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Investor Day 2020

Jun 3, 2020

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

That was great. Good morning, good afternoon, good evening. Thank you for joining us today. We look forward to spending the day with you. My name is Abhey Lamba, and I'm Vice President of Investor Relations. Glad you could join us today. We hope you and the loved ones are all safe. We have a great lineup to discuss our strategy and vision with you all. As you can see from the agenda, we will go into all aspects of our business. We're going to start with Andrew, and then go into details of our business with other executives. Finally, we'll end with Scott on financial update. We do have two breaks planned during the agenda, and we hope to give you a chance to just walk around, get some fresh air, and then get back to our presentations. There will be a Q&A session at the end.

Please enter your questions anytime during the webcast in the client, or email them to me. The entire executive team will be there towards the end of the presentation to take your questions. Now, before I go into presentations, let me share our safe harbor statement with you. I'll let you read through it. Basically, we will make forward-looking statements today that reflect our current expectations. They're not guarantee of future performance, and we disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking comments. Now with that, let me hand it over to Andrew to kick us off. Thank you.

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Thanks, Abhey. Good morning and good afternoon, everyone. I'd like to add my welcome to our first virtual IR day. As we said on the earnings call, we've made changes at Autodesk to ensure all our employees are safely working from home. We've made adjustments to ensure that our customers are being supported during this work-from-home crisis as well. One thing I want to make sure that you all understand, COVID-19 has not changed anything significantly for Autodesk in terms of what we're trying to accomplish over the long term. Everything we've done in the past three years has prepared our business for the realities we're going to be facing in the future. Moving to the cloud, shifting our business to recurring, delivering products and platforms that enable distributed workforces to collaborate on data-driven solutions that create impact.

To get a good sense of this, why don't we go back three years ago and talk about some of the things I laid out in the first Investor Day I did as Chief Executive Officer. Some of you might recall, I talked about this notion of five years and five outcomes. I want to revisit some of these, close out a few of them, and actually set some of the other ones up for a new interpretation. First off, let's start with the two that have essentially moved into a totally different phase. The subscription transition is now over. We're not going to really be talking about it in the same sense we were before. We're going to move on to other drivers of our business and other important factors that are going to create a long-term opportunity for Autodesk.

We've also invested significantly in the areas of digitizing the company. Those investments are going to persist, and we're going to continue to work on digitizing the company internally. As we move forward, we're going to talk a lot more about the outcomes and the impacts on our business model, and a lot less about the initiative of digitization. Which brings me to the three other outcomes I talked about three years ago. One of them was all about automating the process of design and manufacturing, the convergence of construction and manufacturing to a new paradigm, and driving BIM through the entire design and make process. These trends are going to show up again and again over the next few years.

I'm going to recast them a little bit for this presentation, but my main focus moving forward is going to be on these big drivers of our business. I just want you to look at these and recognize that the things we talked about three years ago, five years ago, are absolutely the things that are important today. Also, as we go back three years, let's take a look at how we did. On the left is all the things that we said we were going to do at our fiscal 2017 Investor Day. I want to now compare the actual outcomes with what we said we were going to do. First, we said we were going to deliver $3.3 billion in ARR. We delivered $3.4 billion in ARR. We said back then we were going to deliver 5.4 million subscriptions at a CAGR of roughly 3%.

Over the time period, we talked about consolidation and the elimination of some low-cost subscriptions, and we told you we were going to deliver fewer subscriptions at higher CAGR. That's exactly what we did. We delivered 4.9 million subscriptions at a CAGR of 6%. Again, three years ago, we said we were going to deliver a 33% operating margin and $1.4 billion in free cash flow. Over the period between that FY 2017 and FY 2020, we told you we were also going to reinvest some of that money in strategic priorities, and we were going to do targeted divestments of businesses that we felt were no longer important to Autodesk. We actually took revenue out of the company and told you we were going to modify that to a 25%, roughly, operating margin and $1.36 billion in free cash flow.

You can see we did what we said we were going to do. We delivered strong margin growth, we delivered strong free cash flow growth. What we did, is we did it in a journey that looked very similar to what we said we were going to do. This is the curve that we presented three years ago in terms of what the journey was going to look like. Here's what actually happened. The trough was a little deeper than we thought and a little wider, but you can see essentially, over a multi-year period, we were able to navigate the business to an incredibly large ramp-up in free cash flow. A terminal state that's over 96% recurring. Pretty impressive outcome, and this really declares clearly that the subscription transition is over. I want to make sure that we all appreciate that.

We're moving on to other important business drivers that are going to be creating opportunity and long-term growth for Autodesk. Brings us to this next point. Why will we deliver in FY 2023 and beyond? I want to take a look at a couple of factors that are going to help you understand exactly why we're going to deliver. First off, we have a much greater ability to forecast our business over a multi-year timeframe than we did before. The complexity of the business model transition is gone. We understand our business to very high fidelity. We were able to project our business over a long period of time, three years ago, but we're even better at it now, and I want to make sure that you understand and have that confidence in our ability to forecast our business out.

The ability to adapt and be agile. Over the multi-year period that we were working through over the last three years, we had to change and adapt as the business conditions and our understanding of the business model transition changed. That core capability is still inside the company. Just look at how the company responded to the COVID-19 crisis. We adapted quickly, we moved agilely, and we maintained not only business continuity, but we maintained our ability to secure the opportunities that were in front of Autodesk. We also have a lot of confidence in our long-term growth drivers, which is the bucket that we're going to spend a lot of time on today, looking at these long-term growth drivers and how they affect our business over a multi-year timeframe. If we look out to FY 2023, these are the kind of targets we're pursuing.

We're looking at a revenue CAGR between 16% and 8% over the next three years. We're looking to deliver $2.4 billion in free cash flow, an operating margin of approximately 4%. We're going to continue to balance revenue growth and free cash flow margin between this band of 55%-65%. I told you, that's how we manage the company. We are confident in these targets if we start to see a recovery in this fiscal year. We remain confident with these targets. Where is this growth going to come from? What are the incremental drivers of growth? To give you some context, I want to look at three big drivers that are going to contribute to the company's growth to FY 2023 and beyond.

One is the monetizing of non-compliant and legacy users. That's going to continue to be the gift that keeps on giving for multiple years. Second is the accelerating digitization in AEC. It was already happening before. After this current crisis, it's only going to pick up speed. Our customers understand what they need to do here, and they know competitiveness depends on their ability to digitize. Last one is the convergence of design and make in manufacturing, where we believe we have a really strong leadership position. To give you a bit of a sense for how these various factors are going to contribute to the incremental growth over the next few years, we prepared this conceptual chart. I ask you, do not try to measure anything off this. You will measure nothing, right? It is a conceptual chart to help you understand where the flow of incremental growth is coming from.

What this essentially tells you is that short-term, you're going to see a lot of incremental growth driven by digitization in AEC. As time goes on, the contribution from digitization of AEC, while it continues to be a major growth area, gets smaller relative to what we're doing with non-compliant users and over time, the growth in manufacturing. You also see there's other things we're going to be doing in media and entertainment and with new business models that contribute incremental growth over time. The reason I show you this is so you have confidence, not just in the short-term incremental growth drivers, but that there's long-term incremental growth drivers driven in particularly around manufacturing that will maintain sustainable growth for Autodesk, well beyond fiscal 2023.

Let me give you a quick summary of some of these before we go into specifics from the rest of the team. Monetizing non-compliant and legacy users. To start off, I want you to understand that we have a much deeper understanding of this user base than we've ever had before, particularly on the non-compliant user side. We now understand them, not only in terms of what releases they're back on, but also the frequency of usage they have, relative to the releases they're on. What we're able to do with this information is actually target a set of customers that have a high likelihood of being converted. 7 million customers sitting up in that upper right box, from seven to five releases back and use the software frequently.

From this information, we know to great fidelity that we have 2 million targetable subscriptions within our current customer base. Just this 2 million could keep us busy for years. Like I showed you in the previous slide, there's still more opportunity to mine this space. We've got enough right in front of us that will keep us focusing and growing this space over time. To help you understand how we're going to get better at converting this pipeline, one of the things we're doing is we're hardening our systems and transitioning to named users. We're making it hard to pirate, and we're doing everything on a named user basis. I've also kind of alluded the fact that we've got a deeper understanding and a deeper ability to target these customers than ever before.

We're going to be driving these capabilities into our partner network so that they can work just as effectively as we do to convert these customers from non-compliant to paid subscribers. Which brings me to the accelerating digitization in AEC. This is absolutely driven by a set of long-term trends that are not going away, around sustainability, around cloud collaboration, BIM mandates, and what we would call now suburbanization, given what might happen in the post-COVID-19 world, with some people moving into urban centers, but some people moving away into suburban centers, and all the infrastructure that has to connect that hub and spoke ecosystem around city centers and suburban centers. To unlock this opportunity, we are incredibly well-positioned to drive BIM through the entire design through make process.

The first area we're going to be concentrating on is an area that's still not fully penetrated, and that's the 2D to 3D conversion opportunity inside the AEC base. BIM is not yet fully adopted, and we're going to continue to drive that adoption, and we're going to continue to move the building information model deeper into the make process. We're going to continue to support the 2D processes on the make side, on the construction side, that are out there and prevalent. I want to remind all of you, long-term, the model is going to be the core communication vehicle for this entire process, and the model will ultimately win over the long term in terms of digitization for all of our customers. Our customers know this digitization is required more than ever. This is an absolutely fantastic example.

This is from McCarthy Building Companies. They saved over $250,000 on a hospital upgrade using BIM 360 and Revit collaboratively in the cloud. We are seeing more and more customers engage with our solutions this way. Over the last six months, BIM 360 active projects have nearly doubled with over 25,000 active projects added. We have over 100,000 monthly active users of BIM 360 Design. That's up 82% year-over-year. The way people are using our products is changing. These tools are seeing a lot of use, they're seeing a lot of adoption. Customers are going to continue to invest in these areas that digitize their processes. Which brings me to the convergence of design and manufacturing.

Again, at a very high level, there are a lot of secular trends that are only going to get accelerated in this new era that are driving these long-term changes. Supply chain reorganization, if it wasn't happening before, I can assure you it is going to move faster. The convergence of manufacturing construction. Everyone knows construction sites have to work differently. In a post-COVID world, that change is only going to accelerate. Process digitization, mass customization, and the rise of smart products all require new types of design systems. We've been building out a new type of design and make environment for years at Autodesk.

This whole notion of shifting everything from a set of disparate and disconnected tools to a set of unified solutions built on top of a robust cloud platform that connects design through make for every discipline in the chain, and does so in a very networked world. The areas we are going to lead definitively here are in cloud data. We're already ahead. We're going to continue to be ahead. In integrated tools that capture everything from design all the way through manufacturing, and in generative design. We were the first to bring generative design out in the market. We've been the first to make it practical for going straight from design requirements to manufacturing requirements, you're going to continue to see us lead in that area. That brings me back to these long-term drivers.

These are the things that are going to ensure that Autodesk has a growth opportunity out to FY 2023 and beyond. These are the things that are front and center for the company, the monetization of the non-compliant users, the acceleration of digitization in AEC, and the convergence of design and make. You know what? Layered on top of all of this during this COVID-19 crisis is this notion of resilience. Our customers are worried about the resilience of their business and their ability to provide impact to their customers and help their customers be resilient and have resilient outcomes as well. That's why Autodesk is going to continue to lead in enabling our customers to design sustainably through our cloud-based tools and all the capability we're delivering to help them get insights from data.

We're going to continue to lead by example when it comes to environmental and social governance at the corporate level. To want to give you a sense for some of the things we're doing in the ESG bucket, we're already moving to 100% renewable energy over the next 10 years as a company. We also invest in our people. We've recently made everyone an owner inside of Autodesk, and we spend a lot of energy working on diversity and inclusion inside our workforce. In fact, our team has donated over 26,000 hours of their time as volunteers. This is the kind of leadership we want to put forward in the ESG space so that we can be there for our customers and a model for them. That gives you a high-level sense of where the growth is going to come from.

To dive a little deeper into the details, I'm going to have most of my team come up and take you through specific parts of the challenge and opportunity. Lisa Campbell is going to start by talking about the size of the opportunity and where we're going to be getting sustainable growth. Jeff Kinder is going to come up and talk about our business model evolution. Amy Bunszel is going to talk about all the compelling innovation in our core products that's going to encourage people that are non-compliant or legacy to continue to upgrade and be current. Jim Lynch is going to give you a deep dive into our construction opportunity and some of the things we're doing. Scott Reese is going to help you understand deeper the opportunity in manufacturing.

Steve's going to tell you how we continue to realign our sales force to exploit all the new opportunities that are in front of Autodesk. Scott Herren will end with the numbers and drivers of growth to scale that help you understand how the business is evolving. With that, I'd like to turn it over to Lisa Campbell. Lisa?

Lisa Campbell
CMO and Senior VP of Business Strategy and Marketing, Autodesk

Thank you, Andrew. Good morning. Today, I want to talk to you about Autodesk large growth opportunity. I want to talk to you about that in three parts. First, I'm going to review the market opportunity through fiscal year 2025 and some of the trends driving that growth that Autodesk is poised to capitalize on. Second, I'll break down the opportunity and the drivers by industry and give specific examples of why we are winning. Third, I'll give you an update on the progress we are making in understanding our non-compliant user base. Let's start off with the market opportunity. To understand the market opportunity, it's really important to look at some of the trends that are driving that. Now, all of you know that we operate in three industries, architecture, engineering, construction, design and manufacturing, and media entertainment.

What's important to note here is that the lines between these industries are blurring. You can see that with some of these different trends. I want to focus on a few of these trends. In AEC, suburbanization. Now, historically, we've talked about urbanization. More and more people moving to cities every week, which created a huge demand for more buildings and more infrastructure. While we expect that trend will continue, it's important to note that with the impact of COVID-19, it could lead to a suburbanization trend instead. More people living outside of cities and working remotely. Either way, global population growth show no sign of slowing down, and there's going to be a need for more infrastructure to connect and support urban and suburban centers, no matter which way this goes.

In media and entertainment, the demands for more streaming and subscription services is driving the need for more efficient content production. We haven't really talked about media entertainment in the past, and I want to give you some more insights into that further in this presentation. Let me give you just a quick example of one of these trends, and that's the convergence of manufacturing and construction processes. In this particular example, Knauf is a company based in Germany, and it's synonymous with gypsum. They are one of the world's leading manufacturers of building panels and building insulation. Their mission is to become the market leading provider of innovative and sustainable systems and solutions for buildings. What they are doing here, as you can see, is they're producing modular homes in a factory setting.

They're using the Product Design & Manufacturing Collection, as well as our AEC Collection. What's really interesting is that they can construct these buildings in a fraction of the time with a fraction of the waste of traditional methods. This is a great example of the intersection of our industries and the kind of innovations that are happening. Those are the big industry trends. What about our TAM? Last year, I talked about our TAM for Autodesk in terms of design and make, and I'm going to continue to do that. In fiscal year 2021, the current year that we're in, our TAM is $52 billion. We expect that TAM to grow to be almost $70 billion by fiscal year 2025. A $69 billion TAM by FY 2025.

By the way, one thing that I will point out here is that I am now including media and entertainment TAM as a part of these numbers, I didn't do that last year. If I break that TAM down into design and make, it's $40 billion in design and $29 billion in make. In addition, we have a great growth opportunity in our non-paying users. Non-paying includes non-compliant users as well as legacy users. Our legacy users are those users that have fallen off of maintenance. You've heard us talk about that opportunity in the past, where we said that the non-compliant opportunity was about $12 million against occurring base of $5 million. For every paying user, we have about three non-paying users, and that's why this is such a big opportunity for us. That's the drivers and the TAM.

Let's go and talk about more details of each of the industries. I'll do a click down into all three. Just as a reminder, again, Architecture, Engineering, Construction, Design and Manufacturing, and Media and Entertainment. For each of these three industries, I'll give you a click down on the market opportunity, the key growth drivers for each one of them, and Autodesk unique differentiators that is helping us to win in those industries. I'm going to start off with Architecture, Engineering, and Construction. If I break down that $69 billion TAM, $31 billion is in design and construction. That's the AEC part of this TAM, again, through FY 2025. That serves 31 million design and make professionals. Those are the people that would be buying this software. I'll break it down even further for you.

That $31 billion breaks down into $18 billion of design and $13 billion in make. The professionals break down into 12 million for design and 19 million professionals for make. You can see the different disciplines as well as the different areas of make that all of these professionals are working in. Now, if I once again focus on the AEC industry trends, there's about six key trends that are driving growth. Obviously, sustainability remains top of mind given the historic volumes of waste that we've seen in construction over the years. In the current climate of COVID-19, we are actually also seeing cloud collaboration accelerate. It's really one of the only ways that a lot of these businesses have been able to continue working because they can collaborate remotely and still deliver their projects on time.

Amy's going to go into more details with you on specific programs that we've put in place and some of the growth that we've been seeing. The ones that I'm going to focus on today are suburbanization, asset performance, and BIM mandate. In particular, let's just talk about what are all of those trends actually driving in terms of projects. We have more and more people moving to cities or suburban centers. This means, again, more buildings and more infrastructure. We have to build enough road, rail, and highway to circle the Earth 30x per year. We'd have to build 20,000 more bridges each year than we are currently building. It's currently estimated that there are $4 trillion worth of assets that are currently at risk. What about the momentum in government BIM initiatives?

We continue to see government-led BIM initiatives have more and more momentum. Governments around the world are understanding that BIM is going to help the industry respond to more demand, and produce higher-performing buildings and infrastructure. It's why more and more projects are putting BIM policies and frameworks in place and asking that those be used on construction projects. In fact, in the last 12 months, we saw Germany and Japan, which are the number five and number six markets in the world, introduce BIM requirements. We're going to see more and more owners from the private sector require Building Information Modeling. Let me just give you an example of that from the perspective of BIM penetration. As a leader in BIM, Autodesk is really best positioned to take advantage of the tailwinds and embrace this massive opportunity, and I just want to point out two examples.

I showed you BIM penetration last year, and we're seeing real good momentum in developed markets. The U.S. last year was 27% penetrated. It's now estimated to be 32% penetrated. Australia was estimated to be 27% penetrated. It's 39% penetrated. The point here is, though we've seen movement in these developed markets since last year, you can still see that these penetration rates are really very low. There is still a big growth opportunity for us with respect to Building Information Modeling. This chart shows total global construction spend by segment in 2020. The CAGR from 2020 to 2023 is on the y-axis, while the value of the opportunity in billions is on the x-axis. Note that all this data is pre-COVID-19, these numbers will change, but it still serves as a really valuable indicator of the fastest-growing and the largest segments.

