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Earnings Call: Q3 2021

Nov 26, 2021

Malgorzata Czaplicka
Director of Investor Relations, Globe Trade Centre

Good morning, everyone. My name is Malgorzata Czaplicka. Welcome everyone on our Q3 results call. The call is being recorded. As usual, the presentation is being presented by Yovav Carmi, the CEO of the company, and Ariel Ferstman, the CFO of the group. We will do the presentation, which will be around 25-30 minutes, and then after the presentation, we will be happy to answer any questions you may have. Thank you very much. Yovav, Ariel, the floor is yours.

Yovav Carmi
CEO, Globe Trade Centre

Thank you. Good morning, everybody. Thank you for joining our investors' call. We will walk you through the presentation. Malgosia, please put it on the screen. Okay. Thank you. Let's start with page number three. Okay. I think the main takeaway from this third quarter is that we have continued the solid performance of the company. The good strong resilient performance has continued throughout the third quarter. We have shown a gross margin of EUR 93 million over the last nine months. EUR 52 million FFO. We continue the acquisitions. Overall, the volume in the first nine months was close to EUR 340 million of acquisitions.

I think it's very important to mention that we were able to maintain our very high occupancy of 91%. Overall, throughout the period since last year, we kept a high occupancy even though, if you may remember, the first couple of months of the year were affected by lockdowns and the pandemic was very visible and traffic was restricted in our shopping centers, and there were many events related to the pandemic. Even so, we maintained a solid and good performance over the last nine months.

In addition, we have from our EUR 500 million green bond raise, we have paid current loans of EUR 450 million, as we mentioned that we will do. Currently about 50% of our debt is unencumbered properties. We have currently a record low interest rate of 2.14% comparing to 2.3% as of the end of the last year. Another very important thing that is important for us and we are working hard to upgrade ourselves is in the ESG front. We have been recognized by the EPRA Sustainability Best Practices. We got a silver award for that.

We've been recognized for our first ESG report, so we received a recognition as the best debut report. Moving to the next page. Yes. This period was very much influenced by our acquisition mode. Throughout the period, we have been acquiring the five office building and mixed-use project in Hungary. Overall, EUR 310 million of volume. This added around EUR 19 million to our in-place rent. The disposal of the Serbian portfolio is ongoing, and we're very close to conclude that one, which is expected by the end of this year. Those are very important two moves.

Shifting our portfolio, as we mentioned earlier this year, shifting our portfolio towards Hungary and Poland as our main markets of focus. This is what we're executing. We also launched a new construction in Belgrade, 17,000 sq m of offices. Also in line with what we mentioned previously, that although we are selling our portfolio in Belgrade, we are definitely staying in that market. We definitely would like to continue and build on our know-how and our team and strong presence on the ground. This is what we are demonstrating by launching our new project in Belgrade. So far we see strong demand in that market.

We see tangible leases that need the space and I believe that next time we meet we will also show some tangible results on that leasing. The first nine months have shown that we can secure 71,000 sq m of leases compared to 66,000 in the nine months of 2020. This was a mixture of some renewals and some new leases in some buildings. Given that we've seen in the summer some ease in the pandemic, tenants were willing to commit. Later on this year, as the pandemic is rising again, we see this activity a bit slower than usual. However, together with that, the tenants are staying where they are, staying where they are accommodated.

This is how we are managing to keep our very high occupancy, and occupancy was kept at 90% throughout the year. Moving to the next page, please. Talking about our retail. Currently, 100% of our retail space is operational. The COVID impact is still visible. As I mentioned, up until May, we still had the lockdowns. Discounts that were given to tenants, we still are feeling them. However, occupancy has remained strong at 95%. I think this is very much thanks to our willingness to reach out a hand to tenants and offer them some temporary discounts to allow them pass through the hard time of the lockdowns and the restrictions. They appreciate it. This build-up of confidence.

What we see is that they are willing to commit and expand in our shopping malls in signing up for physical shops. A few examples are written here on this presentation. The most prominent one is the new brand of CCC. It's called Half Price. They signed up in Galeria Lwowska for 2,150 square meters. The Polish and Serbian assets continue to show improvements in the malls turnover in Q3 2021. We will talk about it a little bit later, but since one of our shopping centers is in Sofia, and in Sofia, the level of vaccinations is very low, around 20%. Some new restrictions have been introduced so that only those who are vaccinated are allowed to fully enter into the mall.

