Power Corporation of Canada (TSX:POW)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2025

May 14, 2025

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Power Corporation First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Analysts who wish to join the question queue may press star, then one, at any point throughout the call. If anyone has any difficulties hearing the conference, please press star, then zero for operator assistance at any time. I would like to remind everyone that this call is being recorded on Wednesday, May 14th, 2025. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Steven Hung, Head of Investor Relations for Power Corporation. Please go ahead, sir.

Steven Hung
Head of Investor Relations, Power Corporation

Thank you, Operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining the call to discuss our first quarter financial results. Before we begin, please note that the live webcast link and materials for this call are posted under the Shareholder Reports tab on our website at powercorporation.com. Please turn to slide two. I would like to draw your attention to the cautionary note regarding the use of forward-looking statements, which form part of today's remarks. Please also refer to slide three for a note on the use of non-IFRS financial measures, other measures, and clarifications on adjusted net asset value. To discuss our results today, joining us are President and CEO Jeffrey Orr and our EVP and CFO, Jake Lawrence. We will begin with opening remarks followed by Q&A. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jeff.

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

Thank you, Steve, and welcome, everyone. Thanks for joining us this morning. I am going to just draw your attention on page five to recent investor disclosures at our various group companies. Of course, we've just come through a number of annual general meetings for Great-West and IGM and GBL, and Power's is later this morning. As well, there was a Great-West Lifeco Investor Day that had a lot of interesting information, so lots of stuff available on our various websites. Moving forward, this is Power Corp's 100th anniversary this year, so we're celebrating what we call a century stronger. The actual birthday was April 18th. We're just cleaning up the birthday cake around here. No, it's a big year for us. The company's been around a long time, gone through a lot of change, and so we're celebrating that this year.

Moving forward to page seven, you know, we had, I would describe, a solid quarter on track. The two businesses, Great-West Life and IGM, that produced basically all of our repeatable earnings, had solid earnings growth. I mentioned the Great-West Life Investor Day. I'm going to come back and highlight a few points on that. Our alternative asset management platforms did a number of steps since we last met, which was only about seven or eight weeks ago, I think, for when we had our Q4 call. A number of other developments adding to the scale and the breadth of those organizations. There are a number of leadership changes that I want to give my comments to and to you and share with you as we go through the presentation. With that, I'm going to pass it over to Jake.

Jake Lawrence
EVP and CFO, Power Corporation

Great. Thanks, Jeff. I'm going to start my remarks today on slide eight. As Jeff noted, we're pleased to report solid quarterly results to start 2025. In Q1, adjusted net earnings from continuing operations was CAD 787 million, and that's up 11% compared to CAD 710 million in the same quarter of 2024. When we look at the earnings on a per-share basis, Q1 adjusted net earnings were CAD 1.22, and that's up 12% compared to CAD 1.09 last year. That incremental 1% growth in EPS is a direct result of our active share buyback program. That program continued again throughout Q1 when we repurchased 3 million shares. As I'm going to detail later in the presentation, our results reflect growth in Great-West and IGM Financial businesses, which Jeff noted combined the vast majority of Power's recurring earnings.

Our NAV per share was CAD 68.99 at the end of the quarter, March 31st, and that's up 14% compared to the end of last year, December 31st, 2024. What was driving the underlying increase was Great-West share price, which reacted positively to its Q4 earnings release that occurred back in February. As noted, we've remained active buying back shares in the quarter, and the reduction in share count contributed approximately CAD 0.23 to the NAV. Our NAV per share closed at CAD 63.60 yesterday, and that's in part reflecting the share price volatility we've experienced post-quarter end. Finally, the board of directors did declare a quarterly dividend of CAD 0.6125 per share, and this is consistent with last quarter's dividend and is up 9% year over year.

Moving on to slide nine, Great-West once again delivered strong quarterly base earnings of over $1 billion, and it's the fourth consecutive quarter with base earnings in excess of a billion. Their earnings contribution rose 6% and were driven by double-digit growth in its retirement and wealth businesses. Great-West also reported base ROE of over 17%, highlighting the growth in its more capital-efficient businesses. IGM's contribution to Power's earnings were also up 6% year over year, as IGM reported record first quarter adjusted EPS to start 2025. These results were driven by record quarter AUM and strong net inflows at both IG Wealth and Mackenzie. As well, IGM saw impressive growth in client assets across its four strategic investments.

