Alcoa Corporation (AA)
NYSE: AA · Real-Time Price · USD
40.76
-0.03 (-0.07%)
Oct 21, 2026, 1:35 PM EDT - Market open

Alcoa Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

According to 14 analysts polled by S&P Global, Alcoa stock has a consensus rating of "Buy" and an average price target of $59.82. The average 1-year stock price forecast is 46.76% higher than the current stock price, while the lowest is $48 (+17.76%) and the highest is $80 (+96.27%).

Price Target: $59.82 (+46.76%)
Analyst Consensus: Buy

Price Target

Chart
TargetLowAverageMedianHigh
Price$48$59.82$55$80
Change+17.76%+46.76%+34.94%+96.27%

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for Alcoa stock is "Buy". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to outperform the market over the next twelve months.

Recommendation Trends

Chart
RatingMay '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Strong Buy998888
Buy110012
Hold234433
Sell201111
Strong Sell000000
Total141313131314

Latest Forecasts

AnalystFirmRatingRatingActionPrice TargetUpsideDate
Freedom Capital Markets
Freedom Capital Markets
Buy
Maintains
$76 → $62
BuyMaintains$76 → $62+52.11%Oct 20, 2026
B. Riley Securities
B. Riley Securities
Buy
Maintains
$80 → $63
BuyMaintains$80 → $63+54.56%Oct 20, 2026
Citi
Citi
Buy
Maintains
$76 → $56
BuyMaintains$76 → $56+37.39%Oct 20, 2026
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley
Hold
Reiterates
$50
HoldReiterates$50+22.67%Oct 19, 2026
BMO Capital
BMO Capital
Hold
Maintains
$55 → $50
HoldMaintains$55 → $50+22.67%Oct 16, 2026
More Analyst Ratings

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year
14.82B
from 12.83B
Increased by 15.49%
Revenue Next Year
15.25B
from 14.82B
Increased by 2.89%
EPS This Year
6.66
from 3.77
Increased by 76.64%
EPS Next Year
5.55
from 6.66
Decreased by -16.67%
Fiscal YearFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Period EndingDec 31, 2021Dec 31, 2022Dec 31, 2023Dec 31, 2024Dec 31, 2025Dec 31, 2026
Revenue
12.15B12.45B10.55B11.90B12.83B14.82B
Revenue Growth
30.86%2.46%-15.26%12.74%7.87%15.49%
Gross Profit
3.05B2.31B834.00M1.91B2.29B3.23B
Gross Margin
25.12%18.51%7.90%16.08%17.86%21.80%
Operating Income
2.08B1.48B-76.00M923.00M1.32B2.32B
Net Income
429.00M-123.00M-651.00M60.00M1.16B1.74B
EPS
----3.776.66
EPS Growth
----179.26%76.64%
Forward PE
8.9051.9157.687.7611.506.12
Dividend / Share
0.100.400.400.400.400.40
Dividend Growth
-300.00%---0.02%
Free Cash Flow
----567.00M988.11M
No. Analysts
-----8
EPS and Forward PE are based on non-GAAP adjusted numbers.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue202620272028
High15.1B
Avg14.8B
Low14.7B

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth202620272028
High
17.5%
Avg
15.5%
Low
14.2%

EPS Forecast

EPS202620272028
High7.25
Avg6.66
Low5.90

EPS Growth

EPS Growth202620272028
High
92.3%
Avg
76.6%
Low
56.5%