites.

Of our CAD 137 million in backlog, over CAD 60 million is due in Q4. We still expect to see further benefit from the higher value assembly orders first booked in 2023, with more in 2024 for our aerospace business. These assemblies go on Boeing and Airbus aircraft, and we will see the benefit of the C919 program in China as it ramps its production. We shipped our first production orders last year. Production rate increases are planned in 2025 and beyond. The geopolitical situation in China does remain complex. In 2024, both our operations had another record year. We repatriated cash to Canada every year since 2022, and we repatriated more this year, including further increments in our third quarter, with our first amount being repatriated as a dividend rather than a return of capital.

By doing this, we don't have surplus cash stranded in China, and it reduces our exposure if things ever did deteriorate between China and the West. We continue to assess possible corporate development opportunities that could fit with either of our businesses, but our near-term priority is to continue to integrate FLYHT. With a focus on operational excellence in all parts of FTG, our strong financial performance last year and the first nine months of this year, our recent acquisitions, our key sales wins, we are confident we are on a strong long-term growth trajectory. This concludes our presentation. I thank you for your attention. I would now like to open the phones for any questions. Jenny.

Operator

Yes, thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session. Should you have a question, please press the star followed by the one on your touch-tone phone. Should you wish to cancel your request, please press the star followed by the two. If you're using a speaker phone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. Once again, that is star one should you wish to ask a question. Your first question is from Steve Hansen from Raymond James. Your line is now open.

Steve Hansen
Equity Analyst, Raymond James

Good morning guys, thanks for the time. Brad, how should we think about the organic growth piece here for aerospace for the back half? I think you described a few of the headwinds you might have seen, but if we just strip out the contribution from FLYHT, it does look like the underlying business retraced a bit. It sounds like there might have been a few moving parts in there that contributed to that. How should we expect that to recover through the back half this year and into next year?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Yeah, I guess first point, for sure, I do think it will recover and grow going forward. A couple of things that I did talk about, the C919 production, that was in Toronto. We're in the process of moving it to China to our Tangent facility. There are just a bunch of hoops to go through to get that done, and that's making shipments a little bit more challenging right now. As I said, the demand is strong and it's probably growing, not probably, it is growing. If we can get through that transition, and transitions in aerospace are always difficult, there's just an infinite amount of paperwork. We're working through it with our customers, that will come back. We've had some high volume production opportunities in our aerospace business, also at the assembly level, for both our Toronto and Chatsworth facilities.

Same thing, we've been working with the customer and there's an intermediary, there's us, then our customer, then either Boeing or Airbus. Again, a million hoops to get through to get into production. Good news is, on some of the assemblies, we actually managed to ship some product at the end of Q3 this year, which was great. We expect to ship more in Q4, and then primarily related to our Chatsworth facility, we're going to see some of the balance kick in at some point next year. That's a big growth opportunity. On the defense side, we have got through some qualification activity, primarily for our Chatsworth facility, and we're waiting for program awards on that. No idea what it's going to be, but it's going to be more than zero, so that represents growth opportunities.

Stuff happens day to day, as you know, you could see in the quarter, but long term, I am still very optimistic there's some great growth opportunities for our aerospace business. This is not opportunities we're dreaming about, this is opportunities that we have that we just need to convert to production revenue.

Steve Hansen
Equity Analyst, Raymond James

That's very helpful. I think you referenced in your prepared remarks that some of those transfer challenges would linger into Q4. Is it fair to say the growth will still be fairly modest in Q4 and it's more of a 2026 story?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Yeah, I don't know, I guess is my honest answer. I'm hoping we get more in Q4. In my prepared remarks, I was talking specifically around the C919. We're building units, but in September, we shipped zero as we're trying to get through the transition. Will they kick in and ship out in Q4? Don't know yet. We'll see. It's not a great answer, but I don't control my customers, and in that case, I don't control COMAC in China. We're a little bit at the mercy of all these guys and how fast they approve transitions.

