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Earnings Call: Q3 2022

Nov 4, 2022

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Kinaxis Inc. Fiscal 2022 third quarter results conference call. Currently, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. Instructions will be provided at that time for you to queue up for a question. I'd like to remind everyone that this call is being recorded today, Friday, November 4th, 2022. I will now turn the call over to Rick Wadsworth, Vice President of Investor Relations at Kinaxis Inc. Please go ahead, Mr. Wadsworth.

Rick Wadsworth
VP of Investor Relations, Kinaxis Inc.

Thanks, operator. Good morning, and welcome to the Kinaxis earnings call. Today, we will be discussing our third quarter results, which we issued after close of markets yesterday. With me on the call are John Sicard, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Blaine Fitzgerald, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we get started, I want to emphasize that some of the information discussed on this call is based on information as of today, November 4th, 2022, and contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in such statements. For a discussion of these risks and uncertainties, you should review the forward-looking statements disclosure in the earnings press release as well as in our SEDAR filings. During this call, we will discuss IFRS results and non-IFRS financial measures, including Adjusted EBITDA and certain constant currency results and metrics.

A reconciliation between Adjusted EBITDA and the corresponding IFRS result is available in our earnings press release and our MD&A, both of which can be found on the investor relations section of our website, kinaxis.com, and on SEDAR. Participants are advised that the webcast is live and is also being recorded for playback purposes. An archive of the webcast will be made available on the investor relations section of our website. Neither this call nor the webcast archive may be re-recorded or otherwise reproduced or distributed without prior written permission from Kinaxis. To begin our call, John will discuss the highlights of our quarter, as well as recent business developments, followed by Blaine, who will review our financial results and outlook. Finally, John will make some closing statements before opening the line for questions.

We have a presentation to accompany today's call, which can be downloaded from the investor relations homepage of our website. We'll let you know when to change slides. I'll now turn the call over to John.

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Thank you, Rick. Good morning, and thank you for joining us on this call today. I'll be starting on slide four. I'm pleased to report that the momentum in our business has continued as reflected in our exceptional third quarter performance, which included SaaS revenue growth of 21% or 28% in constant currency, total revenue growth of 39% or 49% in constant currency, an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 17% or 19% in constant currency. Once again, our accelerating performance allows us to increase aspects of our guidance for the year, as Blaine will soon share with everyone. Turning to slide five, as I mentioned, our momentum in the business has remained consistent. Nowhere is that more evident than our new customer wins.

Despite the summer months being historically slower for sales, we closed an all-time record number of customers for a third quarter and very nearly beat our all-time quarterly record for bookings in history. Year to date, we have over 40% more new customers than the same period last year, and I'll remind you that the comparative period in 2021 showed exceptionally strong growth over 2020. Quite simply, since the fourth quarter of 2020, and in each quarter since, we have been experiencing a continuous and accelerating momentum in demand for our unique concurrent supply chain planning technique. We are experiencing a significant inflection in the business. As always, we're humbled by the new global brands that put their trust and confidence in Kinaxis.

A small sample of the customers we won in the quarter includes Confluent Medical Technologies, a global leader and contract manufacturer supporting the design and development and manufacturing of life-saving implants, delivery systems, and medical devices. Kärcher, the world's leading supplier of cleaning equipment and services for transportation and buildings. The company employs 14,400 people located in 78 countries with over 50,000 service centers worldwide. Grifols, a leading global healthcare company that develops plasma-derived medicines, and other innovative biopharmaceutical solutions. JSR Micro, an innovator in semiconductor material solutions. There are so many other global and iconic brands we can't name today, but expect to be in a position to share them with you as we proceed through their deployments. Year to date, the split of new customers continues to be roughly 60-40 between enterprise accounts and those from mid-market or smaller.

We're thrilled with our ability to serve such a broad universe of companies and verticals with a single SaaS offering. I'm also pleased to report that we continue to accelerate growth in our annual recurring revenue. In the third quarter, ARR grew a record-breaking 25% or just over 30% in constant currency terms. Reflecting this acceleration, our total backlog crossed a half billion dollars for the first time, growing to just under $550 million, another record level. All leading indicators of demand, including pipeline and unsolicited inbound leads, remain very robust. We are confident that momentum in the business and the accelerated growth that comes with it is set to continue ahead. We are very optimistic about our recent acquisition of MPO, which offers exciting cross-selling and greenfield opportunities.

