Mayr-Melnhof Karton AG (VIE:MMK)
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Sep 18, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: H1 2026

Aug 20, 2026

Summary

H1 2026 results were stable year-over-year, with strong Pharma and Food performance offsetting Paper's pricing headwinds. The Fit-For-Future program exceeded expectations, and expansionary CapEx and the Arnsberg mill acquisition are set to drive future growth. Cost inflation and market overcapacity remain key risks.

Stephan Sweerts-Sporck
Head of Investor Relations and Communications, Mayr-Melnhof Group

To this video conference call of the Mayr-Melnhof Group on our first half year results 2026. My name is Stephan Sweerts-Sporck. I am heading Investor Relations and Communications here at MM. I will be the moderator in this call. Earlier this morning, we already published a press release, a half year report, and the CEO video statement, which is available from our corporate website, mm.group. Following our brief trading statement for the first quarter, we want to provide you now in this half year with a more comprehensive update on our performance through this live presentation with our CEO, Peter Oswald, who is sitting next to me, and our CFO, Franz Hiesinger. Subsequent to the presentation, we will enter into a Q&A session. For this, I want to give you some technical information.

You may already queue for questions during the presentation by pressing the blue live Q&A button on your screen in the webcast and follow the instructions. Alternatively, if you cannot join through the browser, you have also a dial-in telephone number. You dial your country-specific number and enter the individual PIN, followed by the hash key. You can then register for asking a question by pressing zero followed by one on your telephone. I also want to inform you that this webcast will be recorded. I would now like to hand over to Peter to start the presentation.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you, Stephan. Welcome everyone and thanks for your interest in our half year results. We have basically four messages. Number one is that our results were mainly broadly in line with last year, slightly down, but broadly in line with last year, but significantly up compared to the second half year. We will come to the individual items later, but the real positive surprise for us was the strong performance of Pharma, significantly up. Food could again make a very strong result like we are always used to it, and important Paper, the strong headwinds in terms of pricing led, despite a very successful Fit-For-Future project, to a decline in our profitability. The second message is that Fit-For-Future is delivering far above our expectations, and it will deliver above expectations.

The third message is that our expansionary CapEx, and we come to that in more detail, are on track within budget and will contribute to our earnings growth in 2027. Last but not least, we said Monday morning, we announced that we have signed an agreement to acquire the Arnsberg mill from Reno de Medici, and we see substantial synergies here. Now, if we go to our Fit-For-Future project in greater detail, it strongly delivered in the first quarter with EUR 105 million above our expectations. We expect for the second half of this year, a year-on-year contribution of more than EUR 100 million, and in the next year, above EUR 60 million.

All in all, we believe that by 2027, compared to the baseline in 2024, excluding TANN, there will be an earning enhancement of more than EUR 330 million, which is well above the EUR 250 million, which we announced at the beginning of the year with the full year 2025 results announcement. As already explained, it's a comprehensive program. The core of the program is operations, but procurement, top-line growth, SG&A, and supply chain also play a very important role. With this information, I hand over now to Franz Hiesinger, our CFO, who will explain our numbers.

Franz Hiesinger
CFO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you, Peter. I will briefly explain our financial key figures for MM Group on a like-for-like basis. That means basically excluding TANN, which we have sold beginning June 2025. Our sales came in with EUR 1.85 billion, which is slightly down to the comparable prior year figure, but basically stable to the second half year of last year, mainly due to lower pricing. Our adjusted EBITDA came in with around EUR 200 million, which is quite up compared to the second half of 2025, and shows, as Peter mentioned, a fairly strong performance. Our adjusted operating profit came in with close to EUR 90 million, also quite up compared to the second half year 2025. Our EBITDA margin came in with 10.8%, which is quite an increase compared to both prior year and second half year 2025.

If you look on the operating cash flow, due to good working capital management, we achieved EUR 145 million, and obviously significantly better than prior last year. Our capital expenditure with close to EUR 112 million, basically fairly stable to the prior periods. Despite this includes already a lot of capital expenditure into our large Kwidzyn ROE project, which are well on track, as Peter will explain to you later. If you look on our balance sheet, we're pretty happy to present a very stable position, very solid picture. Our equity ratio with 47% basically unchanged to year-end. The net debt amounts to EUR 945 million, also well below EUR 1 billion, which brings us to a net debt-adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.4, which is quite well in our long-term range, what we want to achieve between 2 to 2.5.