Others who are not vaccinated can only go to the supermarket. This is something we start to see in Bulgaria, unfortunately. Overall, the other shopping centers are compensating for that. If we move to the next page, please. Yeah. I think we touched on that. We saw the turnovers exceeding the levels of 2019 since the reopening in May. In the last months, given what I mentioned about Bulgaria, this is somehow a little bit lower because of the spike in the pandemic in Bulgaria. Moving to the next page, please. Yeah. This is the snapshot of our portfolio. EUR 2.5 billion total gross asset value. Around 90% is income-producing assets. 10% is land bank and the projects under development.

Around 33% retail and 67% office. We are gradually moving from the territory of 40/60 or 60 office/40 retail towards the territory of 70/30. This is happening with our recent acquisitions and developments. Around 60% of our activity is in Poland and Hungary. Again, along the lines of the strategy we announced to shift our focus into Poland and Hungary's higher investment grade markets. Moving to the next page. Here we have a summary of the ongoing developments projects. Pillar is about to be completed and handed over to ExxonMobil. This will add another EUR 6 million to our in-place rents from sometime in the first quarter of next year. GTC X is a project we launched this year.

There is quite advanced discussions with around 60% of the space for tenants. This looks very promising. I think we made the right decision by launching this development. Sofia Tower is ongoing, 8,300 sq m. Again, we see here some tangible leasing progressing. Center Point 1 and 2 is in the renovation mode. All those are moving forward in development for us. We can move to the next page. This is a summary, close to 95,000 sq m of offices that we are working on.

This is the pipeline to go within the next 24 months. Just to give a little bit more flavor of where we stand with those developments. In 36,000 sq m of Center Point Three, the building permit has been received the other day. It's waiting to become the final one. We are in dialogue with the authorities regarding the Twins project. We got some feedback from them and by mid next year, in Q2, Q3, we should be in the position to receive the permit for that one. For Matrix C, we have recently applied for the permit. In ABC Three, Sofia, that's the most recent acquisition that we have bought the land earlier this year. We are moving forward with the planning.

Moving to the next page. I will here pause if there are any questions so far, or otherwise, I will hand over to Ariel to talk about the financials.

Ariel Ferstman
CFO, Globe Trade Centre

Thanks very much, Ieva. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Indeed, Q3 has been a continuation of our strong results shown in the past six months, with a strong FFO at EUR 52 million, and expectations to reach by the end of this year, 2021, similar levels pre-COVID back in 2019, close to EUR 70 million. As you can see on slide 13, we have posted a profit of EUR 33 million during the nine months of 2021, driven mainly by revaluation of our portfolio, whereby we have posted a slight decline of EUR 2 million in comparison to a EUR 67 million loss of the previous nine months.

The EUR 2 million loss is attributed mainly as a result of our heavy investment of our capital expenditure in our completed assets to always keep our portfolio up in shape and Class A. If we zoom in a little bit on the gross margin of operations, we have recorded an increase of 2% of our gross margin of operations, and this was driven mainly by our substantial acquisitions in Hungary, mentioned by Ieva before. The acquisitions contribute positively to our top line, around EUR 7 million. This was offset by the sale of Spiral, which was sold as you remember, back in Q4 2020, and some slight COVID impact, attributable to our malls mainly in Poland and Bulgaria.

We have posted a loss of around EUR 2 million in our malls in Poland and Bulgaria versus a profit on our malls in Ada in Belgrade and in Zagreb, EUR 1 million. All this versus last nine months of 2020. The reason why of the decline on the income in the shopping centers was basically longer restrictions which rolled forward back in the first half of 2021. Also, a very important line which impacted our P&L during these nine months is the financial expenses line. The line increased by nine million euros in comparison to the same period of last year.

This is mainly as a result we pointed out also in our previous investors call during the six months, of non-recurring costs originated by the refinance of our secured loans from the Eurobond proceeds. This is around EUR 5 million early prepayment fees and breakage costs. This is a cash movement payment. Around EUR 3 million, which was the release of the deferred issue and debt expenses related to those secured loans that we refinanced, which is a non-cash item. On the tax section line also, this was a significant increase, around EUR 10 million. This is driven mainly by an increase in our deferred tax liabilities, and this is due to the resilience of our valuation portfolio. Similar

This is very similar in line with pre-COVID levels versus last year, where we post big losses as an impact of the COVID-19 mainly on our retail portfolio and on office portfolio as well, which decreased our deferred tax liabilities. Overall, let's move to the next slide, please, on slide 14. On the next slide, we're showing a robust balance sheet. We have increased around 18% on our portfolio, driven mainly by an intensive transaction activity well described by Ieva before, during the nine months of 2021, with acquisitions in the amount of EUR 375 million in our portfolio, all related to the Hungarian increase in the Hungarian portfolio and the shifting in line with our new investment strategy to shift for investment grade countries such as Poland and Hungary.

