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Earnings Call: Q3 2019
Nov 1, 2019
Good morning, and welcome to the Cboe Global Markets 2019 Third Quarter Financial Results Conference Call. All participants will be in listen only mode. Please note, this event is being recorded. I now would like to turn the conference over to Debbie Koopman. Please go ahead, ma'am.
Thank you, Keith. Good morning, and thank you for joining us for our Q3 earnings conference call. On the call today, Ed Tilly, our Chairman, President and CEO, will discuss the quarter and provide an update on our strategic initiatives. Then Brian Schell, our Executive Vice President and CFO, will provide an overview of our Q3 2019 financial results and updated guidance for certain financial metrics. Following their comments, we will open the call to Q and A.
Also joining us for Q and A will be our Chief Operating Officer, Pete Isaacson and our Chief Strategy Officer, John Deters. In addition, I'd like to point out that this presentation will include the use of slides. We will be showing the slides and providing commentary on each. A downloadable copy of the slide presentation is available on the Investor Relations portion of our website. During our remarks, we will make some forward looking statements, which represent our current judgment on what the future may hold.
And while we believe these judgments are reasonable, these forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain assumptions, risks and uncertainties. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or implied in any forward looking statements. Please refer to our filings with the SEC for a full discussion of the factors that may affect any forward looking statements. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, after this conference call. During the course of the call this morning, we will be referring to non GAAP measures as defined and reconciled in our earnings materials.
Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Ed Tilly.
Thank you, Debbie. Good morning and thank you for joining us today. I'm pleased to report on financial results for the Q3 2019 at Cboe Global Markets, where we continue to focus on executing our strategic initiatives to drive long term growth, including the migration of Cboe Options Exchange to our proprietary technology. That migration, which marked the final step on our company's multi exchange technology integration, was completed on October 7. The successful completion of the integration provides our customers with a single world class trading experience across our markets, enhancing our value proposition for customers and shareholders alike.
This major step forward also enables us to redirect our technology efforts toward accelerating our organic growth as we pivot from integration to building new technologies, including the development of a state of the art research and data platform and enhancing the global distribution of our products. We're grateful to our customers for their loyalty and assistance. I thank them for working with us throughout this major effort. In return, we are committed to continually upgrading our technology to meet their evolving needs and to provide them with unparalleled service. With that, I will turn to our overview of the trading and volatility landscape with an update on strategic growth initiatives to increase trading in our proprietary products.
Equity markets remained strong and volatile in the Q3 as ongoing global growth concerns continued. The Federal Reserve responded with rate cuts in July, September and earlier this week, but in each instance remained non committal regarding further easing going forward. We believe this uncertainty combined with the lack of concrete plans to resolve the U. S.-China trade war, continued to drive hedging activity. Index options and futures volume at Xevo climbed higher in the 3rd quarter.
Index options volume rose 13% year over year, led by a 23% increase in VIX options trading and a 6% increase in SVX options. SVX Flex open interest also hit a new all time record high of more than 925,000 contracts. Cboe created flex options to provide investors with a customizable way to manage risk and a centrally cleared alternative to the OTC market. Options based strategies used by mutual funds and ETFs continue to be a key growth driver. According to Morningstar data, assets under management tied to options based strategies hit paid strategies hit a record $22,000,000,000 at the end of August, an increase of 24% this year and is on track for one of the biggest advances of the past decade.
Looking ahead in index options trading, we responded to customer demand by adding Monday expiring options to XSP, our mini SPX contract, which provides our customers with a smaller notional contract able to address their more granular risk management needs. In addition, we listed October 20 November 20 Friday SPX options expirations, providing greater position around options positioning going into the 2020 presidential election. Open interest grew to over 30,000 contracts in just the 1st 4 weeks of trading. Turning now to 3Q 2019 VIX futures volume, which increased 19% year over year, primarily driven by robust volumes in August and continued growth in the volatility linked ETP complex. Volatility linked ETP AUM reached $4,800,000,000 in early October, its highest level since January 2018 and continues to be driven by growth in both long and levered long funds.
Long and levered long AUM represented over 90% of total AUM versus its previous high of just under 40% in January 20 18. Education and client outreach is key to increasing trading in and expanding the customer base for all of our proprietary products. In September, we hosted our 8th Annual European Risk Management Conference held this year in Munich. The event drew a near record number of participants from 16 countries to explore the latest in derivative strategy and risk management. Industry experts delivered over 20 different presentations with themes ranging from how changes in margin and capital requirements will affect portfolios to how institutional investors use option strategies to manage risk.
Organic growth remains our primary focus. We continue to evolve our sales and coverage teams, including adding top industry talent to better address our clients' needs and deliver best in class risk management solutions. Now turning to European Equities. As announced this morning, Mark Hemsley, President of Cboe Europe is expected to retire at the end of February 2020 after 11 successful years at the company. Mark's many contributions include positioning Cboe Europe for future success by establishing a strong team of trading, technology and capital markets experts.
While Mark remains at Cboe for several more months, I would like to take this Dave Howson, currently COO of Cboe Europe is expected to succeed Mark. Since joining the company in 2013, Dave has worked closely with Mark to shape and drive our Europe strategy and has been the driving force behind many of our successful product launches and technology initiatives. Dave's appointment is part of a long established succession plan and he has the full support of the Cboe Global Markets Board and management team. In other Cboe Europe developments, we recently launched our Netherlands based trade reporting facility and trading venue to provide customers with an EU venue to conduct equities trading and trade reporting activities for European Economic Area Stocks. Our fully operational Dutch venue enables us to continue to service our pan European customer base should future political regulatory developments hamper cross border equity trading, while also positioning us to further expand our business.