GBL's contribution to Power's adjusted net earnings declined year over year, as the prior year comparable figure included a number of fair value gains associated with GBL Capital's investments. As Jeff will outline shortly, GBL continues to progress on its value creation strategy, and earlier this month, its dividend of EUR 5 per share was approved. Moving to our alternative investment platforms, Sagard's contribution to earnings were driven primarily by fair value increases in our investment in Sagard's private equity and venture capital funds. Power Sustainable's results included improvement in its FRE and greater contribution from its Energy Infrastructure Fund. As a reminder, in accordance with IFRS, we consolidate the underlying operation of Power Sustainable's Energy Infrastructure Fund. This means that despite being a limited partner in the fund, our accounting earnings will still pick up items such as amortization as well as financing expenses.

The increase in our corporate operations and other line this quarter was driven primarily by operating expenses, where we had an adjustment related to the performance assumptions used in our equity-based compensation. A portion of the adjustment is one-time in nature, and this adjustment is expected to reduce volatility in future quarters. Overall, we're pleased with our group's strong start to 2025 and believe this quarter's results are a testament to our group's ability to grow in challenging environments. Moving on to slide ten, as mentioned, we reported net asset value per share of CAD 68.99 at the end of the quarter. I'll draw your attention to the bottom left of the page, where we reemphasize that 84% of Power's growth asset value is comprised of Great-West and IGM Financial, our publicly traded earnings-driven businesses.

Much of our NAV growth this quarter was headlined by the strong share price performance at Great-West that I mentioned earlier. We believe the share price reaction represents the street's validation of the transformation Great-West has undergone in recent years. We also saw a solid increase in our NAV related to GBL. Sagard and Power Sustainable stayed relatively consistent quarter over quarter, with fair value gains in our investment in private equity and venture capital funds driving a slight overall increase. As a reminder, Sagard and GBL entered into a strategic partnership whereby GBL acquired a 5% fully diluted interest in the Sagard General Partnership at a value consistent with our Q4 2024 level. Our cash balance ended slightly lower at CAD 1.4 billion as we remained active in the NCIB program.

Of that CAD 1.4 billion, we consider just over CAD 1 billion to be available once we factor in dividends declared by Power and IGM, but not yet paid. With that, I'll turn it back over to Jeff for some more remarks from him.

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

Thank you, Jake. Moving forward to Great-West Life, a lot of that was covered by Jake. I'll just add that within Great-West Lifeco, earnings continued strong performance by Empower. But strong growth across the rest of the platform, and that's the way we think of it. We're going to get growth in our view moving forward from all of the business units. Empower is obviously the lead growth, but there's solid growth coming from across the platform. The other thing I would just point out is the capital position and the capital generation of Great-West Lifeco is becoming, I think, clearer and clearer, and I'll make a comment on that on the next page. But there were strong buybacks and the CAD 2.5 billion of cash up at the HoldCo, in addition to excess capital down in the regulated entities themselves.

With that, why do I not just move to page 12 to highlight? I think you would have potentially seen this from Great-West, but Great-West Life had come public with their medium-term objectives, and that was in early 2021, started 2021. They, at their Investor Day in April, kind of just did an accounting of that. They had exceeded, of course, their base EPS growth. Their 16%-17% ROE, they were at 17% last year, and they had got their payout ratio from about 60% in 2020 down to right around 50%. With that, they revised their objectives. They kept the base EPS growth at 8%-10%, but did note that there is a potential for them to exceed that through the deployment of excess capital because there is a lot of excess capital. They moved their ROE target up to 19%.

They introduced a new base capital generation measure, and that goes across the segments. I think that's going to be really useful for people who are looking at Great-West Lifeco to understand how the earnings actually translate into capital generation that can then be used to either move upstairs, pay dividends, reinvest in the business. That is going to, I hope and expect, give people a lot clearer understanding of the ability of the company to continue to generate capital and cash, and they just maintain their target earnings payout ratio. Hopefully that continues the group's march to creating greater communication, greater disclosure, greater transparency around what's happening. The other thing I'd like to talk about is on the next page, you know, very significant for the company is when you have a leadership change.

I want to start with saying Paul Mahon was the CEO for 12 years. It's kind of remarkable. You know, the business changes every year when you go back, and we did so over the occasion of Paul's announcing that Paul was retiring as CEO. You go back 12 years and you look at Great-West, and it's hard to recognize it today, all of the change that's gone on, significant repositioning. We went through that period in the first half of Paul's tenure where there's just heavy investments going on, not a lot of earnings growth. And the earnings growth numbers that I just referred to over the last five years were really starting to hit our stride. The company's been really repositioned. Paul did a really great job.

