Thinkific Labs Inc. (TSX:THNC)
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Earnings Call: Q3 2022

Nov 7, 2022

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. My name is Michelle, and I will be your conference operator today. I would like to welcome everyone to Thinkific Third Quarter 2022 Financial Results Conference Call. As a reminder, this conference call is being broadcast live on the Internet and recorded. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, please press star followed by the number two. I would now like to turn the conference over to Janet Craig, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Janet Craig
Head of Investor Relations, Thinkific Labs

Thank you, Michelle, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Thinkific Earnings Call for the third quarter of 2022. Joining me today are Greg Smith, Co-Founder and CEO, and Corinne Hua, CFO. After the prepared remarks, we'll open up the call to questions. During the call today, we will make forward-looking statements that are based on assumptions and therefore subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. We undertake no obligation to update these statements except as required by law. You can read about these risks and uncertainties in our regulatory filings that were filed earlier today. Our commentary today will include adjusted financial measures, which are non-IFRS measures. They should be considered as a supplement to and not a substitute for IFRS measures. Reconciliations between the two can be found in our regulatory documents, which are available on our website.

In addition, our commentary today will include key performance indicators that help us evaluate our business, measure our performance, identify trends affecting our business, formulate business plans, and make strategic decisions. Such key performance indicators may be calculated in a manner different from similar key performance indicators used by other companies. I should also note we have a slide deck that supports our remarks available to download on the webcast interface or on our website. Finally, all dollar amounts discussed today are in U.S. dollars, unless otherwise noted. I will now turn the call over to Greg Smith, CEO of Thinkific.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Thank you, Janet. Hello, and welcome to our third quarter earnings conference call. Thank you for joining us. In the third quarter, we continued to execute against our strategy and remain focused on helping creators succeed. We delivered revenue of $13.3 million, which was at the top of our guidance range, and adjusted EBITDA loss was better than we expected, coming in at $5.7 million. Underpinning these numbers was our year-over-year growth in ARPU, average revenue per user, paying customers, and the continued success of Thinkific Payments. At Thinkific, we are focused on the key drivers that will propel our growth and profitability, including continued innovation to help creators succeed, continuing to build a strong team and workplace culture, managing our cost structure, and improving our go-to-market. I want to stop for a minute on number four, improving our go-to-market.

Doing this should, in combination with other factors, translate into growing customer acquisition. While we grew year-over-year, our number of paying customers has been flat for the last few quarters. I'm gonna spend some time on this shortly, but I didn't want to kick off the call without acknowledging that we know we have further room to improve in our go-to-market strategy to drive customer acquisition. I never get tired of hearing from our creators, what drives them, the impact they have on their students, and of course, the success they create for themselves. Every quarter, I talk to dozens of creators about their accomplishments, their hopes, their dreams, and their fears and challenges. It's amazing to hear the impact they create, and it reveals new opportunities for Thinkific to help them. We often speak to the impact we have on our creators and their businesses.

In addition to that, we get to see the amazing results they deliver for their students. I recently spoke to a creator who shared a wonderful story about one of her students. After taking her class on investing, the student was able to afford new beds for her children because of what she learned. All our leaders regularly speak to creators. Miranda, our COO, recently spoke to a creator who shared that not only had Thinkific helped them pay their mortgage, put their children through college, but also their courses taught architects the principles of accessible building. Because of their courses, there are buildings all over North America that are more accessible to the elderly or disabled. We've also seen new creators teaching topics that range from crime prevention to corporate ESG training.

I'm constantly amazed at the myriad ways creators use Thinkific to deliver impact in the world, changing their own lives and those of their students. The core engine of this impact, that of our creators and our own, is our continued focus on innovation. In Q3, we introduced Thinkific Communities. While you've heard me speak about Thinkific Communities before, what we launched on September 27th was a standalone digital learning product that is now on par with courses and can be created or offered independently or in combination with courses. Thinkific Communities allow creators to create their own branded community experience on their own website. With Communities, you can invite students to participate in discussions, share ideas and learnings, coach and support each other, all under your brand and on your site. This allows their students to engage with each other and with the creator.

Creators can offer community access for free or sell access for a one-time or recurring subscription fees. We've already seen creators taking advantage of communities to create additional revenue streams. It also creates a new space for the creator to promote and sell other products like their courses. Unlike courses, which can take some time to create and launch, a community is much faster to set up and launch as you don't need to create content before you start. It's as simple as a few clicks in Thinkific and then sending an invite out for others to join. Thinkific Communities are also more focused on creating learning experiences and sharing knowledge than other generic community products on the market. We are already seeing that creators who leverage communities as part of their digital learning experience are more successful than those who do not.