Finally, our free cash flow positively came in with EUR 37 million, which also is quite a positive achievement for the first half year 2026. With this, I hand back to Peter, who will go more into details of the divisions.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah. Thank you, Franz. Let's go now into the operations of our three divisions, and let's start with our Food & Premium Packaging division. I could almost say, as always, a strong performance. Profitability was slightly up compared to a year ago. We are very proud that we could also increase our adjusted EBITDA margin by 90 basis points. They also enjoyed, because of the initiatives, a strong contribution from our Fit-For-Future project by about EUR 27 million. Looking into the future, it was very important that we could sign with a number of customers multi-year contracts, some of them developing new products together. This is exactly where we are focusing on.

We don't want to compete in all the tenders which are going on for the more commoditized business, but we want to be a partner of development and work many years together with customers to improve their packaging footprint. If you are a bit surprised why top line did not develop, first of all, it's not fully comparable because we have divested the plants in Bangor and Leeuwarden, which are all adjusted, will be adjusted for the big ton divestment. It's not 100% comparable. Now, going to our pharma business. We saw a very strong development. The EBITDA margin improved by almost 200 basis points, so a very nice progress. If you think back, we came here from 6%, 7% EBITDA margin a number of years ago. Now we are on our way to 18%. Now we've reached 14%, we've surpassed 14%, so we are on a positive trajectory.

Also here, we succeeded in signing a number of multi-year contracts with our main customers, developing products together, developing packaging solutions together. We can already go to the next page. Innovation is a very important part of our product offering. Here are just some examples where we have transformed in the first quarter from plastic packaging to, here are four examples, to paper packaging. In this way, so to say, avoiding more plastics. We're not just a producer of folding carton, but still a small producer of molded pulp solutions. Also here we could sign some interesting long-term contracts. The topic in pharma, the big topic, is counterfeiting. That's really something which is a very important topic for all of us. Also, as consumers, that if we buy a medicine, we are sure that it's the original medicine and not just a fake product.

We are very proud about our highly effective micro-optics technology, which gives us a good competitive advantage. Now, moving on to our Board & Paper division. There we were faced with lower prices, and the price deviation was about EUR 70 million. Thanks to our FFF project, where we could achieve EUR 59 million profit improvement, we could almost balance this, but not completely. In terms of variable costs, it was a rather favorable environment. First half year compared to the first half year of last year, our costs for paper and recycling were somewhat lower. Pulp was a bit lower. Wood costs were broadly flat. Energy costs were a bit lower despite the already starting Iran war. The situation has now changed, and I will come to this point then in the outlook. Our fixed costs are down, even though we produced somewhat more.

Now, talking a bit about the top line. The outstanding thing, which I already mentioned, was that prices were significantly lower compared to the first half of last year because they've been sliding for most grades throughout the year, and there was a drop again at the beginning of this year. The good news, however, is that we see a positive price momentum in some grades, not in all grades. We hope that this gathers momentum in the second half of the year. In terms of volumes, we were very pleased because we could gain market share in Europe, both for WLC, so for our recycled cartonboard, as well as for our fresh folding boxboard. That is important. We've seen that the overseas markets become less and less attractive, also because of the tariffs in North America.

It is important to sell, so to say, around your chimney. One reason of that is obviously that we have very good products and we've improved these products. Another reason is our good service. By good service, we don't mean that we have more friendly sales representative than other companies do, but we are located, especially in FBB, on the continent in Europe. Serving out of Frohnleiten and of Količevo, we are much closer to our customers. We can react much quicker, and this is something which is highly appreciated. Now let's make also a deep dive beyond these half year results into our overall competitiveness in board paper, because given the disappointing results, this is obviously important. These results, by the way, are very much in line with other competitors in our industry.

First of all, it's important where do we sit on the cost curve? The good news is that 80% of our capacity is in quartile one and two, so above average. I think that's a very important message. Then we have some more detailed charts which show what is the age of our machines compared to the competition. So is it on the right-hand side, then it's newer than the average of the industry. If it's on the left-hand side, it's older. On the Y-axis, you can see the capacity. Here you see the first, the right upper chart is on FBB, and here you can see that we've more modern machines with a lower technical age, which is obviously very good news. In terms of size, we are hovering around the average.

I'm not worried about that at all because a very big machine is only useful if you can produce very homogenous products. But if you have many different products, and even worse, if you do not just produce FBB but CUK, liner, all other sorts of products, then actually the big size of the machine is not of any advantage at all. On the lower chart, you can see that in the right upper section, which is newer machines and bigger machines, all three machines are MM machines. So Neuss, Freudenberg, and Gernsbach. Količevo is also a relatively modern machine, but a bit smaller than the average. We could expand it, but don't do it in the current market environment.

