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Morgan Stanley’s Technology, Media & Telecom Conference 2024

Mar 4, 2024

Moderator

All right. Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to our next fireside discussion with Ellie Mertz, the CFO of Airbnb. We are very thrilled to have Ellie here. This is her first interview in this setting as the CFO. So, Ellie, thank you so much for joining us. Great to see you.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Great to see you as well. Go ahead.

Moderator

No, we've known each other a long time since pre-IPO, so I'm really excited to see you. So congratulations for.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Thank you. Thank you.

Moderator

Before we start, disclosures. All important disclosures, including personal holdings disclosures and Morgan Stanley disclosures, appear on the Morgan Stanley public website at www.morganstanley.com/research. Disclosures, they are also available at the registration desk. Some of the statements made today by Airbnb may be considered forward-looking. These statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. Any forward-looking statements made today by the company are based on assumptions as of today, and Airbnb undertakes no obligation. Please refer to Airbnb's Form 10-K for a discussion of the risk factors that may impact actual results. So, let's talk early learnings. You know, so you've been with the company for many years, pre-IPO, post-IPO, and now you've been in the new role for a few months.

Maybe sort of talk to us about what have sort of been some things you've learned now in the new seat, and as you sort of look ahead to 2024, what are the biggest areas that you and the team are focused on from an execution perspective?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah. So just to clarify, I've been at Airbnb for over 11 years, but this is, I think, day 2 as CFO. So I appreciate you all coming out for my, you know, inaugural speaking event. In terms of, you know, what I've learned and kind of where we are today in terms of our overall strategy, the strategy has been pretty consistent over the last couple of years, as you're well aware. We've been focused on recovering from the pandemic, obviously, meaningfully improving our overall financial structure. And over this time, we've been focused on three things. We've been focused on making hosting mainstream, so making sure that we have enough hosts to grow the business. Second, we've been focusing on perfecting the core business, making sure that we're getting better every single year.

And then our third priority has been around expanding beyond the core. And so to the question of learnings, one of the things that we've been, I think, very cognizant of over the last couple of years is we wanted to make sure that our core business was in a position of strength before we overextended ourselves by pushing beyond our core business. And what I can say today, in this seat, is that we feel like we are right now in a huge position of strength. We've obviously come out of the pandemic, you know, extremely well. We've gained a huge amount of market share during this period. Our balance sheet and, you know, P&L are extremely strong, with very strong EBITDA margins, great cash flow generation.

We've got a great team, and we feel like this is the point at which we really begin to dig in to expand beyond the core. And so, you know, coming into this seat today versus maybe the many years that I've been at Airbnb, I'm really excited about this point in time where we have the opportunity to transform from effectively what's been a one-revenue stream business into a business that in coming years we hope to be layering on incremental services and products to continue to drive top-line growth.

Moderator

Okay. Great. Well, I wanna get into all those incremental services and things.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yes.

Moderator

Throughout the discussion. But maybe can we start on the core hotel business or the call core alternative accommodation business?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Not a hotel business.

Moderator

Not hotels.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

No.

Moderator

Not hotels. My, my, my fault.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

This is one.

Moderator

My, my rookie mistake. That's my rookie mistake. The core alternative accommodation business so I know there's been a lot of sort of puts and takes around COVID, reopening.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah.

Moderator

Sort of room-night growth. It looks like, as you sort of look into the first quarter to start the year, the guide implies sort of a, a high single-digit room-night growth range. As we think about 2024, what are the puts and takes or the regions that we should look at to potentially accelerate that to be faster than that? Or is this just sort of where we are given normalization and travel demand?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah. It's, it's a great question. I think if we if we look at the last couple of years, obviously, you know, 2021, 2022, there was massive rebound growth numbers. 2023, and now settling into 2024, there is obviously some normalization in terms of overall patterns. At the same time, when we look at the road forward, I would say we still continue to believe that it's early days in terms of just our core business. And the reason that I say that is if you look at Airbnb's overall consumer awareness, it's extremely high. But if you double-click and you look at consideration, there's still a pretty big gap between those consumers that are aware of Airbnb, but they don't quite consider it the brand for them.

