Hudbay Minerals Inc. (TSX:HBM)
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29.64
-1.38 (-4.45%)
May 4, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
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Earnings Call: Q1 2026

May 1, 2026

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Hudbay Minerals Inc. Q1 2026 results conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. To join the question queue, you may press star then 1 on your telephone keypad. You'll hear a tone acknowledging your request. Should you need assistance during the conference call, you may reach an operator by pressing star then 0. I would like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded on May 1, 2026, at 11:00 A.M. Eastern Time. I would now like to turn the conference over to Candace Brule, Senior Vice President, Capital Markets and Corporate Affairs. Please go ahead.

Candace Brule
SVP of Capital Markets and Corporate Affairs, Hudbay Minerals

Thank you, operator. Good morning and welcome to Hudbay's Q1 2026 results conference call. Hudbay's financial results were issued this morning and are available on our website at www.hudbay.com. A corresponding PowerPoint presentation is available in the investor events section of our website. We encourage you to refer to it during this call. Our presenter today is Peter Kukielski, Hudbay's President and Chief Executive Officer. Accompanying Peter for the Q&A portion of the call will be Eugene Lei, our Chief Financial Officer, and Andre Lauzon, our Chief Operating Officer. Please note that comments made on today's call may contain forward-looking information. This information, by its nature, is subject to risks and uncertainties. As such, actual results may differ materially from the views expressed today. For further information on these risks and uncertainties, please consult the company's relevant filings on SEDAR+ and EDGAR.

These documents are also available on our website. As a reminder, all amounts discussed on today's call are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted. Now I'll pass the call over to Peter Kukielski.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Thank you, Candace. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us on today's call. We've had a great start to the year, achieving several key operational, financial, and growth milestones. Hudbay delivered another quarter of record revenue, record adjusted EBITDA, and record adjusted earnings in the Q1 . This was driven by steady operating performance, our focus on cost control, and the continued benefit from margin expansion with our unique mix of copper and gold exposure. Our leading operating cost performance resulted in record low consolidated cash costs in the Q1 , which contributed to continued strong free cash flow generation. With the strong performance in the quarter, all our operations are on track to achieve 2026 production and cost guidance.

Building on our commitment to prudent balance sheet management, we entered the quarter with over $1 billion in cash and cash equivalents, benefiting from $420 million received from Mitsubishi for their initial cash contribution on closing of the Copper World joint venture transaction in January. Our enhanced financial flexibility has positioned us well to continue advancing the development of Copper World, reinvest in high return opportunities at each of our operations, and de-risk the Cactus Project upon completion of the acquisition of Arizona Sonoran to deliver attractive growth and maximize long-term risk-adjusted returns at each of our operations for stakeholders. Slide 3 provides an overview of our Q1 operational and financial performance.

The Q1 demonstrated strong operating performance with higher mill throughput across the three operations compared to the previous quarter, delivering consolidated copper production of 28,000 tons and consolidated gold production of 62,000 ounces. We achieved record quarterly revenues of $757 million and record adjusted EBITDA of $422 million in the Q1 . Cash generated from operating activities was $211 million, remaining relatively consistent with the Q4 as a result of favorable changes in non-cash working capital. Q1 adjusted net earnings was a record of $159 million or $0.40 per share, reflecting higher realized metal prices and strong cost control across the operations, resulting in higher gross profit margins.

During the Q1 , we continued to demonstrate industry-leading cost performance, delivering record low consolidated cash costs of negative $1.80 per pound of copper and sustaining cash costs of $0. This incredible cost performance was partially driven by higher gold by-product credits, reflecting the benefits of Hudbay's unique commodity diversification. Turning to Slide 4. Hudbay has delivered several quarters of significant free cash flow generation as a result of steady operating performance, expanding margins from strong copper and gold exposure, our cost control efforts. With our enhanced balance sheet and diversified free cash flow generation, we are well-positioned to fund our attractive growth pipeline. Our cost control efforts are focused on navigating emerging external cost pressures such as higher fuel prices and short-term labor challenges.

We have not experienced any disruption to fuel availability and have been able to mitigate the cost pressures through initiatives to further improve throughput and enhance operating efficiencies. We are well-insulated from external cost pressures due to our diversified platform with significant by-product credits from gold production and the polymetallic nature of our ore deposits. While most of our revenues continue to be derived from copper, revenue from gold represents a meaningful portion of total revenues, with 39% of gross revenues from gold in the Q1 . After accounting for our sustaining capital investments, but before growth investments, we generated $102 million in free cash flow during the quarter, bringing our trailing 12-month free cash flow generation to approximately $400 million.

As mentioned earlier, we ended the Q1 with over $1 billion in cash and cash equivalents, and as of March 31, our total liquidity was $1.4 billion. Our net debt at the end of the quarter was nearly 0, bringing our net debt to EBITDA ratio to its lowest point in more than a decade. Consistent with our prudent balance sheet management and focus on cost of capital, following the quarter, we repaid our outstanding 2026 senior unsecured notes on maturity on April 1. We used a combination of cash on hand and a $272 million draw on our low-cost revolving credit facilities. After giving effect to this repayment, Hudbay's total liquidity decreased by $473 million to $957 million.