Adding supply chain execution capabilities to our traditional supply chain planning solution makes us the market's only true end-to-end concurrent supply chain management solution, a major differentiator in our market. Both MPO and Kinaxis were separately recognized in the leaders quadrant of the 2022 Control Tower Value Matrix by Nucleus Research. RapidResponse was ranked highest of any vendor in the greater usability axis. As you would have also seen during Q3, Kinaxis was further named a leader in three IDC MarketScape supply chain planning reports. We're thrilled to be able to offer our solutions in more ways than ever through our private data centers as always, and via public cloud with Microsoft Azure and now with Google Cloud Platform. Finally, I encourage you all to read our latest Global Impact Report, which we released in September.

The success of our ESG initiatives is increasingly being recognized by all the related rating agencies. If you manage ESG-focused funds, please reach out to Rick to discuss our meaningful progress here. I'll now ask Blaine to discuss results for the third quarter and share more details about our updated outlook. Blaine?

Blaine Fitzgerald
CFO, Kinaxis

Thank you, John, and good morning. As a reminder, unless noted otherwise, all figures reported on today's call are in US dollars under IFRS. As I did last quarter, I'll also be sharing certain non-IFRS constant currency results and metrics which estimate how our business would have performed excluding the effect of foreign currency rate fluctuations. We discuss our methodology to the constant currency calculations in the news release. While they are only estimates, we believe they better demonstrate the trend of ongoing underlying momentum in our business. We intend to share this information only as long as we deem it to be truly relevant to the interpretation of our results. Starting on slide six. Before I discuss the numbers, I want to thank the entire Kinaxis team for allowing me to communicate these amazing results.

As I read through our outstanding Q3 results, I get to do it with a huge smile on my face as our bets are paying off better than expected. With that, let's jump into it. Total revenue in the third quarter was up 39% to $89.5 million and up 49% on a constant currency basis to $95.9 million. SaaS revenue grew 21% to $54 million, but was up 28% on a constant currency basis to $57.4 million. As you would expect, the acceleration in our ARR growth, which you've been following for some time, is flowing through to higher SaaS revenue growth on a constant currency basis. Subscription term license revenue was $5.8 million versus $2 million in Q3 of 2021.

This largely follows the cadence of renewals for our small group of on-premise customers or those that have the option to move their deployment on premise, which included one new customer during the quarter. Our professional services activity was strong again, resulting in $25.6 million in revenue, or 76% growth over the corresponding quarter of 2021. The ongoing rapid growth primarily reflects our recent acceleration in new customer wins. Generally, this revenue item varies from quarter to quarter based on the number, size, and timing of customer projects underway, as well as the proportion of work assumed by partners. Maintenance and support revenue for the quarter was $4 million, up 28% from Q3 of 2021, and reflecting recent growth in the base of revenue from our small group of on-premise customers.

We continue to be pleased with the diversity and strength of our total revenue base. For the quarter, our ten largest customers accounted for 22% of total revenues versus 26% in the comparable period, with no customer accounting for greater than 10% of total revenues. Third quarter gross profit increased by 29% to $55.1 million, largely as a result of strong total revenue growth. Gross margin in the quarter was 62% compared to 66% in Q3 of 2021, largely reflecting a higher proportion of lower margin professional services revenue in the mix, the impact of foreign exchange fluctuations on revenue, and recent strategic investments in related teams. Adjusted EBITDA was up 17% to $14.8 million, with a margin of 17% compared to 19% in the third quarter last year.

On a constant currency basis, our Adjusted EBITDA was $17.9 million or 19% of revenue. Our profit in the quarter was $1.6 million compared to a profit of $0.2 million in Q3 of 2021. Cash used by operating activities was $3.6 million compared to $11.2 million in cash generated for the comparable period, largely reflecting normal fluctuations in balances of operating assets and liabilities. At September 30, 2022, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $233 million, roughly equal to the $233.4 million at the end of 2021, despite $33.8 million in cash being used to finance our recent acquisition of MPO.

We remain pleased with our outstanding track record of cash generation. I'd like to highlight our year-to-date performance on some key items. SaaS revenue has grown 21% or 27% on a constant currency basis. Total revenue has grown 47% or 54% in constant currency, and our adjusted EBITDA margin is 22% of revenue, or 23% on a constant currency basis. Let's move to slide seven. Turning to some key metrics. Our annual recurring revenue grew 25% to $259 million, including currency impacts. Currency movements masked even stronger underlying growth. In constant currency, our ARR grew 30% year-over-year to $269 million. Excluding amounts related to acquired MPO customers, constant currency growth would have been 28%.

