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Deutsche Bank 32nd Annual Leveraged Finance Conference

Sep 24, 2024

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay, let's get started. Welcome back to the Deutsche Bank Leveraged Finance Conference. I'm Aaron Watts. I cover the media, cable, satellite business services sectors here at DB. We've got another great media lineup again this year. Happy to kick that off with Clear Channel Outdoor. On stage with me is David Sailer, Chief Financial Officer, and Jason Menzel, Treasurer of the company. Guys, thank you very much for being back.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Yeah, thanks for having us.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

So it has been an active year, since we last sat on this stage, and certainly one notable occurrence during that time is you taking the reins as CFO of the company. For our time today, I'd like to cover three main areas of discussion: the strategic realignment of the company, the fundamental themes of the underlying business, and the capital structure. So Dave, before we dive into those, perhaps kick us off with what's been accomplished over the past twelve months and what's at the top of your to-do list for the next year?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Sure. I'll start out operationally. When I think about, you know, where we were at this point in time last year and where we are today, I mean, the two things that definitely come to mind would be the performance we've seen on our airports business and also the performance we've seen in Europe. You know, both businesses performed really, really well, you know, from a top-line standpoint. If you look at where we are on an airport standpoint in the first half of the year, you know, up 30% on revenue, you know, EBITDA falling through quite nicely. You know, still getting a little bit of some of the relief from COVID, so the margins, you know, are fantastic, so you know, I'm sure we'll dive into, we'll dive in deeper and, you know, how we've been accomplishing that.

But the team has executed really well from a digital standpoint and the programs that we're putting in, and it's probably similar to what has gone overseas. I'm you know I'm sure we'll get into the sales process, but from a pure operation standpoint for the team in Europe, they've done a really nice job with obviously a ton of distractions and what's going on and all the diligence that we've done there. When you look at their LTM as of the second quarter for that business, you know, top line being up close to 10%, I think it was like in the nines, EBITDA up 21%.

Just a really nice job, and I think that's like a classic case of really just setting that management team, you know, just trying to simplify what they're doing as far as the assets they're putting in the ground, focusing on the right contracts, and they've executed really well. I'll talk about, you know, America, you know, towards the end of the, the accomplishments, but I'd also, and Jason will get into this, really, from a capital structure, just what we've done, from a refinancing standpoint, you know, over the last year has been great.

You know, the term loan being down to $425 million, I think we locked in some really good rates and, you know, today, obviously, as rates are coming down, but when we did that, you know, we refinanced some of our debt last year, and then, you know, it came out we're going to be, you know, higher longer. I mean, it really made what we did last year really great and, you know, Jason will get into those details. So that's been really nice. And I also would want to just touch on from a cash flow standpoint, from a capital standpoint, really, I feel like the company, we're starting to turn the corner on, you know, from a cash flow generation standpoint.

We mentioned in our earnings call in the second quarter, you know, you take our AFFO, which is kind of like a cash flow metric, and you actually add in our growth CapEx, which is not included in that calculation, in the second half, you know, we are going to be positive. That, that's a good milestone for the company with the amount of leverage we have and the interest that we're paying. From that standpoint, good accomplishments. There's no way I could, you know, not talk about where we were last year at this time. We've had success selling a lot of the Europe North, South countries, and I think the hardest one to sell, we executed, you know, since we've been here, which is France.

I mean, that was a business that really hurt us from a cash flow standpoint during COVID. So to be able to, you know. And I think that deal is better for both businesses. I don't think it was the country that we should have been in. It was tough. It was some tough deals, but it was sold to, you know, a French company, and I think they can do a lot better with that company. So I think it was that was a win-win, you know, on both sides of the coin, but it was great for us from that standpoint. From an America standpoint, you know, we had a really good first quarter, which was great, so that was a good accomplishment. A little bit tougher in the second quarter.