While overall European equities volume remained light in the Q3, closing auction volume continued to rise in Europe. In response, this past August, we launched Cboe Closing Cross, which we designed to bring needed competition to the post close trading session. The new service is intended to provide a cost effective one stop solution for customers looking to execute their post trade trading activities across 17 European markets. In closing, I'd like to thank our team for the progress made throughout the Q3 and laying the foundation for our company's ongoing growth. Their ability to successfully conclude a massive technology integration and upgrade on time and with little to no disruption to our customers is to be commended.
Our unique and expansive product set now trades on 1 world class platform. With this foundation in place, we are redoubling our efforts to mine the considerable opportunities we see for continued organic growth at Cboe Global Markets. We will leverage our technology and efficiently focus sales force and a new initiative to revamp our educational efforts to expand our customer reach, to set new standards and training resources and with our customers to define the marketplace of tomorrow. With that, I will now turn it over to Brian.
Thanks, Ed, and good morning, everyone. Before I begin, I want to remind everyone that unless specifically noted, my comments relate to Q3 2019 as compared to Q3 2018 and are based on our non GAAP adjusted results. Overall, our net revenue was up 9% with net transaction fees up 7% and non transaction revenue up 11%. Adjusted EBITDA rose 15% with margin increasing 3 80 basis points to nearly 71%. And finally, our adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 22% to 1.29 dollars The press release we issued this morning and our slide deck provide the key operating metrics on volume and revenue capture for each of our segments, as well as an overview of key revenue variances.
I'd like to briefly highlight some of the key drivers influencing our performance in each business segment. A consistent theme for Cboe this year has been the growth of our recurring revenue stream of proprietary market data and accessing capacity fees. Combined, they increased 6% in the quarter and 7% year to date compared to the same periods last year, in line with our expectations for mid to high single digit growth in 2019. We continue to see opportunity across all of our asset classes and believe that the completion of our technology migration will provide additional revenue opportunity over the long term. As it relates to proprietary market data, about 75% of this growth this quarter was a result of incremental subscriptions and nearly 85% of the growth of our access to capacity fees was also attributable to incremental units.
Now I'd like to turn to our segments. In our Options segment, the 10% or $13,000,000 increase in net revenue was primarily driven by growth in net transaction fees and market data fees, with non transaction fees up 10%. Indexed Options average daily volume or ADV was up 13% for the quarter and revenue per contract or RPC was up 2%, with the latter reflecting a change in mix within our SPX products. In multi list options, a 15% increase in ADV was offset by an 18% decline in RPC, reflecting higher volume based rebates as our market share moved up over 200 basis points year over year and 130 basis points compared to Q2 2019, driven by increased member order flow. Turning to Futures.
The 28% or $8,000,000 increase in net revenue primarily resulted from a 17% increase in ADV and a 2% increase in RPC. The higher RPC year over year primarily reflects the impact of new pricing implemented in the latter part of 2018, as well as lower volume based rebates. Futures revenue also included $2,700,000 from incremental equity received as a result of an agreement with American Financial Exchange related to the launch of AFX Futures on CFE. This income was included in other revenue and is not expected to be a recurring item. Turning to U.
S. Equities, net revenue was up 6% or $4,000,000 primarily due to higher SIP market data revenue as a result of audit recoveries of a similar amount. This increase was offset somewhat by a decrease in net transaction fees, resulting from a 23% decline in net capture on flat matched ADV. The net capture decline net capture decline reflects fee changes implemented in the Q2 aimed at capturing additional market share. Market share for the 3rd quarter increased to 17.2% from 15.7% in the Q2 of 2019 and was down just slightly from last year's Q3.
Net revenue for European Equities decreased 7% on a U. S. Dollar basis, reflecting the unfavorable impact of foreign currency translation and lower market volumes. On a local currency basis, net revenue was down only 2%, reflecting a 13% decrease in transaction fees, offset somewhat by a 16% increase in non transaction revenue. The growth in non transaction revenue reflects increases in access capacity fees and other revenue, which includes licensing and trade reporting revenue.
Decline in net transaction fees was due to lower market volumes and market share, offset somewhat by favorable net capture. The higher capture resulted from continued strong periodic auction and LIS volume. We attribute a portion of the lower volumes and market share to the ongoing uncertainty around the timing and final outcome of Brexit and Swiss equivalency. Net revenue for Global FX decreased 4% this quarter, reflecting a 12% decline in market volumes, offset somewhat by a 7% increase in net capture, primarily reflecting the impact of fee changes made in 2018. In addition, market share of 14.9% was down 70 basis points year over year.
Turning to expenses. Total adjusted operating expenses were about $97,000,000 for the quarter, down 3% versus last year's Q3. The key expense variance was in compensation and benefits, primarily resulting from a decrease in incentive and equity based compensation. Decline in incentive based compensation is aligned with our year to date financial performance versus targeted performance. As a result of the year to date decrease, primarily in compensation and benefits, relative to our original expectations, we are adjusting our full year 2019 expense guidance to be in the range of $390,000,000 to $395,000,000 down $15,000,000 to $18,000,000 from our previous guidance range.
With respect to our 2020 expense guidance, we still expect a range of $420,000,000 to $428,000,000 which takes into account, among other things, achieving our targeted incentive compensation in 2020, the absence of approximately $6,000,000 in favorable expense adjustments in 2019, transitioning to our new corporate headquarters in 2020 and moving our trading floor in 2021, which creates some short term duplicative expenses. The benefit of synergies expected to be realized in 2020 from the C1 technology migration and the continuation of investing to support our organic growth initiatives, which Ed referenced earlier. We plan to finalize our 2020 expense guidance on the next earnings call. Once we have completed our 2020 business plan, including any potential negative P and L impact from the amount of software development expensed versus capitalized. With the final technology migration complete, we are reaffirming our run rate synergy target with a high degree of confidence.