Transportation is the fastest-growing segment. As you can see within transportation, rail is the fastest-growing area. Rail is where we really see a great incremental opportunity for growth, and that's what I'd like to click into today with you. Rail represents a $655 million opportunity for Autodesk in FY 2021 based on end-user expenditure. This is the size of the rail opportunity that we can go after. Why is rail such a big opportunity for Autodesk? Populations are growing, cities are growing, and it's just becoming more and more crowded, and it's harder to travel within cities, and it's hard to travel between them. People are looking for more efficient and sustainable solutions for the transportation of people and the transportation of cargo. Passenger travel is measured in passenger kilometers and freight in ton kilometers.

That's the number of tons or the number of passengers multiplied by the average distance of their journeys. There is a forecast right now that there is going to be a 30% increase in passenger kilometers in the next five years, a 20% increase in freight ton kilometers in the next five years, and all of that is driving the need for 172,000 kilometers of new railway to be added to the global network between now and fiscal year 2024. Just to show you some of the momentum that we have across the spectrum of rail opportunities, last year alone, we had great momentum with owners and operators of rail. These blue squares represent the countries and projects where we have successfully sold enterprise engagements.

On this next slide, you can see all of the green, and that represents countries and opportunities we are pursuing with owners and operators. What I really would like to show you is an interesting rail project. This is one that really helps you understand the complexity as well as the need for more rail. This project is called the Follo Line. It's a 14-mile high-speed railway line between Norway's capital city of Oslo and the suburban center town of Ski. The line is expected to reduce 5,800 car journeys a day. It's supposed to remove 750 trucks daily from the European route E18, and it is projected to eliminate 5,500 tons of CO2 emissions per year. As you can see in this example, this is the construction phase from a Spanish firm called ACCIONA. They specialize in sustainable infrastructure and renewable energy.

They are going to deliver a construction digital twin of this high-speed railway dual tunnel entirely modeled with our infrastructure portfolio. They're using Autodesk Civil 3D as the main design tool. They're using Navisworks to create a centralized federated model that is an integration of over 100 building information model designs. This is enabling them to have an acceleration of review and approvals. They're also using 3Ds Max for fly-throughs and for renders. Why is Autodesk uniquely positioned to win in rail? First, we have seamless integration between vertical and horizontal infrastructure. The people building bridges and buildings and stations and everything in between are all from different disciplines. They need the seamless integration of our products so that they can collaborate together and be as effective as possible.

That's why we're winning against the competition, because Revit is the gold standard for station design, and we now are accelerating the adoption of building information modeling for linear rail assets as well. Second, we have connected BIM and GIS. We have a really strong partnership with Esri, and they have a high penetration with rail owners as well as the rail ecosystem. We have built an information exchange between our two platforms. We are breaking down data silos, and we are integrating BIM and GIS that really enables civil engineers to make better planning decisions and to do better optimizations. Finally, digital delivery. We have an agile and scalable cloud-based project data management and design collaboration capabilities that are used to replace legacy systems. That's why we're poised to win and why we are winning in rail.

Let's move on to design and manufacturing. If I look at the $69 billion TAM, $33 billion of that is in design and manufacturing. Again, that's the TAM through FY 2025. That serves 29 million design and manufacturing professionals. To break that down, that's $19 billion for design and $14 billion for make. The way the professionals break down, it's 9 million in design and 20 million for make. Again, here's the six critical trends that are driving growth in design and manufacturing. What I want to do is I want to really focus on one of them. Now, Scott is going to be talking to you about process digitization, mass product, and customization, and smart products when he comes up and talks later. I'll just focus on the convergence of manufacturing and construction. Now, earlier, I shared an example of Knauf, right?

They were using basically different kind of processes, manufacturing processes to the construction process. What if I talk about and give you an example of the flip side of that coin? How are manufacturers of staircases, sinks, air conditioning units collaborating with architects to ensure their products can fit seamlessly into the built environment? This segment is called building product manufacturers and fabricators, and they are finding that they need the building information model to be able to design within context. That is a $925 million opportunity for Autodesk. Just to give you an example of what that looks like, imagine that you're an architectural firm and you want to design a custom overhang on this building. This is the kind of integration that you get between Revit and Inventor and BIM 360.

It allows the product designers to build things like this overhang, and you can build it to the exact and changing specifications of the building. The model just updates seamlessly. No one in the industry can even come close to something like this. Another example that I would give you is a company called Klimaoprema. They're based in Croatia, and they're in the business of outfitting clean rooms and operating rooms with HVAC and ventilation systems, as well as other smart building systems. With its previous competitive solution, Klimaoprema struggled to communicate with contractors and with architects. They needed to design and engineer their product in the context of the building, and you really can't do that if you don't have the building information model.

To solve that problem, they bought Revit, and they are using Revit as a tool to receive and explore BIM models for their customers, and it is allowing for seamless interaction between contractors and architects. Why is Autodesk positioned to win in building product manufacturers and fabricators? Well, for these three reasons. First, our tight integration between Inventor and Revit. We introduced AnyCAD for Revit, and it has an associative link with its models to Inventor. That means that if the building envelope changes, the manufacturer always has the up-to-date geometry. By the way, that was one of the most asked-for features that we had for both Revit and Inventor in the past few years. We also enable highly customized building products by using our leading cloud-based engineering automation.

Third, we have deep knowledge and leadership in both AEC and design and manufacturing, which is a unique position. We have over 80 years of combined experience in both AEC and in design and manufacturing. Nobody else can come close to that, and that's why we are uniquely positioned to win with building product manufacturers and fabricators. That's design and manufacturing. Let's move on to media and entertainment. The media and entertainment design TAM is $5 billion, and it serves 2 million professionals, and that's across advertising, film and TV, and games. These are the key six trends that are driving growth in the media and entertainment industry. In particular, I want to focus on just a few of these. Streaming and subscription content, as well as new online platforms.

Online platforms are fast becoming the preferred means for consuming content, and subscriptions is the preferred means for paying. The two trends that you're seeing here are the ones that are specifically driving increased demand for our core content creation tools, Maya, Max, and Shotgun. There's also a rapid rise in streaming and subscription content, as well as the increasing number of digital content platforms. You're seeing things like Google Stadia, Disney+, and Apple Arcade. Each one of those platforms needs massive amounts of content to attract and retain subscribers. That's what's representing an immediate opportunity for Autodesk. Audiences now expect the same quality of content on TV as they would on the big screen. For streaming companies, this is a pretty big challenge.

One season of a TV program is more than 10x longer than a movie, and people want the same quality of the content. That's helping Autodesk to create simpler, more efficient workflows that are allowing our customers just to better scale their production. The M&E Collection is an integral part of addressing. As you can see here, that collection provides tools from the early stages of pre-production all the way to the final rendered frame in Arnold. Now, Shotgun is also an area where we're seeing growth and demand. This is because of the need to move to the cloud and cloud collaboration. Shotgun is tackling one of the key challenges that customers are facing today, and that's digital waste. Digital waste is creating inefficiencies and a lack of collaboration between different production companies.

A large movie production involves dozens of companies with hundreds of workers, they're trying to work together on visual effects. You have to have collaboration tools to stay in sync and to avoid any redundancies, Shotgun helps them manage their pipeline in the cloud. That's the market opportunity, the specific click down into each of our industries. Last, I want to talk to you about monetizing our noncompliant user base. This is an area where we now have a better understanding and more data than ever before. It's a pretty big opportunity for us. Noncompliant users, as a reminder, have not paid us, but they're using our software. Legacy customers are the ones that have fallen off of maintenance, so they're using older versions of the product.

What do we know about these non-paying users that we didn't know in the past that's helping us to monetize? I want to share a more granular perspective with you. Last year at Investor Day, I told you that there were 12 million noncompliant users. If you look at this grid, the vertical axis represents the number of times noncompliant users have activated a session with the product in the last 90 days. The higher up the axis they are, the more they use our products and the more likely they are to convert. We excluded users who had logged in only once in the last 90 days. We start with 2+ all the way to 11 +. The horizontal axis represents what version of the product they're using.

On the left, it's all versions, and on the right, it's the last five versions back. The further to the right they are, the more value they place on the latest and greatest technology, and we believe that makes them more likely to convert. The noncompliant users in the top right-hand corner of this quadrant represent our best targets. We have 7 million users who are activating sessions more than 11 x in the last 90 days and are using versions released within the last five years. That's what we believe makes them highly convertible. Now, if we look at all versions out there are 9 million noncompliant users that are activating multiple times, right? 11 +. We believe the viable market opportunity for noncompliant conversions is in the top right quadrant, somewhere between 7 million users and 12 million noncompliant users.

In the past, by the way, I've also given you a split between emerging and developed markets, but we really don't think that distinction is important anymore because we've been able to monetize equally in emerging countries as well as developed. Steve is going to go into more detail about how we're converting these, but the sweet spot of our opportunity is between that $7 million and $12 million. In addition, $2 million of these noncompliant users are what we call highly targetable subscriptions. That's because these are users who we've identified that are within our paying customer base. These are within our paying customer base, and they are using noncompliant products. That's why we believe they are highly targetable customers. We know more now than we have ever known before on this noncompliant base. We're able to message them via their computer in 40 countries.

We know that more than 90% of the noncompliant licenses detected are for six key products. The insight we're getting from the beacon is allowing us to build more detailed profiles of noncompliant users so we can provide more targeted value messages to help drive these conversions. This is information in detail that we've never had before. That's why Steve will be able to give you more detail on just what we're doing and how we're being successful with conversions. In summary, we're really excited, and we're well-positioned to grow. We have a $69 billion TAM in Design and Make across all of our industries through FY 2025. We have incredible insight into our noncompliant users than ever before, positioning us well to monetize them. Thank you for your time.

Now I'd like to introduce you to Jeff Kinder, who will come out and speak to you next. Thank you.

Jeff Kinder
Chief Digital Officer and EVP of Digital Platforms and Experience, Autodesk

Thank you, Lisa, and good morning, everyone. I'm Jeff Kinder, Chief Digital Officer at Autodesk. I've been here at Autodesk for 18 months to the day, in fact. I'm excited to share with you some of our priorities, as well as our progress in digitizing the company and continuing to evolve our business model. I'm going to talk with you today about outcomes and foundations. That's how we've organized our digital efforts. I'll talk about where we are going and how we will get there. Let's begin by talking about our continued business model evolution. The business model is an area where we've introduced some new programs this year and given our customers a clear idea where we are heading. Named users, tiered plans, and flexible choice.

One of the most powerful elements of a subscription model is having everyone as a named user and truly getting to know your customers. What's more, in a named user model, serial numbers go away, licensing moves to the cloud, and usage data can be easily shared. For a long time, in a perpetual license and maintenance model, we used serial numbers as a proxy for named users. When everyone is a named user, everyone benefits. Users, business owners, as well as Autodesk and our partners. Our move to named users had been long planned, but in the context of the pandemic, it feels more important than ever. Work on any device in any location is an invaluable feature when you are in your home office. Our customers have told us how thankful they are since the crisis began.

Also, with so many companies restructuring or laying off workers, the need for reskilling, upskilling, and personalized learning has never been stronger. Here's an example of where named users are collaboratively creating and editing a model in AutoCAD. We are building a common data experience across our products, which will enable broad collaboration and convergence. This is only possible when everyone is a named user. Having named users also benefits business owners, offering them visibility into who's using software, when, and for how long. They can optimize their licensing for the growing needs of their businesses. They can better align value with usage. Employees or contractors can also easily be added to teams or projects. Just as importantly, they can be removed when they leave a team, thus giving tighter control over data and security.

Here you can see our usage reporting we rolled out in the customer account page last year to help customers make smart investment decisions. Named users are good for Autodesk and our partners too, and critical to knowing our customers. When we understand usage down to an individual level, we and our partners can have richer conversations with customers about their needs, both now and in the future. Sometimes these conversations lead to customers needing fewer licenses. Usually, it's the other way around, and they end up growing their footprint, and we see net revenue retention rate grow. We would rather have satisfied customers whose value is aligned with usage. Following named users, tiered plans are another step in our evolution and a program we announced this year. In fact, we are launching sales of our premium plans beginning next week. As customers and businesses grow, their needs change.

Tiered plans allow customers to tailor their administrative support and reporting capabilities to the needs and size of their business. Simply put, we see tiered plans as another way for customers to align value with their usage and needs. You can see we've created 3 tiers of commercial subscriptions: Standard, Premium, and Enterprise. We've basically had Standard and Enterprise tiers for years. Standard effectively replaces our existing base subscriptions with improved support. Enterprise is covered with our enterprise business agreements and enterprise priority support. With the move to named users, our top requests from customers have been higher levels of administration, security, and reporting. Thus, we created a Premium plan to fill that gap and help customers manage their large number of named users. By the way, the tiers are designed to meet the needs of different sizes of customers. However, those distinctions aren't rigid.

Small businesses can choose Premium if they think the features such as single sign-on are important for their business. We begin selling Premium plans on June seventh. We are very excited. The next step in our business model evolution is choice. We've developed a business offerings framework that gives our customers flexibility while simplifying the purchase decision and our go to market. We began by looking at six key levers of an Autodesk purchase decision. Product term access, plan add-ons, and payment. Here's how it works. Customers first decide what product they need. A standalone product, a collection for their whole industry, or access to the entire Autodesk portfolio. How long do they need it? A day, a month, a year, or multiple years. How do they want their users to access? Assigned or flexibly? What level of administration, reporting, and support do they need?

Do they need any add-ons, like a manufacturing extension? Lastly, how will they pay? Cash up front for the duration of subscription, or cash up front and then they consume tokens throughout the subscription. These levers are configurable for our go-to-market teams as they speak with customers. Most of our customers fall into this configuration. Single product, annual subscription, assigned users, standard plan, and cash up front for the subscription. Let's look at an enterprise business agreement or EBA. EBA customers have the following. Access to the whole portfolio, typically multi-year subscriptions, flexible access for users, enterprise plan for administration support, and after paying cash up front, they consume from a bank of tokens based on use. You've also heard us talk before about pay per use. Pay per use is where we take the flexibility of an EBA and extend it to the mid-market.

We are in the midst of a pay per use pilot. Here's what they look like. Access to the whole portfolio, annual subscriptions typically, flexible access for users, premium plan for administration and support, and similar consumption of tokens based on use. This configurable model or framework offers flexibility to our customers. It also simplifies how we think about our go to market and the underlying systems needed to support the business model. That's where we're going. Names, plans, choice. What investments have we put in place to get there? What are some of the foundational steps we need to take? We need to retire legacy business models that rely on serial numbers. We need to modernize our financial and data platforms for named users and subscription. Lastly, we need to protect our systems from non-compliant usage. We're in process for each of these.

Maintenance and multi-user are two legacy models that rely on serial numbers. Combined, they currently account for 20% of our customers. To get to the point where everyone is a named user, for all the benefits I discussed earlier, we had to sunset these models and offer customers a smooth path to named user subscriptions. We are transitioning all remaining maintenance and multi-user customers to named user standard subscriptions with the option to upgrade their plans. This is the path for our maintenance and multi-user customers, and we've made it easy. Our Maintenance to Subscription Program, or M2S, ended its very successful run on schedule in May of 2020. With the announcement of the end of renewals for maintenance in FY 2022, we introduced a last chance one-year trade-in program to convert the remaining maintenance customers who hadn't taken advantage of M2S.

We also announced the end of sale of multi-user in FY 2021, and the end of renewal in FY 2022. For multi-user customers, we are offering a two-for-one trade-in over the next year, where they will get two single-user subscriptions for every one multi-user. The two-for-one exchange maintains the pricing customers received in moving to subscription. We also introduced tiered plans, as I described earlier, and kept renewal prices flat for existing customers. How have customers reacted? Having gone through the M2S transition three years ago, you might ask how customers have reacted to these changes. The short answer is quite well, more favorably than they did to M2S. Here's why. We earn the trust of customers, partners, and you with a successful move to subscription. Second, we've built on the lessons from M2S and kept these changes simple, with a shorter time horizon and broadly communicated.

Lastly, customers are just more familiar with being named users. Subscription services surround them. Our customers are consumers who use Netflix and Amazon. They're also business customers of Microsoft and Salesforce. They recognize that named users and subscriptions are where modern software-as-a-service companies have headed, and they want to be there. Here's a quote from one of our platinum partners that nicely captures this sentiment. If retiring our legacy models is step one, modernizing our financial and data platforms is a close and related second step. The sequence is partly because retiring those legacy serial number-based models allows us to retire some legacy platforms. We are modernizing our data and financial platforms to grow with the business model. These systems need to nimbly support named users and subscriptions. Data platforms must be identity-based and connect users to products. I mentioned the Common Data Environment earlier as enabling collaboration and convergence.

That must start with named users. Similarly, our financial systems need to support the levers I described earlier and need to move beyond SKUs to an attribute-based offer model. The good news is we are making these modernization changes while continuing to grow. In fact, these changes set us up for the future. One of the other foundational elements for how we get there is to harden our systems to protect against non-compliant usage. We have a number of efforts happening here on multiple fronts. First and foremost, it's a lot harder to be non-compliant when everyone is a named user. We are also stopping offline activations and looking closely at serial trial users. Let me also show you two examples of these efforts to harden systems. First is student verification. Student licenses have long been a potential loophole for non-compliant users.

This year, we changed the student license from three years to one year. We've also rolled out student verification for all universities, trade schools, and secondary schools across the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. We will extend verification to rest of world later this year. The second example is concurrent user limits. Non-compliant usage is much harder in a named user subscription model because there are no serial numbers to pirate. However, new forms of abuse can crop up, such as users sharing their login credentials. Our Fusion team has approached this problem in a creative way. When a user exceeds the number of active sessions allowed, Fusion puts up a user-friendly message that lets the user know and gives him or her options to continue and be logged out of the other session, stop and stay logged into the other session, or suspend the other machine.

What we are seeing is users sometimes forget to log out, and this protects their work. Customers need more licenses, and now they know to get them. Interestingly, the net promoter score for customers who received this message actually went up. I've shared a lot with you because our digital transformation is in full swing. Let me recap. We think about our priorities in terms of foundations and outcomes. Some of the critical foundational work we are doing to support our growth includes sunsetting old business models, investing in data and financial platforms, and hardening our systems. We're progressing on each of those. When we think about where we are going, we are driving toward a future where everyone is a named user, tiered plans are tailored to customer needs, and flexible business models align value with usage.