I see that getting better as we get into the year, but I think a lot of accomplishments on the America side, and especially from a sales standpoint. I think about some of the verticals that we've gotten into. We talk about pharma a lot, how we sell our digital assets. It's I think we've gone down a path where it's not really just a direct sale from a digital standpoint. It's sold programmatically. It's sold from an impression standpoint. We're doing more with roadblocks, I think has been well. Our business development from a sales standpoint, which is a little bit on the vertical sides, pharma, beverages, has gone well. We started our inside sales team several years ago. That's starting to get a lot of traction. You've seen a few announcements, even from the RADAR platform.

That just keeps continuing to evolve. It obviously helps from a programmatic standpoint. It has helped us from a pharma standpoint. We just had an announcement with Circana, which is a company that we're going to utilize for CPG, which is another vertical, that we'll be going after. So just a lot of exciting things, and a lot of things I said at the end are things as we go into the second half of this year into next year from a sales standpoint, those are all top of mind and goals that we'll be working on as we get into 2025.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay, great. That really sets the stage well. So let's jump into kind of the first area of discussion, which is the strategic review. I've been asking you questions about the strategic review for going on two and a half years now. For the benefit of the audience, and you already did a little bit of this.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Yep

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

but remind us, check the boxes, what have you done so far? And you mentioned France.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Yep.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

What's still in process, and when do you envision wrapping things up and allowing me to cross this topic off the list?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

I mean, I'll go back and I'll give a little bit of background for folks that may not have the whole total story. We went to become more of a U.S.-focused business to really focus our energy on our higher margin businesses in the U.S., which would obviously be our Americas segment, airports. And we put up for sale in early 2022 our European business, which encompasses the North and the South. And that was beginning of 2022. We put a pretty broad net out there, had a lot of interest, had really good conversations, but then anything externally that could hurt a process happened. I mean, I never thought the war in Ukraine was gonna break out. I remember that in the early stages. So that happened, you know, inflation, interest rates, you name it, what could hurt a process happened.

So, you know, we kinda reassessed and, you know, what we did, we kind of pulled Europe North, you know, back off the market, and we focused on selling the asset that really hurt us during COVID, that really hurt us from a cash flow standpoint, and those were the businesses in Europe South, and the team executed really well. I mean, those were tough businesses to sell, some of them, you know, harder than others, we sold Switzerland first. That was in May of, or in March of 2023. We then sold Italy and Spain. Spain is not exactly transacted yet. That's still going under regulatory review with JCDecaux, but, you know, that was accomplished, and then finally, you know, probably the hardest business to sell was France.

So once we had that set and we sold those, the tougher performing businesses, the whole goal was then to sell, you know, the Europe North as a platform. But during that time, really, we-- and I mentioned this, you know, early on, obviously, that business has performed well, but from a strategic standpoint, we really looked at that business to get that business performing where it is and really going after the right contracts, putting in the right digital assets, and that business has performed really well. And we then, beginning of this year, we, you know, we put that business back up for sale. I still think it will sell as a platform, and I think the, the, the outreach and the conversations have been well.

Yes, it's taking longer than we want, but look, at the end of the day, if I just wanted to sell the business, we would have sold it already. But at the end of the day, the business is performing well. We wanna get the value that we feel that business deserves. It's performing well, it's free cash flow positive. So I do think we will transact, you know, on that business. It is taking longer. It's a complicated business. There's a lot of diligence, there are a lot of contracts. That's probably the biggest thing I'd say. There's a lot of contracts, so when companies are looking at it and they're diligencing, it's a lot to look at. But I do think we will transact, and the goal is to get what we think is the value.

I'm not looking to go crazy with it, because I think it makes sense to sell the business from a strategic standpoint. But on the flip side, I wanna get the value that I think that business deserves, and from a board standpoint, you know, they're, they're behind us on that decision.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. Your sale announcements thus far have brought you closer to your desired goal to focus on the U.S. business, but haven't led to much material deleveraging. Would you expect any remaining assets sold that are left in the strategic review, mainly Europe, North, and LatAm, to have any discernible impact on leverage?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

No. I mean, we've, we've been pretty upfront. It's not a deleveraging transaction, but I think it's more of a transaction that makes sense to focus, you know, to focus that energy on the U.S. business, which is, which is a higher performing business, but when you look at the businesses in Europe and even in Latin America, they're capital intensive. The multiples they trade at are really less than, you know, the leverage we're at. You know, we're at a leverage of over nine. Those businesses probably trade if you look at businesses overseas, you know, they're trading between five and seven times, so do I expect it to be deleveraging? No.