Anyone can get started creating their own community on the Thinkific free plan. Higher price points unlock more features and volume. The benefits to Thinkific include the potential to expand our customer base to creators who want to start with a community instead of a course. As creators generate more revenue and larger communities, they are more likely to stay with Thinkific as well as upgrade. Thinkific Communities and their focus on learning and knowledge sharing create further differentiation for us. We expect Thinkific Communities to help us attract new customers, drive upgrades, and improve retention over the long run. While Thinkific Communities was the largest product innovation of the quarter, we also improved a number of other offerings for our creators, including more ways to price and sell digital products, new landing pages, better ways to sell volume licenses to your digital products, and improved transaction reporting.

We also continued to improve our infrastructure, resulting in better reliability, speed, uptime, and security on Thinkific. At Thinkific, we pride ourselves on being agile, curious, and relentless in analyzing situations and solving problems. Whether that be for our creators and how we make it easier and more intuitive for them to use Thinkific, our thinkers, our team, and how we create the best environment for them to flourish, or even being proactive about our cost structure, just to name a few. With our rapid growth over the past few years, we face new challenges and require new solutions. I recently took a step back to consider what Thinkific needs to take the next giant step forward and meet our goals and long-term vision.

The conclusion I came to was that one of the most fundamental ways to do this is to bring in a really seasoned leader to help us do just that. Luckily, as I was coming to this realization and determining next steps, including how to bring someone like this on board, the rest of the team and I were experiencing firsthand the insights and energy of Steve Krenzer in his role as board member. Steve's track record for building high growth companies, his expertise in operations, sales, and marketing, as well as his understanding of Thinkific as a board member, created a unique opportunity for us. Luckily, Steve was thinking the same thing, and he graciously agreed to join the Thinkific team for a term of 18 months in the role of president while maintaining his seat on the board.

After several weeks of having Steve on the team, I can already see progress, including pattern matching from his prior experience, allowing us to move faster and make better decisions, identification of a number of problems in go-to-market that we can fix for better results, improvements in our goal setting and performance management. This brings me back to our business performance. We have a number of strengths across the business. Most importantly, creators continue to see value in our platform, and that's reflected in the results that they generate on Thinkific. Creators continue to move up through our pricing plans for value and results. Our payments business continues to grow. Larger customers continue to select our higher price points, recognizing the strength of Thinkific to serve them at scale.

These collectively are the drivers of our average revenue per user or ARPU, which has grown 20% year-over-year. Our retention of customers remains steady with a long-term trend of continued improvement. We have a strong financial position, a consistently improving cost structure, and a path to profitability. Where we are challenged is getting the customer acquisition number moving again. With the support of Steve and the rest of the team, we've been able to dig into this. We don't have all the answers yet, but we have identified a number of improvements to drive change. Our primary focus here, and the one that we think that can drive the best results, is in operational excellence across our go-to-market functions. There are a number of basic changes that add up to significant opportunity for growth.

While there are macro factors at play here, we are focused on the factors within our control and see opportunity for us to improve this number. Now to speak about our current results, I'm going to turn the call over to Corinne.

Corinne Hua
CFO, Thinkific Labs

Thanks, Greg. I'm pleased to share that we had another solid quarter. Revenue growth is at the top of our expectations. We continue to drive revenue growth through an expansion of total paying customers and our growing average revenue per user or ARPU. We were also effective in continuing to bring down our cost structure while still investing for growth, resulting in an improved EBITDA loss compared to our initial expectations. In the third quarter, revenue came in at $13.3 million, a 34% increase compared to the prior year. This was driven by both an increase in customer count as well as increasing ARPU. As noted previously, we have many initiatives that are focused on improving ARPU in 2022, and we are continuing to see the success of those initiatives in Q3 with 20% year-over-year growth. ARR grew 24% to $50.9 million.

During the past year, we continued to attract new creators to our platform and saw continued upgrades to higher paid plans. We continue to enhance our pricing strategy, focusing on aligning the value we create with the prices we charge, and this contributed to growing ARR in the third quarter. Average revenue per user was up 20% year-over-year to $133 per month, compared to $110 per month in Q3 of the prior year. Consistent growth in ARPU over the past several quarters has been driven by creators upgrading to higher paid plans as they experience success on the platform. Thinkific Plus and Thinkific Payments also continue to be strong drivers of ARPU growth.