Chris Isaacson and his team concluded the technology migration in line with the updated plan established in May of 2018. We expect 2019 with $80,000,000 of run rate synergies and exit 2020 with $85,000,000 Note that the remaining $5,000,000 of run rate synergies in 2020 will be reflected in a reduction in cost of revenues versus operating expenses. Turning to income taxes. Our effective tax rate on adjusted earnings for the quarter was 24.1%, below our prior guidance and lower than last year's Q3 rate of 26.4%. The tax rate decrease was primarily due to benefits related to tax reform and recognized upon the completion of our 2018 U.
S. Federal income tax return. We are adjusting our full year 2019 tax rate on adjusted earnings guidance to be in a range of 25.5 percent to 27.5 percent, down from 27% to 29%. We are also adjusting our guidance for capital spending to $35,000,000 to $40,000,000 down from $50,000,000 to $55,000,000
due to
a shift in timing for leasehold improvements associated with Chicago headquarters relocation. We now expect those dollars to move into 2020. Furthermore, we are reaffirming our guidance range for depreciation and amortization of $35,000,000 to $40,000,000 for 20.19. Before I review our capital allocation activities, we discussed the potential sale of our headquarters building in our last earnings call. I'd like to note that the cash proceeds from the sale the potential sale is expected to be less than $30,000,000 and are not likely to be received until sometime in 2021.
Turning to capital allocation. We remain committed to a disciplined and consistent capital allocation strategy that includes reinvesting in our business, complementing our organic growth potential acquisitions and providing steady distributions to our shareholders through increased dividends and opportunistic share repurchases in order to maximize shareholder value. During the Q3, we returned over $40,000,000 to shareholders through dividends and $52,000,000 through share repurchases. Furthermore, earlier this week, our Board increased our share repurchase authorization by $250,000,000 Including this new authorization and share repurchase of over $55,000,000 in October, we had approximately $313,000,000 of share repurchase authorization available at October 30, 2019. During the quarter, we also used $50,000,000 to reduce debt under our term loan agreement.
Our debt now stands at $875,000,000 and we have $250,000,000 in availability under our revolver if a short term funding need arises. At quarter end, our leverage ratio stands at 1.1 times, down from 1.2 times at the end of the second quarter, and we ended the quarter with adjusted cash of $151,000,000 In summary, Cboe is executing on strategic initiatives and setting the stage for both short term and long term performance with our continued focus on defining markets globally, growing our proprietary index products, growing our recurring revenue streams, leveraging our freed up technology resources to focus on organic growth initiatives, disciplined expense management to leverage the scale of our business, delivering on our synergy targets, maintaining balance sheet flexibility and the capital allocation plan that allows us to invest in the growth of our business by returning capital to shareholders through dividends and opportunistic share repurchases. With that, I will turn it over to Debbie for instructions on the Q and A portion of the call.
Thanks, Brian. At this point, we'd be happy to take your questions. We ask that you please limit
Yes. Thank
you.
And the first question comes from Rich Repetto with Sandler O'Neill.
Yes. Good morning, Ed. Good morning, Brian. First, I want to give a shout out to Mark. I know he's been a big contributor to the European success over a decade now.
So we're going to miss him.
Thanks for that, Rich.
Thank you.
Next, I guess, Brian, on the expense guidance, you certainly outperformed this quarter. You lowered guidance for the year. When we run through the numbers and take a look at what the guidance for next year, the $420,000,000 to $428,000,000 compared to the midpoint of this year, I mean, it still looks like an 8% increase at the midpoint. I mean, that's and I would expect you'd still get some, what do you call, carryover synergies. So could you walk us through or how you're looking at where these the expense increases at least initially right now that you got in those numbers?
Rich, just to clarify, you're talking about for 2020? Yes. So as you look through the if you think about the math of how we're kind of getting to that kind of that consistent kind of range that we put out there for 2020, when we walk back through it, I kind of gave you a list of items that you need to factor in your calculus for 2020 is and I'll walk through them just briefly again is when you look at some of the items that we had a favorable impact of with a senior leadership departure, there were some accounting adjustments there. I think we quantified that to $6,000,000 $7,000,000 previously. When I personally like to add back what I'm hoping to target to make on incentive compensation for the entire organization, That's another quantify that, call it, dollars 10,000,000 to $15,000,000 that would just re add right back on to the expense base rolling forward.
When you look at the impact of the and we've laid out a table and thanks to Debbie Koopman of working with the finance team and helping the analysts and the investment community understand laying that table out today, fully understand the timing and how those expense synergies hit our income statement is we're looking for all around here roughly $20,000,000 of benefit coming into 2020 that we didn't get the run rate benefit of in 2019. That's largely offset if you look at our historical core growth expense rate, expense rate growth of roughly it's been ranging over 4% to 6% over time. And if you take even at the low end of that roughly the 4% on a base of roughly $400,000,000 that's largely offsets the synergies that we incremental synergies expect to realize. So that puts us in the low $4,000,000 call it $4,100,000 to $4,100,000 range of expenses into 2020. And then we've as you've heard us talk about with the incremental investments that we're focusing on and what we want to do as far as continuing to plow our efforts back into the organic growth of the business.
