The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE)
NASDAQ: CAKE · Real-Time Price · USD
77.19
+1.67 (2.21%)
At close: Jun 18, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
76.66
-0.53 (-0.69%)
After-hours: Jun 18, 2026, 7:58 PM EDT

The Cheesecake Factory Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

According to 20 analysts polled by S&P Global, The Cheesecake Factory stock has a consensus rating of "Hold" and an average price target of $66.19. The average 1-year stock price forecast is 14.25% lower than the current stock price, while the lowest is $50 (-35.22%) and the highest is $76 (-1.54%).

Price Target: $66.19 (-14.25%)
Analyst Consensus: Hold
TargetLowAverageMedianHigh
Price$50$66.19$67$76
Change-35.22%-14.25%-13.20%-1.54%

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for The Cheesecake Factory stock is "Hold". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to perform similarly to the overall market.

Recommendation Trends

RatingJan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26
Strong Buy877776
Buy000000
Hold91010101011
Sell222211
Strong Sell222222
Total212121212020

Latest Forecasts

AnalystFirmRatingRatingActionPrice TargetUpsideDate
Northcoast Research
Northcoast Research
Hold
Downgrades
$76
HoldDowngrades$76-1.54%Jun 15, 2026
J.P. Morgan
J.P. Morgan
Hold
Upgrades
$68
HoldUpgrades$68-11.91%May 19, 2026
Argus Research
Argus Research
Buy
Reiterates
$65$72
BuyReiterates$65$72-6.72%May 1, 2026
Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank
Hold
Maintains
$67$68
HoldMaintains$67$68-11.91%Apr 30, 2026
Raymond James
Raymond James
Hold
Reiterates
n/a
HoldReiteratesn/an/aApr 30, 2026
More Analyst Ratings

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year
3.92B
from 3.75B
Increased by 4.50%
Revenue Next Year
4.18B
from 3.92B
Increased by 6.57%
EPS This Year
4.03
from 3.77
Increased by 6.99%
EPS Next Year
4.45
from 4.03
Increased by 10.30%
Fiscal YearFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Period EndingDec 28, 2021Jan 3, 2023Jan 2, 2024Dec 31, 2024Dec 30, 2025Dec 31, 2026
Revenue
2.93B3.30B3.44B3.58B3.75B3.92B
Revenue Growth
47.62%12.83%4.13%4.13%4.75%4.50%
Gross Profit
1.20B1.19B1.31B1.41B1.52B636.47M
Gross Margin
41.05%36.06%38.05%39.30%40.39%16.23%
Operating Income
119.97M83.69M149.72M194.39M224.72M228.20M
Net Income
72.37M43.12M101.35M156.78M148.43M196.66M
EPS
----3.774.03
EPS Growth
----9.59%6.99%
Forward PE
13.7511.7611.6813.3112.7319.14
Dividend / Share
-0.811.081.081.081.22
Dividend Growth
--33.33%--12.65%
Free Cash Flow
134.51M47.78M47.99M108.66M118.93M161.77M
No. Analysts
-----18
EPS and Forward PE are based on non-GAAP adjusted numbers.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue202620272028
High3.9B
Avg3.9B
Low3.9B

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth202620272028
High
5.1%
Avg
4.5%
Low
4.1%

EPS Forecast

EPS202620272028
High4.14
Avg4.03
Low3.68

EPS Growth

EPS Growth202620272028
High
9.8%
Avg
7.0%
Low
-2.4%