We ended the second quarter with 33,300 paying customers, an increase of 9% compared to the last year, but flat quarter-over-quarter. This was in line with our expectations for the quarter, given some of the changes we've made, including the pricing strategy we've spoken about. In the near term, we don't expect substantive changes to our total paying customer count. As Greg just described, we are focused on continuous improvement to our go-to-market strategy that will drive paying customers over the longer term. Moving next to Thinkific Payments. Our Thinkific Payments features continue to be well received by creators where our selling tools continue to drive results. Gross payments volume or GPV, which is the total value of gross merchandise value or GMV processed using Thinkific Payments, and it was $17.7 million this quarter.

This represented a penetration rate of 18% of the $97.9 million in GMV processed in the third quarter. Moving now to our PNL. As mentioned earlier, our revenue grew 34% year-over-year to $13.3 million. Gross margin at 76% was flat year-over-year. There are some puts and takes within this as we saw efficiencies in our customer support team, partially offset by lower margins on Thinkific Payments revenue. We continue to exercise cost discipline across the business. We are seeing the benefits of our focus on prudent cost management and focused investments in areas of high return when we look at the business on a sequential basis. Sales and marketing expense grew from $5.8 million to $6.8 million year-over-year, a 17% increase.

This increase was primarily due to continued advertising and promotional costs that drive market awareness. Similarly, R&D expenses were $6.4 million, a 16% increase compared to the third quarter of 2021. This increase was primarily due to continued investment in the development of our platform, including the recent communities feature launch. On the G&A front, we actually saw a slight decrease year over year at $3.8 million as we continue to keep our costs in check post our restructuring. One item of note is the current Canadian dollar versus the US dollar exchange. We recognize our revenue in US dollars while the majority of our employee-related expenses are in Canadian. The significant strengthening of the US dollar in Q3 versus last year positively impacted our EBITDA loss by approximately 5 percentage points or $500,000 .

As we continue to focus on growing our top line while making progress towards our adjusted EBITDA breakeven, we made progress again this quarter. Our adjusted EBITDA loss in Q3 was $5.7 million, improving from a loss of $6.3 million in the prior year and a loss of $7 million in Q2. Looking forward, we expect to see continued improvements in our adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of revenue as we remain focused on disciplined investments. We do expect some variability quarter to quarter depending on the timing of specific events, but with an improving trend. You'll find a summary of the calculations of our adjusted EBITDA in our press release, MD&A, and investor presentation on our website. Turning to our balance sheet, our cash and cash equivalent balance on September 30th was $95 million.

This cash position is strong and we continue to be prudent with our spend and diligent on our capital allocation. We are focused on investments where we expect a strong return, either through the value provided to our customers or helping us improve our operational efficiency as we focus on attaining profitability. Looking ahead, our expectations for the fourth quarter of 2022 are revenue of $13.5 million-$13.7 million, representing year-over-year growth of 25%-27%, and adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $5.1 million-$5.7 million. Thinkific expects continued growth in revenue in the fourth quarter of 2022, driven largely by ARPU expansion. Customer upgrades to higher price plans, new customers on Thinkific Plus, higher penetration of Thinkific Payments all contribute to ARPU growth.

Our adjusted EBITDA outlook is driven by continued drive for efficiency across the company and a continued focus on disciplined investment. To wrap up the call, I will now turn it back over to Greg.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Thank you, Corinne. Before we open up the call for questions, I want to close on a few key points. Our creators continue to see value and success on the platform. Larger customers continue to select our higher price points, recognizing the strength of Thinkific to serve them at scale. Our retention of customers remains steady with a long-term trend of continued improvements. We have a strong financial position, a consistently improving cost structure, and a path to profitability. We are focused on continuous improvement, including our go-to-market tactics. I'll now turn the call back to Michelle, our operator, for questions.

Operator

Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If your question has been answered and you would like to withdraw it, please press star followed by two. If you are using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before entering your request. One moment please for your first question. Your first question will come from Richard Tse of National Bank Financial. Please go ahead.

Speaker 10

Hi, this is Amir calling for Richard. Great quarter. I just wanted to ask about the GPV, w e're seeing a pretty strong uptake there. Any color that you could provide on just what's driving that would be helpful?