That's going to require additional operating expense. We've talked about some of the duplicate short term expenses of some of the occupancy that we have. And a little bit of the wild card there is, and this is a really high class problem to have with the wonderful world class technology team that we have is that the efficiency of which they develop technology and how we look at our software capitalization process, We do follow GAAP. We absolutely follow GAAP. But the spend that they have is such a smaller footprint and the speed of which they develop and implement, it doesn't allow for a large accumulation of dollars on any one project such that it triggers our software capitalization development threshold, so that it enters the balance sheet and therefore it's just immediately expensed.
So while on a cash flow basis, it's much, much more efficient over time, it doesn't show up and it shows up as a short term GAAP expense issue as if we're spending more money, where in reality, the benefit of the organization is actually better from a cash flow standpoint. And it just doesn't show up in a P and L basis until say 5, 6, 7 years down the road when the amortization of what has been capitalized eventually runs off. So it's a wonderful problem to have and we'll highlight it for everyone and try and model that out. But I shake my head and look at Chris, you're killing me. But anyway, so but it's a wonderful problem to have again with the efficiency.
And so that very quickly as you add those 4, 5, 6 items back into the run rate from 2019, we very easily get back to
that range.
Okay. Thanks for running through that and I won't make any smart guy comments about Alan Dean conservatism there.
He just did, Rich. I'm sure he's listening. He's not hearing you correctly.
I'm sure
he is. He's proud right now.
Wow. Thank you. And the next question comes from Ken Worthington with JPMorgan.
Hi, good morning. With the new technology launch for C1, what changes have you seen in trading metrics thus far? And are the changes to trading functionality or protocol that are now being implemented or contemplated for SP X or VIX as a result of the migration. And then you mentioned the opportunity for new data access and other products as a result of the migration. So can you update us on your thoughts or even timing here?
Yes. Good morning, Ken. Thanks for the question. I'm extremely pleased to report on the successful migration and what we've seen thus far. As Ed mentioned, we are now on a common world class platform across our equity options and futures exchanges.
And what we've seen in the 1st 4 weeks today is the end of the 4th week post migration What we've seen thus far is a more deterministic platform. As Brian mentioned, we're actually now already on software releases, so we've found a new normal operations, which allows us to better respond to our customers in a more agile way. There's better capacity, better risk controls and improved complex order handling. As a major part of this integration, we also made some pretty material enhancements to the VIX settlement process to improve liquidity. You were asking about SPX and VIX.
Very pleased to report on October 16, we had our 1st monthly VIX settlement. And as a result of those changes, we traded almost 128,000 contracts right at the mid market. Those changes included providing better certainty for conversions of a traded settlement. We have a lot better visibility and access into the auction because we're providing more granular market data to market participants. We improved the clarity of the rules around settlement and we are enforcing them systematically.
And this has all led to increased participation by members, resulting in about a 40% tighter spread around the auction. And so as a global leader in volatility, we'll continue to engage with customers to see how we can continue to improve this process, but extremely pleased about the overall migration, what we're seeing thus far, as well as that first VIX settlement. You asked also about, 2020 and the data platform. The data platform is really the one of the key initiatives we're very excited about for 2020. I'd say we have really 5 goals with that platform.
1, to enable better data driven decision making for us and our customers 2, to provide actionable insight within and across all of our markets. We want to standardize and monetize our historical data in a better way. We want to facilitate new tradable products. And finally, better define and measure our increased sales and distribution efforts that Ed and Brian both talked about across our customer segments and geographies, but especially in our prop products. So that data platform, we're just getting started.
We just finished migration, so we're in the design phase right now. But we think this data platform is going to give us better visibility into product usage, highlight capital and efficiencies that we can help solve, and give us better cross market analytics. And this is really us doubling down on previous investments we've made, smaller investments. If you think about investments that Cboe made with Livevol for enhanced derived data and even a previous effort in our FX market around liquidity management that has driven growth in that business line. We're extremely excited about this for 2020.
Chris, I think you left out the Silex and Flex integration, and we called out Flex and the growth of Open Interest. So maybe if you can touch on that a bit too, because it does add color to enhancements for SPX and the product offering in a much bigger way. So maybe just a couple of words on that.
Yes. Part of the integration, Ken, we obviously bought Silex about 2 years ago, 2017. And we immediately saw the opportunity there to have Silex as the front end to be used to enter Flex orders and you we showed you the Flex growth this year that's been tremendous. And with the migration, Silex is now the front end for all Flex for our customers. And on the first day on the 1st week, we traded more than 100,000 contracts through, the Silex platform on Flex.
And we're we expect that we'll continue to add more features and functionality for Flex. There's already a laundry list that folks have brought forward and we're excited to work through that list as we enter 2020.
And then I'd like to punch one more of the points you made and I can't stress enough how capital efficiencies in recognizing potential offsets among our product sets that make or break the adoption of new product. And certainly, we expect with capital efficiencies and identifying those margin offsets should increase existing customers being able to engage with new ways of our existing products and in much bigger ways. So a lot of information coming as a result of the completion of this platform, but it is a 2020 effort and it's what we want to deliver to the marketplace.
Okay, great. Thank you very much.
Thank you. And the next question comes from Michael Carrier with Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Good morning and thanks for taking the question. Hey, Brian, just two clarifications on the guidance in 'twenty. So you mentioned the $10,000,000 to $15,000,000 in incentive comp. I guess just not wanting you to predict volumes, but just what environment or maybe metrics do you need to meet or hit that level? Just given that obviously 2019 was tougher for the whole industry it seems like incentive comp is on the low side.
So just want to make sure that's tied into like a similar kind of revenue environment for your expectations. And then just on your tax guide, you mentioned the lower for 2019. Does that flow into 2020 or too early to tell, but any guidance there would be helpful. Thanks.