He's going to stay on as a special advisor into early 2026 to help and just make sure he's there to make sure it's a smooth transition with David. Not that David necessarily is going to need a lot of help. David Harney has been with the group, I say that loosely, for over 30 years. He joined Irish Life, and when we acquired Irish Life, he was running the group business. He was several years later promoted to being the CEO of Irish Life. Four years or so ago, took over as the president of all of Great-West Life's European operations, and then added responsibility for reinsurance. He has had a wide remit, as they say in Europe, over the businesses of Great-West Lifeco.

He started off as a math major and an actuary, but he spent most of his career building businesses, doing client-facing work. Really a talented guy, and I think he's going to really do extremely well. We're really pleased with David's appointment. Okay, a couple of comments on IGM. It was, in fact, the record earnings for them for the first quarter, so those are good results. Choppy environment, obviously, but they did have very strong inflows. IG Wealth in net inflows, a lot of that driven through high net worth flows. Mackenzie was also in inflows. That was driven by institutional flows, but very strong institutional flows, in particular into one of their strategies, which is getting good traction globally. It was not Canadian flows. It's through international investors. Lots of good momentum happening there.

They themselves are, of course, returning capital to shareholders, and they, in addition to dividends, engaged in share buybacks. You know, it's kind of solid performance for IGM and Mackenzie. If you turn the page, however, to page 15, you've got their strategic investments, which are not a little bit analogous when Jake was talking about our NAV and talked about the part of the Power Corp portfolio, which is not really earnings-driven. It's NAV-driven. The strategic investments here for IGM are analogous to that, with the exception of China Asset Management. It is producing strong margins. The growth across this portfolio in the client assets for the last 12 months is really quite outstanding. You've got Wealthsimple's assets at the end of the quarter up to CAD 73 billion from CAD 39 billion the previous year. Rockefeller, these are their assets converted to Canadian dollars.

Strong growth year over year. China AMC's growth, the CAD 529 billion of assets, and IGM owns 28% of that. That is a big share of those assets are very large. Northleaf, in a difficult funding environment, continues to grow through fundraising. Really strong performance by IGM's strategic investments. That sets the stage as we move down in time for ultimately earnings driven by those businesses as they reach scale and decide to focus on profitability. A couple of comments on GBL, turning the page. They did announce, to reiterate, back in the fall, they had their own investor day where they announced that they were targeting double-digit TSR objectives through the continued execution of their strategy.

They, in the first quarter, disposed of a lot of their SGS stake, and that's about EUR 2.4 billion going back to the start of 2024 of assets that they have disposed of, public assets that they've disposed of. If you then, and Jake mentioned the dividend, which was approved, on the right-hand side, you just see the transformation of their portfolio over the past five years. They've been talking about it, but you see it on a kind of multi-year basis as they make progress. I'm going to switch the page here and then make my next comment on leadership. Yann Gallien, who has been the CEO of the company for the last 14 years, has moved into the position of Chair of the Board. Paul Demmerlé has been the Chair since 2019, moving into the position of Vice Chair. Johan Hoet joined.

He had been the previous 25 years, had been with KKR. He was chair of their European, Middle East and African operations. He's been brought on, started in the last several weeks. I think he's got a lot of energy and is very focused on the strategy execution on continuing the rotation here. I think that will continue to strengthen the leadership over all of our group as we attract a great person who I think that will be a very good thing for GBL and for shareholders. Okay, a couple of comments on our alternative asset management platforms. This next page is just a visual to remind everyone how we think about it.

The asset management activities of Sagard and Power Sustainable, we get value through recurring fee-related earnings and also carried interest, and ultimately through the growth and the value of the GPs or of the manager. Then we have capital that is in their various investing activities, our proprietary capital, which we report separately. You could think of us as an LP, a limited partner investor in there, and we get returns on the different asset classes. Those are the two main streams, and we think of it broken up in those two ways. Turning the page, Sagard just continues to make progress in not only fundraising, but in also looking at strategic partnerships. I think we spoke at the last meeting about GBL coming in as a 5% general partner and committing capital.

Since we last met, they have announced the acquisition of VEX Capital, which is a specialized secondaries firm that they have acquired along with PIM last year. They are building out their secondaries capabilities and fund to funds. That not only adds to their scale, but complements the lineup of products that they bring to market. Comment on Power Sustainable. They, in the last few weeks, announced the launch of their fourth product, in fact, a successful closing of their fourth product, I should say, which is a decarb private equity strategy. This is a U.S.-based team with lots of experience that have joined our group. It is a mid-market fund that is focused on more resource-efficient and resilient North American market on resource-efficient and resilient companies. Basically, it is a decarb fund, but it is mid-market private equity is the right way to think about it.