This continues to provide us with significant financial flexibility as we advance Copper World towards a sanctioning decision later this year. Turning to Slide 5, the Peru operations continued to demonstrate steady operating performance with production and costs in line with expectations. The operations produced 21,000 tons of copper, 9,000 ounces of gold, 530,000 ounces of silver, and 380 tons of molybdenum during the Q1 . Production of copper and gold were lower than the Q4 due to the depletion of the higher-grade Pampacancha ore in late 2025. Mill throughput levels averaged approximately 90,700 tons per day in the Q1 of 2026, achieving a new quarterly record.

The team's efforts to increase mill throughput align with the Ministry of Energy and Mines of Peru regulatory change to allow mining companies to operate up to 10% above permitted levels. On March 6, Hudbay received a permit approval to increase annual mill throughput capacity to 31.1 million tons from 29.9 million tons, setting a new base for the 10% permitted allowance. We continue to advance the installation of pebble crushers later this year to further increase mill throughput rates in the second half of 2026, and we are on track to achieve 2026 production guidance for all metals in Peru. Q1 cash costs in Peru were $0.70 per pound of copper, a 23% increase compared to the Q4 due to lower by-product credits offset by lower profit sharing, lower power costs, and lower treatment and refining charges.

Cash costs in the quarter outperformed the low end of the annual guidance range as a result of strong operating cost performance and temporarily higher gold by-product sales from Pampacancha, despite emerging external cost pressures. We are well-positioned to achieve the full year cost guidance range in Peru. During the quarter, Constancia was recognized as the safest open-pit operation in Peru during the National Mining Safety Contest for our performance in 2025. This reflects our company's unwavering commitment to safety and validates Constancia's compliance with the highest operational safety and regulatory standards. Moving to our Manitoba operations on Slide 6. The Q1 demonstrated strong operational agility in mitigating lower equipment utilization and labor availability at the Lalor mine while continuing to prioritize gold ore feed for the New Britannia Mill .

This strategy successfully maintained strong gold production in the Q1 , supported by higher mill recoveries compared to the Q4 of 2025. Our Manitoba operations produced 48,000 ounces of gold, 2,500 tons of copper, 5,000 tons of zinc, and 213,000 ounces of silver in the quarter. Production of gold was higher than in the Q4 due to higher gold recoveries and higher mill throughput, while all other metals were lower, primarily due to lower grades. Production in the second half of 2026 is expected to be higher than the first half of 2026 due to grade sequencing and higher ore output from Lalor. With solid operating results in the Q1 , we are on track to achieve 2026 production guidance for all metals in Manitoba.

The Lalor mine hoisted an average of 3,900 tons of ore per day in the Q1 strategically prioritizing gold zones to secure optimal feed for the New Britannia Mill. Total ore mined was lower than the prior quarter because of lower effective utilization of equipment due to reduced workforce availability. This was offset by successfully onboarding nearly 80 new employees as recruitment and upskilling of employees are underway to increase proficiency of frontline employees. The New Britannia Mill averaged approximately 2,000 tons per day in the Q1 and benefited from continuous improvement initiatives to unlock future throughput capacity. Gold recoveries of 90% at the New Britannia Mill reflect ongoing optimization efforts. Similarly, the Stall Mill achieved improved gold recoveries of 73% in the Q1 reflecting process optimization and enhanced gold recovery initiatives.

The 1901 deposit delivered 11,000 tons of development ore in the Q1 . The team continues to advance haulage and exploration drifts to further delineate the ore body and support ongoing infrastructure projects. Looking ahead, we plan to prioritize exploration, definition drilling, ore body access, and establish critical infrastructure at 1901 in preparation for full production in 2027. Manitoba Gold cash costs in the Q1 were $408 per ounce, outperforming the low end of the guidance range. We are well-positioned to achieve our 2026 cash cost guidance range. In British Columbia, we continue to focus on advancing our multi-year optimization plans, achieving significant milestones in both mining productivity and project permitting in the Q1 , and remain on track to deliver the benefits of the stripping program and unlock higher grade ore later this year.

As shown on Slide 7, Copper Mountain produced 4,800 tons of copper, 5,200 ounces of gold, and 43,000 ounces of silver in the Q1 , in line with our guidance and planned mine sequencing. Production was supported by a higher mill throughput, offset by lower grades compared to the Q4 . We remain on track to achieve our 2026 production guidance expectations for all metals in British Columbia, with higher production expected in the second half of the year as mill improvements take effect. Mining activities reached a record total material movement of over 25 million tons in the Q1 , driven by an optimized mining sequence in the main pit and increased contributions from the north pit. This ramp up was supported by the successful commissioning of a new production loader in January.

