Good morning, and welcome to the Brown & Brown, Inc. 2015 first quarter earnings call. Today's call is being recorded. Please note that certain information discussed during this call, including information contained in the slide presentation posted in connection with this call and including answers given in response to your questions, may relate to future results and events or otherwise be forward-looking in nature. Such statements reflect our current views with respect to future events, including those relating to the company's anticipated financial results for the first quarter of 2015, and are intended to fall within the safe harbor provisions of the securities laws. Actual results or events in the future are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties and may differ materially from those currently anticipated or desired or referenced in any forward-looking statements made as a result of a number of factors.
Such factors include the company's determination as it finalizes its financial results for the first quarter of 2015 that its financial results differ from the current preliminary unaudited numbers set forth in the press release issued yesterday. Other factors that the company may not have currently identified or quantified and those risks and uncertainties identified from time to time in the company's reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Additional discussion of these and other factors affecting the company's business and prospects, as well as additional information regarding forward-looking statements, is contained in the slide presentation posted in connection with this call and in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We disclaim any intention or obligations to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
With that said, I will now turn the call over to Powell Brown, President and Chief Executive Officer. You may begin.
Thank you, Christy. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our earnings call for Q1. We're pleased with our results for the quarter, so let's get right into the key points. On slide four, you'll see we delivered $404.3 million of revenue for the quarter, growing 11.2% and 3.8% organically. Each of our four divisions delivered organic growth. The overall market conditions continue to improve with the exception of a few areas, which we'll cover on the next slide. Our GAAP earnings per share were $0.39, growing 8.3% for the quarter. Excluding the change in estimated acquisition earn-outs payable, we grew our earnings per share at 5.3% to $0.40 a share. As part of our capital allocation plan, we initiated a $100 million accelerated share repurchase program during the quarter.
This repurchase is part of the $200 million plan approved by our board of directors in the second quarter of 2014. We anticipate the completion of this repurchase during the second quarter of this year. Upon completion, we will have then $50 million that still may be repurchased under the approved $200 million plan. Lastly, during the first quarter of 2015, we acquired three agencies with the annualized revenues of approximately $12.6 million. While there are lots of potential transactions out there, we continue to see aggressive pricing for acquisitions. We continue to be very disciplined in what we pay as we're looking for organizations that fit culturally and make sense financially. Slide five provides additional color on some noteworthy items impacting the market.
We're seeing some areas with good economic improvement and associated exposure unit growth, such as Indianapolis, Atlanta, Portland, and numerous cities in Florida that are doing much better than a year ago. However, any communities with significant oil-related businesses have slowed significantly. We also experienced further uptake in our private exchange during the quarter, but adoption continues to be slow. We continue to see small and medium-sized employers evaluate the public exchanges, technology, and plan design alternatives. Those may include partial self-insurance in order to manage cost. With the excess capital in the market, along with the prolonged period of limited weather events, coastal property rates remain under significant pressure. Also, admitted rates continue to moderate downward. However, we're seeing commercial auto rates generally trending up, but that really depends on loss experience.
With all of the excess capital in the market and our large distribution network and capabilities, we continue to see interest in our various programs and wholesale offerings. With the lack of weather events, several of our claims processing businesses are operating at historical lows for revenues and operating profits. In summary, we're pleased with our organic revenue and earnings per share growth for the quarter, and this was all made possible through the hard work of our more than 7,700 teammates. I'll turn it over to Andy to discuss our financial performance in more detail.
Great. Thanks, Powell, good morning, everyone. Before I get started, I wanted to let everyone know that we had some adjustment to prior year's divisional numbers in order to reflect our current year segmental structure. If you're looking at last year's presentation from the first quarter, you'll see a few immaterial changes within the divisions. Let me go ahead and get started with our financial results and talk about some of the key metrics for the quarter. On slide six, it shows our GAAP results. I'd like to highlight that we delivered 11.2% revenue growth in the quarter and are very pleased with our 3.8% organic revenue growth. I'll talk more about margins and key drivers on the next slide.