But do I think that the cash that you generate from those transactions, that there will be some, and Jason will get into this, pay down of debt with some of those proceeds? And then there's also a chance, you know, to invest those proceeds as well. But the core of it is, it's the strategy to really focus on the U.S. business. We have a lot of manpower. Look, we've been in this process for a while in Europe. We put Latin America up for sale early this year. You know, a lot of time and energy.

I mean, you'll go into board meetings, and we're spending a lot of time on parts of the business that are driving 10% of earnings or 15% of earnings, and to me, that's not the best use of our board, so we can streamline the business. I think there's definitely an advantage to that moving forward.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

All right. And Jason, since Dave mentioned it, maybe you can talk about as proceeds do come in-

Jason Menzel
SVP and Treasurer, Clear Channel Outdoor

Mm-hmm.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

From these sales, what the priorities are for that cash?

Jason Menzel
SVP and Treasurer, Clear Channel Outdoor

Yeah, so I think. Sorry. I think one of the most important things, you know, to emphasize in this process is, it has taken some time. So the company back in March went through the process to extend the maturity of the CCIBV notes that were originally due in 2025, and we've pushed that out to 2027. But what we're able to do in that issuance is build in some specific carve-outs for asset sale proceeds, so that we can still pay back that loan at par, and that's exactly what we intend to do with the proceeds from the European sale. Now, as you think through the waterfall of those proceeds, you know, obviously, you know, we still have it out there that Spain will close sometime this year.

Those proceeds will go to reduce that quantum of debt, and then as the eventual larger European platform sale completes, those proceeds will also go to pay off the remainder of those term loans. Any remaining proceeds, you know, I'm not gonna speculate as to value, but any remaining proceeds, if you were to follow the letter of the law, would flow through the asset sale covenant under the indentures and the term loan at the CCOH level. So to the extent there are remaining proceeds, the options that we have under those agreements are pretty flexible, right? Like, we could either decide to reinvest those proceeds in the business via CapEx, and we have an eighteen-month window to do so.

Or, you know, if there are still remaining proceeds after which we've reinvested, we are required to make a Par Asset Offer on all of our First Lien debts. So that would be all of our Term Loan and any of the secured notes that are in the capital structure, on a pro rata basis. So, in any event, it does provide opportunity for us to reduce debt, and I think more importantly, reduce our interest costs and distribute, you know, further cash flow at the business.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. And one other potential saving that you've discussed is around the corporate expense side as you refocus the business. Remind us any framework around what those savings might be and when they start to flow through?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Yeah, I mean, that's something we've talked about. Obviously, when you sell your European business, it will be a smaller business from a corporate standpoint. You'll need less resources, and that will come over time. We've had the number out there of $30 million. I still think that's the correct number. Could you get a little bit more? Maybe. But that will come over time. It's not something where you sell the business and, you know, $30 million drops off the back of the truck. You know, there's still a lot of reporting, tax work, and things that will happen, but that is the number that we're focusing that will happen, you know, over time.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. The last question in this area. Yeah, I often get the inquiry of: Why wouldn't the company sell some high margin, high multiple US assets to accelerate the deleveraging process? I believe taxes are a big factor there, but I'm sure there's other forces as well. Maybe you can talk to that.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Sure. I mean, I look at the markets in the U.S., and, you know, if you ever need liquidity, that's something you would do, which we don't need, but it really is taxes. We've had these assets for a very long time. Our basis is very, very low. So when you think about it from a math standpoint, yes, if you could get 18, 19 times, 17 times for an asset in the U.S., that would work. But a more realistic number is probably in the 10-12 times if you sell a U.S. asset, and then when Uncle Sam takes his piece of it, I mean, when you're at nine-time leverage, the math really doesn't work, and you're probably descaling the business.