Corinne Hua
CFO, Thinkific Labs

Hello. It's Corinne here. We did have a great quarter in terms of our GPV growth, and we're very pleased with what the team's able to accomplish. We had said previously we wanted to see 20%-30%, and we're kind of tracking really if we do that, it would be a little bit ahead of plan, which is great. The team's doing a great job. The main driver of it is new customers who are coming onto the platform and using it from the very beginning, and we find that to be a really easy place for them to get started. It does take a little bit more time for someone who's already well ingrained in a new program to move over to Thinkific Payments. While that continues to happen, it's not happening at quite the same pace as it is with new customers.

Speaker 10

Okay. Just one follow-up. On the GMV growth, it was flat quarter-over-quarter. That's kind of an improvement from last quarter. I know there were some negative trends in the prior quarter. Has that kind of stabilized now, and how should we think about that going forward?

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Hi, this is Greg. Thanks. Yeah, on GMV, continue to see this as a less meaningful measure for us in that there's significant sales. It doesn't really capture all of the sales of the creators on our platform. There are significant sales of courses and other products that creators sell on our platform that fall outside of the GMV. When we zoom out and look broadly at the sales of creators, yes, although we see. Well, we do see GMV flat this quarter, so improvement from the previous one. When we look at the broader measures of success, we continue to see a rising trend of success.

Plus, we're actually seeing increases across the middle class or what we refer to the middle class of creators, so people earning sort of in the middle range, average ranges of, earnings on the platform. Overall, when we look at the measures of success for our creators, it continues to be positive. Okay, thanks. Got it. Thank you so much. I'll pass the line. Thanks.

Operator

Your next question will come from Robert Young of Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead.

Robert Young
Managing Director, Research and Technology, Canaccord Genuity

Hi, good evening. First place I'd like to start is on ARR. I'm trying to understand the cadence of the ARR over the last couple of quarters. This quarter, the incremental ARR dropped significantly. Last quarter, it was up a bit. Would it be right to attribute that to the price changes, and is that fully absorbed last quarter? Why did the incremental ARR drop so much this quarter? Is that because of seasonality? Or maybe if you give some other, you know, explanation for that'd be great.

Corinne Hua
CFO, Thinkific Labs

Hi, Richard. Corinne here. Looking at our growth in ARR, there is, as you know, two big drivers to it. One is our total paying customers, and the other is ARPU. What we're seeing this last quarter has everything to do with what we've seen from a trend of our new customers coming on our platform. Some of the driver to the ARR over time can be the timing of which new customers come on. You know, individual growth rates can be impactful a bit of when we're at in the period. The main driver for, you know, like the slight decrease in ARR, I think we're 24% in Q3, but 32% in the prior quarter. That drop really just has to do with what are we doing with new paying customers.

Robert Young
Managing Director, Research and Technology, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. If I look at the guidance for the coming quarter, I guess there's math. Depending on what the payments contribution is in dollar value, I guess ARR could actually go negative next quarter. Is that a scenario that you see within the guidance you've given?

Corinne Hua
CFO, Thinkific Labs

No, actually. We've continued to see really strong growth in our ARPU. Like you've kind of seen throughout the early parts of 2022, we expect it to continue going into Q4. Continuing even as we go into next year, actually, there's quite a lot of opportunity for us from an ARPU perspective because there are so many different growth levers there. You know, everything from people going on to higher price plans or starting on Plus or Thinkific Payments, just a lot of opportunity for us from that perspective. So we're not looking at ARR declining, but because we've got a number of levers that we can pull on that.

Quite excited to think of, you know, what's possible as we move forward, especially as we look at continuous improvements to our go-to-market plan.

Robert Young
Managing Director, Research and Technology, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. Sorry, I misspoke. I was referring to incremental ARR. I thought maybe the incremental ARR could drop quarter over quarter. I think the incremental this quarter would be $600,000. Is there a situation where ARR, incremental ARR could be negative next quarter?

Corinne Hua
CFO, Thinkific Labs

Oh, I saw where you're going with that. I did. I heard ARPU.

Robert Young
Managing Director, Research and Technology, Canaccord Genuity

I misread. My fault.

Corinne Hua
CFO, Thinkific Labs

Oh, good. You know what? Anything's possible. That's not our anticipation at this time. I don't want to get ahead of ourselves when we're looking at guidance for the next quarter. That's not anything that we're foreseeing at this moment.