The only one which is in the left lower part is from Frohnleiten PM2, but as this is part of a site with two machines, we also think it's very good. In summary, we have a very strong cost position from the cost curve. Let's go now to the next slide. It's not just where you sit on the cost curve, which is important. It's also what is your capacity utilization. Having a great machine, which is 70% utilized, is not what delivers the results. Here the good news is that we could steadily improve our capacity utilization, and we're now at an average of 87%, specifically for FBB. To preempt here any question, it's 80%. The third aspect which drives your profitability is do you produce products for markets which reward your products, or do you have to dump them all over the world?

The very good news is that we could pass now for our folding cartonboard in Europe, so both recycled and virgin together. We can sell more than 90% in Europe. We've deliberately cut back on overseas markets, as the price competition against Chinese import tariffs in the U.S. is just not very attractive. Last but not least, it's not just about machinery, it's not just about capacity utilization. It's at the end of the day about people running it and in terms of operational excellence. With the CapEx which we did in 2023, we were struggling a bit to adopt to this new machine setup. But now we have fully regained our leadership in operational excellence and also Gernsbach and Kotka have improved very much. In summary, we have a very strong market position.

Yes, we have this extreme market share fight, especially in FBB, and we have to live with it for some time. But finally, we see that we are in a very strong position and that gives us confidence for the future. This leads me to the outlook. There are negatives and positives for next year. First of all, not really a negative, but just to remind you about second half, we always do our annual maintenance stop in Kwidzyn and in Kotka mills. We do it in other mills as well, but there they are not so relevant. That has a negative effect of about EUR 35 million. The real bad news is that due to the Iran war, we are faced with higher transport costs, up about 10%, energy costs, chemicals.

All directly related now to the Iran war, slightly higher wood and paper for recycling costs. We see at the moment, still a subdued consumer demand. On the positive side, we have our pockets of growth, be it in our pharma business, our GLP-1 products. We see a nice development in beauty, beverages, and pet food. As I already mentioned, we see a positive price trend in some board and paper grades. Last not least, Fit-For-Future will deliver again with a contribution of more than EUR 100 million. This is the specific outlook for the second half of this year. If we look more to 2027, I think there are a number of we're not commenting here on the market. That's too far away to predict. But what are the things which we can improve?

First of all, as already mentioned, the acquisition of the Reno de Medici's Arnsberg mill has a lot of synergy potentials. Just to remind you, the deal is not closed yet, it is only signed. We are still waiting for the competition clearance. Secondly, very important, we have several CapEx in Kwidzyn amounting to about EUR 100 million, and the benefits will flow through. They will start to flow through end of this year, but mainly then next year, and it is three important investments. One is the new continuous digester, which will significantly reduce our energy and CO2 costs and also material usage. Secondly, we get the new winder, which will enable us to produce more packaging kraft paper. We could sell here more, but we cannot deliver it because of this bottleneck in the winding, and also more uncoated fine paper in rates.

Thirdly, we have invested in a new sheeter, which will help us to service this express service much more, which we have installed for Poland. We will roll it out to Germany, where our customers can ask very short-term deliveries, but we need this sheeting capacity in order to react on very short notice. This is very well-received. It is a unique position which we have. Only those who are really close to the customer can offer this. Then we have a number of expansionary CapEx in packaging. One is in Romania, a new machine. We have invested in several machines in the U.S., and that will positively contribute in 2027. Last not least, Fit-For-Future is not done. It will not just deliver for the next half year, it will also deliver then in the future for 2027.

I am fairly optimistic that we can upgrade then the expectation again in the next half year results announcement, so for the full year of 2026. But let us wait and see. So far, our expectation is above EUR 60 million. All in all, to wrap things up, we believe that in comparison to these market circumstances, we have delivered a good result. We are very well-placed for the future, but we have to endure the price situation, especially on the FBB side, just now for some time, as the market leaders are not willing to shut down their capacities. We have just to be patient until this happens. With this, I will hand back to Stephan, and we are looking forward to your questions. Thank you.