Power Sustainable has now got four products all in the space. You see them down the right-hand side. They're up and running and are focused on continuing to fundraise and get scale through that. Good progress at Power Sustainable. Right, I'll complete with a few comments on Power Corp itself. We continue to return capital to shareholders, CAD 135 million of buybacks in the first quarter. We've got about CAD 1 billion in available cash. You know, we get the question all the time about, you know, if you're getting close to your CAD 850 million, does that mean buybacks don't happen? We have lots of continued sources of available cash. We've got a number of energy assets that remain as wholly owned assets at Power Corporation that were part of our, they were in effect undeveloped when we launched the new strategy. They've been developed.

They're being sold into the energy fund. That's the immediate source of cash over the next couple of quarters. We've also got about CAD 2 billion in seed capital, or seed capital, excuse me, in basically our proprietary capital invested with the platforms. We've got a targeted return of about 10% on that, which we monetize over time. We've got lots of sources of cash, so we do not see ourselves, we see ourselves being able to maintain the current pace of buybacks and don't see any issue with that. We've done all that, and we continue to maintain a very strong financial position, which is particularly important as we have a little bit of uncertainty and market risk out there with the current environment, obviously. Our discount, we're pleased that it's tightened in over the last few quarters.

I think I've said to people before, it's hard, you know, I get myself to understanding from our operating costs that if you do the present value of those, you could get to a 2-3% discount. But then I can make the argument that there shouldn't be a discount beyond that. Not that I expect it to necessarily go to three, but we think there's still been an opportunity for that to narrow, and we still do. We're pleased that we're starting to see that narrow down. It was at 21%. I think that's yesterday's close, if I'm not mistaken. If we set update, okay. Perfect. Flipping over to 23, you've got the returns that we've created over various periods. The five-year return there is a bit exaggerated because you go back into the downturn in 2020 of COVID.

We've got the number going back to the end of 2019, which is five years and four months, I guess. Strong returns, well ahead of our benchmarks. I just reiterate, this is not a valuation story. You can do your own work on the two earnings-driven businesses that we have, Great-West and IGM, on their forward PEs, but they're trading right around where they were at the start of the new strategy in 2019. You've had the NAV growth that's gone on, but basically the discount, which was around 24%-25% when we announced the deal, is at 21%. You can do the math on 4% of an NAV discount in terms of over five plus years. That's really not contributed much to the returns that we've created. This is not a valuation story.

People often go, "Wow, your stocks have really done well. You're on a run." I think just look through all of that and say, "Yeah, well, it's because the earnings at Great-West Life and IGM have grown. The dividends have continued to be extremely healthy. There's been net asset value growth, much of which at Power Corp has been turned into cash and put to use through buybacks." We do not see any reason why that strategy cannot continue given the announced targets that we have for all of our companies. As long as we execute, of course, we have to continue to execute, which is not a given, but we have confidence that we can do that. I'm going to skip page 24. Our strategy remains the same and just kind of finish on the last page, which is looking ahead.

This is the math behind how we think about our targeted TSRs. 84% of our gross asset value, as Jake pointed out, is earnings-based. It is Great-West Life and IGM. Each of those companies have got an objective publicly in the market, medium-term EPS growth objective, 8%-10% for Great-West, 9% for IGM. They each have yields that are right around 5%. In the case of Great-West, they have been increasing their dividend for the last 10, 11 years consistently. You look at that and say, "If they execute and there is no change in their multiple," which I would argue is not a high multiple right now, but if they execute on the earnings growth and on their dividends and there is no change in their valuation, the math gets you to a TSR of around 14%.

The rest of our portfolio, the bulk of the rest of Power's assets, whether it's GBL or our capital underpinning the alternative strategies, have got publicly announced targets of 10% or 10%+ . We'll continue to harvest that as we move forward and do buybacks to shrink our share base. When we look at all of that, if we execute on that and the world behaves as it's supposed to behave, i.e., markets continue to grow in the normal course, you're going to get a return that's going to be comparable to the numbers we've produced over the last five years. Of course, there's lots of things that can happen. It's not going to be a straight line, but that is the math behind our strategy going forward. We are very confident in our ability to execute as long as the world behaves.