Our earnings per share grew 8.3% and our weighted average number of shares outstanding decreased by 1.3% year-over-year, primarily driven by our share repurchases in the second half of last year. Moving to slide seven, similar to previous quarters, what we try to present on this slide is a better view of our underlying performance. The amounts presented are the as-reported GAAP results, which were then adjusted for the change in estimated acquisition earnout payables. On the right-hand side of the slide, we remove the results of Wright due to the large size of that acquisition and the lack of comparability with the prior year. As we've previously discussed, the revenue associated with Wright is seasonal, and the expenses have less variability. Consequently, Q1 is the lowest revenue and margin period for the business. Overall, the Wright acquisition is performing well across its three business lines.
Later, we'll talk about the quarterly performance and outlook. While our total revenues grew 11.2%, when we separate the revenues related to Wright, we grew the top line by 4.2%. Our adjusted pre-tax income grew by 2%. The additional interest cost associated with our credit facility and bonds impacted income before income tax by approximately three percentage points. We believe EBITDAC is the most appropriate measure for comparing our performance across periods, as it is a close proxy for cash generation. EBITDAC for the quarter was $131.8 million, compared to $119.5 million last year, a growth of 10.3%, and excluding Wright, our EBITDAC growth was 4.1%, thereby growing in line with underlying revenues. Excluding Wright, our EBITDAC margin decreased by 10 basis points, which was driven by lower contingents and lower gains on sales versus the prior year.
We continue to seek EBITDAC margins in the 33%-35% range over the long term. Net income for the period grew 2.9% on an as-reported basis and excluding Wright by 2.7%. This was primarily impacted by the incremental interest expense of $5.8 million in the first quarter as compared to the prior year. As a reminder, our credit facility and public bonds provide us with capacity to draw upon for acquisitions when they become available. They extend our maturity ladder and reduce our exposure to rising interest rates. By capitalizing on the favorable credit markets, our blended cost of debt is now 3.3%. Partially offsetting the increased interest expense was a lower effective tax rate of 39.3% for the quarter, compared to 39.6% for Q1 of last year.
The lower rate for Q1 of 2015 was driven by some tax credits that will primarily only be realized in Q1 of this year. We anticipate our effective rate to be around 39.5% for the remainder of 2015 as we continue to model the impact of recent finalized state tax law changes, primarily in New York State. Adjusting earnings per share increased to $0.40 in the first quarter, which was a $0.02 or 5.3% improvement over the prior year. Moving to slide eight, I'd like to highlight the key components of our revenue performance for the quarter. We've talked about our total revenue, and when you look at the components, the largest driver was from net acquisitions delivering $36.1 million, followed by organic growth of $12.2 million, and then the changes in contingents and Guaranteed Supplemental Commissions that declined $1.5 million and other revenue that declined by $1.1 million.
We realized a $1.5 million decrease for the contingents in GSCs, which were substantially related to our Proctor business that is in our National Programs division. Please remember that Proctor realized $3.3 million of incremental contingents in the fourth quarter of 2014 as the carrier completed their calculations early. About $2 million of this coming from the first quarter of this year, which moved into the fourth quarter of last year. We expect Proctor’s contingents to be realized in the fourth quarter of this year, but have been informed from the carrier that they expect the amount to be materially below 2014 due to losses. Take this into consideration when building your outlook for the remainder of the year, as the growth for contingents and GSCs does not appear to be in line with organic revenue growth. Moving to slide nine.
Let me talk about each of our divisions in a bit more detail. Our Retail division delivered 6.2% growth, partially driven by acquisitions completed within the last 12 months, and our underlying organic growth was 1.6%. Our year-over-year EBITDAC margin decreased by 90 basis points, which I’ll talk more about in a moment. Let’s talk about revenue growth first, as we know everyone is always interested in how Retail is doing. There are three main factors that need to be considered when evaluating the performance of the Retail division for this quarter. First is that there has been a change in the State of Washington regarding the laws governing association health plans. Last year, the insurance commissioner changed the state’s historical approach to bona fide association. As a result, several of our association health plans had to terminate.
We’ve lost about $1 million of revenue in the first quarter of this year, which impacted Retail organic growth by about 60 basis points and EBITDAC margins by 25 basis points. We expect our State of Washington Association Health Plan business to be down approximately $1 million each quarter for the remainder of 2015, and to have an impact on margins. Second is that cat property rates continue to be under pressure, as Powell mentioned earlier. While we are still seeing our commercial lines businesses growing year-over-year, their growth has been impacted versus last year as cat property rates are down 10%-20%, or in some cases even more. We’re also experiencing rates for admitted lines of business further moderating downward, with the exception of commercial auto.