You may ask where we are on the digital transformation journey. Here's the way we think about it. This is a multi-year effort. Andrew said, we have our digital investments in place, and they are ongoing. We will see benefits along the way. We break the digital transformation into categories: business models, digital experience, and modernization. We think about our efforts and investments over three horizons. New systems and processes, new experiences and models, followed by digital maturity. The horizons overlap. We are currently in the latter part of the first horizon and early stages of the second. That last term, digital maturity, is important. As the pace of technology marches forward, digital transformation is never finished. It just moves to a state of maturity and ongoing investment to extend our lead. That's the mentality we have.

We believe our digital investments will extend our lead in our industries and for our customers. Thank you. We will now take a short break. When we come back, Amy will speak to you about how we are innovating and driving growth in our design portfolio.

Amy Bunszel
Senior VP of Design and Creation Products, Autodesk

Welcome back from the break, everyone. I'm excited to be here today to share with you how our design portfolio has been innovating and differentiating to drive growth. I'm going to highlight three ways we are leveraging innovation and competitive differentiation to better serve our customers and drive growth in our design business. First, whether someone is an architect, engineer, or animator using our products, they'll enjoy continued product innovation that increases their productivity, creativity, and overall satisfaction. In addition to growing our design business, we have numerous ways to support expansion into adjacent opportunities with targeted workflows. Becoming a named user on our current products offers distinct advantages over older versions used by our legacy and non-compliant base. There is an ever-widening gap in capability between the current releases with their connected cloud services and our older releases.

Let's talk about how we've been innovating in our design products for our subscriber base. First, why innovate here? Well, with over 4 million subscribers at the end of FY 2020 on our design products, we have a huge base of customers, and these tools are critical to their livelihood and competitiveness. With approximately 400,000 subscribers on our older maintenance model at the end of FY 2020, we have an opportunity to help these users move to our named user subscription model and enjoy those benefits. Our reach is even broader than that. There are approximately 7 million professionals who list AutoCAD as a skill on LinkedIn. To give you a sense for just how often AutoCAD is mentioned as a valued skill by professionals relative to our competitors, the next largest has fewer than 250,000 mentions. Of course, our ecosystem expands well beyond AutoCAD.

Revit skills had over 1 million mentions, Inventor over 500,000, and 3ds Max over 660,000. That's a lot of people depending on our products. One commitment we have to our users is to continually modernize their experience, creating cohesive experiences within and across our products. A benefit of that is ease of learning for our users and faster development for Autodesk as we use more code internally. Over time, our products are converging on a state-of-the-art user experience that accelerates customer productivity. Let's take a look at how this type of modernization manifests itself in AutoCAD. Last year, we introduced 4K support and a new dark theme to make it easier on the user's eyes. The AutoCAD mobile app on iOS is now leveraging the same core engine that drives the AutoCAD desktop application, speeding development and ensuring data fidelity. Performance is always a crowd-pleaser with our customers.

We've improved graphics performance by 10x and sped up many frequently used commands. The ability to use AutoCAD data in our 3D products makes AutoCAD an on-ramp to 3D and lowers barrier to entry. In fact, 51% of Revit users also use AutoCAD. Users of our purpose-built industry tools like Revit, Inventor, and Civil 3D can easily incorporate data coming from AutoCAD into their designs. On the manufacturing front, we are rolling out new levels of cloud connectivity for Inventor and Vault. Even before COVID-19, customers' expectations on flexible data access were growing exponentially. Customers expect to access their data and interact with it anywhere and on any device. That's exactly what we're delivering. We are completely rethinking how we present data stored in Vault based on use case and device type.

In the near future, we will be leveraging machine learning and AI to present insightful information on the data, not just the data itself. Our investments in Maya and Arnold are dramatically reducing rendering times. With faster cached playback, artists can iterate and try out new design ideas more quickly. All this is built on top of over 60 new features in Maya to help animators work faster. In addition to growing our business and our existing products, we have numerous opportunities to support expansion by leveraging new product capabilities. I'll highlight three here. First, BIM 360 Design, a popular add-on for Revit and other design applications. Second, targeted capabilities for building product manufacturers and fabricators. Third, rail system design. BIM 360 Design enables customers within the same firm and across multiple firms to work together on a hosted version of the Revit model.

Different teams and disciplines can add and modify their contributions with all collaborators seeing changes in real time. Customers like McCarthy Building Companies are saving significant amounts of money by having their project teams collaborate via BIM 360 Design. BIM 360 Design was growing rapidly prior to COVID-19, we have seen accelerated growth as remote workforces needed new ways to collaborate. They will not want to go back to less modern and inflexible ways of sharing data. They'll want to collaborate from anywhere with anyone, and they will need to ensure business continuity and resilience for the future. Customers access Revit Cloud Worksharing via BIM 360 Design subscription, and these have been steadily increasing. So far, much of our usage has been in the U.S., and last quarter, we enabled customers to store project data on an EU server.

This lowers barriers to adoption for our EU customers who may wish to store data locally. In the wake of COVID-19, many of our Revit customers have been forced to work from home and explore new ways of collaborating. We have seen over 200% growth in projects for our commercial BIM 360 Design customers. With the introduction of our Extended Access Program, we have also seen tremendous growth in trial users. We have only just begun to activate the Revit installed base. To date, we have only penetrated 17% of the Revit installed base. We have a great opportunity in front of us. Last year, we also added support for Civil 3D, enabling Civil 3D users to enjoy the benefits of collaborating on a model in the cloud that was accessible to the entire project team. Last quarter, we added support for Plant 3D to the offering.

These will be additional sources of growth for us. As you heard from Lisa, building products manufacturers and fabricators represent another significant opportunity for Autodesk. We have many customers that create custom content, like architectural chair railings, that need to be designed in the context of a building, and many others who create equipment, like air handlers and boilers, that is ultimately deployed in a building and needs to be considered during the building design process. These customers need to work across both Revit and Inventor. Imagine you are an architect, and you need to design a custom overhang for a portion of this large building that was designed in Revit. In the past, it would've been difficult to isolate just the parts of the Revit model you needed.

With our latest releases, it's possible to take only what you need. You can do your design in the context of the building geometry. Behind the scenes, Inventor is now able to more deeply understand and respond to that Revit data. Because we're referencing the part of the model we are interested in, this means any changes made in Revit will be seen in Inventor. You are never out of sync or working on the wrong version. No one in the industry comes close to this type of data flow between manufacturing and AEC. We are not finished yet. If you remember from Lisa, rail is another $655 million opportunity over the next three years. Building on our strength and design, we have added new purpose-built functionality that extends this capability into rail track design.

Customers can leverage the full Autodesk portfolio by integrating the track layout with the station design, which is unique to Autodesk. We have also introduced Dynamo into the workflow, which allows customers to automate specific tasks that are unique to rail. As we look to the future, we plan to expand the rail modeling capabilities to include turnouts, crossings, and electrification. Subscription to our current products has distinct advantages for our legacy and non-compliant users. There is an ever-widening gap in capability between our older releases and the current release with its connected cloud services. With over 1.8 million active non-subscribers, converting our legacy base to subscription remains a huge opportunity. Our legacy base can be thought of in two groups, each with about 0.9 million users. Those on product versions more than five years old, and then those from one to five years back.

We have better and more modern telemetry on the one-to-five year back cohort. For example, we know that over 50% of this group uses the product more than 45 days per year, with most of them at over 60 days per year. They are actively engaging with the product, but missing out on what we have added over the years. As Lisa mentioned, our non-compliant users currently outstrip paying customers by more than two to one, and some are also using older products that lack the latest capabilities we've delivered over the past few years on the desktop. Non-compliant users also do not get access to our cloud capabilities. If we look at the last five years, there's an ever-widening gap of new capability that customers using older products are missing out on. I'll highlight just a few of these.

Shared views, introduced for Inventor subscribers first, and now available across the portfolio. It quickly became the most widely adopted cloud-enabled collaboration capability in our design and manufacturing product line. Broad performance enhancements across the portfolio, like a 5x speed improvements in Maya by enabling multithreading. The inclusion of specialized tool sets within AutoCAD. AutoCAD subscribers have access to industry-specific features and libraries for architecture, mechanical design, electrical design, and more, which allows for the completion of design tasks in a fraction of the time. Let's look at a few other new capabilities. Included in the subscription to AutoCAD and AutoCAD LT are our exceptional AutoCAD web and mobile applications. We've re-envisioned AutoCAD to be multi-platform, and AutoCAD customers can now work anytime and anywhere. They can use AutoCAD on a Mac or PC, in a web browser, or on a mobile device.

Part of that anytime access is access to your data, no matter where it is stored. This came in incredibly handy over the last few months, as we saw usage of AutoCAD web soar by 42% from February to April. Today, there are over 10 billion DWGs in the cloud. Last year, I talked about our Autodesk Drive solution and our partnerships with Dropbox, Microsoft, and Box. This year, we are pleased to announce our partnership with Google Drive. They have shared with us that there are over 9 billion DWG files stored in Google Drive, and over 1.5 million DWG files emailed each day. Take a moment to think about that. 1.5 million DWG files emailed in Gmail each day. Today, customers can open their files from Gmail and Google Drive directly in the AutoCAD web app to view their files.

If they want to edit them, we lead them to our purchasing options. This is unique to Autodesk and AutoCAD on all the leading storage platforms. You need to be on the current releases to leverage this. Let's take a look at what a modern CAD application looks like. These modern use paradigms and platforms are not available to our customers on older versions of AutoCAD, making these companies less productive than their competitors while vying for the same business. You've heard us talk a lot about generative design for manufacturing, now we are bringing it to AEC. With our latest release, customers like Stamhuis can take advantage of the value of generative design in Revit. It would take one of Stamhuis's designers four hours to design one of their stores using their standard layout practices.

Now, in the span of 15 minutes, they can gather the information, submit a generative design job, and receive 40 optimized design options that meet their design criteria and expand their solution space. Interestingly enough, most retail and office spaces are about to go through a massive redesign to better adhere to physical distancing guidelines. These generative design tools will make that work less cumbersome, enable faster exploration of many layout options. Customers on legacy versions of Revit will need to update if they want to access this feature. This year, we have continued to enable our customers to realize more sustainable outcomes in their work and focus on reducing total carbon and greenhouse gas emissions. In November, we supported the launch of the embodied carbon in construction calculator, EC3, in collaboration with Skanska, C-Change Labs, and nearly 50 partners, aimed at reducing the embodied carbon in the built environment.

By integrating BIM 360 with EC3, we have enabled Revit users to use their existing model data to make informed, climate-smart decisions on the building materials they choose. Skanska is using EC3, Revit, and other Autodesk Construction Cloud solutions to complete Microsoft's Redmond campus refresh, the first large corporate use of EC3. Skanska's early estimates are realizing embodied carbon emissions reductions of up to 30% without significant additional financial impacts on the project, helping Microsoft achieve their commitment to be carbon negative by 2030. In summary, we continue to innovate in our design products, creating more competitive separation and driving renewals. In addition to growing our business and our existing products, we have numerous opportunities to support expansion by delivering new product capabilities.

Subscription has distinct advantages for our legacy and non-genuine base, and there's an ever-widening gap in capability between the older releases and the current releases with their connected cloud services. Thank you. Now I will pass it over to Jim, who will talk about accelerating momentum in construction.

Jim Lynch
Senior VP and General Manager of Autodesk Construction, Autodesk

Thanks, Amy. FY 2020 was, by all measures, a landmark year for construction at Autodesk. When I spoke to you last year, we had just started our journey as Autodesk Construction Solutions, and we were very much still four separate companies. Today, we're aligned as one Autodesk Construction Solutions organization, one product team, one sales team, one marketing team, and one customer success team. We're one team working together with one mission: to help construction teams meet the world's rapidly expanding building and infrastructure needs while making construction more predictable, safe, and sustainable. As one team, we're only getting stronger. In fact, in FY 2021, we've increased Autodesk Construction Solutions spend by about 20%. We'll increase headcount by more than 25%, and we're expanding internationally with a focus on PlanGrid and Assemble in EMEA and APAC, and the launch of BuildingConnected in Australia and the U.K.

Before I go into our FY 2021 plans, let's take a minute to review our strong FY 2020 results. During FY 2020, each of our product lines, BIM 360, PlanGrid, BuildingConnected, and Assemble, had record quarters for gross new business, and we ended the year with around 50% year-over-year growth. The strong momentum carried into Q1 FY 2021, though tempered by COVID-19. In addition, when looking at the last five quarters, we have tracked a revenue expansion rate of approximately 125%-135%, representing the year-over-year increase in annualized value of ACS subscription revenue from our customers that existed a year ago. This is identical to how some of our competitors calculate their net revenue retention rate number. ACS products saw more than 50% increase in monthly active users and were included in more than 190 enterprise deals.

This clearly demonstrates that go-to-market synergies are effective at driving growth at the named account level. Each of our products hit impressive milestones last year. PlanGrid crossed $100 million in ARR and is now used on nearly 2 million projects around the globe. BuildingConnected now manages an average of $56 billion worth of project bids each month, with 14 of the top 20 ENR-ranked general contractors using BuildingConnected to manage their bid processes. BIM 360 has seen an 85% increase in active projects year-over-year. Last, but certainly not least, we unveiled Autodesk Construction Cloud at Autodesk University, showcasing to more than 2,000 customers the future of construction at Autodesk. What this all adds up to is one thing: momentum. Today, the construction industry is in a much different place than it was six months ago.

The good news is that construction is restarting in cities like Boston, New York, and Dublin. While we have seen bidding for new projects slow, we expect demand for healthcare facilities, industrial facilities, federal projects, and infrastructure projects to rebound quickly. For sure, the crisis has led to creative thinking and increased interest in the role technology can play in helping to bridge the gap between digital and physical workflows. I'm hearing three distinct themes when talking with customers. First, they're exploring what job functions can or should be done remotely. As Amy mentioned earlier, it's no surprise that we have seen significant growth across users and new projects in BIM 360 Design. Second, customers want greater visibility into what is happening and what needs to happen on-site. We're working with our technology partners to explore how we can help customers track workforce information and support social distancing.

For example, Smartvid.io has an integration with BIM 360 that pulls photos taken on-site and analyzes them using visual AI to automatically calculate compliance with social distancing, face masks, and other safety requirements. We're hearing about an increased interest in accelerating prefabrication and modular. COVID-19 will accelerate alternative methods of construction and industrialized construction overall. Industrialized construction has been an area of investment for Autodesk for several years and one we're uniquely qualified to address. Adopting the processes of prefabrication and off-site work will become increasingly important for our customers as the industry looks to decrease workers on the job site and increase resiliency. Autodesk is committed to helping the industry advance with these new processes. I'd like to share our construction strategy with you. In FY 2021, we're guided by three key objectives. First, deliver the Autodesk Construction Cloud. Second, drive expansion.

Third, provide an exceptional customer experience. It all starts with Autodesk Construction Cloud. Our long-term product vision centers around Autodesk Construction Cloud, which is made up of three pillars. Advanced technology, a builder's network comprised of general contractors and subcontractors more than a million strong, and the power of predictive analytics to bridge projects from the earliest phases of design through planning and building and into operations. Since unveiling Autodesk Construction Cloud in November, customers have shared their excitement. As you can see in this quote from Amr Raafat from Windover Construction, the future is not departments working in silos, but connected across all disciplines to build more efficiently, sustainably, and safely. Today, I want to share more with you about the advanced technology pillar and what customers can expect in the future.

Our product team is focusing on three objectives, drive unification to a single solution, offer best-in-class capabilities, and deliver meaningful workflows. Ultimately, our vision for Autodesk Construction Cloud's advanced technology is to evolve into a single unified platform powered by Forge that has two main elements. The first is a suite of best-in-class applications for each construction phase. These apps will support specific workflows like design collaboration, quantification, bidding, project management, field collaboration, and turnover. The second element is a shared data platform built on BIM 360 Docs and Forge that interconnects these apps and facilitates seamless movement of data between them. Realizing this vision requires significant effort. However, we're not starting from scratch. We have all the building blocks in place, and we'll put them together in two phases.

In the phase I, we'll build the BIM 360 Docs-based shared data platform and a construction map app on top of that platform that will utilize the best-in-class capabilities of our field and project management solutions. In the phase II, we'll move our pre-construction apps to that shared data platform, creating a consistent user experience. Expect to hear more about our single unified solution later this year. Let's talk about the best-in-class capabilities we've added to the products our customers are buying today. Last year, we added more than 250 enhancements across pre-construction and site construction, and we have aggressive plans at FY 2021 targeting more than 200 new enhancements in our current products in the first half of the year alone. Let's start with site construction. Today, I want to call out the significant investments we've made in project management.

With the most recent release, BIM 360 has increased connectivity across project management and cost management workflows with the ability to link RFIs to PCOs and connect issues and RFIs to meeting items. We're also connecting our cost solution to ERP systems. We've delivered several capabilities to increase efficiency and visibility into critical project information like RFIs and submittals, support on mobile, pay applications, cost forecasting, and a broad set of APIs. We now have an extremely competitive project management solution which we continue to make stronger, and our customers agree. In this quote from Andy Leek of PARIC, one of the top general contractors in St. Louis, he highlights the numerous enhancements made to the tool and his excitement around keeping connected with less email. I also want to highlight a specific customer use case.

Miga Construction, one of Atlanta's largest K-12 school construction companies and a PlanGrid customer, was looking for a very specific RFI workflow. The PlanGrid team reached out to one of our channel partners with a local presence and a proven track record in supporting these project management workflows in BIM 360. Working together, the PlanGrid team and our channel partner demonstrated the power of our project management workflows, beating out one of our top competitors and landing us a three-year deal and a net new BIM 360 build and cost customer. It's clear we have a lot going on in site construction, but that is just one part of our construction portfolio. Pre-construction is where we really differentiate from our competitors. Given the new challenges the industry faces, there is going to be more emphasis on pre-construction than ever before.

We've made several enhancements to our pre-construction portfolio during the last year. For example, we've recently incorporated PlanGrid, BIM 360 Docs, and Forge technology into the BuildingConnected platform to launch a new quantity takeoff module, completely new functionality for Autodesk Construction Cloud. We'll continue our efforts in pre-construction, focusing on design, collaboration, and coordination, model conditioning, and quantification, and finally, bidding and qualification. Our third product objective is to deliver meaningful workflows. Alone, these products are best in class, and now collectively, as part of Autodesk Construction Cloud, they offer more opportunities for integration and automation by connecting workflows. When you look at where we started at the beginning of FY 2020, we had workflows between BIM 360 and our design products, as well as Assemble. Over the course of the year, we added a number of new integrations, strengthening the ties between our products.