These record levels of growth reflect the unprecedented strength we have recently experienced winning new accounts, and of success winning incremental business from our installed base. I'll remind you that the growth rate for the SaaS portion of ARR is higher than for total ARR. On slide eight, our remaining performance obligation hit a record level at $549 million, up 46% from September 30, 2021, and the first time we have crossed the half billion-dollar threshold. Of that total, $489 million relates to SaaS business, which is up 37% year-over-year. It is important to note that given the structure of MPO's contracts, only a negligible amount of the RPO increase related to acquired customers. $55.8 million of the SaaS amount will be recognized as revenue in Q4 of 2022.

Further details on our RPO can be found in the revenue note to our financials. Turning to slide nine, with respect to our outlook, we are pleased to be able to increase certain aspects of our guidance for fiscal 2022. We now expect total revenue for 2022 to be between $365 million and $370 million, largely due to an improved view on professional services and subscription term license revenue. We continue to expect that fiscal year 2022's SaaS revenue will grow between 21% and 23% over our 2021 level. On a constant currency basis, we estimate that growth will be between 25% and 27%. We now expect subscription term license revenue to be between $38 million and $40 million, with the increase resulting from expansions from a number of customers.

As you know, 2022 is the peak of our subscription term license revenue cycle, simply due to the volume of renewals for on-premise customers scheduled for the period. Throughout 2022, we have had some very meaningful renewals, expansions, and even some new customers join this revenue pool, mostly because of options in their contracts to move their deployments on-premise should they choose. As a result, the total amount of revenue we earn from on-premise customers over the full cycle has increased, but the cadence between years for the related subscription term license revenue recognition has changed. Today, more contracts are longer than typical 3-year term we've previously discussed. We'll give more specific guidance next quarter on what the updated cycle looks like.

Given the new cadence, subscription term license revenue in 2023 will be closer to one-third the peak level we're experiencing in 2022, which will have margin impacts as well. We increased our adjusted EBITDA margin guidance for fiscal 2022 to 18% - 20%. We are pleased with the balanced approach to growth and profitability that we have adopted so far in 2022. We have driven accelerated growth in ARR and SaaS revenue in constant currency, while still deriving solid profitability metrics. I expect we will take a similarly balanced approach in 2023, though without the benefit of a peak in subscription term license revenue. Given the unprecedented market conditions in front of us, we have a great opportunity to reinvest our go-to market teams. We will do that while also remaining responsible with adjusted EBITDA levels.

We are in the middle of our 2023 investment planning process now, and we'll give you specific guidance next quarter. With that, I will turn the call back to John.

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Thank you, Blaine. We're often asked by investors whether the momentum we're experiencing in our business is a temporary phenomenon, driven by all the disruption COVID created and is soon to settle down. In short, we firmly believe the answer is no. We've been experiencing a notable increase in demand for roughly two years now, and there are no signs of slowing down. No, this doesn't feel temporary one bit. Rather, momentum in our market seems to have more room to accelerate. Let me be clear, replacing failing legacy supply chain management systems and methods has become a globally urgent imperative. Kinaxis, and more specifically, our unique ability to deliver end-to-end concurrent supply chain management, is leading the way.

COVID and related challenges like massive shifts in demand, component shortages, inflation, power uncertainty in various geographies, and a myriad of other disruptions have all served to test the resilience of our global supply chains. The siloed, Excel-dependent, cascaded batch processing approaches of the past breeds lethargy in responding to disruption. COVID didn't create the problem. It just highlighted it at scale and to levels the organization that were previously unaware. Every board is asking every CEO, "What will you do next time?" Leaders in the market now view fully digitized concurrent supply chain management as a must-have standard solution, and we're increasingly seeing the benefits of that renaissance. As a result, and as Blaine alluded to, our focus remains on doing what's best for the long-term success of Kinaxis.

We will continue to invest now to remain the leader in this tremendous opportunity that continues to unfold right in front of us. As always, thank you all for taking the time to join us on the call today. With that, I'll turn the line over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

At this time, if you'd like to ask a question, simply press star, then the number 1 on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Our first question will come from the line of Richard Tse with National Bank Financial. Please go ahead.

Richard Tse
Managing Director and Technology Analyst, National Bank Financial

Yes, thank you. John, I just wanted to expand on your last comment about momentum. Could you maybe give us a take on how you sort of view momentum coming from the market versus, you know, Kinaxis specific? Really trying to assess here, you know, the scale of your market share gains today.