At the end of the day, I do think there's a lot of synergies with the markets that we do have. I think it wouldn't be in the best interest of our shareholders to do that at the present time.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. Okay, let's, let's move on to my second area I wanted to cover, which was the core business performance. We'll start with airports, not because it's the largest contributor to the business, but rather because it's really rode the wave of the travel bounce back and performed solidly year to date. First half, revenues were up 31%. EBITDA was up even more than that. Can you unpack the strength there, and are the driving forces of that one time in nature, or is that momentum more sustainable?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

No, I think the momentum is sustainable. I said, look, look, is the business going to grow at 30% in the near future? No, I mean, but it is going to grow. And I, I think it's been a plan that the, the airports team, Morten Gotterup, who runs, who is our president, I mean, he, he came to me and Scott several years ago, and, you know, he had a plan that he wanted to execute, and, you know, the beginning stages of that plan was, I want to be in less airports. And we were kind of like, Whoa! Like, you know, you know, what, what are you thinking here? And it was airport- and were airports that actually made money.

But he has executed where he wanted to be in certain airports, probably larger airports, little less on the smaller side, which has a, which takes probably the same amount of time as some of the larger ones. And he kind of instituted a plan where we've actually gone down in some of the airports. I think we've gained, you know, the correct airports, obviously, New York being, you know, a big one that we went after. From a strategic, from a program standpoint, if you walk through our airports, and New York is probably the best one to talk about because it's new, the signs are great. You know, they've definitely went after bigger, bolder signs. The advertisers really like them, and the airports aren't cluttered with advertising.

I think the programs have really jumped off the page. The advertisers have really come forward with it, and that has enabled us to do a lot of longer-term deals. We're doing more sponsorships now. From a sponsorship standpoint, we have our airport in San Jose, which really started, that was our first, like, all-digital airport, and it went well. We've done sponsorships where we do connector tunnels in JFK, in Chicago. So the team has done a nice job as far as what airports to go after, the programs that they've put in, and even from a sales strategy, like another thing we could talk about is in a lot of our airports, we'll do category exclusives, and advertisers will pay for that.

They're longer term contracts, but they'll own that space. You can do different things within airports. You can do experiential type of programs. You'll see a lot of lounges popping up. You'll see Capital One lounges or the credit cards. From that standpoint, that has really been beneficial to the group. We've also done a better job internally, where we're now doing we call it cross-selling, where our Americas sales force is selling into airports, and our airports team is selling into the Americas inventory. Right now, we're talking about airports. Really, what that has done is it increased the amount of AEs that are selling into airports, and we've seen obviously it's really, really good growth. Look, I expect that to continue, not at the rates we're at.

I mean, if we talk about the fourth quarter, which is a big number that we did last year, two or three years ago, the fourth quarter was probably $70 million. Last year, we did $111 million. I think we can grow off of that, but it'll be in a, you know, more regional growth rate.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. Yeah, I... My experience walking through, at least the New York airports, it's a really impressive visual experience for sure. You did, you did a good job.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Thank you. I appreciate it. And we'll even get comments like, "Wow, I thought you would have more."... and I think, like, they've done it strategically, what makes sense, and where, you know, the consumer sees it, but it's not cluttered.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Yeah.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

And they know. Thank you. I appreciate that.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Local sales account for around 42% of revenue in the airports unit. They were up 37% in your last quarter, so very healthy. But what I wanted to ask you on is national sales. Those were up 12% year-on-year. Why has the airports business been able to buck a theme of softer national performance that we've seen across media?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

You know, that they really have, and I haven't talked... You know, you mentioned this earlier, and you say, Oh, the bounce back in travel. That has definitely helped. It's definitely not a one for one, where your revenue is gonna go up just 'cause the air travel is going up. But the audience that you get in the airports, it's phenomenal. It. You know, business travel, it's probably at 95% of where it was pre-COVID, but just the leisure travel is absolutely further ahead than we were back in twenty nineteen. But that leisure travel, that is a wealthy audience, and it's also your decision makers are traveling. So that has absolutely helped.

