Celcuity Inc. (CELC)
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Earnings Call: Q3 2024

Nov 14, 2024

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Celcuity Q3 2024 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. If at any time during the call you require immediate assistance, please press star zero for the operator. This call is being recorded, November 14th, 2024. I would now like to turn the call over to Apoorva Chaloori. Please go ahead.

Apoorva Chaloori
Analyst, Celcuity

Thank you, Operator, and good afternoon to everyone on the call. Thank you for joining us to review Celcuity's Q3 2024 financial results and business update. Earlier today, Celcuity Inc released financial results for the Q3 ended September 30th, 2024. The press release can be found on the Investors section of the website. Joining me on the call today are Brian Sullivan, Celcuity's Chief Executive Officer and Co-founder, Vicky Hahne, Chief Financial Officer, as well as Igor Gorbatchevsky, Chief Medical Officer, who will be available during Q&A. Before we begin, I would like to remind listeners that our comments today will include some forward-looking statements. These statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which are outlined in today's press release and in our reports and filings with the SEC. Actual events or results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.

Such forward-looking statements and their implications involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause actual results or performance to differ materially from those projected. On this call, we will also refer to non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP measures are used by management to make strategic decisions, forecast future results, and evaluate the company's current performance. Management believes the presentation of these non-GAAP financial measures is useful for investors' understanding and assessment of the company's ongoing core operations and prospects for the future. You can find a table reconciling the non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures in today's press release. And with that, I would now like to turn the call over to Brian Sullivan, CEO of Celcuity. Please go ahead.

Brian Sullivan
CEO, Celcuity

Thank you, Apoorva, and good afternoon, everyone. We continue to make great progress advancing the clinical development of gedatolisib this quarter. Overall enrollment in VIKTORIA-1, our phase III clinical trial evaluating gedatolisib plus fulvestrant with and without palbociclib in the second-line setting, remains robust and on track. We are very excited to announce that the PIK3CA wild-type cohort is 100% enrolled, an important milestone. It reflects the excellent execution by our clinical development and operations teams and great support from the investigators at our sites. And enrollment in the PIK3CA mutant cohort is on plan. Our VIKTORIA-2 phase III clinical trial that will be evaluating gedatolisib plus fulvestrant and a CDK4/6 inhibitor in the first-line setting remains on track to enroll its first patient in the second quarter of 2025.

Our phase Ib/II trial evaluating patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer is ongoing and remains on track to report preliminary data in the second quarter of 2025. The primary endpoints for the VIKTORIA-1 clinical trial are progression-free survival, or PFS, per RECIST 1.1 criteria, as assessed by blinded independent central review. The study is designed to independently evaluate a PIK3CA wild-type patient cohort and a PIK3CA mutant patient cohort. For the PIK3CA wild-type cohort, there are two primary endpoints that will be tested hierarchically, whereas the PIK3CA mutant patient cohort has a single primary endpoint. Primary analysis for each patient cohort is triggered upon reaching a predefined number of progression events. For the PIK3CA wild-type patient cohort, the threshold number of events for both primary endpoints must be achieved before the primary analysis is triggered.

Based on our current forecast of reaching the event thresholds that will trigger primary analysis, we expect to report top-line data for the PIK3CA wild-type cohort sometime in late Q1 2025 or Q2 2025, and to report top-line data for the PIK3CA mutant cohort in the second half of 2025. If the results from the PIK3CA wild-type patient cohort are positive, we would expect to file a new drug application, or NDA, with this data and follow up with a supplemental NDA, or sNDA, if the results from the PIK3CA mutant cohort are also positive. Obviously, the foundation of gedatolisib's potential future positioning will require the gedatolisib report a clinically meaningful median PFS benefit. Current median PFS benchmarks for patients pretreated with a CDK4/6 inhibitor are modest.

Published reports of median progression-free survival for the SERDs range from 2 to 3.8 months, and in patients with PIK3CA mutations, ranges between 5.5 and 7.3 months for the AKT and PI3K alpha inhibitors. The two most recently approved therapies for this patient population reported between 2 and 3.5 months of incremental PFS benefit. The threshold that KOLs consider is generally considered to be clinically meaningful. In addition, we've consistently heard from oncologists that they greatly prefer to delay use of chemotherapy, or ADCs, until the benefit from endocrine backbone regimens is exhausted. We also think the gedatolisib safety profile may also favor its potential positioning in a future treatment landscape. Gedatolisib's treatment-related discontinuation rate was only 4% in the phase Ib arm with the phase III intermittent dose schedule, which is comparable to the 6%-8% discontinuation rates for the CDK4/6 plus fulvestrant regimens.