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Yeah. There's a few things, leading indicators that we watch for above and beyond just pipeline, but unsolicited inbound leads has been up quarter-over-quarter every quarter for six quarters in a row. That, you know, is a critical element for us. The other is the general interest we're seeing in mid-market. You know, we're thrilled to have uniquely a product that can satisfy the supply chain needs of companies that are $100 million in revenue and companies that are $100 billion in revenue and everybody in between. We're definitely seeing, you know, a consistent message from the market, that this renaissance is absolutely real.

It's not just the performance in the business, as I stated in the opening remarks, I mean, you know, 40% more customers today than we had this time last year, to me is. This is just all proof and evidence of momentum in the business. You know, obviously we just, you know, the other areas that I look at, we just held an event here at headquarters in Ottawa, which was simulcast all over the world, called Big Ideas in Supply Chain. We completely outpaced our expectations on the number of prospects that attended at that event. Again, the cross-section between mid-market and enterprise that attended that section. There is a lot of interest now in what I would call digitizing and modernizing supply chain methodologies for the next, you know, three decades.

Richard Tse
Managing Director and Technology Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. Sort of two quick related questions to that momentum. You know, a few years back, you had this concerted effort to really elevate the brand from a marketing perspective. Where are you today in terms of, you know, where you want to be relative to those initial objectives?

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Yeah, I'm never satisfied. I will say, you know, Well, we've been notified that we are now the number one inquiry, you know, for some of these major analyst firms out there, that we have surpassed, you know, the previous number one inquiry in supply chain management, and we are now the number one inquiry into these analyst firms. That's great. To me, that is a statement that our message is resonating with the market. Again, our message isn't we have the best technology in the world. Oh, it's great technology. Don't get me wrong. It's great. We have the best technique in the world. We have the best medicine for what ails supply chain today.

You know, we are, you know, as Blaine said, we're going to invest in the momentum that we see. We're in the middle of the planning cycle for 2023, and there's two areas of focus, especially for the front half of 2023, and one is sales and marketing. You know, expanding coverage there. On the marketing side, it's getting very loud and amplifying even more than we're amplifying our message, you know, to the market.

Richard Tse
Managing Director and Technology Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. Thanks for that, John. Pass the line.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Thanos Moschopoulos with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Thanos Moschopoulos
Managing Director and Equity Research, BMO Capital Markets

Hi, good morning. John, I'll ask the macro question. I mean, clearly at a high level, you're not seeing any kind of a slowdown, just the opposite, actually from your comments. Just if we drill into maybe some of the individual verticals or pockets, is there anywhere where you've seen any kind of change in customer behavior from the macro? I mean, are large enterprises going through more decision cycles? Are they kind of altering their deployment plans? You know, anything in any of the specific verticals that you can comment on or just full steam ahead?

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

I wouldn't say we're seeing anything specific on the macro level. We haven't seen any notable impact, well, beyond the foreign exchange fluctuations, obviously, which have been quite dramatic, especially the yen, the GBP, and the euro. We haven't really seen anything other than that. We are seeing accelerating ARR as we mentioned. The pipeline remains very strong and robust. We're seeing great traction with mid-market. You know, at a macro level, I would say, you know, nothing really notable. Let me maybe say one thing that I am tracking very carefully, and I did mention this in the last earnings call, that we are tracking overall cycle time to close.

I wanna— you know, the one indicator I wanna see is a shrinking, if you will, in the overall sales cycle time. For the longest time over all the cohort, it was roughly 18 months, and we still have some very large enterprises that take, in some cases, multiple years. In some cases, we've closed them this last quarter, and it was a multi-year, very iconic brand, but finally got them over the line. I'm tracking this very carefully, and I think part of it is there is absolutely an urgency. As I said, this is becoming urgent for many of these companies. The directives are coming right from the board that resilience is critical.

You know, establishing a resilient supply chain is a survival means to survival. Resilience isn't a competence, it's an outcome of one, and I would say that competence that brings about resilience is agility. As you know, Kinaxis is all about deriving hyper-agility for supply chain. You know, that's one of the macro level things I'm monitoring, Thanos, and I'd say it's a bit early to tell, although the trend would suggest we're getting, you know, closer to that 12 month-13-month range. We'll see if that sustains and hopefully shrinks to less than a year.

Thanos Moschopoulos
Managing Director and Equity Research, BMO Capital Markets

That's great to hear. Just a question I wanted to ask was on public cloud deployment. I mean, you announced public cloud support earlier this year. Just curious as to how that's progressing. Obviously, that'll eventually have financial implications in terms of CapEx and margins, but kind of, you know, very early days on that front or anything to say in that regard?