To further bolster the equipment fleet and add to this momentum, a new shovel has been recently commissioned. Milling throughput benefited from the completion of the second SAG mill and the mill optimization initiatives implemented in late 2025, resulting in increased mill throughput in the Q1 of 2026. The second SAG mill achieved increased throughput in the quarter and averaged 10,000 tons per day in March. The primary SAG mill continues to operate under a reduced load and is being rigorously monitored prior to the head replacement scheduled for late June and into July. The mill remains on track to achieve its permitted capacity of 50,000 tons per day in the second half of 2026.

British Columbia cash costs were lower than the prior quarter, delivering cash costs of $2.41 per pound of copper as a result of higher gold by-product credits and resolving the unplanned maintenance downtime issues experienced in the prior quarter. Q1 cash costs were within the guidance range, and despite emerging external cost pressures, we remain on track to achieve 2026 cash cost guidance in British Columbia. During the quarter, the New Ingerbelle project reached a major milestone in February with the receipt of the Mines Act and Environmental Management Act amended permits from provincial regulators. The New Ingerbelle project supports continued copper production, increased gold production, and further mine life extensions. The project is designed to access higher grade mineralization while improving operational efficiency with a stripping ratio approximately 3 times lower than current mining areas.

With these permit approvals, we are advancing critical infrastructure required for the expansion. This includes the construction of an access road, a bridge across the Similkameen River, and the development of an East Haul road link to New Ingerbelle with existing operations. A large drill program was initiated during the Q1 at New Ingerbelle to improve resource definition and expansion. We are pleased to receive the news this week that the B.C. government has added the New Ingerbelle project to the province's list of priority resource projects. This list highlights the acceleration of major projects that strengthens economic growth, support resource development, and create jobs and long-term value. Turning to Slide 8, we announced our annual mineral reserve and resource update, along with an improved 3 year production outlook during the quarter.

We extended Snow Lake's mine life by four years to 2041, maintained Constancia's mine life to 2040, and extended Copper Mountain's mine life by 2 years to 2045. Consolidated copper production is expected to average 147,000 tons per year over the next 3 years, representing a 24% increase from 2025. This growth is driven by higher expected copper production in British Columbia from the mill throughput ramp up in the second half of 2026. Higher grades in British Columbia in 2027 from the completion of the accelerated stripping program, and higher expected mill throughput in Peru starting in the second half of 2026.

Consolidated gold production is expected to average 243,000 ounces per year over the next 3 years, reflecting continued strong production in Manitoba and the expected contribution from New Ingerbelle in British Columbia starting in 2028. We have already made significant progress in advancing many of our corporate and strategic objectives so far this year, and we anticipate many more key catalysts to come from our portfolio of long life assets in Tier 1 jurisdictions, as shown in Slide 9. Our prudent balance sheet management, strong financial flexibility, significant free cash flow generation from strong exposure to higher copper and gold prices, and continued margin expansion has positioned us to be able to advance generational growth investments across the portfolio.

In Peru, we deliver higher mill throughput in the second half of the year as we complete the installation of 2 pebble crushers, which will grow copper production in 2027 and 2028. We also continue to progress exploration plans in Peru, including at the Maria Reyna and Caballito properties, to provide long-term growth potential at Constancia. In Manitoba, we continue to advance optimization initiatives and exploration efforts to demonstrate an enhanced production profile and expanded mine life. Exploration activities are underway at the 1901 deposit as we advance towards production in 2027. An expanded exploration program at Talbot is focused on upgrading mineral resources to reserves and expanding the deposit footprint at depth.

In British Columbia, we expect to continue to see operational improvements in the second half of the year as we complete our optimization initiatives and advance this operation towards its free cash flow inflection point later this year. Following the receipt of the New Ingerbelle permits earlier this year, we have commenced construction of critical infrastructure for the development of the deposit to access the higher grade mineralization and drive further cash flow growth starting in 2028. We have also launched the largest exploration program at New Ingerbelle to further increase mine life extension potential. On Slide 10, during the Q1 , we made significant steps towards enhancing our United States copper growth pipeline. At Copper World, as I mentioned earlier, we announced the closing of the Mitsubishi joint venture transaction, establishing a long-term strategic relationship with a premier partner.

The initial $420 million in cash proceeds will be used to directly fund the remaining pre-sanctioning costs and the initial project development costs following the sanctioning decision later this year. The feasibility activities at Copper World are well underway, with the DFS progressing above 85% completion at the end of March and remaining on track for completion in mid-2026. In March, we announced the acquisition of Arizona Sonoran, establishing a major copper hub in southern Arizona with the addition of the Cactus Project to our existing Arizona business. This transaction further strengthens our position as a premier Americas-focused copper company, enhances our U.S. growth pipeline, and creates significant operational efficiencies and regional synergies with the staged development of Copper World and Cactus. The transaction has received strong shareholder support and is expected to close in the Q2 of 2026.