I will then finish my comments by saying, "Is the world going to behave?" Everybody's guess is as good as mine. There is a lot of risk and uncertainty out there. I will note that a number of observers have commented that we are a company that does well when there have been previous downturns. Financial crises were a solid diversified company with our businesses diversified, our earnings diversified, and a fairly prudent approach to our risk management, which is not to say there is no risk in our businesses, but we, on a relative basis, are fairly prudent. I do want to say, like, we do way better when the economy is doing well and when markets are growing and there is confidence.

It is nice that people think of us as a defensive play, but when things are going well and the world looks better and there is growth, that increases materially our probability of being able to execute our value creation strategy and create the kind of returns I am talking about. We are looking forward to the economy being strong and to some of the current issues that are going on in the world being resolved appropriately. That will be better for us. If it does not work out that way, we think we are in a pretty strong position financially in every other way. With that, I am going to conclude my remarks and we will open it up for questions, Operator.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To join the question queue, you may press star, then one on your telephone keypad.

You will hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your request, please press star and then two. We will pause for a moment as callers join the queue. The first question comes from Doug Young with Desjardins Capital Market. Please go ahead.

Doug Young
Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Hi, good morning. The first question, I guess, Jeff, and I think I've asked you this before, but I'll throw it out there. Is there more, and I get the valuation that you talk about IGM, Great-West, and the platforms, but is there more that you can do across the platforms between Great-West, IGM, and Power to surface value? One example, I mean, there's a Wall Street Journal article talking about, and we knew this was coming, but Power is going to get into the alt business.

Obviously, Power is a big part of the Great-West Life platform and story. You have a very strong and growing alt business up at the Power level. I just wanted to throw it out there. How should we think about the value creation across the platforms and the opportunity for Sagard within what Power is going to do on the alt side?

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

Hi, Doug. Thanks for the question. The answer is that we are extremely active in encouraging our different distribution platforms to engage with the manufacturing platforms to see if there are opportunities. In the case of Empower's announcement this morning that is in the Wall Street Journal, Sagard is part of that program, just to make the point. The proof is in the pudding. We encourage dialogue.

We create opportunities for people getting together and make sure that the distribution platforms are aware of what we are doing on the manufacturing side. We stop short, and we need to stop short of ever telling our distribution platforms what they are going to put on their shelves because they have a competitive business to run. They're all running their businesses. They have, in many cases, producer obligations to clients. And even if it's not a producer standard, they need to be putting a competitor product on. So Sagard, for example, and Power Sustainable, while we think they have great products, they're still relatively small firms in the world of alts, and their product suite doesn't satisfy the complete needs of all of our distribution platforms. It's not realistic to think that they're going to take the majority of the share of our distribution platforms.

They're going to find if they have competitor products that are better than or equal with others that are out there, they're going to get an opportunity. You can't expect it to fill the entire shelf because they do not have the swath of products that, say, some of the very large players would have. I'm just trying to give you context there. The answer is it is happening. We are in continual dialogue between our alternative platforms and our distribution platforms. Do you want to add to that, Jake?

Jake Lawrence
EVP and CFO, Power Corporation

Yeah, I would just, Doug, good question. I'd add there's the financial examples around product and distribution, and then there's the ones that are sometimes less obvious to the investment community. We look at the fintech strategies that exist.

We have partners and operating companies and portfolio companies down at Sagard partnering across the group. Conquest Financial Planning, existing at IGM, Nesto, the mortgage backbone at IGM. There are lots of ways that other parts of the group are contributing in as well that are worth noting that may not be as obvious and tangible immediately in the financial statements or in asset flows.

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

If you go beyond alts, I could take a lot more time to talk about how much of Great-West Life's liquid shelf is managed by IGM, partnerships on distributing insurance through IGM out of Canada Life. We can go on and on about what is happening across the platforms. That is it. It contributes. It helps. The platforms, the alt platforms have to go out and be competitive with third-party non-related investors first and foremost.

They can't just be relying on our distribution.

Doug Young
Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

No, it makes sense. It gives me a bit of flavor. On the Beck's acquisition, can you talk about how much you purchased, I mean, details on the agreement to buy up the rest and employee retention? I assume it reads like this is only for private equity LPs. Is that the case, or is it rather a type of fees?

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

I'm going to come back. I didn't get the last part of your question. I got the part about the financial terms, which we're not disclosing. Why don't I answer them and then you come back, what I missed or what you think I missed. The people retention is always the key on this. These are people businesses.