Thanks. Good questions for clarification for 'twenty. And so on the 2020, I would just say that the and again, this is all contingent upon a 2020 business plan and what we work with our Board as far as where we are and what are those targets and as we set our compensation and what our target should be. That is not final. And obviously, the extent that we can disclose things that we will and we can in our proxy, things of that nature.
But broadly, I would just say that it will have to be a it will be a better environment growth. We are largely focused on growth and that incentive comp is there to be make sure it's in alignment with growth. So I can't really provide you the clarity on what those numbers are other than I can assure you that as such as the case as it sounds, we are paid to grow this business and that shareholder value. And so there's an expectation that the numbers that we deliver are better than where they were previously. So I don't mean to be flip, but I just don't have a specific metrics to give you on that number as far as those metrics go.
Let me take it a little higher though, Brian, and kind of answer the question a little bit repeating what we said last quarter. And we've identified the demand from our customer base for more knowledge and product use case. That investment in our team has already started. And so the restructuring and redefine Global Client Services team is really built and has been built over the last 6 months to better align the sales and coverage with our customers' needs. That's where it starts.
So if we align and we're going to tell our Board that there's an organic growth story for 2020 and we have the team on the field ready to go. That's how the incentive comp and that's how the structure changes and that's what we're going to be presenting to our Board in the December cycle for business plan for 2020. But it is an organic growth story that's already started with the people.
Michael, this is John. And just while we're on that topic also there's an intentional tie in here with what Chris was talking about in terms of our data platform build out in 2020, which is that we need to be able to understand very precisely where to target our Global Client Services team's efforts. And then once they've targeted those efforts in a particular area to benchmark our performance, how are we doing, how are we doing reaching those clients and educating them. So all of this is really a kind of a holistic effort to accelerate our organic growth into 2020.
And then the tax rate, if you
had it. Thanks.
Sure. And then to follow-up on the tax rate, if you look at our tax rate and what's driving the lower numbers, the lower effective tax rate, and I think if you look in context for where we were in 2018, where we've guided for 2019 and then just a peek at 2020 and think about that. The lower numbers of what you've seen have largely been driven by discrete items that aren't necessarily as predictable clearly year over year. And if you look at 2018, for example, we had close to 4 percentage points of discrete items that kind of lowered our rate. And kind of if you look at if you back that out, that was roughly 29% in effective tax rate.
If you look at the midpoint of 2019 and where we are and you look at the discrete items of where we are and we back those out, we get close to that 28%, 29% level as far as where that kind of run rate goes. 2020 will largely be indicative of the level of discrete items that we have, but I would say it anchors around closer to that 28%, 29% range of what we've seen in 2018 2019. I know some of the other exchanges have talked about the foreign derived intangible income benefit that they've received and they've recognized that benefit with some clarity around the 2018 tax return as they've updated their returns and received some final technical guidance. We do not have as large of a benefit from that just given the relative composition of our revenue base. There is some, it's marginal and it's just not the same order of magnitude as the other exchanges.
So we don't expect that same continuation similar to what others have reported going into the 2020 rate.
All right. Thanks for all the color.
Thank you. And the next question comes from Chris Allen with Compass Point.
Good morning, everyone. I just wanted to follow-up on Ken's question earlier about the C1, the impact of the migration. I wondering if you could give us any color in terms of what the impact has been from maybe from a depth of book perspective, impact on spreads in the market. Just looking for something to quantify market quality impact. And also, can you give us an update in terms of the key products, the trades continue to trade on the floor where they currently stand in terms of percentage of floor based trading, whether you've seen any impact from the initial migration?
Thanks.
Yes. Thanks, Chris. I'll take that question. So yes, I'd say it's a little early to draw any firm conclusions given we're just 4 weeks in. But I will just I want to offer thanks to our customers on the day after migration, we all the customers that trade on Friday, trade on Monday.
So liquidity metrics, I don't have any hard and firm market quality metrics to give you. All I can say is that the break between floor and electronic trading is roughly the same, maybe a percentage or 2, higher or lower depending upon the day. We continue to see market share and volumes that are basically identical to what they were. For instance, if you look at October 11, the Friday after migration, so 5 days in, our market share and our volume were basically identical to what they were on October 4, which was pretty amazing from my perspective. Thanks to our customers engagement and a great effort by the Cboe Associates.
So a little early to say on exactly how market quality metrics are going to be going forward. We can probably provide a lot more color on the next call. On that, I did provide some market quality metrics around the VIX settlement. As I said, 40% tighter spreads leading into that critical settlement. So what we've seen thus far is positive, but too early to have any firm conclusions.
Thanks guys.
Thank you. And the next question comes from Alex Kramm with UBS.
Hey, good morning everyone. Just wanted to shift gears to the equities business for a second. I think you gave a decent amount color on kind of like the quarter over quarter pricing decline, the net capture decline. I just wanted you to flush it out maybe a little bit more. And the reason why I ask is, I mean, obviously, the 3rd quarter was a good volume quarter.
Your volume was up 11% quarter over quarter. But if you look at it in terms of revenues for the whole segment, even including the pickup in market data revenues, if you back out the audit fees, I mean, I think you made $3,000,000 less quarter over quarter. So just wondering what you're doing exactly there because the math doesn't seem to make
sense. No, Alex, that's a fair point. And we knew that going in that this is a versus managing it, I'll call it quarter over quarter or either consecutive or year over year is that we announced, we were very clear that we were not happy with the market share that where we were call it the 2nd quarter of the prior year and we made those pricing changes. And it was a series of pricing changes on the various exchange medallions and where we wanted to reestablish a higher number than where we were sitting. And we looked at that as a long term play is that we know that shorter term, we could potentially have a slip in the overall net revenue number with some of the pricing changes we're making, but we believe that the long term value of that business requires a level of market share that's closer to where we are today and such that it continues to promote the value of our market data, the value of our access capacity fees.