Now, as we look to FY 2021, Autodesk Construction Cloud will introduce more integrations, creating stronger connections supported by a Common Data Environment in the Forge development platform as the foundation. For example, recently, we announced Autodesk Construction Cloud Connect, allowing customers to integrate key workflows like issues or shared documents between BIM 360, PlanGrid, and BuildingConnected, as well as other integration partners. Autodesk Construction Cloud demonstrates the breadth of our portfolio, the depth of our capabilities, and the connectivity between our workflows. This is an important theme that differentiates us from our competitors and has been resonating with customers. One firm that sees the value of Autodesk Construction Cloud is CRB. This year, CRB celebrated its 35th anniversary as a global consulting, design, and construction services firm.

CRB knows that successful project execution starts the moment they win a job, and they look for ways to maximize efficiency by connecting workflows from start to finish. The company has fully adopted Autodesk Construction Cloud, putting Assemble, BIM 360, BuildingConnected, and PlanGrid to work across all parts of their business. Using our BuildingConnected to PlanGrid workflow, CRB seamlessly transfers complex data from the design and planning phase into the hands of workers on the site, saving them at least two weeks of work on each project and improving communication with their subcontractors. They also use Revit and BIM 360 to co-author one model and enhance collaboration with trade partners. They use Assemble for progress tracking and connecting to Power BI to improve their monthly reports. They digitize quality and safety reports using PlanGrid, making it easier for teams to respond in real time.

Underpinning it all, they use BIM 360 Docs as a Common Data Environment to push data across the workflows. Companies like CRB are embracing connected construction and creating more confidence in transitioning from design to plan and build. Our second objective is to drive expansion. We all know that construction represents a huge opportunity for Autodesk. In FY 2021, we're making investments in product sales, marketing, and customer success to aggressively grow our business in Europe and Asia. To be sure, we're going to focus our efforts in those countries where we're ready and poised to win, like the U.K., Ireland, the Nordics, the Netherlands, ANZ, Japan, and Singapore. We're already seeing success in these markets.

For example, earlier this year, Daiwa House, Japan's largest home builder and a long-term Autodesk customer, expanded their account to include PlanGrid, representing one of our first major deals for PlanGrid usage in Japan. We also know that for success internationally, we need an ISO-certified common data environment. This is a European requirement and is an absolute must. BIM 360 Docs and Forge form the centerpiece of our common data environment vision, and we're further improving it by adding support for ISO 19650. For BuildingConnected, we'll focus our expansion efforts first in Australia and later in the year in the U.K. In North America, our BuildingConnected network is now more than one million construction professionals strong. Beyond our global expansion, we're also continuing to pursue new opportunities in adjacent segments.

Three important segments have been targeted so that we can expand our opportunities, which includes owners, subcontractors, and infrastructure. Utilizing the land and expand model, we've seen a 45% year-over-year increase in ARR within the owner segment. We have also seen traction in the subcontractor market, and looking at PlanGrid alone, we have seen a 34% year-over-year increase in ARR. Finally, we continue to push within the infrastructure market. As you heard Lisa say earlier, infrastructure is a great opportunity for Autodesk, with significant growth in segments like rail transportation expected by 2024. Thanks to new enhancements within BIM 360, we've seen a 76% year-over-year increase in ARR.

In fact, late last year, we announced collaboration for Civil 3D, allowing subscribers of BIM 360 Design and Civil 3D to work collaboratively with project partners at any time and from anywhere, regardless of team location and discipline. This makes designing and constructing airports, rail stations, and other complex projects with vertical and horizontal structures simpler and more efficient. Also, earlier this year, we announced our investment with Aurigo Software. Aurigo is a construction technology company that is very much geared toward owners for capital management and project management. Think of airports, transit systems, state departments of transportation, and public works departments. Aurigo's Forge-based integration with Autodesk Construction Cloud will give both public and private owners a single technology platform for designing, planning, constructing, and operations of infrastructure and private assets. The investment in Aurigo has created excitement in the industry.

Our partnership with Aurigo and new integrations, like collaboration with Civil 3D, provide great momentum in industry segments beyond the general contractor. Our third objective is about providing an exceptional customer experience throughout their journey with Autodesk. Our job isn't done once a deal is inked, and we know that a strong customer success program is critical to the long-term success of our construction business. As we move into FY 2021, we're bolstering our efforts to better partner with customers to help them achieve their desired business outcomes. Under new leadership, we've redefined roles and responsibilities to drive a coordinated customer experience. The customer success team will now play a greater role in onboarding, driving renewals, and identifying expansion opportunities. We're already seeing the added value a strong customer success partnership can bring. Take, for example, Barton Malow. Barton Malow is an ENR 100 general contractor.

In 2018, they purchased BuildingConnected and BIM 360 and were soon introduced to a customer success manager. The customer success manager worked with Barton Malow to understand their business objectives, agree on an implementation plan, and map our technology to their workflows. They implemented training plans and developed customized plans to jumpstart new users. Thanks to this effort, Barton Malow has published almost 200 projects and managed nearly 5,000 subcontractors in Autodesk Construction Cloud products, estimating they have eliminated at least four weeks of work from their qualifications process. This strong product engagement led to a significant expansion within both products, results that were driven all through our customer success organization. Guided by these three objectives, I'm confident that we will become one of the global construction industry's preferred cloud solutions. I see three key differentiators that sets us apart from the competition.

First, our leadership in building information modeling and authoring tools such as Revit and AutoCAD, opens the door for customers to easily work with Autodesk Construction Cloud. Next, the breadth of our portfolio. Autodesk Construction Cloud provides customers with the most complete solution available. It offers more opportunities for integration and automation through connecting workflows, provides a robust network of construction professionals, and reduces risk today and in the future with predictive insights. Finally, our global presence allows us to expand into international markets efficiently. Our strengthened sales team in EMEA and APAC will only accelerate that momentum. We're looking at construction in a more connected way than ever before. Our solutions are built for every customer, in every industry, at all stages of the building life cycle. I am confident that in FY 2021, Autodesk will be the technology to transform the construction industry.

Now I'd like to hand it over to my colleague, Scott Reese, who will share our growth opportunity in manufacturing.

Scott Reese
Senior VP of Cloud Platforms and Cybersecurity, Autodesk

Thank you, Jim. It's so good to see all of that momentum in construction. It's such an exciting growth opportunity that we have. Speaking of exciting growth opportunities, we wanted to take a few minutes and talk about the opportunity that we see in manufacturing. Lisa touched on how we see the market playing out. We see the TAM through fiscal year 2025 growing to over $33 billion in size, and that gives us access to over 29 million design and manufacturing professionals. We do see a lot of convergence happening over the next several years in this space, but if we take a look at the design side of this, we see that as growing up to $19 billion, and then the other $14 billion coming from the discrete manufacturing side of it today.

Again, we do see a lot of convergence playing out over the next several years, but it's important for us to see the personas that will participate in this process. I showed you this slide last year, really what we're depicting here is that there's an existing approach to this market, we also see a disruption coming. That's where we see the opportunity for converging the process of designing something with the process of making it. We've made a big investment there that we want to continue talking about the progress that we've seen. I would be remiss if I didn't remind you of the position that Autodesk has in this space already today. The design and manufacturing market is broken up into subsegments today.

We talk about the CAD space, the CAM space, the CAE, or many people refer to that as simulation or the PLM space. We have a good position across that entire life cycle today. Now, if we look at why do we win today, we are outpacing growth in our core products in this space today, than any of the competitors in the market. Let's take a look at why we win. We have a big position in industrial machinery. In addition, if you think about building products, the products that are manufactured that ultimately end up inside of a building, we also have a really unique position there. If you think about customers who are designing those buildings in Revit, it's a pretty natural thing for them to leverage Inventor to design the products that go into those buildings.

Also in process manufacturing, we've always had a big position in process manufacturing. If we take a look at one of those process manufacturers, they don't get much bigger than BASF in the chemical processing side of things. The interesting thing about BASF is it's representative of what we're seeing in a lot of our customers, where they have a big position with our core products, but they're also adding our newer products, in this case, Fusion 360. BASF recently added over 2,000 seats to Fusion 360 to start augmenting the workflows they get from our core products, bringing in generative design, bringing in augmented reality, and really helping them collaborate with their suppliers as well as across departments.

BASF is a good example of customers we expect to see a lot more of, where not only do we have a big position with our core that we're continuing to grow, we're also augmenting with our cloud products. Again, we have a big position in manufacturing today, where we continue to outpace the competition, but we're going to spend the majority of our time talking about this disruption that we see. We want to talk about what's causing that disruption, talk about what our customers are going through, and how we are helping them respond and thrive to that. You'll hear us talk a lot about generative design and convergence and what we're doing to automate a lot of those processes.

First, if we take a look at kind of the secular trends and pressures that our manufacturing customers are encountering, I think that'll kind of tee up the landscape that these customers are operating within. The products are getting smarter, processes all across the spectrum are digitizing, and supply chains are reorganizing. If we look at that in a little better detail, when we talk about products getting smarter, this is something that as consumers, our expectations have just changed. There was a time where a manufactured product was predominantly a mechanical object. As consumers, our expectations are that they're connected now. They have software running in them. They have electronics. Of course, they have mechanical, but it's really the combination of those three that it's required to drive innovation in a new manufactured product.

Undoubtedly, this is a consumer trend that manufacturing customers are having to respond to, and we're helping them. Also, we are in the age of digitization across all of our industries, and manufacturing is no different. Manufacturing has been ahead in digitization in some regards, but even those processes are getting re-digitized. As we bring in robotics and automation, digitization continues to evolve. Don't forget, if you look at the machine shops and the job shops, there's still a lot of paper involved there. There's a big opportunity to digitize the shop floor as well. Supply chains are reorganizing. More than ever, we are realizing the impact and the role of the supply chains. Moving forward, we see that manufacturing companies are going to look a lot less like what you see on the left here.

They're going to look a lot less like a production line and a lot more like what you see on the right, which is a job shop where you're taking discrete jobs and execute them more locally to the point of consumption. Manufacturing, undoubtedly, is going to become a lot more distributed in the future. If we look at the traditional process of what it took to bring a product to market, it's this very serial, very linear approach. You have an idea. You put some geometry behind that idea. You simulate it to validate if it's going to work and meet your expectations. Then you go out to manufacturing. What's the problem with that? If you look at every step along the way, there's data that's lost, there's rework that's encountered, and the workflows are just very disconnected.

The later in this process that you need a change or you discover a problem, the more expensive it becomes in sorting that out. When you think about customers' ability to respond to those secular pressures that they're undoubtedly encountering, this serial process is problematic. We've seen this coming for a while, and this is why we've made the big investment in Fusion 360, where we are converging the process of designing something with the process of making it. It's the first of its kind. No one has ever focused on this complete convergence, and Fusion 360 is getting a lot of traction. We want to talk about the why and the what behind that. When we talk about convergence, it can be a little bit ambiguous as to what we mean there. I want to get very clear.

Over the past several years, we have acquired and built out a lot of the intellectual property that it takes to fill out that spectrum of conceptualizing a product, designing it, simulating it, and manufacturing it, be it a discrete manufacturing process or 3D printing or subtractive. We own all of that intellectual property, and we have very intentionally converged all of that intellectual property into a very cohesive workflow inside of one application. Maybe more importantly, on top of a cloud-based data backbone. I want to talk about that. First, let's look at convergence and the impact of that. Now, this is a company called Festool, and what they need to do is they need to add some electronics into their saws. These saws are stolen on the job site all the time. They wanted to add a thumbprint reader.

Inside of Fusion 360, again, back to convergence, we've converged mechanical design and electronic design. Not only did they design the handle to incorporate a thumb reader to operate the saw, they have the complete capability they need to design the electronics for it, again, directly within the context of the mechanical object itself. Here, not only are we designing the PCB board, we're also simulating it and then taking that straight out to manufacturing. You can see here where we're leveraging some thermodynamics to understand the heat that those chips are going to emit and understand the impact of that over the life of the product. Again, converging mechanical, converging electronics, and converging manufacturing is really what made the difference here for Festool, and this video hopefully shows you exactly how that works. You didn't see me leave an application.

You didn't see me send files around. All in one application, a single user or even a team of users were able to complete that workflow with the data flowing seamlessly across the disciplines. What's the impact of that? Companies like Festool are getting better products to market faster than ever before. All of that data loss, gone. The rework, gone. All of those curves are now smoothed out, and the time to market is shorter than ever before. That alone is disruptive. It's the first of its kind in our market. This is where it gets even more interesting. Now that we have all of those capabilities converged into a single application on top of a common data backbone, we can start to automate them. We can drive those capabilities algorithmically, and that's what we call generative design.

Let's take a look at that same saw from Festool and an example of how they are leveraging generative design in their process. What you'll see here is I'm going to recreate the base for this saw. I want to take some weight out of it to make it easier to move around. I can't compromise on its rigidity and its ability to perform. I have some pressures that it needs to be able to accommodate, some forces that I need to be able to define. Maybe I care about materials, and I have a certain number of manufacturing capabilities or techniques at my disposal. From there, I've defined the requirements, and then Fusion 360 actually generates the geometry that is most optimal to the set of requirements that you've defined. This is not topology optimization.

Fusion 360 has generated from those requirements the actual geometry. Again, all in one environment. I'm not passing data around. The data is all in the cloud. It's all cohesive. It just naturally flows out into the manufacturing process. It's conversion, it's automation, it's generative design. It's the first of its kind. This is where you start to see exponential gains. You put in the requirements and let Fusion 360 do the work. You cut out a lot of the time that it takes to flush out a design leveraging historical serial means. Generative design is the future, and it is in Fusion 360 alongside all of those end-to-end capabilities. Again, all the conceptual, mechanical, electrical, simulation, and manufacturing capabilities are in there now being driven as part of generative design. This is a big deal for our industry.

Let's talk about this notion of digitization, because this is an important element of how everything in those two videos just happened. I don't want you to lose sight of the capabilities of having all the conceptual design, mechanical design, simulation, all of those capabilities. That is key. Just having a cloud data backbone itself, those are table stakes. Everybody has to have that. I want to make sure that you know that everything you just saw in Fusion 360 is built on top of a multi-tenant cloud platform that enables that data to flow seamlessly across the entire workflow. Those are table stakes, but they do break barriers that we've historically seen. Historically, in that serial process, you're emailing files around and losing versions. It's kind of chaos in a lot of regards.

In Fusion 360, the data's in the cloud, and it flows seamlessly throughout the process. The mechanical notion of what we've done here, or the technical side of it, is a big deal in and of itself. It's very disruptive. The business model that you see in the design and manufacturing space tends to be just as old as the technology. It's been pretty much the same business model for 25 + years. In fact, if you went out to our competitors and amassed all of the technology required to execute those videos, not only would you be buying from all of these folks, you would have a very disconnected workflow, and it would cost you upwards of $50,000 with the hopes of accomplishing something in the future. The Fusion 360 business model, we believe, is the business model of the future.

You have a low entry point to get access to all of the capabilities you need to do everything you saw in those two videos. $495 per year per user gets you access to those capabilities. We do have extensions on top of that for those users who need advanced capabilities. Generative design is consumption-based pricing, so you don't pay for it upfront in the hopes of achieving an outcome. As you achieve those outcomes, you pay. Low entry price to get access to all of the capability, and then you pay for outcomes. This is the business model of the future. This is the one that partners with the customer and drives their success. It's been very, very popular. We've shown you this chart of monthly active users for the last couple of years. I wanted to obviously show you the continuation of that.

We've seen continued growth in our monthly active users. I want to reveal to you the number. At the end of Q1, we had 645,000 monthly active users. This is a reasonably young product. We've had it for the last six years or so, and we've already amassed 645,000 monthly active users. Compared to the numbers that you might hear from some of the others trying to enter kind of this future space in kind of piecemeal ways, if you will, this dwarfs anything out there. Fusion 360 is helping our customers respond to those secular pressures and the adoption and the growth in that adoption continues to show it. Let's take a look at some of those companies. Festool, I just showed you a couple of videos where they're doing awesome work leveraging Fusion 360.

They used to use Creo from PTC, but they recognized that that wouldn't help them get to the future where they need to be. They saw CAD electrical capabilities and manufacturing capabilities all inside of Fusion 360. They swapped out Creo. They went to Fusion 360. Shaw Flooring, one of the world's largest flooring manufacturers now. This is also a long-time Autodesk customer. We have a great relationship with Shaw that goes back years and years. They wanted to bring in some collaboration capabilities, and they thought Onshape might be the way to do that. They quickly figured out that Fusion 360 not only had that cloud data backbone that they were seeing in Onshape, but it also had the actual capabilities of conceptual design, mechanical design, simulation, manufacturing, all built on top of that cloud data backbone. That's what they needed. They bought 50 subscriptions.

Gibson Guitars, one of the world's most recognized names in music, used to use SOLIDWORKS and Rhino for all of their shape descriptions and design. When they saw the electrical CAD integration inside of Fusion 360 having those mechanical and electrical capabilities, they quickly moved over to Fusion 360. One of the interesting things here is that the business model with SOLIDWORKS was limiting to them. They could only have five users on SOLIDWORKS, and they moved to over 20 subscriptions of Fusion 360. They got Fusion 360 out to every one of their engineers, and they moved away from this model where they were just sharing licenses back and forth. Driving a lot of efficiency in their operation. Fast Radius. This is a manufacturer of the future. These guys are exciting.

This is a 3D printing shop where you send them your work and then they basically send you a finished product back. They used to use SOLIDWORKS. About a year ago, they added 18 subscriptions. Q1, they added 25 more. Q3, they added 25 more. Q4, they added 50 more. They have 118 subscriptions to Fusion 360 now, and they're doing it because of the complete end-to-end workflows, including additive capabilities. Let's not lose sight of education. Last year, I talked more about education. We have continued to see great adoption in education, and Fusion 360 just works the way these students think, and the intern at Airbus was no different. The intern chose Fusion 360 for his hydrogen-powered octocopter drone because the generative capabilities helped him explore thousands and thousands of options in the time that the historical means would have let him only explore one.

Fusion 360 is the choice for the future generation of engineers. We talked about monthly active users, but we have never talked to you about commercial subscriptions for Fusion 360 before. We wanted to change that and talk about that a little bit this year because it was something that we're really excited about. This star shows where we made a small investment in go-to-market for Fusion 360, and what we wanted to do was test the market's willingness to pay for Fusion 360. You can see by the other side of that star that they responded. I'm happy to tell you, I'm going to tell you for the first time ever how many subscribers we have on Fusion 360. Right now, we have around 85,000 paid subscribers on Fusion 360, right? Usage is one thing. 643,000 users.