Sagard spends an enormous amount of time as they're bringing in existing strategies and partners who have built those strategies. They've spent an enormous amount of time making sure that there's a lot of exchange and that there's a cultural fit. First of all, the financial arrangements are set up so people can't walk out. More importantly than that, they've got a very active program of bringing in their partners and using their network and introducing them to their global network as well as their LPs. They do a great job of it. That is one of their core advantages because if you don't do that, obviously, you don't bind the folks to the organization. There's a very active, and I think so far a very successful strategy. I missed the last part of your question. You were breaking up a little bit.

Doug Young
Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Yeah, sorry.

Is that only private equity LPs, or is it a slew of alt LPs that they do business in?

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

Yeah, so there's a lot of family and Beck's, I believe.

Jake Lawrence
EVP and CFO, Power Corporation

Doug, are you asking about the asset class? It's all private equity. So there's no private credit or real estate. It's typically private equity.

Doug Young
Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Yeah, that's what I was—yeah,

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

it's all private equity.

Doug Young
Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Okay.

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

And it's secondary. Secondary and fundamental.

Doug Young
Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Secondary. Yeah. No, I get that. Yeah, I'll come back. And then quickly, the size of the energy investments that are going to be folded into funds that is a source of liquidity you talked about. Could you size that?

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

Yeah. So it's going to depend on timing for different projects, Doug, but it's greater than CAD 100 million we expect in totality.

Doug Young
Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets

Appreciate the color. Thank you.

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

Thanks, Doug.

Operator

The next question comes from Tom MacKinnon with BMO Capital.

Please go ahead.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director of Insurance and Diversified Financials, BMO Capital

Yeah, thanks very much. Maybe a question just with respect to how you balance share repurchases with investing into Sagard and Power Sustainable. I mean, if I look at Sagard and Power Sustainable, they're not at the scale. You've certainly talked about how small they are. Their product set may not be as diversified as other alternatives. And you need to scale to improve the fee-related earnings of these companies. It seems like the strategy here is to take all the dividends you get from these earnings stories and buy back stock with this as opposed to investing into Sagard and Power Sustainable, which how do you balance that? Those things are probably better growers. You talk about them being 10%+ growers to begin with.

How do you think that should—do not you think that would help improve the discount to the NAV if you could show that you can add value at the HoldCo through growth and fee-related earnings at Sagard and Power Sustainable as opposed to adding value at the HoldCo just by taking the dividends and buying back stock?

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

Yeah. The dividends, the way we think of it is the following, Tom. The dividends that we receive from Great-West Life and IGM and GBL, those we view as the source. They are steady. They are reliable. We view that as the source of the dividends that we pay on the Power Corp stock. We put that in that bucket, and we deduct our operating expenses and our preferred dividends and the interest on our small amount of debt.

We say, "This is what the cash flow comes from that." That is available for dividends on the shares. We have about CAD 75 million-CAD 85 million surplus right now if you run that out. We have some positive cash coming in from that. The other sources being, we still have residual assets that we talked about, energy that we are disposing of. We have CAD 2 billion of capital underpinning the alternative asset management strategies that we think produces about 10% return. It is not every quarter. These things are a mix of royalties. There are some debt funds. There is some private equity. There is some venture capital. It is a bit episodic. We occasionally then sell some secondary positions. When the market is right for that, there are a lot of secondary buyers out there. We use the seed capital.

The way we think of it, we've got our excess cash flow, some of the assets we haven't sold. We have the earnings on the seed capital, some dispositions to fund our buybacks. That's the source of the buybacks. We're trying to manage that CAD 2 billion of capital to be roughly equal so that the growth in—we're recycling it—the growth in the capital that's producing the FRE, as you mentioned, and producing the carry as well. Don't forget, as a GP, you get carry. That source of income is going to grow. We're trying to get it to grow on a capital-efficient basis, i.e., other people's capital. Some of that is Canada Life. They work closely, for example, with Power Sustainable on their U.S. infrastructure debt fund because they have their balance sheet once that they worked with them.

They helped actually hire the team. So that's good. That's not Power Corp's capital. That's meeting the needs of, apropos Doug's question earlier, that's kind of synergies between our operating businesses and our alt platforms. So we recycle the CAD 2 billion. We take the earnings off it, occasionally dispose of positions, and fund our buybacks. And the buybacks, we think, adds a few points to our TSR because we're taking the earnings that we're getting from Great-West and IGM. We're taking the dividends. And as we shrink the share base, we're adding some torque to it. As well, we're buying the shares back at a 21% discount. Hopefully, that becomes an 18% discount going lower. But right now, we're buying the shares back at a discount. That bumps our NAV. So we think that's kind of some icing on the cake that we're doing those buybacks.