What we've been doing over the last couple of years and will continue, going forward, is really trying to address the barriers for new guests to try Airbnb as well as for, you know, existing guests to come back and try Airbnb more frequently. You know, those areas that we continue to invest in that I believe, you know, if we can resolve, create huge amounts of incremental growth, there are things like reliability, making sure that every time a guest stays with Airbnb, it's a great stay. It's what they expect. It's affordability, which is something that we've been very focused on over the last year. And it's usability, making sure that both the online product as well as the offline product is great to use.

So I bring up those barriers just to give you a sense that before we double-click on the regions, when we see the opportunity ahead, we feel like there's still massive room for us to continue to improve the service across those surface areas and bring more people into both trying Airbnb and then using it more frequently when they travel.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

If we double-click, in terms of what we're seeing on a geo basis, which I think is the.

Moderator

Yeah.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

The question, let's just travel around the world for a moment. So in North America, very steady growth. Obviously, the overall industry in North America has slowed, and yet we believe, on our numbers, that we continue to, to grow faster than the broader industry as, as well as continue to take market share. I think, you know, resolving some of the core issues with our products is constantly, you know, additive in terms of, of North America. But where I would say I'm particularly excited about where we're focused, this year is really looking across the U.S. in particular and identifying where do we have pockets of user segments that were, frankly, just underpenetrated. And one of the things that we did last year was we looked across the states and said, you know, where are we, say, more penetrated than elsewhere?

For all of us sitting in San Francisco, it will be no surprise that if you look at the map of the U.S., we're very well penetrated on the coasts, but there's an entire country in between those coasts. So what we did last year was just target our marketing a bit more specific across the states. What we saw was really nice differential growth for what we call Heartland states. I think that continues to be a big opportunity for us in North America, as does focusing on different demos. I think, you know, historically, we haven't spoken directly to the U.S.-based Hispanic population, and that's also a big, I think, future growth driver in terms of North America specifically. If we turn to EMEA.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

EMEA, I would say also we continue to see very nice, stable growth. The double-click on EMEA is that I think, again, sitting in San Francisco or as an American, we tend to think of Europe as a monolith, right? It's kind of one region that has one growth rate. And yet, the interesting thing about our business is that despite the scale of our business in Europe, what we see is that we've done extremely well in places like the U.K. and France and, frankly, less well across the region. And so the opportunity for us there is to really pinpoint markets and deploy our global playbook to, you know, raise overall penetration.

Germany's been the one country that we've focused on over the last couple of years and had really nice impact in terms of just taking it as a separate market and understanding what needs to be different about this market such that we can raise penetration to the levels that we've seen in other countries. In EMEA, we will continue to do that across some of the smaller countries as well.

Moderator

Got it.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

It takes us to Latin America. We're making the tour.

Moderator

Yep.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Latin America has been a real shining star over the last couple of years in terms of, one, just starting from a very low level of penetration, and two, the success of our international expansion efforts. We, over the last couple of years, have targeted our efforts on Brazil, and that market has grown, you know, significantly faster than some of the other geos and the region. We'll continue to focus on the bigger countries there, obviously, Brazil and Mexico. But we're also seeing really nice strength in places like Chile, Peru, Ecuador, which are all up about 2x since pre-COVID. So really nice growth trends there and the opportunity to really work around that continent and raise penetration. Final.

Moderator

APAC.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

APAC. So APAC, I think the story is well told with regard to APAC effectively being the region that's been a COVID laggard even as of 2024. And so, I would say, you know, while it hasn't, you know, overly contributed to our growth rates in recent years, I think it's a huge opportunity that's still untapped by Airbnb. The overall penetration rates for us across APAC are relatively low, and I think there's an opportunity for us to deploy our global playbook, apply some localization to product and marketing that we have not done yet to raise the growth rate in that, or I should say raise penetration in that region as well.

Moderator

Okay. Very helpful global tour over the course.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

I only did 4 regions, not all 220 countries.

Moderator

Can we do that? State by state will be nice.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah.