A lot of students in that. You can tell the future generations are preferring Fusion 360. We're also showing that the market prefers Fusion 360. These are 85,000 paid subscribers. Compare that to any numbers that you see from anybody talking about a future solution in this space. This dwarfs any number that you'll see. It's not even close. Fusion 360 is the future. Let's go back to this cloud-based data backbone that I touched on. This is a big deal, so I want to make sure that we don't lose sight of it. It's not just a big deal for Fusion 360. It's a big deal for all of Autodesk as well as the entire market.

Remember, Forge is available and attractive to not only internal to Autodesk, but also our customers are really starting to leverage it to bridge workflows and their internal processes as well. Let's not lose sight that it also gives us the ability to drive a third-party ecosystem as well as deepen strategic partnerships with companies like Ansys and aPriori. With Forge, they're able to get direct access to that same Fusion data model that Fusion itself has access to. You know Ansys is a preferred supplier in the simulation space, and now we're able to partner in ways that we've never been able to partner before. The same goes with aPriori, bringing in costing data, really building out this robust workflow all on that common cloud data backbone. Forge is a big deal for us moving forward as well.

I want to make sure I gave you some insight into how the Fusion 360 workflow is really being made possible. Now, last year, I talked to you about traffic flowing through Forge just to show how it's maturing. We had about 45 billion annual calls this time last year, and I told you that doubled over the previous year. I'm telling you again, we doubled it again. Over 90 billion calls went through our Forge platform. An API is basically software talking to software. It's a good placeholder for traction in that cloud platform. We're really happy about that. Okay, you can tell we're excited. Why are we excited? We're excited because we are positioned to win. We know our customers are going through these secular pressures, these secular trends that they're having to respond to.

We've made a big investment over the years to help them respond. We knew this was coming. We're excited because we are positioned to win, and we're seeing that traction. It's a big growth opportunity. $33 billion, over 29 million professionals. We're excited. It's a big opportunity. This is a market that's poised for disruption. The technology a lot of these companies are using is 25 years old. The business model, 25 years old. It is time to change, Fusion 360 is ahead of the curve. We have traction. We've been at this for a few years now. We are not just getting started. We have over 85,000 paid subscribers. This is not just usage. These are paid subscribers. We have exceptional momentum. You can see why we're excited. Hopefully, you're as excited as we are about it. Okay, thanks so much.

I look forward to the questions that you have in the Q&A. Now we're going to take a short break, and when we come back, we're going to hear from my good friend and colleague, Steve Blum. Steve's going to talk to us about what we're doing out in the field to realize the full potential of the growth opportunities we have. Anyway, we'll see you in a few minutes.

Steve Blum
Senior VP of Worldwide Field Operations, Autodesk

Okay. Welcome back, everyone. I hope you had a refreshing break. As Scott mentioned before the break, I'm Steve Blum, and I am looking forward to sharing with you how Autodesk is delivering growth in FY 2021 and beyond. Today, I want to step you through three key things. I want to give you an update on our customer engagement strategy and how we continue to evolve our go-to-market segmentation approach in engaging with customers.

I'm going to give you an update on our non-compliance strategy of monetizing non-compliant users and accounts. Lisa shared with you the size of the opportunity earlier. I'm going to give you an inside view of how we go about monetizing those users and accounts. I'll give you an update on our partner strategy, as I always do. All right. Let's first start with an update on the customer engagement strategy and our go-to-market engagement model. Over the last several years, we've been talking about our continued expansion of account-based sales, marketing, and customer success, and we've been doing that through field-based sellers with named accounts and mid-market accounts. In FY 2021, we've introduced a third account-based sales and marketing segment, which we're calling Strategic Territory Accounts.

These are accounts that are going to be called on by inside sellers, but those inside sellers are assigned specific accounts as opposed to a geographic territory. We'll now have named accounts, mid-market accounts, and strategic territory accounts where the sellers, whether field-based or inside-based, are assigned accounts as opposed to territories. They work collaboratively with their account-based marketeers to have account-specific marketing messages in an engagement model for the entire customer success life cycle. We continue to have territory accounts as well, and they are geographically arranged and supported by our inside sellers and our inside sales hubs. For all four of these go-to-market segments, we combine both human touch and digital touch. Of course, in the account-based sales and marketing approach, we have higher human touch and lower digital touch.

The opposite is true with our territory accounts, where there we have a high degree of engagement with digital means and a much lesser degree of human engagement. We do apply both human and digital engagement for all four of the segments. Even in named accounts, we are applying digital touchpoints to stay engaged with all of the users within each of the named accounts. Our partners play a role in each one of these segments as well. In named accounts, where we're selling Enterprise Business Agreements and we're selling them direct to the named accounts, we are working collaboratively with our partners to have them do some of the service delivery. They help execute on some of the customer success plans that are attached to our Enterprise Business Agreements. For our mid-market strategic territory and territory accounts, our partners play a bigger role.

That's where they're actually driving the sales process. Most of the transactions in those segments are done through our partners indirectly, unless they're done on the e-store. Our partners are taking the responsibility of driving services at scale and delivering customer success at scale. Digital sales used to actually be called out as one of our go-to-market segments, but we realized it's really not a segment. It's an approach, and it applies in all four of our go-to-market segments.

The highest degree of digital sales happening with our territory accounts. Even in our account-based sales and marketing segments, such as even named accounts, we do find there are situations where named accounts will have individual users purchase on our e-store for some incremental license requirements, especially if they're not on an Enterprise Business Agreement. Earlier today, Jeff gave you an update on the different subscription plans, and we now have three different subscription plans that we're bringing to market. These subscription plans are pretty aligned with our go-to-market segments. Our Enterprise Plan, which is a component of our Enterprise Business Agreements, is very much aligned with named accounts. When we do our Enterprise Business Agreement with a named account, we build out a Customer Success Plan that's delivered on and owned by our own Customer Success Managers and designated Support Specialists.

The new premium subscription plan that we're rolling out here in June is really targeted to the mid-market. The implementation and delivery of it is done collaboratively with some onboarding specialists from Autodesk, but a lot of the in-field, in front of customer implementation being done by our partners. The standard subscription plan is continuing to be focused on for our territory accounts and our strategic territory accounts, and that's where our partners take the lead on delivering in-field support. We take an at-scale approach digitally from Autodesk and apply our own human resources, our customer success specialists, when we recognize that a company may be at risk of non-renewing. We want to make sure that we get them to a healthy space overall. Here's how that at-scale customer engagement model works.

When a customer first purchases a new subscription, we're going to have a digital outreach to them, and we're going to help them go through an onboarding process to get them up and ready, and to help them understand how to access all the benefits that the subscription plan has for them. Together with our partners doing things out with the customers in the field and through our own digital means, we're going to have persona-based experiences and content that we'll be sending out to all of our users to help them basically understand how to become more productive and more proficient with the use of their subscriptions.

We'll continuously be evaluating the health of all of our customers through our early warning systems. When we recognize a customer may be at risk of not renewing when their contract expires, we will ask one of our own customer success specialists to engage proactively with the customer to see why are they falling behind or where may they not be having the great level of success we'd expect them to have, and to help those customers drive back on a strong adoption curve and be in a strong and healthy position to renew their contract when their contract comes up for expiration. We've been having great successes through our account-based sales and marketing approaches overall, and I wanted to give you one example of that today. I'm going to share with you a little bit about Arcadis.

Arcadis is a leading global design and consultancy firm, and they're one of our named accounts. In fact, they've been in the program for a while, and they're already on an enterprise business agreement. Through execution of our customer success plan as part of the enterprise business agreement, we've been providing them with insights on how to transition their different teams and projects and locations around the world from 2D to 3D, as well as implementing some new methodologies such as generative design, or moving most of their projects to building information modeling. They have an enterprise business agreement, so as a result, they have access to all of our software. They are large users of products like Revit, Civil 3D, InfraWorks, BIM 360, and Fusion 360 now as a result of focusing on implementing generative design.

One of their key goals, one of their business outcomes they're looking to strive for is to become a digital front-runner in their industry. They're relying upon us as a partner to help them go through a digital transformation process so that they are positioned for success and gain a competitive advantage in their marketplace. The relationship has really grown to a point where it's very, very healthy, and we've had some great successes with them. As a result, when their contract came up for renewal this past year, we were able to renew it with a healthy growth of billings, being over 50% larger than the prior contract.

Once again, we're showing that by developing these strategic relationships with our customers, by focusing on their business outcomes, and by executing on customer success plans, we can help them have more success in their industry, which produces more rewards for Autodesk as well. Now I'm going to move on to our non-compliance strategy and how we're focusing on monetizing non-compliant users and accounts. This has been a multi-year strategy and a multi-year journey. We've been sharing with you the progress as we've been working our way through each of the steps. If you recall back in FY 2019, we focused on identification. What can we do, and how do we identify where non-compliant usage is occurring? We did that through capabilities we built into the product through a beacon that identifies when a license is a non-compliant license.

Last year in FY 2020, we started to enhance our usage of that data and also grew our capabilities of messaging and product so that we could make non-compliant users aware that their licenses were non-compliant, and we could start messaging how to rectify the situation or what the ramifications would be if they didn't. Our focus for FY 2021 is to drive scale on the approach and to increase and ultimately accelerate the number of engagements through optimized programs so that we can get to more non-compliant users and accounts than ever before. We have multiple ways of engaging with non-compliant users through this process. We get to all non-compliant users where we have products available in market that have the in-product messaging capability. Anywhere around the world where we have introduced in-product messaging, we can communicate with those non-compliant users, even if we can't identify specifically who they are.

When we can identify who they are, we can identify what accounts they're a part of. We can then email them because now we have that contact information, and then we can have outreach that provides them with their usage data. We encourage all non-compliant users through the engagement process to do a self-audit so they can identify for themselves where non-compliant or non-genuine software is being used so that they can go off and buy genuine software on their own. When we have larger accounts that we can identify, we hand over that information to our license compliance team so they can engage directly with our end customers. I will mention that during this unusual time of the COVID-19, we've asked our license compliance team to take a softer, more gentler approach right now.

They're building a very large pipeline of opportunities that they will reengage with as we get to the other side of some of the challenges all companies are facing right now. When we identify a non-compliant user, but we cannot identify what account or company that user works for, we work through this workflow. Once the license recognizes, hey, this is a non-compliant license, we can begin the in-product messaging. We've shared with you what that in-product messaging looks like with a few examples here. These are examples of a non-compliant user of AutoCAD, where we're first telling the user, "Hey, it's non-compliant usage. You should go to our e-store and buy a genuine copy of the software." If they continue to use it, we remind them that they're going to lose access to their copy of AutoCAD, and eventually, we actually turn off the access.

The goal here is to direct them to our e-store to purchase genuine software. Sometimes they actually opt to call a local reseller and purchase the software that way. That's just fine with us. That's still a monetization event. We've been driving momentum and growth in our ability to drive these digital conversions. We're now at a point where we can message in-product within 40 countries around the world. We can message in the six key products that basically amount for over 90% of all non-valid licenses that are detected. When we convert these non-compliant users through these digital means, the product mix for the non-compliant sales conversion is pretty much similar to the product mix that we have for our overall sales of products. People are converting to the products they're using, not just the lowest cost products available.

Here's five examples of completely digital campaigns that yielded results where we went from identification all the way through monetization. You can see we have five different countries represented. License totals vary from, in these five examples, 100 licenses down to five. You can see the products that were purchased. They include things like AEC Collection, AutoCAD, and AutoCAD LT, and Revit. Again, we're having great success here, and we're going to continue to scale this. When we identify non-compliant users and we can identify what company or what account they work for, then we can collect more data and we have more insights that we can use. At that point in time, we can actually reach out with emails to share with the users in that account the non-compliant usage information.

For the larger accounts, we turn that information over to our license compliance team, where they'll engage directly with the customer to help them convert from non-compliant or non-genuine software to genuine software. Their goal, as it is with all of our companies that are using non-compliant software, is to educate them on the value of using genuine software. Again, we can identify very small accounts as well that are non-compliant. For the small accounts, we direct them to the e-store to make their digital purchases or to a reseller. Throughout FY 2020 on the earnings calls, we talked a lot about the successes we're having in driving growth and scale in our license compliance sales team's conversions. In fact, throughout FY 2020, we had approximately three times the number of non-compliant license deals that were $500,000 or above.

I know many of you are wondering, well, how do you do that? Well, we do it through a couple of different vectors. First, we've been investing in this area, and we added approximately 25% more license compliance sales headcount onto the team during FY 2020. While we've been doing that, we've continued to refine the analytics and the analysis and the in-product messaging, which has reduced the average cycle time for converting a non-compliant user to a genuine piece of software by about 30%. When you increase capacity by approximately 25% and reduce your sales cycle time by 30%, you can drive about three times the number of large transactions. We've had a really great result there, which we're going to continue in FY 2021 and beyond. Here's one example of one of those conversions. It was with a very large company in China.

Once we identified their non-compliant usage, we reached out to them and worked collaboratively with them. We helped them recognize that they were putting their own business at risk. By using non-genuine software, they were actually not protecting their own IP, which they found to be a large risk that they could not afford. As a result, they worked with us to buy genuine software, which resulted in a $2.8 million deal, which included three-year subscriptions of AutoCAD, 3ds Max, and Maya. Again, this is just a great representative example of the kind of conversions we can drive when we have the data and we use our license compliance team to engage directly with the end customer. Okay, let me move on now to our partner strategy.

In FY 2021, we've rolled out one global framework, I've been giving you updates through the last numerous years about how we've been evolving our partner framework and driving consistency overall. In FY 2021, we rolled out one global framework around the world. We've now moved finally to one framework representing all of the key things how we want to engage with our partners in one program. Those programs focused on driving growth in new business, expansion in our existing accounts, as well as driving high revenue retention rates, also incenting our customers to invest. We need them to increase their focus on customer success resources as they're critical to driving a successful subscription and cloud-based business. We also have built into the framework the optionality to be able to incent and reward our partners, just not on transactions, but on value-based activities.

Our performance incentives in this new FY 2021 global framework are focused on rewarding new business, really driving expansion within the existing accounts and high revenue retention rates. We've continued down the path of moving more of the partner incentives to the back end. We can actually attach those incentives to quarterly growth targets. In a sense, focusing on growth. We can put some of those incentives on value-added activities that produce better results in our renewal rates by focusing on adoption midterm within contracts. We can reward partners for overachieving against their targets by giving them progressive payouts. We are ending the sale of maintenance, as we've announced already publicly, and as a result, we want all of our partners to focus on moving the remaining maintenance companies over to subscription. We're no longer paying back-end incentives on maintenance this year.

We are introducing our brand-new premium subscription plans, which we think our customers are going to love, and we know our partners are going to play a key role in both selling and supporting those premium plans. Of course, we're going to be incenting and rewarding our partners for the sale and implementation of those plans. As I mentioned, we need our partners to continue to add more resources, especially selling resources and customer success and consulting resources. We built out a co-funding plan, so when our partners add resources in particular areas, we can co-fund the first year of those investments. Overall, we're incenting our partners to add more resources because there is more total dollars in the partner ecosystem than we've had in the past few years.

We also are investing in partner enablement and focusing on building out capabilities within our partner community to drive adoption and effective use of all of our subscriptions. We're holding quarterly workshops. They're focusing on core consulting skills and deliveries, such as BIM deployments or leading discovery sessions to find new workflow and work stream opportunities within our partners' customers. We have introduced a partner services hub, which has downloadable consulting IP. You can see an example of what that looks like here on the right side of the slide. Our Autodesk consulting services teams have continued to build out world-class IP through the consulting deliveries they're doing with named accounts. We now have a team focusing on packaging up that IP and making it available to our partners so that they can build out their own consulting practices and customer success practices.

We continue to invest in skills training to help our partners focus on specializing in particular industry workflows. We've also added new partners into our partner ecosystem, a new type of partner. We're introducing new global system integrators that are services-only partners. They're not interested in buying and reselling the software. They just want to actually sell high-value services and do system integrations around the sale of Autodesk software done by either Autodesk directly or our partners. We think this is a great success for our customers, for our partners, and for Autodesk. The one example I wanted to highlight is the relationship we've built with Capgemini. They've built a Forge-based solution approach doing system integrations and digital transformations. In fact, they've even integrated in their own Reflect IoD offering, which is a cloud-enabled platform for building and infrastructure operators.

This all sits on top of Forge. They're adding significant value in certain industry segments where they're experts overall. We see this as a win, again, as I mentioned, for everybody, and they're very excited about the business and the business relationship with Autodesk, and they're continuing to add more resources to build out their own Autodesk consulting business. Finally, just a quick update on the scale and coverage that we're getting from our partners around the world. We currently have approximately 1,300 reseller businesses around the world representing Autodesk in approximately 175 different countries. I wanted to highlight a new scale metric for you because in the past, I focused pretty much just on sales resources. For every Autodesk sales resource, how many selling resources do we get through our partners? Selling resources are not the only critical success resources anymore in our world.

We need to have sales resources, technical resources, customer success resources, and consulting delivery resources throughout our partner ecosystem for us to continue to drive growth in a scalable fashion. I am now measuring the number of partner employees that focus on sales, technical sales, customer success, and consulting deliveries compared to each one of those people I have at Autodesk. We have about 3.5 times the number of people that are paid for and represented by our partners compared to every employee I have at Autodesk. That's great scale, and we expect that to continue to improve over time. To summarize, we are well-positioned to drive growth in FY 2021 and beyond.

We know that there's some challenges out in the marketplace, through leveraging and working through our account-based sales and marketing and customer success approaches, we're continuing to build strong, long-lasting strategic relationships with our customers. We're continuing to monetize our noncompliant users and accounts, that's a big opportunity for growth, not just in FY 2021, but for many years to come. We're continuing to work very collaboratively with our partners to focus on driving expansion and growth within their accounts, as well as high net revenue retention rates. Thanks again for joining me here today, and it is now my pleasure to introduce to all of you Autodesk Chief Financial Officer, Scott Herren.

Scott Herren
CFO, Autodesk

Thanks, Steve. Today, I'll walk you through three main areas.First, we'll reflect on our journey through the business model transition and how we delivered on our promises. Second, how we've built a resilient and well-diversified business. third, how we're well-positioned to deliver sustainable growth in the long term. Before I dive in, I'll reiterate our recent guidance for fiscal 2021. No change from what we shared last week. Okay, onto the first chapter. Here, we'll look back on our performance during the business model transition, discuss how we were able to deliver on our promises, and talk about how our focus on key metrics has changed as we've exited the transition. Fiscal 2020 was the culmination of a successful period of transition for us. We delivered outstanding metrics, not just because we were able to execute, but also because we were able to adapt along the way.