We have also commenced pre-feasibility study activities at our Mason Copper Project in Nevada. We expect the study to be completed in 2027. While Mason isn't expected to come into production until after Copper World and Cactus, its larger production base will position it as the third-largest copper mine in the U.S. As we continue to advance all of these attractive growth initiatives across the portfolio, we remain committed to prudently allocating capital to the highest risk-adjusted return opportunities to deliver significant value for stakeholders. Concluding on Slide 11, our focus on demonstrating continued operational excellence while prudently advancing our many organic growth opportunities will deliver significant copper production growth. Over the next 3 years, we expect to increase production by 24% through attractive brownfield investments while continuing to advance our attractive U.S. pipeline to meaningfully expand annual copper production levels.

By the end of the decade, we expect to increase our annual copper production by more than 70% to approximately 250,000 tons with Copper World. With the staged development of Cactus and Mason to follow, we have a pathway to 500,000 tons of copper by the middle of the next decade. The most compelling part of this industry-leading copper growth profile is that our growth assets are low risk, low capital intensity projects located in some of the best mining jurisdictions in the world, and we have the team, the balance sheet, and strong financial plan to deliver this pipeline. This is largely driven by a diversified operating platform with significant exposure to complementary gold and our expanding margins. I have no doubt that our continued focus on delivery and execution will continue to drive significant value for all our stakeholders.

With that, we are pleased to take your questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. To join the question queue, you may press star then 1 on your telephone keypad. You'll hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then 2. Our first question is from Ralph M. Profiti with Stifel Financial. Please go ahead.

Ralph M. Profiti
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Stifel Financial

Thanks, operator, and good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Peter and Eugene, there's been a lot of work being done at Copper World on long lead items ahead of the definitive feasibility study. Just wondering, you know, have you set a goal for how much of the revised budget by the time sanctioning does come, will, say, be locked in, you know, contracted and committed? I'm just trying to get a sense of how much work can be done ahead of time to manage inflationary pressures.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Thanks, Ralph. Great question. Look, I, you know, we certainly will lock in a significant amount of the key equipment. For example, we already have pricing on fleet, for example, with the opportunity to lock in fleet pricing right now. We have pricing from vendors for primary equipment that we are.

Going to procure, and we're ensuring that we have space in the production facilities right now. I would say between the issue of the DFS and FID, we will lock in pricing on all of that equipment. Andre, any comments you might have in addition?

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah. No, I agree on the, on the long lead end, and there are some also critical path items that we've been moving along. We started construction of our water line. We've taken some initial blasts. We're pioneering our haul roads as we speak. Those are already in our budget for the year, but like Peter said, the big ones are already in place. Ball mills, SAG mills, all those costing things are coming 4th.

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

Ralph, if I could just add one more. You will recall that when we announced the joint venture transaction last August, that we increased the budget in 2025 for long lead items. You know, we didn't just react to this today. We've been thinking about this for well over a year, we've been placing orders. We've been thinking about getting ourself ready for the FID decision well over a year in advance.

Ralph M. Profiti
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Stifel Financial

Great. Thank you. That's, that's very helpful. Maybe as a follow-up, a point of clarification, Peter, on the LSIB judicial review, that this is a process that is actually, you know, sort of attracted to the regulatory government process itself that sits outside of sort of Hudbay. You know, are you needing to have a legal strategy around this to preserve the 2028 timeline for New Ingerbelle?

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Great question, Ralph. In March this year, the LSIB submitted an application for judicial review of the regulatory decision to grant the permit amendment. We remain very confident in the integrity and the robustness of that regulatory process that led to the issuance of the permit amendment, and we believe that the court will uphold the decision on that award. At the same time, you know, we remain committed to working with the LSIB in a respectful and constructive manner to try to resolve their concerns through the mechanisms that were agreed to by the parties in the participation agreement. Their issue is not with us. It's with the government, and we have a constructive relationship with them, and we'll ensure that we continue to drive that relationship.

Ralph M. Profiti
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Stifel Financial

Great. Yeah. Thank you for that clarity and for your answers.

Operator

The next question is from George Eadie with UBS. Please go ahead.

George Eadie
Equity Analyst, UBS

Hi, Dan. Thanks for the call today. Can I just ask a bit more following up on that question from Ralph, just on the CapEx at Copper World. Eugene, how much can you lock up in the next sort of 12 months or so in terms of USD? Are we talking 20%-30% of the CapEx spend you can fix in the next sort of areas? Is that a reasonable estimate? I guess my question is, we've seen a zinc project nearby this week materially lift CapEx, and while part of that is scope change, like how can we get like meaningful conviction that in 12 months that you guys can avoid that risk, I guess.

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

Lots of careful planning, and I think we've had a lot of time to think about this project over the years. A feasibility study for this project was completed, for a similar project was completed, a decade ago. We have, and we have a certain amount of equipment already in storage and obviously not subject to cost inflation. In terms of the actual percentage in dollars, I think we're still working on the final estimate and the DFS. We don't know that number yet. We have been very clear that we expect there to be some cost inflation and escalation related to the final CapEx number, the, from the pre-feasibility number that was released 3 years ago.