Steve Hansen
Equity Analyst, Raymond James

Understood, that's fair. Just on the margin side then again as well, I presume it's interrelated, but the aerospace margins have been subdued for two quarters now. I presume that's related to some of the revenue items just discussed. Is there anything else in there that we should think about, or is it just sort of a volume revenue sort of flow through?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

I'm sorry, Steve, can you say that again? I lost it.

Steve Hansen
Equity Analyst, Raymond James

Yeah, sure. Just the aerospace margin. Just looking at that, the last two quarters, it's been in the low teens. I'm referring to EBITDA margin. Historically, it's been in the high teens or even in the 20s. I'm just asking, is there more than just the revenue slow, you know, pause that you've described impacting that, or is it just that flow through from the revenue challenges that we've seen?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Yeah, it's more of the latter. Just, you know, the revenue pause or, you know, in terms of end market demand, end market, you know, growth rates, that is not changing.

Steve Hansen
Equity Analyst, Raymond James

Okay.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

It might even be increasing in some ways. As I said, Airbus had a world record in September, which was great to see. That ultimately creates pull-through demand. End market demand is strong or stronger. Just transition and ramp back issues are what happened in Q3.

Steve Hansen
Equity Analyst, Raymond James

Okay, very helpful. Just one last one, I'll jump back into Q. I'm just really curious about the AFIRS opportunity set. You've had it under your belt now for a couple of quarters. A couple of key STCs have come through. Are you optimistic about bookings in that product set or any of the three that you've described here? Do you have visibility on that? How should we think about that starting to contribute through 2026?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Yeah, I am actually very optimistic on that. You know, this is a brand new product of FLYHT, the AFIRS Edge Plus. I think it has huge potential. I think it was a brilliant idea for a product. I've been really happy with the way everyone at FLYHT has worked in terms of getting the product qualified and getting the STCs approved for different aircraft types in different jurisdictions. They've been doing a really good job. We are seeing significant quote opportunities on that. I really expect that's going to be a home run product for FLYHT in 2026 and beyond.

Steve Hansen
Equity Analyst, Raymond James

Okay, very good. I'll jump back into Q. Thanks.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Okay, thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Once again, that is star one should you wish to ask a question. Your next question is from Russell Stanley from Beacon. Your line is now open.

Russell Stanley
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

Good morning and thanks for the questions. Just coming back to your comments around pull-through demand. Brad, I'm wondering on Boeing in particular, seeing media reports, they may see an increase in their production cap. I think on the 737 from 38 units a month to 42 a month. I'm just wondering how your production profile changes, how quickly that filters through, have your direct customers already been buying in anticipation of that, or does this lift translate into actual incremental demand from your perspective?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Yeah, I can say it's a bit of both, to be fair, that some customers have been ramping demand to us. That's in advance of any production rate increase at Boeing because they don't officially have it yet. Some are trying to ramp ahead of it and some have not. Maybe it's an arbitrary number. I'm going to say half have already increased their demand and half are still to come.

Russell Stanley
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

Thank you for that. Maybe looking at bookings in the quarter, wondering if you can provide any granularity. I guess how much of that number was FLYHT, and maybe even a rough estimate how much of that number is new programs as opposed to existing programs?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

That's a really good question that I don't have an answer to at this moment. I'd have to go dig it up and get back to you on that. I don't know if Jamie, you have anything on that, but I don't at this moment.

Jamie Crichton
VP and CFO, Firan Technology Group

Not right here. No, Brad. Let's get to also something after.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Okay, great question. Just no answer.