So it's you have to look at it in combination over a longer term trend versus a quarter over quarter over change is the way I'd encourage. It's certainly the way we look at it. So we'd encourage people to hopefully take that same point of view when they're looking at the value overall of what we're doing manage that business.
And Alex, Brian covered it well, but even today, we this was all in preparation for we would launch retail priority today on the EDGX book. The market share gain has primarily come on EDGX where we're trying to invite retail back to that market now with this new feature that's not really based on lower net capture or buying the market shares based on functionality and priority. We're quite pleased with the progress we've made in the Q3 exactly as we had intended to do. And as Brian said, this is a long term investment in a business that we're committed to and we're we'll continue to compete for that market share and tune capture as we go along.
Makes sense. It is competitive. Thank you.
Thank you. And the next question comes from Brian Bedell with Deutsche Bank.
Great. Thanks. Good morning, guys. Maybe just to go back on the expenses for 2020 and to think about it in a different lens, in an adjusted operating margin lens. So, solid margin this quarter.
As we think about 2020 and that expense outlook, is it possible to improve on this margin or do you view this Q3 as a high point? And then just different components of that, maybe if you can comment on to what extent you think trading volume could improve as the results of the better liquidity and functionality of the new system? And then, Brian, if you just want to just talk about the duplicate expenses from the headquarters transition that's in the 2020 number?
Okay. I think there were 3 or 4 questions, Eric. We'll try
and break those down. He's pretty good at that. I mean, he gets to me, that's the rebuttal trick right there.
So I'm going to try and maybe duplicate the excuse me, duplicate. I'll try to group the expense questions together, hopefully get those. And then I think we'll move the trading volumeimprovements to liquidity as the last item we'll try to address. And I'm sure the team is looking at me and they probably don't want me to. But anyway, so we'll let's talk about the improved margin.
So the margin that we have is that we have a margin threshold and we don't manage the business by I have to have X percent of EBITDA margin. Again, they are a short term measure of how effective you were in maybe particular quarter over a period of time. And so we're looking at that, I think it's better to look at margins over at least on an annual basis versus any 1 quarter. We had some if you look, for example, we had some other income that hit this quarter that aren't kind of always part of the core run rate of what we're doing. There were certainly activities that we did to earn that income.
And if you back out some of those items, the EBITDA margin was probably closer to that. It probably declines by 150 basis points roughly of that 68.5% to 69% versus closer to 71% that were reported. And a measure I do like to look at is, as you look at performances, what is the margin on the incremental revenues over different periods and in this particular quarter and you see this a lot or certainly we've seen this when you introduce synergies and you're becoming more efficient. A lot of times the margin on an incremental revenue is in excess of 100%, which we did in this quarter. And that is reflective of the activities that we're doing, the cost discipline and a bunch of different circumstances.
But again, that's nice to claim in any one quarter when it goes up like this. And again, that is not something that is inconsistent or said a better way, it is something we would expect to see in an environment where we're seeing synergies starting to show up in an organization over the long term. So are we targeting a excess of 70% margin in the future? That would be great to achieve, but that's not something we're driving. When we go into growth mode and we put in investment mode, there may be some quarters where that margin may be slightly lower.
But as with all scale businesses, when you see that incremental tick up in volume in any one period of time, you better see a very efficient margin on that incremental revenue, which I think we've been able to continue to demonstrate over time. On the duplicate expenses, we'll provide a little bit more guidance to that as we roll in on the next earnings call as far as the overall order of magnitude and how that impacts the run rate. But again, that's just something that we want to provide some clarity on as far as that reconciliation coming out of 2019 into 'twenty. And again, that's a short term impact of more of a 2020 as we carry some of the costs of both, call it, both locations, really preparing ourselves for a much more efficient 2021 2022, which is actually one of the whole one of the primary reasons of moving the headquarters location and the trading floor is that this is a long term benefit that we will achieve that won't show up on the expense side in 2020.
So before this is Tilly, before I turn it over to Chris for another comment, I think on the system enhancements and the model It really allows our customers to express their best market and to express how it is they'd like to be represented in the marketplace no better I think than this technology integration. So I think we'll get the best of their desires and their expression of risk going forward. More importantly, I think if you refer back to our prepared remarks is the street, the world is looking for us to provide with them the ability to hedge what is going to be certainly at this point looking forward an uncertain 2020. The listing and the open interest in November October November SPX Series, that's a first. First, the demand to list and second, the adoption of a new cycle and series around the presidential election and answering that need, that's more telling to us and how we look at a potential evolve of 2020.
I'd also say there's a pickup in interest around the primary, which we've never seen. So we're going into 2020 ready and I want Chris actually to be able to punch the readiness from a systems perspective. But most importantly, the team on the street, as I said, we've got the team is going to be out in front of our customers, explaining to them the opportunities, the products use cases in what is already setting up to be uncertainty. But Chris, really, I don't want to minimize though, the importance of having this upgrade and having it completed.
Yes. I mean, as Ed mentioned, it's all about customers being able to manage their risk and represent their best interests, and the technology should facilitate that. We believe that will facilitate that better over the long term. With the massive migration as this was for us and our customers, honestly, they're still adjusting. These are the 1st few weeks.