These results compare favorably to the treatment-related discontinuation rates reported in the phase III studies for alpelisib plus fulvestrant, where 26% of patients discontinued, and everolimus plus exemestane, where 24% of patients discontinued. The results for gedatolisib are especially encouraging given that patients in the phase Ib study did not receive prophylactic treatment for stomatitis. Since we are prescribing stomatitis prophylaxis in our phase III trial, we would expect fewer stomatitis-related adverse events, which would further enhance gedatolisib's already promising safety profile. We recognize that the treatment landscape is evolving with new potential therapies under development. Our view is that the underlying biological drivers of HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer will ultimately determine which regimens become standard of care. Three interconnected signaling pathways, estrogen, cyclin D1, CDK4/6, and PI3K/AKT/mTOR, promote this disease, and we believe that simultaneous blockade of all three of these pathways is required to optimize anti-tumor control.

This suggests that a triplet regimen that addresses these disease drivers, whether in the first or second-line setting, may have a long-term advantage versus a doublet regimen or monotherapy that addresses just one or two of these signaling pathways. Additionally, a triplet regimen that could treat all patients, regardless of PIK3CA or ESR1 status, would have an even greater advantage. We believe that a triplet regimen that includes gedatolisib is well-positioned to establish this new standard of care, and we're optimistic that the VIKTORIA-1 data from our PIK3CA wild-type and mutant cohorts can live up to this potential. Feedback we're receiving from oncologists and market access stakeholders, in conjunction with our preliminary commercial launch-related activities, further reinforces our optimism about the potential for gedatolisib. Of particular note is the encouraging feedback received regarding gedatolisib's IV route of administration.

This preliminary research suggests that IV administration will not be a barrier to utilization of gedatolisib and, in fact, likely offers important advantages, particularly from a market access and adherence-to-therapy perspective. If gedatolisib ultimately does receive FDA approval for both the PIK3CA wild-type and mutant populations, we estimate the peak revenue potential for the second-line indication alone could exceed $2 billion. Returning to our VIKTORIA-2 study, our site qualification activities to support activation of up to 200 sites across North America, Europe, Latin America, and Asia are on track. We're very pleased with the interest we're receiving from our current VIKTORIA-1 sites as well as new sites that have expressed interest in participating in this study. We expect these activities will allow us to enroll our first patient in the second quarter of 2025.

The VIKTORIA-2 study is a global p hase III open-label, randomized clinical trial evaluating the efficacy and safety of gedatolisib in combination with fulvestrant plus a CDK4/6 inhibitor as a first-line treatment for patients with HR-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer who are endocrine therapy resistant. Prior to the initiation of the phase III portion of the trial, a safety run-in study will be conducted in 12 to 36 participants to assess the safety profile of gedatolisib in combination with ribociclib and fulvestrant. Earlier this year, we dosed our first patient in our phase Ib/II trial that is evaluating gedatolisib in combination with darolutamide in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. This study is ongoing, and we are on track to report preliminary data from this study in the second quarter of 2025.

Just recently, in October, the journal Cancers published results of our non-clinical studies in gynecological cancer cell line models, highlighting the differences between single-node inhibitors of the PI3K/AKT/mTOR pathway and gedatolisib. The published manuscript is available online and on the publication sections of Celcuity's website. The results from these studies are consistent with the non-clinical studies we published earlier this year that evaluated breast and prostate cancer cell line models. In all three tumor types, gedatolisib demonstrated superior potency and cytotoxicity compared to single-node PI3K/AKT/mTOR inhibitors, and this December, we're looking forward to presenting one clinical poster and two non-clinical posters at the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium. Our clinical poster will present overall survival data from our phase Ib clinical trial that evaluated gedatolisib in combination with palbociclib and endocrine therapy.

The two non-clinical posters will present data that further characterizes the mechanism of action of gedatolisib and its effect on key breast cancer cell metabolic functions. Overall, we're very pleased with the progress we made this quarter advancing the clinical development of gedatolisib. I'd like now to turn the call over to Vicky, who will review our financial results.