As you know, there has been inflation. You know, that 3 years ago number was post what's called the biggest wave of inflation post-COVID. We are not expecting a blowup in terms of capital. We are 85% done with the feasibility study. We'll release that in, likely in the Q3 , just mid-year as expected with an FID to follow. We don't have any further clarity or any guidance on the actual guidance of the CapEx number at this moment.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

I would add, George, it's Peter, that we're following an integrated project delivery system which incorporates a bunch of the contractors and engineers in the overall project management structure. The development of the estimates that we have will, in no small measure, include their estimates of their own contributions. The constructors and engineers we're using have actually participated in several of the projects that have been developed in the U.S. recently. They will have a window or deep insights into the evolution of costs over the last couple of years in any case, and that will be reflected in the definitive feasibility study.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

To what the original question around percentages, it's tough like Eugene Lei said, but we do have insights in terms of the fleet. If you recall from the pre-feasibility study, the fleet's 10%-15% of the overall cost, and those numbers that we're receiving are in line with our estimates. That's a good sign to start.

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

You'll recall this project's one of the lowest capital intensity projects in the copper space, it's not subject to some of the larger cost blows we've seen in the sector. It's not at altitude. It's actually about 26 miles from Tucson. It's some of the inherent infrastructure challenges that have plagued some of the other builds do not apply to this project as much. We're confident that there'll be a very robust economic case for this project as evidenced by Mitsubishi joining up at the PFS level a few months ago.

George Eadie
Equity Analyst, UBS

Okay. Yeah, no, that's helpful. Thanks. Pivoting slightly, my line dropped for 2 minutes earlier, so I might have missed this. When will we get an updated PFS with Hudbay's sort of overlaid view and perspective post-transaction closing? Could that be by year-end, or is it still going to be sometime next year? What's the latest on the permit amendments too, please?

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Sure. I'll take that as. The vote's still to come in a couple of weeks. We are quite excited about the project. We've met the teams. We're very pleased with the quality of the level of the teams that are currently working for Cactus and excited for them to be part of the team. I think the next step once the vote goes through is to sit with the teams and really regroup around. There's lots of synergies with Copper World and our view of what we were thinking when we looked at the acquisition and getting their understanding as well. That's gonna go into next year. It's not a year-end thing. I think realistically it's into 2027 for sure.

In terms of the permitting, the teams are progressing with the permitting at site. They're having discussions locally with the county. The permitting and the revisiting of that is on track and moving forward, and we're supportive of them in doing that. The synergies around looking at, you know, what does it look like? Obviously, they are looking at fleet. We just come off of negotiating a large fleet for Copper World. You know, they're not privy to that information. Once we go through that, I think there's lots of opportunities for Cactus when we look at it all together. By the end of the year, I think it would be really rushed.

I think it's definitely into next year for sure.

George Eadie
Equity Analyst, UBS

Okay. Thanks, guys. All the best. Thanks.

Operator

The next question is from Fahad Tariq with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Fahad Tariq
SVP and Equity Research, Jefferies

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. Maybe just any color on input cost pressures or supply constraints that you're seeing. I don't think I saw anything in the presentation or in the press release. If you could just comment on that'd be helpful. Thanks.

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

I can take that. I assume, Fahad, you're referring to the current fuel and fuel prices and the like. I think, just wanted to say that from Hudbay standpoint, we're fairly well insulated by these emerging cost pressures. As you saw, we held costs very well in the Q1 . While the prices for oil were not yet elevated, our operations are minimally affected. In Peru, about a $10 increase in the price of oil per barrel is about a 4% or $0.04 cash cost increase per pound of copper. In BC, given the heavy stripping that we're doing, that's a little higher. It's about $0.10 per pound produced.

You know, if you think about oil today and if, you know, for example, current prices were to hold, oil is about 50% higher than our original budgeted amount for the year, and that would result in about a $45 million sort of hit to cash flow, if oil prices were to persist at this level for the rest of the year, for the whole year. We have a natural hedge of gold in our portfolio that more than insulates that cost. Gold is about 20% higher than what we budgeted for the year. The impact, if these gold prices were to hold for the rest of the year, the impact of that would be close to $200 million.

In terms of a net effect of what we have with the gold that we produce for gold is a natural hedge against, you know, let's call it larger cost inputs like oil. We feel very well-positioned.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Fahad, I would also add that, you know, one of our primary cash flowing assets, which is Manitoba, is largely insulated from the effects of oil price since we use very, very little oil in Manitoba at all. We use, you know, most of our underground equipment is electrically driven or battery driven in any case.

Fahad Tariq
SVP and Equity Research, Jefferies

Okay, great. That's really clear. Then maybe just switching gears to kind of the growth profile. Can you remind us in terms of the sequencing between Cactus and potentially Copper World Phase 2, how you're thinking about that? Assuming that those permits happen at some point and you have the kind of beneficial situation of being able to select between the two.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah, for sure. I think that what makes absolute sense is that we progress Cactus in sequence with Copper World because there's a lot of synergies between the two projects. As Andre mentioned, you know, we would continue with the updating the pre-feasibility study of Cactus, move from that into definitive feasibility, get all the permits in place so that once Copper World is in production.