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Yeah. You know, this was one of those, I would say, existential risks to the business. You know, several years ago, we were thinking about scale, where, you know, in anticipation of this kind of momentum, we wanted to make sure that we were not going to be hindered, if you will, by the availability of hardware and data center capacity. We started that process and obviously have a great partnership with Microsoft Azure. We already have a customer live on that environment, continue to roll that out, and that gives us scale. Now more recently, and again, it's part of our scale equation, our relationship with Google, and very shortly after that relationship was inked, we started our first deployment there too.

You know, for us, this is very critical to our scale equation and making sure that data center capacity is available to serve our customers regardless of the acceleration we're experiencing. They're in every geography that matters. Having, you know, two public cloud providers is critical to our scale equation. We're thrilled with both of these relationships, obviously. We'll be focused, you know, mostly in bringing net new accounts first and foremost, bringing them onto the public cloud environments first rather than transitioning existing accounts for obvious reasons. You know, we're pretty excited about the relationships forming there.

Thanos Moschopoulos
Managing Director and Equity Research, BMO Capital Markets

Great. Thanks, John. I'll pass the line.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Robert Young with Canaccord. Please go ahead.

Robert Young
Managing Director and Equity Research Canadian Technology Specialist, Canaccord Genuity

Good morning. The sales efficiency has been improving over the last several quarters, but it went up materially this quarter if you just look at the in period, in period costs and the incremental ARR. I'm curious about, you know, is this sustainable, or is this signal maybe that you need to expand the sales organization significantly, or is it rapid start? Just curious if you could talk about that, and particularly considering John's comments around the shrinking cycle time to close, it seems as though the sales efficiency

Blaine Fitzgerald
CFO, Kinaxis

Sure [crosstalk].

Robert Young
Managing Director and Equity Research Canadian Technology Specialist, Canaccord Genuity

is sustainably better.

Blaine Fitzgerald
CFO, Kinaxis

Yeah. I'll jump in there. Like, I love that metric. Sales efficiency is something that's very important to us when we think about our planning about do we have the right sales force in place, or is it large enough? Is it too small? You're absolutely right. It is getting to be extremely strong. We just got out of a quarter, and I'm gonna get myself in trouble at some point because I've been saying this almost every single quarter for the last, I think, four quarters now. Our pipeline's getting bigger, our conversion's getting better, and our win rate's getting better. Every quarter that we're getting the same results.

We're in a position where our sales efficiency obviously is getting a lot stronger, and it's getting to the point where we just realize we need to keep on adding to that sales and marketing team because they are so strong, and they're doing so well right now. Our ARR additions, this is just a one little extra metric I'm gonna throw out there. Our ARR additions that we had in Q3, and we compare that to the ARR additions that we had in Q3 of last year. It grew 168%. I'll say that again, 168%. It's like an incredible number. Now part of that can be because of MPO, but we more than doubled.

Without MPO. The team is on fire, and it's not just the sales team, it's the full organization that is really clicking right now. We're in a great position to keep that sales efficiency at a very high level. At the same time, we need to invest into it, and we need to make sure that we get to a sales efficiency that will be maintained over a long period and get the most out of the volumes that are available right now. We are doing our best to keep up with the demand, and we're just in a fortunate position to have a strong sales efficiency when we're seeing a demand that is at an all-time high.

Robert Young
Managing Director and Equity Research Canadian Technology Specialist, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. That's great to hear. The new adds in the quarter, you've been highlighting significant new adds for a while now. Just maybe if you talk about the cadence of the new adds in the quarter, you highlight that's not normal for a summer quarter or maybe it's notable as a summer quarter, but as you're exiting the summer, as you're heading into Q4, is the cadence of that new win activity sort of pushing towards the end of the quarter? Is it strengthening as it exits the quarter?

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Yeah, you know, as I said in the opening remarks, I don't see a slowdown in momentum here. You know, based on current activities, based on the pipeline, you know, based on market momentum, based on, you know, being the number one inquiry, you know, this obviously is a lot of focus on supply chain excellence and I think a lot of focus on, you know, manufacturers rethinking their techniques and looking, you know, for a breakthrough. I don't see a slowdown, Rob. I think that momentum is upon us. You know, I would declare, you know, perhaps very definitively, we are experiencing inflection. Now it's just a question of, you know, being ready to absorb the success.