Robert Young
Managing Director, Research and Technology, Canaccord Genuity

I think last question I'll ask is around EBITDA. I think you'd said that Q1 was expected to be the low point, and so far, I think that you're holding to that. Would you expect that that's the case? I don't think you've given any guidance around the trajectory of return to profitability, but that's still the priority, I think. Would you still expect that, I mean, this is the lowest level of EBITDA loss you expect to see? I'll pass the line.

Corinne Hua
CFO, Thinkific Labs

We are in a healthy place in terms of adjusted EBITDA and expect to continue to improve as a percentage of revenue going forward. We are seeing, you know, lots of opportunities for us to both, you know, grow our top line as well as maintain and improve on our bottom line. We are quite focused on that break even perspective. We don't have a date for it, like you just said, but, you know, moving closer to it every quarter and quite pleased with the results to date.

Robert Young
Managing Director, Research and Technology, Canaccord Genuity

Okay, thanks. I'll hop back in the queue.

Operator

Your next question comes from Thanos Moschopoulos of BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Thanos Moschopoulos
Managing Director, Equity Research, BMO Capital Markets

Hi, good afternoon. Greg, would you be able to provide an early view in terms of some of Steve's initial findings on what needs to improve with the sales and marketing strategy, or might it be premature to do so? I can give some color to it. It's probably premature to lay out, say, a three-point plan or something like those. Reality is we have a lot of levers on the growth side, from Payments and new products to our price points, Plus plan upgrades, and then, of course, customer success is driving that continuous steady improvement in retention. On the growth side and what Steve's seeing there, I think there's a lot of areas for improvement in operational excellence and how we operate there.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

It's not two or three big wins for an immediate result. We are confident that we can improve it over time, but without a perfect timeline to give you on an exact short-term plan on it. It's a combination of basic improvements that put together we think can drive significant change in aggregate.

Thanos Moschopoulos
Managing Director, Equity Research, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. We're obviously in the dynamic macro environment. In your data, are there any specific macro trends that you're seeing that are worth calling out, or are those hard to isolate from maybe some of the company-specific things that are going on?

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Yeah. I mean, obviously it's a pretty unprecedented period of macro factors. I'm not gonna try and unpack all the potential impacts. What we do see in our data, the biggest one is on the customer acquisition that I've highlighted there. While there are macro factors affecting that, we're really just focused on working on the parts that are within our control. That means we're very much focused on the go-to-market improvements, operational improvements, and of course, keeping an eye on cost and growth as well. On the strength side, on the macro side, though, we do see that continued like our customers who start with us continue to be successful. We continue to see growing success amongst our customers. On a macro factor, we don't see a significant change there.

Thanos Moschopoulos
Managing Director, Equity Research, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. Finally, you provided the impact that FX had in helping you, which is helpful. Would you be able to quantify the impact that FX had on revenue or on AR in the quarter?

Corinne Hua
CFO, Thinkific Labs

I can take that one. Because we charge all of our customers in US dollars, there actually isn't a significant FX impact, and we're fortunate that it's a pretty simple process for us at this point. There are times in the future I suspect we'll localize pricing and have an impact there, but at this point, everything's charged in US dollars.

Thanos Moschopoulos
Managing Director, Equity Research, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. Great, t hat's the line. Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from Martin Toner of ATB Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

Thank you very much for taking my question. Can you talk a little bit about the type of creators who you've lost as a function of the price increase? You know, was it different than you had expected? Was it a meaningful contributor to flat customers sequentially in the quarter?

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

We didn't see a big uptick in so many lost customers from the pricing. It was more an impact in part on the acquisition. It may be that what we're seeing, it's still fairly early to figure it all out, but it may be that we are seeing some of the people who are more price sensitive or coming in typically at a lower price point are not adopting the current pricing.

On the plus side, that should play out, or on the beneficial side for us, that should play out for longer term retention, higher levels of success, and higher quality customers coming on board who are more likely to succeed, because of a little bit of weeding out in the current pricing.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

I see. Okay. Thank you very much. Does flat creators sequentially mean you guys are losing ground to other platforms?

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

No, we haven't seen anything to indicate that. There really hasn't been a shift in the that we've seen it in the competitive landscape in terms of market share or acquisition. If anything, what we continue to see actually is that we have some of the largest customers out there graduate to Thinkific as they see the benefit of what we offer people at scale and how it can support them as they scale. Really hasn't seen a shift in any of the data we have in terms of market share or customer acquisition by competitors.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

They're graduating from other platforms or from other places?