Third is that we are continuing to see small and medium-sized employers evaluate public exchanges, technology, and plan design alternatives to manage their cost. As we stated on previous calls, it is not unusual for our reported quarterly EBITDAC margins to fluctuate as we make incremental investments in our businesses that will drive future results. We expect divisional margins will ebb and flow as a result of this activity. Moving to slide 10. Our National Programs division revenues grew by 29.9%, mainly due to the acquisition of Wright. We continue to experience good growth in personal property, automobile aftermarket, sports and entertainment, and we continue to see interest from carriers in leveraging our broad distribution platform. Offsetting some of this growth was our Florida Intracoastal Underwriters business with pressure on rates, which is also affecting contingents.
During Q1 of this year, we recognized about $1.4 million of deferred revenue at Proctor. Excluding this revenue, organic growth in the programs division would have been approximately 2.1%. The primary drivers to the 270 basis point margin compression for the quarter are the seasonality of Wright, which we discussed earlier, and the impact of the shift in contingents for Proctor. Overall, we're pleased with the performance of our programs division for the quarter. On to slide 11. Our wholesale division had another great quarter, reporting revenue growth of 3.6% and organic growth of 7.3%. This differential is related to the sale of Axiom Re that we completed in the fourth quarter of last year. The binding authority and brokerage businesses both contributed to the positive result for the first quarter, and we continue to see growth across most business lines.
We are seeing more net new business. We are leveraging our deep carrier relationships to help provide innovative solutions for our customers, even while facing major downward pressure on coastal property rates in the range of 10%-20% or more. The wholesale division delivered EBITDAC margin improvement of 290 basis points. Approximately 100 basis points of this improvement is associated with the disposal of Axiom Re. This business generates significantly lower margins than the average for the wholesale division. Even with this item excluded, the margin improved by close to 200 basis points. Similar to last year, we do expect that margins will fluctuate on a quarterly basis due to investments, please do not model or expect this type of margin expansion every quarter. On to slide 12 and to our services division. We delivered impressive organic growth of 10.5% for the quarter.
This growth was partially benefited by some non-recurring revenue realized by one of our TPA businesses. Excluding this revenue, organic growth would still be approximately 8.5%, which is very impressive. We realized strong growth in most profit centers, with the exception of our claims processing businesses that are dependent on weather events. The largest driver of organic growth is from our Social Security advocacy business. In addition, our workers' compensation claims processing business continues to benefit from a large new client we won in the second quarter of 2014. Please keep this in mind when you're updating your models for the second quarter, as the organic growth rate for services will probably be in the low single digits. Our margin expanded for the second quarter as we continue to operate efficient claims processing businesses.
In summary, we are pleased with the top-line growth and flow-through for each of our divisions. Moving to slide 13. In the second quarter of last year, we provided ranges of where we expect Wright to perform for its first fiscal year, which is the second quarter of last year through the second quarter of this year. The performance of the underlying business is in line with our expectations. As we mentioned previously, in 2014, the original forecast included $7.5 million of revenues for weather events. For reference, this was based upon the 10-year average, excluding Hurricane Katrina and Superstorm Sandy. Due to the lack of storms, the first fiscal year for Wright is expected to be below this historical level. Please note there is a small amount of cat revenue included in the projection for the second quarter.
With that, let me turn it back over to Powell for closing comments.
Thank you, Andy, for a good report. I'd like to conclude our remarks with two topics. One, acquisitions, and two, retail. As you heard us say, we acquired $12.6 million of annualized revenues in Q1. We've looked at a number of acquisitions that did not fit culturally or we could not come to an agreement financially. Sellers are focused on many things, but the money is a big one. As you know, we're disciplined buyers. In 2006, 4% of the announced transactions were done by private equity. In 2013 and 2014, private equity did 44% and 43%, respectively. There's a lot of activity in the acquisition space, some are willing to pay amounts we won't. This is not to say that we cannot do acquisitions, but to give you a flavor of the acquisition landscape. We continue to think that they tend to come in waves.