Moderator

Over the last couple of years, last few years, you've made a lot of improvements to the platform. I think we put together. I think there's 430 new features and upgrades to the core service and the platform. You know, there's a long list. I'm Flexible, etc. Can you give us examples of one or two of those features that really had a positive impact on KPIs? And are the KPIs engagement? Are they retention? So, what are some of the changes that we should all be paying attention to externally?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah. So when we think about our product development roadmap, we try to think holistically about the user experience, so both on the host side as well as on the guest side. And, when we take a holistic approach, what we try to be mindful of is what are all the things that we need to do to improve the user experience such that the important KPIs will move? And that's different than saying, you know, here's a single opportunity to improve conversion at this point in the flow. And so the, the example I would give you is not is not one feature, but it's a, a whole host, no pun intended, of upgrades that we've made. And that's to the host side of the equation. If you rewind to the early days of the pandemic, back in, say, 2021, our supply completely stagnated. So supply was not growing.

I think you took some, you know, you took a big read-through of that, which we'll talk about in a minute.

Moderator

Yeah. We did.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Supply was stagnant, and we looked at the host life cycle and said, "What are all the things that we should be doing to get more people to consider hosting and then get them through the flow and make them successful as hosts?" So, what did we do? First, we turned our marketing to host, which is actually something that we had not done previously. And what we saw was that we were able to speak to guests who had said, "Oh, I've had a great experience as a guest on Airbnb, but I've never even considered hosting. Maybe I could host." And we saw a really nice acceleration in terms of traffic to all of our host landing pages.

We then looked at the online experience about onboarding and said, "Man, there's a lot of improvement we could do here to make it more intuitive, easier, frankly, more fun to list your space." And so we.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Revamped that. We added a feature to the onboarding called Airbnb Setup, where we'll have a prospective host can contact Airbnb's Superhost Ambassador and have a human connection to understand what it is like to host and get their questions answered. We improved our AirCover for Hosts, which, you know, improved the assumption and the belief that Airbnb would be there for hosts when we needed them. There's a whole, again, no pun intended, host of improvements that we've made to the overall host life cycle. What we've seen is a massive acceleration in our overall supply growth. So, you know, we were at flat 0% year-over-year growth a few years ago, and we ended 2023 at 18%. Certainly, that's partially organic trends, but it's also a big, you know, large evidence of the impact of our product changes.

Moderator

That's helpful. Yeah. Let's talk about supply a little bit. Yeah. I think, you know.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah.

Moderator

You know, a little over a year ago, we got a little more cautious on supply. We've been wrong on the supply numbers, to your point. You've really had very, very strong supply growth, far better than we would have thought.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

He's cautious, the same as bearish. I just wanna clarify.

Moderator

It is. It is. Yeah. It is.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

I'm new to this role, so.

Moderator

Exactly. Exactly. But the room nights booked, those numbers we were closer on.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah.

Moderator

So I guess, can you help us understand a little more how you think about occupancy rates or utilization of that newer supply? And is there a difference in how we should think about the long-term potential occupancy of the supply that's come on over that period in the last couple of years?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

So, I would say there hasn't been any material change in terms of the new listings that we're onboarding.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

I think what you see instead is in any given period, there's just going to be a difference on the near-term supply growth versus the near-term demand growth. And yet, if I look back at, say, my tenure of over a decade at Airbnb or if I even look at where we were pre-COVID versus where we are today, what we see generally is that demand and supply have, over those longer periods of time, walked together and grown pretty much in lockstep. And I think you continue to see that too today. If you look at a geo level view, if you look at a market type level view, generally speaking, over a matter of a couple of years, the growth of supply and demand are somewhat in lockstep even if they don't match in a given period.

Where we are today, I would say a lot of the very strong supply growth that we've seen in recent years has allowed us to actually lower some of the occupancies that, at the kind of height of COVID, were probably not terribly healthy.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

I would say we feel very good about these supply levels because it allows us to, you know, continue to pull a lot of levers on demand without supply being a limiter to growth.

Moderator

Got it. Okay. Maybe I'll, I'll stay on hosts instead of asking.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah.

Moderator

About host pricing, because I know you've had also a series of initiatives to sort of teach hosts about lower pricing.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah.