Phase 1, we would be able to move into the construction or phase the construction of Cactus and bring that online subsequent to Copper World. Phase 2, we would not want to apply for permits until such time as Phase 1 is in operation because we don't want to get things mixed up. If you imagine it's going to take several years in order to get the permit for Phase 2, it makes absolute sense to progress Cactus, and then Phase 2 would come in after Cactus came in.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah. Cactus is a little different than Copper World. Copper World, the majority, a lot of the CapEx is around building a facility and infrastructure. At Cactus, it's very much the inverse of that. it's more of a stripping exercise leading into building an SX/EW plant, very low risk in terms of the execution of moving material. You know, it's just about the purchasing of the fleet and execution of the plan. Like Peter said, there's a timing element, and I think it almost naturally fits.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

It almost naturally fits.

Fahad Tariq
SVP and Equity Research, Jefferies

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question is from Dalton Baretto with Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead.

Dalton Baretto
Managing Director and Equity Research for Metals and Mining, Canaccord Genuity

Thanks. Good morning, guys. Just staying on that whole sequencing theme between Copper World Phase 1 and Cactus. Given what's been going on with the sulfur and sulfuric acid pricing, you know, demand for U.S.-made cathode, and then just the timing of the sequencing, has anything changed in your thinking as it relates to the feasibility study around the Albion facility?

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Great question. I think, no, nothing has really changed except that. The DFS is a continuation of, it's exactly the same as the PFS pretty well. What we could do is during the update of the PFS for Cactus, we could like, take a look at the sequencing or the timing for the development of the Albion facility. It would be something that we look at as part of the Cactus pre-feasibility rather than the work that we're doing on Copper World right now.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

To build on that is the other project in Manitoba, where we're looking at getting the gold out of the Flin Flon tailings, we're progressing quite well with the studies on that. There's still more to go, one of the byproducts there is also sulfur. Molten sulfur and sulfur products. There's lots of optionality in our portfolio to produce sulfur that would benefit the Cactus Project, where ultimately what you're trying to get is the acid for the heap leach. So whether it's advancing Albion, as which you suggest, it could be about producing a lot more gold in Manitoba and doing the other. We'll evaluate all those at the right time.

Dalton Baretto
Managing Director and Equity Research for Metals and Mining, Canaccord Genuity

Understood. Once the feasibility study drops mid-year, outside of the financing package, what are some of the other gating items to get you to FID?

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Well obviously getting our partner on board, so the partner would have to. The partner's already on board in many respects, but they have their own internal approval process that we need to respect. There will be some time between the completion of definitive feasibility study and the final investment decision in respect of what our partner needs.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah. They're actively working with us. We're meeting with them. They absolutely don't wanna be a barrier. We're all aligned on rock in the box and hitting that first production. They've been really great to work with and, yeah, we don't see any delays.

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

We're already spending the money, right?

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah.

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

$420 million that they deposited in January in terms of that close. We're using that capital to advance the feasibility study, and that'll be the first capital spent when we FID this project.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah. We don't see the FID being a barrier to the rock in the box and first production is all of the allowances that we've made and the critical path items that we're focusing on are keeping us on track.

Dalton Baretto
Managing Director and Equity Research for Metals and Mining, Canaccord Genuity

Great. Thanks. Maybe just finally, Peter, can you possibly comment on some of the political going ons in Peru right now, whether that's translating at all into any form of social unrest?

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

No. I, you know, I think the social landscape has been complicated since the unrest that we saw last year. I think with the federal elections that are underway right now, there may continue to be periods of heightened social unrest. I think most people are aware of that the general election was held on April the 12th, and that from the initial voting, there's not yet a clear result of who the second candidate is. The first candidate, as everybody knows, is Keiko Fujimori. We think that by mid-month, it probably becomes evident who or becomes clear who the second candidate is. Frankly, you know, in a way, federal elections don't really impact Hudbay, as we've seen many, many different presidents since we started operations 10 years ago.

What's really been constant in those years has been the stable fiscal regime, which we don't expect to change. We've seen left-wing presidents, right-wing presidents, and everyone in between. What we've always got to anchor our thinking to is that Peru is a leading copper production nation globally, I think the new president will recognize the importance of mining to the country, I think it'll be business as usual for us. We have no concerns with respect to the upcoming election. We don't think it'll result in heightened unrest. I'm sure there will be spats of it, but we're well-positioned to deal with it.

Dalton Baretto
Managing Director and Equity Research for Metals and Mining, Canaccord Genuity

Great. Thanks, Peter. That's all for me. Yeah.

Operator

The next question is from Stefan Ioannou with Cormark Securities. Please go ahead.

Stefan Ioannou
Mining Analyst, Cormark Securities

Hi. Sorry. Can you hear me? Okay. Sorry. Maybe just to follow on the Peru theme. In the slide, you do mention sort of preparing for Maria Reyna and Caballito exploration. I sort of assume that that's sort of more local sort of social considerations. Is there any update on when we might be able to put a drill rig in the ground there?