Robert Young
Managing Director and Equity Research Canadian Technology Specialist, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. Last question, a quick one. The net revenue retention greater than 100%. Just curious, is there any change there to, you know, for investors to think about just given that the business seems to be shifting towards the new win orientation, given the sales force efficiency and whatnot? Is there maybe the need to, you know, maybe give us a little more data on retention just so we can ensure that expansion side of the [audio distortion] do insight and then I'll pass through.

Blaine Fitzgerald
CFO, Kinaxis

Yeah. Net revenue retention continues to be over 100%. It's probably news that hopefully will continue to give forever. It is getting stronger. We haven't given an exact number. Potentially, at some point in the future, we might. It is continuing to get stronger and stronger each quarter. We're very happy with that. Most importantly, our gross retention, meaning the retention of our customers before expansion, is extremely high. We generally like to talk about, I think, enterprise customers or companies that focus on enterprise customers should be looking for a gross retention somewhere between 95%-100%.

We're in that range, and we're at the high end of that range, which is a testament to how important our solution is to the customers that we have right now. To answer your question on expansion and installed base, we had a good quarter this quarter in terms of about a 60/40 split in terms of where we had net new versus expansion. That's something that we are going to continue to grow. Now that we keep on growing at that base of customers, we expect that expansion and installed base will be more important in the future.

Robert Young
Managing Director and Equity Research Canadian Technology Specialist, Canaccord Genuity

Thanks for taking the questions. Congrats on the momentum.

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Thanks, Rob.

Operator

Your next question will come from the line of Paul Treiber with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Paul Treiber
Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Oh, thanks so much. Good morning. You know, obviously, organic growth is very strong, but just wanted to hone in on MPO. How much does the company contribute to total revenue and EBITDA in the quarter? Then, you know, what magnitude or not did MPO contribute materially to ARR and RPO?

Blaine Fitzgerald
CFO, Kinaxis

Sure. Across the board question on MPO and their impact for us. As far as revenue or total revenue, we've already talked about the fact that they came to us with high single-digit annual revenue. You can almost figure out based on those numbers that it was, I would say, a fairly insignificant impact to our SaaS revenue and total revenue. On Adjusted EBITDA, I would say it's a positive impact, but not out of line with what our current margins are. ARR, as I mentioned, we hit around 30% on a constant currency basis, but without MPO, we would have been around 28%. Then the last item you'd asked about was RPO.

With the way that we've developed our contracts, are a little bit different than how MPO put together their contracts. We have fairly strict methodology on what we consider to be RPO and what we don't consider to be RPO. A much smaller amount of the MPO contracts we've included in RPO. It's, I would say, very immaterial.

Paul Treiber
Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Thanks for laying that out. I just wanted to go through it all and understand that. You know, in terms of the business, the momentum, maybe it's overshadowed by the growth that you're seeing on the direct sales side. In the prepared remarks, there wasn't so much a mention on partners and the contribution from partners. Now, how do we think about the momentum and the sort of force multiplier you're getting from partners here?

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Yeah. You know, I would say as it has been for multiple years, the vast majority of net new accounts are partner influenced. I'd say the one thing I might call out that is, you know, perhaps, you know, different, let's just say, is our VAR program update. Which we started, you know, earlier in the year. We now have over 25 participants in that program. In fact, I think we might actually be closer to 30. We've had several wins in that area, VAR related, and more targeted for this quarter. That is where we're anticipating some acceleration in the quarters to come.

We're working very, very hard on, you know, focusing on training and enablement, building training programs and, you know, establishing internal systems to support them. You know, many of these VARs are in geographies where we don't have coverage right now. We're really pleased with the program thus far, and I think you'll see more news coming out in the quarters to come related to our VAR inspired wins.

Paul Treiber
Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, great. I'll pass the line.

Operator

Your next question will come from the line of Christian Sgro with Eight Capital. Please go ahead.

Christian Sgro
Principal, Equity Research, Technology, Eight Capital

Hi, good morning, and thanks for taking my questions. The first one I wanted to ask is related to the macro. There's some verticals, some geographies where we're starting to see supply chain constraints ease a little bit, at least from following on our peripheral, you know, some of the transcripts of tech companies at least. Just wondering in your conversations with customers, are you seeing, you know, urgency change? Are you seeing some customers have maybe more bandwidth flexibility, you know, to hash out exactly what product solution they need? I'm just wondering either way whether you're seeing an acceleration or maybe more thoughtfulness from customers as the macro changes here and the supply chain scenario evolves out of COVID.