Now on to retail. We've grown retail organically 12 quarters in a row. Retail internal growth for 2012 was 1.3%. 2014, it was 2%. What are we doing? We've made incremental progress over time. If you take out our bottom five retail offices, which represent 8% of the retail revenue, our internal growth would be 2.9%. The change in the Washington Association Health Plans is done. We're down $1 million in Q1 and expected to be down $1 million in each of the following quarters in 2015, That's by a law change. The other four offices, we have an intense focus on to improve their performance. In closing, we feel good about our overall performance for Q1, each division is positioned for ongoing profitable growth, positions, and returns to shareholders in the form of dividends and share repurchases, all with the goal of long-term stock appreciation.
Our equipment. Again, press * one to ask a question. We'll take our first question from Elyse Greenspan with Wells Fargo.
Hi. Good morning. Just a few questions. The first, there's been some headlines recently concerning the National Flood Program, and I know Brown & Brown obviously has a decent amount of exposure through the Wright acquisition. If you could just kind of comment on what's going on there, potential exposure and I guess your outlook on your continued, I guess, Wright's continued involvement with the National Flood Program going forward.
Okay. Good morning, Elyse. First, we are committed to, one, our policyholders, Wright's Flood, and our partnership with FEMA. This is a complicated situation. Suffice it to say, we're committed to working through the issues to the best result for our policyholders. These events, as you know, occurred before we purchased Wright. It is our standing position not to comment on ongoing litigation. We're working through the issues to the best result of our policyholders.
Okay. Just one follow-up question on that, since this did happen before you guys completed the acquisition. Could you be kind of on the hook? Was there any kind of you can push back if there was some kind of fines to Brown & Brown to the owner of Wright preceding you purchasing it?
We will be evaluating all forms of expense reimbursement.
Okay. A couple of other questions. In terms of the-- it seems like the non-stock-based compensation was a bit lower on a quarterly basis, Andy, than you had guided to for the year. Anything on that or that we should change in terms of thinking about our models?
Hi. Good morning, Elyse. Nothing unusual in nature. I think the range that we still gave, somewhere around seven and a half million. Again, it'll float a little bit by quarter, no unusual underlying changes there.
Okay. If we think about the retail segment, I appreciate the added color this quarter, obviously we know now the impact of the change in Washington. As we think just kind of going forward to the balance of 2015, just directionally putting everything together that you said, would you expect to see pick up in the overall level of growth from what we saw in the first quarter?
Elyse, like I said, we don't give specific organic growth guidance. We've said that retail business is a low to mid-single digit organic growth business.
Okay. Then on the margins front, I know you'd mentioned and then talking about some of the segments, the internal investments that you guys have been making. Is there any way for us to better break out the overall impact that these investments are having on your margins? Is there a way that you can kind of pinpoint that, either by segment or just on a consolidated basis?
We have not come up with a way to do that yet, Elyse. Quite honestly, we have been making internal investments in our business since the beginning of time. It's just we have articulated it to make sure that everybody understands that in order to continue to provide the services and capabilities to our clients, it's all around people and systems and capabilities. We really haven't broken it out, and it's something we're going to continue to do. We've said in the past that we have allocated 1% of our total revenues annually to a people fund, which is a way that we help defray some of the cost at the local office level when we're hiring people that are not originally in their budgets. That's the full extent of which we've shared in the past.
Yeah. Elyse, I would also add to it, if you remember last year, we had a lot of conversations about wholesale, right, during the first half of the year versus second half, and we were making investments in teammates, and it kind of flows back and forth. Just kind of keep that as the backdrop as we continue to go through over time, but utilize that 33%-35% as the range that we're trying to seek to operate inside of on the EBITDAC margins, okay?
Okay. Thanks so much. Thanks for taking the questions.
Sure. You got it.
We'll go next to Kai Pan with Morgan Stanley.
Good morning. Thank you for taking my call. First question is, probably it's on the acquisition side. You mentioned you see increasing competition, particularly coming from the private equity funds. What are we exactly talking about in terms of the pricing differential? Is it quite a big gap between, like, from private equity can offer and you're willing to offer?