It is not funded—the way we think of it, it is not funded by dividends. It is funded by the rest of the portfolio. We have also—everyone kind of puts a line in the sand. We say we want CAD 850 million of cash around because we like to sit around with a lot of cash and with lines of credit. If we got into a position, the timing on these things is sometimes funny. We could go through three quarters where all of a sudden the platforms are launching new funds, and we do not have a realization for another 12 months on some assets. We could end up with a position where we are—it looks like we are going to dip below CAD 850 million. That is not going to stop us, in my view, from doing buybacks. We will figure out how to manage that situation.

If we were—I'll just give you one kind of number. When you look at Power on a deconsolidated basis, we have about CAD 50 billion in gross assets, and we have CAD 900 million of debt. If we ended up in a quarter having to either dip into our cash or end up doing some short-term borrowing or whatever, I don't expect we'll get there. If we did, I think we want to just carry on right now. Our current strategy is to keep on a steady pace on the buybacks.

I threw a lot at you there, Tom.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director of Insurance and Diversified Financials, BMO Capital

Maybe the way I worded the question was the source of the money. Maybe you can try to tackle this approach then. The CAD 2 billion you have underpinning here in Sagard and Sustainable, why don't you increase that as opposed to buy back stock? Wouldn't that help improve the scalability of those?

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

They've got at the margin, but our strategy all along has been we're going to use other people's capital to do it and told those teams to do that. By adding CAD 1 billion over—let's say we cut the buybacks and over two and a half years, we add CAD 1 billion to the total capital underpinning those strategies. That's not going to move the dial relative to what they can do with third parties. I think we personally, we think we get better value because we're not sure at this point that all the market participants properly value the NAV part of our portfolio. We think they do value earnings that flow through and increases in dividends. These are all trade-offs in life. It's not like, is it black and white? You go down this route or you go down that route.

We're trying to balance all of those different interests. Right now, that balance is we think we can grow the platforms with the capital we have. We think we can, at the same time, add to our TSR by shrinking the share base.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director of Insurance and Diversified Financials, BMO Capital

Okay. Is there anything to read? The previous NCIB was CAD 25 million. The new one's CAD 20 million that you started in the beginning of March. Is there anything to read into that, why it's a little bit lower?

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

No, we're targeting to keep the buybacks at about the same level that they've been at for the past many quarters.

Tom MacKinnon
Managing Director of Insurance and Diversified Financials, BMO Capital

Okay. Thanks.

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

Thank you, Tom.

Operator

The next question comes from Jaeme Gloyn with National Bank Financial. Please go ahead.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, National Bank Financial

Yeah, thanks. Just wanted to follow up on that last conversation.

You had CAD 1 billion of cash available and the CAD 850 million sort of minimum holding level, but you said you would sort of go through it. How should we think about buybacks in that scenario? You've used, let's say, CAD 37 million, I think, already this post-quarter. Would you blow through it using buybacks, or is this really just like, "Look, if opportunities come along, we'll maintain the buyback as we're going. As the opportunities come, we'll push below that CAD 850 million level"? Is that kind of the right interpretation?

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

Yeah. I think we're committed to doing the buybacks. We're trying to do the buybacks on a more steady basis. The cash flow that we get in from either realizing on investments or the calls that happen from the platforms to put capital to work are more sporadic than that.

We think we can manage and not get blocked by the cash position. That is what I was trying to say in my answer to Tom. We got lots of resources to do that. I mean, I do not think we will get there. I think we are going to liquidate some assets here, and it is not going to be an issue. We have got some pretty concrete plans to dispose of some assets and keep the cash coming in over the upcoming quarter. I do not think it is going to be an issue. If it were to be an issue, you are getting hypothetical, would we break down below CAD 850 million, or would we go and draw on some lines or do something? We have got lots of tools in the toolkit. It is not something I am particularly worried about at this point, Jaeme.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, National Bank Financial

Yeah. No, understood.

In terms of the sources of capital, where would the public opcos rank in those potential sources?

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

You mean disposing of shares? We like them both. That would not be something that we would be keen to do. We added to our position in Great-West when we moved the CMAC position down. Yeah. I do not see that as—I mean, you never say never, but I do not see that as a source of capital at this point.

Jake Lawrence
EVP and CFO, Power Corporation

Jaeme, when we look forward, there are other pockets, right? Jeff and I both mentioned the EUR 5 dividend coming in from GBL. That is an incremental source of funds, cash coming into us over the course of the rest of the year. We have some of the infrastructure energy assets we expect we will be recognizing a sale on in the coming quarters.

are lots of pockets that easily push down any appetite to need to want to liquidate those core positions.