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Yeah. I think, you know, there's no doubt that, while, you know, in the throes of this pandemic, many manufacturers were struggling. You know, many of them were struggling mightily. I would say that, you know, as we emerge from this pandemic, there are new threats. I've never had more conversations with CFOs about inflation risk, the speed at which inflation is occurring and recovering in different geographies and the impact that has on cash, the impact that has on profit. So, you know, risk is omnipresent, although different than COVID. I would say, the availability of supply might be easing. The availability of containers, you know, may be easing, although, you know, it's not back to its full state.

I'd say the velocity and ferocity of disruption is not easing. It's just different. You know, there's a lot of pressure, obviously with inflation, there's a lot of pressure on margin pressure. Many of these organizations are being asked to do more with less. That can only happen with a transformation in supply chain. You know, we have customers that have come to us and said, "We expect to double the size of the business with half the people in supply chain." That's the kind of model, you know, description that we see in terms of what the future holds. I really don't see that letting up, frankly. I think that's gonna continue. It's gonna continue to be the story for many, in fact, years to come.

Christian Sgro
Principal, Equity Research, Technology, Eight Capital

That's helpful and consistent on all the commentary earlier on the momentum. The second question I'll ask here is more on the modeling side. I think we've moved away from giving pointed CapEx guidance. I'm not necessarily requesting that, but as we shift, you know, toward partners like Google and Microsoft with the public cloud approach, is it safe to think that Kinaxis' CapEx requirements could, you know, decrease over the coming, if not quarters, years? Could it become a much capital expenditure lighter company with this strategy?

Blaine Fitzgerald
CFO, Kinaxis

Yeah. Good question. Absolutely. We're actually already seeing that in the current year in terms of that transition to a little bit more of a public cloud or a hybrid environment. You should expect that going forward, our CapEx will be lighter than what you've probably seen in previous years.

Christian Sgro
Principal, Equity Research, Technology, Eight Capital

Great. That's helpful. Thanks for taking my questions this morning.

Operator

Your next question will come from the line of Suthan Sukumar with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Suthan Sukumar
Managing Director, Stifel

Good morning, gents, and congrats on another strong quarter. Wanna ask a question specifically around the cloud strategy here. Aside from the scale optionality that cloud brings, are there any incremental customer or partner categories or even use cases that a cloud-first offering could unlock for Kinaxis?

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

I think that's a wonderful question. In fact, you know, I think the one area that could have some significant impact on us, through the relationships both with Microsoft and Google, is how that might influence access to their own customers that are already leveraging their platforms. It's early days in that, I'd say, related discussion. That could be an area of great interest and it could be an accelerant for us, frankly. I don't see whatsoever that it brings about some new use case that wasn't available to us without it. It really is a scale multiplier for us.

First and foremost, you know, we've been what I would say a cloud SaaS company since 2005. We've been delivering our software that way for quite some time. This just gives us a force multiplier having Microsoft and Google. Again, I'd say really it's the relationships may unlock, I'd say, you know, access trusted relationships with customers that are already on their respective platforms.

Suthan Sukumar
Managing Director, Stifel

Great. Thank you. I wanted to touch on the MPO acquisition next. Could you speak a little bit about the opportunity that you see from a cross-sell perspective, you know, with their acquired base? How do you see MPO in terms of the influence on expanding your pipeline ahead, you know, given the market opportunity?

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

You know, that's another great question. You know, I'm really excited about this acquisition and the locking of arms with MPO. You know, we have long been focused on supply chain planning, as you know, and we recognize that the notion of concurrency and linking everything and everyone in the planning world is exceptionally potent and unique. With the acquisition of MPO, that brings us into end-to-end concurrent supply chain management. It is the blurring of the lines between planning and execution. Think about the potency of having concurrency between material in motion and promises made to customers, and revenue at risk, and everything else in between fully connected.

Again, our very early days, this is a very recent acquisition for us. The thesis behind this was really, you know, elevating Kinaxis from being a concurrent supply chain planning provider to an end-to-end concurrent supply chain management provider, blurring the lines between planning and execution. I truly believe this is yet another revolutionary step and very unique for the market. We're getting great feedback from our customers already when they recognize what this will unlock for them.

Suthan Sukumar
Managing Director, Stifel

Okay, great. Thank you for taking my questions. I'll pass the line, guys.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Nick Agostino with Laurentian. Please go ahead.

Nick Agostino
Analyst, Laurentian Bank Securities

Yes. Good morning. I guess first question. Recently you guys put out some really positive, encouraging news with regards to Asia, obviously adding lots of partners in that region and opening up an office there. I'm just wondering, what can you just provide as far as the timing? Like why now? What are you guys seeing in that part of the world that suggests that now is the right time to put this full on investment?