You've heard us talk about before that pricing, and it all depends on what your definition of EBITDA is. I always like to say there's the devils in the details, but when you hear about eight and nine and 10 times an EBITDA multiple, what EBITDA are you talking about? At the end of the day, when there are certain things that private equity, for example, may be willing to do in the short term that we would not be willing to do. I'm not going to say it's a multiple amount per se, it's just an amount that is in excess of what we think is the asset would be worth. In the event that occurs, we pass. We saw a situation recently where we were involved in one, and it was not private equity, an insurance company bought something.
This was a business that we thought there was a good cultural fit, but it was not something that was to happen. Sometimes you see insurance companies, as you know, buy businesses to augment their underwriting capabilities or to get more premium. Every scenario is different. What I'd just say, as you know, that in the private equity space, there is a lot of money that's washing around out there, and they're looking to put it to work. At some point, they'll have to see if the amount that they paid for those acquisitions will pan out or not.
That's great color. If you were to slow down in terms of either market doesn't give you opportunity to do more acquisitions, will you shift the capital deployment because you're building cash position, more to shareholder returns?
Well, as you've heard us say before, we are constantly talk with our board of directors about the three buckets upon which we invest the cash we earn. One is internal investments, two would be external acquisitions, and three, return to shareholders via either share repurchases or dividends or both. That's a constant and ongoing discussion. We have to constantly evaluate the opportunities that are presented to us. As I've said in the past, acquisitions are somewhat lumpy, they come in waves. If the acquisition, in your case, if the lack of acquisitions went on for a period of time, then we would evaluate and look at some of those other options more closely. Having said that, one quarter, for example, does not make a trend into my mind in the acquisition space.
Okay. Last question is to the contingents and the lender-placed business. Could you clarify that in the fourth quarter, your lender-placed business has pulled forward? They have about $3.3 million of revenue and about $2 million of that coming pull forward from the first quarter. That's why your contingent commission is lower?
Exactly, Kai. Lloyd's was able to complete their calculation in the fourth quarter of last year. We had higher contingents in the fourth quarter, about $1.3 million plus the $2 million from Q1 that pulled forward. That's where the $3.3 million came from. The 2 is why we're down for the first quarter.
Okay. You also mentioned, I think it might be related, in the national program, you have one-off situation, about $1.4 million coming from this business as well?
It was, yeah. We had some deferred revenue that we were able to recognize finally. That will not be anything that will recur on in nature, so that's why we want to call it out as a one-time item.
Lastly, you mentioned, you said that in 2015, from the lender-placed business will be materially lower. Could you clarify that?
Yeah. That was on the contingents, Kai.
Yeah.
Just as we recognized $3.3 million last year, right now expectations are that we will recognize the contingents from Lloyd's in the fourth quarter of this year. They have come back and told us that they're expecting for those to be this year because of loss experience. We want to highlight that just to make sure that you model it accordingly in the fourth quarter.
That's not relating to pulling forward from the first quarter 2015? Okay.
No, that's about loss experience from the previous year now playing itself through in the calculation.
Got it. Thank you so much for the answers.
Sure. You got it.
We'll take our next question from Josh Shanker with Deutsche Bank.
Yeah. Good morning, everyone.
Morning, Josh.
Thank you. Following up a little bit on the question of share repurchase and evaluating that. In the past, you've said that you don't want to use your stock to do acquisitions, your stock's far too valuable. You've also said that in the past that you didn't want to repurchase shares because I think that, as Andy put it, Hyatt once said, it's like eating your young, which kind of puts you in a conflict. Given that you're buying back shares now, why not just have a bigger authorization out there since it's not an obligation to buy? How long would you sit on cash before you would do something with it?
I guess there's a bunch of questions there, I want to hear a little bit about the philosophy, about how things have changed at Brown & Brown, I guess why you wouldn't just have a bigger potential appetite out there, depending on what happens in the future.
Okay. Josh, you're correct in the comment about my father making the comment about eating your own or whatever. Having said that was also in a period of time where purchase price for acquisitions was in a much different place. You've heard me say over a period of time that we don't like to use the term never or always. Having said that, we continue, as we've said, to evaluate all of the options that we have, in light of some of the increased purchase price multiples on some of the transactions, we have looked at the value of our stock and the possibility of buying some of that back, of which we have done. We were given an authorization of $200 million last summer, with no obligation to buy it, as you know.