We went from being around 40% recurring to 96% recurring revenue over the space of a little more than four years. We grew revenue and billings to all-time highs and delivered a free cash flow number that more than doubled our previous record. As you look closer at our free cash flow trend, what stands out to me is how remarkably close this line is to our initial projections at the beginning of the transition. Again, that wasn't luck. It reflects our ability to drive results amid dynamic conditions, as Andrew referred to earlier, to adapt accordingly along the way. While free cash flow was a primary focus for us, ARR was also a key measure of success during the transition, and the tremendous growth we saw was also in line with our initial projections.

Here you can see how our business pivoted away from maintenance and towards subscription at a steady pace through the transition. While ARR was a key focus for us during the transition, you've heard us talk recently about the limitations of ARR and the volatility caused by ASC 606 accounting rules. Looking back, you can see that the reported revenue was still very lumpy in the early part of our transition, and the ARR metric gave you much better insight into the mechanics of the transition. Now that 96% of our revenue is recurring, it no longer provides you any more information than total revenue. We'll stay focused on revenue going forward, and should you need to derive ARR, it's simply done by multiplying the recurring revenue by four.

Another metric you've heard us talk about more recently is remaining performance obligations or RPO, and in particular, current RPO. RPO is a measure of the volume of the business we've transacted that hasn't yet been reflected in the P&L. It fuels future growth in revenue. At the end of fiscal 2020, we built up well over $3 billion in RPO with around $2.4 billion sitting in current, which will flow into revenue in the next 12 months. Speaking of new metrics we'll be focused on going forward, as we evolve from a company in transition to a growth SaaS business, the key metrics we focus on are changing. Our prior focus on metrics like ARR, subs, ARPS, M2S, and spend will be de-emphasized. These metrics served us well during the transition, have less relevancy today.

Instead, we will increase focus on metrics like revenue, net revenue retention rate or NR3, RPO and current RPO, free cash flow, and operating margin, which are more relevant indicators of our performance in this new growth phase of our business. While we're proud of the results we delivered during the business model transition, it's important to reflect on how we've also built a resilient and well-diversified business. The current economic environment is challenging for everyone. Our business is much different than it was back in 2009, though, during the global financial crisis. In fact, our business is far more resilient than it's ever been. We have a business model which is 96% recurring revenue. Our customers need to stay current on their subscriptions if they are to keep using our products, and the increasing secular and counter-cyclical facets of our business will buffer us even during a downturn.

We're well-diversified across a number of different vectors, including geography and our product families. This diversification mitigates our exposure to the impacts of localized downturns in specific countries or markets. In addition to geography and product families, we also have diversification across the types of customers and industry segments we serve. As we highlighted in our recent earnings call, less than 15% of our revenues come from small businesses. The industries of our customers are also wide-ranging. While this level of diversification helps minimize risk, it also puts us in a unique position to help our customers benefit from the convergence of processes and technologies across these industries. Recently, we've seen plenty of volatility in the various economies around the world, giving us the opportunity to demonstrate our resilience. Last year, we called out three specific markets which were exhibiting signs of instability, Germany, the U.K., and China.

Here's a view of what we saw in Germany as their economy struggled last year. Despite the economic challenges faced by our customers in that region, we saw total product subscriptions as well as multi-year subscriptions continue to grow in our design business, which is extremely encouraging. Same was true in the U.K., where the pace of growth slowed a bit starting back in calendar 2019, probably due to Brexit concerns. Our business continued to grow despite the macro and geopolitical climate there. Finally, the picture is similar in China, which represents a small part of our overall business, but is a very large and growing economy. You can see our business also performed well there before hitting some headwinds driven by both the trade slowdown between the U.S. and China and the impact of a previous multi-year promotion coming up for renewal in Q3 of fiscal 2020.

What about this year against the backdrop of a global pandemic? Despite downward pressure on new business, our renewals business held up remarkably well. Because the majority of our business is renewals, we saw that total product subscription counts still showed modest growth during these unprecedented times. Here's a magnified view of the first quarter by week and extending into the first two weeks of May. Despite the tremendous challenges faced by our customer base, we were pleased to see total product subscription counts grow during this period. That speaks to the criticality of our products in helping our customers achieve their goals. This chart highlights three key phases we saw in the quarter. Pre-COVID performance, sales performance at the peak of COVID shutdowns, and finally, when parts of the world started reopening.

As you can see, we continued to grow our subscription base through all three of them. Let's take a look. As you can see through week seven, we kept growing strongly as momentum from Q4 continued, and all of our regions and product segments kept performing really well at this time. China was dealing with the impact from COVID, but it's a small part of our business, and you could not even see its effect on our overall business. Around week seven, various parts of the world started to enter into lockdowns, and our new business started to be impacted, while renewals held up well even in this period. You can see the slowdown in new business starting to impact our pace of growth, but the growth never stopped. Let's pause for a second and think about that. Almost the entire world was shut down.

It was impossible to step out and meet customers, and companies were struggling to enable their employees to work from home. In that background, our total subscription count kept moving higher. We continued to benefit from the adoption of our cloud-enabled products, our hyper-local presence via partners, our strong customer relationships, our online presence, and the stickiness of our solutions. The slope of this curve during this period underscores the resilience and strength of the business model we've built over the years. Now moving to the last phase, starting around week 12 of the quarter and continuing into the early parts of May. This phase coincides with businesses beginning to reopen in parts of the world. Our business accelerated as different economies reopened. The acceleration we saw was not just a quarter-end phenomenon, but continued into this quarter.

Many of you have asked us what gives us confidence that we can benefit from economic recovery and that demand is not lost but delayed. The trends you see here are very encouraging and support our view. In summary, what this slide indicates is first, we have a resilient business model that can withstand extreme economic dislocations like those that we just went through. Second, strong renewal rates at such a large base offers a great foundation for us to build on, even when new business experiences headwinds. Finally, demand that is being impacted in the current environment is not completely lost. As businesses return to work, they are buying our solutions due to their strategic importance to our customers. In addition to our more resilient business model, we're now far better positioned to benefit from counter-cyclical and secular drivers, particularly in our growth businesses.

Our increasing footprint in these end markets will drive growth in the long term that is less sensitive to economic cycles. You heard the rest of the team talk about how we're well positioned to benefit from the significant opportunities in infrastructure, construction, and the convergence of design and make in manufacturing. These are all markets in which we have a strong competitive foothold and can buffer any wavering economic trends. Lastly, we continue to have a big opportunity to convert non-compliant users. While you saw us take our foot off the pedal last quarter, the work to monetize the base continued. We expect to continue benefiting from this as soon as business activity normalizes. Resiliency also comes in the form of a strong balance sheet, managing our share count, and a disciplined approach to capital allocation.

We continue to be committed to supporting the growth of the business, both organically and inorganically, while managing share count dilution through our effective stock buyback program. Let's talk about how we're well-positioned for sustainable growth in the future. First, despite our fiscal 2021 results being impacted by COVID-19, we remain confident in meeting our fiscal 2023 targets. These are the same targets we shared at our last Investor Day, note that we have reframed our previous ARR target of $5.6 billion into the corresponding revenue range. Through fiscal 2023, we'll grow revenues by 16%-18% annually, achieve $2.4 billion of free cash flow, and drive operating margins to approximately 40%. We'll also balance growth and profitability, yielding a combined revenue growth plus free cash flow margin of between 55% and 65%.

Last year, we showed you a framework for the key drivers of revenue growth over the coming years. Here's an update on that view. We segregated the drivers between volume and price to illustrate that our overall growth will be balanced across these two variables. Aside from that, you'll notice that the growth drivers and their relative contribution are largely unchanged from last year. While we are committed to growing revenues, cash flows will continue to be a primary focus as well. In growing our free cash flows to $2.4 billion, it's important to highlight the relative contribution from net income will increase as we go forward. Growth in deferred revenue will remain a meaningful driver of free cash flow, net income will play a growing role in driving our cash flows. To summarize our confidence in achieving our fiscal 2023 targets, here we highlight several key elements.

First, it's clear the world is moving toward digitization and greater adoption of cloud-based solutions where we are leading the way. Our install base continues to grow. Customers are very sticky. We have strong momentum with converting non-compliant users, and that will continue. The opportunity in construction is significant, and our broad product portfolio is a key differentiator for us. We've proven our ability to manage our expenses effectively as we head into a period of targeted investments. Finally, our ability to forecast over a multi-year period has continuously improved. We've talked a lot about growth through fiscal 2023 and how we will get there. Let me spend some time on how to think about our business beyond fiscal 2023. Many of the growth drivers we have talked about for fiscal 2023 will remain in effect significantly after that as well.

Some of these are applicable to the overall market, but the majority of them are specific to Autodesk that will help us deliver growth significantly above market levels. Looking at the overall market, AEC is ripe with opportunity. BIM mandates continue to drive market opportunity and overall penetration remains low. Infrastructure investment is on the rise due to the need for both new assets and the repair of existing assets, as Lisa pointed out. Urbanization, suburbanization trends will continue. Manufacturing is also evolving. Products are getting smarter, manufacturing processes are digitizing, and supply chains are quickly being reconfigured. All of which generates incremental growth in the manufacturing market. In terms of Autodesk-specific drivers, monetizing non-compliant legacy users, you heard today about the size of this opportunity and how we're well-positioned to capitalize.

Our increasing ability to leverage intelligent usage data, close license compliance deals, and make advances on multiple fronts, as Steve mentioned, will fuel ongoing momentum. The accelerating digitization in AEC. You also heard from Jim about how we're uniquely positioned to capture the opportunities in AEC, leveraging the breadth of our portfolio and our international presence. On the convergence of design and make in manufacturing, as you heard from Scott Reese, as manufacturing reinvents itself, our comprehensive cloud-based solutions, the deep connection to BIM, and the related convergence of industries in our flexible business model will enable us to win in the long term. With that, we're confident of double-digit growth beyond fiscal 2023. As you think about your P times Q models, it's important to emphasize that this growth is supported by both volume and pricing drivers. Again, we have Autodesk-specific drivers and overall market drivers.

On the overall market, we'll continue to benefit from the underlying growth of 4% to 6% out into the longer term. Autodesk, specifically from a volume standpoint, will continue to gain share from our competitors as a result of the investments we're making. We've shown you the massive opportunity to convert non-paying users. This will continue into the long term. We will get volume expansion in construction and manufacturing. On products, our growing renewal base will yield increases in price realization. We'll continue to optimize product packaging and drive customers to higher value offerings. Jeff showed you some of the areas we're looking at evolving our business model, such as our recently announced premium plans. We'll continue to drive toward a more evenly balanced channel mix that drives margins upward.

To wrap up, we talked about our successful transition journey and how we delivered on our promises made during that period. We talked about how we built a resilient and diversified business, which provides a buffer against economic turbulence. We talked about our ability to drive sustainable double-digit growth into the long term and the multiple sources of growth that give us increasing confidence. Thank you. Now I'd like to turn it back to Andrew.

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Thanks, Scott. To wrap up, I want to take you through a few things and summarize some of the important takeaways that you've got during this day. First off, I want to help you understand that Autodesk has an enormous opportunity in front of it. Not only do we have an end market in design and make that's worth over $69 billion from a software perspective, but we have 14 million users that are not paying us in our installed base right now. 14 million. Between these two things, there's a huge opportunity for Autodesk to grow today, tomorrow, up to FY 2023 and well beyond.

I also want to reiterate what our fiscal 2023 targets are 16%-18% revenue CAGR, $2.4 billion in free cash flow, roughly a 40% operating margin. Again, a sum of revenue growth and free cash flow that stays between 55% and 65%. We are confident in these targets at this point. I want to make sure that you understand that it is our goal to achieve these to the same degree that we achieved our FY 2020 targets that we set over three years ago. We also spent a lot of time talking about why we will deliver in FY 2023 and beyond. I want to remind you of some of these things and just kind of encapsulate a few of the important details that you heard from the team today. First off, we have a much stronger ability to forecast our business over a multi-year timeframe. It's increased.

We don't have the complexity of the business model transformation anymore, and we have a lot more understanding and depth with regards to how our business functions. We have also built in a very agile and adaptable organization. Not only were we able to adapt and change during the business model transformation, we've certainly proven our ability to adapt and change during enormous shocks like the COVID-19 crisis that we're in right now. We also have confidence in our long-term growth drivers. In fact, we have more confidence in our long-term growth drivers now than we ever did before. We spent a lot of time talking about where the growth will come from and how it's driven by these drivers. Again, to summarize, what are they? Monetizing non-compliant and legacy users. The accelerating digitization in AEC. It was already accelerating before.

It's going to accelerate even more as we go into next year. This convergence of design and make in manufacturing. To help you understand that, we highlighted not only how we have greater understanding of the non-compliant user base and how we're able to target them with a lot more fidelity than we ever were able to do before. You also heard from Amy how we're modernizing our products so that people do not want to be left behind. The products of the future, even in our core portfolio, are going to be radically different than the products of today. We also spent a lot of time talking about winning in construction. Jim helped you understand how the leadership of design and BIM is critical to how Autodesk is going to execute in this space.

In the end, the model is ultimately going to be the driver of value in the AEC space. The breadth of our portfolio, it spans from the office all the way to the field and allows us to touch every aspect of the process, particularly in critical high-value processes like pre-construction. You also heard about the global presence and support we're building around our construction ecosystem. The Autodesk Construction Cloud is going to be the premier solution for helping customers in the AEC space fully digitize their design through construct processes. This is the future, and we've invested heavily in it, and I hope you got a lot of confidence from Jim about what we're doing and where we're going.

We also spent a lot of time talking about how we're bringing design and make together in manufacturing in the cloud with a fully unified end-to-end solution for design and make with an incredibly robust multi-tenant cloud layer built underneath it. We also made it increasingly clear how our leadership position is growing and getting firmer. It's a $33 billion opportunity. The market is poised for disruption. We have more momentum than anyone else in the space, with over 85,000 commercial subscribers for Fusion alone. When you look at these long-term drivers, you can see we're already off to a great start. You can see that these are the same kind of drivers we've been chasing for five years, just moving faster. The monetization of non-compliant users, the acceleration in digitization of AEC, and the convergence of design and make in manufacturing.

All of these things are going to be moving faster, they're all now sitting on a backdrop of resilience. Our customers want to know their business is going to be resilient in the future, and that they can help their customers have impact and build resilience into their businesses as well. That's why we're working so hard to enable our customers to design sustainability and lead by example in the ESG space so that they can see where we're going and be the same model for their customers. That's why, over the next few years, you're going to see us emerge as the leader in design and make. With that, I'd like to turn it back over to Abhey for our Q&A.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thanks, Andrew, and thank you everyone for joining us for the Q&A session. Hope you found the presentations useful. If you haven't already, please submit your questions through the Q&A link on the web client or email them to Shannon, Aiden, or me. Andrew, the first two questions come from the virtual first show from Jay from Griffin Securities. First, Autodesk is on a trajectory to activating the equivalent of over 1 million licenses a year, and your active base made by our estimates exceed 8 million by FY 2024. Will you have the requisite infrastructure capacity for that volume? Relatively, when you speak of the eventuality of a consumption model, do you mean a consumption-only model, or will it be a hybrid? Andrew?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Okay, great. Thank you, Abhey. Thank you, Jay, for that question. Always first. First off, let me address the first question. The short answer to the first question about infrastructure is yes. Of course, it's a little bit more complicated than that because there's, yes, that we've got a lot of the infrastructure in place now, but yes, we also have a plan to build out the infrastructure that we need to continue to build out, and it's an area of investment for us. One of the proof points you want to pay attention to is the sudden surge in cloud-based usage that we saw as we headed into the COVID-19 crisis. We absorbed that surge with no perceivable downtime to the customer, total reliability throughout, and ability to deploy onboarding efforts to a broad swath of customers in a very short period of time.

That gives you a sense for how prepared we are for surges in volume. We've built a pretty robust platform to date. That said, there's more work to do. There's more work to do as we integrate profile and named users more deeply into our infrastructure. We also have some work to do with regards to standing up additional sites, data centers in local geographies. Those are still data centers that we use through AWS, but that's part of our infrastructure expansion and the elasticity and resiliency of what we're doing. We will be ready. We're aware of this, and we've proven ourselves during this crisis. To your other point about consumption, our main goal here is to offer choice and flexibility.

What you're going to see is consumption's going to be one of the ways that our customers can choose to buy and pay for our software. This kind of pay-per-use model. It's going to be part of the broader portfolio of subscription offerings with various different terms that go from day to month to year, as well as different capabilities that allow them to pay on a per consumption basis. Choice is the key theme here, and I think our customers are going to be really happy with the world we're moving to and the variety of choice we're giving them in terms of modern cloud-based approaches to business. By the way, Fusion is front and center, a shining example of this brave new world.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thanks, Andrew. The second one for you and Steve. Could you comment on the role of Tech Data and the increasing % of Autodesk's revenues from that relationship? What do you think will be the net margin effects for Autodesk and resellers of your front-end, back-end channel compensation rebalance?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

I'm definitely handing that question to Steve. I'm not going to comment on that at all.

Steve Blum
Senior VP of Worldwide Field Operations, Autodesk

All right. Thanks. Thanks, Andrew. Thanks for that question, Jay. A couple of things. One, for everyone's information, Tech Data is a distribution partner of ours, so they're one of the 1,700 partners I mentioned in my presentation. Most of those 1,700 are value-added resellers. They're engaging with the end customers. They're doing solution selling and things like that. We have a much smaller number of distribution partners around the world. In most of the markets around the world, we work through what's called a two-tier distribution model, where our distribution partner purchases products from Autodesk and then resells them to our VARs, who then resell them to end customers. That's what Tech Data does. We have a very strong and growing relationship with Tech Data. We've got a great relationship with a handful of other distribution partners as well.

Tech Data has been expanding and growing. They actually have a global footprint. Part of the reason that our overall business with them has grown is because they've increased their footprint, and they're leveraging some common capabilities that have provided value to our VARs in different parts of the world. As our business grows, their business is growing along with us. As far as the changes in our partner programs, we don't talk about specific net margin changes and impacts to our partners or to ourselves. We don't set the net margins for our partners. Our partners ultimately earn their money based upon the value they're presenting to the customers and the value that the customers are paying back to them. I do want to take this as an opportunity to talk about why are we moving more money to the back end.