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

There have definitely been no changes to the remaining steps in the permitting process, which includes the government's Consulta previa process with the local community. With the election underway, that process is delayed. There are community elections which will be held later on in the year, and we think that once those elections have been held, then we'll move forward towards getting the permits. For sure, you know, the permits are delayed. They continue to be delayed, but we think we're sort of coming to the end of that period of delay as we move past the general election and the community elections, then we'll probably see a little bit of movement towards the end of the year.

Stefan Ioannou
Mining Analyst, Cormark Securities

Okay. Okay, great. Thanks very much.

Operator

The next question is from Matthew Murphy with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Matthew Murphy
Managing Director and Equity Research for Metals and Mining, BMO Capital Markets

Hi. Just wanted to ask one about the labor balance at Lalor. You've mentioned a few times some challenges in Q1, and maybe you can elaborate a bit on what you're seeing and how you're addressing it.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah, sure. Sure. Hi, it's Andre. There has been some challenges. They're not new. Like, we've gone through this before. The team's actively working on it. We've seen a little bit of a peak towards the end of Q1, and we're working through it right now. Some of the things the teams are working on is obviously we're bringing in more people into the organization, and that takes a little bit of time to train them. That's more of a medium term sort of fix. In the very short term, the team is looking at with the 1901, which I'm sure you're familiar with, is the 1901 ore body we've been developing ourselves, and we have a lot of skilled employees there.

The team's working on contracts with a mining contractor. In an isolated area, it's a nice fit. We'll redeploy our resources into our shortfalls within the mine. There's a variety of things the teams are working on. There's more than that. There's several of them, but those would be the main ones. They're, you know, we got this in hand. It's something we've done before. It's just a blip and we're working through it. It's not something that I'm really worried about. It's in hand.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

I think, Matt, what we, you know, what we were pretty straightforward on in the results release is that we remain on track to achieve the annual production guidance in ranges in Manitoba, regardless of any labor issues and ups and downs that we might see.

The team has it well in hand.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah. We'll still be within guidance-

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

with our cost guidance, with those extra costs as well.

Matthew Murphy
Managing Director and Equity Research for Metals and Mining, BMO Capital Markets

Got it. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Lawson Winder with Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead.

Lawson Winder
Metal and Mining Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Thank you, operator. Good morning, Peter, Eugene, and Andre. Thank you for today's update. Could I ask about capital return? Just in light of the recently revamped capital return framework and the stronger balance sheet, but also considering the growth capital needs, then considering the buyback renewal approval, can we consider the probability that Hudbay might be more active in the buyback in 2026 as a higher probability than that in 2025 when the buyback wasn't acted upon at all?

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

Hi, Lawson, I can take that question. I think we look at this holistically, and the capital allocation framework was meant to provide us, you know, beyond that 3P plan, the way to sort of advance the company. You know, with the capital allocation framework, we're able to do 3 things. We're able to fund the development of Copper World. We're able to reduce debt, and we have a goal of sort of less than 1 times net to EBITDA through the life cycle, through the build. We are able to fund generational investments in sort of brownfield projects each of our operating sites.

Given the progress we've made on the balance sheet, we're able to consider for the first time shareholder returns well ahead of what our goal was to be ready to be a meaningful dividend payer, with the development of Copper World. We started thinking about that earlier this year with that capital allocation framework, and the first step to that was increasing our dividend, and it was a nominal increase, but it was the first dividend increase we've had in our history.

We think that that is something that we'd like to ramp into if we have the opportunity and if these prices were to hold and while we're able to make these generational investments in the company and also provide shareholder returns. The NCIB was put in place as good housekeeping, as a tool for us to ensure, to smooth out any volatility there is in the market as there is. You know, it's something that we wanna be able to access at the right time. We don't have a, we're not committing to doing any share buybacks in terms of a set dollar amount at this time.

We don't think that that is the right way to set our capital allocation priorities, particularly during this year of sanctioning at Copper World. I think if we have the opportunity to have excess capital at the end of the year, we can relook at the dividend and see if we can enhance that in any form as part of the whole capital allocation framework.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

I think, also I would also add to what Eugene says, is that we wanna have all options available to us. Right now, the most important thing for us is delivery. I'm confident that the culture of consistent operational and financial delivery that we're building, will absolutely ensure that we really are the gold standard in the copper space, as we referred to in our release.

Lawson Winder
Metal and Mining Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

I noticed that phrase. That was great. Thank you. The one other follow-up I would like then on capital return is I'm not entirely clear on the potential spending at Mason. You're advancing plans to initiate a pre-feasibility study. Can you remind us what you think you're gonna spend in 2026 on Mason? Then how, like, could that change? Is there a range within which, you know, we could have a much higher or much smaller number depending on when you actually start that process in 2026?

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah, we're starting that process and at approximately $20 million is allocated to advancing Mason this year, and that will be expensed as it's not yet in the reserve.