Moderator

Options, etc. I'd be curious to ask, one, sort of, you know, where do you think about that going forward? You know, how do we think about steps pricing going lower from here? And how important is that as opposed to forward supply growth, absolute supply growth, and sort of continuing to grow at these rates?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah. So I'll spend a little bit of time on what we've done on pricing. But to answer your question, specifically, I think they're equally important. It's equally important that we provide good tools for our hosts to make sure that they are appropriately pricing their places. And then at the same time, if you think of just normal market dynamics, one of the best things we can do to keep prices competitive and affordable is to add more supply, right? So it's pretty straightforward. In terms of, you know, more broadly where we are on the pricing journey, I would say we're very happy with the results of the things that we launched last year.

It is a multi-year journey where we know there are many incremental things we can offer to our hosts to make them more competitive, make sure that they are delivering the right value for the price. You'll continue to see incremental pricing improvements in years to come.

Moderator

Got it. Okay. One of the most common pushbacks to my, my cautious view on the stock.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah.

Moderator

Not the company, the stock is around take rate potential.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yes.

Moderator

From the hosts. So philosophically, how do you think about this balance of you're trying to work hosts to get their pricing lower, but then take rates could go higher? What is sort of the philosophical balance you have there?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah. Over the last couple of years, we repeatedly get the question of, "Why have you not raised take rates yet?" And there, there's a couple of reasons why we have not been, I would say, aggressive on take rates. I think first and foremost, in this current environment when we've been focused on affordability.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

It makes no sense for us to, broadly speaking, raise our fees, decrease affordability, and effectively limit our market share growth. So, you know, if we think about the choice between, you know, at a general level, the ability to drive incremental growth and market share versus a short-term gain, we are going to, you know, preference the, the former.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

At the same time, we have the very consistent philosophy that we've shared that over time, we want to be delivering more value to both sides of the marketplace in order to earn more value in terms of fees. And so that is something that, just as a directional philosophy, we have maintained during this period.

Moderator

The one fee that you did add or you're testing.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah.

Moderator

Is the cross-border fee. I think you've talked about how it could impact up to 20% of the bookings. That there's a pretty, I think, wide range on the potential fee that has sort of been talked about among Wall Street. So maybe walk us through just sort of guardrails we should think about between the 230 basis points that's been sort of reported.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yep.

Moderator

As opposed to, you know, the actual effective rates you're thinking about testing.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah. So let me tie this question to the prior one. I said just a moment ago that we wanna be delivering more value as we think about, you know, taking more value out. And what you've seen with this testing of the FX fee and then also a change we made last summer is us trying to just be a bit more nuanced in terms of where the value proposition may be a little bit inconsistent. So last summer, what we did, the first fee change that we had made in quite some time was actually to reduce fees. So we looked at our long-term stays business, and we looked at the really long duration stays. So think of stays over 90 days or more.

What we realized was that if you're going to be staying in an Airbnb for 120 days, on that 100th day, you're still paying a pretty generous fee to Airbnb, and yet you're in that listing. We're not delivering a ton of incremental value at that point. And so what we decided was, why don't we reduce the fees for those longer duration stays because it's more consistent with the value delivered? And so we did that last summer. And not so surprisingly, as designed, what we saw was a nice lift in the bookings for those long-duration listings, which told us that the value proposition was a little bit off. And so there was an opportunity for us to be more surgical with our fees. Fast forward to this, FX, I think I'm supposed to call it a service fee, addition. We're just testing it.

What we shared in the shareholder letter is that we're going to test it in April, sorry, on April 1st. The thinking there is that a ton of marketplaces, a ton of platforms charge FX fees when there's a mismatch between, in our case, what currency the guest is paying versus what currency the host is paying. It's a part of our fee structure that we have essentially absorbed for the last several years. What we recognize is that the guest doesn't actually realize that we do that relative to our competitors. So there's a bit of a value.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Delivered misalignment. So it's a very small, potential adjustment to our overall fees. I think that the takeaway should be that, you know, we are looking for pockets where we can optimize the overall fee schedule. We're looking to be more sophisticated with that structure. But you shouldn't expect to see any radical pivots with regards to the overall fee structure.