Indeed, our portfolio will decline around EUR 280 million once the disposal of the full office portfolio in Serbia materializes during Q4 2021, which will leave us to a net increase around 4% or 5% versus the levels from 2020. To point out, the residential land bank increased by EUR 16 million. This was as a result of the acquisition of a residential land plot in the city center of Budapest for 17,000 sq m residential. Also, we have reclassified half of our land plot in Romania, City Rose Park in Bucharest, from office to residential, and we are working towards an amendment on the building permit to allow this change as well.

Cash and cash equivalents decreased as we have deployed during the nine months our cash, mainly to the cash-generating assets in the Hungarian market with acquisitions such as Váci Greens, the Ericsson and the ExxonMobil headquarters, Váci 188, and further investment into our assets under development such as Pillar, Sofia Tower, and GTC X, mentioned by Ieva previously. In the next slide 15, we are showing an overview of our debt. We have very strong intensive activity in our financing side. We start with the Q1 with the completion of our second green bonds into the Hungarian market in the amount of EUR 54 million. We continue with our first debuted benchmark size green Eurobond, very successful transaction, three times oversubscribed in the summer in the amount of EUR 500 million.

Following the successful completion of the Eurobond, we managed to refinance over EUR 450 million of secured financing debt, much more expensive than the bond that we post and some were going to mature in the next 12-24 months. The last two refinance that we did was in this quarter, Mall of Sofia in the amount of EUR 54 million and the other shopping center in Belgrade in the amount of EUR 27 million. We complete the full refinance target that we had during the course of three months. After the successful refinance, we managed to increase our maturity to five years, as we see on the slide, increase and encumber properties from 9% to 45%.

This is a very good point, also showing us our strength on the cash flow as well and the availability of that cash also from that encumbered properties. We have managed to decrease further our average funding cost to a record of 2.14%. I just want to point it out that we started shifting to unsecured from secured to unsecured financing back in 2020 with our first green bond in the Hungarian market. At that time, we have a 2.6% average funding cost. Today, we are proud to say we are moving towards 2.14%. This will have an impact in our P&L in the upcoming 12 months. You will see it as that line will decrease in comparison to previous years.

In addition to that, we have secured our first unsecured revolving credit facility in the amount of EUR 75 million with a club of four different banks. This will support our liquidity as well and be able to deploy it for any working capital needs that might require for the company as well. In terms of our debt structure, excluding the liabilities held for sale, as you can see, we have a balanced debt structure now, 50% unsecured financing, 50% secured financing, with almost all our loans either hedged or fixed interest. This is the trend that we are doing. Every time we're doing a secured financing, we try to basically mirror how the bond is working as well with the fixed coupon, also a fixed interest, no amortization, full payout, full bullet payout.

This is a result, 94%, and we minimize the risk of the interest rate risk for the upcoming further years. In respect of the LTV, so basically, we have a slight increase on the LTV driven by the acceleration of the acquisition program. This shall go back quickly into the mid-40s once we complete our capital increase scheduled to happen in the next few weeks and the disposal of the Serbian office portfolio, and that will bring the LTV towards mid-40s and towards, you know, our medium term of 40%. Moving to slide 16.

We have ended up the nine months of 2021 with the cash position of EUR 100 million, including cash held for sale in Serbia in the amount of EUR 8 million versus EUR 272 million at the beginning of the year. The decline, as I pointed out before, it was a result of the intensive investment activity in the company, which will also contribute to the strong FFO we have also as well. Also to mention that the cash flow from operating activities, if we deduct the non-recurring financial expenses, we have posted an increase of 4%. If you subtract that EUR 5 million, we have 55 million versus 53 million. I think with this we conclude our presentation today. Then, Margosha, we're open to take questions from the investors.

Malgorzata Czaplicka
Director of Investor Relations, Globe Trade Centre

Ladies and gentlemen, please ask your questions now.