Lawson Winder
Metal and Mining Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

That's a fixed number?

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Budget.

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

Well-

Lawson Winder
Metal and Mining Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Budget.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah, it's There's not a lot to.

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

There's not much we can increase that by in terms of moving it ahead. We're starting the PFS, that'll take the better part of a year or 2.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

It's mostly studies.

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Studies, some drilling, some geotech.

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Hydrology.

Lawson Winder
Metal and Mining Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Okay. Fantastic. Thank you all very much.

Operator

The next question is from Pierre Vaillancourt with Haywood Securities. Please go ahead.

Pierre Vaillancourt
Senior Mining Analyst, Haywood Securities

Thanks. Peter, or Andre, you know, just following on the discussion with respect to sequencing in Arizona, do you feel comfortable giving, like, a date in terms of production start for Copper World, for Cactus, for Phase 2? Just, you know, to give us a broad sense of what, you know, what this is gonna look like going out into the long term.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Sure, Pierre. It's, look, Copper World, the actual, targeted dates will be released with the DFS, but it's pretty well midyear, 2029. That, that would be, as Andre refers to, a rock in the box.

Cactus would be sometime after that. I, as Andre said, Cactus really is, it's more an earth moving effort than anything else. We've gotta move rock, we've got to do some stripping, we've got to develop the heap leach piles. There's a little bit of, there's a SX/EW plant to build. There could be concurrent activity on mining between the one and the other.

Really it remains to be seen during the PFS update, what that will look like and what the actual sequencing will be.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah. We're not slowing down Cactus studies or anything like that. We're gonna move those forward as fast as we can. Depending on where we are with Copper World and metal prices and all that, if it makes sense, then we could, like Peter said, we could start the stripping and, like, stuff that we know that is very easy and while we're doing some of the detailed engineering. We wanna keep that optionality open.

Pierre Vaillancourt
Senior Mining Analyst, Haywood Securities

Yeah. That's why I was asking that, is just how much of an overlap. If you start in mid 2029, do we maybe consider a startup at Cactus within 18 months, 24 months of that startup? Or do you need longer lead time?

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Possible.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

That's reasonable. Like, there's pre-feasibility is like a year generally, feasibility is another year, right? If you add those on, there's concurrent permitting updates that are going on, you layer all those on. The one thing that we do know is you have to strip rock. At the right time, that costs money, it's just how is Copper World going? Where are we at? Are the metal prices up? If all those things are all lining up, we know we have the permits in hand, stripping is something that might make sense. We're not slowing down anything with Cactus. We wanna make sure everything's as fast as possible, it's optionality for us.

Right.

I think.

Pierre Vaillancourt
Senior Mining Analyst, Haywood Securities

And then-

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

In the other day, we have a unique portfolio. Like, in the next five years, we could triple copper production, and that's a key part of it. I think having all that ready to go is something that we're all over.

Pierre Vaillancourt
Senior Mining Analyst, Haywood Securities

Yeah. I guess in terms of Phase 2, that's pretty much open-ended, I guess, eh? For Copper World?

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah.

Pierre Vaillancourt
Senior Mining Analyst, Haywood Securities

You know.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Right.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

You know, I wouldn't say it's open-ended. I think that we will apply for permits pretty quickly once Phase 1 is up and running. The question is what's the duration of the permitting? It certainly will take longer to permit Phase 2 than it will take to bring Cactus into production. Phase 2 is not a massive effort.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

There's nice surprises in Phase 1 when it comes out.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Yes.

Pierre Vaillancourt
Senior Mining Analyst, Haywood Securities

Okay.

Then finally on the New Ingerbelle, what are the implications of bringing New Ingerbelle on in 2028, again from a production perspective?

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

More gold.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah. Yeah.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

Basically more gold and mine life.

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah, double the gold grade than we're currently producing. Yeah, there is some stripping that goes along with it as well, but it's a great cash flow generator for us, particularly at these metal prices.

Peter Kukielski
President and CEO, Hudbay Minerals

There's a third of the stripping, right?

Andre Lauzon
COO, Hudbay Minerals

Yeah.

Eugene Lei
CFO, Hudbay Minerals

The average gold production with New Ingerbelle essentially doubles from 20,000 ounces of gold per annum to about $40,000 per annum. It would be a very nice complement to the consistent copper production. The mine life of New Ingerbelle is on a reserve basis today, 10 years. As Peter highlighted in some of his remarks, we started drilling New Ingerbelle, and we expect to convert a lot of the inferred. We're likely to see a much close to probably double that mine life as we continue to pull and convert that resource.

Pierre Vaillancourt
Senior Mining Analyst, Haywood Securities

Right. Right.

Okay, thanks.

Operator

This concludes the question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Candace Brule for any closing remarks.

Candace Brule
SVP of Capital Markets and Corporate Affairs, Hudbay Minerals

Thank you, operator, and thank you everyone for participating today. If you have any further questions, please feel free to reach out to our investor relations team. Thank you, and have a great day.

Operator

This brings to a close today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.

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