Stephan Sweerts-Sporck
Head of Investor Relations and Communications, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you, Peter. Thank you, Franz. We will now start our Q&A session. For your questions, please press the blue Q&A button in the webcast and follow the instructions. You will receive a confirmation once you have entered the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please press cancel. All those participants joining by telephone, please register for a question by pressing zero, followed by one on their telephone keypad. By pressing zero, one again, you can withdraw a question. You may ask your question once your name is announced and you are live. If you would like to ask a question, please press blue Q&A button or dial zero followed by one on your telephone keypad now. First question, we got already one by Markus Remis from ODDO BHF. Markus, please, you are live.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Hi. Good morning, gentlemen. Thanks for the presentation and the details that you incrementally provided. I have a couple of questions and will take them one by one, if you don't mind. Firstly, regarding the savings targets. So congrats to the upgrade of your achievements, but can you help us understand a bit better how you calculate the number? Specifically, talking about the top line effect, and then just thinking about procurement. Is that based on an as if kind of calculation? Because procurement prices are volatile as well. So anything you can help us to understand this better is appreciated. And then also just to get it straight, are we talking about fixed costs exclusively? So that would be the first one. Thank you.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah. Thank you very much, all clear. We have valuation guidelines of about 30 pages, so I can't go through all of them. We have, just to give you comfort, we were supported by a consultant in this exercise who was result-based. So he was incentivized in a result-based situation. So we have no intention also for our own purposes and for the fees we have to pay to inflate our numbers. But just going through briefly. First of all, any saving or profit improvement is only recognized when it is at least one month in our books. In some cases, it's for obvious reasons, three or six months already in our book because of volatility. The biggest contribution comes from, as I said, from operations.

And in operations it's typically things like reducing broke, shortening change over time on machines, improving energy efficiency, using the heat which goes into the air in a new way. And so there must be clearly identified initiatives, then there must be a result, and typically in operations, we observe it for three or six months. If the reduction of energy, if the reduction of broke, if the shortening of change over time, et cetera, has really happened for a number of months to say, "This is something sustainable." In procurement, we typically work against, it must be an improvement against an index. In some cases, it's easy to find these indices. So let's say if pulp prices go down by EUR 50, and the index goes down by EUR 50, then it's not a saving.

If the index, the PIX, goes down by EUR 50 and we have agreed a contract following the PIX index, but with a higher discount, which was previously X and now it's X plus 3%, then the 3% would be an additional saving. In sales, it's either price increases, which go again above a typical market. So we didn't have a lot of price increase initiatives. It was more on supplement prices. So we ask if the order volume is small, if the run is very short, if it has to be delivered in a very short time, then we have typically agreed surcharges, and sometimes our salespeople forget to implement them. We haven't agreed on them. And here it was about to make sure that where we have higher costs, we also get being better paid.

Volume increases were also counted, but again, only, if the overall customer, the overall site, the overall section overall was growing. There were some successful initiatives getting new customers. But it is not counted because the division as such didn't show, or the part of the division didn't show the right growth. Then I left out SG&A. There it is pretty simple. It can be about personnel, it can be about other costs, services from service providers. That is in most cases, pretty easy to determine.

If you make a new contract, you get a 10% discount. To your question, is it fixed costs or variable costs? It is more variable costs actually as fixed costs because many savings like material savings in the production, et cetera, in operations are in more cases variable costs than fixed costs.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. Understood. Thank you very much. Can you maybe also give an indicative breakdown between the segments? I would assume that a large chunk is attributable to Board & Paper, but-

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah. We have it. Sorry, I went over it, but in the presentation you see per division, we said exactly which division saved how much. If I go back, we had the breakdown of what was it now? EUR 27 million in Food & Premium,EUR 16 million in Pharma & Healthcare, and EUR 59 million in Board & Paper. We have given this breakdown.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. Thank you.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

If you calculate it and you sum it up, you will see a gap of EUR 2 million, which is group costs.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. Thank you very much. Secondly, on your remarks regarding pricing in Board & Paper. We have been talking about the overcapacities in the industry, and I think in the full-year call, you also said that you expect your competitors to adjust capacities. You basically now repeated this statement. What makes you so sure that your competitors will do the first step? Coming to the, or staying with the capacity topic, maybe you can also explain a bit the rationale behind the acquisition of the Arnsberg plant, which is, as I understand, loss-making at the moment. So you are adding capacity in a business which is ailing at the moment. How much kind of investment into Arnsberg is needed, and how quickly can this turnaround be achieved? Thank you.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah. So first of all, it is not that nothing has happened. We just don't see it in the numbers yet. So we have seen in FBB one market participant, I think is what you use these days, instead of competitor, going bankrupt. The question is now if production will be shut down or if there is someone who buys it. There was an announcement. So this was our former company, which we sold a number of years ago for EUR 150 million.

This is now bankrupt. One part, Eerbeek, in the Netherlands, is reported to have found a buyer. They have announced the startup on 15th of August, which did not happen. It was postponed. We will see how this works out. I can just say in terms of volumes, we are already benefiting from this. We will see how this works out, and we will see who the next company will be. Finally, I cannot predict if one of the big players will just continue as is or finally take a decision. We do not know when this will happen. On the recycled side, we have seen a change. Also DeFacto, it was not a form of insolvency, but it was a sort of the shareholder lost all shares, and the bondholders had to take a big cut.