Cezary Bernatek
Head of Equity Research, Erste Group

Hi, everybody.

Ariel Ferstman
CFO, Globe Trade Centre

Good morning, guys. Sorry, go ahead.

Cezary Bernatek
Head of Equity Research, Erste Group

Yeah. Can you hear me, first of all?

Malgorzata Czaplicka
Director of Investor Relations, Globe Trade Centre

Sure, Cezary Bernatek, we can hear you.

Ariel Ferstman
CFO, Globe Trade Centre

Yeah. We hear you.

Cezary Bernatek
Head of Equity Research, Erste Group

Cezary Bernatek, Erste Group. Just two quick questions. The first one concerning the Serbian office portfolio, and where are we at present with the disposal? That's the first question, basically. The second question, just technical one, what share of your portfolio now is like green certificated? Because I remember that we had like 83% of the whole portfolio at first half 2021. Where are we now? Thank you.

Yovav Carmi
CEO, Globe Trade Centre

Okay. To answer the second question, the percentage of the green certified is around the same. It's around 85%. We are working to certify the rest of the assets to achieve green certification. As I mentioned in the beginning of the presentation, we have been recognized very nicely by EPRA and for our first ESG report. This is something we strive to become better in that area. This is something we are working on. Going back to your first question about where we stand with the Serbian portfolio disposal, this is a complex deal, so it's a time-consuming exercise for ourselves as well as the purchaser.

We are working hard on that. The purchaser is advising us that they're very close to secure their financing that is about to be concluded in the next couple of days or very shortly. That will facilitate basically to be able to complete the transaction by the end of Q4.

Cezary Bernatek
Head of Equity Research, Erste Group

Okay, great. Thank you. One just final question from my side. Concerning the office portfolio, do you feel any, like, pressure from the tenants which actually come to the end of their agreements, when it comes to some of your office assets? Do you feel some pressure on lowering the level of leased area or any kind of material pressure on renegotiation of the rental rates down at the end of the particular period of rental period?

Yovav Carmi
CEO, Globe Trade Centre

What we hear from tenants, especially given the uncertainty around the return to the office and when is it likely to happen and the current spiking in Europe overall with the pandemic, is we see two things. We see one is a hesitancy to commit, hesitancy to also move to a different location. Since we have a very high occupancy of 91%, to a certain extent this is in our benefit because their easiest decision is to just stay where they are. That's one kind of area that we see from them.

The other area that we see from them, that since they are not sure what is their future office requirements and whether they will need more or less space or the layout will be different and how this layout will look like going forward, because maybe they will need more space for meeting areas and so on. What this translates into is their wish to have more flexibility within the lease structure. To the extent that we can, because we also have to run a commercially viable and profitable business, but to the extent that we can, we try to accommodate those needs from their side.

Cezary Bernatek
Head of Equity Research, Erste Group

Okay, got it. Thank you.

Jakub Caithaml
Equity Analyst, Wood

Hey, guys, this is Jakub from Wood. A couple from my side, please. Following the Belgrade sale, I was wondering if you're looking into any additional larger disposals, and maybe related to that, if you're seeing any level of interest in retail assets or if it's still fairly low, and whether you expect that this could pick up next year once we get some KPIs. That would be the first question.

Yovav Carmi
CEO, Globe Trade Centre

Sure. Our policy over the years has always been that, on a selective basis from time to time, we dispose of some assets. You've seen it from us. In 2019, we sold White House and we sold in Gdańsk, in Neptun. Last year, even in the pandemic, we sold the Spiral in Budapest. This year we have quite a large disposal. Every year you see from us selling an asset or two. This is in order to allow us to recycle the capital and invest it in development or acquisition of where we see more potential with the profitability from the equity.

That's to identify now and advise the large audience which assets and where it's a bit premature. I'm sure you will understand that. That's the answer on that question. Regarding the interest in retail assets, we still see a very shallow interest in retail assets from the market. Those who are expressing interest, they look for a bargain, for a very cheap opportunity, which currently there aren't any in the market. This is why you can hardly see any retail assets being transacted.

Jakub Caithaml
Equity Analyst, Wood

Right. Understood. Thanks. Thanks much for this. Maybe on the office side, regarding the developments which you have lined up with completion scheduled for 2022, I was wondering if you can tell us more about the leasing levels and how is this progressing? Maybe if it's possible to estimate roughly the contribution that we can expect from these assets in 2022, whether this will be second quarter, not really because of the stabilization period. Maybe regarding the longer term pipeline, because you indicated these assets that you could consider kicking off within the next two years, would any of these be speculative or would you be always looking to get a pre-lease before starting?

What level of pre-lease roughly would you be considering to go ahead at, in this market?

Yovav Carmi
CEO, Globe Trade Centre

One question. I'll try to answer everything. Regarding the ongoing developments, I think we have laid out in the presentation how much each of them will add to our in-place rent. I think Pillar is the first one to come into to turn into an income-producing asset. You will see this contributing EUR 6.1 million. This is about to be handed over to the tenant in a couple of weeks. As always, there is some rent freeze within the leases. On average, we are, you know, giving one month per year for a rent freeze, but this is a very rough averaging.

The other ones will come into the market into the bulk of income-producing assets later on in the year. Regarding the leasing position, GTC X, as I mentioned, there is quite a significant pipeline that we expect to be signed within the next couple of months. The same goes for Sofia Tower. Those are relatively smaller assets, but they will definitely contribute to the in-place rent. Center Point 1 and 2 are being renovated. There is some tangible interest from large tenants. We see how this is going to fold out. It's a bit premature to discuss.

Regarding those other assets that we plan to bring into the market later within the next 24 months, those normally we would like to see some tangible interest from the market before we launch a project in order to feel comfortable. You know, our policy is normally to see somewhere around 30%. Tangible interest would mean either a decision by the tenant to move to our building or a head of terms or something that we can really feel that the tenant is planning to move to our building. We normally do not start a project fully speculative. We need to fill the leasing demand in order to really start.

Jakub Caithaml
Equity Analyst, Wood

Right. Understood. Thanks. Thanks much. Maybe a follow-up on the offices, which also links to the previous question. I mean, I wanted to ask if we should expect any adjustments to ERVs because it seems that quite a number of markets still, it's kind of tenant markets. The leasing is a bit difficult. Whether we should expect any changes there and maybe relating to what you were talking about earlier, when it comes to the adjustments of leasing contracts and maybe some more flexibility or shorter durations. Is this also something that would be playing a somewhat significant role in the valuation process?

Yovav Carmi
CEO, Globe Trade Centre

I think the market will have to appreciate that we moved to the COVID accelerated certain things, and we moved forward to a new era that is less fixed. Those five-year or seven-year fixed leases, tenants are less and less willing to commit like that. They want more flexibility. In order to secure those tenants or maintain them, we will need to be flexible enough to offer that, to offer some flex offices within the buildings in order for them, when they have a new project, to spill over to some flex office and so on. All those things have to be considered by landlords. This is a market that is changing in that respect, and it's early days.

Whether this will affect ERVs, it might. It might affect valuations. It might, but it's premature to comment on that because this is something that is currently evolving, and I think it's too early to express an opinion about that.

Jakub Caithaml
Equity Analyst, Wood

Sure. Fair enough. Thanks. Thanks much. Final one from me, and yeah, sorry for hogging the call and the Q&A. Regarding the resi plot in Budapest and also the conversion in Bucharest, I mean, have you been considering either resi for sale or perhaps resi for rent as something with more kind of strategic importance for the company going forward? Or should we see this as more of a opportunistic and something which will remain small in relative terms?

Yovav Carmi
CEO, Globe Trade Centre

I think what we have been doing is listening to the market, looking carefully how trends are developing. We have been, in the past, active in the residential sector to a limited extent several years ago. Now with the current environment and the way we see things developing in the market, we feel that we should, to a certain degree, explore the residential segment on a selective basis, enter into such projects some assets on our land bank. As Ariel mentioned, the example in Bucharest this was designated as a full-scale office development, and we are modifying the permit to allow mixed use office, residential.

I think generally in the market we will see more of those, and it applies to us as well that to a certain extent we will also be looking to execute such a project. I hope this answered your question. Thank you very much.

Malgorzata Czaplicka
Director of Investor Relations, Globe Trade Centre

Management? If there are no more questions, thank you very much for your participation and for your time. In case of any additional questions that pops up later on, I'm more than happy to answer all the questions you may have. Thank you very much. Goodbye.

Ariel Ferstman
CFO, Globe Trade Centre

Have a good day. Bye-bye.

Yovav Carmi
CEO, Globe Trade Centre

Thank you. Bye-bye.

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