Vicky Hahne
CFO, Celcuity

Thank you, Brian, and good afternoon, everyone. I'll provide a brief overview of our financial results for the third quarter 2024. Our third quarter net loss was $29.8 million, or $0.70 per share, compared to $18.4 million net loss, or $0.83 per share, for the third quarter of 2023. Because these quarterly net losses include significant non-cash items, including stock-based compensation and interest, we also included in our press release non-GAAP adjusted net loss for the quarter ended September 30, 2024. Our non-GAAP adjusted net loss was $27.6 million, or $0.65 per share, for the third quarter of 2024, compared to non-GAAP adjusted net loss of $17.3 million, or $0.78 per share, for the third quarter of 2023. Research and development expenses were $27.6 million for the third quarter of 2024, compared to $17.5 million for the third quarter of 2023.

Of the approximately $10.1 million increase in R&D expenses, $6.3 million primarily related to activities supporting the VIKTORIA-1 phase III trial, the phase Ib/II prostate trial, and the initiation of the VIKTORIA-2 phase III trial. The remaining $3.8 million was related to increased employee and consulting expenses. General and administrative expenses were $2.5 million for the third quarter of 2024, compared to $1.4 million for the third quarter of 2023. Employee and consulting-related expenses accounted for $0.9 million of the increase. Professional fees and other administrative expenses accounted for the remaining increase of approximately $0.2 million. Net cash used in operating activities for the third quarter of 2024 was $20.6 million, compared to $12.7 million for the third quarter of 2023.

We ended the quarter with approximately $264.1 million of cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, compared to cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments of $180.6 million at December 31, 2023. The increase of $83.5 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments was the result of several financing activities that occurred year-to-date through September 2024 and yielded net proceeds of approximately $138.3 million. The $138.3 million was partially offset by year-to-date operating cash used of approximately $55.8 million. I will now hand the call back to Brian.

Brian Sullivan
CEO, Celcuity

Thank you, Vicky. Operator, could you please open the call for questions?

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll now begin the question and answer session. Should you have a question, please press the star followed by the number one on your touch-tone phone. You will hear a prompt that your hand has been raised. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press the star followed by the number two. If you are using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. One moment, please, for your first question. Your first question is from Maury Raycroft from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Maury Raycroft
Equity Research Analyst of Biotechnology, Jefferies

Hi. Congrats on the progress, and thanks for taking my questions. For the timeline updates and clarifications around timelines, it sounds like it's primarily driven by event rate. Can you talk more about whether you have any additional insights into the event rate and whether there could be a relationship with patient baseline characteristics? And just want to clarify if any of the shift was related to enrollment going slower than expected?

Brian Sullivan
CEO, Celcuity

Hi, Maury. Thanks for your question. We think that as we updated last quarter, our last update, we had that the higher proportion of mutated patients relative to our initial projection, 40% versus 35%, had a corresponding decrease in the rate of enrollment for the wild-type population. We factored that into the event projection or the timeline we provided in August, and so the recent update relates to and would only be a result of the rate of events occurring, and so not related to change in enrollment. We're actually a little ahead of where we thought we'd be when we reported in August, and so as far as factors that could drive that, it's really not appropriate for me to comment. I think the event rate is out of our control, and so certainly a function of how the patients are responding to therapies.

The events that we can track are only an aggregate for all three arms. We can't track them by endpoint, so we really have limited ability to do anything other than track them and try to forecast when we think we'll cross over the line for those two primary endpoints.

Maury Raycroft
Equity Research Analyst of Biotechnology, Jefferies

Okay. Yeah, that makes sense, and that's helpful. And also, just wanted to ask you a question just based on the treatment landscape evolving with Roche's approval of inavolisib in combo with palbociclib and fulvestrant. Just your thoughts on that for the front-line setting and how that approval could impact or affect use of gedatolisib in the second line if approved for the mutation population?

Brian Sullivan
CEO, Celcuity

Sure. We think the study and the results were supportive of our hypothesis, which is that inhibition of all three of these pathways is beneficial and can significantly improve outcomes for patients. As far as the impact on gedatolisib, our current indication or the indication we'd be seeking is for patients who are endocrine treatment sensitive, and these are patients who will have received CDK4/6 inhibitor plus letrozole. Our forecasts of the opportunity have been focused on or have been related to that population. We don't expect that approval for inavolisib to essentially compromise or reduce the population that we're treating in the second line.