I think now that this competitor is owned by hedge funds, they will, I think, be more rational in terms of going forward. Exactly, we do not know it. Why did we buy, in an oversupplied industry, another player? It is simply because we have, in Germany, the infrastructure. Arnsberg is fairly close to our mill in Neuss. Therefore, we see that in terms of SG&A costs, you can do a lot. Also in production areas like maintenance, for instance, you could install one maintenance center servicing both mills. We see a number of opportunities, and therefore, we think that at the end, we can create value with this acquisition.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Regarding the investment needs and the kind of prospective turnaround already next year?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

We do not see any significant investment needs.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

It's really about reducing costs, but also being more rational in terms of pricing, filling the machines better, specializing the machines together with our other machine. Because a lot of productivity comes at the end of the day that you have a mill where you can specialize on products and not make changeovers all the time. Obviously, if you combine several assets, you have more opportunities to do that.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. Thank you. Then one question regarding further restructuring costs in the second half. Is there anything on the horizon? Also regarding the maintenance costs, EUR 35 million you mentioned for the third quarter. I recall that last year, this was more spread over Q3, Q4. Is this year pulled forward into Q3, or is there an additional impact then also in the final quarter?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

No, there's no additional. So the EUR 35 million refers to the full second half year. But as we've moved it forward, last year it was September, October. This year it is August, September. So by end of September, it's done. So the third quarter result will be more impacted, and the fourth quarter will, compared to last year, not be impacted, whereas last year we had these costs. Restructurings, we cannot really predict here anything concrete, because it has to be discussed with unions, et cetera. But you can assume that we will work on our footprint, and without being specific about any mills or about plants, we will do restructurings.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

All right. Thank you very much. A final question before I get back into the line to bookkeeping questions. Firstly, I would be interested in the factoring level at the end of the first half. You mentioned that in 2027, the CapEx figure, or at least my interpretation, will go down. The reference, the EUR 160 million nominal CapEx. Is that what you are seeing as maintenance level in the current state of the company? Is the decline to below EUR 200 million something we should expect for 2027?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

I first come to the CapEx. Maybe I was not precise enough. I meant end of 2027. We have long-term CapEx of EUR 180 million- EUR 200 million, including, this is not just maintenance CapEx. Maintenance CapEx is more like EUR 110 million, EUR 120 million. But realistically, we want to stay competitive, and there are growth opportunities in some areas of the business. Overall, we should think about EUR 180 million- EUR 200 million per annum.

This year and next year are elevated mainly because of the CapEx in Kwidzyn, and that is not all paid this year. Some of this will come next year. This year and next year are elevated, and without giving a precise number for next year, we should wait for that, but it will be roughly where it is this year, maybe a bit down.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

We have another year of elevated CapEx because mainly of Kwidzyn. Regarding factoring, the net factoring amount was below EUR 340 million, and that is basically the same figure as the year said in 2025.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. Thank you. That's very helpful. Thank you, gentlemen.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you.

Stephan Sweerts-Sporck
Head of Investor Relations and Communications, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you, Markus, for your question. The next question comes from Michael Marschallinger from Erste Group.

Michael Marschallinger
Analyst, Erste Group

Yes, hello. Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Firstly, I would touch on the pricing regards and then comments in the body paper you made. With this overcapacity still persisting, what supports the expectations of improving prices? Could you please quantify which pricing improvement we expect in H2, which specific grades and which regions?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah. It's a very different question. Obviously, we only know what has happened until today and not what will happen. But we see somewhat. Let's say we have to really separate out recycled cartonboard and virgin cartonboard. In recycled cartonboard, we have seen now with several closures which have taken place in Spain, in Holland, in Germany over the last years, end markets growing, that we are much closer to a balanced situation. Therefore, we've seen real price increases. We implement pricing increases in April through June and some now in July, and we see this trend to continue. So here we are, I wouldn't say we don't have a balanced market, but we are close to a balanced market, and there we have seen during this year an overall increase in prices, even if it's still somewhat lower than where it was last year.

Then we have the virgin grades, FBB, and here we see the two market leaders, the one market leader, so to say, trying to get market share in order to shift volume from the U.S. to Europe, and the other one who has built a new mill, obviously wants to fill their mill. Here it's difficult to predict when they will act. The only positive news is that, positive is now an inappropriate word, but for us, positive thing is now that with the insolvency of FOLBB, we will for sure get some additional volume, but it will not solve the overall pricing issue. For this part, I'm not predicting anything. We have to wait patiently until things will happen for virgin carbon board called FBB.