Russell Stanley
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

I understood there. Maybe just one last one from me. I guess their loaders went into report talking to Navy. We should see a decision soon around their next stealth fighter. I think the F/A-XX, I think it's called there. Anyways, I think it's Boeing and Northrop Grumman competing there. How should we think about the winner there? Do you have a view as to whom you'd like to see win, assuming the program goes ahead? How, you know, what's your level of optimism for participation there?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Yeah, I'm going to say generally, I don't have preference for who wins these programs. My goal generally is just to find a way in with whoever wins. To be fair, our product generally gets awarded or suppliers get selected a year or two after the initial award, but some period of time. We're generally not involved at this moment. We wait to see who wins, and then we try to engage with them. We have decent relationships with, in that case, both those customers. We're going to wait and see and then jump on it at the right moment.

Russell Stanley
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

That's great. Thanks for the question. Getting back in the queue.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Thanks. Thanks, Russ.

Operator

Thank you. Once again, that is star one should you wish to ask a question. Your next question is from Steve Hansen from Raymond James. Your line is now open.

Steve Hansen
Equity Analyst, Raymond James

Oh, thanks . Thanks for the follow-up. Brad, on the booking side, the order flow looked quite good. Has there been any notable shift in the bookings as they've come in relative to past months? I'm just trying to get a sense for if there's any composition shift in the backlog at all that's taking place that's relevant, or is it more of the same?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Not wild shifts for sure. Occasionally we have big lumps that show up, but there were no significant lumps in Q3 this year. I'd say maybe we're seeing a little bit more orders on the defense side at this moment as compared to the commercial aerospace side, just, and in particular for our circuits Minnetonka site. They just continue to have crazy good bookings, almost all related to some U.S. defense programs. It's not a huge shift, but maybe a little bit more on the defense side.

Steve Hansen
Equity Analyst, Raymond James

Okay, helpful. I think you referenced FLYHT uptake in the simulator. I don't know if it was the RFPs or the bookings, but just maybe give us a sense for how long it would be that we should expect that to be, you know, over the next year or so. Is that going to ebb and flow consistently, or how should we think about it?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Yeah, it definitely is, you know, there's ups and downs, and there's no good way to predict it. I'd say generally speaking, on the simulator business for us, it's more on the defense side of our business as opposed to the commercial side. It's just for some reason the nature of the way they do simulator construction. What I had said is we're seeing more quote activity. I haven't seen more booking activity of any significance, but we are seeing some good quote opportunities on programs where we are the incumbent. In that case, I put our probability of success as high. Over the last, I don't know, maybe a decade now, our simulator revenues range from maybe a little few million in a year to north of CAD 10 million. I would, I guess I would expect next year we're going to be somewhere in the middle of that.

We're not going to be at the bottom end. We're not going to be at the top end.

Steve Hansen
Equity Analyst, Raymond James

Okay, helpful. Just the last for me is the balance sheet and capital allocation. I think you referenced, you know, you continue to look at opportunities, but you're focused on integration. What does the opportunity set look like today in the M&A market out there? Are there opportunities that you've seen that you're pursuing? How do we think about that given the liquidity you've got?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Yeah, I guess a number of comments on that. The first one, and to be early this year, I hired two kind of key guys for me, Bill Cesadi and Marco Vinica, and each one of them runs half of FTG. One runs the circuits business, one runs aerospace. The good news for me is that frees up some of my time, which has been great. I appreciate them letting me do that. It also gives me time to spend more of my time looking at what's next. I'm going to say there's nothing active at this moment, and if there was, I'd try to be able to tell you anyways, but there isn't. I am exploring a few things. I've talked over the last few years, and I talked today about I'm interested in doing more work with Airbus.

I think the European defense spend is going to ramp significantly. I talk about trying to do more work outside the U.S. for my non-U.S. sites. Europe's on my list right now. I've been doing, I'm going to say, basic research to understand the market, understand opportunities. Where that leads, I don't know yet, but for sure that's on my list of things of interest. Stay tuned as to what happens going forward. That's probably my number one interest right now.

Steve Hansen
Equity Analyst, Raymond James

Okay, very good. Appreciate the time.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Thanks, Steve.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question is from Russell Stanley from Beacon. Your line is now open.