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

I would put it the other way. We have actually stated publicly, Jaeme, that if our operating sub has been Great-West Life and IGM needed capital to do a transaction, that would actually trump buybacks. We have done that. I am not saying it would stop buybacks, but if we came to a point where Great-West Life in the past, we have supported them when they have had major equity issues to do. They have not done one in—it has been well over a decade. There have been times in the past where they need to do a transaction, and they need to raise public capital. We have jumped in and put CAD 400 million or CAD 500 million as a kind of underpinning of an equity offering. That would prioritize—we would prioritize that.

If that meant we had to suspend buybacks for a few quarters or something, I think we'd probably do that. That is a priority, supporting those businesses. It just does not happen that often. I am going to flip the question around and say, looking at Great-West Life, they have got lots of capital on the books. Would they actually need us to do something? They have not for a long time. They spent CAD 10 billion in 2021 buying Personal Capital, MassMutual, and Pru, and did not need any equity capital to do it. They have got a lot of capital. If it came to that, that would be right at the top of the list, our priorities.

Jaeme Gloyn
Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, National Bank Financial

Great. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Graham Ryding with TD Securities. Please go ahead.

Graham Ryding
Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

Hi. Good morning.

Jake, I guess this question's probably for you just in terms of timing. Does that GBL dividend come through in Q2? And then I think GBL is also canceling some shares in Q2. Does that increase your relative ownership, or do you sell some of your GBL shares into that buyback program?

Jake Lawrence
EVP and CFO, Power Corporation

So simply, yes and yes. The dividend will come in during Q2. I believe they canceled just north of 5 million shares. That will increase our ownership position. We did not participate in the buyback.

Graham Ryding
Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

Okay. Great. And then, Jeff, just on Wealthsimple, does it need further capital at this point, or is it now at the point of sort of being self-funding?

Then going forward, does it make sense to have Power Corp sort of broader ownership of Wealthsimple split across sort of Power and IGM and Portage, or would it make sense at some point to consolidate the ownership into one of your entities or within Power?

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

Yeah. Your first question in terms of needing capital, I do not see the need right now. Basically, they are right around break-even. You go through the first quarter, they spend a lot on marketing. They get into a slight loss position. They are at the point where their revenues are just about equal to their costs, and their revenues keep growing quickly. You never say never. Who knows whether they come forward with something that they want to do. At this point, we are not anticipating a capital need. The answer to your second question is it probably at some point makes sense.

I don't want to get everybody speculating that we're kind of focused on that because I don't see that happening in the short term. It's not something we're spending much time about focused on. It came about through historical reasons. I think I have explained that before. When we launched the fintech strategy in 2015, Wealthsimple was a different part of that fintech strategy. It wasn't about investing in 50 different fintechs to get visibility as to what was going on and then hopefully have some of those capabilities be embedded in Great-West and IGM. That was the Portage strategy, and it's been highly successful. We saw Wealthsimple as something that could be a long-term part of our portfolio, and we put CAD 300 million into it before taking some money off the table in a subsequent secondary.

The first few rounds of that, it was really a Power Financial strategy. We financed the first few rounds. As the thing started to get going, the IGM management team and board really started to focus on the fact, "This could be a real business. This could be a very successful business. Maybe it belongs in our portfolio." They funded the—I can't remember if it was rounds three, four, and five, or rounds four and five. It does not matter. The first rounds got funded up here. The second rounds, they jumped and said, "We'd like to get part of this." We said, "Great." We have ended up with it in two places. That is the history of it.

At some point, it'd be nice to put it in one place, but I would not be out there kind of telling people to do whatever with your recommendations based on holding your breath. If we saw an opportunity to do that at some point, we'd like to do that. It is not high on our priority list right now.

Graham Ryding
Equity Research Analyst of Diversified Financials, TD Securities

Yeah. Okay. Yeah. That makes sense. There is some good growth there. I just wonder if it sort of gets lost a little bit when it is split across so many different entities. Probably.

Jeffrey Orr
President and CEO, Power Corporation

Thank you. Graham, I think your observation is right. I think that is a fair observation. Yeah. Thank you.

Operator

There are no further questions. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Steven Hung for any closing remarks.

Steven Hung
Head of Investor Relations, Power Corporation

Thanks, everyone, for joining us today.

Following the call, a telephone replay will be available until August 6th, and the webcast will be archived on our website. We look forward to talking with you next quarter. This concludes our call, and have a great day.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect your line.

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