The new system feels a lot different to them than the old system. And so they're still tuning on their side. And I honestly expect that through probably the next month or 2 as they get the feel for it. But ultimately, I mentioned the hence risk controls, better complex order handling. We believe the functionality of the technology is going to facilitate more trading over the long term.
And I mentioned already, with those better risk controls, better safety, also new features and functionality such as with Flex to help facilitate those new products that are really catching on.
That's great color. Thank you so much.
Thank you. And the next question comes from Kyle Vogt with KBW.
Hi, good morning. Maybe just sorry to do this, but just one more on expenses. Just the long term organic expense growth rate that you mentioned, that 4% to 6% historically, and that's also kind of shaping that 2020 guidance. If I look
at your peers globally, most
of them are growing expenses in a 4% organic expense growth range. Just wondering if you could provide more color as to whether or not that 4% to 6% long term growth rate is the right range going forward? How often that is that's under review by the management team? And then also if you think it is, I guess, where is the incremental expense spend going versus your global peers? Is it product development or certain segment that requires more investment?
That's a great question. And I think that evolves over time is that I don't think I have necessarily any incremental insight into call it that longer term nature of it. I think that what we do focus on is I just go back to our strategy of what and I don't think that's a strategy all of a sudden it changes in 'twenty one or 'twenty two. And I think it's been a consistent theme of this organization is driving our investment, driving our efforts into the growth of the proprietary product suite of what we do today and whether that's going to come in the form of technology, whether it's going in the form of and whether that's through a incremental hardware spend. But we have such an efficient hardware footprint right now that that typically has not been a big expense driver as far as that growth rate goes.
If I look at the impact of our technology refresh from that hardware standpoint, again, that's not necessarily a big driver that's going to continue to contribute to a higher 4% to 6% growth rate in the long term. So I would say it's more around the activities that we have versus being able to identify that's going to show up in compensation costs, it's going to
show up at facilities or
it's going to show up in X, Y and Z. It's more of a I think what you would we look at it is what are the activities, initiatives and projects around growing that core growth rate versus looking at specific line item is here's where I would expect to see.
I think there's also a penetration aspect to the expense, Brian, and Kyle, you touched on it a bit. We're distributing this unique product set way more broadly. This is not a mature product. And in order we want that FaceTime, we want that interaction and we're willing to go out there as Brian points out and spend the money and the time to grow this product. We are not at the end of a lifecycle in SPX, VIX futures or VIX options.
And I think it's a big difference when you compare us to our competitors and what it is they look to a long term organic growth. It's a little bit puzzling to us. Organic growth for us is truly that we are growing this product set.
Again, I think the point there is that it's a you have to have that longer term perspective. So is that if there is something that we believe has a real strong growth potential that we need to pursue, you could potentially see that expense number tick up in any one particular year. But we have to hold ourselves accountable and make sure that has the appropriate return on that investment.
And by the way, I think that's that growth profile, organic growth profile and our I think our outperformance goes beyond strictly the proprietary products are the way we look at data and growth in data when we target mid to high single digits, that requires some investment and we do that because that data typically the data we sell supports incremental trading in our venues and our proprietary product. So it's this beneficial cycle. If we were looking at the whole complex in a lowtomidsingledigits growth trajectory, that just implies very, very different expense growth profile.
That's really helpful. Thank you so much.
Thank you. And the next question comes from Alex Blostein with Goldman Sachs.
Hey, good morning, everyone. I was hoping to get your perspective on trends we've seen in October, quite a challenging month for the industry as a whole. But when I look at the proprietary products, ATSIBO, VIX futures, VIX options, SPX options, things seem to be underperforming whether the cash markets are sort of other derivative buckets. So looking to get a little more color sort of what's going on underneath the hood, whether the migration has caused any sort of temporary slowdown because if we look at kind of external metrics, whether it's like ETP AUM or VIX term structure. It doesn't feel particularly different than what we've seen in the past, but the volumes look a lot weaker.
So kind of trying to get a sense of what's going on.
Alex, I can't believe we made it this far into the call without a macro market observation from us. It's what we live every day. We absolutely love it. So happy to do that. And I think you're right.
So let's take the last week, Monday Tuesday of this week and compare those proprietary products, the ones you outlined and we stack them together and compare them to Wednesday and yesterday and we see the effect on our volumes in just a small change or small adjustment in the market. So to your point, dollars 1,500,000 to 1,600,000 $6,000,000 in that product stack compared to yesterday $2,500,000 to $2,600,000 contracts. It's a massive change in a short period of time and it's just a small change in the perception of the market and it's whether or not this upward trend that we've observed over the last months will continue or not and what happens on a small and slight correction. Liken this to the observations that we had in the probably the Q2 call when we were looking back on the January February volumes. This is the same.
If you missed the rally at the end of last year, started around Christmas Eve and continued through February, you played catch up in the entire month of January. And there was very, very little interest in hedging, you were chasing the upside. And how we measure that and what our observations is we look at the interest in buying upside calls as opposed to hedging and the engagement in our VIX complex and SBX out of the money puts. So 3 weeks ago, call buying was at a 1 year low. Everyone was focused on downside.
And since then, call volume demand has surged to a 1 year high. So that's that catch up. We look at the trends in the marketplace and we understand what how our customers are engaging. And while no model can predict the future, we do see patterns in the past and we look how our customers are engaging going forward. So I go back to the observation in the demand and in and around customers ready customers ready to engage back into hedging when you're done chasing.
And so that's the color over the last 2 weeks or so. And more to come and in real time as often as we can update you, we'll be happy to do that, but that's what we do.
But the migration itself didn't really have much to do with?