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Other tools, do it yourself solutions, custom solutions, or other platforms. Yeah.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

Gotcha. Awesome. One other question I had for you. Can you talk about the health of the top of the funnel? You know, you've never said how many customers you guys have on the freemium, but that's, I think a sign of health of the platform in general. Can you talk a little bit about that?

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Yeah. When you're looking at the top of funnel, we still continue to acquire lots of free customers. I think there's actually opportunities there for us to continue to improve both the volume coming on board there and how we can help them. It still takes some time and difficulty for people to build digital learning products, or build a course and get it up and running. There's a lot more we can probably do to help some of those early customers coming on board. That funnel continues to be healthy of new people coming in. In the go-to-market approach, there's some good things we're doing overall on content marketing or SEO to continue to drive some early factors there.

We haven't seen a big shift overall in what the top of funnel looks like. In things like, say, conversion rates, we continue to see those at levels that are just slightly above prior years, but no significant uptick in that. There's still, I'd say, top of funnel is part of and one of the big levers that we can lean into in terms of where we can make improvements with our go-to-market approach. We haven't seen any major positive or negative shifts over there recently.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

Last one on new customers. Is December normally a bigger sequential uptick in the number of creators that join the platform?

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Sorry, September or December?

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

The December quarter.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

I missed that again. December? Like,

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

Yeah, the coming quarter and so yeah, December.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Okay.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

Sorry, Greg.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Yeah.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

Is that typically the best quarter for new paying customers?

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

December as a month is generally lower as we're heading into the holiday season. November is quite strong usually because of Black Friday. As a whole the quarter is a little bit stronger than others, but you have a balancing factor between November and December of December being weak with the holiday, November being strong with Black Friday that evens it out to just a little bit better than some other quarters.

Martin Toner
Managing Director, Institutional Research, Growth and Innovation, ATB Capital Markets

Gotcha. Okay, thanks. That's it for me.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, once again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one at this time. Your next question will come from Daniel Chan of TD Securities. Please go ahead.

Daniel Chan
AVP, TD Asset Management, TD Securities

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. Greg, what do you see as the biggest opportunity for ARR growth over the next year? Just given the current macro backdrop. Where I'm going with this is just wondering if you're looking to continue targeting growth on both the total paying customers and subscription ARPU side of the equation. Or does it make sense to focus your sales and marketing dollars towards targeting the larger plus customers? You did mention earlier that pricing changes were weeding out some of that, but then you also talked about top of funnel being an opportunity. Just wondering how you're weighing those two different levers you have in the current backdrop.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Great question. Yeah, we're not gonna be ignoring either. I think it's a bit of both in that we're lucky in that we do have multiple levers to drive revenue as a whole. One of them, as you pointed out, is sort of the sales side and working with some of those larger customers. Another is overall ARPU and ensuring that as we continue to see our customers be more successful, that ARPU rises in line with the success of our customers. Then there's also overall that top of funnel and new customer acquisition.

While I think the ARPU overall, the drivers of our average revenue per user are the ones that are more accessible to us in the near term, we are leaning into making a shift in that total customer acquisition number so that that can drive the long-term success and growth.

Daniel Chan
AVP, TD Asset Management, TD Securities

Okay, appreciate that. Given the recent changes in your ad spend and top of funnel marketing, how has LTV to CAC trended following those changes?

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

I think that is, Corinne, you can probably add a bit more color to this, but we continue to keep a close eye on cost and try and market as efficiently as possible. This one does have, you know, some of those macro factors, and the total number of our customers coming in does affect it when you look at it on a gross basis. When we dig down into the individual channels and as we're doing our marketing, we've got a very close eye on LTV to CAC and are continuing to make improvements across that and plan to continue to improve that through next year. The idea is not to amp up spend to grow. It's actually to continue to be more and more cost-efficient while driving growth.

Daniel Chan
AVP, TD Asset Management, TD Securities

Okay. Then last quarter, you mentioned that you're hoping to see some returns on your go-to-market changes in autumn. Just wondering whether there are some metrics outside of the KPIs in the press release that suggest it's working.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Yeah. I think that the parts where we're seeing is working is we're continuing to acquire good customers who are achieving success. We're continuing to drive up ARPU with the various levers that we have that increase our revenue from that. The area where I pointed out where we haven't seen the return yet is on that total customer count. That's something we are very much focused on in driving for next year.