Moderator

Okay. The other topic that's come up a lot over the last couple of years has been sponsored listings. And I don't know, maybe just to sort of level set for investors, what have you learned in the sponsored listing tests you've done over the years? And what are sort of the gating factors that hold back scaling that to be a larger part of the platform?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yes. Unoriginal question, but I get it.

Moderator

Yeah.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Every time. Sponsored listings, certainly it's something that we could offer as we think about expanding services to our hosts. One of the, you know, historical, I wouldn't say obstacles, but considerations in terms of Airbnb offering a sponsored listings or a paid placement product is when we think about what is differentiated about Airbnb, it is our exclusive individual host. And when we think about a classic paid placement product, we know that it would likely be preferenced by property managers. And so when we think about how we might roll that product out, we would wanna be extremely nuanced such that it didn't change the distribution of, you know, what we were merchandising and what we are known for, which is that differentiated exclusive listing base. That being said, I don't think that is a non-starter.

It's just something that we will need to be very thoughtful of in terms of how we implement it such that we don't erode what is differentiated to Airbnb. I think a second component is, you know, should that be a near-term priority versus other things? And I think when we think about how we can expand this platform, I would say our priority is to think about how can we make the existing service better? How can we offer more things that our guests or hosts want to pay for to make the overall marketplace bigger, not necessarily focus initially on how do we monetize better the volume that we have? And so there's a, you know, prioritization discussion as well when we think about paid placement.

Moderator

Okay. Let's go back to your, your first answer about new products, new revenue.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah.

Moderator

Opportunities, etc. Even, I mean, Brian has talked about how excited he is about sort of finding your AWS in non-travel. So if you wanna announce any products today, feel free. But if not, maybe just talk about.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

That would make a very short tenure, right?

Moderator

Exactly. Day two. Maybe just if not, talk to us about some of the consumer pain points you see on the platform that are potential opportunities for you to drive higher spend per customer or spend per user.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah. So, you know, we've been talking about expanding beyond the core for some time. When we think about the state of the business, we recognize it's pretty incredible that it's a, you know, $70 billion-plus gross booking value business, and we have one core service. So what we've been looking at is what are those things that we could offer either on the host or the guest side that would make the overall experience with Airbnb either easier, more convenient, or more differentiated?

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

And I think his comments were taken a bit more maybe expansively than intended. I think what you should expect from us is we're going to be looking to prioritize those things that are adjacencies to our core business so that there is a, you know, a right to win and a, you know, likelihood that people will want to buy the incremental services to make the existing service and experience better. So what might these things look like? I think on the hosting side, something that we already have in market that we're looking to expand is what we call co-hosting. And a co-host is effectively a person in your market that, you as the homeowner can rely on to manage your listing.

The, you know, thinking behind that product is that there's a lot of homeowners that, for either interest or time reasons, have no interest in managing their own listing. And if we, Airbnb, can connect you as a prospective host with a co-host, it opens up a world of opportunity to, one, bring on more listings to the platform, but also build out the services that a host requires to manage their listing. So that's an area where you will see us, you know, continue to scale that product and likely add adjacent services over time. On the guest side, I think there's really two buckets of opportunity. One, you know, we do have an Experiences product that, you know, we will return to in the future. There's an opportunity for us to move beyond the accommodations to effectively fill out your travel itinerary.

More to come on that in the future. Another opportunity is for us to provide services in the listing. And, again, you'll hear more from us in future quarters.

Moderator

I remember, you know, years ago, pre-COVID, where you'd have different types of partnerships with other platforms. You know, maybe I could get my groceries delivered on the way to my Airbnb, or I could have a rideshare service pick me up. How are you sort of thinking about organic as opposed to partnering to address some of these pain points?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

You know, I would say, we are open across the gamut. I think, it really depends on where do we have a core capability where we think we could do something different and, you know, do it well and do it differentiate from what's in the market. I think we're also cognizant of, you know, a lot of those services that you mentioned. There are very successful businesses out there. And so, you know, we would have to think very carefully as to, you know, would we wanna try to replicate something that consumers already, you know.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Have great popularity against.