As I mentioned in the presentation, we can do multiple things. First of all, we can reward our best partners that are driving growth or driving the highest net revenue retention rates overall, and we can associate dollars to specific outcomes as opposed to them just being tied to any transaction that's being made. Our best partners win by having a value-oriented approach to our end customers. I also mentioned that we now have the ability, by having dollars in the back end, to start rewarding our partners on non-transactional activities, things that are driving adoption. Jeff talked a little bit about the pay per use and the pilots and things, and we have some partners that are helping to get those pay per use pilots set up, and we're rewarding them for getting those environments set up. It's a value-added activity, not associated with the transaction.

You're going to see us to continue the trend we've been on for the last several years of moving more of the partner incentives to the back end so we can target them to the highest value activities and reward the best partners we have in our ecosystem.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thanks, Steve. Our next question comes from Sterling Auty from JP Morgan. Andrew, you mentioned the 2 million noncompliant users that could drive growth for years, but if you add 500K-800K per year, doesn't this get soaked up in just over two years?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Okay, I'll start commenting on that, and then I'll pass it over to Sterling. Do you think all of our seats are coming from noncompliant usage conversion? Honestly, I just have to poke at you on that one. There's new business growth built into these numbers, and there's quite a lot of robust new business growth. Remember, our price points have changed. More customers are moving to our solutions. There's expansion in some of our key markets. The rise of BIM in various markets is leading people to relook at their solutions. There's real new business growth in here. Those seats you see us adding don't all come from noncompliant activity or conversion of users into paying customers. They come from general market expansion, share shift, our new construction solutions and things associated with it.

Now, with regards to how many we can actually convert, I'm going to let Steve comment on how the engine works and what the constraints are on the engine and how it'll expand over time. Steve?

Steve Blum
Senior VP of Worldwide Field Operations, Autodesk

Thanks, Andrew. Thanks for the clarification. We want to get to doing 500,000 plus in this area overall because it's a large base, but that's a very large number. As I mentioned earlier in the presentation, when we can identify who the users are in their accounts, so we actually know the companies they work for, that's when we can have outreach from our license compliance team overall. We're seeing great conversion and growth there. As I mentioned, three times the number of transactions that were $500,000 and above. We're doing that by increasing our sales capacity and reducing the overall sales cycle time because we're getting more information, we're getting more analytics.

The constraint, really, how do we get to more of these folks, is by continuing to work on our data analytics, by finding ways to identify more of the users and identifying them to accounts. When I actually say when we identify a user, but we can't identify them as an account, what I'm really saying is we know there's usage going on, but we have no idea who that person is. We don't know who they are. We don't know who they work for. We don't know anything about them. We're gaining more insights as we continue to build out our capabilities in product and match it up with our data sets overall. As we continue to be able to correlate who those users are with accounts, our ability to reach out to them goes up, and our conversion rates will go up.

This is why we're on this multi-year journey overall. As Andrew said, this is going to be one of the key elements of growth in our new business for many, many years to come.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thanks, Steve. Next question comes from Phil Winslow from Wells Fargo. Earlier in the presentation, you mentioned that there were 1.8 million legacy users. I believe that compares to the 1.7 million that you discussed last Analyst Day. Could you provide some color on those users, and how do you think about rate and pace of converting those active legacy users? Andrew, you want to take it?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Sorry, I was on mute.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Yep.

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Here we go. Another Zoom cliché for the day. A first one. That's an excellent question. What I'm going to do is I'm going to immediately turn that over to Amy because I think she was the one diving most deep into this topic. Amy, take it from here.

Amy Bunszel
Senior VP of Design and Creation Products, Autodesk

Thanks, Andrew. It's important to understand that the legacy base is dynamic. Every year we convert some while also adding new users to this group. For example, any maintenance customer that churned in the past year has been added to that cohort. Another thing is that for the one to five-year back group, we're actually measuring this group based on their usage of the product. As I mentioned before, over half of the users are using the product more than 45 days a week, and in that group, most of them are even using 60 days a month. Sorry, 45 days a month. Now these are active users, so that means they're missing out on new desktop and cloud capability that's available in the current versions.

These are things like major performance improvements, generative design, and all the cloud collaboration capabilities that require you to be on a subscription and a current version. That's going to help accelerate people moving to the new version. Another thing is, most of these users are on older file formats. For example, we changed the AutoCAD file format about three years ago, and these older file formats will age out over time, and people will no longer be able to collaborate and work within their ecosystems as time goes by. All of these things will help us move these users up to the current versions of the product.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

All right. Thanks, Amy. We've got next couple of questions from Adam Borg from Stifel. Andrew, you mentioned confidence in fiscal 2023 targets, assuming a recovery starts this year. How should we think about the fiscal 2023 targets, should the recovery not start this year?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Okay, first off, I'll let Scott answer part of this when I'm done, but I want to start off with talking about where did the confidence come from, and what are some of the factors that play into this. First off, remember, we're tracking our business very carefully by weekly active usage of our products and by new business growth and how it cascades from areas affected throughout various stages of this crisis. As you might have heard us say several times, we said it in the earnings call, and we'll say it again, we've seen this visible trend over a two-month period of, there's a dip as the crisis hits, and a rise both in weekly active usage and new business as you head into the later stage of the crisis. It cascades across regions. APAC, we're seeing recovery and on those metrics.

Europe, we're starting to see recovery. The U.S. and North America, not so much yet. It's kind of hitting a stability point, but not turning up yet. That pattern gives us a lot of confidence because we know if we see a similar Even if we see a resurgence in the fall, it's going to follow a similar pattern to that. All right? Matter of fact, we would hope that the governments and agencies involved will have better control on how the fall will unfold versus the initial reaction being caught off guard to some of these events. That said, I want to just add a couple of more things before I hand it over to Scott. First off, we model in such a way that we don't need a full recovery in Q4 to maintain our confidence.

We just want to see signs of recovery in Q4, to maintain our confidence. I just want to reiterate, how can we be confident in our long-term models? Remember when we began this journey, we were forecasting five to six years in the future. We built buffer into our models because we knew in a five- to six-year timeframe, there was going to be some kind of economic dislocation. We were already well into an expansion that was going longer than a previous expansion. We thought about this as we went into our models, and it's no surprise that we left room. Now, Scott, I think you have some additional color you'd like to add to this.

Scott Herren
CFO, Autodesk

Yeah. Adam, I talked in my presentation about some of the drivers that give us confidence out through fiscal 2023 in terms of the non-compliant usage and the growth of our cloud-based products and the continuing momentum that we have in the construction space. As you can imagine, over the last several months, we've been running multiple scenarios. As Andrew touched on in his presentation, we've gotten continuously better at our ability to model the business, and I can talk about the things that we've done there, but we've gotten continuously better at that. Having run those multiple scenarios all the way out through fiscal 2023 adds to our confidence. Finally, the thing I'd add is something that we've talked about in the past, but I think it's also important to your question about confidence.

As we look out to fiscal 2023 and beyond, more and more of our free cash flow comes from the P&L in terms of net income, our diligent spend management also increases our confidence.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thanks, Scott. The next question from Adam was, what advantages do customers have by combining Autodesk Construction Cloud with design tools like Revit, Civil 3D, versus competitor solutions with the Autodesk design tools? Andrew, you want to take a crack?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

I'm going to turn that question over to Jim, but I just want to say three things before. BIM, BIM. Its integration with pre-construction planning and other types of upfront activities. Jim, take it away.

Jim Lynch
Senior VP and General Manager of Autodesk Construction, Autodesk

Yeah. Thanks, Andrew. I think you nailed it. That's really what it is. It's the idea of being able to take that rich building information modeling information from Revit and bring that into the pre-construction process, then applying a technology like Assemble technology to condition that model, to get the information, to get the quantities out of it, so that you can accurately cost the construction project. It's then taking that information, making sure that information in that model is accessible on the job site. This is where Autodesk is uniquely positioned. Our competitors just can't get the richness of the model, as we can. We know the model, we know Revit, and it's that workflow, it's that connectivity from design to pre-construction to site construction that ultimately is the huge differentiator for us.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

All right. Thanks, Jim. Next question from Saket Kalia from Barclays. Andrew, can you talk about any early observations you have on premium subscription? Roughly what percent of your base do you think could benefit by upgrading to premium versus staying on standard?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Okay. First off, Saket, Premium's not fully launched yet. I just want to be really clear about that. With that, I'm going to pass it over to Jeff so that he can give you a little bit more color on how we're looking at this opportunity. Jeff?

Jeff Kinder
Chief Digital Officer and EVP of Digital Platforms and Experience, Autodesk

Thanks, Andrew, and thanks, Saket, for your question. There is a lot of excitement internally, and the feedback from partners and customers has been very positive. Strong interest. We're in a rollout, but as Steve said, we're targeting the mid-market customers, and we believe Premium offers significant value to customers with large numbers of users. That said, the offering can be appealing to anyone. Some of the features, like single sign-on, can be appealing to anyone. It's early days. We're not ready to share expected penetration data on Premium, but over time, you can expect us to target a broader set of customers.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

All right. Thanks, Jeff. The second question from Saket is for you, Scott. Can you go 1 level deeper on why you feel like your ability to forecast over a multi-year period has improved?

Scott Herren
CFO, Autodesk

Sure. Again, thanks for the question, Saket. It's something that we've continually refined over the five-plus years that I've been here. As you can imagine, we started with a pretty sophisticated model that predicted the $1.35 billion in free cash flow last year, and then what led to our $2.4 billion commitment for fiscal 2023. What we do every quarter is, as the quarter closes and there are slight variances, obviously, we dig through an enormous amount of detail because we go and make refinements to the model. We've continued to add layers of sophistication into that model, such that it became too unwieldy for Excel, and it now runs on a cloud-based solution.

Having refined it now quarter after quarter, seeing things that are changed, either adding sophistication or tightening down the way we add in assumptions going forward, has given us a much sharper ability to forecast where we're headed. I feel like it's a process of continual improvement that's got us to where we are, and I don't expect it to stop.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

All right. Thanks, Scott. Next one comes from Keith Weiss from Morgan Stanley. How much of your business today is related to rail opportunities? Don't recall ever hearing about this before. Lisa, you want to take it?

Lisa Campbell
CMO and Senior VP of Business Strategy and Marketing, Autodesk

Yeah, thanks. Keith, just to remind you, Autodesk has been serving the infrastructure business for over 30 years. As you could see from the chart I showed earlier, transportation is the fastest-growing, and there's really three components to transportation. There's road and highway, there's ports, airports and seaports, and then there's rail. Now, two years ago, I gave you examples of where we're winning with road and highway, especially some traction we have with DOTs. Last year, I talked about airport traction and momentum, and this year, I gave you more examples with rail. One of the reasons why I gave you more examples with rail, even though we've been winning and serving them for several years, is because, one, we have a great strategic relationship with Esri, which has really helped us with relationships with rail owners and ecosystem.

As Amy was sharing with you, we have some amazing integrations between our vertical BIM products and our horizontal BIM products. We're seeing a lot of traction now because of BIM mandates, policies that are coming out like that. The building information model is becoming more and more important in those projects.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thanks, Lisa. Next question comes from Jason Celino from Key Bank. Can you add more color into the top benefits of named user accounts for the individual user and more importantly, for the customer? If there are any other examples of public software companies who completed similar transitions to named user accounts?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

All right. I'm going to hand most of that over to Jeff, but I want to make one comment real quick, because we lived through a pretty significant benefit for our customers as we went through the COVID crisis. It allows you to very quickly distribute where your work is happening. Most of our customers were able to turn off the lights at the office and turn on the lights in their house by logging on, and that is incredibly powerful. Not a single one of our competitors was able to keep up with that capability during this crisis. Beyond that, named users allow two-factor authentication, and they're much more secure in terms of traceability and access into various projects.

There's a lot of high-level things that we saw right in the middle of this crisis that our customers said, "Okay, I got to admit, this was really good for me." Jeff, why don't you add some of the things that you're passionate about as well?

Jeff Kinder
Chief Digital Officer and EVP of Digital Platforms and Experience, Autodesk

Sure. Thank you, Andrew, thanks for your question, Jason. For individuals as named users, I would think about portability, collaboration, and learning. As named users, individuals can have their models and libraries follow them from work to home device to device to device. As Andrew said, that's especially important in the context of the current pandemic. Collaboration is critical. Projects using our Autodesk software can involve dozens, sometimes hundreds, of collaborators. We've seen in the software development world ourselves that collaboration and named users unlock efficiency. I gave a recent example to folks in our company. Think about GitHub, acquired by Microsoft in 2018. GitHub, every user is named and a known actor, you could easily track who commits code, who makes changes, enabling collaboration in real time.

With named users, in terms of benefits for the individuals, we can also recognize users for their accomplishments and help them gain mastery across products and skills. You asked about business owners and customers as well. They see great value because they get better visibility into who's using products when and for how long, and they can optimize their licensing. They can also identify where they need to hire, add training, change processes. We worked with one customer recently who looked at named user data and noticed revenue per head differences between two offices. When they dug into the user data, the two offices were using our Autodesk products differently. They changed their training and their processes and led to an incremental $3 million in profits for that customer. We aren't alone in seeing this value. Several public companies have made similar transitions.

I mentioned Microsoft earlier with GitHub. Named users are also now core to Office 365. You also have Adobe and Intuit. Salesforce is built around named users, as are Slack and Zoom. Our customers are seeing named users everywhere.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thanks, Jeff. Next up, we have one from Tyler Radke from Citigroup. How are you thinking about the sustainability of about 40% year-over-year growth in construction management? Are you seeing any share gains versus Procore?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Okay, I'll start. I'll comment a little bit on that, and then I'm going to hand it over to Jim to talk about Procore. Look, one of the things I want you to remember about our portfolio is that it's very broad. It spans from things in the office to project management in the trailer, to site execution, to capabilities that start early in the process and go all the way to the very end of the process. That breadth of the portfolio and, of course, the BIM wave that's going to be washing over the market for the next five or plus years are critical aspects of what's going to sustain our growth. We believe that we touch more of the important aspects of the solution than anybody else.

With regards to Procore and share and things associated with that, Jim, why don't you comment on where we're at with regards to competitive landscape?

Jim Lynch
Senior VP and General Manager of Autodesk Construction, Autodesk

Yeah. That's great, Andrew. First of all, I would also add, our global expansion opportunities this year help us to sustain that growth, as does expansion within existing accounts, because we have that broader portfolio now. Finally, competitive takeaways, which leads to the Procore point. We're definitely gaining share on Procore. I talked earlier today about the revenue expansion rate that we saw last year, anywhere between 125% and 135% versus theirs, which is around 119%, 120%. That's one measure that suggests we're catching up. Our growth that Andrew just talked about, that shows great traction going into this year. I would also want to mention that we're winning against them now. We invested heavily this past year in our project management capabilities. We now have all the key capabilities around RFIs, submittals, cost management, change management. We also build connectivity across the workflows.

The idea of connecting project management to cost management, really key. We have an extremely competitive solution now in our project management offering. We also have flexible pricing and business models, which is going to be critically important for the construction industry as we move forward. This idea of a project-based pricing is just going to be very hard to maintain, and I think our flexible pricing has started to make a difference, and we expect that to continue. The answer is, we're absolutely gaining share on Procore, and I fully expect that to continue.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

All right. Thanks, Jim. Next one is from Matt Hedberg from Alpha VC. Are there any areas within manufacturing that still need to get built out or be build or buy? How do you think about the competitive landscape in manufacturing in both the high and low end of the market, and where you can be most disruptive?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Yeah. Okay. I'm going to hand that question over to Scott Reese, and let him talk about where we're coming with Fusion in this manufacturing solution. Scott?

Scott Reese
Senior VP of Cloud Platforms and Cybersecurity, Autodesk

Yeah, thanks for the question. There's a lot packed in there. Hopefully, one of the things that you take away is we will be relentless about covering the end-to-end solution and reimagining the way that everything end-to-end is done. Kind of packed in there, we will always be looking at some combination of build, buy, and partner. Think about the way that we're building out everything that we're doing across Fusion is on this cloud data backbone. That's not to be underestimated. Again, those are table stakes. Beyond enabling the end-to-end workflows inside of Fusion itself, another thing that that brings is it enables the partners to participate in the workflows just like our own Fusion development team. Our partners like Ansys, for example, is already integrating with Forge and participating in the Fusion workflows, and bringing in simulation.

Simulation tools aren't parts of the workflow that people swap out easily. Ansys has a strong position there, so we're proud to be able to partner with them with a cloud workflows. Also, aPriori, for example, the leader in cost simulation, being able to bring that in. We'll, of course, continue to build, buy, and partner, but partners will absolutely play a key role here. Just take away from this that we will be relentless in our pursuit of becoming the leader across all design and make and manufacturing.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thank you, Scott. Another question for the other Scott. How should we think about inorganic contributions to sustainable double-digit growth outlook beyond fiscal 2023?

Scott Herren
CFO, Autodesk

Yeah, it's a great question. Just to be clear, as I talked about double-digit growth beyond fiscal 2023, that's revenue, profit, and free cash flow out beyond fiscal 2023. While there will always be opportunistic build versus buy tuck-in style acquisitions, those targets that I've given you are based on our current product portfolio out to fiscal 2023 and beyond.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thank you, Scott. Next question is up from Dmitry Kalinin from Atlantic Equities. You have strong position in CAD and CAM, but less so in simulation. How easy will it be for you to fully automate workflows in manufacturing without having a strong simulation offering? Can you offer fully integrated solutions using simulation partners like Ansys, or do you need to do more M&A in manufacturing?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Yes. First off, let me talk about the fact that we do have solvers. We have simulation solvers built into Fusion right now. That's why generative design works in Fusion. There are solvers that capture a lot of physics. However, what I want to say is we want to make sure we provide our customers best in class and the solutions they want for whatever the underlying simulation capability needs to be. That's one of the big drivers of the partnership with Ansys, we do believe we are going to be able to provide deeper breadth to our customers through our partnership with Ansys and its connection with Forge. What I'd like Scott Reese to do is comment a little bit on how some of these solutions come together and how they integrate, because partnership is going to be part of the answer here.