I think the advertisers wanna be in airports to attract that space, but it's also a very safe space in the sense that, you know, there's no ad skipping from that standpoint. It's you know what you're gonna get. What has helped the team, the airports as well is, I mentioned before, the lounges, the experiential. The credit card companies have come in really strong in the last couple of years. Luxury goods have done well. Travel has done really well. We'll talk about education. You'll see in a lot of our airports, if you're in Detroit, you know, you'll see category exclusive for Michigan. If you're in New Jersey, you'll see a category exclusive for Rutgers. You'll see it on the healthcare side.

A lot of those factors have really driven, you know, the national dollars on the airport side.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. One last question on airports. Your margins were over 23% for the first half of the year, but I know you and Scott have managed those margin expectations to more of the high teens area.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Yes.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

What has elevated margins year to date, and should we expect that to trend a little lower going forward?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

It will trend lower. Maybe you'll see a little bit of that even in the third quarter. I mean, what has elevated the margins? Obviously, the growth of the business. As you're growing the top line, your bottom line is gonna grow. It's a rev share. So what I mean by that is you're paying the airports a percentage of revenue, in a bigger airport, that percentage is gonna be higher than in some of the mid-size to small airports, but you're gonna see that flow through. But really, what has driven the airports from a teens, now, sometimes a mid-twenty business, has been that revenue growth, but it also has been the site lease reductions we have gotten because of COVID.

They're still trickling in, but it's starting to go down, so you'll see, you know, the margins will go down a little bit. I still think at this point, with the revenue growth we've gotten, I think we've crossed that threshold to be, you know, at 20% or at least in the very low twenties. You'll get a little bit of the relief, the site lease relief coming in from COVID. Some may trickle in third quarter, fourth quarter. It will probably be done in 2025, but that's when you get the margins that could be at 23% and 24%. Overall, the business has performed, and that's why the margins have gone-

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Yeah

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

... gone north, which has been great.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

All right, so let's move over to your largest segment, the Americas Roadside business. You know, following a fast start out of the gates that you mentioned earlier, QQ growth slowed down a little bit.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Yes.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

I think on a combined basis, the first half was up 3% year over year. Local doing better than national. I asked you about national on the airport side, but now for the roadside business, it's been a little soft for you. Do you view those headwinds as more cyclical and temporary in nature, or is there, are there longer-term secular issues at play?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Now, when I think about national, I probably would bucket it into two areas. One is... And certain verticals have been tough for us, which I think has driven, you know, national to be a little bit lumpy, I would say. Like, it was better in the first quarter, it was down in the second quarter. You know, it was the opposite, the year before. If you look at our pacing, our guidance, you know, for Q3, I expect that to be stronger as we, you know, as we get into Q3 in the second half of the year.

But as far as, like, the overall view from a national standpoint, we've had some verticals that were very big for the business, you know, come down over the last several years, that being auto insurance, and it's a pretty big number that has gone down. Media entertainment, it has been tough. I feel like that landscape is changing a little bit. Obviously, the strikes, you know, last year didn't help. The auto industry, just that form of advertising has come down. But the national business has been able to offset that with different verticals. We talk a lot about going after, you know, certain verticals. Pharma has been one. We talk about going after CPG. We talk about going after the beverage verticals.

We've been able to offset some pretty large declines, so I think that the team is doing a good job. But I think an area that we really need to focus on, I think that hurts from a national standpoint, is really when you talk about national, and Scott, our CEO, will say this: No one's really buying out-of-home at a national level. It's really the large agency buys and the large, you know, multinational companies that are going to the agencies. And right now, the agencies, you know, some of them are doing better than others, but it's a tough business model. And they're trying to drive the dollars where they're making their most money. And right now, from an out-of-home standpoint, they don't make the higher margins doing out-of-home, which they would do in other areas, and specifically video.