Although some people in the investment community have made the assumption that we will use that entire authorization, and we may or we may not. We have $50 million outstanding after we complete this current $100 million ASR. We will continue to talk to the board about how we deploy our capital, and if they see fit relative to giving us another authorization to repurchase in the future, we'll continue to weigh and measure that. What I'd like to say is this. What you cannot anticipate, you, the collective, everyone on the phone call, and what we cannot have collectively anticipate at Brown & Brown is when we're going to have opportunities presented to us like an Arrowhead or a Beecher or a Wright.
We continue to like to be in a position to be able to do the transactions that come along when they come along. We will continue to evaluate the stock repurchase, and the cash that we have on hand, and how we deploy that cash.
Right now, you're generating probably about $350 million, $400 million of operating cash flow a year. That could be even higher than that. You also are running with higher debt leverage than you have in the past. You guys have tended to be like a low debt balance sheet. Is there any intention on your part that even though you have a low coupon on that debt, that you'd want to retire it for flexibility reasons? Can you imagine that's a low priority on things that you would do with cash?
Yeah, that's a low priority on what we would do with cash. We actually set up our debt structure to provide us with flexibility, which we believe that we have, and we're very pleased with what the structure is that we have in place right now. You are correct in saying that we had a lower debt to EBITDA leverage in the past, and we, as an organization, have evolved relative to how we view that. I've said publicly that we think that having a one and a half to two times debt to EBITDA would be a comfortable area. Would we go above that for a specific transaction in the short term? We would consider it. We are continuing to evaluate all of those options, but we're very pleased with our debt structure, and that would be a low priority.
Okay. Well, thank you for all the answers. Good luck with the rest of the year.
Thank you.
Thank you.
We'll take our next question from Mark Hughes with SunTrust.
Yeah, thank you. Good morning.
Morning.
More broadly within the benefits business, you've talked about the impact of the changes in Washington on your organic growth. How about just more generally speaking, healthcare reform? I think, Andy, you've made some comments recently about how there's been a headwind on organic because of the changes in commission payouts within the benefits segment. How much of a headwind has that been? How far along are we in kind of working through that? How much longer will it be a drag on the business?
Well, let's make a broad statement first, Mark. Number one, ACA has created great uncertainty. With that, we believe it creates great opportunity. In that, it is somewhat still being defined. It's an evolving process. To your question, specifically, we have had some of our small business, depending on the state, might be defined as under 50 or under 100, or some variation thereof, where they've gone from a commission level to a per head, per month. You've heard us say that before. Now, that's driven more at a local and statewide basis rather than a national basis. There's still other states that haven't, or they have not adopted it 100% across the board. That's number one.
Number two, I know you're very mindful of the changes that people are making in plan design. That plan design could be defined as a higher retention or deductible for an employee or a fixed amount of a contribution, like a defined contribution amount. You can purchase whatever health plan you want, more like a 401 kind of scenario. In the larger group, there continues to be all kinds of uncertainty, which creates great opportunities for growth for us. What I would tell you that we're seeing is in the smaller group, there's lots of discussions about alternatives. Alternatives meaning state exchanges, private exchanges, how can they continue to offer benefits to their employees, some of which may opt out down the road as over time.
We continue to advise our clients as we come down with some of the very interesting regulations that have unintended consequences, like the Cadillac tax for 2018. More to follow on that, Mark, but we continue. It's still a work in progress.
If your retail is low to mid-single digit organic, is benefits a drag on that?
It depends overall. In an office that has a lot of smaller stuff, it might be a slight drag or flat. On an office that has more of the medium, large to larger accounts, it's growing.
On the Wright business, when it rolls into organic growth, is it going to be accretive to organic growth? I guess underlying that is, if we look at the volume in pricing within the flood insurance, you're sort of putting the claims business to the side in the underlying flood business. Is that growing on a kind of a national basis? Are you taking share? What does that mean when it rolls into your organic growth base?