Moderator

Okay. Let me ask you a couple on GenAI. You recently acquired this company, GamePlanner.AI. They are described as a stealth AI company. But it's led by one of the co-founders of Siri. So what does that acquisition bring to the company? And then sort of going back to the core focus on hosts and guests, how do you think about GenAI improving the host-guest experience?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah. So, Brian, as I think everybody's talking about GenAI. Brian has spoken a lot about our intent in terms of how we would leverage AI. And what he has shared is that we understand where our capabilities are. You should not expect Airbnb to be in the business of building out models. Where we do think that we have a core asset is around product design and interfaces. And so where we'd like to focus on, you know, leveraging AI is really building out those interfaces to make a better experience, both looking on Airbnb more broadly. So we brought in the GamePlanner team to really help us accelerate our AI roadmap. And again, it will be focused on the user experience, the interfaces, and through those developing a better guest experience to booking.

I think one of the observations that we have had is that despite all of the kind of amazing shift that we are seeing from AI, where there has not yet been a material shift in terms of improving a consumer experience is the interface. So I think what we're all seeing quite frequently is just slapping on a chatbot to a model and assuming that that's the kind of leverage point for a consumer. Our ambition would be to have an interface that is, you know, more personalized, more intuitive, and frankly, more helpful. And that's what we'll be spending our effort.

Moderator

Great. Okay. Let's shift to internal opportunities with.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah.

Moderator

GenAI. You know, there's been a lot written about coding assistance, customer service potential with GenAI. What are you most focused on and sort of excited about to sort of drive more efficiency over the next couple of years from GenAI to your P&L?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

So I think it is those two areas. I think it's.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Pretty, pretty straightforward. I think we, like everyone else, are very eager to see productivity gains, on the product development side. I, I would anticipate that, one, you know, it's really getting more out of the team you have versus having smaller teams. I think, second, there's, you know, a time horizon ahead of us that's not tomorrow in terms of, realizing those efficiencies. I think for us, it's probably a bit more exciting what we think we can do on the community support side.

If you think about our community support operations, if you are a, you know, seasonal worker in one of our partner sites, it's a hard job to be an Airbnb agent in that you're dealing with a guest, you're dealing with a host, you're dealing with online interaction, in-person interaction, you're across many languages, often not the same language between the guest and the host. And then there's probably 70 policies that you're trying to reference to figure out how to resolve an issue. And so that's the area that we've been really leaning into early to understand how can we leverage AI to bring the right information to bear quickly and efficiently so that we can resolve both our guest and host issues as quickly as possible, and to deliver a much better experience to the entire marketplace.

Moderator

Interesting. Let me ask more about customer acquisition, when it comes to GenAI because, you know, one of the things that's interesting is, you know, you have a lot of business that's direct.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yes.

Moderator

But, you know, we're still going into the app. We're still going to the website. What are the biggest gating factors to have an Airbnb GenAI travel assistant that I can talk with, chat with, email with to put together, you know, an itinerary, the week of Christmas to go to Hawaii for a place that sleeps four and has access to a golf course? And then that assistant next August can say, "Brian, are you planning on going to Hawaii this Christmas? Here are some itineraries." Like, what are the gating factors to getting that type of product in people's hands?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

So I mean, I think you paint a picture that we would like to deliver. It's that personal concierge that knows you. It not only knows your preferences, but it knows why is Brian traveling in this for this trip? Is it with his family? Is it for work, which have a whole set of different preferences? That, that is a world we would like to build to. What, what is challenging about it? I think getting the right personalized information, the right indicators so that we are, you know, merchandising the right things for you. I think another struggle is making it accurate. I think, you know, what, what is kind of the undertone right now with AI is the, the dream of all of these kind of productivity gains. But the, the real drag factor is what is the quality of the information?

If we're going to be in the businesses of helping you plan your, you know, precious once-in-a-year trip, that data and that recommendation needs to be 100% accurate to make sure that we deliver you a great trip.

Moderator

Till the utility goes up.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yes.

Moderator

The utility rents. Well.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yes.

Moderator

Makes sense. Okay. Let me ask you one about loyalty programs.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yes.