I would say it had nothing to do with volumes, because you just see the engagement, it's instant when there's a need to come back and hedge. And if again, if it's global risk, dollar denominated, you come to Cboe period.
Got it. Thanks.
Thank you. And the next question comes from Chris Harris with Wells Fargo.
Thank you. Can you guys give us your thoughts on the outlook for RPC kind of across the complex? And then related to that with the migration of C1, might we see better stability in multi list RPC? So I would look at let's start with we'll start with U. S.
Equities. We've already talked about you heard earlier comments about the competitive nature of that. And so and with we don't see that competitive environment changing in any way. Chris Isaacson highlighted our continued focus on continuing to bring functionality and competitive and we talked about the retail priority and things that we are doing to continue to enhance our position and what we do and the benefits we provide to our customers, not just through a pricing change. So, but we don't expect that pricing environment to necessarily change or be radically different from the U.
S. Equity standpoint. From the U. S. Options, talking from the multi list standpoint, that is also obviously an equally competitive environment.
We've seen some of the benefits of, I would say, the various technology of what we're doing to where we are with respect to the Cboe migration platform. And particularly when we see the multi list, we've actually seen an improvement on there. But when we look at the factors influencing the RPC for if we look back at the Q3, we have seen increased concentration of the larger participants in the mix changes and market share on VZX, EDGX and C2. And we've seen a little bit of a shift in mix also on the when we saw the slight decline in the multi list, you see the higher volume with the market maker rebate tiers resulting in increased volume based rebates. So we've seen that happen and that's not a bad thing.
That's a good thing as far as and very hard to predict as far as where that goes. So have we potentially bottomed out? I think that we probably hit that bottom a while ago with respect to that, whether it's a $0.05 or $0.06 net capture, but it's obviously offset by incremental volumes and market share that we see within the multi list. With respect to FX, that's also a very competitive environment and we will see some ebbs and flows quarter over quarter. Again, that's we've seen some growth in that business due to what we've done uniquely as far as our curated liquidity, the different products that we're bringing, we've talked about full amount and what that's done and the different pricing around that.
So that's been a very nice growth story traditionally as well, even though we may see some macro ebbs and flows that may depress some of the volumes. We continue to see reasonable efforts there from that standpoint.
And I just add on European equities as we've introduced new trading mechanisms like periodic auctions and Cboe LIS, the larger the trade size, the less frequent the trades, the higher the capture is on that. And that's helped us even as people are waiting for what's going to happen with Brexit. The RPC has gone up in the European Equities business. So as we think about capture, yes, we're definitely very, very competitive in those multi list or competitive markets, but we're also looking at introducing new trading mechanisms that potentially can offer higher capture, because they're providing more value in those trading situations to our customers.
And then the wrap up on the proprietary. As Ed mentioned earlier, as far as where we believe, where we are as far as our growth cycle, again, this is not a ratchet up the price because we need incremental revenue and show that growth. This is a unit story, this is a volume story, this is a secular story of how do we move that organic needle and it's not through RPC as far as a revenue standpoint. So that's not a lever that we anticipate being a big driver for us going forward showing up in the revenue line item. There may be adjustments due to some volume rebates and things that we've mentioned that would show up.
There might be some mix shifts that might show up, but largely it's not something that we're specifically planning on driving incremental revenues through price adjustments at the RPC line item.
Thank you. And the next question comes from Owen Lau with Oppenheimer and Company.
Good morning and thank you for taking my question. Just following up Chris's comments related to ASICs and retail priority program. Given the backdrop of a 0 trading commission, been like over the past month? So in terms of allocating resources, do you think, rebate would be more important than execution quality going forward in terms of getting the trade? And then finally, how are you going to position Cboe to capture any additional opportunity, if there's any?
Thank you.
Yes, Alan, thanks for the question. Very, very, very astute questioning there. So I think retail brokers are very, very focused on execution
quality and that's the
The The marketable limit orders are already going to wholesalers, but the retail limit orders can come back to the exchanges. The if with the enhanced priority, which will improve their time to execution. The 0 commissions and how it will impact those retail brokers in their order routing, I think they're going to continue to be very, very focused on execution quality. In fact, in 2020, there's additional disclosure regime coming out around a rule called Rule 606 that will demand more disclosure about routing practices, which I think is a positive development. And there may be more scrutiny or focus on payment for order flow.
But this is why we are excited about retail priority. We think it's a win for retail brokers. It's a win for retail customers that they'll get a better trading outcome. And we also look forward to bringing potentially in 2020 some newer cyber functionality for institutional orders as well.
And Owen, this is John. I'd add, it's a great point by Chris. I think a high level, the way we think about this trend playing out, it's sort of a natural progression and it's a step 0 is quite an absolute number. So it takes people by surprise, but if you wind the clock back 10, 15 years, this has been going on. And we were sort of we meaning exchanges broadly, we were some of the first to feel the impact of competitive pressures and our execution fees on equities have come down quite dramatically to a point where that's not the really the crux of economic conversation with the retail brokers.
More to Chris's point, it's around execution quality because if you're getting compensated through basically monetizing the bid ask spread, you have to make absolutely sure that your customers aren't in some way being disadvantaged. So you have to have the right algorithms in place. You have to have the right data to back up that analysis and that's where we really help out the retail brokers. They're great, great friends of ours overall. They're democratizing finance that should grow the pie and that's what we like to see over time.
Thank you very much. That's very helpful.
Thank you. As there are no more questions at the present time, I would like to return the floor to management for any closing comments.
Thanks. That completes our call this morning. We appreciate your time continued interest in Cboe Global Markets. Have a good day.
Thank you. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation.