Alcoa Corporation (AA)
NYSE: AA · Real-Time Price · USD
38.91
-0.40 (-1.02%)
At close: Oct 29, 2025, 4:00 PM EDT
39.20
+0.29 (0.75%)
After-hours: Oct 29, 2025, 7:57 PM EDT
Alcoa Stock Forecast
Stock Price Forecast
The 11 analysts that cover Alcoa stock have a consensus rating of "Buy" and an average price target of $37.41, which forecasts a -3.86% decrease in the stock price over the next year. The lowest target is $27 and the highest is $45.
Price Target: $37.41 (-3.86%)
Analyst Consensus: Buy
Analyst Ratings
The average analyst rating for Alcoa stock is "Buy". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to outperform the market over the next twelve months.
Recommendation Trends
| Rating | May '25 | Jun '25 | Jul '25 | Aug '25 | Sep '25 | Oct '25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| Buy | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Hold | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Sell | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Strong Sell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Latest Forecasts
| Analyst | Firm | Rating | Rating | Action | Price Target | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | JP Morgan | Hold Maintains $34 → $35 | Hold | Maintains | $34 → $35 | -10.05% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | BMO Capital | Hold Maintains $35 → $37 | Hold | Maintains | $35 → $37 | -4.91% | Oct 23, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | JP Morgan | Hold Maintains $27 → $34 | Hold | Maintains | $27 → $34 | -12.62% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Morgan Stanley | Buy Maintains $38 → $43 | Buy | Maintains | $38 → $43 | +9.23% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Wells Fargo | Buy Initiates $40 | Buy | Initiates | $40 | +2.80% | Oct 8, 2025 |
Financial Forecast
Revenue This Year
13.02B
from 11.90B
Increased by 9.45%
Revenue Next Year
13.09B
from 13.02B
Increased by 0.58%
EPS This Year
2.99
from 0.26
Increased by 1,049.24%
EPS Next Year
2.84
from 2.99
Decreased by -4.85%
Historical EPS numbers are GAAP, while forecasted numbers may be non-GAAP.
Revenue Forecast
| Revenue | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 13.5B | 14.3B | |||
| Avg | 13.0B | 13.1B | |||
| Low | 11.8B | 11.3B |
Revenue Growth
| Revenue Growth | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 13.8% | 10.1% | |||
| Avg | 9.4% | 0.6% | |||
| Low | -0.6% | -13.4% |
EPS Forecast
| EPS | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 3.80 | 3.78 | |||
| Avg | 2.99 | 2.84 | |||
| Low | 1.45 | 1.31 |
EPS Growth
| EPS Growth | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 1,361.9% | 26.5% | |||
| Avg | 1,049.2% | -4.8% | |||
| Low | 458.2% | -56.1% |
Sources: Price targets and analyst ratings provided by Benzinga. Revenue and EPS forecast data provided by Finnhub. The data is sourced from Wall Street analysts. Data disclaimer.