We're more of a static. We do have, obviously, digital boards, but it's not full-motion video, and they do make money from a production standpoint. So that is an area that we have to go after, and that's all about our direct-to-client approach, is going direct to the clients, working with the agencies to try to drive those dollars. But that's... When I think about national, I think that is definitely some of the impediments, and vertical as well. But I think the dollars are there. I mean, you look at the overall, if you look at the overall ad industry, it is growing.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

On the topic of concerns around the macro backdrop, cancellations have historically been a precursor to downturns in your business. As of the 2Q call, you hadn't seen any notable cancellation activity. Is that still true as we sit here today?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

You know, that is still true. I mean, I get this question all the time, and yeah, cancellations, I mean, it was cancellations probably wasn't even a report we were running, you know, pre-COVID, and then, you know, we had an avalanche of them. But we still, I mean, we're always cognizant of where they are, and we saw more cancellations probably a little bit more last year as we got into the summer. That was, it got a little soft, but we're not seeing that. People have asking the question about just the economy in general and inflation and consumer confidence. I mean, with inflation at 4.5%, I mean, that's still historically low, so I still feel pretty good overall from an economy standpoint.

Look, could ad sales change on a dime? That is obviously possible, but right now, we're not seeing it. We're actually feel like the deal activity is good, the conversations, you know, are pretty good, and, you know, that's kind of what's reflective in the guidance we've given for Q3.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. One last question on the Americas. Digital's clearly been a driver of growth for the platform. How much more room is there to run there? And will that be driven more by continued expansion of faces or more organically via price and/or taking share?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

I think it's really a combination of both. I think there's still a lot of runway, and just to kind of throw the math out there, 5% of our inventory is digital, but accounts for roughly, you know, one third of our revenue in the 30% range, like 30-35%. I think there's a lot of run room. We have markets that are closer to 50%, and then we have a lot of large markets that are in the teens. So there's absolutely runway, you know, for that asset. I think we've-- we're definitely changing how we're selling our digital assets. I mentioned this earlier. I mean, you know, programmatic is obviously a channel that's growing, that's helping, you know, sell the digital channel. We still have our direct buys.

We also have a product that we're selling this year, which is new, which is really almost like an impression-based buy, similar to programmatic, but it's direct with the company. We'll do roadblocks where you can buy, you know, every digital in a certain market or across, you know, a certain region. So there's definitely more runway to go. I would say more of the... And the impediment from a digital standpoint is really the form of regulatory. Every market that we're in, we're in twenty-seven markets across the country in the U.S., you know, there are federal laws, and there are state laws.

So that's really the area where when we put a digital in the ground, we probably started looking at that location two to three years ago and the how that process rolls out. But, you know, I probably rambled on a little bit here, but to answer your question directly, I think there's definitely run room.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. I wanted to ask you one question about your overall cost base and how we should be thinking about that, where it lives today, where it might go in the future, any further levers to be pulled, and anything you would call out as far as comparisons go in the back-

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Sure

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

-half of this year from an abatement standpoint or otherwise, that could affect the cost?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

You know, I'll go with the end of your question first. When you're looking at comparisons year over year, and this would be for the Americas segment, I mean, we talked about in the third quarter last year, we actually had a very favorable tax settlement, which was multiple millions of dollars in the third quarter of last year. That's obviously not going to repeat, so that will have absolutely be a headwind on earnings, or on EBITDA growth year over year. We actually had some pretty good bad debt collection favorability in the third quarter of last year. You know, that's something that's not going to repeat.

And we mentioned this in Q3. There were you know certain just property and casualty claims that kind of came through that were a little abnormal in the second quarter. Some of that's going to bleed into third quarter, so that will you know have an issue on from a comparability standpoint. On the airport segment, maybe... It really depends. There is still some site relief out there. I think we got in the neighborhood of $2.5 million-$3 million in the third quarter of last year. If we get some in this year, that will probably offset. If it doesn't, that will have an effect on comparability. Not too much on the European side.

