Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc. (TYO:8766)
Japan flag Japan · Delayed Price · Currency is JPY
8,200.00
-98.00 (-1.18%)
Sep 18, 2026, 3:30 PM JST
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Earnings Call: Q2 2025

Nov 19, 2024

Summary

Strong international underwriting and accelerated equity sales drove profit growth, with full-year adjusted net income revised up to JPY 1.04 trillion. CRE loan provisions weighed on actual basis profit, but shareholder returns were increased, including a higher DPS and expanded share buyback.

Satoru Komiya
CEO, Tokio Marine Holdings

Hello, everyone. My name is Komiya , CEO of Tokio Marine Holdings. I thank you for your participation today and for your extended support towards Tokio Marine. First of all, I will be explaining about the overview of second quarter earnings and key messages from the management. Please turn to page three. There are three key messages I'd like to convey to you today. The first is about the underlying performance of our business. Regarding the first half earnings, leaving aside the FX factor which worked in favor of us, the underlying performance of underwriting business continues to be strong, mainly in international business such as North America and Brazil. Regarding sales of business-related equities, it is being done swiftly as we have divested JPY 606 billion in the first half of the year, exceeding the original projection. Second point is revision of full-year projection.

As I have explained, underwriting performance continues to be strong. However, situation surrounding CRE loans is tough. Based on the trend of work from home and interest rate, as well as inflation staying high, we will be increasing CECL provisions in the second half of the year in a conservative manner. As a result, excluding sales of business-related equities, actual basis profit projection for fiscal 2024 will be reduced by JPY 82 billion to be JPY 528 billion. At the same time, profit projection, including sales of business-related equities, which serves as the source of dividend payment, will be JPY 1.04 trillion , up by JPY 40 billion from the original projection due to accelerated sales of business-related equities. Excluding such capital gains and losses or one-off impacts such as CRE loan-related matters and acceleration/deceleration of equity sales, normalized basis profit projection will be the same as the original projection.

Third point is regarding shareholder return. We will have the same policy that shareholder return expansion should be consistent with profit growth. With such policy in mind, regarding dividend payment, which is the basis of shareholder return, because the actual basis adjusted net income projection was revised upward, we are also revising the DPS upward from JPY 159 by JPY 3 to be JPY 162 over DPS. We will continue to be disciplined with capital adjustment. That means incremental capital created will be put to M&A to further enhance ROE and/or to risk-taking. If we cannot find such good opportunities, then we will use the capital for share buyback. Our most recently calculated ESR was 147%, which is at a fulfilling level. Today, we are announcing TOB on ID&E Holdings, which is a domestic top-class engineering consultancy firm, by JPY 97.8 billion.

Other than this, we have multiple potential M&A opportunities in the pipeline, mainly bolt-on acquisitions. We also need to be thinking about their impact on EPS growth. Considering the situation comprehensively, we have decided to increase budget for share buyback from the original JPY 200 billion to be JPY 220 billion. This will be explained in more detail from our CFO, Mr. Okada, later on. So first, let me explain about the first message, underlying profit trend, in more details. Please turn to page four. This page is regarding top line. My comments will be excluding FX factor. For the first half of the year, net premiums written increased year-on-year by 5.7%, driven by rate increases in Japan and international businesses. On the right-hand side, life insurance premiums decreased by 32.9% due to block re-insurance ceded by Tokio Marine & Nichido Life Insurance Company in April this year.

In both P&C and life businesses, the top-line result is in line with the original projections. Based on the actual performance of the first half of the year, we have updated annual projection, so net premiums written on the left will be up 5.3% year on year, and life insurance premiums will be -15.9% year on year. Next, I will explain about adjusted net income. Please turn to page five. Group overall adjusted net income as of Q2, as you can see on the right-hand side, it was JPY 771.2 billion, and excluding sales of equities, it is the number in the parenthesis, which is JPY 369 billion. Measuring this as a progress rate against the original projections for the fiscal year, they are as high as 77% and 59% respectively.

Such high rate of progress is due to brisk underwriting business in North America and Brazil, as we have mentioned, as well as FX effect, which was in favor to our business. I will be explaining the details more specifically, business by business on this page. In the blue box, I will explain about the Japan P&C. Number one, excluding the April Hyogo hail damage, which was added on to this year's projection at the beginning of the year, we have had a benign nat cat for the first half of the year. Number two, provision of yen appreciation at the end of September made us reverse foreign currency denominated claim results. These two factors made progress rate look rather high. However, even by excluding these one-off factors, we are still in line with the original projection.