Daniel Chan
AVP, TD Asset Management, TD Securities

Great. Thank you.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from Gavin Fairweather of Cormark. Please go ahead.

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

Oh, hey. I was hoping you could discuss the reception in your base to communities that launch, how you're thinking about that opportunity longer term, and then also how you plan to monetize that offering.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Overall, very positive. People have been very receptive. I think they've been looking for a big improvement on that from us for quite a while, so it was quite received positively. Immediate response from customers in terms of adopting, using, and as I shared a little bit, we're seeing that as people use communities, they're more likely to be successful. I think it just makes it easier for them to get more students or customers into their programs. Some of the other benefits it gives them is it's faster to create than a product like a course because you don't have to go and shoot content. You can create it quite quickly and easily and get it out to your audience.

It does give them another product to sell 'cause you can have free communities, but you can also have paid communities, and so people are using it in a myriad of ways of free communities to drive growth and paid communities to drive revenue. And then, of course, it allows them to move their audiences and communities off of places like Facebook Groups and bring them into their own site and under their own brand. Overall, all of that is starting to be leveraged by our creators and the hope is that as we go into next year, it actually starts to attract a similar but new type of creator who may start with communities as opposed to necessarily starting with a course. Although they're definitely something that can be combined for greater effect if you do both.

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

Can you just help me understand maybe the kinda ARPU upside or delta if you sell it to something in your base?

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Yeah, sorry, you did ask about how we plan to monetize it, and I don't think I answered that on the first go-round, so let me give another shot on it. One way that it helps drive monetization for us is the attraction of new customers. As we go to market with communities, there's an opportunity to acquire more paying customers, because they're interested in a community's offering or even coming to us first for communities and not so much about courses, at least not right out of the gate. That's one opportunity. Another is that, as people get a lot of use out of communities, they unlock further features in it, and some things we have yet to release, that will help drive up ARPU as well.

Whether it's volume usage or additional feature unlock, like a lot of the other areas in our pricing plans, that will help us drive up ARPU. Then, of course, it helps with monetization on the retention side in that communities create a stickier platform for the students of our creators. They invite their students into their brand and into their community. That means it's stickier for their creators' students, which helps their business succeed and gives them another place to retain and engage with their students. But it's also stickier for us because as our creators build their communities on our platform there, they see Thinkific as stickier, which of course helps drive monetization from the retention perspective.

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

Okay, thanks. Just on pricing, I think you called it out as one lever which you may look at in terms of juicing your top-line growth. Obviously some puts and takes around taking pricing actions on your plans. Are you thinking about other opportunities on that in the near term?

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Nothing immediate on the pricing front. We made a few changes recently. I think it's something that any healthy SaaS company continues to experiment, iterate, and improve. There isn't an immediate uptick in pricing or anything like that coming.

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

Okay. Just lastly for me, I mean, obviously we're seeing the payments line growing nicely. How far are we from kinda target growth margins on payments?

Corinne Hua
CFO, Thinkific Labs

Again, that's probably a good one for me. There is a continued opportunity for us to improve it because we are in a pricing structure with Stripe that improves with volume. While we're, you know, continuing to find success, we're kind of sitting at that, you know, low 20% gross margin range, and that will only improve as we grow within our contract with them. We don't reach the next threshold for a bit, but that's really the opportunity is for us to do that. The other opportunity, of course, with payments is that once you're working with the payment structure, you have a lot more opportunities to add other features onto that.

You know, that's probably the other side of it is, you know, what we're able to do once you're into that payment, side of their business. We don't have any plans immediately on that, but that would be the other way that you would quite quickly change your gross margin is adding, high margin products to it.

Gavin Fairweather
Equity Research Analyst, Cormark

Thanks so much. That's it for me.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Thanks, Gavin.

Operator

There are no other questions at this time, so I will turn the conference back to Greg Smith for any closing remarks.

Greg Smith
Co-Founder and CEO, Thinkific Labs

Thank you, Michelle. Thanks everyone for your questions and for attending. Just a few closing thoughts to remind you that what we're focused on is innovation first and foremost for the success of our creators. We have been excited to see that the success of our creators as they come on board the platform, get started, and those that stay and stick with us for the long term continue to see growth in their success. Our focus as a company internally is very much on continuing to have a strong team and culture focused on our growth drivers while being very efficient and controlling our cost. Thank you very much, everyone.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude your conference call for this afternoon. We would like to thank you all for participating, and you may now disconnect your lines.

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