Moderator

You know, I know this is another discussion we have about once a year. I just always like to, you know, temperature check. What is sort of the latest internal view and philosophy about the need of a loyalty program, how it could fit into the overall travel landscape coming from Airbnb?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah. I would say, no update from.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

A year ago, we think loyalty is important, but what we focus on is how do we win every trip that you're on so you wanna come back more frequently?

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

That is the, you know, that is the major focus of our interaction with past guests as opposed to, you know, I don't think you should expect to see a kind of cookie-cutter points program from Airbnb because we wanna offer something that's differentiated. We also wanna make sure that we are earning your repeat booking by every time delivering a great experience.

Moderator

Got it. Okay. I wanna ask you one about the 2024 margin guide on at least a 35% EBITDA margin. Marketing is expected to be flat. And, you know, we sort of struggled to see how the margins fall from the 37% level in 2023. So maybe just sort of walk us through the puts and takes around the 2024 margin profile that we should be aware of in the guide.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah. I guess it's nice to have, you know, people doubt you that you could ever not deliver expanding margins. I guess that's a good position to be in. To step back, I think, you know, Brian, you're very, oh, you know, well aware of our trajectory over the last couple of years. We, you know, prior to the IPO, we had negative 5% EBITDA margins. We said that one day we could achieve over 30%. And lo and behold, within three years, we delivered nearly 37% EBITDA margins last year. So when I look at what we've accomplished, I think, you know, we have proven that this is a very strong business model. It has amazing cash flow generation. The numbers speak for themselves.

I think at the same time, while we are proud and we are committed to delivering strong profitability, we also wanna focus on growth. And so with the guide that I provided, just a few weeks ago, that is exactly what is intended there. It's to give us some room and some flexibility to invest where we see growth opportunities. And that could be in the form of, you know, incremental marketing, across our international expansion markets. It could be leaning into, you know, core marketing channels where we see high ROI. It could be adding at the margin some incremental product development resources where we have, you know, things on our roadmap that we know will contribute to growth, but we don't have, you know, quite enough engineers.

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

You should, you know, you should read that as us, you know, committed to strong profitability but also leaning into delivering continued strong growth.

Moderator

Got it. Okay. On those investments on the international side.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yeah.

Moderator

Are there sort of regions or countries and now you talked about Germany before. Are there any specific regions that we should be thinking about that are sort of potential areas where you, you'd look to invest? You're seeing good signal. Like, where do you see the areas of investment?

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

On the international side?

Moderator

Mm-hmm.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Honestly, it's around the world.

Moderator

Okay.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

When I did that walk around the globe, hopefully, it was clear that even in a place like EMEA, you know, we have you, you think we have a scalable business, and we do. But there's pockets throughout the region for us to double-click and figure out if Germans book earlier in the season, how do we need to adjust our marketing and our product to capture them? If Italians and I'm hopefully, I'm not generalizing too much. If the Italians wanna call us before they book, how do we instrument that into the flow? It's thinking about what are those specific things that we might need to change about our message or how the product works to make sure that we appear as a local brand wherever we are and that we capture, you know, the, the increased growth and penetration in those markets.

Moderator

Okay. Last one on capital allocation. You have about $10 billion of cash and securities on the books. Pretty sizable buyback authorization. I think about $6 billion at this point. Just as you move into this seat, just remind us again about sort of prioritization between capital returns as opposed to M&A or investment in the core business.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Yes. So our capital allocation strategy is, hopefully, pretty straightforward. It's we prioritize investing in the core business and driving growth. It's second, looking for M&A opportunities where they are relevant. And then third, it's returning capital to shareholders. And, you know, you just mentioned we have $10 billion of cash and short-term investments. We, you know, run rate free cash flow of nearly $4 billion. We are in a point of strength where we have the cash and resources to do all three of those priorities across the capital allocation strategy. And hopefully, what you've seen from us is that, you know, we are open to looking at M&A opportunities where they are relevant.

Through both the repurchase program as well as our net settlement of RSUs, we've been very good stewards of our cap table and managing overall dilution.

Moderator

Great. All right. Well, Ellie, thank you very much.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Thank you.

Moderator

Excellent job. Thanks for.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Perfect time.

Moderator

There you go. That was great.

Ellie Mertz
CFO, Airbnb

Thank you.

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