We are seeing some increase in the loss ratio of auto, but we already have a plan to respond to this with the rate increase expected in January of next year. Next is international business. International business reporting is based on FX as of end of June, and yen depreciation had amplified their profits in yen basis. But looking at it in local currency terms, excluding FX factor, progress rate for the first half of the year is 52%, also in line with the original projection. Insurance underwriting business in major markets such as North America and Brazil is strong, and investment income in North America is also solid. On the other hand, posting of capital loss on CRE loans was also done in the first half of the year, and including that, we are still in line with the plan.

Next, I will explain about the full-year projections based on the current situation. Please turn to page six. Revised adjusted net income projection for the full year 2024 on an actual basis is, as you see on the right-hand side bar graph, JPY 1.04 trillion , up JPY 40 billion versus original projections. Excluding gains from business-related equities, adjusted net income will be revised down by JPY 82 billion to JPY 528 billion. Positive factors include strong underwriting in the international business in North America and Brazil, benign nat cats for Japan P&C, and accelerated sales of business-related equities. Negative factors include conservative CECL provisions related to CRE loans, among others. Details of management view on CRE loans are shown on page 40 and beyond in the slide deck.

Since the CECL provisions are based on highly conservative assumptions on a similar basis in FY 2024, a large part of the income related to CRE loans will be used up. Yet, from an accumulated return perspective, as well as from the conservative reserve ratio, adding impairment and CECL, we believe to have an advantage over other players. Needless to say, this does not change our view of the overall credit investment of Delphi Group. We will continue to leverage the long-term and predictable capital to enjoy investment returns while controlling risks appropriately. Please turn to page seven. This page shows the full year projections of adjusted income on a normalized basis, taking out one-offs, such as gains and losses on sales due to nat cat, capital gains and losses, such as CRE loans and sales of business-related equities.

In a sense, this shows our current underlying capabilities, a launchpad, if you will, for fiscal year 2025 profits. We expect flat growth versus original projections. Management will continue to pursue globally diversified, bottom-focused, strong underwriting, and leverage robust capital gains as a driver to achieve top-tier EPS growth with profits. With EPS growth and well-disciplined capital policy, we strive to further enhance ROE. That will be all for me.

Speaker 2

Komiya-san, thank you very much for that. Capital policy will be covered by Mr. Okada.

Kenji Okada
CFO, Tokio Marine Holdings

This is Okada, CFO. Please turn to page eight for shareholder return. As I have explained in the past, our shareholder return policy is dividend pinpoint. Increase DPS sustainably in line with profit growth. This is our policy. Adjusted net income on an actual basis for FY 2024, including gains and sales from business-related equities was, as explained by Mr. Komiya, revised up by JPY 40 billion. Our profit growth remains quite strong. Therefore, DPS for fiscal year 2024, in line with profit growth, will be up JPY 3 from original plan to JPY 162. DPS growth will be up JPY 32 year-over-year. Please turn to page nine of the slide deck. Regarding capital level adjustment and share buyback as a means to adjust, our stance remains unchanged.

In other words, as always, if we have the opportunity to increase corporate value to M&A or risk-taking, such transactions will be executed, while in case there is a lack thereof, the share buyback will be executed. Regarding M&A, we announced the TOB of a leading Japanese company in the engineering consulting industry, ID&E Holdings, for a total of JPY 97.8 billion, as was explained by Mr. Komiya. This TOB will enable us to make end-to-end value offerings in the area of disaster prevention and mitigation. Such a business model is globally one of a kind. ID&E is focused on capital light consulting business, and therefore this is a transaction that contributes to enhancing our corporate value. As for international business, valuation of large M&A remains high and therefore require patience, but there are a number of small and medium-sized bolt-ons in the pipeline.

While we are working on our growth strategy in Japan and abroad, our ESR is 147% at a solid level. Regarding impact to EPS growth, increase in market cap will also need to be taken into account. We took these factors into account comprehensively and decided to increase share buyback for fiscal year 2024 to JPY 220 billion from our original plan of JPY 200 billion. More specifically, since JPY 100 billion is already approved and executed, the board approved the execution of JPY 120 billion today. We will continue to steadily execute our business strategy to increase both EPS and ROE and live up to the expectations of the capital market. That is all for me.