Russell Stanley
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

Hey, thanks for the follow-up. To NAPIC, Brad, just coming back to one of your comments around demand. I think at one point later in your prepared remarks, you said that demand remains strong across most sites. I'm curious, any sort of soft spots that you could call out for us there, or any color there would be helpful?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Yeah, for sure, it's kind of our demand across all the sites is never 100% uniform. I would say the, I'm trying to think it through. The sites, Minnetonka, crazy strong demand, as I said. California, Chatsworth, both sites, pretty strong demand. A little bit of delay or challenge in Q3 in Arrow, Chatsworth, not demand related, just getting product out the door primarily due to component issues and that, getting them in the door so we could complete the assemblies. Strong demand there. Our Fredericksburg and Haverhill sites were probably at the lower end in terms of demand. I'm actually working really hard, and it's really painful because it's another transition of pushing work from Minnetonka to Fredericksburg. We finally had some good success on that in Q3. We pushed about CAD 1 million of work out of Minnetonka into Fredericksburg.

Because they were a little bit lighter, we're trying to just help them balance the load. We're going to solve that one. The same with Haverhill, it was a little bit light in the quarter, still up from last year. We want to do more. We are working with a customer on a program, a multimillion dollar program that we need to succeed with, we need to get through qualification with, but it's started. I see a path to get them ramped significantly going forward. Demand in the Canadian sites has been strong. Demand in China is surprisingly strong. I don't know, hopefully that helps.

Russell Stanley
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

It does, and I guess maybe just to put words in your mouth around Fredericksburg and Haverhill, it's not, you know, the relative softness there. It can be, is it fair to say it's not about the programs they serve, but maybe a difference in what they're qualified to do by customers, and that's part of why you can reallocate some work out of Minnetonka into those sites.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Yeah, I mean, that's exactly true. Minnetonka has a lot more capability than Fredericksburg. I want to put the higher-end product or keep the higher-end product in Minnetonka. There's a fair amount of work in Minnetonka that is not super high-end. It's that sort of stuff I'd like to push to Fredericksburg. It helps Fredericksburg ramp, but it also frees up capacity in Minnetonka to do more higher-end products. It's kind of a win-win for me. The capabilities at various FTG sites are different, and we need to take advantage of that and factor that in as we try to push work around between different sites.

Russell Stanley
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

Got it. One last question from me. I appreciate all the color. Just on SG&A, apologies if I missed it, but I guess it ticked down over half a million quarter-over-quarter. Any color you can provide on that? How sustainable should we think of this quarterly number of around CAD 6.2 million, CAD 6.3 million?

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

I don't know. Jamie, can you help me out on that? I didn't see it as a material change, so I didn't really dig in to understand that change. Jamie, do you have anything?

Jamie Crichton
VP and CFO, Firan Technology Group

No, nothing really sticks out, Brad. I think just timing of certain types of expenses.

Russell Stanley
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

Okay. Thank you again for all the color.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Thanks. Actually, Russell, I could probably answer you on the FLYHT bookings.

Russell Stanley
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

Oh, great. Thanks.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

First of all, FLYHT has a pretty short-term bookings, like, you know, time horizon. Things tend to come in and go out pretty quick. Having said that, it had a book-to-bill of 1.12. A little bit better than FTG overall in terms of book-to-bill for Q3.

Russell Stanley
Equity Research Analyst, Beacon Securities

That's helpful. Thank you for that. Jamie, wish you all the best.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Oh, thank you. I'm sure we'll cross paths soon.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. Please proceed with the closing remarks.

Brad Bourne
President and CEO, Firan Technology Group

Okay. Thank you. A replay of the call will be available until Friday, November 14 at the numbers on our press release. A replay will also be available on our website in a few days. I thank you all for your interest and participation.

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. The conference has now ended. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect your line.

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