Business rates are up a little bit higher year over year, that you'll probably see in the third quarter, but, you know, nothing, nothing too crazy on the European side.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

And going back to your cost base-

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Yeah.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Yeah. No, I mean, I think overall, I think we've done a good job on the Americas side, managing our site lease. You know, year over year, that's more of kind of like grows roughly at inflation, probably a little bit less. I mean, the big cost, I'd probably say that's going to be a headwind this year. It's probably more on employee comp. Last year, and this is probably more on the bonus side, but as inflation goes up, you know, raises will be out there. But we didn't, obviously, our performance, especially in the Americas business, wasn't as strong, stronger this year than it was last year. The bonuses were lower last year. They, at this point in time, are tracking higher. That definitely has an impact.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. You mentioned this at the start of our chat today, and I want to go back to highlight it, and it was about turning the corner on free cash flow.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Yep.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Is that something you envision happening over the next twelve months? And touch on some of the variables that go into that. Anything you'd highlight in terms of cash taxes or capital expenditures, working capital swings that might play into it?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Sure. I'll start, and then I can end some of this off to Jason from a treasury standpoint. I mean, when you look at where we are, like, when we came out of COVID, since that time, our interest expense has gone up, you know, $100 million. That's a big amount of cash that has gone up, and we've been able to cover that. What I had mentioned earlier today from an AFFO standpoint is to be positive in the second half when you add in...

your growth capital, and I expect that to continue into next year. You know, the goal is to be, you know, cash generating, which we'll do on that AFFO basis on that calculation, which is a big milestone for the business, considering, you know, where our interest was three years ago and where it is today. You know, we're gonna be able to cover that. You know, as I look forward, you know, as rates go down, we're still, you know, we're heavily fixed from a debt standpoint. But I think we will see some of that, you know, like, if we sell the European assets, we pay down debt, you'll get some interest savings as this business performs better, and I see that moving forward.

I mean, that's, that's really where the conversation, you know, you know, gets exciting for the business. But in the short term, as we're focusing on that second half, I think that's a good milestone for the business to have that, you know, positive cash when you look at it from an AFFO, you know, minus Growth CapEx standpoint.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. All right, great. And now the final area of discussion. Let's talk about the capital structure. You spoke earlier about what you've accomplished over the past twelve months. So what's next, and how do you think about the timing of those next steps?

Jason Menzel
SVP and Treasurer, Clear Channel Outdoor

Yeah, I think, you know, just stepping back briefly, and I know we did hit on it earlier, but we took out this action to kind of de-risk the maturity stack last year, right? We saw the term loan maturities staring us in the face. We were in a rising interest rate environment. We took it upon ourselves to kind of de-risk that capital stack, and we went through a series of transactions, first with some senior secured notes last year in August, and then kind of put a stamp on it this year with another issuance of 7.875 notes due 2030, simultaneous with kind of a extension of the term loan to 2028.

So we definitely created some runway here for us to step back and make sure that anything that we look at in the future is opportunistic. One thing that we will need to address in the coming years is our cash flow revolver and our ABL facility. Those have a maturity of two thousand and twenty-six, so we have some time. But you know, it's never too early to start watching. So we will look to address those things, I think, in the coming year. Alternatively, you know, as we think through the European sale process and the proceeds, we've talked about how the waterfall would work. There could be some opportunities for you know, optimizing some cash from that transaction to opportunistically go after debt.

We've gone after purchases of debt in the open market before if we think the returns are right. But the important thing is, you know, there are items that we need to address, like the ABL and the cash flow revolver, and then there are items that we look forward to addressing, which is, you know, opportunistically taking out further leverage with, whether it's the cash flow that David is now generating from selling more ads or just from asset sales. But I think the important point is the allocation of cash and capital to the reduction of debt is now a part of our conversation, and I'm not saying it hasn't been. It's just now it's more of a reality because we've made this turning point and starting to generate real cash flow.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Right. And as you think about where your leverage is today, and you mentioned the nine times area, how do you think about the trajectory of that coming down over the next few years? And a common question I get asked is: how does this company grow into its balance sheet over a reasonable amount of time? Are there any other levers you can pull to help accelerate that effort?