Our VIKTORIA-2 study, though, will directly address the population that the Roche study was focused on, the inavolisib study, except that our study will enroll 100% of the eligible patients who are endocrine treatment resistant, whereas the Roche study essentially only enrolled or treated what we estimate to be roughly 20% of the eligible of the patients who would be considered to be endocrine treatment resistant.

Maury Raycroft
Equity Research Analyst of Biotechnology, Jefferies

Got it. Okay. That's helpful. Thanks for taking my questions. I'll head back into Q.

Brian Sullivan
CEO, Celcuity

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question is from Brad Canino from Stifel. Please go ahead.

Brad Canino
Director and Biotechnology Equity Research Analyst, Stifel

Hi. Thanks for the updates. Maybe one heading into San Antonio. I noted in the press release you've got an updated analysis. I wanted to hear from you what the focus will be there. And then also at the conference, there's going to be a lot of data from oral SERD and CDK doublets, including a phase III. I'd just like to ask if you consider these to be potential new combination therapies that could compete with gedatolisib, and what are you keeping in mind as you plan to analyze the data from those at the meeting? Thank you.

Brian Sullivan
CEO, Celcuity

Sure. Well, at the San Antonio conference, we'll have a number of objectives. I mean, one of them will be to present the three posters and update folks on the extended follow-up we performed on the patients who were enrolled in the phase Ib study, and then continue to provide information that helps people understand the mechanism of gedatolisib and its impact on key metabolic functions. We'll also have objectives just related to general activities to support our two ongoing studies in breast cancer. But of course, we'll be tracking the data that comes out, the phase III data for the oral SERD and then the other data. Most of these studies are seeking to treat a population similar to ours, so certainly very relevant to us, and we'll review the data accordingly.

I think depending on which patient populations get enrolled, you have to peel apart the baseline characteristics, and depending on how they present the data, you'll need to do an assessment of the subgroups that maybe correspond to the true second-line population that we're addressing, which is patients who received a CDK4/6 or an aromatase inhibitor who have received prior CDK4/6, and so that patient population is distinct. Some of these trials will be enrolling patients who have not had a CDK4/6 inhibitor. That will tend to make it difficult to interpret without assessing the subgroups, those who've received versus those who haven't received CDK4/6 inhibitors, and then there's certain characteristics that aren't necessarily representative of the type of population you might enroll in a phase III study. For instance, patients with measurable disease versus non-measurable disease or visceral versus non-visceral tumors.

Those factors can have an impact on the response of patients to therapy. So it's always important when you look at these studies and you try to do a cross-trial comparison to try to normalize the data as much as possible to ensure that you're comparing likes to likes to the extent that the data is available to do that.

Brad Canino
Director and Biotechnology Equity Research Analyst, Stifel

All right. Thanks, Brian.

Operator

The next question is from Tara Bancroft from TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

Tara Bancroft
VP and Biotechnology Research Analyst, TD Cowen

Good afternoon, and thanks for taking the question. I was hoping to get a better idea of expectations. First, I was hoping you could tell us what absolute MPFS number that you would like to see in the wild-type triplet and doublet to have the highest level of confidence in success in the mutant population as well. I guess also related to what Brian asked, my question for the control arm expectations is, given that we have the EMBER-3 data coming up at San Antonio, it'd be great to get your view on read-through from that, in particular in the control arm, even though it's investigator choice, but it does include fulvestrant. We've talked about this before with the postMONARCH study, but how should we look at how the control arm performs and make any read-through here?

Brian Sullivan
CEO, Celcuity

As far as what we'd like to see, I mean, we'd love to see two years of MPFS. So I think what we think and really, it's not appropriate for us to provide a forecast. What we can do is just point people to the results we had in our phase Ib study and point to the fact that in our phase III study, we're enrolling a patient population that could be considered to have a more favorable prognosis than the patient population that was evaluated in the phase Ib study. The patients in the phase Ib study all had visceral disease, no bone-only patients. 20% of the patients had prior chemo, and their median duration of treatment of their prior treatment was around 13 months. Whereas in the phase III study, we're not enrolling patients who've had prior chemo in the advanced setting.