Mark Hughes, if you remember, Q1 is the smallest quarter. The big quarters for flood will be Q2 and Q3. It would be a little premature to answer that question relative to based on factual information. What I would say is our teammates at Wright are out talking to retail agents across the country, and working really hard to service and meet their service needs of their flood books. We're very pleased with the relationships that not only that they've developed in the past, but those that they're working on in the future. We've got to get into, as I like to call it, flood season, which really starts in earnest in May.
Mark Hughes, probably other thing to keep in mind, we've had a couple people ask us about pricing and should that, as a result, drive incremental revenues in the business. I think what we would say right now, based upon what we know, is while the pricing will drive some upside, there's also a lot of remappings that are going on around the country. Specifically just south of here, Broward County, they just remapped a lot of those that made them no longer required. We think it looks like it's about a push at this stage. We just don't know exactly until we start working through the details. I guess we would say is don't bake anything into the model for upside on that one right now until we get through it. We think we got a push there.
The other thing I want to just mention, we've looked at a lot of everybody's models for the second quarter. Just to remind everyone, we did this acquisition in May of last year, there's only one month of the second quarter that does not have comparative revenues. It looks like a lot of folks have put three months of incremental revenue in there. There's basically a two-thirds double count. If you can just double check your models on that one. We can also follow up after the call.
A quick final question. The share count for 2Q, do you have early thoughts on that, Andy?
If you were to take well, when it comes out at the end of this month, and you look at our footnote, that should be a pretty good indication for the second quarter. The only movement there will be the final settlement of the ASR. That should not be a material number since most of those shares were pulled out late in the first quarter.
You don't happen to have that number, do you?
No, I don't have it with me right now.
Thank you.
We'll take our next question from Meyer Shields with Keefe, Bruyette & Woods.
Thanks. Good morning.
Morning.
If we adjust the first quarter contingent for the $2 million that got pushed forward, it's up about 1.5%. Does that seem like a reasonable representation of what we should see besides the force-placed business for the rest of 2015?
Yeah. Hey, good morning, Meyer. I think with our earlier comments is we probably just were giving some guidance to be a little bit conservative there. Specifically our FIU business, the Florida Intracoastal Underwriters. We are seeing quite a bit of pressure on contingents there. Just one off of the fact that rates are down, that's going to cause some pressure in the back end of the year. Would say probably our recommendation is don't model on organic growth rates because that's not what we're seeing right now.
Okay, that's helpful. A couple of years ago, I guess, there was the expectation that the aftermarket program in non-standard auto, you were a little bit limited in terms of immediate margin expansion, but that would alleviate over time. Can we get an update on that?
Sure. The answer is, we are working towards that. We're pleased with the performance. You're correct in saying in the first 18-24 months, we had a commitment relative to that and relative to staffing levels and some other things. We're very pleased with the teammates that have come over and the performance so far. We also have the capability now. We're expanding in certain instances, based on working with our trading partner there on their technology platform. We may not be out in the distribution broadly as quickly as we both had wanted, but we're getting there. The margins are improving there. They are not yet at historical margins for the area, but we're moving towards that.
Okay, one last question, if I can. The Washington issue, does that reverse itself in 2016, or should we just assume that the lines are terminated, you feel the impact this year, and they're just not relevant?
Yeah. No, we don't see it reversing itself in 2016. Meyer, I think, the issue, as we can understand it and talking with our teammates out there is this is not something that seems to be beneficial to the actual clients themselves. Down the road, could there be something else that would present an opportunity? I don't know. Right now, we're operating that we don't think that there is a way to recoup that revenue in the form of the association business that we currently have or is currently being terminated.
Okay. Thank you very much. That's very helpful.
Thank you.
As a reminder, that is star one to ask a question. We'll take our next question from Ryan Burns with Janney Capital.
Good morning, guys. Just wanted to drill down a little bit further on the employee benefit book. I have a note here saying that it was about $250 million in annual revenue. I was wondering if you guys could kind of quantify, I guess, the small business unit, which is experiencing some pressure versus, I guess, the more medium to larger scale life business, and which obviously has some opportunities going forward.
Okay. Ryan, good morning. If you remember, we've basically said in the past, it's about $150 million of health and about $100 million of ancillary lines. Let's start with that. The second part is, we've said about just over half of that, 150 would be under 100 lives. That's how we've articulated it in the past. We have not broken it out in any other format relative to layers and slices and all that other stuff. Suffice it to say that we're working very hard on solutions for both segments, meaning the smaller group and the larger group. We believe that there continues to be an evolution on the small group where technology will, I believe, continue to play a bigger and bigger role.