Scott Reese
Senior VP of Cloud Platforms and Cybersecurity, Autodesk

Yeah, that's absolutely right, Andrew. One of the things I probably should have touched on earlier is when we think about one of the biggest elements of what we're doing with Fusion, the technology is a piece of it, but giving people access to technology they just simply didn't have access to in the past is just as big. Giving more and more customers access to those simulation tools, be it from directly inside of Fusion or from a partner like Ansys, is something that we believe is highly differentiated in the way that we're building things out.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

All right. Thank you, Scott. Another one on manufacturing from Dimitri. Some of your large manufacturing clients, like Boeing, have announced large double-digit headcount reduction. How do you expect headcount reduction in manufacturing to affect the number of seats that those customers are buying from you?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Yeah. First off, there's two dimensions to this, okay? Boeing's not necessarily laying off in the core R&D efforts, the things that start up early in the process. They're laying off more in the production side and the throughput, mostly because of softening demand for their products and production issues with some of their aircraft. We're still going to be selling solutions into their design and research areas. However, one of the things I want you to note is that we don't have a huge footprint in those companies with regards to our core manufacturing portfolio.

The way these companies are changing and the way the world is shifting to the cloud and distributed tools, the shrinking of their manufacturing teams and their manufacturing forces plays to the future that we've been articulating for over five years, where highly integrated, highly distributed, and highly cloud-based tools that have not only automation but insights built into them are going to be critical to their processes. Long term, this refactoring of how manufacturing works play to our strengths. We're much more prevalent in the rest of the manufacturing ecosystem, but we show up more and more in these bigger companies as they look to retool themselves. You see numerous examples of that with our partnerships with large automotives and large aerospaces around reimagining how they do things. Scott, did you want to provide any additional color on how you see manufacturing evolving?

Scott Reese
Senior VP of Cloud Platforms and Cybersecurity, Autodesk

I think you covered it pretty well there, Andrew. That end-to-end solution is going to be the key differentiator in this open ecosystem. The way data has flowed in the manufacturing workflow in the past, it's almost embarrassing as to how much waste is in those workflows today. That's just something with Fusion completely goes away. Rather, you're using it directly within Fusion or within an element of what our partners are bringing.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

All right. Thanks, Scott. For participants, if you want to ask any more questions, just email them to me or enter them in the web client. Next question comes from Ken Wong. Andrew, you mentioned new business models in the chart showing shifting revenue mix over time. Can you elaborate on what is being considered?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

One of the things that we're doing is we're expanding our offering to offer customers more choice. All right? Consumption is part of the process with regards to new business model. The move to named users is part of the move in business models. You're going to see new options and new opportunities for our customers to engage with Autodesk. If you look at the way Fusion is structured with its combination of annual subscriptions, short-term subscriptions, results-based pricing, where you just pay for an outcome, those kind of business models are going to mainstream throughout our entire portfolio. That mainstreaming is going to drive growth in various parts of our business that don't see those models in there yet.

What I would do is I would encourage you to try to understand what we're doing with Fusion and how that might evolve to cover our entire portfolio over the future. That's kind of the things we're talking about.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

All right. Thank you, Andrew. Next question comes from Steve Koenig from Wedbush. Your subscription transition is complete. It's a gift that keeps on giving because it increases customers' lifetime value and boosts Autodesk growth rate as new subscription revenue layers into the model. The higher you can drive customer retention, the longer those benefits keep helping Autodesk. Can you comment on where your attrition can head longer term, and how long can we continue to see the benefits of the model transition?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Yeah. This might actually cascade from me to Scott Herren to Steve Blum as we talk about some of the work we're doing on customer retention. Obviously, we think renewal rates are critical. We're delighted that they're maintaining stability during this transition. We do think over time, they're going to trend up more to be like what we've historically seen in our maintenance products. Scott, do you want to comment on what our expectations are and how we look at this long term? Steve, I suggest you comment about what we're doing to actually engage these customers and keep them current with us.

Scott Herren
CFO, Autodesk

Steve Koenig, you said it right. It's the gift that keeps giving. I expect the benefits of the model transition to continue out through fiscal 2023, which is consistent with what we've said in the past. To put a finer point on what we're doing on retention before I hand off to Steve Blum, we're actually focusing on churn in absolute terms, not on a percentage basis, because I think you get a much greater ability to focus on exactly where you're seeing bits of attrition, and so that we can mobilize and actually attack those problems. We don't just look at it on a percent basis of retention. We talk about it on both a revenue and a seat basis internally. We also focus on the absolute number of churn so that we can get a really fine point on that.

Steve Blum, I'll let you weigh in on the activities that are driving that.

Steve Blum
Senior VP of Worldwide Field Operations, Autodesk

Yeah, thanks, Scott. This is obviously an important area. It's part of the reason why I'm talking a lot about our customer success cycle overall and how we engage with customers throughout the entire period of time that they're using our software. We have our own customer success specialists that we use to evaluate the health of our customers using the early warning systems to make sure if there's something going wrong, we can reach out to them and make sure they become healthy and are using the software effectively. We're rewarding our partners on net revenue retention rates and moving more of the dollars to the back end to help support that overall. This is a really big focus area.

It's part of the reason as well why I focus the scale, how much scale we're getting from our partners, not just on sales resources, but on the technical resources, on customer success resources, and even the consulting delivery resources that drive engagement up overall. You're right. This was a great question because this is the gift that keeps on giving. As long as we're taking the right actions to ensure our customers are effective using the licenses, the subscriptions during the term of their contract. By doing that, not only do we drive higher retention rates, we minimize churn, but we also then can drive expansion into the account, and that's truly the gift that keeps on giving.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thank you, Steve. Next question, a couple of questions come from Heather Bellini from Goldman Sachs. First one is about transition to named. While you pushed out when this goes into effect, how should we think about the uplift you can expect on average when a company moves from shared licenses to named users?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

First off, I'll mention one thing and then I'll hand it over to Scott. One of the big uplift drivers here is going to be premium subscription. All right? It's going to be the tool that helps our customers manage named user environments much more robustly. As for the rest of the mechanics and their financial impact, I want to have Scott Herren weigh in. Scott?

Scott Herren
CFO, Autodesk

Yeah, thanks for the question, Heather. The program that we had announced and then subsequently delayed was a two-for-one trade-in program. For each multi-user subscription, you can trade it in, a customer can trade it in for two named users. We arrived at that two-to-one ratio by looking at the actual usage across a broad swath of our customer base, and that's the average. Obviously, it's a bit of a bell curve. The midpoint of that bell curve is about two users. My expectation from a modeling standpoint is that it's roughly neutral in terms of revenue that comes out of that. Two for one is the average, and that's the trade-in ratio. I expect it to be somewhat neutral. There will be some on either end of that tail, but I think they offset each other and come back to a pretty neutral transition.

The benefits to the customer are the ones that we talked about earlier. It's a significantly more resilient, significantly easier to use, significantly easier to manage model type, and it's consistent with every modern SaaS company as being on a named user basis. We did it more because it's better for our customers than it drives any particular uptick in the modeling of our business.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thank you, Scott. The other question from Heather is how does your integration between your BIM products and your construction offering differ from the integration that Procore has when connecting to your BIM software with their platform?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Yeah. Let's be clear. Procore doesn't have a BIM integration. What they have is a BIM viewer with a property editor, okay? If manufacturing companies ran their model-based processes that way, they would not be competitive today. Let's just be super clear. Integration of BIM is much deeper than that, and it requires you actually integrating the model into the entire process and automating processes that are driven by the model, not extracted from the model or viewed from the model. Jim, do you want to wax a little bit more on that topic for Heather?

Jim Lynch
Senior VP and General Manager of Autodesk Construction, Autodesk

Yeah, I think you nailed it, Andrew, and I think we talked a little bit about it earlier, but just let me reiterate some of the points I made. It's exactly right. What Andrew said is exactly true, and so our ability to actually take that BIM model and make it useful during a pre-construction planning process is a unique opportunity that we have. That's what led to the acquisition of Assemble, right? Assemble takes that building information model and allows the construction team to actually add additional value, additional detail, ultimately helping them extract more accurate quantities, which leads to more accurate cost information and hopefully more achievable schedules. That information flows right down out to the job site.

In fact, almost equally as important is when there's a change on the job site, and that information needs to get back not only to the pre-construction planning office, but back to the design office. We also have that capability built in. That's only going to get better, by the way, as we build out this Common Data Environment that I talked about earlier, build that out on top of the Forge platform. We've got a great connectivity story today, but I can tell you it is only going to get better and further separate us from our competitors.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Yeah. Thanks, Jim, and Heather just followed up on that one. How hard would it be for Procore to do the deep integration the way you are referencing?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

I'll let Jim answer that since he does it every day.

Jim Lynch
Senior VP and General Manager of Autodesk Construction, Autodesk

Yeah. I think it will be very challenging for them to do that. I would say, if you look at Procore's point solutions, they're really focused around what happens on the job site and around the financials piece. A big part of the value that we deliver is connecting that model information to the pre-construction planning phase. As we know, Procore has very little to offer in pre-construction. As Andrew said, the value for them for that model is really almost limited to viewing. I would say it would be extremely challenging for them, and it would cause them to go in a different direction for them to really get the most value out of that building information model.

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Yeah. I want to go back to something I've said before because I think it's super important. The analogy to how manufacturing played out is critical for us to pay attention to here. In manufacturing, what happened is, as people realized that integration with the model was critical to their processes, they started choosing an end-to-end stack that went from the front design process all the way to the manufacturing process. These standalone players that existed out there that were kind of doing little bits of the management and flow process, they all disappeared over time. There's a reason for that, because the end-to-end integration of the model into the process is highly valuable to their efficiency and their ability to be nimble and dynamic and deliver in new ways with a lot less resources and less material and more sustainably, frankly.

Let's remember that analogy to manufacturing as we talk about where the construction industry is going.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thank you, Andrew. Thanks Heather for the follow-up. Next question is from Blair Cooper. Interested in the rationale behind the very competitive pricing with Fusion 360 and if you have seen any competitive response? Given that it is such a change in pricing compared to what is currently offered, does that impact the $33 billion TAM you have put out there for manufacturing? Any more details on how generative design component is priced apart from being consumption-based?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Yeah. Scott and I are going to answer this. I'm going to tee it up a little bit. Yes, the entry point for Fusion is very disruptive, and it's intended to be that way. The terminal state in terms of what a user will pay for a Fusion subscription is going to be different. I'll let Scott comment on how that stacks. Remember, we've moved our entire business to subscription. Our Inventor-based business is on subscription. The Fusion-based business is on subscription. We see nobody else building out the kind of robust, integrated, cloud-based, multi-tenant platform that we've built, and especially in the SOLIDWORKS space, where there really isn't a strong alternative. What we see, regardless of what happens at the TAM, what we see is share shift coming our way, and we're already seeing it.

We're seeing some of these older, un-networked solutions without the cloud infrastructure, without the end-to-end, start to come our way. I want Scott to comment on what is really the terminal value of a Fusion customer over time as this product rolls out broader and broader and broader. Scott, why don't you tell them about that?

Scott Reese
Senior VP of Cloud Platforms and Cybersecurity, Autodesk

Thanks, Blair, and thanks, Andrew. There are really three key elements to the business model, and what you end up with isn't less money. You actually end up with more successful customers, and that's where we're focused. Look at Gibson Guitars that I shared. They were running in a suboptimal form with SOLIDWORKS. They could only afford five seats of SOLIDWORKS. They had 20 engineers. They had three-quarters of their engineering team running in a suboptimal way. With Fusion 360, they were able to get all of the capabilities that they needed to all of their engineers, kind of across the stack. They're going to be a better company because of it. The three elements to the business model I think are important to pay attention to. One is the access point.

For $500 a year per user, they get access to all of those end-to-end capabilities. For those who need the more advanced capabilities, we have the expansion packs as well. Those users can subscribe too. What we don't want to do is require every user to be over-served with capability that they just don't need. There's a base level of capability every engineer in that department should have. The way a generative design is priced, and simulation will be the same, it's consumption-based. The more you use it, the more that you pay. Generative is actually priced for outcomes. Just using it is a pretty low price, to be honest. It's when you use it and you're satisfied with the outcome, that's when you pay a higher price. Not only is it consumption-based, it's success-based.

The entire business model is just one that's focused on making a more successful customer.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thank you, Scott. Don't go away. I think the next one is for you as well. It's from Jay Vleeschhouwer again. You have more than four times as many active Inventor users as Fusion 360 users. Is there an upsell or attachment opportunity in that base?

Scott Reese
Senior VP of Cloud Platforms and Cybersecurity, Autodesk

Yeah. Hey, Jay. Good question. This was a key reason that I went back and reflected on our position with our existing portfolio today because we already have a big position kind of across the stack. What that means for customers is that Autodesk is the safe choice because with the collection in particular, remember, they get Fusion 360 as part of the value of the collection. They have all of the capabilities that they already know and love and value today. They also have all of the future workflows that they want to bring in. We see the big opportunity as one is share shift, for example. A lot of our competitors have stopped sharing unit numbers for obvious reasons.

For the data that we have, we show that across Inventor and Fusion, we've outsold SOLIDWORKS from a unit perspective for three quarters running. That's where we see the big opportunity coming from, is from ShareShift. We definitely want to take care of our existing base, and we see Autodesk as the safe bet for them. Again, relentless on becoming the leader across design and make and manufacturing, and ShareShift is where we believe a lot of that's going to come from.

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Jim, I just want to add something. We at Autodesk, we are world-class at bringing our customers to the future. No one has brought more AutoCAD users to 3D modeling than Autodesk. When you look across the Revit portfolio, the Inventor portfolio, now Fusion, we are going to be relentless at bringing all of our customers to the cloud on the most modern and capable systems that are out there. We have this muscle. We're very good at it. This integration of this opportunity is going to help bring all these customers forward, as well as providing incremental opportunities.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thank you, Andrew and Scott. Our next question is from Howard Glacier. Why are you best positioned to take advantage of the opportunity for building construction? Relative to SOLIDWORKS and/or Nemetschek, why has this potential not been realized thus far, and what changes now to make this happen?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Yeah. There's a lot changing. By the way, it's interesting how you characterize the players in this space. I'll talk about this a little bit. I think you're talking about the industrialized construction piece, the move to pre-fabrication, to modular construction, to pre-built types assemblies. Basically, applying industrial methods to construction. This has taken a while to change because it's a very complicated industry with very complicated processes. What's changing now, and by the way, this COVID-19 crisis is only going to accelerate this, is now people cannot build sustainably and to the code and to their customer requirements using the old methods that they were using before. That's why you're seeing BIM accelerate with the mandates, and the acceleration of BIM is going to start to accelerate this industrialization. The interesting thing is, SOLIDWORKS is not even well-positioned to play in this space.

Matter of fact, most of the building product manufacturers are using our tools to drive their processes for designing components. We know these customers well, and we know how the information flows between a product model and a model that you're going to manufacture something off, and a building information model, which is something you're actually going to build. These are different things, and we've done a lot of work to understand how information flows across those two things. I think Nemetschek doesn't have any modern forward-facing solution right now. They had Bluebeam, which was just another desktop solution for handling punch lists and work associated with that. They really weren't focused on the full digital process. Jim, I'll let you talk a little bit more about how it moves away from just the piece of who's doing the industrial work to the whole entire process.

Jim Lynch
Senior VP and General Manager of Autodesk Construction, Autodesk

Yeah. Andrew, Howard, thanks for the question. It's a great question. Andrew, I think you set up the answer really well. I would just say, underscoring Andrew's point is, first and foremost, our leadership in design and BIM is going to be absolutely critical here, right? Listen, the design work still starts in Revit, but then ultimately it has to get out to the shop floor and then out to the construction site. It's about our leadership in design in BIM. It's about our strong offering and compelling offering in manufacturing. It's about our breadth, depth, and connectivity of our construction portfolio. Bring those things together, and we are uniquely positioned against Nemetschek, against SOLIDWORKS, against Dassault. Really, nobody has the breadth of that offering as we do.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Yeah. Thank you. We have another question from Luke Morrison. Can you talk about how you think about monetization of the Forge platform and how that could evolve over time?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Yeah, I'm going to pass that straight to Scott Reese, because his team's working on some of the things associated with that and where we want to go. Right now, we're not concerned too much about that, but that will change over time.

Scott Reese
Senior VP of Cloud Platforms and Cybersecurity, Autodesk

Yeah. Thanks for the question. It's definitely something that we're paying a lot of attention to. Right now, like Andrew talked about, we're focused on enabling these new workflows like you see in BIM 360 Design, like you see in Fusion 360, like you see across all of the different cloud-based portfolios. Figuring out how to make our partners successful. Steve Blum shared some successful partner integrations earlier. Capturing that data and really understanding the value created. I view Forge as yet another large untapped opportunity for growth in the future. It's something that we're definitely focused on customer success right now, and paying attention to how people use it and how they derive value from it.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thank you, Scott. Our last question for the day comes from Andrew DeGasperi from Berenberg. If the urbanization trends over the last few years reverse due to recent events, how is the Autodesk tool set positioned in an environment where demand rises for, say, single-family homes? How much of suburban rural construction is digitized at this stage?

Andrew Anagnost
President and CEO, Autodesk

Yeah. First off, this is a great question. It's going to be a two-parter. I think I'm going to have Lisa talk about some implications, but let me paint this in a context. You got to be careful about the assumptions you make about this. Suburban urbanization and the hub and spoke model that might evolve from that won't result in the same kind of classical single-family home construction that you'd see. You couldn't house all the people if you did that. All right? There's not enough land. You can't sustainably do it at this point. You're going to see different types of construction rising up in suburban areas. It's going to look a lot more like more distributed urban construction. All right? You might see more high-rises in suburbs if this plays out this way, and by the way, it's highly speculative if it does.

Also what you're going to see is an increasing need for high-frequency infrastructure, not only between the hub and spoke of urban and suburban centers, but suburban to suburban. I'd like Lisa to comment a little bit on that, because that's something we've been looking at for quite some time. Lisa, why don't you chime in?

Lisa Campbell
CMO and Senior VP of Business Strategy and Marketing, Autodesk

Yeah. Thanks, Andrew. I agree. Basically, we're not seeing any slowdown in all the projections for what the population is going to be over the next few decades. No matter what, if we're building in more suburban areas, maybe the buildings will look different, but you're still going to need those buildings, and they're still going to need the BIM model. You're still going to need the same type of infrastructure. You're going to need water networks. You're going to need rail networks. This time, this may be to go between areas as opposed to within. We're going to see the same kind of demand. It just might look different in a different location, but we don't see any impact on the demand or the capability of our tools to be able to handle that.

Abhey Lamba
VP of Investor Relations, Autodesk

Thank you, Lisa. That will be the end of our Analyst Day webcast. Please feel free to reach out to the IR team if you want to follow up on anything. Thanks for joining us today, and looking forward to speaking to you soon. Bye-bye.