We are enrolling patients who have bone-only disease as long as they have a measurable lytic or lytic-blastic lesion. And those two factors, again, tend to correlate to improved response to targeted therapies. So net-net, we think we have a population that may certainly improve the odds of being able to replicate the data in the phase Ib. And the phase Ib data, we reported 12.9 months median PFS overall. Roughly 50% of patients were progression-free who were wild-type at 12 months, whereas 60% in the mutant setting were progression-free at 12 months. And so we would hope to report results that were consistent with that. As far as the expectations or what's needed to have a clinical impact, the KOLs we've spoken to, as well as the community physicians, have very kind of uniformly indicated that the three-month median PFS delta relative to control would be meaningful.

Certainly, more is better than that if that's possible. And so the data will come out, and we'll see. Now, as far as what to think about the control, in the past couple of years or three years, there have been four studies, one phase III, two phase II randomized that have evaluated fulvestrant in patients who've had prior CDK. Two of the studies reported 1.9 months median PFS for fulvestrant. One reported 2.1 months for fulvestrant, and the other reported 3.5. If you do a straight average or even a weighted average, taking into account the different population sample sizes, you find that the average results for fulvestrant in this population is about three months, where it ranges from two to three and a half. We think it would be very unlikely to see a result that was outside those boundaries going forward.

As far as EMBER-3, I think from what I know about the eligibility criteria, they've included patients who are CDK4/6 treatment naive, as well as those who are CDK4/6 naive, and so it'll make the intent-to-treat mPFS reported difficult to interpret because, for the most part, certainly in the U.S. and really in most of the developed countries, CDK4/6 treatment is standard in the front line, so the results for a mixed population won't necessarily be useful for investigators. They'll want to dig into the post-CDK4/6 patient results, and I think it would be unlikely, given the other results that have been reported, that we'd see results outside that two to three and a half month range, but we'll know in a couple of weeks.

Tara Bancroft
VP and Biotechnology Research Analyst, TD Cowen

Okay. Great. Thank you.

Brian Sullivan
CEO, Celcuity

You're welcome.

Operator

Your next question is from Chase Knickerbocker from Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.

Chase Knickerbocker
Senior Research Analyst, Craig-Hallum

Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for the questions. So Brian, just maybe as we're kind of obviously fully enrolled now in the first cohort and VIKTORIA-1, maybe talk me through obviously, you're going to have a lot of similar trial sites in VIKTORIA-2. Talk me through kind of your enrollment expectations for that study now that you have quite a bit of experience with what to expect from a lot of these sites from VIKTORIA-1 and, again, kind of what you hear from investigators as far as kind of their excitement around VIKTORIA-2 and to give more patients gedatolisib.

Brian Sullivan
CEO, Celcuity

Sure. I think I'm very excited that the sites in VIKTORIA-1 that we wanted to partner with in this study, the VIKTORIA-2 study, wanted to. So we're essentially getting, I think, about 1,000 on that front. And we think that reflects their experience with Geda. And so that's encouraging to us. And then the new sites that will be participating are familiar with the data that we've presented for the phase Ib. They also are very familiar with the unmet need and the importance of coming up with options for these patients. I think, generally, first-line patient studies are considered to be easier to enroll. There are more patients. They tend to have fewer comorbidities that could make them ineligible. And so we think our enrollment rate for VIKTORIA-1 was very, very good relative to what has been reported for other studies.

So we're very encouraged by that. And so we think it would be more likely than not that the enrollment rate for VIKTORIA-2 would be at least as good or likely a little better than VIKTORIA-1. So we'll see as we go, but we're on track to selecting the sites. We're on track to conducting the regulatory work that's required outside the U.S. so that we can get those sites activated and begin screening patients and on track to being able to get our first patient by the second quarter. So far, so good.

Chase Knickerbocker
Senior Research Analyst, Craig-Hallum

Thanks for the question, Brian.

Brian Sullivan
CEO, Celcuity

You're welcome.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, should you have any questions, please press the star key followed by the number one. There are no further questions at this time. Please proceed with closing remarks.

Brian Sullivan
CEO, Celcuity

Thank you.

Thank you very much for participating in our call today, for your ongoing support. We'll be participating at multiple upcoming investor conferences in November, and I look forward to interacting with many of you soon. I hope you have a great evening. Goodbye.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines.

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