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Well, first it's a great central location for support, you know, across all hours, right? It's giving us that 24-hour coverage. You know, I'd say, you know, the other, you know, key element for us is talent. It's a great source of supply chain talent. Obviously, you know, we've been talking about talent wars. I'd say they're somewhat subsiding a little bit, but they're still omnipresent. So this is giving us an opportunity to extend our talent pool. And again, another area for us to make sure that we're growing the team at a rate commensurate with the acceleration in the momentum of the business. You know, that's really the driving force behind our investments there.

Nick Agostino
Analyst, Laurentian Bank Securities

Okay. Just switching gears, I know you've talked about on this call about good, solid momentum, and it doesn't sound like there's anything right now that's gonna slow that down. I'm just wondering, with a lot of talk for 2023 of a potential recession, just trying to understand the downside risk, can you just share your thoughts? Maybe what clients are saying, thinking, and just your own past experience, given the recession back in 2008. What sort of impact? When you look at your business, what sort of impact should we be thinking about from a downside perspective when it comes to the recession or a potential recession?

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

You know, I see no negative impact. I only see a positive one. I think supply chain excellence is recession-proof really. When you think about what businesses are forced to absorb in times like this, they have to become hyper efficient, hyper agile in times of recession. As I said, in many cases, they look to automate many of their supply chain functions so that they can continue to operate, you know, with potentially less investment. This is what, you know, this is what technological advancement brings about. As I said earlier, can I double the size of the company with half the people? Can I run my supply chain with half the people?

You know, honestly, I only see upside, you know, to the implications, you know, of challenges in the market here. Look, you know, I would say the opposite. Sorry, I would say the same thing in times of plenty, 'cause we do have customers right now that can't manufacture enough. They basically, you know, have told us, "We're going to sell 100% of the goods that we can make." In their case, you know, the economy is causing a giant increase in demand. Again, in that case, they need hyper agility, which really I truly think that I don't think about it in terms of the economic macro events of the world as driving the need for supply chain excellence. I really just think about it in terms of disruption. You know, do you have volatile supply and/or demand for things that are constrained?

If that's the world you live in, you need to become hyper agile. If you, if you're not agile, you will not have a resilient supply chain. Resilience is really what boards are asking their CEOs about right now. In fact, the narrative sounds very much like this: "Your supply chain needs to be more resilient and, oh, by the way, do less harm to the planet." That's the most common narrative I hear. Your supply chain needs to be more resilient and, oh, by the way, do less harm to the planet." That is an omnipresent and urgent, I would say, need, regardless of the economic conditions of the world right now.

Nick Agostino
Analyst, Laurentian Bank Securities

Okay. Appreciate that color. Excellent. Thank you.

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Martin Toner with ATB Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, and Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

Thanks very much, everyone. Quick. You know, most of my questions have been answered. Quick one on the scale multiplier of GCP. Does that mean that you can grow faster, but the same amount of professional services capacity, both internal and external?

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

I wouldn't classify it that way. Really, you know, the speed at which we grow quarter-over-quarter, and the speed at which we gain net new customers, every time you win a customer, you need data center capacity. No secret, you know, in terms of the world shortage in chip manufacturing and silicon, you know, part of our scale strategy is to make sure we never run out of data center capacity. That is solely the motivation for us to form strong bonds and relationships with Microsoft Azure, and most recently, a very strategic relationship with Google. That's how I would classify it. It's nothing more complex than that. You know, this gives us between the two. It eliminates what I would call an existential threat that we win customers, and we don't have hardware to put them on.

You know, this is just eliminating that threat as we continue to scale.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, and Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

Awesome. Thanks, John. Based on your comments about growing the sales force, doesn't seem like the growth in sales and marketing expense is likely to grow less next fiscal on an absolute dollar basis. Is that right?

Blaine Fitzgerald
CFO, Kinaxis

That's a good assumption for sales and marketing, yeah.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, and Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

Okay

Blaine Fitzgerald
CFO, Kinaxis

As brief an answer as I can give you, but I think it's a good assumption.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, and Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

Brief is good. Great quarter, guys. Congrats. Good question.

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Thank you.

Operator

I will now turn the conference back over to management for any closing remarks.

John Sicard
President and CEO, Kinaxis

Great. Thank you, operator, and thank you everyone for participating on today's call. We appreciate your questions and your ongoing interest and support of Kinaxis. We look forward to speaking with you again when we report our fourth quarter results. Bye for now.

Operator

This will conclude today's call. We thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

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