Then with some other grades, so we have good price level in saturated kraft paper with very weak prices in uncoated fine paper, but they are on the move up now currently, but difficult to see how it will go from here. That's more or less it.

Michael Marschallinger
Analyst, Erste Group

Just a follow-up. When would you expect the supply-demand balance to be reached in FBB with this mentioned insolvency?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

On FBB, I'm not predicting it unless if none of the two capacity leaders, we all three have the same size in terms of what we're selling to Europe, but the two others have much higher capacity, which is used to a certain extent for overseas sales and to a certain extent it's simply empty. It's very easy, as long as they don't shut capacity, there is no major improvement in prices, and I can't predict it, and I think nobody can really predict it.

Michael Marschallinger
Analyst, Erste Group

Yes. Understood. Thank you. Just one last question on cost inflation. Could you quantify the cost inflation you saw now in the last half of the year across your major cost positions, energy, wood, recycled fiber, and what do you expect for the full year?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah. Let's start with the more easy things. Wood is marginally up. It's not so relevant. Wood prices in Europe are generally on the move up. In Scandinavia, they're more on the way down. We benefit a bit in Kotka and we suffer a bit in Pietarsaari. Paper for recycling, the indices are gradually moving up. I just wanted to highlight they are somewhat higher than they were a few months ago. The more serious chemicals is a bit of a mixed bag. Also difficult to quantify. Overall, I don't think it has a major impact. Then we come finally to the two main items is transport. We have typically transport contracts with forwarders, which say it's a fixed price plus an adjustment for the diesel price.

It's a question of if you believe that oil prices will rather be unaffected or come down because Iran is solved, then it's a question of a few months. If you believe in other scenarios which say the crisis will deepen, then obviously there is further inflation in transport costs overall. We will be a net beneficiary in Board & Paper because we don't have as high transport costs as our Nordic competitors, but it will affect us. In terms of energy, which is mainly for us gas price, but also electricity, it's again the guess on what happens in the Middle East and in Iran and what are the long-term consequences. I think all predictions have proved constantly wrong. Initially, it was when the war started, many said they would skyrocket, then they didn't. They went up but didn't skyrocket.

Then at least I thought that the situation will at least calm down, and all of a sudden it became even worse. I'm reading weekly newsletters on energy from experts who have the best knowledge available. But even here, I've seen constantly wrong predictions. I'm just stating, so to say, that as we stand here, as per today or as per yesterday, when we finished it, we see cost inflation from energy and transport. These are the main issues, and transport is about 10% more higher than last year.

Michael Marschallinger
Analyst, Erste Group

Okay, so you would expect further acceleration in H2 as well?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

I think H2, I am pretty sure H2 will be worse than, or we will have higher costs than in H1. Just because, as a matter of fact, they are higher in July and August, and now it is anyone's guess if things accelerate, so to say, throughout this quarter because gas prices go up even more. Yesterday they reached a new high. So are these things getting worse or are these things getting better? Then the question is, of course, and here we are back to market balance. In a more balanced market, we will be able to pass on these prices to our consumers. In a market where there are significant overcapacities and unwillingness to cut capacity, no one dares to fully pass them on, and then you have to live with them.

Michael Marschallinger
Analyst, Erste Group

Okay, cool. Understood. Thanks a lot.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you.

Franz Hiesinger
CFO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you.

Stephan Sweerts-Sporck
Head of Investor Relations and Communications, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you. There is still a possibility to ask questions. As a reminder, please press the blue Q&A button in the webcast or dial zero followed by one on your telephone keypad. We have another question coming up from Markus Remis, a follow-up question from ODDO BHF. Please go ahead, Markus.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yeah. Thank you. Staying with Board & Paper for one more time, please. Now that you are about breakeven on an adjusted level in the first half, given what you said, some price increases are coming through, more savings, on the other hand is cost inflation. Is it fair to assume that the second half should also kind of be slightly positive on an adjusted basis? Would you consider this as a realistic range?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

We do not give precise forecasts because we are constantly surprised by how things develop. I would say it this way, I would think it is a rather stable development minus the annual maintenance charts. This means the answer to your question is, I think on balance it will be down, but there is a huge variance because it is very difficult to judge whether the, whatever it will be, EUR 50 million, EUR 60 million.