Depending on how and what state you're in, how you have viewed state exchanges versus national exchanges and the subsidies, that may play a role into it as well. That does not diminish the fact that on our larger clients, technology is categorically a solution. The discussion is more than just a discussion around healthcare cost. It's a discussion around ancillary benefits. It's a discussion around voluntary benefits. It's a discussion around wellness. It's a discussion around a bunch of things. Just as you break it down, think $100 million of ancillaries. Of the 150 left, just over half of that's under 100 lives.
Great. That's great color. Just my last, my second one was, are these kind of the changes in regulation in Washington? Is that a unique program to Washington or a unique change in the law? Could that impact other states as well, that they would have any sort of impact to Brown?
Yeah. To the best of our knowledge, this is the only state, well, let me back up. This is the only state where we have written associations like this. That's number one. Number two, we're not aware of a similar or related type of business inside of Brown & Brown that would be affected, that comes right to mind by a law change by an insurance commissioner. As you know, all of our business continues to be subject to the ACA and the implementation, and more importantly, the changes and the interpretation, I think, is the important thing. The interpretation of the law is continuing to evolve and you would like and we would like, we're together, we're sympatico on this. We would like absolute clarity and transparency. There is not absolute clarity and transparency in ACA.
That does create opportunities, but it continues to create a lot of disruption.
Great. Thanks a lot, guys.
Okay.
We'll take our next question from Adam Klauber with William Blair.
Good morning, thanks. In wholesale division, how are submission levels compared to maybe six, nine months ago?
Submission levels are up.
Okay. They're still pretty robust?
Yes, they are robust. See, what I would tell you, Adam, is this. You got a significant rate pressure on the cat property, so that's in the brokerage side. Remember, 60 is binding authority.
Right.
There's downward pressure on that property as well, but not as much as the cat property.
Okay. One of your competitors, Amwins, did a quota share to a quasi alternative capital provider. Are you looking at similar transactions in that division?
We always look or are constantly looking at solutions and alternatives in both wholesale and our programs businesses. From a standpoint of what they have done and some other competitors, we have not done that in the history yet of Brown & Brown. I'm not saying that we would not consider it, but at the present, we have not considered it seriously.
Okay, thank you. Sorry if you said this, what's going on with workers' comp rates right now?
Depending on the state, they could be flat, they could be up slightly. Depends on the state. As I like to say, places like California, it's always the Wild West, literally and figuratively. You look at places like Florida and other places around the country, it's a mixed bag, up, down, or flat.
Okay. Thank you very much.
We'll take our next question from Charles Sebaski with BMO Capital Markets.
Good morning.
Good morning.
Had a question on the Wright Flood program and some of the press reports we've read about what's going on with Congress and that program. Some of the politicians, and I don't know if you think it's just politicians speak, but regarding the Wright Flood, the claims issues about potentially revoking National Flood Charter authorization. If you view that as at least a potential, or has any legitimacy of potential outcome. If so, would you guys have any recourse back against Aquiline Partners in reps and warranty or anything else if for the worst case scenario, you lost a charter for the Wright Flood Insurance program?
Okay. The answer to the question is, we have our Wright Flood renewal that comes up annually in October. That's number one. Number two, this is a, as I said earlier, a complicated situation. There are lots of people who are working towards solutions for their constituents. There will continue to be, we believe, a lot of discussion around this particular topic. We can only suffice to say are committed to, number one, our partnership with FEMA, two, to our policyholders and our teammates at Wright Flood, and we're committed to work through the issues as they sit out there to the best result of those policyholders. Anything else would be pure speculation, and we would.
Would you have recourse back against Aquiline or in the event that something adverse happened?
Like I said, Charles, I would prefer not to speculate on that.
Thank you very much.
Thank you. That concludes today's question and answer session. Powell Brown, I'd like to turn the conference back over to you for any additional or closing remarks.
Okay, Christy, thank you all very much, and we look forward to talking to you after the Q2 release. You all have a nice day, and thank you very much.
That concludes today's conference.