Jason Menzel
SVP and Treasurer, Clear Channel Outdoor

Yeah, I think, there's two sides of the equation, right? There's EBITDA growth and debt reduction. I think the business is performing at a level, and I think, and if you look at the guidance that we've put out there, whether it was a few years ago at Investor Day or, or even us reaffirming over the course of the quarters, is, you know, there is an inherent level of deleveraging in that number because of the EBITDA growth. I think the other side of the equation is, how do you add to that by using some of the free cash flow to delever, the quantum of debt, and inherently start this circle where you have less interest costs and generate more free cash flow and chip away at the stack. But there is no silver bullet, right?

It is a series of items that we have to... Sorry, Siri's talking to me. There is a series of things that will have to take place in order for us to grow into the capital structure. But the good thing is we have really good assets that, you know, with the operating leverage. I'm gonna try to figure out how to turn this off.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

You know, I would add to what Jason was talking about. When you look at our... Yeah, and we get it, we're at nine times. And as we get through the European sales process and debt proceeds, and you pay down absolute debt, you know, there's a ton of a lot of firepower from within our organization that's focusing on making those transactions happen. I'm looking forward to utilizing, you know, you know, those folks on, you know, looking at, you know, what can we do? And yes, growing the business, you're gonna get that EBITDA organically. You know, we're gonna pay down some debt, you know, through the transactions. But I think there will be other financial things that we can do.

You know, could that be, you know, a JV with someone where, you know, they contribute assets, we contribute assets, where, you know, that could just be more EBITDA for the business? I think there are other avenues that I think we'll be exploring as we go down that road, but I don't think it's something that we need to do right at this moment. I do think we have to execute on our plan. We have to execute on the processes, both in Europe and also in Latin America, which is a little bit smaller.

And when you get on that other side, I think there's other things that we're gonna have to look at, and I think there's tools that we can utilize to really kind of take a look at our debt and, you know, get that down over time.

Mm-hmm.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. Let me finish on one last question, and appreciating where your leverage position is at today, but I wanted to ask about M&A. It feels like it's been a little slower pace here in the U.S. over the past year for larger transactions, at least. What are you seeing in the pipeline going forward? Lamar's hinted that they expect an acceleration of deal activity next year. Are you on that same page? And how should we expect Clear Channel to be a part of that?

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

Look, from an industry standpoint, yeah, it has definitely slowed down, and the valuations, you know, got very high, I think. I think Outfront, and definitely Lamar kind of probably drives the industry, you know, from an acquisition standpoint. And as they've slowed down, you're still seeing acquisitions out there, but it's more of the ten boards in a market as opposed to, like, a full market or, you know, 75 signs somewhere. And I think. And also, I think as interest rates have gone up, I think that also has hurt from a certain extent. As they come down, maybe you'll see, you know, more deal flow. Look, from our standpoint, we were active a couple of years ago where it made sense, but we're realistic about our capital structure.

Obviously, you know, we've been talking about this up here, you know, for a lot of the conversation. If something makes sense, and, you know, Jason talked earlier, as sales proceeds come in, obviously there'll be a pay down of debt, but you can reinvest in the business. If something makes sense, you know, probably more within our markets, I think if there's coverage in a market that makes sense to buy assets, we'll be active. But again, we're realistic of kind of where we are. We're probably not going to be as active as others. If things make sense, we'll pull the trigger. But I think the overall industry kind of ebbs and flows. Like, obviously, you know, during COVID, it was really quiet, and then that built-up demand came up.

As Outfront, Lamar kind of having done as many transactions, it kind of slowed down. But you know, I could see that going forward. And Lamar has said it. I mean, they've, you know, they're probably under-leveraged at the moment. So I can definitely see that helping drive the industry to a certain extent, and I think there is a lot of opportunity out there.

Aaron Watts
Managing Director, Media, Entertainment, Cable, and Satellite Fixed Income Analyst, Deutsche Bank

All right. We'll wrap it up there. Thank you very much, guys. This was helpful.

David Sailer
EVP and CFO, Clear Channel Outdoor

You're welcome.

Jason Menzel
SVP and Treasurer, Clear Channel Outdoor

Thank you.

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