I am now referring to the division. If the EUR 50 million, EUR 60 million contribution from Fit-For-Future and some other positive developments outweigh higher energy and transport costs and some other cost inflation in variable costs. This is still unclear because I simply do not know. Nobody knows whether in October the gas price will be at EUR 100 or let us say it moderated back to EUR 40. In this way, we don't know it, but it will be a rather similar level minus this EUR 35 million.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Okay. Then one question regarding Pharma & Healthcare Packaging. We're seeing a certain trend in terms of the margin development now 8% on an adjusted basis in the second quarter if I did the math right. What would you consider a target profitability level for that business? Apparently, there's a lot of restructuring has been done in the past. How advanced are we? How much more homework do you see? Is this a business which with kind of looking out 2027, maybe more 2028 can get to the profitability level of Food & Premium?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah. Overall, first of all, if we talk about EBIT, we have to appreciate that there is also some customer amortization included, which is in the Food business because that's a legacy business, whereas this business, a business which we've acquired and we had to capitalize on the customer relationships and write it off over time. This way, I almost think that EBITDA would be a better measure.

So it has to be very clearly above 10%, the EBIT margin finally. We know that this is possible, and with a number of operations which are more in the 15% range for operating profit. But equally, you also have some legacy business which you have to think how you deal with it. On your question, is there a restructuring done? There I can say yes, it's done. Maybe there is a small plant where we still have a question mark, but otherwise, it's a solid sound business which we can support with growth.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

And the driver to bring up the margin with the kind of restructuring done is, of course, further cost discipline and to Fit-For-Future. But how much lever do you see from the top line coming? Because it's a business which, at least in the most recent past, has undershot like market growth. I understand there have been some portfolio optimizations. But how should we think about the growth component?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah. So we believe that. We were a bit, let's say it was a bit frustrating to see that with nice growth in some sectors and that will gain momentum, because it's a very slow-moving industry in terms of long, it's a long approval process, et cetera. You don't want to deliver the packaging for products which have been for 30 or 100 years around, and it's just about price. But you want to be with new medical treatment, so to say, and work with the customer, and that takes then always several years. So we see this pipeline constantly strengthening, which is very good, and we see that the bottom slicing is not completely finished but is finally coming to an end. So top line will be an important part of it. Of course, we have still a lot of room for productivity improvement.

But the main driver hopefully will share what we. It's not hopefully. We believe will definitely shift to top-line growth. Not just any top-line growth, but the top-line growth with products which have a good margin because we've developed these products together with the pharmaceutical companies. So we are in a top position with long-term contracts where our contribution to developing this is also valued.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

All right.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

I hope this answers your question.

Markus Remis
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Yes, definitely. Thank you very much.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you.

Franz Hiesinger
CFO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you.

Stephan Sweerts-Sporck
Head of Investor Relations and Communications, Mayr-Melnhof Group

The next question comes from Cole Hathorn from Jefferies. Hello, Cole? The line is open. Hello? Cole, perhaps dial in again, and then it will work. Again, a reminder, it is the final call for questions. Please press the blue Q&A button in the webcast, or dial 0 followed by 1 on your telephone keypad. I see no more. Oh, Cole is here again.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Good morning, everyone.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Fantastic.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Morning. Apologies for that. I just tried to join in from the webcast. Peter, I wonder if you can help me out. I would like to follow up on that slide you showed on your relative cost advantage, particularly on the recycled side. When I look at gas prices here, could you remind us how much hedging Mayr-Melnhof has? The reason I ask this is because you have Volk which consumes gas that has gone under, and I imagine they would not be able to hedge. You have Reno de Medici, whose Apollo has given back the equity stake, and they have just had the bond restructuring. I imagine a lot of your competitors might not have the same level of gas hedges. If gas stays higher, do you expect some of your competitors to take a lot more economic downtime, you to take a little bit more share?

Hopefully, that resolves itself in some capacity closures, but I am just wondering how you are positioned, actually. Even though higher costs are not great, do you actually have a relative advantage here?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah. On the recycling side, I think we do have a bit of an advantage. I do not know, and we do not even know from Volk, because even if you go bankrupt, it is up to the administrator to terminate contracts. So if they had hedges, they still have them today because he has not terminated them, and someone else, the party, the counterparty, cannot terminate it. So we simply do not know how much they are hedged, and we are not extremely well-hedged. So it is somewhat below 50%. Unfortunately, you should have written your report on the gas price a bit earlier so that we had hedged more. So it is a slight advantage. On FBB, I think it is a slight disadvantage because in Frohnleiten we are fully integrated, producing our own energy to a very high degree.

In Kotka, we are only partly integrated with the pulp mill, and therefore, we have somewhat higher energy costs to buy in, and therefore, we are a bit more dependent, and it is a difficult game. By investing into the e-boiler from spring next year, we have more options than to use electricity even for the heat instead of buying the gas. At the moment, for heat, we need the gas, but we can play between gas and nuclear power. So that is our situation. So I would say on the margin, maybe we have an advantage in recycled, and maybe with a slight disadvantage in virgin.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Perfect. Then maybe just following up on the acquisition from Reno de Medici, you have not given any valuation or price. Is there anything that you can comment on that? I imagine when you are a forced seller, you get a good price, but I am just wondering a little bit more on the synergies there. You talked about SG&A, maintenance, location of the mills, but is this a WLC mill or a recycled carton mill, or is it more white top test liner?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

No, it is a WLC grade in more of the lighter grammages, so what we then call WLC liner. And we have agreed or in the contract not to name the price. What we can say, it is not material, what has been invested there. We have to work on the costs and see how this works out all together and also how the overall market develops.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

It is a consolidation of the market because, especially in Germany, we were historically fierce competitor. They were extremely aggressive.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. Let's hope there is more economic downtime and other players have less gas hedges for you going forward. Maybe following up on the cost point, you did mention wood costs. I would like to follow up on Poland, considering that there has been some restrictions on harvesting levels. Is there anything that you can call out or any kind of lobbying that Mayr-Melnhof can do to maintain reasonable wood supply to your mill, make sure that you don't have a situation where availability becomes an issue and wood costs continue to inflate?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah, of course, we are lobbying on that. I wouldn't see it as particularly worrying. I think with all in the Nordics, you have various interest groups who say we should put more, also EU legislation, more and more forest should be put aside to be preserved and be natural and not be used for harvesting. So we are working on it. It's a sad story, but Poland has lost, I think, 30,000 jobs in the wood converting industry over the last three or four years because a number of especially sawmills have gone bankrupt. So the demand is adjusting to the supply. We don't see the price increases, let's say, are of course in contrast to the Nordics, but they come from a much lower level, and they are less than they are, for instance, in Austria or some other Central European countries.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

And then just finally, maybe this is a question for Franz, but your contribution on Fit-For-Future, an extra kind of EUR 60 million into 2027, it is a big number. What kind of visibility do you have on delivering that? Because it is a big improvement, it's a big increase from the original EUR 250 million. Just what gives you the confidence in actually being able to deliver that number?

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah. There is a number called the run rate. So what projects are what we call L4, so they are executed for at least one month, in many cases several months, until we see that it's a sustainable improvement, as I explained it earlier. So we are currently at about EUR 270 million L4, and L5 to 10 has been there for more than a year. And we have stand visibility, so this is already banked. Then we have an L3 number, which is everything has been prepared, everything has been identified. We are already in the testing phase, but we don't know if the full benefits will come through. And in some cases there's a higher uncertainty, like in procurement, so the tender has been done, but we haven't received the offers yet, or haven't finalized, haven't signed something.

In some cases there is less, like we see, yes, we have good success, but we still want to look one or two months more in order to do it. And this is a very significant number, which gives us confidence that the EUR 330 million is really a very conservative number.

Cole Hathorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you.

Stephan Sweerts-Sporck
Head of Investor Relations and Communications, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you, Cole. Since we have crossed the hour, I think we will come slowly to an end of this conference call. Thank you for your participation, the questions, the interest in MM. Peter, perhaps a final sentence before we quit.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Yeah. Sorry I talked so much. There is almost nothing to say. We have this adverse market situation in parts of our wood and paper business, where we can't logically judge how or when it can be changed. But being in a strong position in terms of cost curve, capacity utilization, sales focused on Europe, sitting in the middle of the continent, we feel that we are in a very good position. At the same time, we will develop our two packaging business, which have delivered a strong result further, and they will, going forward, I believe, show also more organic growth. In this way, this part of the business will grow and develop. In this way, I also want to use this opportunity to thank all our employees. They've done a fantastic job.

It's not easy if there are so many headwinds you have to face. But finally, I'm confident, and we shouldn't forget that comparing ourselves to many peers, that a result like first half year was more or less the same as a year before. That doesn't sound very exciting in itself, but if you study a number of annual reports of other companies, then I think you see that this is quite an achievement. In this way, we look positive to the future. Thank you.

Stephan Sweerts-Sporck
Head of Investor Relations and Communications, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Thank you again, and we wish you a great day, and say goodbye to all. Bye-bye.

Peter Oswald
CEO, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Bye. Have a good day.

Stephan Sweerts-Sporck
Head of Investor Relations and Communications, Mayr-Melnhof Group

Bye-bye.